0x037b…a36f

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

• Технологии19 ставки

  Попадания

  32% (6/19)

  ROI

  +77%

• Геополитика16 ставки

  Попадания

  13% (2/16)

  ROI

  -32%

• Other14 ставки

  Попадания

  43% (6/14)

  ROI

  -16%

• Культура10 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (5/10)

  ROI

  +35%

• Экономика9 ставки

  Попадания

  78% (7/9)

  ROI

  +32%

• Политика4 ставки

  Попадания

  25% (1/4)

  ROI

  +80%

• Крипто4 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -31%

• Спорт2 ставки

  Попадания

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +92%

• Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Победа
  Yes$80 @ 48.2¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$30 @ 30.1¢
• Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Победа
  No$36 @ 35.8¢
• Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Поражение
  No$5 @ 5.1¢
• Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Победа
  No$15 @ 18.5¢
• Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?Победа
  Yes$52 @ 53.4¢
• Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.25B by October 31?Победа
  Yes$41 @ 53.6¢
• Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.39T?Победа
  No$111 @ 74.3¢
• Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.36T?Победа
  Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
• Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.40T?Победа
  No$49 @ 81.7¢
• Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.38T?Поражение
  Yes$35 @ 29.0¢
• Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.37T?Поражение
  Yes$93 @ 58.2¢
• Will Honeywell Technologies (HON) Q3 Building Automation sales be above $2.05B?Поражение
  Yes$35 @ 36.0¢
• Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.5B?Поражение
  No$24 @ 28.5¢
• Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.1B?Победа
  Yes$53 @ 65.7¢
• Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?Поражение
  No$43 @ 47.8¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?Поражение
  Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
• Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
• Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Поражение
  Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
• Will Tesla deliver 550000 or more vehicles in Q3 2026Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?Победа
  Yes$33 @ 55.0¢
• Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on September 25?Поражение
  Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
• Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$62 @ 62.0¢
• Will “Nobody's Girl” by Tate McRae win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Победа
  No$52 @ 85.3¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Победа
  Yes$79 @ 78.2¢
• Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Поражение
  Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
• Will “Dance No More” by Harry Styles win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Поражение
  Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
• Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Поражение
  Yes$15 @ 25.0¢
• Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Поражение
  Yes$24 @ 34.0¢
• Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
• Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?Поражение
  Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
• Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Поражение
  No$10 @ 10.0¢
• Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Победа
  Yes$16 @ 86.0¢
• Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?Поражение
  Yes$16 @ 26.0¢
• Will Pump.fun reach $0.0062 by December 31, 2026?Победа
  Yes$116 @ 86.5¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October?Победа
  Yes$55 @ 55.4¢
• Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Поражение
  No$18 @ 48.0¢
• Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Победа
  Yes$141 @ 37.6¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026Победа
  No$39 @ 78.0¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026Поражение
  Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
• Will Tesla deliver less than 375000 vehicles in Q3 2026Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
• Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by September 30?Поражение
  Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
• Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Победа
  Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026Победа
  Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q3 2026Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
• Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25?Поражение
  Yes$36 @ 35.0¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?Победа
  Yes$80 @ 79.0¢
• Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Победа
  Yes$22 @ 29.0¢
• Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $182.5B by October 31?Победа
  Yes$16 @ 41.0¢
• Democratic Senate odds <60% on September 25?Поражение
  Yes$1 @ 1.2¢

Текущие позиции

• Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?Экономика
  No$494 @ 88.2¢
• Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31?Other
  No$240 @ 61.5¢
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?Экономика
  No$186 @ 84.4¢
• Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?Экономика
  No$179 @ 89.4¢
• Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?Экономика
  No$172 @ 86.0¢
• Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027?Экономика
  No$171 @ 85.5¢
• Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Технологии
  No$162 @ 81.0¢
• Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.4B?Other
  No$156 @ 81.3¢
• Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October?Экономика
  No$141 @ 90.3¢
• Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
  No$135 @ 82.3¢
• Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in October?Экономика
  No$120 @ 90.2¢
• Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$116 @ 83.7¢
• Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Технологии
  No$111 @ 75.9¢
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October?Экономика
  No$107 @ 88.8¢
• Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?Экономика
  No$99 @ 93.2¢
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?Экономика
  Yes$89 @ 27.9¢
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?Экономика
  Yes$86 @ 69.0¢
• Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Технологии
  Yes$85 @ 56.0¢
• Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?Other
  No$85 @ 79.3¢
• Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?Экономика
  No$82 @ 90.0¢
• Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Технологии
  Yes$82 @ 75.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
  Yes$80 @ 40.2¢
• Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Технологии
  No$75 @ 75.0¢
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Экономика
  Yes$74 @ 23.0¢
• Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31?Other
  Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Технологии
  No$65 @ 81.5¢
• Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Культура
  No$65 @ 65.0¢
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?Экономика
  Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Экономика
  No$60 @ 59.8¢
• Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $15 in 2026?Технологии
  Yes$59 @ 49.3¢