[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xffb0b9b292e406fd250854a35a0c9bd5612afa37":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":135,"history":136,"resolved":139,"resolvedSummary":761,"specialization":764,"meta":785},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xffb0b9b292e406fd250854a35a0c9bd5612afa37",8307,4073,0.7228087404861282,0.19320512136422904,0.14540800061755438,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-25T19:46:10.683Z",73.82812532875026,1.6597402597402597,"2026-09-25T18:09:09.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.6248437362569567,0.09796500422916841,58097.15760667797,300701.95446399983,8.944429707885304,0.0022601707684580612,[26,39,48,57,64,71,80,88,95,104,111,119,127],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073","0x84c625fdccf5c5246a15e476361e4563033906ee225800e1136c0d737596a72f","No",1999.8754,0.7649,"2026-09-26T04:34:27.326Z","2026-09-25T20:44:59.881Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by","2024-11-28T04:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"39839649379979262874224474703228993451530996696316314037781119946088999891171","0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc",2234.1725,0.5826,"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":55,"category":56},"19656466572862339640482556881328770761895791708917205607639542632453440464752","0x357ee5e692658d4dae5b7fe59bae12cef029f2ebffb5452f4d439a1934d84211",1331.7227,0.8237,"Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?","which-cities-will-russia-enter-by-december-31","[\"0.18\", \"0.82\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":63,"category":56},"83204149385279752284819391054474788827727496660660767254052334861340107835088","0xd4aa5c6bd2a179244d98ba714dba4441e4bf5f99f27a657b8d967f8f67cfe041",1236.6709,0.7522,"Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":29,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":69,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":70,"category":56},"31061117790897360415172522089075563824647120280538555228737215201047950561311","0x4d3395a91ab99cb40dc56cd4debc360ad167ac51137b862aa4ff1b5c28a22561",1255.3763,0.5822,"Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.0415\", \"0.9585\"]",{"token_id":72,"condition_id":73,"outcome":74,"size":75,"avg_price":76,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":77,"event_slug":78,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":79,"category":56},"106352973084247809978722887479381361784509565887960822996102387300658431649079","0xfed2dd1e83691ca08b8bc08d2bed09cb19003730f2be47da6a467ee37df96fbb","Yes",1999.9989,0.24,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":81,"condition_id":82,"outcome":74,"size":83,"avg_price":84,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":85,"event_slug":86,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":87,"category":38},"19521088970261367195201520366397988280996640521852307176239892442414361500298","0x115374e9cb26f7c375f35cdfec08167024dbfc5a20f339806d81236ed25ab781",400,0.52,"Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30","[\"0.16\", \"0.84\"]",{"token_id":89,"condition_id":90,"outcome":29,"size":91,"avg_price":92,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":93,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":94,"category":56},"89731783906956301795311185689274810987556545775333242585607904380885792692275","0x3998586e8a30f2ba516c073859c98bfcc37e6abdc06e0652fa7e7259a0de6584",180.31,0.942,"Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.025\", \"0.975\"]",{"token_id":96,"condition_id":97,"outcome":74,"size":98,"avg_price":99,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":100,"event_slug":101,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":102,"outcome_prices":103,"category":38},"71772627544132140586824126381855151743830987860593343955509593715269534710061","0xbfeb6d4cf3eab6071e204219b0647c8224d63a12778df467311b5f2a4b3a5bd4",300,0.56,"Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?","michigan-senate-election-winner","","[\"0.715\", \"0.285\"]",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":74,"size":83,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":47,"category":56},"50156551746927052434460977487616373718372748150027851481128796896570012795593","0x726f8c733ea83c15eb7bf25eca3fb324440c78a49fd2e233138214c69cdb46f0",0.26,"Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?","another-nato-article-4-byptptpt-20260726214235871","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":74,"size":114,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":118,"category":56},"14016923262811062666370202829200470712684396368944151899802277379348874873066","0x0e66ad56a0e90caa89b1cefc50fa7088fcf9071385e09e6b6c4f3ec4539867ae",499.974,0.12,"Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?","will-russia-announce-a-new-forced-mobilization-byptptpt","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":74,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":126,"category":56},"33420001653687292430000993365959262763268321532762404855639642340639049777620","0x55018620eb2dbf1f715fd9215dc1a51673b14b0e092c1d5f13319bb912ddd329",166.2505,0.16,"China