← Умные деньги
0x0d31…3dc7
ПрофиЭдж
+17.4pp
ROI
+17%
Доля побед
97% @ 79.9¢
Brier
0.066
Сделок
38
Ср. размер
$226
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 100% (6/6) | +36% | 6 |
| Политика | 75% (3/4) | +2% | 4 |
| Бизнес | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Other6 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (6/6)
- ROI
- +36%
- Политика4 ставки
- Попадания
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +2%
- Бизнес1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
История результатов
91% попаданий · 10/11| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | $10.1k | 95.0¢ | Победа |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets | Lakers | $1.0k | 88.8¢ | Победа |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | $2.0k | 88.9¢ | Победа |
| TikTok sale announced before April? | No | $2.0k | 62.9¢ | Победа |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | No | $1.0k | 89.0¢ | Победа |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | No | $101 | 88.0¢ | Победа |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $540 | 88.0¢ | Победа |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1.0k | 76.5¢ | Победа |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12? | No | $104 | 86.7¢ | Победа |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $715 | 69.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? | Yes | $34 | 34.0¢ | Победа |
- No$10.1k @ 95.0¢
- Lakers$1.0k @ 88.8¢
- No$2.0k @ 88.9¢
- No$2.0k @ 62.9¢
- No$1.0k @ 89.0¢
- No$101 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$540 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 76.5¢
- No$104 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$715 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
Недавние сделки
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Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Политика | No | $10.1k | 95.0¢ |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Геополитика | Yes | $17 | 88.0¢ |
- No$10.1k @ 95.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 88.0¢