[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x853c37a959a5791b849e3f3225c7f5963746bd03":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":112,"history":113,"resolved":203,"resolvedSummary":819,"specialization":822,"meta":859},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x853c37a959a5791b849e3f3225c7f5963746bd03",7209,2474,0.3658043654001617,0.2460510293515837,0.190218955169812,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-23T20:04:23.920Z",467.37765477364695,2.8370720188902006,"2026-09-23T23:10:58.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.4060454091647541,-0.04024104376459186,284506.9150530848,1156292.3179100025,-4.024104376459186,0.08100929614873838,[26,39,48,57,65,75,84,93,102],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"82451877629171120215863095786536212994223779959523554468642312484613145998263","0x2a25f3fd54fd0b18fee936f7f6b701e119c86f08f6d2a621b995193851014fb3","Yes",8114.5833,0.4771,"2026-09-24T08:50:38.130Z","2026-09-24T04:17:21.516Z","Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?","saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.48\", \"0.52\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"43504441976532955504668735648901838581349875428779027954101411039746251692384","0xe435a492cb36682914844b5400bb33d57137be8a0544ff54543eea6770ff0b34",365.06,0.5512,"Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?","next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"45313988090629374068361643690771780216420547004011337307213397749493003770801","0xc9fee31b3bb3ca3c089070889cd188a7e5488269ca27562f5cb5ccff1410146c",973.1842,0.1494,"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?","next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt","2026-09-24T23:59:00Z","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":64,"category":38},"102963946476301464155846348149714317918722387635971948099097519511899201326439","0xbc0079f0872035a9eccf8920c3ceb807750685c25a5f5dcd8a8a235a34cd7bb0",90,0.55,"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?","will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":29,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":73,"category":74},"102273125520114938519216614710903992025921674305011346395011676506550437288786","0xf6e2d7134bb87407d14ef53f25ab9ca4b6b2ef296e8cec07adcc475e29d8cefc",47.08,0.9224,"Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?","which-exchange-will-anthropic-list-on","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.961\", \"0.039\"]","Tech",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":83,"category":38},"113554065784583982283474175715580352796691513458634562714910467844833187270327","0xa21c1378ce4a61b02af5d7d3b1ce8d32749e76567cf5f8b92a87c80fc226e616",233.08,0.0693,"RFK Jr. Out by October 31?","rfk-jr-out-by-october-31","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":29,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":92,"category":38},"42064639240351243945329111154248646635805042624685077797388575127753740369786","0x59bb2cc4b116c5137e858222c867638bcd78b236db7656adf93114fcdf62b902",41,0.2936,"Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?","will-venezuelan-crude-oil-production-reach-barrels-per-day-in-2026","2027-02-28T00:00:00Z","[\"0.21\", \"0.79\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":29,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":101,"category":74},"85764810661890813771489840556377858616189429056396278979968719916453430333444","0xe66a42fe0f80f98c64305f795e4b8770226c7fdb3595dc7beab2e6d298a26c77",82.1,0.1059,"Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026?","openais-valuation-end-of-september-2026","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.3075\", \"0.6925\"]",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":105,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":111,"category":38},"43861979122645662802978050494072670730248093537696164580237639520669702174936","0x3445836e43dca8145d09435480dde2d09348b6a585e26c42cc227b7dae7555b1","No",11.8524,0.6099,"Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?","which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",[],[114,120,126,133,140,147,154,160,167,174,181,188,194,201],{"recorded_date":115,"roi":116,"win_rate":117,"brier_score":118,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":119,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-19",-0.06959690271950435,0.3597560975609756,0.18610496328774095,656,{"recorded_date":121,"roi":122,"win_rate":123,"brier_score":124,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":125,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-27",-0.13266621229538492,0.32517482517482516,0.1807943836007952,572,{"recorded_date":127,"roi":128,"win_rate":129,"brier_score":130,"p_value":131,"resolved_trades":132,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-04",-0.1094190160747073,0.32717190388170053,0.16388181306117985,0.0021999999999999797,541,{"recorded_date":134,"roi":135,"win_rate":136,"brier_score":137,"p_value":138,"resolved_trades":139,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-11",-0.10714245497029848,0.3850267379679144,0.15653179797600505,0.03160000000000007,374,{"recorded_date":141,