0x0c18…a04c

Профи

Эдж

+10.9pp

ROI

+39%

Доля побед

37% @ 25.9¢

Brier

0.179

Сделок

648

Ср. размер

$194

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	31% (17/55)	+199%	55
Политика	15% (7/48)	-38%	48
Спорт	46% (17/37)	-3%	37
Технологии	50% (1/2)	+26%	2
Геополитика	50% (1/2)	+116%	2

Other55 ставки
Попадания
31% (17/55)
ROI
+199%
Политика48 ставки
Попадания
15% (7/48)
ROI
-38%
Спорт37 ставки
Попадания
46% (17/37)
ROI
-3%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+26%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+116%

История результатов

30% попаданий · 43/144

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$150	14.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$290	29.8¢	Поражение
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	$100	37.0¢	Победа
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$33	52.0¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Победа
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	$528	2.0¢	Поражение
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	$23	12.8¢	Поражение
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$400	67.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	$256	7.4¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$50	32.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$162	13.5¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$500	83.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$400	70.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$3.0k	14.3¢	Поражение
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	$174	7.2¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$74	9.7¢	Поражение
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$377	51.0¢	Поражение
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	$11	5.0¢	Поражение
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	$9	19.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$3.9k	11.1¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$519	51.9¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$42	0.1¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	$116	62.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$87	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	$8	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$136	27.1¢	Поражение
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$43	53.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$68	53.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	7.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$497	32.7¢	Поражение
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	$18	68.0¢	Победа
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$163	2.2¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	30.6¢	Поражение
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	$270	40.6¢	Поражение
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	$31	18.2¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$50	72.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2.3k	55.9¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	No	$842	0.2¢	Поражение
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	$40	11.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$855	5.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	39.5¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	$136	10.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	$76	30.3¢	Поражение
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$102	40.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	6.8¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$40	3.5¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	$7.0k	33.7¢	Поражение

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$150 @ 14.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$290 @ 29.8¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Победа
No$100 @ 37.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Победа
Yes$33 @ 52.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Победа
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Поражение
No$528 @ 2.0¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysПоражение
Tampa Bay Rays$23 @ 12.8¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Поражение
Yes$400 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Поражение
Yes$256 @ 7.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 32.0¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$162 @ 13.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$500 @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$400 @ 70.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3.0k @ 14.3¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Поражение
Yes$174 @ 7.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поражение
Yes$74 @ 9.7¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Поражение
Yes$377 @ 51.0¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsПоражение
Cincinnati Reds$11 @ 5.0¢
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna KalinskayaПобеда
Anna Kalinskaya$9 @ 19.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$3.9k @ 11.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$519 @ 51.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$42 @ 0.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Поражение
Yes$116 @ 62.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$87 @ 12.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 0.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Поражение
Yes$136 @ 27.1¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Победа
Yes$43 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$68 @ 53.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.9k @ 7.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Поражение
Yes$497 @ 32.7¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsПобеда
Team WE$18 @ 68.0¢
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Поражение
Yes$163 @ 2.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2.0k @ 30.6¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Поражение
No$270 @ 40.6¢
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiПобеда
Matteo Arnaldi$31 @ 18.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$50 @ 72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$2.3k @ 55.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Поражение
No$842 @ 0.2¢
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil TeichmannПоражение
Jil Teichmann$40 @ 11.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$855 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Победа
Yes$1.6k @ 39.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Поражение
Yes$136 @ 10.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$76 @ 30.3¢
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$102 @ 40.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.9k @ 6.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 3.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
No$7.0k @ 33.7¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Культура	Yes	$9.7k	25.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Культура	No	$240	30.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$127	13.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Экономика	Yes	$77	15.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$19	11.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Геополитика	No	$8	8.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$2	13.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1	7.9¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Политика	No	$1	37.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$1	33.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1	19.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$1	8.4¢

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Культура
Yes$9.7k @ 25.9¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Культура
No$240 @ 30.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
Yes$127 @ 13.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Экономика
Yes$77 @ 15.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
Yes$19 @ 11.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Геополитика
No$8 @ 8.4¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$1 @ 7.9¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Политика
No$1 @ 37.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$1 @ 8.4¢