[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x7daa398a6b32cc9aa8d44337d411abc5fe815928":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":200,"history":201,"resolved":204,"resolvedSummary":540,"specialization":543,"meta":547},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x7daa398a6b32cc9aa8d44337d411abc5fe815928",111,78,0.5769230769230769,0.9333067499218393,0.1890571363751023,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-09T01:37:28.620Z",14.805025512820507,1.3373493975903614,"2026-10-08T20:27:36.000Z",0,"trades",0.35040383519871776,0.22651924172435892,1077.7751590226726,1154.7919899999995,11.563353044741898,[25,38,46,54,62,70,78,86,94,102,110,118,125,133,141,149,155,163,171,178,186,193],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"21265207456609426291246075480390336499088453711419597084147957999650569091884","0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14","Yes",337.8378,0.3699,"2026-10-11T09:52:58.298Z","2026-10-09T05:03:15.815Z","Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"69908185249078099348466099388148864764525845923415294308139153388799352317616","0x771873c365f87bffd990644e4b688aebc1be7f18396d2eab64b996ff66e88669",205.1282,0.3899,"Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?","ohio-senate-election-winner","[\"0.385\", \"0.615\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":28,"size":49,"avg_price":50,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":51,"event_slug":52,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":53,"category":37},"107844449523890311740907586041395758413047559802389895859202256336422357556837","0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2",133.9285,0.5599,"Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?","iowa-senate-election-winner","[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]",{"token_id":55,"condition_id":56,"outcome":28,"size":57,"avg_price":58,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":59,"event_slug":60,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":61,"category":37},"2142948285506077695096498341598672159464223074468931276310105532825810210121","0x2c00cb09722a0f0501c5e49131b898ed57bb5c075db4dc2bcbc14908f45b8c48",139.5348,0.4299,"Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?","maine-senate-election-winner","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]",{"token_id":63,"condition_id":64,"outcome":28,"size":65,"avg_price":66,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":67,"event_slug":68,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":69,"category":37},"54743173400191373818547682740700297683169841200363505623023527116388816282328","0xcd953913ecd5bf5387092bf447fe13190871b2bc9436c85b0918b4767c3fa58a",69.1669,0.7373,"Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?","texas-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.7945\", \"0.2055\"]",{"token_id":71,"condition_id":72,"outcome":28,"size":73,"avg_price":74,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":75,"event_slug":76,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":77,"category":37},"92576281548134350814800877416860562553699794074017301653635964206220838638047","0x71e9f5312aac62bdc9b87fa8d171fa929eca6243d815298c4c7d61303f7d53dd",69.4444,0.7199,"Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?","nebraska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.715\", \"0.285\"]",{"token_id":79,"condition_id":80,"outcome":28,"size":81,"avg_price":82,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":83,"event_slug":84,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":85,"category":37},"51939490109676186832507970701169130490548061087912630009168726706475001411420","0x86bfb53af7250a40928975c551d12c185b762fa4ce0b40c6a64a50c946d72587",138.8888,0.3599,"Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","[\"0.365\", \"0.635\"]",{"token_id":87,"condition_id":88,"outcome":28,"size":89,"avg_price":90,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":91,"event_slug":92,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":93,"category":37},"1046980875306043125128331871114794349002409233139736033870402475326170083426","0x3fd189cac9280dfc49a07115581e8d4c9e0b7e1c1e8580a44e9ff3d74e39cf2d",153.0303,0.3005,"Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?","michigan-senate-election-winner","[\"0.31\", \"0.69\"]",{"token_id":95,"condition_id":96,"outcome":28,"size":97,"avg_price":98,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":99,"event_slug":100,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":101,"category":37},"107409796822153809778143872196236532785178617102787858261374110829112218839748","0xcceae66d81c60f90c9679ab531b865bd7e9f95cc54f7b0634a24095519b10d65",32.0512,0.7799,"Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?","florida-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":28,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":109,"category":37},"