"roi":142,"win_rate":143,"brier_score":144,"p_value":145,"resolved_trades":146,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-18",-0.2888576690390588,0.37183098591549296,0.15624379692269638,0.12860000000000005,355,{"recorded_date":148,"roi":149,"win_rate":150,"brier_score":151,"p_value":152,"resolved_trades":153,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-25",-0.2916238766819046,0.3611111111111111,0.15380633409200162,0.06020000000000003,324,{"recorded_date":155,"roi":156,"win_rate":157,"brier_score":158,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":159,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-02",-0.3753878426853458,0.3764705882352941,0.0794612705984733,255,{"recorded_date":161,"roi":162,"win_rate":163,"brier_score":164,"p_value":165,"resolved_trades":166,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-10",-0.44790112898138323,0.3651452282157676,0.07210163844841239,0.006000000000000005,241,{"recorded_date":168,"roi":169,"win_rate":170,"brier_score":171,"p_value":172,"resolved_trades":173,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-17",-0.4477437978966521,0.36666666666666664,0.07223539527528078,0.0052000000000000934,240,{"recorded_date":175,"roi":176,"win_rate":177,"brier_score":178,"p_value":179,"resolved_trades":180,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-24",-0.4177348099840094,0.3697478991596639,0.07233779355490498,0.0036000000000000476,238,{"recorded_date":182,"roi":183,"win_rate":184,"brier_score":185,"p_value":186,"resolved_trades":187,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-31",-0.4999325616776273,0.3623853211009174,0.07516533124749768,0.007800000000000029,218,{"recorded_date":189,"roi":190,"win_rate":191,"brier_score":192,"p_value":186,"resolved_trades":193,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-08",-0.508104069434309,0.3584905660377358,0.0756678298188455,212,{"recorded_date":195,"roi":196,"win_rate":197,"brier_score":198,"p_value":199,"resolved_trades":200,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-16",-0.7317827930911497,0.2670807453416149,0.043957998175265064,0.7188000000000001,161,{"recorded_date":202,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",[204,213,220,228,235,238,245,252,259,266,273,281,288,295,302,310,316,323,330,333,340,347,354,357,364,370,377,384,389,395,400,406,412,419,426,432,439,446,452,457,462,468,471,477,484,489,496,499,505,511,518,524,531,534,541,548,554,560,566,573,579,585,588,595,602,607,614,620,627,633,639,646,653,658,665,668,673,678,684,690,696,701,707,713,719,726,733,739,746,752,758,765,772,777,784,791,797,803,809,812],{"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"usdc":206,"entry_price":207,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":212},"0x0008c221e7c6144fc68b08c1c02772772dca41f77a25a56f3acd5688ec450d98",1234.11615,0.0903229694,"backfill","","Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?","which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31",null,{"condition_id":214,"outcome":105,"usdc":215,"entry_price":216,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"category":212},"0x004c15721e0d74126ee440e299b325f1874fe17f8792809486390c009b85dbd5",2899.991827,0.29000000012691296,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?","will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":105,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":225,"question":226,"event_slug":227,"category":212},"0x01525cfed291b461a16123c86a4576f54a2487bba450fa6e9089d6a43cd3007a",507.69408,0.48882976116605903,"2026-05-06T00:00:00Z","2026-06-19T22:37:30.607Z","Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?","rare-earths-americas-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":229,"outcome":105,"usdc":230,"entry_price":231,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":233,"event_slug":234,"category":38},"0x0171fdc9ab8522b86fd0439283fb61e8d619c65635f0b6d00e285d39b2a3fbf7",43.46,0.2263541667,"2026-07-07T23:59:00Z","Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?","who-will-attend-us-iran-signing-ceremony-20260615232202457",{"condition_id":229,"outcome":29,"usdc":236,"entry_price":237,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":233,"event_slug":234,"category":38},433.2382,0.4204522471468337,{"condition_id":239,"outcome":105,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":225,"question":243,"event_slug":244,"category":38},"0x01cde1a8833d5095b44aeda4ecf3d3ec0ed13092a3ffba82cd1b1af078a7d0d8",1974.4157,0.5850467287063175,"2026-04-19T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":246,"outcome":105,"usdc":247,"entry_price":248,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":13,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":212},"0x02a6f1f6c6c5f9d41e099fd017ae646fbbecd06ca9ecdf1a963fb4551329270c",2232.8716,0.8282133968307384,"2026-03-06T17:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?","donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-february-27-march-6",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":29,"usdc":254,"entry_price":255,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":257,"event_slug":258,"category":212},"0x02d6cae5436e23d280a978bdcba71aad22d3d912150cf81e67f9cf51c8fd