[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xe312101a6ea5c00821b74e2855c2674147b2e0b2":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":145,"history":146,"resolved":149,"resolvedSummary":316,"specialization":317,"meta":327},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xe312101a6ea5c00821b74e2855c2674147b2e0b2",1351,409,0.19559902200489,1.730056520173733,0.15389871216643794,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-06T07:37:22.453Z",25.84763660391197,3.3031784841075793,"2026-10-06T06:58:10.000Z",0,"trades",0.056645608548655337,0.13895341345623444,18289.60974521077,10571.683370999996,9.319571226059727,0.18786127167630057,[26,38,47,55,62,70,78,85,94,101,109,116,124,130,138],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"36618109673540064848704940804033712061237278493368329842450649904656638569986","0x116a25d79e6753787d46743628803b783021a5d37ecdcebb410b7c7dbf26c5c8","Yes",22882.3064,0.3347,"2026-10-28T19:47:26.048Z","Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-3rd-place","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":29,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":37},"104881585545492942110872284137611853175545122452711955438862172489690717347817","0x7d1cc102572a444d63434870de17a9752794d4575f16d24a85f03d7d6753d290",13751.6758,0.35,"Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-joint-list-of-seats","2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":54,"category":37},"96182373315360393598771780203926066316974487854573055252542891591049234317872","0x5e343352d01df13e750ce8eeb804fbb2f8f9e9ff34c318ddf93559825d940281",17682.8468,0.1098,"Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-raam-of-seats","[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]",{"token_id":56,"condition_id":57,"outcome":29,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":60,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":61,"category":37},"76247113614360915850632831231468025290297953295684232271393789763993896719045","0x81945f2b085ed850d2270f889f0d22626542d8f3f4acf68d1930b86529a1b8c1",6099.2595,0.3135,"Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":63,"condition_id":64,"outcome":29,"size":65,"avg_price":66,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":67,"event_slug":68,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":69,"category":37},"72482178455337580678907673041256619263366305379880074804696138702001352525181","0x7906968a07f6e8d52400965cda542cbf7eecad2a01491a70163ee5d8def0a2e0",6392.9366,0.23,"Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-otzma-of-seats","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":71,"condition_id":72,"outcome":73,"size":74,"avg_price":75,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":76,"event_slug":68,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":77,"category":37},"3900002436000381804760106402739113029167718180883163582196583777760149035762","0x7c93573cccff2bbd858c9bf970019a70cae613ce31f4766615f3339be5e5db17","No",4256.647,0.2281,"Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","[\"0.9855\", \"0.0145\"]",{"token_id":79,"condition_id":80,"outcome":29,"size":81,"avg_price":82,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":83,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":84,"category":37},"3744195159354026658240894722825572606729800574799066853162466280387526160790","0xd7788f99870e1139c4afdb8c761259adb7c7790f1ce620089f7ac68b86e2f09b",1113.2293,0.3912,"Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","[\"0.9225\", \"0.0775\"]",{"token_id":86,"condition_id":87,"outcome":29,"size":88,"avg_price":89,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":92,"outcome_prices":93,"category":37},"68493403423443380206995436198253145092179854308804707363990695007361574175190","0x27fc1275f7c2ec7b317139b5e24c4aeaa54553b79e76774cab679dd22dc379f2",578.62,0.4784,"Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-yisrael-beiteinu-of-seats","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0545\", \"0.9455\"]",{"token_id":95,"condition_id":96,"outcome":29,"size":97,"avg_price":98,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":99,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":92,"outcome_prices":100,"category":37},"67022306552380164902784180071167952556161279126119343265719918594976247130849","0x59cf7c1e790c34991047ab3d7aaf64bfc61315a714412bfd80d9c9ac33c4d616",340.23,0.7385,"Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","[\"0.952\", \"0.048\"]",{"token_id":102,"condition_id":103,"outcome":29,"size":104,"avg_price":105,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":106,"event_slug":107,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":92,"outcome_prices":108,"category":37},"92747970954808310719721823848822382810840160206258949182025316260905524488487","0x60970bd6006f68aebb7f415a1628d6adfd524406252c6cb6fe905a28ecc0a6de",451.4463,0.3096,"Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","israel-election-yashar-of-seats","[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]",{"token_id":110,"condition_id":111,"outcome":29,"size":112,"avg_price":113,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":114,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":115,"category":37},"85185991195642705768270347924786090300929356459076559678213645826163610056188","0x897da588e08a508aa20f38df67e6e05cbd1a1c496bb417f7f4c1c65924180e05",100.3624,0.6974,"Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?","[\"0.071\", \"0.929\"]",{"token_id":117,"condition_id":118,"outcome":29,"size":119,"avg_price":120,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":121,"event_slug":122,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":123,"category":37},"4534545446855970532559242655940884546706377820839949784570945035089914183106","0x811290068b61e5f9d14e549affed55afb25e240cd14545abf1c8177262366e05",64.76,0.77,"Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israeli-legislative-election-4th-place","[\"0.9635\", \"0.0365\"]",{"token_id":125,"condition_id":126,"outcome":29,"size":127,"avg_price":128,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":129,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":54,"category":37},"81544529979754861545270346665947855779751382244379158890925295180451540981047","0xec05e20b942d9ed489e756cf91636fd66fc1ac754c30d303111e11bd50412349",734.15,0.0373,"Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":29,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":137,"category":37},"18630810673254659648621321072706732392413458901373289271045645655854803258832","0xa98d9abcb541514b12eb353aa3a690e5e3e9254d81cbe700ca173209fb771f41",27,0.3748,"Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?","israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-20261021154359891","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":73,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":143,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":144,"category":37},"94989240942321171035181144919679918530828890353752041741893721623522447140887","0x0aeafd983d87efa8403ca903513950b4b1906f442219c28e5486b66b87545a69",5,0.234,"Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","[\"0.9905\", \"0.0095\"]",[],[147],{"recorded_date":148,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-06",[150,159,165,172,179,186,191,198,204,209,216,223,229,236,244,251,256,262,267,273,280,285,290,296,301,306,311],{"condition_id":151,"outcome":29,"usdc":152,"entry_price":153,"won":12,"source":154,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":156,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x10cf4927827e9f1377d41fa4565b4d34deeb78d783ab2c8f8c8ec442edc47941",215.65372200000002,0.13857963465630416,"backfill","2026-01-13T17:00:00Z","Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-january-6-january-13",null,{"condition_id":160,"outcome":29,"usdc":161,"entry_price":42,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":162,"captured_at":13,"question":163,"event_slug":164,"category":158},"0x13cb2bd4d48738d986d3f9a73b1f9955993299f235d216a5044eb0bf1bd0b9ab",350,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?","ucl-rma1-bay1-2026-04-07-rma1",{"condition_id":166,"outcome":29,"usdc":167,"entry_price":168,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":169,"captured_at":13,"question":170,"event_slug":171,"category":158},"0x207995ff48217719db39a7769cfda4f8f11ba9320e6ec71371095267a22de39a",74.21000000000001,0.0672801450589302,"2026-01-18T16:30:00Z","Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?","epl-ast-eve-2026-01-18",{"condition_id":173,"outcome":29,"usdc":174,"entry_price":175,"won":12,"source":154,"end_date_iso":176,"captured_at":13,"question":177,"event_slug":178,"category":158},"0x265a3b26257a298caad9712ac84cadcec5d084ad01e45d7f22c764a21c2d23e4",200,0.2,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-before-oil-hits-120",{"condition_id":180,"outcome":29,"usdc":181,"entry_price":182,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":183,"captured_at":13,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"category":158},"0x2ca58175aa8080357d9706c535bb0be218ce7bb156dc48753e0d8b8ee6b56635",110.05000000000001,0.02934666666666667,"2026-05-27","Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?","english-premier-league-winner",{"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"usdc":188,"entry_price":189,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":190,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x2fc0edebd6d9de328bbc65d350bbe92c83b8727d4cc6211cf2931bef04cd0f98",2.9999590000000005,0.003,"Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":192,"outcome":29,"usdc":193,"entry_price":194,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":195,"captured_at":13,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"category":158},"0x3bed62b0b7e3eb52c1f0d8a5d11edad1f74989038fc1cae2889cdbe96a248dfe",35.999797,0.012000000001376522,"2026-02-05T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":199,"outcome":29,"usdc":200,"entry_price":201,"won":12,"source":154,"end_date_iso":162,"captured_at":13,"question":202,"event_slug":203,"category":158},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",545.853811,0.0814708532010175,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"usdc":206,"entry_price":207,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":208,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x57bac058325f2354f86c437addf47e18b663cfaf86efdd919fff2241cdbb27f5",713.366384999999,0.0015276922171002713,"Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":210,"outcome":29,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"category":37},"0x5d0010816af97d97145a0b2f90b10687e0280ee4d90a5e6615e606bab7b45465",144.7936,0.0482645333,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?","will