2618138322856109565904469085316346602627882727483900432328802655317079880335","0x741bb46008b72234857c5118c8365ab3c2f69dbf28b30b59de04f173b8a778de",92.5925,0.2699,"Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?","alaska-senate-election-winner","[\"0.285\", \"0.715\"]",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":28,"size":113,"avg_price":82,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":114,"event_slug":115,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":116,"outcome_prices":117,"category":37},"33248445071287475784020539078449011387420179680117931563779651328806644373237","0x704e1af6fadba2ba429fa208f48591cfc3f812202589c11076a0baaab8588ca9",41.6666,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory","2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":119,"condition_id":120,"outcome":28,"size":121,"avg_price":122,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":109,"category":37},"6302359956133594764084277082169634158291609371270652093164054687145970756151","0x998bc71817b2d76921d1999ce0f3431cfd5945583667a371280ca2b430b0c06e",53.5714,0.2799,"2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":28,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":132,"category":37},"63693837389044553718411703128182914158332390182546987000527783026710645197027","0xfb866625fdfccc5a58ab7f1b53d6c7b5ac214ee38fa38668312b4adc2ee2c1d0",14.4565,0.7608,"Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?","kansas-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.745\", \"0.255\"]",{"token_id":134,"condition_id":135,"outcome":28,"size":136,"avg_price":137,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":140,"category":37},"17555504943162344098534978138053308162738914357892515623100381936995379845407","0x71c05b735300b6087ff5588bcc7e83fecf009293d794f613c63c92ea8a16fb2b",19.6078,0.5099,"Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?","georgia-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]",{"token_id":142,"condition_id":143,"outcome":28,"size":144,"avg_price":145,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":148,"category":37},"18859933834391393264997730047904836599784455493762567366530805521273388590339","0x8ccbfc876e2f979a0ab1423589abea04bb71512cc6bd5d9dbeef7f820b8f8e69",50,0.1,"Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?","arizona-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":150,"condition_id":151,"outcome":28,"size":144,"avg_price":145,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":152,"event_slug":153,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":154,"category":37},"65139230827417363158752884968303867495725894165574887635816574090175320800482","0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928","Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":156,"condition_id":157,"outcome":28,"size":158,"avg_price":159,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":160,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":162,"category":37},"103908809945547700528618616409387536984559821686312088417100374266933097637915","0x13095fd1b14a39628fa973ccaa23ed008b1d3b09f672c6ce166e58c7ea9a7559",25,0.2,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?","ohio-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":164,"condition_id":165,"outcome":28,"size":166,"avg_price":167,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":168,"event_slug":169,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":170,"category":37},"72002069499527925398637560287453277989370912181886433715927009264225913591577","0x7ff4e4b2f389acdd96ef18bb34684b9219a972b7ef0cde5856d28f5d5325f3d4",38.3969,0.1302,"Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?","republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":172,"condition_id":173,"outcome":28,"size":174,"avg_price":175,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":176,"event_slug":169,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":177,"category":37},"54380927206833851183661949055792883595494421437547231435217946779970572480742","0xf301c0842eeb33bd0a7718e4775bfb98b326a28bf837e18d65057e3516a5f6cb",37.3049,0.134,"Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?","[\"0.1065\", \"0.8935\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":28,"size":181,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":185,"category":37},"79585747402005627608524703697908236976355874739693837638753106879612403721028","0xe71afd36f9346f904e893e7efe44ad803f0d74f5e33fac434848ec7635d0dc88",31.3529,0.1594,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?","va-01-house-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":28,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":191,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":192,"category":37},"114909111576990885159073509537019263589213120557764328824949288244835076277174","0x136316ebdcefb32f659307ad6247d290ba5e4104bea2ebf79c452ad0754a361b",33.3333,0.1499,