00c5",608.5121999999999,0.8395471916903452,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?","will-israel-strike-lebanon-on-928",{"condition_id":260,"outcome":105,"usdc":261,"entry_price":262,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":225,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"category":212},"0x036f32b7b18291ff94d09f0c11830d8b839aafd0148e644207be97a4f9bd5a8a",9.16545,0.301,"2026-04-30","U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?","us-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-april-15",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":105,"usdc":268,"entry_price":269,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":212},"0x042d356426b1d579a30a85d399615bb25d2de9477c6cea354b603cb2537a4e86",17.639,0.7184928717,"2025-12-18T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Invasion\" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?","what-will-trump-say-at-national-defense-authorization-act-signing-on-december-18",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":29,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":277,"captured_at":225,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"category":280},"0x04b6d6630d49e6513355ff045c96439c929335cb0d18da7792dea6c2fc717ead",508.249989,0.4499999995,"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","Will France win on 2026-06-16?","fifwc-fra-sen-2026-06-16","Sports",{"condition_id":282,"outcome":105,"usdc":283,"entry_price":284,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"category":212},"0x05a622126d64bbfcb489e13e885d1f3b770db17bc8f62381e000e6a3197e46bd",2824.3400300000003,0.823608791450499,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?","mitch-mcconnell-votes-in-the-senate-by-july-31-20260707171829812",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":29,"usdc":290,"entry_price":291,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":292,"captured_at":13,"question":293,"event_slug":294,"category":212},"0x06b19e82f8583f700a3df4ed02abdedf32b4c8cd9bd6cf2502230ef199010c32",1157.6052880000002,0.2832750712136905,"2026-06-30T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":296,"outcome":105,"usdc":297,"entry_price":298,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"category":212},"0x08904a92f855b77c44bff013bdb40980a94c403a1dabaa80606a683a10bf5e2a",351,0.8775,"2025-12-17T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hanukkah\" while addressing the nation on December 17?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-address-on-december-17",{"condition_id":303,"outcome":304,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":307,"captured_at":13,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"category":212},"0x0891e4792a016a079765dd25029639cd731f7dc0bde3d65d6002b2b19dae2777","Switzerland",5.243119,0.0274999948,"2026-07-12T01:00:00Z","Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance","fifwc-arg-che-2026-07-11-more-markets",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":105,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":314,"event_slug":315,"category":212},"0x096091ce8191d44656521aa84f5115dcec044f134a8ed24c34ca4b47fdf03f3d",2231.336143,0.5175525288376543,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?","will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by",{"condition_id":317,"outcome":29,"usdc":318,"entry_price":319,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"category":74},"0x0a7e71104968403d863330abe7a4b7c1871281e96e878761ba49d75d6b6a57a4",518.147529,0.0926232072,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? ","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":324,"outcome":105,"usdc":325,"entry_price":326,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":212},"0x0ac3d32c765a92cffb8c9907e0591e7a000a8b8631c4fe67cbd9ae31a53c502b",554.2356,0.5766559846791036,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?","paramount-acquires-warner-bros-discovery-by-june-30",{"condition_id":324,"outcome":29,"usdc":331,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":212},672.8492,0.5101516392,{"condition_id":334,"outcome":29,"usdc":335,"entry_price":336,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":337,"captured_at":225,"question":338,"event_slug":339,"category":38},"0x0c763cc9066c1733ffa440212b0a2bb491171177a41aef4a5af958a71f3263f6",9366.807700000001,0.41111863257470377,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Weed rescheduled by June 