[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xea1d5ac2d4635a31a1fb6cab7653df4958ece993":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":313,"history":314,"resolved":354,"resolvedSummary":868,"specialization":870,"meta":890},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xea1d5ac2d4635a31a1fb6cab7653df4958ece993",7522,542,0.8819188191881919,0.19157372276046966,0.0937322940957556,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-23T20:04:23.920Z",150.47719870110703,2.9166343544009306,"2026-09-22T12:05:55.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.7919503644797029,0.08996845470848713,15624.492612989987,81558.641696,7.364630731775716,0.04933586337760911,[26,39,50,58,67,76,84,92,99,106,114,122,129,136,145,153,162,169,175,182,188,195,201,210,217,226,235,244,251,259,267,275,283,291,298,307],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"114976310403134140071475285729050128086700898119247346798479138721789575328536","0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985","Yes",385.05,0.9237,"2026-09-24T08:50:38.130Z","2026-09-24T04:17:21.516Z","Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717143435868","2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","[\"0.9875\", \"0.0125\"]","Tech",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"17975191090368850629199328837942579544544087040168159526074580068832106631805","0x1a975c8210f5aa11c76d645a4dd746764799310898445689b17fb500a8925c80","No",317.12,0.8735,"Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?","who-will-be-arrested-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.081\", \"0.919\"]","Politics",{"token_id":51,"condition_id":52,"outcome":42,"size":53,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":57,"category":49},"15459599865606870462804403532889014965106643564265630331850488546419850096177","0x9f94a3f64e8db20bf9d1766643b3bf4c345e3439d282d779775e171c780e9ddf",258.21,0.8794,"Yoon out of custody before 2027?","yoon-out-of-custody-before-2027","[\"0.0565\", \"0.9435\"]",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":42,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":65,"category":66},"84162249682804643677144956827999494501534393383918743969607995520583607994795","0x261c26c492bc9452493b3e1c792f26b2e90ed7c1cd6f49f0cb7330b40145bde0",236.68,0.9265,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":42,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":75,"category":66},"4466616660652546287878751206339167591280005786877395317935492986989321679360","0x4219333003bec448d39151bfe3ea3d6fa91f15bedf23c3f26e28d304be5c893a",236.64,0.9103,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":42,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":83,"category":49},"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392","0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75",158.3,0.938,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":42,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":91,"category":49},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",150,0.9342,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":93,"condition_id":94,"outcome":42,"size":87,"avg_price":95,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":96,"event_slug":97,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":98,"category":49},"15077989672970288583795217605766556416970061487381628151202667886949747881016","0x501986de68bd14841c835ec33df35e3cb5355ecff2ace13c0b31d8b907f7f018",0.9114,"Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to \"Strait of Trump\" by December 31?","trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31","[\"0.0505\", \"0.9495\"]",{"token_id":100,"condition_id":101,"outcome":42,"size":87,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":105,"category":49},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",0.8666,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":107,"condition_id":108,"outcome":42,"size":109,"avg_price":110,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":113,"category":49},"50230525292011397361666032128557566687811184498515693563902400561445822555625","0xc3794a8d3a34d04b9f39773e35c4cecdac89d32eab93e8589d9a6f03e04e9490",118.19,0.99,"Trump out as President by September 30?","dtrump-out-as-president-by-september-30","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":115,"condition_id":116,"outcome":42,"size":117,"avg_price":118,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":121,"category":49},"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901","0x094772b3529f455e881a4483eaf1c24266384f55e97c23f24f638f5726ba9920",100,0.96,"Iran leadership change by September 30?","iran-leadership-change-by","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":123,"condition_id":124,"outcome":42,"size":117,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":128,"category":49},"90772332434487149264114862115632028379978765245278600275169585501290867536237","0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4",0.9508,"Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?","will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]",{"token_id":130,"condition_id":131,"outcome":42,"size":117,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":135,"category":66},"25659310674993675562345759665114759892400026242514633218387667107987341231962","0xa467b14d51f01b957109d9cbb1d6c124fab2a089d52ed8f471d23c2812e743b7",0.8459,"Xi Jinping out before 