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?","[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]",{"token_id":194,"condition_id":195,"outcome":28,"size":196,"avg_price":197,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":198,"event_slug":184,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":199,"category":37},"113123894788930175127811184265675453466644627039815616021180402949991863710977","0xa3886a011f02119ec18f13727780c13c353b4d1bd3e4f3c6bdc7d2d1d80286d4",37.8787,0.1319,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?","[\"0.1635\", \"0.8365\"]",[],[202],{"recorded_date":203,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-09",[205,214,220,228,235,243,250,257,263,270,275,281,287,293,298,303,309,315,320,324,330,335,340,346,353,358,364,370,376,381,387,394,400,406,412,416,421,426,432,437,443,449,454,459,464,469,475,482,486,492,498,505,510,516,521,528,534],{"condition_id":206,"outcome":28,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":211,"event_slug":212,"category":213},"0x007915eaf3a6c3c7f2c28a3f4984e257b69489defc4e2db834a1418ad9b433f6",5,0.0610000001,"backfill","2024-11-05T12:00:00Z","2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House","balance-of-power-2024-election",null,{"condition_id":215,"outcome":28,"usdc":216,"entry_price":217,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"category":213},"0x1092f6af37037a3539947b2052eeffff3608e2b68926340cab146369d3d2aac9",11.999999,0.6499999973,"Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?","michigan-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":222,"usdc":223,"entry_price":224,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":225,"captured_at":13,"question":226,"event_slug":227,"category":213},"0x11780ebed746f38df012511f59ba9860745a24a7cff44f3f45b6bc4d475a01c4","No",10.879998,0.8399999722,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? ","how-many-senators-vote-to-confirm-rfk-as-secretary-of-hhs",{"condition_id":229,"outcome":28,"usdc":230,"entry_price":231,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":233,"event_slug":234,"category":213},"0x14618aaf6f238e45400b1bb50857617f4b8d5a3a04e8dfa8b17de3db3b26bb27",12.859998,0.8799999453,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?","which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed",{"condition_id":236,"outcome":28,"usdc":237,"entry_price":238,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"category":242},"0x1591b72dc504383d8fa2024e72a585c520b3c673614100d2e167507485e17e38",1.45208,0.07,"2026-06-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026","Other",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":247,"captured_at":13,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"category":213},"0x180f43cac7cffcad656e64efc22be9fbd1069a430b60fa87dfa93d840a60b90f",9.999999,0.0599999946,"2024-09-21T12:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump say \"crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during his North Carolina rally?","what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-rally",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":28,"usdc":252,"entry_price":253,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"category":213},"0x1e7a237f7852453254324f57cd5b74288e116b642ce686250c84c6aba7bc368f",4.999999,0.29999997,"2024-12-16T12:00:00Z","Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?","turnout-in-2024-presidential-election",{"condition_id":258,"outcome":28,"usdc":259,"entry_price":260,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":261,"event_slug":262,"category":213},"0x2010ff3939e8e664dd57369aa907bbaa6d03ae18be27fe3ab2f4cdcb95a8b2ab",38,0.25,"Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? ","which-party-wins-presidency-popular-vote",{"condition_id":264,"outcome":28,"usdc":265,"entry_price":266,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":267,"captured_at":13,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":213},"0x2eb5474300ef53d1484ad877798347e4d891b2b055af7ba5c0cec72c49f023b9",1.75,0.014,"2025-02-28T12:00:00Z","Will Ethereum hit $3750 by February 28 2025?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-february",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":272,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":273,"event_slug":274,"category":213},"0x2f79cc5aa258fc91bdf7084899ea9ce705fb77ff6932913117cfdb6d569602f9",0.0699999939,"Trump wins 281-257 - AZ, GA, NC, PA ","trump-wins-281-evs-az-ga-nc-pa",{"condition_id":276,"outcome":28,"usdc":277,"entry_price":278,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":213},"0x34a3867607c87f90203bf6e00037714dfe9edabbf265ce6ca47fc16511579362",3,0.08,"Will a Republican win North Carolina Governor