ballistic missile launch by December 31?","china-ballistic-missile-launch-by-december-31-20260706145934670","[\"0.305\", \"0.695\"]",{"token_id":128,"condition_id":129,"outcome":29,"size":130,"avg_price":17,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":131,"event_slug":132,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":133,"outcome_prices":134,"category":38},"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901","0x094772b3529f455e881a4483eaf1c24266384f55e97c23f24f638f5726ba9920",877.1,"Iran leadership change by September 30?","iran-leadership-change-by","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]",[],[137],{"recorded_date":138,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",[140,148,155,162,169,176,183,190,197,204,211,218,225,231,238,245,252,258,265,272,278,285,292,298,303,309,316,322,330,335,342,347,354,360,367,374,380,386,393,398,405,411,418,425,432,437,443,449,455,461,468,474,479,486,492,499,502,509,515,521,528,535,542,548,553,560,563,568,574,580,583,588,594,600,603,609,615,620,625,631,638,645,651,657,663,669,675,681,688,694,701,706,712,717,723,729,736,742,748,754],{"condition_id":141,"outcome":29,"usdc":142,"entry_price":143,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"category":147},"0x0008c221e7c6144fc68b08c1c02772772dca41f77a25a56f3acd5688ec450d98",80.4,0.804,"backfill","Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?","which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31",null,{"condition_id":149,"outcome":29,"usdc":150,"entry_price":151,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"category":147},"0x00373f48342212cfc74833f43e61eed5efd678b37ec212622fc68c551249e963",14.7582,0.81,"2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-broken-by",{"condition_id":156,"outcome":29,"usdc":157,"entry_price":158,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":159,"captured_at":13,"question":160,"event_slug":161,"category":147},"0x008b4569ebd1c96ab8d01212e815121844a3e6f64df9744910ce3fb72451c542",20,0.4,"2025-05-16T12:00:00Z","India air\u002Fmissile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?","india-airmissile-strike-on-pakistan-soil-by-friday",{"condition_id":163,"outcome":29,"usdc":164,"entry_price":165,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":166,"captured_at":13,"question":167,"event_slug":168,"category":147},"0x00909c9ac8447fed257c0b97de0230626f41f6b0b8772c4dbaa7697e5466536a",336.8,0.842,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?","another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by",{"condition_id":170,"outcome":29,"usdc":171,"entry_price":172,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":13,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"category":147},"0x009cb79c526eff4af80e0e568c648a165a837c0417f4e1de3cde02bfc4a3ab42",119.035,0.1983916667,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?","gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30",{"condition_id":177,"outcome":29,"usdc":178,"entry_price":179,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":181,"event_slug":182,"category":56},"0x00cf5f4a419743e3bbaea3d01537c895ecfd8edba5e539967fe662573de44f23",280.993183,0.47627159711405026,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593",{"condition_id":184,"outcome":74,"usdc":185,"entry_price":186,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":187,"captured_at":13,"question":188,"event_slug":189,"category":147},"0x019abe7fb01d769cee8d8b4afc067d1b40f5b440b18da1941a35032f84bc7aba",59.647169000000005,0.09405429198406279,"2025-03-20T12:00:00Z","Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?","will-anyone-audibly-fart-during-digital-asset-summit",{"condition_id":191,"outcome":29,"usdc":192,"entry_price":193,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":194,"captured_at":13,"question":195,"event_slug":196,"category":147},"0x02230382929c06eecab424465c7dbaa9b16e5d963270dba27cc0cd6183561e82",623.648689,0.6854958469701516,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?","hungary-election-tisza-wins-a-constitutional-majority",{"condition_id":198,"outcome":29,"usdc":199,"entry_price":200,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"category":147},"0x02e871634bc4f6c831fab66b00968d47d271c41a7f6b808d764b8559489af5bd",83,0.83,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Will Mitch McConnell retire before