0x0bbe…552d

Профи

Эдж

+18.3pp

ROI

+29%

Доля побед

80% @ 61.7¢

Brier

0.091

Сделок

105

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	30% (3/10)	+14%	10
Other	50% (4/8)	+37%	8
Геополитика	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

42% попаданий · 8/19

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?	No	$17	66.0¢	Победа
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Поражение
Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$120	59.2¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$17	38.6¢	Поражение
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.3¢	Поражение
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$46	87.5¢	Победа
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Поражение
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$6	83.0¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$67	73.5¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$6	26.6¢	Поражение
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	$1	55.0¢	Победа
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	5.7¢	Поражение
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$1	8.2¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$60	85.3¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	$6	14.8¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	$16	45.2¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	Yes	$7	43.0¢	Поражение

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Геополитика	Yes	$21	42.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$11	76.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$9	89.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	No	$9	88.9¢