0x01ad…90f6

Профи

Эдж

+5.9pp

ROI

+19%

Доля побед

49% @ 43.5¢

Brier

0.160

Сделок

930

Ср. размер

$64

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	46% (33/72)	+23%	72
Политика	38% (21/56)	-5%	56
Спорт	42% (5/12)	+75%	12
Геополитика	100% (4/4)	+98%	4
Крипто	67% (2/3)	+195%	3
Технологии	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other72 ставки
Попадания
46% (33/72)
ROI
+23%
Политика56 ставки
Попадания
38% (21/56)
ROI
-5%
Спорт12 ставки
Попадания
42% (5/12)
ROI
+75%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
100% (4/4)
ROI
+98%
Крипто3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+195%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

История результатов

44% попаданий · 66/150

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	Yes	$48	39.1¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$54	26.0¢	Поражение
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	$133	34.0¢	Поражение
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	Yes	$192	86.0¢	Победа
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$19	17.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$801	63.6¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	25.2¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$1.2k	56.6¢	Победа
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$561	32.8¢	Поражение
Red Wings vs. Flyers	Flyers	$137	50.0¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$7	64.0¢	Победа
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$103	23.0¢	Поражение
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks	Sharks	$165	55.0¢	Победа
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	$146	29.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$107	28.5¢	Поражение
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$114	44.2¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$374	63.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$33	12.1¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$66	68.9¢	Победа
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$70	5.8¢	Поражение
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$97	24.7¢	Поражение
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$123	77.1¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$1.0k	67.0¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$40	6.7¢	Поражение
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$848	18.9¢	Поражение
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$233	70.0¢	Победа
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$585	78.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$436	0.9¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$16	26.9¢	Поражение
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?	No	$89	27.2¢	Поражение
Blues vs. Ducks	Blues	$127	44.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$1.2k	44.3¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	17.2¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$682	29.2¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$97	55.8¢	Поражение
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$342	38.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$36	25.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$25	0.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$295	2.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$1.4k	43.6¢	Победа
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	$222	79.0¢	Победа
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$263	23.3¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$340	18.3¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$524	88.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$225	64.3¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$99	24.5¢	Поражение
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$30	78.0¢	Победа
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$76	16.8¢	Поражение
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$25	10.8¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$732	82.5¢	Победа

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Поражение
Yes$48 @ 39.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Поражение
No$54 @ 26.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Поражение
No$133 @ 34.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Победа
Yes$192 @ 86.0¢
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Поражение
Yes$19 @ 17.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$801 @ 63.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.1k @ 25.2¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Победа
No$1.2k @ 56.6¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$561 @ 32.8¢
Red Wings vs. FlyersПоражение
Flyers$137 @ 50.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Победа
No$7 @ 64.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$103 @ 23.0¢
Maple Leafs vs. SharksПобеда
Sharks$165 @ 55.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Поражение
No$146 @ 29.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$107 @ 28.5¢
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Победа
No$114 @ 44.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$374 @ 63.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 12.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$66 @ 68.9¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Поражение
No$70 @ 5.8¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
No$97 @ 24.7¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Победа
Yes$123 @ 77.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$1.0k @ 67.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 6.7¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Поражение
No$848 @ 18.9¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Победа
Yes$233 @ 70.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Победа
Yes$585 @ 78.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$436 @ 0.9¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 26.9¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Поражение
No$89 @ 27.2¢
Blues vs. DucksПобеда
Blues$127 @ 44.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$1.2k @ 44.3¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.6k @ 17.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$682 @ 29.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$97 @ 55.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Победа
No$342 @ 38.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 25.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Поражение
No$295 @ 2.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 43.6¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Победа
No$222 @ 79.0¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Поражение
Yes$263 @ 23.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$340 @ 18.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$524 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Победа
No$225 @ 64.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Поражение
Yes$99 @ 24.5¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Победа
No$30 @ 78.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Поражение
Yes$76 @ 16.8¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 10.8¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Победа
No$732 @ 82.5¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$2.9k	88.0¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Политика	No	$522	87.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$503	67.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Культура	No	$392	87.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Политика	No	$217	20.6¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$214	30.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Политика	No	$206	38.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Политика	Yes	$191	85.0¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Политика	No	$140	93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$37	83.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$32	22.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$11	38.0¢
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Политика	No	$8	76.0¢

Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$2.9k @ 88.0¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Политика
No$522 @ 87.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$503 @ 67.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Культура
No$392 @ 87.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Политика
No$217 @ 20.6¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Политика
Yes$214 @ 30.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Политика
No$206 @ 38.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Политика
Yes$191 @ 85.0¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Политика
No$140 @ 93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$37 @ 83.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Политика
Yes$32 @ 22.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Политика
Yes$11 @ 38.0¢
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Политика
No$8 @ 76.0¢