← Умные деньги
0x0699…86a1
ПрибыльныйЭдж
+15.8pp
ROI
+128%
Доля побед
31% @ 15.7¢
Brier
0.208
Сделок
89
Ср. размер
$193
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (2/6) | +180% | 6 |
| Политика | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Геополитика | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Спорт | 100% (1/1) | +656% | 1 |
- Other6 ставки
- Попадания
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- +180%
- Политика3 ставки
- Попадания
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Геополитика3 ставки
- Попадания
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Спорт1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +656%
История результатов
23% попаданий · 3/13| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $94 | 0.4¢ | Поражение |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | Yes | $560 | 14.0¢ | Поражение |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | No | $1.1k | 28.0¢ | Поражение |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $398 | 12.0¢ | Победа |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | $693 | 22.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $4.0k | 13.2¢ | Победа |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | $1.4k | 24.0¢ | Победа |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $3.3k | 26.2¢ | Поражение |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | No | $500 | 6.0¢ | Поражение |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | $3.3k | 10.4¢ | Поражение |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $80 | 0.2¢ | Поражение |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | $600 | 5.0¢ | Поражение |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | No | $1.1k | 21.8¢ | Поражение |
- Yes$94 @ 0.4¢
- Iran leadership change by May 31?ПоражениеYes$560 @ 14.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 28.0¢
- Yes$398 @ 12.0¢
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?ПоражениеYes$693 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 13.2¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 24.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 26.2¢
- No$500 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 10.4¢
- Yes$80 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$600 @ 5.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 21.8¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Геополитика | No | $600 | 15.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Геополитика | No | $294 | 7.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | Геополитика | No | $118 | 5.4¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Политика | No | $48 | 6.2¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Политика | No | $4 | 3.9¢ |
- No$600 @ 15.0¢
- No$294 @ 7.0¢
- No$118 @ 5.4¢
- No$48 @ 6.2¢
- No$4 @ 3.9¢