2027?","xi-jinping-out-before-2027","[\"0.0425\", \"0.9575\"]",{"token_id":137,"condition_id":138,"outcome":42,"size":139,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":143,"outcome_prices":144,"category":66},"78546474547402411500499628997861431372464326112927561980265509734820993554411","0x0f94ae65ad29cb9e7c7703a71d404f7616edeebbc2873257759c746156d96425",73.88,0.8994,"Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?","will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916","2026-09-30T20:59:00Z","[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":42,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":152,"category":49},"3413519127535001052916661090245482216488485084154812276111220288208573662220","0x0f0c23171f3fcc1459098f9eede312c85757d43f221636c8f983d25e6682d32e",63.7,0.964,"Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?","todd-blanche-disbarred-or-suspended-in-ny-in-2026-20260713190235888","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":29,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":160,"outcome_prices":161,"category":49},"15383892730206628816677975660706141965932347913242182092186552286321057934638","0xe3d0cc56e5c617d72cecc532a48e69fd0cdc931fba0a7015be7e56453fd9d1ba",50.03,0.9819,"Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?","az-03-house-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.9815\", \"0.0185\"]",{"token_id":163,"condition_id":164,"outcome":42,"size":165,"avg_price":166,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":167,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":168,"category":66},"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191","0x46477994c02fdd4f7be7eacc58d343457d80333d92e5c4ad9a3117274d0e5639",50,0.9822,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":170,"condition_id":171,"outcome":42,"size":165,"avg_price":118,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":174,"category":49},"91743096240000828152788571856852736013015281177413759323948075481950472145047","0xb55b2b13aee7a480ab0695912a65cb34a5fe5e84d5da810873d9c3e1182f9fd0","Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":176,"condition_id":177,"outcome":42,"size":178,"avg_price":179,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":180,"event_slug":181,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":65,"category":49},"40396038664330592292759690673207719946461353872327347486753615106052860841254","0xbb8c9abdefb768e1f5686f1274a96c4403fe801df50d3d84d1f886256705fc96",53.79,0.8847,"Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic \"The Tiger King\" before 2027?","who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":42,"size":165,"avg_price":185,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":186,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":187,"category":49},"11388450953096588130589354595874640853066281842459477263899851377606054051088","0x9bab81d09284255c1e27fe291c05f096e666a998af69c06c1368addb5eb760b4",0.93,"Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?","[\"0.0355\", \"0.9645\"]",{"token_id":189,"condition_id":190,"outcome":42,"size":165,"avg_price":191,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":192,"event_slug":193,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":194,"category":49},"37056415164360715205045597531236311646923415765066212185438253738647237336241","0xf4c72ff42c3f1ee9f25e835e62ca52d71a9cafbcc11f93c01af709af8ee5ff09",0.88,"Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?","lee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026","[\"0.0715\", \"0.9285\"]",{"token_id":196,"condition_id":197,"outcome":42,"size":165,"avg_price":198,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":65,"category":66},"102617319572539919553357676752315366758463499662855057808806666308412570450045","0xa466e17524bcc473279c4ca86f4f1fb01932946a8204e68f6ca96628f8bf2b5e",0.87,"China x Japan military clash before 2027?","china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027",{"token_id":202,"condition_id":203,"outcome":42,"size":204,"avg_price":205,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":208,"outcome_prices":174,"category":209},"103636053646450401093766353765470391940053976581673820100904017915649851776012","0x06cd4673b8fc846667f7c7de93c10d0499767030c5d9b92bfee07dba445c9f55",42.85,0.94,"Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?","will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341","2026-01-01T04:59:00Z","Crypto",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":42,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":65,"category":49},"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915","0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803",43.6878,0.9189,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027",{"token_id":218,"condition_id":219,"outcome":29,"size":165,"avg_price":220,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":223,"outcome_prices":224,"category":225},"23556429317429021692175226714041757812438092709195093999386854296551945919152","0xe67f4d31f0eba1b009b49d7a7739b2a5f53a2d7d979a0902b465a510492c33bb",0.74,"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","2027-03-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.75\", \"0.25\"]","Culture",{"token_id":227,"condition_id":228,"outcome":29,"size":229,"avg_price":230,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":233,"outcome_prices":234,"category":225},"18763752592764702658708894433176339838384975360742696634084624589987057292616","0xd421f367cf3057d4ce5959edffd6fd2ae77b5da55cccf5a73560ae2b334660bf",26.71,0.91,"GTA VI released by November 