[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x7b02b2bac2a30ed5e40b7094e734f4c3dc2a4991":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":122,"history":123,"resolved":132,"resolvedSummary":512,"specialization":515,"meta":538},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x7b02b2bac2a30ed5e40b7094e734f4c3dc2a4991",9828,4777,0.47079757169771824,0.1787741888688233,0.1979702196843694,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-07T08:10:27.802Z",1227.714876698971,1.5770218228498074,"2026-10-03T21:36:52.000Z",0,"leaderboard",0.3213943289778135,0.1494032427199087,1048473.7841528076,5864793.965990985,14.940324271990871,0.03907563025210084,[26,39,42,51,60,71,79,87,94,102,110,117],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"16040015440196279900485035793550429453516625694844857319147506590755961451627","0x7ad403c3508f8e3912940fd1a913f227591145ca0614074208e0b962d5fcc422","Yes",400000,0.5,"2026-10-06T18:14:12.329Z","2026-09-23T20:37:42.343Z","Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.2005\", \"0.7995\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":28,"outcome":41,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"94476829201604408463453426454480212459887267917122244941405244686637914508323","No",{"token_id":43,"condition_id":44,"outcome":41,"size":45,"avg_price":46,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":47,"event_slug":48,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":49,"outcome_prices":50,"category":38},"108587038225191871355030577171066853142535232042155117887981453750193713427381","0x86bfb53af7250a40928975c551d12c185b762fa4ce0b40c6a64a50c946d72587",83944.5472,0.6206,"Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":52,"condition_id":53,"outcome":41,"size":54,"avg_price":55,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":56,"event_slug":57,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":58,"outcome_prices":59,"category":38},"42038775866198212615491650114881818219665139981763207699110491615333273795415","0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3",65186.6626,0.4362,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537","2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]",{"token_id":61,"condition_id":62,"outcome":41,"size":63,"avg_price":64,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":65,"question":66,"event_slug":67,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":68,"outcome_prices":69,"category":70},"51699731593220798404378104978434018325263546766663573208722653674626387696963","0x9b1a03b41a1a68c209e9c3caf3d8af3f878420d6dbe8cb8afffd66049e73b114",182648.2134,0.1423,"2026-09-25T16:32:31.500Z","Another Fed rate hike in 2026?","another-fed-rate-hike-in-2026","2026-12-10T04:59:00Z","[\"0.765\", \"0.235\"]","Economy",{"token_id":72,"condition_id":73,"outcome":41,"size":74,"avg_price":75,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":76,"question":77,"event_slug":48,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":49,"outcome_prices":78,"category":38},"107118433685650702332040991454078902188473746599223732907923581436160160612542","0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3",51528.0599,0.35,"2026-10-03T08:33:19.388Z","Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","[\"0.645\", \"0.355\"]",{"token_id":80,"condition_id":81,"outcome":41,"size":82,"avg_price":83,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":84,"event_slug":85,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":49,"outcome_prices":86,"category":38},"17371217118862125782438074585166210555214661810823929795910191856905580975576","0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928",17837.167,0.8527,"Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":88,"condition_id":89,"outcome":41,"size":90,"avg_price":91,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":92,"event_slug":85,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":49,"outcome_prices":93,"category":38},"33156410999665902694791064431724433042010245771106314074312009703157423879038","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4",171128.6701,0.0855,"Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]",{"token_id":95,"condition_id":96,"outcome":29,"size":97,"avg_price":98,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":99,"question":100,"event_slug":57,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":58,"outcome_prices":101,"category":38},"33268510350568915228897273528353467773422190590579607471427765079749830445947","0x9cf563d7b55aa9aa876d5d7e55126347eee473f0ae56d799e325fdef2bf25297",62292.7629,0.2,"2026-09-25T15:46:50.912Z","Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":29,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":109,"category":38},"107064985435494333113391038470401719113272800530429703182710416066774068907304","0xe6bcc2f1dd025ce5e1833190f7c60a71171c94f805df55b9ab0ded695ec93565",42667.38,0.0888,"Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","[\"0.1795\", \"0.8205\"]",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"size":113,"avg_price":114,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":115,"event_slug":57,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":58,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"18246296022868501258060085368606280205967114341141276439803424448463050819498","0xde5d75ab7702875623ba509bc923241e1211da74a113521b3b70ddac930d7316",54547.9714,0.0503,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":62,"outcome":29,"size":119,"avg_price":120,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":121,"question":66,"event_slug":67,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":68,"outcome_prices":69,"category":70},"834988939366537589681339435844742816680296103724655311351481456389958777625",2174.12,0.8,"2026-09-30T16:47:09.227Z",[],[124,130],{"recorded_date":125,"roi":126,"win_rate":127,"brier_score":128,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":129,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",0.1851028661011888,0.4846349579174007,0.23304666900287166,5109,{"recorded_date":131,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-07",[133,143,150,157,160,166,173,181,188,195,203,210,217,224,227,234,241,247,253,259,265,271,278,281,288,295,300,308,315,321,324,331,336,341,346,352,357,360,365,368,374,380,386,389,397,402,405,412,417,420,425,431,437,445,452,458,464,470,476,482,489,496,501,507],{"condition_id":134,"outcome":29,"usdc":135,"entry_price":136,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