30?","weed-rescheduled-by-march-31",{"condition_id":341,"outcome":29,"usdc":342,"entry_price":343,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":344,"captured_at":13,"question":345,"event_slug":346,"category":212},"0x0d90c2c5af4f82b61757b45dad102ffab55833a9a3b8f964818dd5212a66439e",761.73901,0.10443851372414399,"2026-07-31T20:59:00Z","Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?","mykhailo-fedorov-reinstated-as-ukrainian-defense-minister-byptptpt-20260716185015029",{"condition_id":348,"outcome":105,"usdc":349,"entry_price":350,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":225,"question":352,"event_slug":353,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",9242.444298,0.6288293598710838,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":348,"outcome":29,"usdc":355,"entry_price":356,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":225,"question":352,"event_slug":353,"category":38},40122.91702499998,0.13966751516800655,{"condition_id":358,"outcome":29,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":225,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":212},"0x0ebc73f34cfd4f159c1da12f7ba118d799b98c2d39d84cbfd6aea919c1c992db",1508.6257799999998,0.8559824678763298,"2026-07-03T00:00:00Z","Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?","when-will-jerome-powell-depart-as-fed-chair",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":105,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":38},"0x0f4f0fe506891f560fb594af964dc5f75e378c22341b4c6311f73bf0ea6d0eb5",988.6008,0.88,"US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?","us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":29,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":375,"event_slug":376,"category":280},"0x0f8de21a80996a54ced1327cbf4e0702d417e1f49ec6ebe267bc5664c7f36d90",1021.149978,0.29491525388544093,"2026-06-22T01:00:00Z","Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?","fifwc-nzl-egy-2026-06-21",{"condition_id":378,"outcome":29,"usdc":379,"entry_price":380,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":381,"captured_at":13,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"category":280},"0x0ff22cf1f7f86a8f6a1f46ebff9afc02d2f2f8be82ed1655a079fd2f8b8d450e",2589.230789,0.49354681071965334,"2026-10-31T03:59:00Z","Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?","nba-lebron-james-next-team",{"condition_id":385,"outcome":105,"usdc":386,"entry_price":387,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":388,"event_slug":315,"category":212},"0x1204e81bd79e5caf0065549828d8c759b94c1914aef018a8535c986064cbe0b7",1479.9967689999999,0.37000000005098027,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?",{"condition_id":390,"outcome":105,"usdc":391,"entry_price":392,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":393,"event_slug":394,"category":212},"0x12d1b41c90a2ff07173ab2469aad97fb9e80f781b36c32f99fbf4ae28a28b42a",67.6852,0.34153395905162987,"Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-january",{"condition_id":396,"outcome":105,"usdc":397,"entry_price":398,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":399,"event_slug":272,"category":212},"0x1336a89428661aa830afb690666c53ef54875717f435d1a400d7dc3ea39a541f",136.8,0.4717241379,"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?",{"condition_id":401,"outcome":29,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":212},"0x13419cc3e895bf60225558dadd022c11597814a40ea15b25f99539a111ca5592",166.772,0.6311861328,"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":29,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":212},"0x136f4e242faeb42f66fa6baf4c192fbfa0b5788ed47a2bf1a3d3a2051b87715a",1000,0.2932299258,"Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?","us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":105,"usdc":414,"entry_price":415,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":416,"captured_at":13,"question":417,"event_slug":418,"category":212},"0x137cf69002f2f24c6cbc7572321db1f6fd995f53d2457fda7e52f7fd82446794",93.417,0.0365481221,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?","us-ceasefire-against-iran-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":420,"outcome":29,"usdc":421,"entry_price":422,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":225,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"category":74},"0x13ca9f55fed9ce4094d90fe1ab5f63c0d371d1589dfffe247a3c1c13d6fb0477",2273.918799,0.18998680664524845,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?","spacex-ipo-by",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":29,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":225,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":38},"0x1405c48e77b260f7ddf832897117a4d5260093195334dc787e1d26cc2cac06a0",7.55727,0.02,"Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 2?","will-the-senate-pass-a-reconciliation-bill-by-june-2",{"condition_id":433,"outcome":29,"usdc":434,"entry_price":435,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":13,"question":437,"event_slug":438,"category":212},"0x14362b4e5faaccb203b2c3a30a4f325b62acf7d12918af3530204c3442bafcab",429.44294,0.17182611894617364,"2026-07-06T23:59:00Z","Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?","iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260625225210236",{"condition_id":440,"outcome":29,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":225,"question":444,"event_slug":445,"category":212},"0x145f05020d49be5bbf9c6b9f143aa1ccec85c5898b195387b1aa0b358e2259ab",899.9955,0.45,"2026-05-07T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"World Cup\" during events with Brazilian