July?","will-mitch-mcconnell-retire-before-july",{"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"usdc":206,"entry_price":207,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":13,"question":209,"event_slug":210,"category":147},"0x02f5a047fbad390edaed349f8499f6f7ad8a80bd28db4f7d54a21d65df2cd122",25.2,0.84,"2026-04-10T00:00:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":212,"outcome":29,"usdc":213,"entry_price":214,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":147},"0x03181e1a920b3890781ed3b716d195c462f53e8ca664174ff8315328dadcf5e9",87.493758,0.8700000080566825,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?","us-ambassador-to-poland-out-by-march-31",{"condition_id":219,"outcome":29,"usdc":220,"entry_price":221,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":223,"event_slug":224,"category":147},"0x036378d7e507b986b2fb92245512435ce417d05f8f76e0a75440923cb4aadecb",185.459992,0.8704276369599127,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","Israel military action against Iran in April?","israel-military-action-against-iran-in-april",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":29,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"category":147},"0x03d0bc33df1f4585dc3993de589deb901fcfe458a5a8b8ee2051c6edaf05cf5a",14.885104,0.7900000334361007,"Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?","will-trump-meet-with-zelenskyy-in-april",{"condition_id":232,"outcome":29,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":235,"captured_at":13,"question":236,"event_slug":237,"category":147},"0x040172e95ada8965ba1fa98914fb11234c138dd1d92d82a412bd1af23203fb4d",49.695738,0.8700000142072232,"2025-04-25T12:00:00Z","Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-friday",{"condition_id":239,"outcome":74,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":13,"question":243,"event_slug":244,"category":147},"0x04312a6f413f595c64cb6975ac51253030da24b3670f85325638e37011bb9138",186.629959,0.033963604261737404,"2025-09-30T00:00:00Z","Russian strike on Poland by September 30?","russian-strike-on-poland-by-september-30",{"condition_id":246,"outcome":29,"usdc":247,"entry_price":248,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":13,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":147},"0x05af21323a5b0bc3135c326564051fff04fe799764f9e587f82e7bb1b4db5b80",56.997794,0.19000000030300193,"2025-07-31T00:00:00Z","Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?","another-israel-strike-on-yemen-in-july",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":74,"usdc":254,"entry_price":255,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":13,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"category":147},"0x05d335a1d6ab36b931d37dbdb1657738b76ff29739a8fde00452f1ed1372cce1",156.53,0.8843502824858757,"Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-september-30",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":29,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":147},"0x0635f8fd0777c284fdde905245bccc8822cf4e68dd3ec88f6f62d83e500308b9",218,0.7266666666666667,"2025-05-31T12:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-june",{"condition_id":266,"outcome":29,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"category":147},"0x07a49f044960fb16a4bb3ef0fb97ea3427092f4f860f6fbff74b829af7d64aa2",105.99515099999999,0.5300000025060293,"2025-07-15T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-by-july-15",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":29,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":147},"0x07ee279bba9504331b98ed151db364f9562f5cf80baec6d7ab37b5e32221a6d6",45.9504,0.8656819894498871,"Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?","will-russia-capture-kupiansk-by",{"condition_id":279,"outcome":29,"usdc":280,"entry_price":281,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":282,"captured_at":13,"question":283,"event_slug":284,"category":38},"0x07f106c0b60e94d96a63954f0536811c1a0b054b958f26bb749689b620b72f50",175.982399,0.8800000126179279,"2026-01-01T04:59:00Z","NATO\u002FEU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?","natoeu-troops-fighting-in-ukraine-in-2025",{"condition_id":286,"outcome":74,"usdc":287,"entry_price":288,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":290,"event_slug":291,"category":147},"0x0828fb562474c6c4647fb3471db0e85ce5c1f65c0765817ebd456b85aa306ba2",12.329998,0.6999999943,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?","who-will-recognize-syrian-government-by-march-31",{"condition_id":293,"outcome":29,"usdc":294,"entry_price":295,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":296,"event_slug":297,"category":147},"0x0841b265bfc2f22bf6929c89e416b9ee211c2abf21aa2c3923610c2e1a12f144",63.936,0.888,"Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?","israel-strikes-syria-on",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":29,"usdc":300,"entry_price":301,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":146,"category":147},"0x0942f5ee13a4cdb53b020d60766260a2e0f602af85804392f5c77f80ea9a9b0b",752.82216,0.729621435784455,"Will France strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":304,"outcome":29,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":307,"event_slug":308,"category":147},"0x096091ce8191d44656521aa84f5115dcec044f134a8ed24c34ca4b47fdf03f3d",643.3185,0.742304852016385,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?","will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by",{"condition_id":310,"outcome":74,"usdc":311,"entry_price":312,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":313,"captured_at":13,"question":314,"event_slug":315,"category":147},"0x096fa9db9667f4d4920a2fc3b80ab0608a7de6ef4771519fd691e881d1b3fe3b",499.999996,0.8933864448219229,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?","gpt-5pt3-released-by-february-28-394",{"condition_id":317,"outcome":29,"usdc":318,"entry_price":319,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":320,"event_slug":321,"category":147},"0x0b08d611203ff97d33fd43c9690342a2b6c1a98e812d2e449a0977769a175be5",11,0.011,"Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?","another-israel-military-action-on-yemen-in-may",{"condition_id":323,"outcome":324,"usdc":325,"entry_price":326,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":147},"0x0b5d28cc85d295a39897b524329653628d7de3378920ab63247c8af9d7ee03d3","Zelenskyy",314.860397,0.5837391898705654,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?","will-trump-meet-with-putin-or-zelenskyy-first",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":29,"usdc":332,"entry_price":333,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":334,"event_slug":297,"category":147},"0x0b61a73b1cbe5e8936cb4327d932ca388210f9b8f6408f9bf077972b95869657",161.67071,0.8049325865045558,"Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?",{"condition_id":336,"outcome":29,"usdc":337,"entry_price":338,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":13,"question":340,"event_slug":341,"category":147},"0x0beaaf25d4df0a4fbbdda991db8a67a00315a417024f66850a7b94465b125a72",209.07999999999998,0.35080536912751675,"2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?","will-trump-publicly-disparage-elon-before-july",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":29,"usdc":344,"entry_price":76,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":345,"event_slug":346,"category":147},"0x0c23a99b0c97bb266b03a1a5d1e667c8ad073f16893d95c929599c088f28730b",81.6,"Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?","will-russia-capture-yunakivka-before-july",{"condition_id":348,"outcome":29,"usdc":349,"entry_price":350,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":13,"question":352,"event_slug":353,"category":38},"0x0c2ae975d6139b4193d33f71e09b5ef9cb08701306872657afb3cdc86fe08ca3",142,0.71,"2026-02-01T04:59:00Z","Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?","will-russia-capture-all-of-stepnohirsk-by",{"condition_id":355,"outcome":29,"usdc":356,"entry_price":357,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":13,"question":358,"event_slug":359,"category":56},"0x0c38dd9305e3205557885183f0730270779e7e426b0ec3e7743f23963b6d6e4a",143.989713,0.7200000054075277,"Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-june-30-259",{"condition_id":361,"outcome":74,"usdc":362,"entry_price":363,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":364,"captured_at":13,"question":365,"event_slug":366,"category":147},"0x0c5677152be6c2ea784b6d866bb37fa45850bbbf555309c9b3e251b189602630",48.96,0.68,"2025-05-03T12:00:00Z","Will Buffett say \"Supply chain\" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?","what-will-warren-buffett-say-during-may-3-shareholders-meeting",{"condition_id":368,"outcome":29,"usdc":369,"entry_price":370,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":371,"captured_at":13,"question":372,"event_slug":373,"category":147},"0x0caf379c39760303291ad67a1b1aef7b9428375ba2230115ab81c81ac17eaccf",333.496218,0.7599663983939658,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?","maduro-leaves-venezuela-by-december-31",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":29,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":13,"question":378,"event_slug":379,"category":147},"0x0d52ce82886ba5ed34d396999b2afbb193d22cf1c5f791b5b4efdf1a094f410c",87.3,0.291,"Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":381,"outcome":74,"usdc":382,"entry_price":383,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":13,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":147},"0x0de3f76fe9b60857833856bec4f30d815cdb0c283361112b46e13b759cd8ef38",1404,0.585,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":147},"0x0e1a1094091ba8905a5d11222796cf94d3d6d055076f0088886bd2386e6f88b8",823.017077,0.8372735224958511,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?","who-will-be-next-supreme-leader-of-iran-515",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":29,"usdc":395,"entry_price":363,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":194,"captured_at":13,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"category":147},"0x0e47ad377273a39833506ca16c597c7eccdee686375b30f1910f3ef3ff734f4e",127.9828,"Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?","hungary-election-tisza-wins-at-least-seats",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":74,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":402,"captured_at":13,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",304.860124,0.4077267103835606,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":74,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":147},"0x0f0ac6d5a5e38f462360666bca837c6ff9fc586a6e28ad3fa64b88c113d98912",177,0.59,"Nothing