30?","gta-vi-released-before-november-2026","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]",{"token_id":236,"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"size":238,"avg_price":239,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":242,"outcome_prices":243,"category":49},"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64",26.86,0.8799,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]",{"token_id":245,"condition_id":246,"outcome":42,"size":247,"avg_price":248,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":249,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":250,"category":38},"64506085621524987853450958925612004814721815140655259974966086896732833978971","0xbce02d9a6a2d4f0f9c61f636dab64ba93b60ce16a09dc34f6f82b2e1243142e0",25.59,0.9157,"Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":252,"condition_id":253,"outcome":42,"size":254,"avg_price":255,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":258,"category":49},"51069255220256448554326103051260402642105366450670243895254036861561933977472","0x005de69d6f0d32f8284310d0b0d292f6eb42119fe0ecde7dbd34f7aedce0851c",13.83,0.884,"Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?","lee-jae-myung-arrested-before-2027","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":260,"condition_id":261,"outcome":42,"size":262,"avg_price":263,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":242,"outcome_prices":266,"category":225},"84730877134541448868667240825011199179065085424867754678085920550194442346068","0xdf0c6b5d69af22deae2f14aec8fc3c4c8f20e61e0a7de3a4861838cc9d984d8d",12.9,0.909,"Jonathan Majors as Kang?","which-characters-will-appear-in-avengers-doomsday","[\"0.0695\", \"0.9305\"]",{"token_id":268,"condition_id":269,"outcome":29,"size":270,"avg_price":185,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":273,"category":274},"31650083965282390269113502048883725495895331661148956202621012482964650485070","0x6522024c060166830e53a48b0db1cab9296601a8539ab005124db5e4bf50a303",12.55,"Anthropic IPO before 2027?","ipos-before-2027","[\"0.76\", \"0.24\"]","Business",{"token_id":276,"condition_id":277,"outcome":42,"size":278,"avg_price":279,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":280,"event_slug":281,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":282,"category":49},"23292838992754288443599105453645327195065821436549655583078911490396768004449","0x09bd898af149ff142f72abd30709dadf4fedafcce3b00ef37fd62a733063d7c9",4.82,0.899,"Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?","will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027","[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]",{"token_id":284,"condition_id":285,"outcome":42,"size":286,"avg_price":287,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":290,"category":49},"60853327976477788855631401816851571330937784679179794786469573908309263215352","0x0a706801ddd761794258687cb07c6697e4a38dfc34aa96032e928740119f1905",2.74,0.966,"EU dissolves before 2027?","eu-dissolves-before-2027","[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]",{"token_id":292,"condition_id":293,"outcome":42,"size":294,"avg_price":295,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":296,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":297,"category":66},"78735213477140259179719985437634225008013438052010449207550476177307188383355","0xfed2dd1e83691ca08b8bc08d2bed09cb19003730f2be47da6a467ee37df96fbb",3.6,0.73,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?","[\"0.195\", \"0.805\"]",{"token_id":299,"condition_id":300,"outcome":42,"size":301,"avg_price":302,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":305,"outcome_prices":306,"category":49},"32952048155093419718055060819712841482842350791391116195205201413217889733414","0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d",3.08,0.84,"Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?","will-china-invade-taiwan-by-december-31-2027","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":308,"condition_id":309,"outcome":42,"size":310,"avg_price":198,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":311,"event_slug":312,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":128,"category":225},"3356568285299819338090841293573027386643722118263767544500604381116882141082","0x24d28f36ea7fb7c729b108e3992b4df869a0112e6f2aa546d43f80a0a9136e40",2.61,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?","will-cmi-declare-a-millennium-prize-problem-solved-by-20260723160122979",[],[315,322,329,336,343,345,352],{"recorded_date":316,"roi":317,"win_rate":318,"brier_score":319,"p_value":320,"resolved_trades":321,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-19",0.14844825133451378,0.8870967741935484,0.10900950000000001,0.01200000000000001,62,{"recorded_date":323,"roi":324,"win_rate":325,"brier_score":326,"p_value":327,"resolved_trades":328,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-27",0.1463330805742939,0.8852459016393442,0.11037686885245901,0.0132000000000001,61,{"recorded_date":330,"roi":331,"win_rate":332,"brier_score":333,"p_value":334,"resolved_trades":335,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-04",0.14689614690236683,0.8793103448275862,0.1152758275862069,0.01639999999999997,58,{"recorded_date":337,"roi":338,"win_rate":339,"brier_score":340,"p_value":341,"resolved_trades":342,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-11",0.14511972099248568,0.8727272727272727,0.12015632727272728,0.02200000000000002,55,{"recorded_date":344,"roi":338,"win_rate":339,"brier_score":340,"p_value":341,"resolved_trades":342,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-18",{"recorded_date":346,"roi":347,"win_rate":348,"brier_score":349,"p_value":350,"resolved_trades":351,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