[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xcb67590ab77acbd592714986fb6fd1149ca5cb63":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":310,"history":311,"resolved":335,"resolvedSummary":878,"specialization":881,"meta":905},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xcb67590ab77acbd592714986fb6fd1149ca5cb63",7944,3498,0.3047455688965123,0.17795930075436328,0.12320033037991705,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-25T19:41:58.738Z",0.8634325157232667,1.7187364777152747,"2026-09-25T23:30:20.000Z",0,"cooccurrence",0.2666330172259207,0.038112551670582986,537.4881519199333,3020.286939999987,2.2106499401520896,0.25443110348770726,[26,39,47,57,66,75,82,90,98,106,115,123,132,141,149,153,157,161,170,178,186,195,202,210,217,225,231,239,248,257,263,271,279,287,291,298,302],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"68003608521015222679268138757769131071496782683879354114198876947977145147842","0xde64f0c49c7b26baa1ed2ebb7097574de5532c2237b779ab9b415e822c12a0a0","Yes",170.4946,0.239,"2026-09-26T16:15:24.416Z","2026-09-26T00:29:32.460Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.037\", \"0.963\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"114506934001399078694836850376018822858090819663109665715795770146036210185589","0x83dc0351975e61ea9666c22265026e5cea3aa45d99ac80973299156f762cb20e",55.0068,0.3999,"Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.28\", \"0.72\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":50,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":55,"category":56},"22227662999284388929721876092506812981798617938529933916398041130249411166581","0x6b6fc067a481ea2426eab480e4041751f2d21b3af575e08be54d20f6dcdfe783","No",23.2194,0.9043,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?","iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466","[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":64,"outcome_prices":65,"category":56},"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939","0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb",17.2963,0.8652,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","[\"0.9595\", \"0.0405\"]",{"token_id":67,"condition_id":68,"outcome":29,"size":69,"avg_price":70,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":74,"category":38},"110206702460838261260907309056748048685660253710225624859348755831419983789154","0x7a4fd44956a282a1249e2191865f555976e37dd82f48bc783ec04a58a8d0450a",14.0175,0.8095,"Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?","saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.7085\", \"0.2915\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":81,"category":38},"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263","0x2a25f3fd54fd0b18fee936f7f6b701e119c86f08f6d2a621b995193851014fb3",16.1904,0.6669,"Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?","[\"0.21\", \"0.79\"]",{"token_id":83,"condition_id":84,"outcome":50,"size":85,"avg_price":86,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":87,"event_slug":88,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":89,"category":56},"4466616660652546287878751206339167591280005786877395317935492986989321679360","0x4219333003bec448d39151bfe3ea3d6fa91f15bedf23c3f26e28d304be5c893a",7.4046,0.9453,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":95,"event_slug":96,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":97,"category":38},"23545193122217391289335133742859160842475987880562465754342378273033942179195","0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",224.3876,0.0267,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]",{"token_id":99,"condition_id":100,"outcome":29,"size":101,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":105,"category":38},"88752597571738831347942513760817776151125290177540731190810686943474863159303","0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",32.8501,0.1819,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","[\"0.043\", \"0.957\"]",{"token_id":107,"condition_id":108,"outcome":50,"size":109,"avg_price":110,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":111,"event_slug":112,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":114,"category":56},"109719631173196402976582847567817158790560641472932038818342039512045728528798","0x951088c48f392379dc9b8a3becaad7a939b5fd3124ec98dd167d859350f049fc",5.5444,0.9018,"Iran full airspace closure by September 30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","2027-01-26T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":116,"condition_id":117,"outcome":29,"size":118,"avg_price":119,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":120,"event_slug":121,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":122,"category":38},"65318042793305154928481822061228422214615698483328483747495637152414701080541","0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f",41.8711,0.0826,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":124,"condition_id":125,"outcome":50,"size":126,"avg_price":127,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":128,"event_slug":129,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":130,"outcome_prices":131,"category":38},"75648553599758807820760400986240186978327005811004242427218252697572451485336","0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f",3.1371,0.9757,"Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-139","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]",{"token_id":133,"condition_id":134,"outcome":50,"size":135,"avg_price":136,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":137,"event_slug":138,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":139,"outcome_prices":140,"category":38},"17575251723632910699589265433682994835860884178986826320137675884859225059838","0x4b7b21a5cfdcc7cbb33d499c44b7f11ac754f13d3db39cd93b976141dcdb516e",3.1578,0.95,"Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025","2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":142,"condition_id":143,"outcome":29,"size":144,"avg_price":145,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":148,"category":38},"65155996440691380875542586760220883640477900840310449106732523002917845045754","0x56fda0f04440ef5a2b8f4cb1d33e256f0e28d5cb635d812b1314c8078a0a1b1d",8.3275,0.3052,"Trump