0x07a4…0721

Прибыльный

Эдж

+21.3pp

ROI

+59%

Доля побед

63% @ 42.1¢

Brier

0.223

Сделок

Ср. размер

$22

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	64% (9/14)	+63%	14
Политика	60% (6/10)	+72%	10
Крипто	50% (1/2)	+6%	2
Технологии	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+133%	1

Other14 ставки
Попадания
64% (9/14)
ROI
+63%
Политика10 ставки
Попадания
60% (6/10)
ROI
+72%
Крипто2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+6%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+133%

История результатов

59% попаданий · 17/29

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	$5	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	No	$20	86.0¢	Победа
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$10	35.0¢	Победа
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$20	54.0¢	Победа
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$164	57.0¢	Победа
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$21	40.7¢	Поражение
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	No	$5	28.9¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?	Yes	$40	44.0¢	Победа
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	No	$20	62.0¢	Поражение
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	9.0¢	Поражение
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$5	23.0¢	Поражение
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$5	43.0¢	Победа
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$5	78.0¢	Победа
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	$5	34.0¢	Победа
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	$5	32.3¢	Победа
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	28.4¢	Поражение
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?	Yes	$40	89.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?	Yes	$60	37.8¢	Победа
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	16.0¢	Победа
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$5	11.3¢	Поражение
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$5	63.6¢	Победа
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$99	52.0¢	Победа
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	$40	50.9¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	$5	18.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	$5	9.1¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Победа
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$40	62.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	No	$5	20.0¢	Победа
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	Yes	$5	4.1¢	Поражение

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$5 @ 17.0¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Победа
No$20 @ 86.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Победа
Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Победа
No$20 @ 54.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Победа
Yes$164 @ 57.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 40.7¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?Поражение
No$5 @ 28.9¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Победа
Yes$40 @ 44.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Поражение
No$20 @ 62.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
No$5 @ 23.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Победа
Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Победа
No$5 @ 78.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Победа
Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Победа
No$5 @ 32.3¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 28.4¢
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$40 @ 89.0¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Победа
Yes$60 @ 37.8¢
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 11.3¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Победа
No$5 @ 63.6¢
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Победа
Yes$99 @ 52.0¢
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Победа
Yes$40 @ 50.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Поражение
No$5 @ 9.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?Победа
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 62.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Победа
No$5 @ 20.0¢
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.1¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$50	91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$50	65.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$5	29.0¢
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	Политика	No	$5	13.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$5	17.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
Yes$50 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
Yes$50 @ 65.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Политика
No$5 @ 29.0¢
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Политика
No$5 @ 13.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Политика
Yes$5 @ 17.0¢