0x0c18…a04c

Прибыльный

Эдж

+21.6pp

ROI

+134%

Доля побед

46% @ 24.2¢

Brier

0.260

Сделок

319

Ср. размер

$103

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	29% (5/17)	+219%	17
Политика	19% (3/16)	-82%	16
Спорт	50% (2/4)	-78%	4

Other17 ставки
Попадания
29% (5/17)
ROI
+219%
Политика16 ставки
Попадания
19% (3/16)
ROI
-82%
Спорт4 ставки
Попадания
50% (2/4)
ROI
-78%

История результатов

27% попаданий · 10/37

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$150	14.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$290	29.8¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Победа
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	$528	2.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$50	32.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$500	83.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$400	70.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$3.0k	14.3¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$74	9.7¢	Поражение
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$377	51.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$3.9k	11.1¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$42	0.1¢	Поражение
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$43	53.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$68	53.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	7.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$497	32.7¢	Поражение
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	$18	68.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	30.6¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$50	72.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2.3k	55.9¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	No	$842	0.2¢	Поражение
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	$40	11.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$855	5.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	39.5¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	$136	10.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	$76	30.3¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	6.8¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	$7.0k	33.7¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$290	32.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$490	21.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$75	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	$132	9.7¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.1k	16.7¢	Победа
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$50	7.4¢	Поражение
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$130	40.7¢	Поражение

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$150 @ 14.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$290 @ 29.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Победа
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Поражение
No$528 @ 2.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 32.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$500 @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$400 @ 70.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3.0k @ 14.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поражение
Yes$74 @ 9.7¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Поражение
Yes$377 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$3.9k @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$42 @ 0.1¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Победа
Yes$43 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$68 @ 53.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.9k @ 7.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Поражение
Yes$497 @ 32.7¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsПобеда
Team WE$18 @ 68.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2.0k @ 30.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$50 @ 72.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$2.3k @ 55.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Поражение
No$842 @ 0.2¢
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil TeichmannПоражение
Jil Teichmann$40 @ 11.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$855 @ 5.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Победа
Yes$1.6k @ 39.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Поражение
Yes$136 @ 10.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$76 @ 30.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.9k @ 6.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
No$7.0k @ 33.7¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$290 @ 32.0¢
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Поражение
Yes$490 @ 21.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$75 @ 0.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?Поражение
Yes$132 @ 9.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$3.1k @ 16.7¢
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 7.4¢
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Поражение
Yes$130 @ 40.7¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	Other	Yes	$574	16.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?	Other	Yes	$525	10.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$224	49.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?	Other	Yes	$100	18.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$25	2.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$1	0.8¢

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?Other
Yes$574 @ 16.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?Other
Yes$525 @ 10.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Other
Yes$224 @ 49.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?Other
Yes$100 @ 18.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$25 @ 2.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