-25",0.13424032638242597,0.8666666666666667,0.11092322222222223,0.05360000000000009,45,{"recorded_date":353,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",[355,363,370,378,386,393,399,407,415,422,429,435,442,448,455,461,468,471,477,484,488,493,500,506,514,519,526,532,539,545,551,557,563,570,577,584,592,599,605,611,617,622,627,634,639,645,650,656,662,665,673,678,684,691,696,702,709,715,722,728,734,739,745,751,757,764,771,776,781,787,793,802,808,815,821,827,834,838,844,849,855,861],{"condition_id":356,"outcome":42,"usdc":357,"entry_price":279,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":359,"captured_at":13,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"category":362},"0x062412a5a1d7a1dfa40765c0f347382e67b93972c878d3563c55798e4843236f",449.5,"backfill","2026-01-01T04:00:00Z","Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?","hyperliquid-hype-hits-100-this-year",null,{"condition_id":364,"outcome":42,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":362},"0x07d45de444dbe0595c068a9eade49ace2bd381e30d6a45022d801ec10e7d0294",120.7698,0.8826911270282123,"","US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":372,"usdc":373,"entry_price":374,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":375,"captured_at":13,"question":376,"event_slug":377,"category":362},"0x083d2c17b8981e20bfebb4a76a0da6241284dd949a70a8a06510978b46795af7","Gillian Robertson",10.35,0.69,"2026-03-15T03:59:59.999Z","UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)","ufc-gil-ama3-2026-03-14",{"condition_id":379,"outcome":29,"usdc":380,"entry_price":381,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":49},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",62.550700000000006,0.6080557985807329,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","2026-06-19T16:37:41.242Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":362},"0x0ffc9afe7fa64b47fdb2522fb82949d0056ca885f3dfde6129cbc6d45da697f7",5.33,0.8200000000000001,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?","2026-july-1st-2nd-3rd-hottest-on-record-20260706144334512",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":42,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":383,"question":398,"event_slug":64,"category":66},"0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a2",98.81670000000001,0.8900000000000001,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":401,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":404,"captured_at":13,"question":405,"event_slug":406,"category":362},"0x1955b5d0b8c1d03976f4de846c7e36751435dbaf32c1e7448a530d5211aef8a7","Robert Whittaker",5.62375,0.55,"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z","UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)","ufc-rob1-nik2-2026-07-11",{"condition_id":408,"outcome":409,"usdc":410,"entry_price":411,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":413,"event_slug":414,"category":362},"0x1b30bb4722d5751f2d0ecdada66c6066a3e727b84ff212a7f7b666542e361a81","Israel Adesanya",7.2975,0.75,"2026-03-29T03:59:59.999Z","UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)","ufc-isr-joe8-2026-03-28",{"condition_id":416,"outcome":42,"usdc":417,"entry_price":418,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":420,"event_slug":421,"category":362},"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30",345.99433300000004,0.8650002520534518,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":42,"usdc":424,"entry_price":425,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":426,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"category":362},"0x2170cff0aedcc55d57d9d69f6df9404009a4df9d2f2afc96cf4dfb29dc1c17a2",5.261279999999999,0.776,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":42,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":73,"category":66},"0x253676d94edd8f3e92060410bec8bca9117890d117d06664d31867db0e396c56",160.61520000000002,0.8624097938144332,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":42,"usdc":437,"entry_price":438,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":13,"question":440,"event_slug":441,"category":362},"0x2a429e6999f56ed4a01d8d0d5afe5e65b6dc68c888e80e7b441fefe413cb596e",226.674908,0.8900000100362361,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?","will-russia-capture-all-of-myrnohrad-by",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":42,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":383,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":362},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",62.625910000000005,0.8792069352800786,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":42,"usdc":450,"entry_price":451,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":452,"captured_at":13,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":362},"0x30a892ea01a40602dd58029243f165a97ce22dbfeabf427f86d705ae650fad4b",82,0.82,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 14?