president?","what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-brazilian-president",{"condition_id":447,"outcome":105,"usdc":448,"entry_price":449,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"category":212},"0x1481118004eb2bbaf0d9eaafc22752148df82811eddb1263604060dc776e93bb",76.154,0.0669073976,"Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?","measles-cases-in-us-by-january-31",{"condition_id":453,"outcome":29,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":456,"event_slug":211,"category":212},"0x149e2cdbf5b3df3142452412c4c9f4e8f39379020ba1bc25c1811a3f43c8ad27",3363.9406,0.4691452869985112,"Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":105,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":219,"category":212},"0x14aae19ed36c60c3c723b2a77427381e0f6796849a1bc87b55b7c7db7099559c",4779.837562,0.6178779664202797,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":105,"usdc":464,"entry_price":465,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":467,"category":212},"0x1512828f4c735012fde09e2424f033bd2cd128a1a84e7aa7769440b66a1dd7c5",9318.815455,0.2281195582514041,"US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? ","us-x-iran-nuclear-talks-resume-by-march-31",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":29,"usdc":469,"entry_price":470,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":467,"category":212},5992.6696999999995,0.7687423769434283,{"condition_id":472,"outcome":29,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":212},"0x156214d3d62322c191dafef0e6d9233f76bcd98bf49b035a644954795c49e5c8",1069.8314,0.7441735937,"Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?","will-venezuela-give-the-us-oil-by-january-31",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":29,"usdc":479,"entry_price":480,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":74},"0x165b21b66bc7d20b64f90a01ad0fa1890e183e7499f74a3216de82cb2a8e9f62",517.876159,0.1061916897,"2026-07-06T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":29,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":374,"captured_at":13,"question":488,"event_slug":376,"category":280},"0x16c981b47490212bbb7d70edcccc419a84ff5771bc85c1b7abae37128975953e",509,0.4,"Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":105,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":212},"0x1708d08a38715edbd0ad4e1a72cddd71866dd24875046fdaeb0cc1b519b06540",970.0473,0.3547893495171691,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?","jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":29,"usdc":497,"entry_price":498,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":212},18562.5374,0.8765440082297477,{"condition_id":500,"outcome":29,"usdc":501,"entry_price":502,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":503,"captured_at":13,"question":504,"event_slug":294,"category":38},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",996.68719,0.8319601681,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?",{"condition_id":506,"outcome":29,"usdc":507,"entry_price":508,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"category":38},"0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787",2260.1754,0.4104439715029157,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":512,"outcome":29,"usdc":513,"entry_price":514,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":515,"captured_at":13,"question":516,"event_slug":517,"category":212},"0x19be7c46e28b61455ec766679ee1122fba39eb0d5c85d0878e4b203ab8b18406",77.4075,0.6903371087,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?","next-ceo-of-apple",{"condition_id":519,"outcome":29,"usdc":520,"entry_price":521,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":522,"captured_at":13,"question":523,"event_slug":294,"category":38},"0x1bc721516922d9319293bbb2eeb8b11b3e20495c3aab31964ea8984879bcdfee",6.15621,0.09,"2026-06-15T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":105,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":225,"question":529,"event_slug":530,"category":212},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",2324.655,0.7454664106,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":29,"usdc":532,"entry_price":533,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":528,"captured_at":225,"question":529,"event_slug":530,"category":212},2689.0744560000003,0.3985363959547042,{"condition_id":535,"outcome":105,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":538,"event_slug":539,"category":540},"0x1d36cf8059fa5a71c79bc41bdc7233fa9e505085ce359b6d01f3fc15f98c3b96",2584.6735,0.8821862894308357,"Glencore and Rio Tinto sale\u002Fmerger announced by June 30?","glencore-and-rio-tinto-merger-announced-by-june-30","Economy",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":29,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":38},"0x1dbce4c7cbafaa96756be21a1c2eae4c500b1e4306b623ac2646832e3c760a3b",825.4499969999999,0.03623483807291907,"2026-06-27T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":549,"outcome":29,"usdc":550,"entry_price":551,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":552,"captured_at":13,"question":553,"event_slug":438,"category":212},"0x1dd71d349452e231f1915821337ed87f5b35856f9320337c85ff2bd6b92f93e6",13.933388,0.3300000069,"2026-07-15T23:59:00Z","Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":29,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":225,"question":559,"event_slug":244,"category":38},"0x1e688e3b217f932d30c51aefaf79d7ef463ae8c2810635b6f1ffb905d55dcdd6",2752.5941139