Election?","north-carolina-governor-election-winner",{"condition_id":282,"outcome":28,"usdc":283,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":285,"event_slug":286,"category":213},"0x352ac53453f995e751d2d90c7d781441eba9d1c4c7ebbc8e738fc570a543665b",21.999999,0.2799999929,"Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?","wisconsin-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":288,"outcome":28,"usdc":252,"entry_price":289,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":290,"captured_at":13,"question":291,"event_slug":292,"category":213},"0x40e783a12a83c36df40550c3f5a2433ba55a9cd312c31d808cc0c2c3ea747b1d",0.0417494952,"2024-11-04T12:00:00Z","Will Biden resign before the election?","biden-resigns-from-presidency-before-election",{"condition_id":294,"outcome":28,"usdc":295,"entry_price":296,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":13,"question":297,"event_slug":241,"category":242},"0x4bab360a81b57047b48c0dd7c6c1377706129e3e6b9fa3f079cc28d310ec4cec",50.559988,0.7199999965,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":300,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"category":213},"0x4cc3c3999a7e8ad18e490ba46601d0caec6c0044a1b2568ef77a190e50998b33",0.0479999955,"Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PA","trump-wins-270-268-ga-nc-pa",{"condition_id":304,"outcome":28,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":307,"event_slug":308,"category":213},"0x54414f64c75284767b43807332d67e7300a5e9dd1549c99443848416ab9ce63f",3.999999,0.0699999839,"Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?","pennsylvania-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":310,"outcome":28,"usdc":311,"entry_price":312,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":213},"0x57dc89d2f5803961a1c72add5969c2887f9591821d05421f2819fa17b664dd59",54.999998000000005,0.4926873813168388,"Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?","ohio-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":28,"usdc":252,"entry_price":317,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"category":213},"0x58d102be7f1046597d9f208b84a0d5f844960151bc771bca1ae138353c4caa50",0.2799999731,"Will Trump win Miami?","will-trump-win-miami",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":28,"usdc":305,"entry_price":322,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":323,"event_slug":308,"category":213},"0x642fcb3aa23395cc587a7825a37694867f440cd71976849589041e2361fb5c86",0.0899999804,"Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?",{"condition_id":325,"outcome":28,"usdc":326,"entry_price":327,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":213},"0x661a6d0e875ac492ff936bbe61b899ef0dd48f44936f33438720d484fdfcbc7e",1.999999,0.0599999724,"Will a Republican win New Mexico Presidential Election?","new-mexico-presidential-election-winner-2024",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":332,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":333,"event_slug":334,"category":213},"0x689a0b1047d08a1081d604c8c09c4eb5719cbd0e926e4e8492800ce58578bd79",0.1199999899,"Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?","maine-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":336,"outcome":28,"usdc":337,"entry_price":338,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":339,"event_slug":308,"category":213},"0x6a239f9208854e9e71233f22a28cc9d6437a48e5f37295634ab471973b7682a2",4,0.0666666667,"Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1.0%? ",{"condition_id":341,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":342,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":343,"captured_at":13,"question":344,"event_slug":345,"category":213},"0x6c690bec3395d02419c4ab3fefbdcff6bc8e589eccc49a4d8d62cf51912e56d6",0.1299999902,"2024-12-10T12:00:00Z","MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? ","will-microsoft-shareholders-vote-for-bitcoin-investment",{"condition_id":347,"outcome":28,"usdc":348,"entry_price":349,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":350,"captured_at":13,"question":351,"event_slug":352,"category":213},"0x6ddae979d5d0a9cb079c113c3ee3a1fa3acba913cb56c16cbd44c7394e35d0c9",7,0.06829268292682927,"2025-01-20T12:00:00Z","Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?","trump-issue-100-executive-orders-orders-on-day-1",{"condition_id":354,"outcome":28,"usdc":355,"entry_price":145,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":356,"event_slug":357,"category":213},"0x7057bdf9e1d4a4d266c1a98448ba4dc13fcdf2691d44e2d2c33424f2de540a8f",32,"Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep ","trump-wins-312-evs-swing-state-sweep",{"condition_id":359,"outcome":28,"usdc":360,"entry_price":361,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":213},"0x71636521d7c97d55c349b637390fb4497d4f8ce52529ddb6d9a4ff537069d063",6.999999,0.179999983,"Will Trump win 7 swing