renames AI by September 30?","trump-renames-ai-by-september-30","[\"0.195\", \"0.805\"]",{"token_id":150,"condition_id":100,"outcome":50,"size":151,"avg_price":152,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":105,"category":38},"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318",2.2605,0.8847,{"token_id":154,"condition_id":117,"outcome":50,"size":155,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":120,"event_slug":121,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":122,"category":38},"112428165813371561912833460698436648539922320261306010177252036814838759682453",2.1276,0.9399,{"token_id":158,"condition_id":77,"outcome":50,"size":159,"avg_price":160,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":81,"category":38},"73621988020638463989975146558576163108835874041234581749056831089553559830214",3.0769,0.6499,{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":29,"size":164,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":166,"event_slug":167,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":168,"outcome_prices":169,"category":38},"50292933818751585369672690878774599873941191925538325333138798248932182222864","0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463",5.1536,0.388,"Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.5715\", \"0.4285\"]",{"token_id":171,"condition_id":172,"outcome":29,"size":173,"avg_price":174,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":177,"category":38},"61139770230538411389047284949412909922814355881403666610794292945777025207205","0x0fe474e15375c731a7daa6647f456a387bfd65bf8284cd29aaddfb5372557585",8.1666,0.2448,"Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?","foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by","[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":29,"size":181,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":185,"category":38},"79492971912420892776290893910148058147353983898749011679176479416889510526578","0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b",18.5671,0.0783,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","[\"0.008\", \"0.992\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":50,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":193,"outcome_prices":194,"category":56},"33676235249742435565729532483122262800369378774892710387888607855248244773045","0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b",1.1142,0.8997,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412","2026-06-15T03:59:00Z","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":196,"condition_id":197,"outcome":50,"size":198,"avg_price":199,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":200,"event_slug":88,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":201,"category":56},"97182772628617766588804269117976630163066705219492689560068923388658295202770","0x1a99a7e258824376c07ac49594b5088fab16077687b0bc9c64c7af93e33601f5",1.0989,0.91,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":203,"condition_id":204,"outcome":50,"size":205,"avg_price":206,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":209,"category":56},"46916426110499253550368142106502703161047360662668353128207029805888830936915","0x1234112cd7b981e5c5f2b5aed3dd7605d0a522c0616445ab000816cebb7f4e90",1.0695,0.9349,"Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?","houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt","[\"0.035\", \"0.965\"]",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":50,"size":213,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":216,"outcome_prices":122,"category":38},"25869296386911654049715489068824757745174681288397238521780118949553760488529","0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b",1.0638,"2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":218,"condition_id":219,"outcome":50,"size":220,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":224,"category":56},"26814071380064361525541524131865519754511433588925012973616496629287457430070","0xe43eac2058693dbd067ac895986d7e1a174256aeced4ea847b98be7de37e2c21",1.2048,0.8299,"Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?","saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced-by","[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":50,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":230,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":194,"category":56},"103775278139867652925368420151914170566282318357595808142286343000646623384207","0xb818eb1084fdbc85161dda72c93e1e2da6eb3cc675aa815becb69f45f30683c9",1.1494,0.8699,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?",{"token_id":232,"condition_id":233,"outcome":50,"size":234,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":236,"event_slug":237,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":238,"outcome_prices":140,"category":38},"93353783706611366434399464001436395018236512855306397087907087884017552021673","0x660e5732754d03a62f717db5dbcdd65fca9866311da5d185f19f8ffb4bfa7f0b",1.0869,0.9199,"Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?","trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":240,"condition_id":241,"outcome":50,"size":242,"avg_price":243,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":246,"outcome_prices":247,"category":56},"3486983953322740681154139172710824630462068835789585767041735977203591506052","0x2349e6f85eaf78e840acb16ca11723bdbb51d070b8ea6439f1d05f95574ac45d",1.0298,0.9709,"Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?","