0x0ba3…57bc

Прибыльный

Эдж

+25.3pp

ROI

+144%

Доля побед

41% @ 15.8¢

Brier

0.323

Сделок

168

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	42% (42/100)	+179%	100
Геополитика	25% (1/4)	-63%	4
Технологии	50% (1/2)	-2%	2
Политика	100% (2/2)	+103%	2

Other100 ставки
Попадания
42% (42/100)
ROI
+179%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-63%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-2%
Политика2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+103%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 46/108

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 16?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 15?	No	$1	51.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?	No	$11	18.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	$11	71.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?	No	$8	8.5¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 14?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	4.5¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 16?	Yes	$0	4.8¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 14?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Поражение
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 16?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	$0	2.1¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 14?	No	$2	81.0¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	No	$33	89.3¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	$3	6.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14?	Yes	$2	34.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?	No	$3	67.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	$4	83.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	$1	26.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15?	No	$0	7.9¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 14?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	$7	48.3¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 15?	No	$4	86.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?	No	$15	45.2¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?	Yes	$12	50.9¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	$7	64.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	$0	5.8¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 14?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 16?	Yes	$0	2.1¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 15?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 14?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on May 14?	Yes	$0	3.1¢	Поражение
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 15?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 16?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 14?	Yes	$0	5.9¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?	No	$8	64.9¢	Победа

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 16?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 16?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on May 16?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 15?Поражение
No$1 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 15?Победа
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?Победа
No$11 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 71.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?Победа
No$8 @ 8.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 15?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 15?Победа
Yes$0 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 15?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 16?Победа
Yes$0 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 15?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 15?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 16?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 14?Победа
No$2 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?Победа
No$33 @ 89.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?Победа
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?Победа
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?Поражение
No$1 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15?Победа
No$0 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 15?Поражение
No$4 @ 86.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?Поражение
No$15 @ 45.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?Победа
Yes$12 @ 50.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?Поражение
No$7 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 15?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on May 15?Победа
Yes$0 @ 5.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 16?Победа
Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 15?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 15?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 15?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 16?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 14?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 5.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?Победа
No$8 @ 64.9¢

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Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$5	50.0¢

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