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":42,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":13,"question":459,"event_slug":460,"category":362},"0x3315de37bfb5e6565dec1452a914a9160afbe18512aa29a89abf1bfe9c263c7b",810,0.81,"Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?","will-russia-capture-huliaipole-by-december-31",{"condition_id":462,"outcome":42,"usdc":463,"entry_price":464,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":465,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":467,"category":362},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",435.24309999999997,0.8414071682647696,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":462,"outcome":29,"usdc":469,"entry_price":470,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":465,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":467,"category":362},97.14679999999998,0.8870233747260773,{"condition_id":472,"outcome":29,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":362},"0x35bf8c7a9e19eac180f1f69d74024841d09a782eb1e7e6f6b7f0e7223d2f778a",43.15,0.863,"Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?","will-pete-hegseth-ban-claude-by-march-31",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":479,"usdc":480,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":362},"0x36650c0b95e90a9440e2bf9d82377e2d249517b55e62172b6c41a6b4f6b06c9c","Lerone Murphy",74,"2026-03-22T03:59:59.999Z","UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)","ufc-mov-ler-2026-03-21",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":485,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":362},"Movsar Evloev",7.1,0.71,{"condition_id":489,"outcome":42,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":369,"category":362},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",846.8603999999999,0.8386167968866045,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":42,"usdc":495,"entry_price":496,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":497,"captured_at":13,"question":498,"event_slug":499,"category":362},"0x3f34e931e2457b68c4acce8c4f4d0f5e5a1a9d68afb44afb70af88478718dd76",37.769040000000004,0.8599508196721312,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-film-editing-winner",{"condition_id":501,"outcome":42,"usdc":502,"entry_price":503,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":505,"event_slug":73,"category":66},"0x415f0ea19ba0b3bbcae27ffc1253e7514389dc273adff12d67acbefb7860a9d7",15.5408,0.8346294307196562,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?",{"condition_id":507,"outcome":42,"usdc":508,"entry_price":509,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":511,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":225},"0x46eb6b4907d9fc0ba8bf1758ab37db500de95fa003ad70a0e6afe5d93df5a947",8.53,0.853,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","2026-07-04T10:46:51.612Z","Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?","taylor-swift-x-travis-kelce-get-married-by",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":42,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":383,"question":518,"event_slug":64,"category":66},"0x4befb52f7cd2b606c63731ad74e677325ff0ed0f48f1104552a34f0f54619ea3",7.7916,0.86,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?",{"condition_id":520,"outcome":42,"usdc":521,"entry_price":522,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":523,"captured_at":13,"question":524,"event_slug":525,"category":362},"0x5b85cbdf5dc73a47f05695946c7b690564360b4c1907afd4041aa89650d45f3a",11.8925,0.67,"2026-03-09T12:00:00Z","Will \"Hoppers\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?","hoppers-opening-weekend-box-office-higher-strikes",{"condition_id":527,"outcome":42,"usdc":528,"entry_price":302,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":529,"captured_at":383,"question":530,"event_slug":531,"category":362},"0x5c2e6aef8af5931e9bfa3750364626d754531d2fada2885d45c356b175962a25",37.1952,"2026-04-15","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 15?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":533,"outcome":42,"usdc":534,"entry_price":535,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":536,"captured_at":13,"question":537,"event_slug":538,"category":362},"0x6044f479c125a3d5d75dfee51ae8d48f7b7658a71dad8dfb65beac81c4396c9c",1.1285,0.61,"2026-02-23T12:00:00Z","Will \"GOAT\" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?","goat-second-weekend-box-office",{"condition_id":540,"outcome":42,"usdc":541,"entry_price":542,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":543,"event_slug":544,"category":362},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",1044.9154500000002,0.8570992839155794,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":29,"usdc":547,"entry_price":548,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":497,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":362},"0x66af911f31ceabb5f9a3ef9203a73f0b23d18aa81bbba7888dec440c622c2528",294.01790000000005,0.8120246906760938,"Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?","will-one-battle-after-another-win-best-picture-at-the-98th-academy-awards",{"condition_id":552,"outcome":42,"usdc":553,"entry_price":554,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":555,"captured_at":383,"question":556,"event_slug":64,"category":66},"0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e",115.4839,0.759462712087334,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?",{"condition_id":558,"outcome":42,"usdc":559,"entry_price":560,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":383,"question":561,"event_slug":562,"category":362},"0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c",73.9019,0.8759262771127178,"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":564,"outcome":42,"usdc":565,"entry_price":566,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":13,"question":568,"event_slug":569,"category":362},"0x6995678ed5f481941cc4de37512cfe77b1b20e6fd9ba35e284360061d2687d8f",76.831,0.650338581344168,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-february",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":29,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":383,"question":575,"event_slug":576,"category":362},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",132.09320000000002,0.6151881520119225,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":42,"usdc":579,"entry_price":580,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":581,"captured_at":13,"question":582,"event_slug":583,"category":362},"0x6ef0c13571ac6178adbaf231b22efe80ad6f2071f37efa5c041484edd8599e72",62.478982,0.8300000102368534,"2025-12-31T05:00:00Z","Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?","what-price-will-solana-hit-before-2026",{"condition_id":585,"outcome":586,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":590,"event_slug":591,"category":362},"0x71e2f8a1b44d76a3c51bf4cfd836d640d57666716f2a3c8e21e612afe5f9ecee","Raul