":139,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"category":142},"0x07d45de444dbe0595c068a9eade49ace2bd381e30d6a45022d801ec10e7d0294",12620.572225999997,0.20413570509988052,"backfill","","2026-09-23T20:31:23.046Z","US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",null,{"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":139,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":142},"0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c",2451.7284,0.12,"2026-04-29T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-april",{"condition_id":151,"outcome":41,"usdc":152,"entry_price":153,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":154,"captured_at":139,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",17750,0.71,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":151,"outcome":29,"usdc":158,"entry_price":159,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":154,"captured_at":139,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"category":38},115054.38134600001,0.2982675499877938,{"condition_id":161,"outcome":29,"usdc":162,"entry_price":163,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":164,"captured_at":139,"question":165,"event_slug":156,"category":38},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",2820,0.141,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":139,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"category":142},"0x1f5f60cf8b4e5552d5563e6ad3311616d8f825b979bec5b8b6a53337691115a1",14.89998,0.1490000056,"2026-03-12T04:00:00Z","Will Solana reach $90 on March 11?","what-price-will-solana-hit-on-march-11",{"condition_id":174,"outcome":29,"usdc":175,"entry_price":176,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":139,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":180},"0x22e7b5e35423e76842dd3a5e1a21d13793811080d5e7b2896d0c001bd5e97d54",24543.28465,0.49,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?","2026-nba-champion","Sports",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":41,"usdc":183,"entry_price":184,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":139,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":142},"0x23dbb60ade08c2664ac29488325afbc0136735bc7beb9180d9c0cb72620b0b13",114.485151,0.05499999999999999,"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?","who-will-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":41,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":139,"question":193,"event_slug":194,"category":142},"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed",5289.76115,0.020695949536248388,"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?","will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting",{"condition_id":196,"outcome":41,"usdc":197,"entry_price":198,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":199,"captured_at":139,"question":200,"event_slug":201,"category":202},"0x27ad7baca4066891d8e8e5a4df38b164e95b56757041a5c198d24f9cd984b877",5792.9444,0.8740343096820147,"2026-06-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026","Crypto",{"condition_id":204,"outcome":29,"usdc":205,"entry_price":206,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":207,"captured_at":139,"question":208,"event_slug":209,"category":38},"0x2a28cc33492516116690a20d290f9922acbe0ed367ff52a6082154474c7f2971",7367.371383000008,0.00379728091006905,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":211,"outcome":29,"usdc":212,"entry_price":213,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":214,"captured_at":139,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"category":38},"0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c",10705.705718000001,0.004973496518423552,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":218,"outcome":41,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"category":142},"0x2e94bb8dd09931d12e6e656fe4fe6ceb3922bc3d6eab864bb6cd24773cf67269",10217.419955,0.04690570016083814,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-747",{"condition_id":218,"outcome":29,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"category":142},5699.941148,0.3800000004387597,{"condition_id":228,"outcome":29,"usdc":229,"entry_price":230,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":231,"captured_at":139,"question":232,"event_slug":233,"category":142},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",193.84434,0.054000000000000006,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":235,"outcome":41,"usdc":236,"entry_price":237,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":139,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"category":142},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",2244.774,0.84,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":29,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":139,"question":246,"event_slug":156,"category":38},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",6814.927536000001,0.04271325518423542,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":248,"outcome":41,"usdc":249,"entry_price":250,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":251,"captured_at":139,"question":252,"event_slug":149,"category":142},"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa",1623.3476,0.14,"2026-04-29","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":254,"outcome":29,"usdc":255,"entry_price":256,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":139,"question":258,"event_slug":156,"category":38},"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9",64108.59520799996,0.2507672956008408,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":260,"outcome":41,"usdc":261,"entry_price":262,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":142},"0x43c7e8f73e867ebc035edf002617f67cf96b90c85eccac18090e553bfe7a8411",11.45885,0.13284083,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-2027",{"condition_id":266,"outcome":41,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":269,"event_slug":270,"category":142},"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58",52396.625700000004,0.4080869482118332,"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":272,"outcome":41,"usdc":273,"entry_price":274,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":275,"captured_at":139,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":142},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",1769,0.061,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":272,"outcome":29,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