999995,0.6999985033924397,"2026-04-20T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?",{"condition_id":561,"outcome":105,"usdc":562,"entry_price":563,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":405,"category":212},"0x1eeb910620bfa52c348ca5b166c33230a0b142bec858d4fa46df18aeecbcecc0",2146.1138,0.039334187781268834,"2026-05-23T00:00:00Z","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?",{"condition_id":567,"outcome":29,"usdc":568,"entry_price":569,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":570,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":38},"0x1ffe41da3681b949e203d16bf0fe8e095003ff52b1b65a34dc7bb7bca899fa22",47.0332,0.0292416635,"2026-06-27T10:43:31.861Z","Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?","trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":105,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":225,"question":577,"event_slug":578,"category":38},"0x2017a6a234f761d6a44be17094ecf247d7d1e706024edbef59d6391a3c19e1b2",4178.251767,0.686186808554034,"Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?","will-trump-visit-pakistan-by-april-30",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":105,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":225,"question":583,"event_slug":584,"category":38},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",6525.919212999999,0.6930049402107963,"Iran closes its airspace by May 8?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":29,"usdc":586,"entry_price":587,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":225,"question":583,"event_slug":584,"category":38},5751.648,0.35,{"condition_id":589,"outcome":105,"usdc":590,"entry_price":591,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":592,"captured_at":13,"question":593,"event_slug":594,"category":212},"0x21d5b50fd0bc5013be79a7cdb4b3f0917127071cf27a324804c030f6eb06f5b4",1465.3335000000002,0.1373461300358706,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?","who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair",{"condition_id":596,"outcome":29,"usdc":597,"entry_price":598,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":599,"captured_at":13,"question":600,"event_slug":601,"category":212},"0x22cd37c5d898b14fb912e2f7501cdc76760551c483c9fb9f78f61b21eebfcb24",157.2155,0.05,"2026-02-07T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":603,"outcome":105,"usdc":604,"entry_price":605,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":606,"event_slug":211,"category":212},"0x22fe0f993bb899d3ae33bbdfbeb7f7d06df0982f578ae26592b55cf581396376",2632.7206,0.34554719194126077,"Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":608,"outcome":105,"usdc":609,"entry_price":610,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":611,"captured_at":13,"question":612,"event_slug":613,"category":38},"0x2358809f9f612f8fb4f224b342ba2841ca644a6e3c46adb4c3bcee910cc31632",29.58,0.0079462727,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-june-30",{"condition_id":615,"outcome":105,"usdc":616,"entry_price":617,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":618,"event_slug":619,"category":212},"0x24fb7c2d95c93a68018e6c4a90d88043bb67d32fd1454924cef8ebdd550228f3",2788.0783,0.318172079708099,"Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-by-march-31",{"condition_id":621,"outcome":29,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":351,"captured_at":225,"question":624,"event_slug":625,"category":626},"0x250716ecd25235530ba4dbd1fa0acf6ab92ab05cf5347e25fc86c4384ef1cecb",248.9633,0.1678159145,"Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":29,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":631,"captured_at":225,"question":632,"event_slug":353,"category":38},"0x2509daa236d3aea83c910be4e00f50027dd72e6fa0d350536d07cd079f58d7ab",2951.5352,0.10951763095948397,"2026-05-13T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":634,"outcome":29,"usdc":635,"entry_price":636,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":637,"event_slug":638,"category":626},"0x253676d94edd8f3e92060410bec8bca9117890d117d06664d31867db0e396c56",209.25665,0.0181781155,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":640,"outcome":29,"usdc":641,"entry_price":642,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":643,"captured_at":225,"question":644,"event_slug":645,"category":212},"0x255614066a685584e20fdfcca2114b902c7e60ff2fedd0d3bfa61caf6fddfb07",65.2947,0.3470353441,"2026-04-25","Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during WHCA Dinner