0x0260…0d88

Профи

Эдж

+19.1pp

ROI

+12%

Доля побед

92% @ 72.9¢

Brier

0.089

Сделок

1333

Ср. размер

$411

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	52% (33/63)	+9%	63
Политика	88% (23/26)	+18%	26
Геополитика	67% (4/6)	+3%	6
Спорт	33% (1/3)	-19%	3
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+28%	1
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+17%	1

Other63 ставки
Попадания
52% (33/63)
ROI
+9%
Политика26 ставки
Попадания
88% (23/26)
ROI
+18%
Геополитика6 ставки
Попадания
67% (4/6)
ROI
+3%
Спорт3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-19%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+17%

История результатов

63% попаданий · 63/100

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	$770	77.0¢	Победа
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	$85	86.0¢	Победа
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$4.5k	90.0¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.8k	92.0¢	Победа
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$10	19.1¢	Поражение
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?	No	$176	88.0¢	Победа
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?	No	$499	73.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$1.8k	84.1¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$40	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$1.2k	76.1¢	Победа
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$1.3k	30.1¢	Поражение
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	Yes	$10	10.2¢	Поражение
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	No	$549	33.7¢	Поражение
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?	No	$1.3k	84.0¢	Победа
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$5.1k	79.1¢	Победа
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?	No	$245	65.0¢	Победа
North Korea missile test by August 31?	Yes	$20	33.0¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$7.9k	78.8¢	Победа
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?	No	$890	89.0¢	Победа
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?	No	$19	0.2¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$480	24.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.6k	85.2¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$6.0k	75.0¢	Победа
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	No	$36	46.9¢	Победа
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$1.4k	30.9¢	Поражение
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$490	4.9¢	Поражение
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$18	23.6¢	Поражение
French election called by October 17?	No	$178	86.0¢	Победа
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$22.8k	63.9¢	Победа
Will France join the Board of Peace?	No	$482	86.4¢	Победа
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$10.2k	81.3¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$52	23.0¢	Победа
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$687	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?	Yes	$20	8.5¢	Поражение
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$3.2k	75.4¢	Победа
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	No	$142	18.5¢	Победа
Will Bryson DeChambeau complete the shot on Day 12?	Yes	$10	5.7¢	Победа
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$2.0k	19.5¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$2.2k	70.8¢	Победа
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	No	$2.7k	83.0¢	Поражение
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$20	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	No	$80	13.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$36	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	$24.9k	84.6¢	Поражение
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$4.4k	50.0¢	Победа
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$4.4k	89.0¢	Победа
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$20	7.0¢	Поражение

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Победа
No$770 @ 77.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Победа
No$85 @ 86.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Победа
No$4.5k @ 90.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$1.8k @ 92.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 19.1¢
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Победа
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Победа
No$499 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Победа
No$1.8k @ 84.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Победа
No$1.2k @ 76.1¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Поражение
No$1.3k @ 30.1¢
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 10.2¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Поражение
No$549 @ 33.7¢
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Победа
No$1.3k @ 84.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Победа
Yes$5.1k @ 79.1¢
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?Победа
No$245 @ 65.0¢
North Korea missile test by August 31?Победа
Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$7.9k @ 78.8¢
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?Победа
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?Поражение
No$19 @ 0.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$480 @ 24.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$2.6k @ 85.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Победа
No$6.0k @ 75.0¢
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$36 @ 46.9¢
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Поражение
Yes$1.4k @ 30.9¢
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Поражение
Yes$490 @ 4.9¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 23.6¢
French election called by October 17?Победа
No$178 @ 86.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$22.8k @ 63.9¢
Will France join the Board of Peace?Победа
No$482 @ 86.4¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$10.2k @ 81.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$52 @ 23.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Поражение
Yes$687 @ 12.0¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 8.5¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Победа
No$3.2k @ 75.4¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?Победа
No$142 @ 18.5¢
Will Bryson DeChambeau complete the shot on Day 12?Победа
Yes$10 @ 5.7¢
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2.0k @ 19.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$2.2k @ 70.8¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Поражение
No$2.7k @ 83.0¢
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$20 @ 6.0¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Поражение
No$80 @ 13.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 2.0¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Поражение
No$24.9k @ 84.6¢
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Победа
No$4.4k @ 50.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Победа
No$4.4k @ 89.0¢
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$20 @ 7.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	Политика	No	$5.5k	96.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Политика	No	$4.3k	87.0¢
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?	Крипто	No	$95	91.0¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	No	$87	86.0¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Политика
No$5.5k @ 96.0¢
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Политика
No$4.3k @ 87.0¢
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Крипто
No$95 @ 91.0¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
No$87 @ 86.0¢