israel-military-action-against-beirut-byptptpt-20260708221422557","2026-09-30T20:59:00Z","[\"0.0375\", \"0.9625\"]",{"token_id":249,"condition_id":250,"outcome":50,"size":251,"avg_price":252,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":255,"outcome_prices":256,"category":38},"101258320549136598563151071152407877964259299970114490833216765162333494362081","0x8049586fa3bffd56d1ccde63f55269a26424a505b757c92b32cffe61cb986b6a",1.0752,0.9299,"Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?","israel-x-lebanon-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]",{"token_id":258,"condition_id":259,"outcome":50,"size":251,"avg_price":252,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":262,"category":38},"10288925395471068532633288897305823589626193347054259934532654744789205254779","0x9171944ccff1e5bb85ef0cdc1579abc39e4317ee884b3da9b7aee0d83e3c834f","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]",{"token_id":264,"condition_id":265,"outcome":50,"size":266,"avg_price":267,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":270,"category":38},"32946376718020948947492335073730974226188996616718103621541947511814881485441","0xe7fdcddbf41b9641e0fd636a15e672054cbc61a8b1e0f00c4a4a96430013c7c5",1.1627,0.8599,"Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?","perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916","[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]",{"token_id":272,"condition_id":273,"outcome":50,"size":274,"avg_price":275,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":255,"outcome_prices":278,"category":38},"95255340011346560943454218799351058560290709790417116605706941976247648552780","0xaa945c2a9a2d7870ca1f3c6b6615a32c01557b822e24f0044cf86abf798cc88d",1.3888,0.7199,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-september-30-2026","[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]",{"token_id":280,"condition_id":281,"outcome":29,"size":282,"avg_price":283,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":284,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":285,"outcome_prices":286,"category":38},"66709929737272290951813714404802552933972713667462370650164549746944011951867","0x8d4a460738e6226730629344dbd015a40f5265aad3e12ce08d694c000dde7ba2",1.8867,0.5299,"Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","[\"0.51\", \"0.49\"]",{"token_id":288,"condition_id":188,"outcome":29,"size":289,"avg_price":290,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":193,"outcome_prices":194,"category":56},"31155599200443620024532103683912072563894181253510224263086924270624693692711",3.2258,0.3099,{"token_id":292,"condition_id":293,"outcome":50,"size":294,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":297,"outcome_prices":122,"category":38},"17371217118862125782438074585166210555214661810823929795910191856905580975576","0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928",1.0094,"Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":299,"condition_id":227,"outcome":29,"size":300,"avg_price":301,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":230,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":194,"category":56},"28124160639561291369865852757900361591346814138837883756455228145975719395425",3.9519,0.2099,{"token_id":303,"condition_id":304,"outcome":29,"size":305,"avg_price":306,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":307,"event_slug":308,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":309,"category":38},"90103249718343334756773580827701144244122903469501608441410963092372041632343","0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94",3.8955,0.1799,"NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",[],[312,319,326,333],{"recorded_date":313,"roi":314,"win_rate":315,"brier_score":316,"p_value":317,"resolved_trades":318,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-04",-0.05312000949074466,0.56,0.100108386802412,0.017800000000000038,50,{"recorded_date":320,"roi":321,"win_rate":322,"brier_score":323,"p_value":324,"resolved_trades":325,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-11",-0.28223861657277144,0.4358974358974359,0.08406905504760544,0.238,39,{"recorded_date":327,"roi":328,"win_rate":329,"brier_score":330,"p_value":331,"resolved_trades":332,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-18",0.12487994358626553,0.5014044943820225,0.27270745115749756,0.14700000000000002,712,{"recorded_date":334,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",[336,345,348,355,363,370,377,384,391,397,405,412,419,422,429,436,439,446,452,455,463,470,474,480,483,489,492,499,502,507,514,521,524,530,536,543,549,555,561,567,572,577,584,590,594,601,604,611,614,621,627,634,640,647,650,654,661,668,671,677,682,687,690,696,699,704,711,714,720,726,729,733,734,741,746,753,756,762,768,771,775,780,786,789,795,798,802,808,814,820,826,832,837,840,847,853,856,862,867,873],{"condition_id":337,"outcome":50,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":342,"event_slug":343,"category":344},"0x00df54aa54dced1797e6b5fab6a7ca616196117af3f61cef773759b3ad36713e",90.725204,0.03593724948417811,"backfill","2026-06-03T12:00:00Z","Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?","lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-june-3-2026",null,{"condition_id":337,"outcome":29,"usdc":346,"entry_price":347,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":342,"event_slug":343,"category":344},15.360399999999998,0.13910885709110668,{"condition_id":349,"outcome":50,"usdc":350,"entry_price":351,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":13,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":38},"0x0171fdc9ab8522b86fd0439283fb61e8d619c65635f0b6d00e285d39b2a3fbf7",2.9999900000000004,0.8251408038930368,"2026-07-07T23:59:00Z","Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?","who-will-attend-us-iran-signing-ceremony-20260615232202457",