events?","what-will-trump-say-during-whca-dinner-on-april-25",{"condition_id":647,"outcome":105,"usdc":648,"entry_price":649,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":650,"captured_at":13,"question":651,"event_slug":652,"category":212},"0x26738f0ac4a4bec0260332cfd9c881e453c73f7475d946db3b3b6cc32f0e6f6a",12.79998,0.1276805985,"2026-02-05T00:00:00Z","Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?","nj-11-special-election-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":654,"outcome":105,"usdc":655,"entry_price":656,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":657,"event_slug":315,"category":212},"0x28b418b2aeb0f2eec0a64d0cca38a2a7df484a45ee5c35d3d2b2822c27c17dfb",3998.8386,0.6514464029427082,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?",{"condition_id":659,"outcome":105,"usdc":660,"entry_price":661,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":662,"captured_at":13,"question":663,"event_slug":664,"category":212},"0x28b5b1883637df12933b75ca95c0449c934756ff322d9415043b25d2540b1dc1",612.6117499999999,0.14033476048200239,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?","us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025-451",{"condition_id":659,"outcome":29,"usdc":666,"entry_price":667,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":662,"captured_at":13,"question":663,"event_slug":664,"category":212},622.49123,0.43364976628098595,{"condition_id":669,"outcome":105,"usdc":670,"entry_price":671,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":672,"event_slug":272,"category":212},"0x28d1f828803c7057c0fa376c56ce4482d36af39a08089b103f8373a5701dfce4",73,0.730000000005,"Will Trump say \"Biden\" or \"Obama\" 3+ times at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?",{"condition_id":674,"outcome":29,"usdc":675,"entry_price":676,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":677,"event_slug":510,"category":38},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",1305.97927,0.5013356122711707,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?",{"condition_id":679,"outcome":29,"usdc":680,"entry_price":681,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":337,"captured_at":13,"question":682,"event_slug":683,"category":38},"0x29622357277151027e86fdb78bf95a87b87805050b089606762f7e12578a4cc8",303.39059,0.1729411175822817,"US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?","us-announces-cuba-oil-sanction-relief-by-june-30",{"condition_id":685,"outcome":105,"usdc":686,"entry_price":687,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":688,"captured_at":13,"question":689,"event_slug":483,"category":74},"0x2980d80d28d9e84579f278f1b5c220602fa47dd5fcd98a6990d2b128374fa334",244.064199,0.36906985408208187,"2026-07-13T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":691,"outcome":29,"usdc":692,"entry_price":693,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":256,"captured_at":13,"question":694,"event_slug":695,"category":212},"0x298f9d564dc962d3e7d4fe06066aac6b5dc0e983876d7092e101ca73a09a06f7",77.20707300000001,0.07494714817813429,"Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?","what-day-will-trump-announce-fed-chair-nominee",{"condition_id":697,"outcome":105,"usdc":698,"entry_price":699,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":662,"captured_at":13,"question":700,"event_slug":664,"category":212},"0x2a914a53d0c50e8e8466aa48204957360098ba333bb7e267859ac5d419d8c054",1705.746302,0.728500207652079,"U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?",{"condition_id":702,"outcome":29,"usdc":703,"entry_price":704,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":515,"captured_at":13,"question":705,"event_slug":706,"category":38},"0x2a991c78fc614786691a47c0ac0321dd60a0fa4b475c91cbf7c2ec14bb5e6823",204.81,0.2959254443,"U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ","us-agrees-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantee-by-june-30",{"condition_id":708,"outcome":29,"usdc":709,"entry_price":710,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":13,"question":711,"event_slug":712,"category":212},"0x2aa70effc51d25297ab371b90d9321d654c1c399c75fdecd6e8a892d9c8febfb",319.9064,0.2114664198931518,"Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?","liberal-majority-in-canadian-parliament-by-june-30",{"condition_id":714,"outcome":105,"usdc":715,"entry_price":716,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":717,"event_slug":718,"category":212},"0x2b1435f47a09615867ade05d314485b7603924199ba0982cf28678b88717b520",2123.597,0.7,"US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-march-31",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":212},"0x2b7c8142b7c64cb1b421804741e7842aac85c92c5859cf66da5356949ddd95c9",163.034628,0.7123104313757173,"2026-03-08T00:00:00Z","Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?","how-many-6pt5-or-above-earthquakes-march-2-march-8",{"condition_id":727,"outcome":29,"usdc":728,"entry_price":729,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":730,"captured_at":225,"question":731,"event_slug":732,"category":212},"0x2c931257d71bbb9b8106d4c7bbe4ea34272e7a10803db7722fc37debd21e8496",102.84519,0.0244779116,"2026-05-17T00:00:00Z","Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?","who-will-attend-trumps-xi-summit",{"condition_id":734,"outcome":29,"usdc":735,"entry_price":736,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":515,"captured_at":13,"question":737,"event_slug":738,"category":38},"0x2c9937efbf3f423350637cef0689a3f65c930738d1817c0bc7eadde76e45446c",44.06984,0.0290384017,"Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting-by",{"condition_id":740,"outcome":29,"usdc":741,"entry_price":742,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":743,"captured_at":13,"question":744,"event_slug":745,"category":212},"0x2cbfefb1c7f083b083bbc123b164c05fc13a9baf298063e9570fceb0ff1742a7",3010.758353999996,0.48310223390