Rosas Jr.",14.4625,0.89,"2026-03-08T04:59:59.999Z","UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)","ufc-rob2-rau2-2026-03-07",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":29,"usdc":594,"entry_price":595,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":362},"0x7434b22007745d99095c102119fdb6b975d34869212e9dda4c6c5c48db0683a7",7,0.07,"2026-04-30","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-april-30-2026",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":42,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":604,"event_slug":369,"category":362},"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609",284.046,0.857626811594203,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":29,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":13,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":362},"0x797d586ad45522306490b0cc9b2f21bdf957f3843476fae99f3bcc2cec83b74b",131.57760000000002,0.6746185397867105,"US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":29,"usdc":613,"entry_price":588,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":614,"captured_at":13,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"category":362},"0x826887e3ac134321e8137d47870b4efa84d0263b0864f21feb227c8e024d759e",8.95615,"2026-07-03T22:00:00Z","Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?","fifwc-arg-cvi-2026-07-03",{"condition_id":618,"outcome":42,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":523,"captured_at":13,"question":621,"event_slug":525,"category":362},"0x8ae9f649e8a98e76fcdc05ee1399380b228d0f2c05ccafeb76d454205dd5eb41",85.91239999999999,0.7985908161368285,"Will \"Hoppers\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?",{"condition_id":623,"outcome":29,"usdc":624,"entry_price":198,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":383,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":49},"0x8b369e10358094a99ffe7f85a81a8e8ca68c611eee0fe63a2efa790ad045bcd6",43.5,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":29,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":631,"captured_at":13,"question":632,"event_slug":633,"category":49},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",115.73238,0.766,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":635,"outcome":42,"usdc":636,"entry_price":295,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":383,"question":637,"event_slug":638,"category":362},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",146,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":640,"outcome":42,"usdc":641,"entry_price":642,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":362},"0x9322e033c6dc8be6d8495cc44ac578abaa28a8cccdb783de1bff0026066d1d05",6140,0.8771428571428571,"Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2025",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":42,"usdc":647,"entry_price":191,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":383,"question":648,"event_slug":649,"category":49},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",44,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":29,"usdc":652,"entry_price":653,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":13,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"category":362},"0x9d1e122ce82f7acd66088e2e6216ca732b38fee26cee312156e854f975c28776",9099.038056999996,0.8694004682806659,"Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? ","lighter-airdop-by",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":42,"usdc":658,"entry_price":659,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":660,"captured_at":383,"question":661,"event_slug":64,"category":66},"0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea1",242.65720000000002,0.8138762367935602,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":29,"usdc":663,"entry_price":664,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":660,"captured_at":383,"question":661,"event_slug":64,"category":66},6,0.06,{"condition_id":666,"outcome":667,"usdc":668,"entry_price":669,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":670,"captured_at":383,"question":671,"event_slug":672,"category":362},"0xa1ef064e524ea0fa7ea5f0bb34acf52807680d74c36d891f832d60ad97ee213e","Joaquin