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":50,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":359,"captured_at":360,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":344},"0x0200743b501bb76457156e98736b1fd5f65835af8290c3354220773968f237b4",3.064037,0.46157996826721465,"2026-07-04T23:59:00Z","2026-08-04T07:45:54.992Z","Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?","will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-june-29-july-4-20260626160825412",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":29,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":56},"0x0619980a29b1022ba9cbdcb7da731be0be8799ecf9ff2eb5c1ee9137235b0770",0.999999,0.7889999101,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":50,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":344},"0x0878618b9c46726abebc07da56a7af278ce9d3b6c3c873249ae0f02ce8e40497",2.389478,0.75,"2026-05-27T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-27-2026",{"condition_id":378,"outcome":29,"usdc":379,"entry_price":380,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":13,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"category":344},"0x0e30093e0cd491c4529525d6f04d4c2d6353e8eea15e0f1dee8b5d71fb5628e6",1.534749,0.1189999304,"2026-05-29T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?","highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-may-29-2026",{"condition_id":385,"outcome":29,"usdc":386,"entry_price":387,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":388,"captured_at":13,"question":389,"event_slug":390,"category":344},"0x0ede52ae6b363e53728887684629f3b3fa6ac5f048460c115c035a7826539409",1.643859,0.0589999657,"2026-05-26T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?","highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-may-26-2026",{"condition_id":392,"outcome":29,"usdc":393,"entry_price":394,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":395,"captured_at":13,"question":396,"event_slug":369,"category":56},"0x0fc2ddb048f5aa3a5f05f07c480591d7a41c546387588a6345627144171f9670",0.999995,0.8799999648,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":50,"usdc":399,"entry_price":400,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":403,"category":404},"0x0ff0d500b4b71d9ee3fc7db38a654a8d124c28e774975935194b0da75d7e1652",3.349231,0.010000000000000002,"2026-06-01T12:00:00Z","Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?","lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-june-1-2026","Science",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":50,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":13,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":344},"0x136f4e242faeb42f66fa6baf4c192fbfa0b5788ed47a2bf1a3d3a2051b87715a",0.999998,0.8699999913,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?","us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":50,"usdc":12,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":416,"question":417,"event_slug":418,"category":344},"0x137cf69002f2f24c6cbc7572321db1f6fd995f53d2457fda7e52f7fd82446794",0.16,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","2026-09-18T10:50:35.673Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?","us-ceasefire-against-iran-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":29,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":416,"question":417,"event_slug":418,"category":344},0.0294,0.003,{"condition_id":423,"outcome":29,"usdc":424,"entry_price":425,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":426,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"category":38},"0x151b13b0d75a282ea864a2835963c0164c03e8fa3064c4d44026e3af5f2ff8d4",6.9999899999999995,0.40229820650043807,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z"," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-july-31",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":50,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":435,"category":38},"0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68",64.99989800000003,0.7639229106084662,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":29,"usdc":437,"entry_price":438,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":435,"category":38},7.999997,0.00794484556135613,{"condition_id":440,"outcome":50,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":444,"event_slug":445,"category":38},"0x1b0ef6a7dd0725f44b6d3de662f291ae28564ff65a0f97c5ff83521eb41403fc",1.999996,0.8749707977920034,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373",{"condition_id":447,"outcome":50,"usdc":448,"entry_price":449,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":360,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"category":38},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",7.9999850000000015,0.6798220698299559,"Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":447,"outcome":29,"usdc":453,"entry_price":454,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":360,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"category":38},13.999986000000003,0.09776097739523797,{"condition_id":456,"outcome":50,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":416,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":462},"0x1d5cd4867b48d97d017db0bb6b4ed39d7b641d882b5bc99eaa0a9e9f05e16e78",1.007486,0.849999915,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?","another-gta-vi-trailer-released-by","Culture",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":344},"0x1d60e42cf8cc12d6d3e5c3debdaa3e83ace9ec142bc992973068f013ae907d84",50.049800000000005,0.04326895119418485,"2026-05-31T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 