Ever Happens: May","nothing-ever-happens-may",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":74,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"category":147},"0x0f981e59143c03dfc3301b8b18a3ab323048c5fd0b1e78608ea85d0f360e67c6",172.57,0.86285,"2026-02-13T00:00:00Z","US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?","us-x-iran-meeting-by",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":29,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":423,"event_slug":424,"category":147},"0x0fae2bbf5d0ef05fac08bfae878942c3f3a3095d4b6f26b3005b9801a86982cd",354.10893699999997,0.20776542562820496,"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?","israel-strikes-gaza-by",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":29,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":429,"captured_at":13,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":56},"0x0fc2ddb048f5aa3a5f05f07c480591d7a41c546387588a6345627144171f9670",740.86,0.674735883424408,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":433,"outcome":29,"usdc":434,"entry_price":435,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":436,"event_slug":146,"category":147},"0x101d521eea2a04b8bf2c865facd18dcdfd8c7751a759ca622e512bbdb3896610",1712.073723,0.7504192793742086,"Will UK strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":438,"outcome":29,"usdc":439,"entry_price":440,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":441,"event_slug":442,"category":147},"0x106b080f86a538a0d64d62495139fd34944c51ec564162b459e55218d66dc617",17.4,0.87,"US announces Afghanistan military base in April?","us-announces-afghanistan-military-base-in-april",{"condition_id":444,"outcome":74,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":13,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":147},"0x10cc0eae4fec710f15a4aee89c6ff57e4091c69b2c2561090f073286468eb682",130.8326,0.8585943037143984,"Nothing Ever Happens ","nothing-ever-happens-before-may",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":29,"usdc":451,"entry_price":207,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":452,"captured_at":13,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":56},"0x1161a32141bb18119d627d6747f1cec4f7de6aeed15abad0e6b1aa8af3b1a844",421.9068,"2025-12-01T04:59:00Z","Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":29,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":86,"category":38},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",73.67830000000001,0.4377015386443296,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?",{"condition_id":462,"outcome":29,"usdc":463,"entry_price":464,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":465,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":467,"category":147},"0x11d24d88c81f625fbfec38e27aaeb0eba2a56f31d9e24e88b5a0c1b6ed3d2b45",927.1506109999999,0.5748351315203947,"2025-12-31T22:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?","will-russia-capture-rodynske-by-september-15",{"condition_id":469,"outcome":29,"usdc":470,"entry_price":471,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":472,"event_slug":473,"category":147},"0x11ee1b9593922df2662edcc38e9eb8f7428fb8d1b443ac3d0ae971b6cfc92051",122.98997700000001,0.8200000099984216," Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?","elon-musk-out-as-senior-advisor-to-trump-in-may",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":29,"usdc":476,"entry_price":477,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":478,"event_slug":308,"category":147},"0x1204e81bd79e5caf0065549828d8c759b94c1914aef018a8535c986064cbe0b7",234.99342399999998,0.47474587055241985,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?",{"condition_id":480,"outcome":29,"usdc":481,"entry_price":482,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"category":147},"0x1229781cdf9a633b2074cae2ac2e58ce2b26e07d6e59e8b852b05303e2d57dc2",512.477786,0.5253883299677771,"2025-08-31T00:00:00Z","Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?","israel-strike-on-damascus-by-august-31",{"condition_id":487,"outcome":29,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":490,"event_slug":491,"category":147},"0x123559c8fc6e391919568c39a08b25512000950a572a1f116f6ae35e762a3c91",5.968,0.8,"Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?","trump-invokes-war-powers-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":29,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":147},"0x125466a1d45ae996569106ee1d4f804bc3de7bea9b244bc756e5f41e88d6d6d5",246.20000000000002,0.7241176470588235,"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":74,"usdc":500,"entry_price":501,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":147},115.5,0.33,{"condition_id":503,"outcome":29,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":506,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":147},"0x128115e9d8f5144654fac057655943efef46434ca944e9733e0b09f3c9271ddf",724.288799,0.8460872986086521,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 1?