Buckley",8.51088,0.56,"2026-05-10T03:59:59.999Z","UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)","ufc-joa3-sea4-2026-05-09",{"condition_id":674,"outcome":42,"usdc":675,"entry_price":676,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":383,"question":677,"event_slug":64,"category":66},"0xa78ecba9c4273564cce4b810db46bb36cc35db9cd52fc4e067c77f85af1c1048",203.0916,0.8123988959558383,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?",{"condition_id":679,"outcome":29,"usdc":680,"entry_price":681,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":452,"captured_at":13,"question":682,"event_slug":683,"category":362},"0xadd6ef3f717dcf4bc2ae114d6733312134d6f59293de698ac359ada0da829d3d",14.4284,0.36769622833843024,"Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?","the-actor-awards-winner-best-actress-in-a-drama-series",{"condition_id":685,"outcome":42,"usdc":686,"entry_price":687,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":688,"captured_at":13,"question":689,"event_slug":690,"category":362},"0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739",586.5469410000001,0.569515891745906,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-2027",{"condition_id":692,"outcome":42,"usdc":693,"entry_price":694,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":465,"captured_at":13,"question":695,"event_slug":610,"category":362},"0xb02e8bc0b915c7d6fc79363f84ca301edeb3c5cd7a7c30cf9517cb4a49a96e35",108.95380000000002,0.8900000000000002,"US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":697,"outcome":42,"usdc":698,"entry_price":699,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":700,"captured_at":383,"question":701,"event_slug":120,"category":49},"0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e6793",7.973,0.85,"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by April 30?",{"condition_id":703,"outcome":42,"usdc":704,"entry_price":705,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":706,"captured_at":13,"question":707,"event_slug":708,"category":362},"0xb957e0c6ec337b15a9d93e1ba19a48b410fc1594f022e3bb734e958a4978cdaf",86.8946,0.8690329032903289,"2026-06-30T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by February 28, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":710,"outcome":42,"usdc":711,"entry_price":712,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":660,"captured_at":383,"question":713,"event_slug":714,"category":49},"0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55",77.775,0.8408108108108109,"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by",{"condition_id":716,"outcome":29,"usdc":717,"entry_price":718,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":719,"captured_at":383,"question":720,"event_slug":721,"category":49},"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a",219.3578,0.874,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":723,"outcome":29,"usdc":724,"entry_price":725,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":497,"captured_at":13,"question":726,"event_slug":727,"category":362},"0xc97a1d10a34399688ccea96d9a05db74135ff67dfee288c4d00379792dcf2011",5.8,0.8,"Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?","oscars-2026-best-sound-winner",{"condition_id":729,"outcome":29,"usdc":730,"entry_price":731,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":13,"question":732,"event_slug":733,"category":362},"0xcbf9e16f0ad8bef39c3860dda598df8c4906f737bbed4dc1c65f7e0c07675ab3",191.41679,0.7921896701578444,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?","will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-february-2026",{"condition_id":735,"outcome":42,"usdc":736,"entry_price":737,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":738,"event_slug":64,"category":66},"0xce41e10b3c9b3764cfe3b54691b411a4565ac4ee6ced9a810ee629bbfbffce89",44.75,0.895,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?",{"condition_id":740,"outcome":42,"usdc":741,"entry_price":742,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":743,"event_slug":744,"category":66},"0xd25b2fc3a916b317d71b398c5d0f81ad33fe1da6b56d6c9f717332d31584504e",108.56921,0.8764770323670702,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-march-31-282",{"condition_id":746,"outcome":29,"usdc":747,"entry_price":748,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":13,"question":749,"event_slug":750,"category":362},"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8",136.12872,0.8970000000000001,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":752,"outcome":29,"usdc":753,"entry_price":754,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":755,"captured_at":13,"question":756,"event_slug":385,"category":49},"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423",59.89812,0.8297287712979637,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"usdc":759,"entry_price":760,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":761,"captured_at":13,"question":762,"event_slug":763,"category":362},"0xdb6830a620e3a3bfdf0677d98b0628f041e52e2caff76d76d3567578364d356f",5.6,0.028,"2026-04-06T12:00:00Z","Will \"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?","the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-opening-weekend-box-office",{"condition_id":765,"outcome":766,"usdc":767,"entry_price":768,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":670,"captured_at":383,"question":769,"event_slug":770,"category":362},"0xdb80cb224aaad81b579dd475129a43112827b1661fee3feec79122523ae5b933","Sean