31?","highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-may-31-2026",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":50,"usdc":472,"entry_price":394,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":395,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":88,"category":56},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",2.9999849999999997,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":50,"usdc":476,"entry_price":477,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":478,"event_slug":479,"category":344},"0x216db03a150d30d3e9a643e9bb933cfc57ee3e8519ded36e77520b27cf4544b8",30.340787999999996,0.8399999988767446,"Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?","highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-june-3-2026",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":29,"usdc":481,"entry_price":482,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":478,"event_slug":479,"category":344},13.790181,0.047915173535605225,{"condition_id":484,"outcome":50,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":416,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":344},"0x2170cff0aedcc55d57d9d69f6df9404009a4df9d2f2afc96cf4dfb29dc1c17a2",6.071275,0.7604973614269757,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":29,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":416,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":344},1.04995,0.001,{"condition_id":493,"outcome":50,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":344},"0x2697f2ddf6a9fe618ffe89d39b6eea6223a0e421a9a390e9938e585dc3c994e9",7.921829000000001,0.8167255004407721,"2026-05-28T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?","highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-may-28-2026",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":29,"usdc":500,"entry_price":501,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":344},4.57723,0.14161290322580644,{"condition_id":503,"outcome":29,"usdc":365,"entry_price":504,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":505,"event_slug":506,"category":38},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",0.3309997825,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":29,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":13,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":404},"0x2c46564ba2572f848f2d2a7e193423c9494d57c400f4e9a1d1ff20cd2869330f",3.0945400000000003,0.06466321913380738,"2026-06-02T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 2?","highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-june-2-2026",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":50,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",2.010693,0.865998777191631,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":38},6.232715999999999,0.028004317566283146,{"condition_id":525,"outcome":29,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":13,"question":529,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x2df300d7831176cc00acf06ddaadf29a5d761476fa7f8e4f8978febd7da92d27",3.9999979999999997,0.1679744745860883,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?",{"condition_id":531,"outcome":29,"usdc":532,"entry_price":533,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":534,"captured_at":416,"question":535,"event_slug":63,"category":56},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",0.999997,0.7899999921,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":29,"usdc":538,"entry_price":539,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":540,"captured_at":13,"question":541,"event_slug":542,"category":404},"0x30f1202f88d7b53366404790c3a20e5eddca3b3a44ecea0778075bbcffb39c9f",4.833308999999999,0.05836292620070508,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-31-2026-29c",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":29,"usdc":545,"entry_price":546,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":540,"captured_at":13,"question":547,"event_slug":548,"category":344},"0x34ccb4064d733877f5fb8c5842ca01e3606b263b78e27719321d4f00f1311c44",2.284159,0.1399999463,"Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 31?","highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-may-31-2026-33c",{"condition_id":550,"outcome":29,"usdc":365,"entry_price":551,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":552,"captured_at":13,"question":553,"event_slug":554,"category":38},"0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6",0.0889999114,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":29,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":404},"0x3d5eaa5ebfc6537b0fcc1b8258f857913384c70b26c2418a702897cd1bf3d15b",2.50069,0.05353650181973881,"Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 2?","highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-june-2-2026",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":29,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":566,"category":344},"0x40406af1d42fc6fede465cadf4f822f9e0ab1e4057254552cedbe5e2c5de593d",35.168107,0.7766564343544746,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-29-2026",{"condition_id":568,"outcome":50,"usdc":569,"entry_price":570,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":416,"question":571,"event_slug":88,"category":56},"0x415f0ea19ba0b3bbcae27ffc1253e7514389dc273adff12d67acbefb7860a9d7",3.999987,0.8176899203540006,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?",{"condition_id":573,"outcome":50,"usdc":574,"entry_price":575,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":360,"question":576,"event_slug":451,"category":38},"0x41ba322441190c465ec75e5866c6a5a3d429cf4d1efe2682026e8dcd5dbc37db",3.999996,0.7708805739057101,"Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":29,"usdc":579,"entry_price":580,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":581,"captured_at":13,"question":582,"event_slug":583,"category":404},"0x41cb008bb0ed130615c224715876b26728f5e614334a491665268845d7590593",6.689941999999999,0.012185815442130354,"2026-06-03T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-june-3-2026-31c",{"condition_id":585,"outcome":50,"usdc":586,"entry_price":587,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":588,"captured_at":416,"question":589,"event_slug":104,"category":38},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",2.999993,0.7915018360248389,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":591,"outcome":50,"usdc":407,"entry_price":592,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":593,"event_slug":445,"category":38},"0x42262c2c4226f762eeee2b435dade8407772d2a7548436390f81f7f9ed48ccf8",0.8699992344,"Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?",{"condition_id":595,"outcome":50,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":598,"captured_at":416,"question":599,"event_slug":600,"category":344},"0x42b633e7acfedf301c4eb85acefc7430f2e76825c1f3324a39a5582d7a26599b",32.99996899999999,0.539923935771785,"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",{"condition_id":595,"outcome":29,"usdc":602,"entry_price":603,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":598,"captured_at":416,"question":599,"event_slug":600,"category":344},7.999999,0.4443182765513817,{"condition_id":605,"outcome":50,"usdc":606,"entry_price":607,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":608,"captured_at":360,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":38},"0x46dd571d8c32bd58dcc553ae6c2a1ae8dda6d1ec69943bc0f771ea5c35132ca5",1.999998,0.3797366979051939,"2026-06-18T03:59:00Z","Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?","us-iran-deal-text-released-byptptpt-20260615224044572",{"condition_id":605,"outcome":29,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":608,"captured_at":360,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":38},7.9999899999999995,0.4426488249458523,{"condition_id":615,"outcome":29,"usdc":616,"entry_price":617,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":618,"captured_at":13,"question":619,"event_slug":620,"category":404},"0x498f616df59136b18d32d37a05b7261300a147963ebd87357b275e00fa921ea3",4.968699,0.034999993,"2026-05-29T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-29-2026-32c",{"condition_id":622,"outcome":29,"usdc":623,"entry_price":624,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":38},"0x4a050a1ba7e17d01f69af71e99e0e353ee984e575581030a1f806347972d2d08",2.056778,0.2899998666,"Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?","will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":29,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":631,"captured_at":416,"question":632,"event_slug":633,"category":344},"0x4bda4a4df34e9929e7eecb7ee1adc0b6497ee79dddffe14be4b24237cd116cb7",10.999993,0.6222160339970637,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260629155934230",{"condition_id":635,"outcome":29,"usdc":636,"entry_price":637,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":638,"event_slug":639,"category":404},"0x4d78d2ced1b9c16160b10ae61ab1dbaa63e431a97f38b27e0da4a0cb6f4959f1",4.98006,0.026962966973470493,"Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 1?","highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-june-1-2026",{"condition_id":641,"outcome":50,"usdc":642,"entry_price":643,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":644,"captured_at":416,"question":645,"event_slug":646,"category":344},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",13.999973,0.7528675300643465,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":641,"outcome":29,"usdc":648,"entry_price":649,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":644,"captured_at":416,"question":645,"event_slug":646,"category":344},96.99990300000015,0.6228373268504283,{"condition_id":651,"outcome":50,"usdc":393,"entry_price":652,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":653,"event_slug":445,"category":38},"0x5293370940832d9e4cb63684e3ec9f47559b01cb6efb183937f5832d86912dc2",0.889999911,"Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?",{"condition_id":655,"outcome":50,"usdc":656,"entry_price":657,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":658,"captured_at":13,"question":659,"event_slug":660,"category":38},"0x545e1bf6ec42e0e8a776a3c3e11ed225f8d3dfcc74f98656e142f99a2b718383",7.9999720000000005,0.8275914150448351,"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":50,"usdc":663,"entry_price":664,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":416,"question":666,"event_slug":667,"category":344},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",5.9999899999999995,0.468681076883635,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":29,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":665,"captured_at":416,"question":666,"event_slug":667,"category":344},10.999988000000002,0.21543299836848206,{"condition_id":672,"outcome":29,"usdc":673,"entry_price":674,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":13,"question":675,"event_slug":676,"category":344},"0x591fe465284afb7544640cd69c76160df286bd25444ccee9e5c407dce48f1ada",2.618119,0.0549999798,"Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?","lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-29-2026",{"condition_id":678,"outcome":50,"usdc":393,"entry_price":652,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":679,"captured_at":13,"question":680,"event_slug":681,"category":38},"0x5a27ddbd2965784c01ef0a53d440a9cfc08e815f63f0d923ed8734af36872add","2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290",{"condition_id":683,"outcome":50,"usdc":684,"entry_price":685,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":416,"question":686,"event_slug":667,"category":344},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",58.99994100000006,0.42901272729344897,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":683,"outcome":29,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":416,"question":686,"event_slug":667,"category":344},128.9998820000002,0.32686970866984744,{"condition_