states?","how-many-swing-states-will-trump-win",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":28,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":213},"0x7606802127355512c8f8ff9c70ef27a2717a8554374d84452de4c7d28147338d",53.999998000000005,0.6091425234761455,"Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?","georgia-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":28,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":374,"event_slug":375,"category":213},"0x773f3ca26bdf685da92d2a8a701dd98e4e8b46e0b5366cf09aed9eb8fb6fc189",104.999995,0.5723893765096719,"Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?","north-carolina-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":377,"outcome":28,"usdc":378,"entry_price":379,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":380,"event_slug":212,"category":213},"0x96f6fb6567b5938fc3c2e75f9829d7287340b9581a9c4817b8bc0aff82e1c45f",19.999999,0.2799999916,"2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House",{"condition_id":382,"outcome":28,"usdc":383,"entry_price":384,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"category":213},"0x9be6760eca88434624ecb3e9dbf3b1ff161c630559c52d80b2b23b8efbcd43bf",12.999999,0.1699999897,"Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?","new-hampshire-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":28,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":13,"question":392,"event_slug":393,"category":213},"0xa2dc88c738e220e0d21112eef3c4324de4289603ec2e76258ffe628a67271ae2",17.889995,0.7192502539570631,"2025-01-27T12:00:00Z","Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?","will-trump-pardon-ross-ulbricht-in-his-first-week",{"condition_id":395,"outcome":28,"usdc":396,"entry_price":397,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":399,"category":213},"0xa59e2e79dc1a564477c8d77dc32c30b37c0f4c8782c8cc062a7f788295cd91bb",64.999996,0.43302816325489496,"Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?","wisconsin-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":401,"outcome":28,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":213},"0xa923afcb8297e3ade170f2f8c088f3c277557fadef2c67054d72cc59f8504b2b",49.999998,0.5015747994675231,"Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?","pennsylvania-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":28,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":213},"0xac7162f96876ea602d984de6f9800b8a4b8a45897e798a7630d9e004ae5b9a0b",37.999998,0.1916332311741876,"Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?","arizona-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":414,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":13,"question":415,"event_slug":256,"category":213},"0xb3c778bc132209002f9fca88f6fa5628cc49dc4f5a5c8e5fd789c44ee6638ad1",0.219999985,"Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?",{"condition_id":417,"outcome":28,"usdc":418,"entry_price":419,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":420,"event_slug":234,"category":213},"0xb6b7ec6f7bfc0553df2d2f8552d219b9861c435e68c3c53fbb0453045f21b2c7",6.999995,0.8299999917,"RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?",{"condition_id":422,"outcome":28,"usdc":423,"entry_price":424,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":425,"event_slug":219,"category":213},"0xbb01eefb24a38a9aa1921ec168d3049e7374b28a2540937d06b3ff2524d66627",32.999999,0.3535714229371153,"Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?",{"condition_id":427,"outcome":28,"usdc":428,"entry_price":429,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":213},"0xc1a4830eef6f60d9e0f05ecb5aa81b11d7d361e1a869c0138219840af849a986",34.999999,0.19428571067848396,"Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?","pennsylvania-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":433,"outcome":28,"usdc":252,"entry_price":434,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":435,"event_slug":436,"category":213},"0xc1b184c4724ad7d832320e5189dd4eddffd53a936733cb4dbf018a8dde1b3703",0.1899999726,"Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?","michigan-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":438,"outcome":28,"usdc":439,"entry_price":440,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":441,"event_slug":442,"category":213},"0xc65fdad4b98c013eb3bdf964f36fa595f82d0fed3916ba2da6d4568355b167a8",34.999996,0.8299999976,"Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?","florida-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":444,"outcome":28,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":213},"0xcd1b6b71a1964f15e2c14809594cbfa0d576270e8ef94c8c24913121097e09e5",18.999999,0.2529999908,"Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?","presidential-election-popular-vote-winner-2024",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":28,"usdc":428,"entry_price":451,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":452,"event_slug":453,"category":213},"0xcf263497b4bd594b3eaf650de77df2483c3443a929e815a4bb8ce2b8cce50de1",0.1517857108,"Trump wins every swing state?","trump-wins-every-swing-state",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":456,"usdc":348,"entry_price":145,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":457,"event_slug":458,"category":213},"0xd16710ea782cabed2336862882ded5774be2564e0ceb760dad42f4e730b08cbc","Trump","Who