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by",{"condition_id":217,"outcome":29,"usdc":218,"entry_price":219,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":220,"captured_at":13,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"category":158},"0x627432726041308b873adac030c674542d1ce920bab336eb3ce83334c8324b4d",352.52864,0.012384039131086962,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?","us-next-strikes-iran-on-843",{"condition_id":224,"outcome":29,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":13,"question":228,"event_slug":197,"category":158},"0x6bbdeb8773a1470ba1053959a446bb0912b38f6091c8794583612bfa76a81a15",53.999791,0.01800000000264763,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":154,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":158},"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2",1394,0.4224242424242424,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":243},"0x7c724b5dc9c0d7932049feb52b645f69a4f43a201fe24f8d67d271566e00868d",47.03149,0.0330793137,"2026-10-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-september-2026","Crypto",{"condition_id":245,"outcome":29,"usdc":246,"entry_price":247,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":248,"captured_at":13,"question":249,"event_slug":250,"category":158},"0x83d7a7fcc9655725507c0dd075c19a35328fdb02dae58d5ee578aecfd5e2eb7d",96,0.048,"2026-04-22","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?","bitcoin-above-on-april-22",{"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"usdc":253,"entry_price":254,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0x9dd958416ab05e989cbc2bddb8fd6e89692b675e126cc0a89d9518634acf7cc2",78.79939499999999,0.0656663862024796,"Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":257,"outcome":29,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":260,"captured_at":13,"question":261,"event_slug":197,"category":158},"0xa9f0b0c67a815b423a435c523dc9358d98ab5633de5108fe44e203e8d6c2f062",125.599784,0.018470583141273072,"2026-02-04T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":29,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":266,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0xb26f2c36379675980d5cfcb1acff62b37824bc5827775b0e1eaffc4f5db11008",23.726326999999998,0.009803219386720106,"Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":268,"outcome":29,"usdc":269,"entry_price":270,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":272,"event_slug":197,"category":158},"0xb4bc113c6da82db67b6b17d39369de522e61425dd3609b9bf9306d266230b3a7",99,0.0198,"2026-02-03T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":29,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":13,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"category":158},"0xc185f6ce2c105d6e08c258a8b222ed9091191f28a011faec54abff188ac49dae",1434.975077,0.09715506529452131,"2026-05-01","Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-april-2026",{"condition_id":281,"outcome":29,"usdc":282,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":13,"question":284,"event_slug":279,"category":158},"0xcb5c7a711ddbf3af60c3dd349d50460d8d27bee46c0cd6cd507690eb5d7646fc",534.41243,0.006882486,"Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?",{"condition_id":286,"outcome":29,"usdc":287,"entry_price":288,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":13,"question":289,"event_slug":242,"category":243},"0xccbeeab3ef57db883aaf5f347ae969ab647cc7220cd3231980a100aa675cf389",229.59337,0.11507548911273108,"Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":29,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":12,"source":154,"end_date_iso":220,"captured_at":13,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":158},"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8",2047.5065100000002,0.13826808003226373,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":29,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":157,"category":158},"0xd5db778f7930696bc1891e9bed63ec5e6bc0587746d513c40eb67e52509b955d",123.76580099999998,0.20496770841732964,"Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":302,"outcome":29,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":13,"question":305,"event_slug":279,"category":158},"0xe6ca9df9502600d4f652a725babeff09cd2947974d18351c18a3ba86cc985c50",1443.7153030000002,0.05656182744255344,"Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?",{"condition_id":307,"outcome":29,"usdc":308,"entry_price":309,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":248,"captured_at":13,"question":310,"event_slug":250,"category":158},"0xe8907dd08f51266cea2be27627084d44820a0a3db91abcadf104ae992ad5def2",69.099887,0.013819999707638237,"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?",{"condition_id":312,"outcome":29,"usdc":313,"entry_price":314,"won":17,"source":154,"end_date_iso":227,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":197,"category":158},"0xebb6eccd872f55e23da6aaf653a3460299237ebdd0a71bdb58681685fd95eb05",25.002292,0.03571806745149268,"US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?",{"total":133,"wins":141},[318,323,326],{"category":319,"n":320,"wins":141,"hitRate":321,"roi":322},"Other",24,0.20833333333333334,1.6959294192069927,{"category":243,"n":324,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":325},2,-1,{"category":37,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":325},{"generatedAt":328},"2026-10-29T17:20:50.214Z"]