":275,"captured_at":139,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":142},14320.109766000001,0.7948474337111923,{"condition_id":282,"outcome":41,"usdc":283,"entry_price":284,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":139,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"category":142},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",32818.265924,0.13208487885837972,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":41,"usdc":290,"entry_price":291,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":292,"captured_at":139,"question":293,"event_slug":294,"category":38},"0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606",2089.20468,0.74,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117",{"condition_id":296,"outcome":41,"usdc":297,"entry_price":298,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":139,"question":299,"event_slug":264,"category":142},"0x5bbabd359667d5bbdb9ee690bb959c9aa4cf4b08b2ae6592118a59753f622d78",35.7175,0.13,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?",{"condition_id":301,"outcome":41,"usdc":302,"entry_price":303,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":304,"captured_at":139,"question":305,"event_slug":306,"category":307},"0x61c020db75fac30d0b3ee73acb481e94d6aee3790828650aa9f0b50d43fedca5",820.0683,0.5170605036673466,"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes","Tech",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":41,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":139,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":142},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",71529.798558,0.3669317828552811,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":41,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":231,"captured_at":139,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":142},"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2",51802.463244000006,0.25145174352126193,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":231,"captured_at":139,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":142},105426.422596,0.2508490408955706,{"condition_id":325,"outcome":29,"usdc":326,"entry_price":327,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":328,"captured_at":139,"question":329,"event_slug":330,"category":70},"0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c",4145.42695,0.7995908825,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?","fed-rate-hike-by",{"condition_id":332,"outcome":29,"usdc":333,"entry_price":334,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":139,"question":335,"event_slug":141,"category":142},"0x74d513ded76c21815373eae49004f36291d958b034087e7bb3669f156e3d116e",5222.070435,0.03491121730964011,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?",{"condition_id":337,"outcome":41,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":340,"event_slug":270,"category":142},"0x797d586ad45522306490b0cc9b2f21bdf957f3843476fae99f3bcc2cec83b74b",6599.5769,0.3421671821970408,"US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":342,"outcome":29,"usdc":343,"entry_price":344,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":139,"question":345,"event_slug":141,"category":142},"0x80059ff4e694f878c0498f6f3a067ee7ca62dc2fc46251a4287b58355ce47bc5",22313.4705,0.1874825065552807,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?",{"condition_id":347,"outcome":29,"usdc":348,"entry_price":349,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":328,"captured_at":139,"question":350,"event_slug":351,"category":70},"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b",296194.82946599997,0.6314210398424349,"Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":41,"usdc":354,"entry_price":355,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":214,"captured_at":139,"question":356,"event_slug":216,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",215105.94437300003,0.5073590528355143,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":214,"captured_at":139,"question":356,"event_slug":216,"category":38},337875.96071100014,0.5630946023303232,{"condition_id":361,"outcome":41,"usdc":362,"entry_price":363,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":207,"captured_at":139,"question":364,"event_slug":209,"category":38},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",288186.83439499995,0.1315084154116994,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":361,"outcome":29,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":207,"captured_at":139,"question":364,"event_slug":209,"category":38},823110.1317500004,0.7337172129050551,{"condition_id":369,"outcome":29,"usdc":370,"entry_price":371,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":138,"captured_at":139,"question":372,"event_slug":373,"category":307},"0x8e4a810cd4169d2ab31e05ad183b383169e9ec8919a62c07ff2e843dd919a8ae",206.11599,0.031062709895847473,"Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":29,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":139,"question":378,"event_slug":379,"category":142},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",21006.515082,0.11352527110752889,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":381,"outcome":41,"usdc":382,"entry_price":383,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":38},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",199569.97965799994,0.6920132501409051,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":381,"outcome":29,"usdc":387,"entry_price":388,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":38},5663.7537,0.11,{"condition_id":390,"outcome":391,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":394,"captured_at":139,"question":395,"event_slug":396,"category":142},"0x9395d17548525858db6a29acefc0f2d9e1c4d4c0aa1e1f1653df624e09ebe871","Team