will win Clark county?","swing-districts-2024",{"condition_id":460,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":461,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":462,"event_slug":463,"category":213},"0xd6e5301e6ba27c73eb467e495736d41d0acf49b05b1e3ce60aef1516fc78b79c",0.299999982,"Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? ","iowa-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":465,"outcome":28,"usdc":245,"entry_price":466,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":213},"0xd8f684ca4b638e006626b338063b509019e187d995045b8161e287fa0896d6a0",0.1099999913,"Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PA  ","trump-wins-287-evs-az-ga-nv-nc-pa",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":28,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":474,"category":213},"0xdd22472e552920b8438158ea7238bfadfa4f736aa4cee91a6b86c39ead110917",64.999998,0.5073377074178167,"Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2024",{"condition_id":476,"outcome":28,"usdc":477,"entry_price":478,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":480,"event_slug":481,"category":213},"0xddcc9783591378765849dcc856989487a3197b47d2705ad7ad75023e41f3929b",4.999998,0.7099998694,"2025-01-23T12:00:00Z","Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 4?","will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-day-4",{"condition_id":483,"outcome":28,"usdc":378,"entry_price":484,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":363,"category":213},"0xe197344d6f86db4cb7359a191befc93d345495ff573da62c1913992e55e761dd",0.1452587484,"Will Trump win 6 swing states?",{"condition_id":487,"outcome":222,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":490,"event_slug":491,"category":213},"0xe4203ed6ad791708297e37e1e2df7a51b0355fb357afbcb85d7f5c60faa8c7c5",7.83,0.09,"Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?","who-will-trump-nominate-for-secretary-of-state",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":28,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":496,"event_slug":497,"category":213},"0xe42a4127c61eefcacc6f08fd594a34ea703c2035b2615a2ecc9c92e646564704",7.999999,0.0579999934,"Will Arizona be the tipping point state?","us-election-tipping-point-state",{"condition_id":499,"outcome":28,"usdc":500,"entry_price":501,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":502,"captured_at":13,"question":503,"event_slug":504,"category":213},"0xe6e0208a9e5014ff507d16a359db466bd98c0414be72982835001eee2fd8f5ae",9.999998,0.7899999573,"2025-04-29T12:00:00Z","Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?","trump-pardons",{"condition_id":506,"outcome":28,"usdc":507,"entry_price":508,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":509,"event_slug":234,"category":213},"0xe8e3ca717d93be1f6fccea2cc168aeea15f2568466f37121d780efe32eae33e1",6.999998,0.6799999145,"Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?",{"condition_id":511,"outcome":28,"usdc":512,"entry_price":513,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":514,"event_slug":515,"category":213},"0xf15c3b1459441d68519b4a698e8b971ffc9001d8a0438010e8acc2d0fc083c75",61.999994,0.8180452837991832,"Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?","iowa-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":517,"outcome":456,"usdc":245,"entry_price":518,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":213},"0xf3766416155d79ef9129235e607d0f68850353debb38c9a89a8ee6e0c97d80cd",0.4699999915,"Who will win white women?","who-will-win-white-women",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":222,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":12,"source":209,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":213},"0xf56350cb451472bc20d883e5870b5e208cc2836278639c9f9bbc8c59bba8fc0e",9.57,0.88,"2025-01-31T12:00:00Z","Will Trump's approval rating be less than 48% on January 31?","trump-approval-on-rating-on-january-31",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":28,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":213},"0xfd17ee27498ae7f11983620f9e7377a25d94a9046dd75eaa00b8b30b600b0bef",13.999999,0.05999999607142858,"Will a Republican win Virginia US Senate Election?","virginia-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":28,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":17,"source":209,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":538,"event_slug":539,"category":213},"0xfefbd6fa16a276839af9d87e7e649b0ccc90a2b36e63b5e48f50fb8da76bcb33",29.999999,0.109999997,"Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?","virginia-presidential-election-winner",{"total":541,"wins":542},57,28,[544],{"category":242,"n":541,"wins":542,"hitRate":545,"roi":546},0.49122807017543857,0.932776723746045,{"generatedAt":548},"2026-10-12T08:44:42.462Z"]