id":691,"outcome":50,"usdc":692,"entry_price":693,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":694,"event_slug":695,"category":404},"0x5e631305f2e5756130a67da51306ed48c142104c4cb6b5aa92c3daa56ec2c473",9.299468,0.8511523984442975,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-june-1-2026",{"condition_id":691,"outcome":29,"usdc":697,"entry_price":698,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":694,"event_slug":695,"category":404},15.110145000000001,0.08796438015151649,{"condition_id":700,"outcome":29,"usdc":606,"entry_price":701,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":702,"event_slug":703,"category":56},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",0.02423955998379994,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":705,"outcome":50,"usdc":706,"entry_price":707,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":708,"captured_at":416,"question":709,"event_slug":710,"category":344},"0x60613b262912ce2e3138ec5610a31a2f932b6300843c094053cb33aaff9f2238",5.047445,0.8003512912429289,"2026-08-17T23:59:00Z","Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?","kai-and-speed-beat-minecraft-challenge-byptptpt-20260807141254095",{"condition_id":705,"outcome":29,"usdc":712,"entry_price":713,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":708,"captured_at":416,"question":709,"event_slug":710,"category":344},17.354813,0.5436752689612772,{"condition_id":715,"outcome":50,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":416,"question":718,"event_slug":719,"category":344},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",15.999923000000003,0.8793681863066967,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":721,"outcome":50,"usdc":722,"entry_price":723,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":540,"captured_at":360,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",5,0.002,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":721,"outcome":29,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":540,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":38},9.999991,0.4558609710313822,{"condition_id":730,"outcome":50,"usdc":365,"entry_price":731,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":631,"captured_at":416,"question":732,"event_slug":667,"category":344},"0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3",0.2799998432,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":29,"usdc":393,"entry_price":394,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":631,"captured_at":416,"question":732,"event_slug":667,"category":344},{"condition_id":735,"outcome":50,"usdc":736,"entry_price":737,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":738,"captured_at":13,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"category":344},"0x6389dc74e27218b50657af632dbca4c5005d241c760bd979944bcd0d68493380",9.414,0.08,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?","president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":29,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":745,"event_slug":451,"category":38},"0x639d8b6161b0f21aa3bbefc68223b09572d14228e903809b706c84443e8067ff",4.999989,0.8373179708596267,"Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?",{"condition_id":747,"outcome":50,"usdc":748,"entry_price":749,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":750,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":752,"category":404},"0x64e9c1371679bb0cb5e49fca73dac2b48def2a38a4089e4264be9fd91fa6320d",23.36565,0.77,"2026-06-04T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-june-4-2026-33c",{"condition_id":747,"outcome":29,"usdc":754,"entry_price":755,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":750,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":752,"category":404},19.92,0.20000000000000004,{"condition_id":757,"outcome":29,"usdc":758,"entry_price":759,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":760,"captured_at":416,"question":761,"event_slug":63,"category":56},"0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",5.999994,0.485769922618502,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",{"condition_id":763,"outcome":50,"usdc":764,"entry_price":765,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":766,"event_slug":767,"category":344},"0x6b8800519f19095a4c1410780ee52b316d0589a209449b9e60abd5538b44c143",68.09435,0.7475771723607603,"Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?","highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-june-1-2026",{"condition_id":763,"outcome":29,"usdc":769,"entry_price":770,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":766,"event_slug":767,"category":344},15.235109,0.17233144393095948,{"condition_id":772,"outcome":50,"usdc":407,"entry_price":773,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":13,"question":774,"event_slug":104,"category":38},"0x71dd44fa5059fbed28a279172185d3623aa34ce86be1936281df26b5d1b87200",0.8899994126,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":776,"outcome":50,"usdc":606,"entry_price":777,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":778,"event_slug":779,"category":38},"0x724a93f3e0ed0a6c83d2b4f2bc60839b39a92cc2c7cbac0169447f48d72537ab",0.1499998875,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by July 31?