0x06df…4e7a

Профи

Эдж

+5.7pp

ROI

+17%

Доля побед

28% @ 22.0¢

Brier

0.121

Сделок

303

Ср. размер

$202

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	26% (35/136)	+21%	136
Политика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Экономика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other136 ставки
Попадания
26% (35/136)
ROI
+21%
Политика2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

25% попаданий · 35/140

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?	Yes	$698	87.5¢	Победа
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	$36	0.9¢	Поражение
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$594	11.0¢	Поражение
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?	Yes	$739	71.2¢	Победа
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$416	19.7¢	Поражение
Will Ukraine agree to Trump nuclear plant deal before July?	Yes	$94	23.5¢	Поражение
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$512	50.2¢	Поражение
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$495	49.5¢	Поражение
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$2.5k	41.2¢	Победа
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?	Yes	$102	40.7¢	Поражение
Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?	Yes	$177	10.6¢	Поражение
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$101	59.0¢	Победа
Will France win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$120	15.6¢	Поражение
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$510	59.7¢	Победа
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?	Yes	$116	9.2¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?	No	$97	34.7¢	Поражение
Yoon arrested by January 31?	No	$270	45.0¢	Поражение
Yoon arrested by January 31?	Yes	$318	53.0¢	Победа
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?	Yes	$220	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?	Yes	$94	4.7¢	Поражение
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?	Yes	$60	4.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?	Yes	$80	8.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Russia" 5 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	$183	60.9¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?	Yes	$650	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	No	$1.2k	60.0¢	Победа
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?	Yes	$513	6.8¢	Поражение
Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April?	Yes	$113	9.1¢	Поражение
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?	Yes	$56	0.9¢	Поражение
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?	Yes	$270	30.0¢	Поражение
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?	Yes	$60	29.3¢	Поражение
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?	No	$358	71.5¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?	Yes	$25	2.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?	No	$50	15.6¢	Поражение
Will Trump win 5 swing states?	Yes	$160	16.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	$225	45.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	Yes	$536	44.7¢	Поражение
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$1.4k	50.5¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	No	$1.8k	0.9¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?	Yes	$314	6.8¢	Поражение
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Поражение
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?	Yes	$112	3.7¢	Поражение
Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?	Yes	$137	13.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience?	No	$112	56.0¢	Победа
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?	No	$501	19.9¢	Победа
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?	No	$109	36.5¢	Поражение
Measles declared public health emergency before April?	Yes	$21	3.5¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?	Yes	$80	1.6¢	Поражение
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?	Yes	$125	5.2¢	Поражение
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?	Yes	$2.9k	13.6¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Epstein" on The Joe Rogan Experience?	Yes	$121	40.4¢	Поражение

Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Победа
Yes$698 @ 87.5¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 0.9¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Поражение
Yes$594 @ 11.0¢
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Победа
Yes$739 @ 71.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$416 @ 19.7¢
Will Ukraine agree to Trump nuclear plant deal before July?Поражение
Yes$94 @ 23.5¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Поражение
Yes$512 @ 50.2¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Поражение
No$495 @ 49.5¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Победа
Yes$2.5k @ 41.2¢
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?Поражение
Yes$102 @ 40.7¢
Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?Поражение
Yes$177 @ 10.6¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Победа
Under$101 @ 59.0¢
Will France win Eurovision 2025?Поражение
Yes$120 @ 15.6¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Победа
Yes$510 @ 59.7¢
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Поражение
Yes$116 @ 9.2¢
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Поражение
No$97 @ 34.7¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Поражение
No$270 @ 45.0¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Победа
Yes$318 @ 53.0¢
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Поражение
Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?Поражение
Yes$94 @ 4.7¢
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 4.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Trump say "Russia" 5 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience?Победа
Yes$183 @ 60.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Поражение
Yes$650 @ 13.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?Победа
No$1.2k @ 60.0¢
Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?Поражение
Yes$513 @ 6.8¢
Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April?Поражение
Yes$113 @ 9.1¢
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Поражение
Yes$56 @ 0.9¢
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$270 @ 30.0¢
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 29.3¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Победа
No$358 @ 71.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 2.7¢
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Поражение
No$50 @ 15.6¢
Will Trump win 5 swing states?Поражение
Yes$160 @ 16.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Победа
No$225 @ 45.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Поражение
Yes$536 @ 44.7¢
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 50.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Поражение
No$1.8k @ 0.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Поражение
Yes$314 @ 6.8¢
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Поражение
Yes$112 @ 3.7¢
Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?Поражение
Yes$137 @ 13.7¢
Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Победа
No$112 @ 56.0¢
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Победа
No$501 @ 19.9¢
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Поражение
No$109 @ 36.5¢
Measles declared public health emergency before April?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 3.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 1.6¢
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?Поражение
Yes$125 @ 5.2¢
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Поражение
Yes$2.9k @ 13.6¢
Will Trump say "Epstein" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Поражение
Yes$121 @ 40.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$786	31.8¢

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$786 @ 31.8¢