Strickland",6.2607,0.41,"UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)","ufc-sea2-kha7-2026-05-09",{"condition_id":772,"outcome":42,"usdc":773,"entry_price":302,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":13,"question":774,"event_slug":775,"category":49},"0xdb93bb91003512af07170d9da4dd80630724cf7097e0d75ddedaaccd7d9e88d2",0.084,"Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?","who-visited-epsteins-island",{"condition_id":777,"outcome":42,"usdc":778,"entry_price":302,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":383,"question":779,"event_slug":780,"category":362},"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84",84,"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-april-30",{"condition_id":782,"outcome":29,"usdc":783,"entry_price":784,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":13,"question":785,"event_slug":786,"category":362},"0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd2093",17,0.17,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-june-30-2026",{"condition_id":788,"outcome":42,"usdc":789,"entry_price":790,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":791,"captured_at":13,"question":792,"event_slug":644,"category":362},"0xe84b1fdc087f4153ebf15cfc07f065dd5a66f3caf370b4547ea8e02100be95be",14407.714938,0.7842643902078428,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?",{"condition_id":794,"outcome":795,"usdc":796,"entry_price":797,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":798,"captured_at":13,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"category":801},"0xed4fa0c7a11d55f2c3bcb5e13d94d10b0dced33d7f195748990be092b70952c3","Ilia Topuria",80.72144,0.8000000000000002,"2026-06-15T03:59:59.999Z","UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)","ufc-jus3-ili1-2026-06-14","Sports",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":42,"usdc":804,"entry_price":805,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":791,"captured_at":13,"question":806,"event_slug":807,"category":362},"0xeeb92ddd77d671d1f9ea1f5727208d1fa91896a6d1f657fdcd7c9d578fe5c46c",28548.001157999995,0.801482989148954,"Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-2025",{"condition_id":809,"outcome":42,"usdc":810,"entry_price":811,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":812,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":814,"category":49},"0xeee4eed57180948422c259a91e74d8a6742c65878181ca9ca122975ed11d2b48",44.8411,0.893,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?","will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by",{"condition_id":816,"outcome":29,"usdc":817,"entry_price":451,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":818,"captured_at":13,"question":819,"event_slug":820,"category":362},"0xf12648e8f9b52f1d6d2fa8aafd965df15544876cecf53fc1be6c0ab178bbc814",8.1918,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Will \"The Odyssey\" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?","the-odyssey-2nd-weekend-box-office-20260720175402816",{"condition_id":822,"outcome":29,"usdc":823,"entry_price":824,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":497,"captured_at":13,"question":825,"event_slug":826,"category":362},"0xf562feabe9922f78e99b488df4fcef6be8cbc831605388751538d178585007aa",8.89344,0.772,"Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?","highest-domestically-grossing-2025-film-on-march-15",{"condition_id":828,"outcome":829,"usdc":830,"entry_price":831,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":832,"event_slug":833,"category":362},"0xf6447769c6c2a6931470176868cfa58162dd72f1028d7df7f2dcc0f260c0668c","Charles Oliveira",49.303363000000004,0.8799055784720465,"UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)","ufc-cha1-max1-2026-03-07",{"condition_id":828,"outcome":835,"usdc":836,"entry_price":837,"won":17,"source":358,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":832,"event_slug":833,"category":362},"Max Holloway",32,0.64,{"condition_id":839,"outcome":42,"usdc":840,"entry_price":841,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":842,"event_slug":843,"category":362},"0xfa52f5817ea613138cbd376abf4adf5d128dcee82c7b04751409577b70cb15bc",93.37775,0.8445910000000001,"Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?","spider-man-brand-new-day-total-domestic-gross-by-august-31-20260716181307512",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":42,"usdc":846,"entry_price":847,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":383,"question":848,"event_slug":562,"category":362},"0xfa59099fbda1e0f0058ed3cbd57e939fe90ab6d9b57d53bd488bcadf75c191d4",32.3897,0.5881550753586345,"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?",{"condition_id":850,"outcome":29,"usdc":851,"entry_price":852,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":13,"question":853,"event_slug":854,"category":38},"0xfc613d67a16f3a9a10b63baa0f48cee855d49310b33643112e43f769d68b80a5",6.1462,0.79,"Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?","will-the-steam-machine-cost-700-or-more-at-release",{"condition_id":856,"outcome":42,"usdc":857,"entry_price":858,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":859,"captured_at":13,"question":860,"event_slug":644,"category":362},"0xffcbecbfa6983b3cdd5e91d078088beb5738d0c746bcedceb62f7bfed0470af5",14028.658606,0.8051554712341285,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?",{"condition_id":862,"outcome":42,"usdc":863,"entry_price":864,"won":12,"source":358,"end_date_iso":865,"captured_at":383,"question":866,"event_slug":867,"category":49},"0x523959b6256674318eb34755789fffd8c62cd652e5fa11ffd332402361d058e9",41.085,0.8299999999999998,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?","will-any-country-leave-nato-in-2025",{"total":450,"wins":869},65,[871,875,880,884,886,888],{"category":872,"n":335,"wins":351,"hitRate":873,"roi":874},"Other",0.7758620689655172,0.19434504299428443,{"category":49,"n":876,"wins":877,"hitRate":878,"roi":879},11,9,0.8181818181818182,0.012772122340753464,{"category":66,"n":881,"wins":877,"hitRate":882,"roi":883},10,0.9,0.19505694022504463,{"category":38,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":885},0.26582278481012644,{"category":801,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":887},-1,{"category":225,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":889},0.17233294255568588,{"generatedAt":891},"2026-09-24T15:55:27.409Z"]