0x072a…cee6

Профи

Эдж

-6.8pp

ROI

+24%

Доля побед

10% @ 16.6¢

Brier

0.086

Сделок

958

Ср. размер

$124

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	27% (14/52)	+25%	52
Политика	8% (1/12)	+13%	12

Other52 ставки
Попадания
27% (14/52)
ROI
+25%
Политика12 ставки
Попадания
8% (1/12)
ROI
+13%

История результатов

23% попаданий · 15/64

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Republicans win less than 8% of the Black vote?	Yes	$30	32.7¢	Поражение
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	$274	1.2¢	Поражение
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$948	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$529	3.6¢	Поражение
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	$198	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	$128	0.7¢	Поражение
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$1.5k	9.9¢	Поражение
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	$198	1.3¢	Поражение
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$20.0k	71.0¢	Победа
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?	No	$102	1.8¢	Поражение
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?	Yes	$96	32.0¢	Победа
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?	Yes	$547	23.8¢	Поражение
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?	Yes	$7.8k	8.4¢	Поражение
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)	Steel	$1.3k	7.4¢	Поражение
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?	Yes	$10	65.0¢	Победа
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$402	41.0¢	Поражение
Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?	No	$1000	18.2¢	Поражение
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?	Yes	$1.2k	12.7¢	Поражение
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?	Yes	$376	11.6¢	Поражение
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64	Yes	$6	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$2.4k	3.4¢	Поражение
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?	Yes	$2.3k	5.5¢	Поражение
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?	Yes	$17	28.1¢	Поражение
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?	Yes	$0	36.0¢	Поражение
Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?	No	$568	27.6¢	Поражение
Will Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$236	3.9¢	Поражение
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?	Yes	$6.7k	17.4¢	Поражение
Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?	Yes	$1	10.2¢	Поражение
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154	Yes	$1.2k	10.3¢	Поражение
Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?	Yes	$330	18.0¢	Поражение
Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?	Yes	$10.2k	11.2¢	Поражение
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$148	19.2¢	Поражение
Will Minnesota be the closest state?	Yes	$594	6.1¢	Поражение
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	$491	5.6¢	Поражение
Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?	Yes	$973	28.5¢	Поражение
Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?	Yes	$209	12.2¢	Поражение
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?	Yes	$50	14.6¢	Победа
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?	Yes	$938	22.3¢	Победа
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?	Yes	$7.0k	21.9¢	Поражение
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	$31	19.0¢	Поражение
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House	Yes	$3.2k	36.5¢	Победа
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?	Yes	$184	4.8¢	Поражение
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$90	9.8¢	Поражение
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?	No	$25	25.0¢	Победа
AOC pregnant in 2024?	Yes	$9	15.3¢	Поражение
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?	Yes	$40	3.7¢	Поражение
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?	Yes	$6.3k	6.8¢	Поражение
Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?	Yes	$6.8k	39.8¢	Победа
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?	Yes	$2.2k	38.3¢	Победа
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?	No	$4.8k	3.8¢	Поражение

Will Republicans win less than 8% of the Black vote?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 32.7¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Поражение
Yes$274 @ 1.2¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Поражение
Yes$948 @ 6.0¢
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Поражение
Yes$529 @ 3.6¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Поражение
Yes$198 @ 1.0¢
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Поражение
Yes$128 @ 0.7¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 9.9¢
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Поражение
Yes$198 @ 1.3¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПобеда
Yes$20.0k @ 71.0¢
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?Поражение
No$102 @ 1.8¢
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? Победа
Yes$96 @ 32.0¢
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? Поражение
Yes$547 @ 23.8¢
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Поражение
Yes$7.8k @ 8.4¢
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)Поражение
Steel$1.3k @ 7.4¢
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?Победа
Yes$10 @ 65.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Поражение
Yes$402 @ 41.0¢
Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Поражение
No$1000 @ 18.2¢
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 12.7¢
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Поражение
Yes$376 @ 11.6¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Поражение
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?Поражение
Yes$2.4k @ 3.4¢
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Поражение
Yes$2.3k @ 5.5¢
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 28.1¢
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 36.0¢
Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?Поражение
No$568 @ 27.6¢
Will Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?Поражение
Yes$236 @ 3.9¢
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Поражение
Yes$6.7k @ 17.4¢
Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 10.2¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 10.3¢
Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?Поражение
Yes$330 @ 18.0¢
Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?Поражение
Yes$10.2k @ 11.2¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Поражение
Yes$148 @ 19.2¢
Will Minnesota be the closest state?Поражение
Yes$594 @ 6.1¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Поражение
Yes$491 @ 5.6¢
Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?Поражение
Yes$973 @ 28.5¢
Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?Поражение
Yes$209 @ 12.2¢
Will Wisconsin be the closest state? Победа
Yes$50 @ 14.6¢
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Победа
Yes$938 @ 22.3¢
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Поражение
Yes$7.0k @ 21.9¢
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$31 @ 19.0¢
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseПобеда
Yes$3.2k @ 36.5¢
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?Поражение
Yes$184 @ 4.8¢
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Поражение
Yes$90 @ 9.8¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?Победа
No$25 @ 25.0¢
AOC pregnant in 2024?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 15.3¢
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 3.7¢
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Поражение
Yes$6.3k @ 6.8¢
Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?Победа
Yes$6.8k @ 39.8¢
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?Победа
Yes$2.2k @ 38.3¢
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Поражение
No$4.8k @ 3.8¢

Недавние сделки

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Политика	Yes	$17.9k	34.4¢
Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$4.6k	27.6¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?	Политика	Yes	$2.0k	30.4¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Политика	Yes	$1.5k	9.9¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Политика	Yes	$948	6.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?	Политика	Yes	$839	11.2¢
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Политика	Yes	$529	3.6¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Политика	Yes	$274	1.2¢
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Политика	Yes	$198	1.3¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Политика	Yes	$198	1.0¢
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Политика	Yes	$128	0.7¢
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$36	1.5¢
Will Republicans win less than 8% of the Black vote?	Политика	Yes	$30	32.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 40% or more?	Политика	Yes	$20	10.6¢

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Политика
Yes$17.9k @ 34.4¢
Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Политика
Yes$4.6k @ 27.6¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?Политика
Yes$2.0k @ 30.4¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Политика
Yes$1.5k @ 9.9¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Политика
Yes$948 @ 6.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Политика
Yes$839 @ 11.2¢
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Политика
Yes$529 @ 3.6¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Политика
Yes$274 @ 1.2¢
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Политика
Yes$198 @ 1.3¢
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Политика
Yes$198 @ 1.0¢
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Политика
Yes$128 @ 0.7¢
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Политика
Yes$36 @ 1.5¢
Will Republicans win less than 8% of the Black vote?Политика
Yes$30 @ 32.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 40% or more?Политика
Yes$20 @ 10.6¢