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":50,"usdc":782,"entry_price":783,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":581,"captured_at":13,"question":784,"event_slug":785,"category":404},"0x72dba0d44cf863dcbfe8e7abc36a3e88f632042a4ef52d75a2e0c682809a75b4",142.430227,0.7894349703020173,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-june-3-2026-32c",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":29,"usdc":787,"entry_price":788,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":581,"captured_at":13,"question":784,"event_slug":785,"category":404},66.137001,0.10534608505187432,{"condition_id":790,"outcome":50,"usdc":791,"entry_price":792,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":793,"event_slug":794,"category":344},"0x73590227c80530cd786250286f3001699dbd30f7ece0f9b51a4af07279b06656",17.761259,0.6046572123045361,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-june-3-2026",{"condition_id":790,"outcome":29,"usdc":796,"entry_price":797,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":793,"event_slug":794,"category":344},23.357159,0.13786012485824373,{"condition_id":799,"outcome":29,"usdc":365,"entry_price":800,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":395,"captured_at":13,"question":801,"event_slug":54,"category":56},"0x75dd98fa62a51db40b0349e5db1f6b5d0da7481287586752db91278a7822ef15",0.0699999363,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":29,"usdc":804,"entry_price":805,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":581,"captured_at":13,"question":806,"event_slug":807,"category":404},"0x772c06e7a951ee7a2478bfeac7e35e7877d8ce14613cf14913fd9cecdac38ed2",77.77528400000003,0.058784841263804025,"Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?","highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-june-3-2026-39corhigher",{"condition_id":809,"outcome":29,"usdc":810,"entry_price":811,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":812,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":660,"category":38},"0x79c850d5dd022d89aaf4f92105657d7a2e0518d4e4d4cf6cdce44d385fe029a7",16.999983000000004,0.027489062478738748,"2026-07-11T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":29,"usdc":816,"entry_price":817,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":360,"question":818,"event_slug":819,"category":38},"0x7fd1fba1f81e6c97248fba1567da883afa6995e7b271204641b66adc6cf7143a",1.0398,0.0049416881,"Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?","will-trump-pardon-tiger-woods-by-june-30",{"condition_id":821,"outcome":29,"usdc":822,"entry_price":823,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":824,"captured_at":416,"question":825,"event_slug":667,"category":344},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",16.999982000000006,0.4344377536417458,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":827,"outcome":50,"usdc":828,"entry_price":829,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":830,"event_slug":831,"category":56},"0x86f43746cbd692719483aaeedc657eef89d9ffb91d6ffceacb1edf533e049516",5.999980000000001,0.8534956953329266,"Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":833,"outcome":50,"usdc":834,"entry_price":835,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":618,"captured_at":13,"question":836,"event_slug":779,"category":38},"0x876047c0df88886ddbe468fe811bc75a667da45a552d798e626ecfc5c60d52d9",24.99994600000001,0.7734670646395828,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 12?",{"condition_id":833,"outcome":29,"usdc":838,"entry_price":839,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":618,"captured_at":13,"question":836,"event_slug":779,"category":38},11.999995000000002,0.006355490474884026,{"condition_id":841,"outcome":29,"usdc":842,"entry_price":843,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":844,"captured_at":416,"question":845,"event_slug":846,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",8.052484999999999,0.8687368243759234,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":848,"outcome":50,"usdc":849,"entry_price":850,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":851,"event_slug":852,"category":404},"0x8977a97ea9b32e15631559caf815986f0115ace65dbe680fc2f3569b28c431d9",3.796374,0.8599999909,"Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 31?","lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-31-2026",{"condition_id":848,"outcome":29,"usdc":854,"entry_price":855,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":467,"captured_at":13,"question":851,"event_slug":852,"category":404},1.0002,0.060000000000000005,{"condition_id":857,"outcome":29,"usdc":858,"entry_price":859,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":860,"event_slug":861,"category":38},"0x8b08f0f9f302e2c4f54e4eb238b2954df5fd33218cc713ff83808d47687e5ba2",5.140356000000001,0.286286958244496,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-june-30",{"condition_id":863,"outcome":29,"usdc":864,"entry_price":865,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":416,"question":866,"event_slug":488,"category":344},"0x8c312c5aec6e368da4eb6caf90fd8f325f8ce9438f2aa6f9274dded41e5f251e",36.673201,0.624207305932829,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":868,"outcome":29,"usdc":869,"entry_price":870,"won":17,"source":340,"end_date_iso":540,"captured_at":13,"question":871,"event_slug":872,"category":404},"0x9159b2d37c2641dc0be94c51ffdcd2b1769dc9d6f9bb204ec48cb64c05a7fadb",0.37764,0.02,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-31-2026-28c",{"condition_id":874,"outcome":50,"usdc":875,"entry_price":876,"won":12,"source":340,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":877,"event_slug":445,"category":38},"0x9238690bc7157a8a6788205fb13690ad8bcd9ec598ff7f79cbc04f7ad6d9c828",1.9999959999999999,0.719172346041984,"Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?",{"total":879,"wins":880},190,94,[882,888,893,898,903],{"category":883,"n":884,"wins":885,"hitRate":886,"roi":887},"Other",79,37,0.46835443037974683,0.29172103178550207,{"category":38,"n":889,"wins":890,"hitRate":891,"roi":892},65,38,0.5846153846153846,0.3946815046089774,{"category":404,"n":894,"wins":895,"hitRate":896,"roi":897},30,7,0.23333333333333334,-0.2785290013968516,{"category":56,"n":899,"wins":900,"hitRate":901,"roi":902},15,11,0.7333333333333333,-0.31052773890934704,{"category":462,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":904},0.1764707058823647,{"generatedAt":906},"2026-09-26T16:20:32.272Z"]