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":74,"usdc":511,"entry_price":84,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":38},"0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",209.066,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":29,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":147},"0x135096de7aea3a66f65be697fa6d6162b28828ae15f4802a41f2c3b719792e5c",498.73062,0.36560161521868956,"Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?","will-russia-capture-all-of-pokrovsk-by-september-30",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":29,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":147},"0x136b33d1184f4f249e01ab9af3d5de88f1777563091a5827b811191c63a1dc73",769.64917,0.8162315018103379,"2025-06-28T00:00:00Z","Israel strike on Iran on June 27?","israel-strike-on-iran-on",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":29,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":13,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":147},"0x13aaab458476fbf7f89d3d6b1c2671e9a9f2462e8472e00aca3589f0a06a9f8e",249.770533,0.4660342892586432,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?","odds-of-khamenei-out-by-march-31-over-in-february",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":539,"captured_at":13,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"category":147},"0x13c4737fb2d2886f5d71c95b9851db4eb2442faac4bc61fdfcf7277899dc25f6",3.05,0.61,"2026-03-14T00:00:00Z","Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?","internet-access-restored-in-iran-by",{"condition_id":543,"outcome":29,"usdc":544,"entry_price":545,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":147},"0x1427872f5147e2b35cee5c12146cc6e94ff7b2c3b569d4eff296e5091010b81a",660.8755880000002,0.6299158086808686,"Israel strikes Iran before August?","israel-strikes-iran-before-august",{"condition_id":549,"outcome":29,"usdc":550,"entry_price":551,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":146,"category":147},"0x149e2cdbf5b3df3142452412c4c9f4e8f39379020ba1bc25c1811a3f43c8ad27",267.74219000000005,0.2204076632856304,"Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":29,"usdc":555,"entry_price":556,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":557,"captured_at":13,"question":558,"event_slug":559,"category":147},"0x14a3dfeba8b22a32feb0f10763db68bc4d2abeb5bff90e9ae20de53793b35a1d",2481.4869849999995,0.4975711236339105,"2025-10-10T00:00:00Z","Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":74,"usdc":561,"entry_price":562,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":557,"captured_at":13,"question":558,"event_slug":559,"category":147},357.484955,0.6588593511618068,{"condition_id":564,"outcome":29,"usdc":565,"entry_price":440,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":13,"question":566,"event_slug":567,"category":147},"0x14a5086aa913c7146d1b532b67482eb0b652f13de41ad939259bd2084f1afe5c",217.5,"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?","will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-september-30",{"condition_id":569,"outcome":74,"usdc":570,"entry_price":571,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":572,"captured_at":13,"question":573,"event_slug":498,"category":147},"0x1507c50c86fb307e4f1acd9d740b2be66d98773f90d161e94907d8ef2c5699b3",28.693993,0.2300000006,"2026-04-21","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?",{"condition_id":575,"outcome":29,"usdc":576,"entry_price":577,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":578,"event_slug":579,"category":147},"0x1512828f4c735012fde09e2424f033bd2cd128a1a84e7aa7769440b66a1dd7c5",70.597176,0.3443912939178968,"US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? ","us-x-iran-nuclear-talks-resume-by-march-31",{"condition_id":575,"outcome":74,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":578,"event_slug":579,"category":147},999.999998,0.6803727925,{"condition_id":584,"outcome":29,"usdc":585,"entry_price":586,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":587,"event_slug":297,"category":147},"0x15a41bd7a389e2e9bbded44107bcd0886f8408e83510cf3ab8ecbbc93f173ae8",72.45,0.2375409836065574,"Will Israel strike Syria on July 