Liquid",60400,0.3775,"2026-08-22T08:15:00Z","Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs","dota2-ts8-liquid-2026-08-21",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":41,"usdc":399,"entry_price":400,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":214,"captured_at":139,"question":401,"event_slug":216,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",1301685.9909929987,0.6610481860358417,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":29,"usdc":403,"entry_price":404,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":214,"captured_at":139,"question":401,"event_slug":216,"category":38},303323.32229399995,0.48855640609167866,{"condition_id":406,"outcome":29,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":139,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":38},"0xa7cb4135c6d9c36da0e343874dd5b455de739c6d1b9f9f5583dd9320aacf5db2",1968.8907000000002,0.015426539766901348,"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-june-825",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":41,"usdc":414,"entry_price":415,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":207,"captured_at":139,"question":416,"event_slug":209,"category":38},"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793",838390.6670560001,0.7774433526486144,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":29,"usdc":418,"entry_price":419,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":207,"captured_at":139,"question":416,"event_slug":209,"category":38},132970.33720700003,0.10622199908023629,{"condition_id":421,"outcome":41,"usdc":422,"entry_price":423,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":139,"question":424,"event_slug":179,"category":180},"0xb6b3d7a2037b3faa7e1306d741840d453432902d73cc9a146a035e40271eae73",8907.495204,0.6833296705370692,"Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":29,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":429,"captured_at":139,"question":430,"event_slug":156,"category":38},"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5",9532.124309,0.4094561728945866,"2026-04-22","US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":432,"outcome":41,"usdc":433,"entry_price":434,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":231,"captured_at":139,"question":435,"event_slug":436,"category":142},"0xc5300759dc2089042380795fe7384010a6b6ebdf9e6da7ed3f786d9a5f61c563",3293.309617,0.1968471338,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?","will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march",{"condition_id":438,"outcome":439,"usdc":440,"entry_price":441,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":139,"question":443,"event_slug":444,"category":180},"0xc851fc5ae688d3d67bccb7c8f0ca475f61ebda796cfcddca7230042de6b48cfd","Max Holloway",32866.86617,0.65,"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z","UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)","ufc-max1-con-2026-07-11",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":29,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":449,"captured_at":139,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"category":142},"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8",259856.59191199986,0.4608643739722157,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":453,"outcome":29,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":192,"captured_at":139,"question":456,"event_slug":457,"category":142},"0xd6c49a94948e365aa74c09eef54d907b7ca534b243c387c375305d5cdd1afef3",18805.58116400001,0.011290408538148356,"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?","will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting",{"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":139,"question":463,"event_slug":156,"category":38},"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423",8083.229354999995,0.060920383633383215,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":465,"outcome":41,"usdc":466,"entry_price":467,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":304,"captured_at":139,"question":468,"event_slug":469,"category":307},"0xdafaa73301e394d19a14c3f1b220d3e27eee7cc042fe4e694c102ba9292ec49e",275.9316,0.07,"Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":41,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":139,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":142},"0xe4b9a52d2bb336ff9d84799b70e72e8e5f4507df881af60f3f4daeb9f541a80e",10900.547849999995,0.3145678266313372,"US forces enter Iran by December 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":41,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":139,"question":480,"event_slug":481,"category":142},"0xe6b7d4d8b4d2ff7dc8c9e5d6dd70b6eece210b8cf9e34fb45f9b9516cc4c76ff",7185.028340999999,0.05432020613673061,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-december-31-2026",{"condition_id":483,"outcome":41,"usdc":484,"entry_price":485,"won":12,"source":137,"end_date_iso":486,"captured_at":139,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"category":142},"0xf326a07132ea27d151fade9df0424db7c5ee496b44e5f373a41b4f15431bfd97",8819.995,0.83,"2026-05-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-april-2026",{"condition_id":490,"outcome":29,"usdc":491,"entry_price":492,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":493,"captured_at":139,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":142},"0xfb80c14c1497596d2b10533873c6ffca9dadf062807ffb104a9c86e04fae7d89",3880.328,0.4,"2026-04-01T04:00:00Z","Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-march-2026",{"condition_id":497,"outcome":29,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":139,"question":500,"event_slug":270,"category":142},"0x1b9cfd142b849edf7a886364d9821f7e8049cf7648e97c73f05e68827f516e2e",1360.77542,0.0483447281662903,"US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":41,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":139,"question":505,"event_slug":506,"category":142},"0x43edd40756d4dfaa633687ddbfab445cdd21f9083a45289871e95b5292793bca",1838.3799,0.27704928137296425,"US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-december-31-2026-966-364-754-215-994-869-583-739",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":29,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":17,"source":137,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":139,"question":511,"event_slug":270,"category":142},"0xe1c67f75aac5b10dc28f1a2fbb79b079fc7f7320abfbd6a950a50c372979569b",6354.41735,0.06717371722059835,"US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?",{"total":513,"wins":514},64,19,[516,522,527,530,534,536],{"category":517,"n":518,"wins":519,"hitRate":520,"roi":521},"Other",34,6,0.17647058823529413,0.4185537470638861,{"category":38,"n":523,"wins":524,"hitRate":525,"roi":526},21,8,0.38095238095238093,0.11212490603359708,{"category":307,"n":528,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":529},3,-1,{"category":180,"n":528,"wins":531,"hitRate":532,"roi":533},2,0.6666666666666666,-0.04098166909025538,{"category":70,"n":531,"wins":531,"hitRate":12,"roi":535},0.5791318483630993,{"category":202,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":537},0.14411984623785923,{"generatedAt":539},"2026-10-07T12:15:09.631Z"]