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Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?","mistral-large-4-text-arena-debut-20261007",{"condition_id":338,"outcome":29,"usdc":345,"entry_price":346,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":13,"question":342,"event_slug":343,"category":38},24.88691,0.32050558108995403,{"condition_id":348,"outcome":29,"usdc":349,"entry_price":350,"won":12,"source":341,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":352,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":355},"0x009cb79c526eff4af80e0e568c648a165a837c0417f4e1de3cde02bfc4a3ab42",0.189543,0.1700001256,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","2026-09-21T08:47:29.534Z","Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?","gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30",null,{"condition_id":357,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":361,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":38},"0x0141393334ca9d16c7170bc7cf24dd5b7562bdae05b05d27bb83526ed9c85c62",0.5935,0.013,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","2026-10-01T08:10:27.715Z","Will 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2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":424,"outcome":29,"usdc":425,"entry_price":426,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":343,"category":38},"0x0edb2842978e65dc8ab149c7c5f2a86899ea895ada224f37a7024210f7504818",295.38164,0.6912941176470588,"Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":42,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":361,"question":433,"event_slug":434,"category":38},"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517",4.999999,0.2699999681,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?","elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":29,"usdc":437,"entry_price":438,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":439,"captured_at":352,"question":440,"event_slug":441,"category":38},"0x0fc751446629fdf52b5ce3f816a52d443dafe0e6dc68a4001ec14bdb38fb39d5",21.77102,0.653,"2026-06-28T00:00:00Z","Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?","when-will-gpt-5pt6-be-released",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":42,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":12,"source":341,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":352,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":355},"0x11b117ac8c42ff5a998dbf18fffb1674e79682ce886b1d575f998931de20f0db",30.4829,0.6054200595829196,"2026-05-03T00:00:00Z","Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?","how-many-5pt5-or-above-earthquakes-april-27-may-3",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":29,"usdc":450,"entry_price":451,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":352,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":355},20.06,0.17,{"condition_id":453,"outcome":29,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":12,"source":341,"end_date_iso":456,"captured_at":352,"question":457,"event_slug":458,"category":459},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",819.8401519999999,0.759300903416531,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196","Politics",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":42,"usdc":462,"entry_price":463,"won":12,"source":341,"end_date_iso":464,"captured_at":13,"question":465,"event_slug":466,"category":38},"0x179eb1cb19e5204e1a81a8b24a11c08097dbe9c3ca412d74b6d70568a5f4f84b",27.26129,0.7575611672278338,"2026-10-07T03:59:00Z","Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be 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2026?","gemini-argon-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":481,"outcome":29,"usdc":482,"entry_price":483,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":352,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"category":38},"0x198d1d520cf88f5ea7c10aac8bd164bb9982a1aecbf8c00c4497babe1f6acff0",19.541919999999998,0.1936734693877551,"Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?","which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on",{"condition_id":487,"outcome":29,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":17,"source":341,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":361,"question":490,"event_slug":363,"category":38},"0x1b3b1c9bfea0928c2cb9257d6a0d3b2b624dbfbd4f85eee32191927e55bbf0eb",90.79714000000001,0.8327850630813151,"Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 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