17?",{"condition_id":589,"outcome":29,"usdc":590,"entry_price":591,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":173,"captured_at":13,"question":592,"event_slug":593,"category":56},"0x15fcf94587789dcd26efd4a31a1dbc8ff80c3c0bbfed1ca7eb90a054fda6efbf",503.9791670000001,0.7200000054321423,"Kurds declare independence from Iran?","kurds-declare-independence-from-iran",{"condition_id":595,"outcome":29,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":598,"event_slug":599,"category":147},"0x1663edea3eba0d1ae8f064276dd426cb0497a19bb5188dae48a2f8fa8ea34da8",27,0.27,"Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?","ukraine-agrees-to-give-trump-rare-earth-metals-before-april",{"condition_id":595,"outcome":74,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":598,"event_slug":599,"category":147},260.422132,0.23420253729536242,{"condition_id":604,"outcome":29,"usdc":605,"entry_price":606,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":607,"captured_at":13,"question":608,"event_slug":527,"category":147},"0x1787709d26783b87187e284388ea7451e0a482eb74326db554655c27722a36e8",406.769997,0.8312139838963324,"2025-07-01T00:00:00Z","Israel strike on Iran on June 30?",{"condition_id":610,"outcome":29,"usdc":611,"entry_price":612,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":613,"event_slug":614,"category":147},"0x17898a96b75e23f9bc7a14cf5bfb3b699984c1b729471bbfecfbc9f2fdecfdfc",22.76923,0.7400000176,"Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?","will-russia-capture-drobysheve-by-october-31",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":619,"event_slug":385,"category":147},"0x184f4a327edc0cd0af1f409980f6cc8d227fa96855625ce1ae9dad10e80057a1",163.992346,0.8200000075686598,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?",{"condition_id":621,"outcome":29,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":13,"question":624,"event_slug":527,"category":147},"0x18a6babc7c4bb20e58c8515ea0aa545784301a47ea2f17de89d23f028c493110",170.79999800000002,0.7747257373347176,"Israel strike on Iran on June 29?",{"condition_id":626,"outcome":29,"usdc":627,"entry_price":628,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":629,"event_slug":630,"category":147},"0x18cc783dc22e861a77278f463f791161b4a5b6d5836b67e61b981e53a0b1f789",117.0912,0.7463742988,"Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march",{"condition_id":632,"outcome":29,"usdc":633,"entry_price":634,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":635,"captured_at":13,"question":636,"event_slug":637,"category":147},"0x18d8c59309811ce5618ea941f9bde2a96afa5d876a69c42fba2da4bcc56d3c5e",185.991514,0.6200000018807871,"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","Maduro out by March 31, 2026?","maduro-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":639,"outcome":29,"usdc":640,"entry_price":641,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":642,"captured_at":13,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":147},"0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766",415.993066,0.5200000009044731,"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":74,"usdc":647,"entry_price":648,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":649,"event_slug":650,"category":147},"0x198e011c6ff0b381fd691511ffe5ab3e5754dc13ec353a9f3f9d73179b2740cb",156.1226,0.26989351035508075,"Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?","who-will-leave-trump-administration-first",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":29,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":13,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"category":147},"0x19d9b555204ef71da9ba11d00093af1366f310125da78aea60eaca6aee333a76",19.8604,0.28,"US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?","us-x-iran-nuclear-talks-resume-before-august",{"condition_id":658,"outcome":29,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":661,"event_slug":662,"category":147},"0x1aab2900909fe6e59da6fc98aa3caaf82271cc61acc3b669e70515cfac9db81e",109.2,0.78,"Will Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?","will-russia-capture-mykolaivka-before-july",{"condition_id":664,"outcome":29,"usdc":665,"entry_price":666,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":667,"event_slug":668,"category":147},"0x1b6f76e5b8587ee896c35847e12d11e75290a8c3934c5952e8a9d6e4c6f03cfa",562.0341,0.6435971692603663,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025",{"condition_id":670,"outcome":29,"usdc":671,"entry_price":672,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":673,"captured_at":13,"question":674,"event_slug":431,"category":56},"0x1c5ecd69199f6ff69425ba9e18d8aa90bb20fb847e949bee98da149ce5888b5f",890,0.89,"2026-06-14T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?",{"condition_id":676,"outcome":29,"usdc":677,"entry_price":678,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":679,"event_slug":680,"category":147},"0x1c6471233cfb710d078bb2b2d9f94d4dafd6ae711e9b167b71f42dc9dd6bcb7f",398.3996520000001,0.3490623081656993,"New