067336,"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":747,"outcome":29,"usdc":748,"entry_price":749,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":337,"captured_at":13,"question":750,"event_slug":751,"category":38},"0x2cd4df599867b14e835436e67e524cd04bbd67eaa6454c07b294d9dd0470e6b7",353.0056,0.185188123,"Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?","will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31",{"condition_id":753,"outcome":29,"usdc":754,"entry_price":755,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":337,"captured_at":13,"question":756,"event_slug":757,"category":38},"0x2d62406d718b45a9b0417e05d33aef6fe31381f2922acc0ba0938d99145299c6",340.960045,0.6555274244366875,"Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?","will-trump-praise-allah-again-by-june-30-20260610152457610",{"condition_id":759,"outcome":29,"usdc":760,"entry_price":761,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":762,"captured_at":13,"question":763,"event_slug":764,"category":212},"0x2d843053537fd839b9a0872ffb829012e4d14c47e199cf7cbde177b65a7c7f09",477.50662,0.4322969998,"2026-03-03T17:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?","donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-february-24-march-3",{"condition_id":766,"outcome":105,"usdc":767,"entry_price":768,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":769,"captured_at":13,"question":770,"event_slug":771,"category":212},"0x2eb9eba222dffc23e257940cd98810d1d0a446405adc0c4b62615f05fe957c2e",108.4631,0.6555245981,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?","will-tucker-carlson-interview-trump-by-february-28",{"condition_id":773,"outcome":105,"usdc":774,"entry_price":775,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":643,"captured_at":225,"question":776,"event_slug":645,"category":212},"0x2f1782849d516cbb9f967c6e01b45cfb1d23102ea9cad0d8cc686a1095e0033f",115.9288,0.7061939571,"Will Trump say \"Fake News\" during WHCA Dinner events?",{"condition_id":778,"outcome":105,"usdc":779,"entry_price":780,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":781,"captured_at":13,"question":782,"event_slug":783,"category":212},"0x2f1f643ab7589b143e35a6545241cfb80890a5dbd63b74c600baa35c26d0b315",2099.999999,0.6112640984,"2026-03-14T00:00:00Z","Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?","how-long-will-the-dhs-shutdown-last",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":29,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":788,"captured_at":570,"question":789,"event_slug":790,"category":38},"0x2ff32cec61a2e9924b5e1207974fdb171efe4568bff1aff58b3d15b26237b36b",268.60447,0.0966437295,"2026-06-09T00:00:00Z","Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?","south-carolina-governor-republican-primary-winner-784",{"condition_id":792,"outcome":105,"usdc":793,"entry_price":794,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":662,"captured_at":13,"question":795,"event_slug":796,"category":212},"0x2ffd5d4b79609e384a31e78887696ea5df9b0bffa661478df991ed5b825aeec2",177.3302,0.2659979599795998,"Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-december",{"condition_id":798,"outcome":105,"usdc":799,"entry_price":800,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":801,"event_slug":802,"category":212},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",5037.204333,0.5356105043200063,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":804,"outcome":105,"usdc":805,"entry_price":806,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":808,"event_slug":244,"category":38},"0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82",5636.221629999999,0.29613669406325976,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":804,"outcome":29,"usdc":810,"entry_price":811,"won":12,"source":208,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":808,"event_slug":244,"category":38},10523.898813000003,0.33491426289590215,{"condition_id":813,"outcome":29,"usdc":814,"entry_price":815,"won":17,"source":208,"end_date_iso":816,"captured_at":13,"question":817,"event_slug":818,"category":212},"0x30926c56fb49de5c99197a956141d6578f4d2a5341dfa3991df5752c60829339",137.17829400000002,0.012757058512453245,"2025-12-14T00:00:00Z","US strike on Syria by December 14?","us-strike-on-syria-by",{"total":820,"wins":821},517,217,[823,829,834,839,843,848,852,856],{"category":824,"n":825,"wins":826,"hitRate":827,"roi":828},"Other",338,156,0.46153846153846156,0.6055304336114512,{"category":38,"n":830,"wins":831,"hitRate":832,"roi":833},140,47,0.3357142857142857,-0.13839173186048756,{"category":280,"n":835,"wins":836,"hitRate":837,"roi":838},13,4,0.3076923076923077,-0.5020952854663088,{"category":626,"n":840,"wins":836,"hitRate":841,"roi":842},11,0.36363636363636365,-0.7821633204663228,{"category":74,"n":844,"wins":845,"hitRate":846,"roi":847},8,2,0.25,1.925656399749199,{"category":540,"n":849,"wins":845,"hitRate":850,"roi":851},3,0.6666666666666666,0.03304959679246581,{"category":853,"n":849,"wins":12,"hitRate":854,"roi":855},"Crypto",0.3333333333333333,-0.5262023148609324,{"category":857,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":858},"Culture",1.4386042980169984,{"generatedAt":860},"2026-09-24T12:03:22.521Z"]