← Умные деньги
0x0260…0d88
ПрофиЭдж
+21.2pp
ROI
+22%
Доля побед
93% @ 71.4¢
Brier
0.053
Сделок
108
Ср. размер
$525
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Политика | 80% (4/5) | +18% | 5 |
| Геополитика | 50% (1/2) | +11% | 2 |
| Other | 100% (1/1) | +38% | 1 |
| Крипто | 100% (1/1) | +17% | 1 |
- Политика5 ставки
- Попадания
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +18%
- Геополитика2 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +11%
- Other1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +38%
- Крипто1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +17%
История результатов
78% попаданий · 7/9| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | $40 | 1.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | $7.9k | 78.8¢ | Победа |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $2.6k | 85.2¢ | Победа |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | $2.2k | 70.8¢ | Победа |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Yes | $36 | 2.0¢ | Поражение |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $10.8k | 72.5¢ | Победа |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $31.4k | 87.1¢ | Победа |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | $1.8k | 88.0¢ | Победа |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | No | $15 | 89.6¢ | Победа |
- Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
- No$7.9k @ 78.8¢
- No$2.6k @ 85.2¢
- No$2.2k @ 70.8¢
- Yes$36 @ 2.0¢
- No$10.8k @ 72.5¢
- No$31.4k @ 87.1¢
- No$1.8k @ 88.0¢
- No$15 @ 89.6¢
Недавние сделки
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Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Политика | No | $12.6k | 88.3¢ |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15? | Политика | No | $6.5k | 98.3¢ |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Политика | No | $5.9k | 99.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Геополитика | No | $3.8k | 94.0¢ |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | Крипто | No | $1.5k | 84.0¢ |
- No$12.6k @ 88.3¢
- No$6.5k @ 98.3¢
- No$5.9k @ 99.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 94.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 84.0¢