← Умные деньги
0x04c3…9a7c
ПрофиЭдж
+9.3pp
ROI
+35%
Доля побед
68% @ 59.1¢
Brier
0.162
Сделок
291
Ср. размер
$19
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 58% (31/53) | -29% | 53 |
| Политика | 84% (27/32) | +53% | 32 |
| Геополитика | 60% (3/5) | -42% | 5 |
| Технологии | 100% (1/1) | +22% | 1 |
| Спорт | 100% (1/1) | +15% | 1 |
- Other53 ставки
- Попадания
- 58% (31/53)
- ROI
- -29%
- Политика32 ставки
- Попадания
- 84% (27/32)
- ROI
- +53%
- Геополитика5 ставки
- Попадания
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -42%
- Технологии1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +22%
- Спорт1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +15%
История результатов
68% попаданий · 63/92- No$21 @ 79.0¢
- No$32 @ 61.0¢
- No$909 @ 76.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 32.0¢
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?ПоражениеNo$2 @ 82.0¢
- No$60 @ 67.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 81.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 75.0¢
- No$490 @ 85.5¢
- No$28 @ 72.1¢
- No$21 @ 83.0¢
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?ПоражениеYes$7 @ 13.0¢
- No$3 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 57.0¢
- No$10 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 77.0¢
- No$5 @ 75.0¢
- No$2 @ 84.0¢
- No$2 @ 89.5¢
- No$5 @ 67.0¢
- DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?ПоражениеNo$20 @ 7.8¢
- No$3 @ 57.2¢
- No$30 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
- No$2 @ 87.0¢
- US strikes Iraq by February 28?ПоражениеNo$5 @ 82.0¢
- No$3 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 82.0¢
- No$3 @ 87.0¢
- No$28 @ 76.8¢
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?ПоражениеNo$130 @ 18.2¢
- No$10 @ 49.8¢
- Yes$38 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$130 @ 74.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 74.0¢
- No$24 @ 60.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 84.4¢
- No$92 @ 77.7¢
- No$2 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 49.3¢
- No$21 @ 72.8¢
- No$2 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 4.6¢
- No$3 @ 87.0¢
- No$6 @ 80.6¢
- No$60 @ 66.1¢
- No$162 @ 7.7¢
- No$40 @ 80.1¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | Yes | $10 | 25.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Политика | Yes | $10 | 48.0¢ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Политика | No | $5 | 96.9¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Геополитика | No | $5 | 93.0¢ |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | — | Yes | $5 | 52.0¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Политика | Yes | $2 | 76.0¢ |
- Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
- No$5 @ 96.9¢
- No$5 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 76.0¢