Pope before July?","new-pope-before-july",{"condition_id":682,"outcome":29,"usdc":683,"entry_price":684,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":685,"captured_at":13,"question":686,"event_slug":687,"category":147},"0x1c765c03fe72dcfa97c7b3c09711288b7560ea2b20d0f53abe529ede2792a62e",36.666666,0.8800000192,"2025-02-28T12:00:00Z","Will Russia recapture Sudzha by February 28?","will-russia-recapture-sudzha-by",{"condition_id":689,"outcome":74,"usdc":690,"entry_price":691,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":692,"captured_at":13,"question":423,"event_slug":693,"category":147},"0x1cc8fe4becd96a24fbd5d0425e61cd9552293dbd7d58f6a449a1418ce5ad972d",130,0.65,"2025-10-24T00:00:00Z","israel-strikes-gaza-by-692",{"condition_id":695,"outcome":74,"usdc":696,"entry_price":697,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":698,"captured_at":13,"question":699,"event_slug":700,"category":147},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",1086.237792,0.6368028880826018,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":702,"outcome":29,"usdc":703,"entry_price":151,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":13,"question":704,"event_slug":705,"category":147},"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30",648,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":707,"outcome":29,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":201,"captured_at":13,"question":710,"event_slug":711,"category":147},"0x1ddc0e7de1634d1204dda3bef66ffe18b0d52d8605c0a363755480de0dc81d41",614.999998,0.6607438007559593,"Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?","will-israel-strike-an-iranian-nuclear-facility-before-july",{"condition_id":713,"outcome":29,"usdc":714,"entry_price":715,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":716,"event_slug":644,"category":147},"0x1df6862b69a47872e75864cac21b9ae9ea0cb552884d38aea9170c5fe5321bc6",137.908163,0.5100000014037734,"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":29,"usdc":719,"entry_price":440,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":720,"captured_at":13,"question":721,"event_slug":722,"category":147},"0x1e68b29be798c37448e00f83180358d0edb02393f8d6a68d50d1175798865287",348,"2025-06-01T12:00:00Z","Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?","poland-presidential-election-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":724,"outcome":29,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":371,"captured_at":13,"question":727,"event_slug":728,"category":147},"0x1fb49dc6ffde2710f8158974edd60ed38ee059ae2c2571c8f6f99962b212a9ab",236.205241,0.18541194672132064,"Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?","will-russia-capture-huliaipole-by-december-31",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":29,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":147},"0x206c93bb935c2441145e56553d0776564be837066749f64e4efc4d69e932ab87",70.48518800000001,0.4700000128653416,"2025-07-31T22:00:00Z","Trump x Putin talk before August?","trump-x-putin-talk-before-august",{"condition_id":737,"outcome":74,"usdc":738,"entry_price":739,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":740,"captured_at":13,"question":741,"event_slug":404,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",1037.5459,0.53105152507412,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":743,"outcome":29,"usdc":744,"entry_price":745,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":13,"question":746,"event_slug":747,"category":147},"0x20b8f166f4b296bdcdf05409f3589cf7bc7e1f49997eab4708fb0f3413b969a8",107.408,0.6292945863604406,"Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?","ukraine-hits-moscow-by-september-30",{"condition_id":749,"outcome":29,"usdc":750,"entry_price":751,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":402,"captured_at":13,"question":752,"event_slug":753,"category":38},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",2815,0.8042857142857143,"Iran closes its airspace by May 8?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":755,"outcome":74,"usdc":756,"entry_price":757,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":758,"captured_at":13,"question":759,"event_slug":760,"category":147},"0x2158d1f83118f06d7399d5000e9c44f317eb8a0801a6f588d261bf2cf2310445",116.25,0.7750000000000001,"2025-06-30T23:55:00Z","Major cyberattack on Iran in June?","major-cyberattack-on-iran-in-june",{"total":762,"wins":763},623,436,[765,771,776,781],{"category":766,"n":767,"wins":768,"hitRate":769,"roi":770},"Other",515,353,0.6854368932038835,0.1349286058845706,{"category":38,"n":772,"wins":773,"hitRate":774,"roi":775},71,57,0.8028169014084507,0.41250156043445635,{"category":56,"n":777,"wins":778,"hitRate":779,"roi":780},35,24,0.6857142857142857,0.12472885495323667,{"category":782,"n":783,"wins":783,"hitRate":12,"roi":784},"Culture",2,0.3936244094690724,{"generatedAt":786},"2026-09-26T04:36:58.649Z"]