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by June 30, 2027?","[\"0.841\", \"0.159\"]",{"token_id":300,"condition_id":301,"outcome":29,"size":302,"avg_price":303,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":304,"event_slug":305,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":306,"category":38},"13465307210208195152825579644939593189796801877291170687959393794705252555657","0x3b0eb25f3e18e2ca5bb50a2bfc56f1ef32b43c84841cda2ae91124f8e8ee5a2f",453.56,0.2296,"Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2027?","will-yeet-launch-a-token-by","[\"0.565\", \"0.435\"]",{"token_id":308,"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"size":310,"avg_price":311,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":312,"event_slug":79,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":313,"outcome_prices":212,"category":38},"5794947512970000785582530907943023069906311921943144001194536897065295531448","0xb06951a69f76c15116e4987d6163619e5d062f6857ee3d35ddf0e09d76b2a13b",227.86,0.4539,"Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":315,"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"size":317,"avg_price":318,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":275,"category":38},"14582824291205896604775523551616655659371406458160900368359267893292372287208","0x5b534e0f41523ad9cce972e32e223b33fc8180cba7c1d9b849f62a6c00848eb1",308,0.2866,"Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?","will-reya-launch-a-token-by",{"token_id":322,"condition_id":323,"outcome":29,"size":324,"avg_price":325,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":326,"event_slug":282,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":327,"category":38},"86532677086557167802969742246910845986700410997052706788452886906066182236914","0xedbb125682a5f927173c45b647b64be9d7abb1174fb3728e4478720653eccffb",344.15,0.219,"Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?","[\"0.7535\", \"0.2465\"]",{"token_id":329,"condition_id":330,"outcome":29,"size":331,"avg_price":332,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":333,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":205,"category":38},"71915153278318190797941889362175651591092468210909531916433169254415570206157","0x1f244feac2d3eb2914c37523766733e6baf647f9238f94999cc184c86855f989",105,0.6928,"Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?",{"token_id":335,"condition_id":336,"outcome":29,"size":337,"avg_price":338,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":339,"event_slug":251,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":340,"category":38},"44447346550265091878105107444956930290792948120024560215936636958329659492317","0x9984a5a6f107d6ac66f29b3f763b77e22406d897c79eeadf959636d407057226",103.3129,0.599,"Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":342,"condition_id":343,"outcome":29,"size":344,"avg_price":345,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":346,"event_slug":347,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":348,"category":38},"17771286937365071723103532690854205309982308854724211613234671670154565783325","0x1add8f157337d71e44f3c039fa32d479d298741f8da274e111306cc3414fc47d",101.1,0.5739,"Will Monster launch a token by June 30, 2027?","will-monster-launch-a-token-by-20260727145113739","[\"0.325\", \"0.675\"]",{"token_id":350,"condition_id":351,"outcome":29,"size":352,"avg_price":353,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":354,"event_slug":355,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":243,"outcome_prices":356,"category":38},"35590296067772272094562097961958610342822378554194591345779867030346703708452","0xe4565b7036d214d87f03d82ed44b6e0db1b05c972d358b22e78aa9b68da1850a",630.9508,0.0907,"Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?","predictfun-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","[\"0.9615\", \"0.0385\"]",{"token_id":358,"condition_id":359,"outcome":29,"size":360,"avg_price":361,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":243,"outcome_prices":364,"category":38},"48935578794902135045225533912770563451922438743137734444720504992291437930273","0x8965e7a309aac63d11d4cf5c728e59d5a2853e46ebe9e7e4c6e6ce613da42de9",232.4236,0.2252,"Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?","ethereal-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-774","[\"0.595\", \"0.405\"]",{"token_id":366,"condition_id":367,"outcome":29,"size":368,"avg_price":369,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":370,"event_slug":371,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":372,"category":38},"46858233518248001735023292048788837945373789392622235775654697708590259527375","0x43878fe9645441fe1ae6b4eada260b6061ba5461a659193a9c72014761874c39",833.64,0.0585,"Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?","will-multiplifi-launch-a-token-by","[\"0.7455\", \"0.2545\"]",{"token_id":374,"condition_id":375,"outcome":29,"size":376,"avg_price":377,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":378,"event_slug":379,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":243,"outcome_prices":380,"category":38},"74828278327106142645383761939847550659173869074666279944694089870035252051369","0x8a2aea57bb551023658045e679bb75611083c45e11ffb9dec9e7af88a29e03a8",188.3487,0.2397,"Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch","saturn-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260623191408697","[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]",{"token_id":382,"condition_id":383,"outcome":29,"size":384,"avg_price":385,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":386,"event_slug":266,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":259,"category":38},"98649392721615342824896490719814340432685842316061868682571508278719294581491","0xb32bab51f000679bcd27711d141d9829b77d60a94314956a05224a9bf054b8ae",135,0.3122,"Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?",{"token_id":388,"condition_id":389,"outcome":29,"size":390,"avg_price":391,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":392,"event_slug":393,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":243,"outcome_prices":104,"category":38},"32332407659208177159093899154423390061641282620744195186062190481436553126208","0x750a6a9509734262b9c97f78e3be12e614af096cc59e62506268ddae7b0aa1a7",100,0.3397,"Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2027?","will-betmoar-launch-a-token-by",{"token_id":395,"condition_id":396,"outcome":29,"size":397,"avg_price":398,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":399,"event_slug":157,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":252,"category":38},"40161446510430640629116384502872744720477423133947355917721767039123414407558","0x6b4e789651a4745748102eb668ac58100203197a3f73c443191962604356390d",77.38,0.3599,"Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027?",{"token_id":401,"condition_id":402,"outcome":29,"size":403,"avg_price":404,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":405,"event_slug":406,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":243,"outcome_prices":407,"category":38},"69639228874322459038917361851879076514430486075018017017250519889096037944455","0xd048b3e9ccad82c57a4eec953e75794aeb5e6d0e08bdb79b9e01b24e0049f16d",71.87,0.3611,"Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?","surf-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]",{"token_id":409,"condition_id":410,"outcome":29,"size":411,"avg_price":412,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":413,"event_slug":414,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":243,"outcome_prices":415,"category":38},"63554166183481659775873757197722703791084723114121713521127381221420040005227","0x286b3fc97a7b2dfa5d5e0ee81fef4c5f5818b58cbb957f3edada978600c279a2",92.06,0.1888,"Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?","arc-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","[\"0.625\", \"0.375\"]",{"token_id":417,"condition_id":418,"outcome":29,"size":419,"avg_price":420,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":421,"event_slug":422,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":423,"category":424},"112000211987102478109261275215039051374115665518398829934524051370590626208230","0x63d2b160ac03c19150c6e2419b5212828ad3ab210e0390e9c868a823daa533c3",120.99,0.1311,"Will TownSquare launch a token by December 31, 2026?","will-townsquare-launch-a-token-by-20260720193329907","[\"0.6915\", \"0.3085\"]","Other",{"token_id":426,"condition_id":427,"outcome":29,"size":428,"avg_price":429,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":432,"category":38},"93635361606293400236020468508026255360068597799425524042956449391585595405407","0x484ed3aa6ad6f73e5ac33f1a9ae66fa2e2c31f51916b364b39586c9597f47f8b",26.23,0.3399,"Will Vest launch a token by June 30, 2027?","will-vest-launch-a-token-by-20260708174029215","[\"0.68\", 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2027?","will-rho-labs-launch-a-token-by-20260708174431628","[\"0.49\", \"0.51\"]",{"token_id":449,"condition_id":450,"outcome":29,"size":451,"avg_price":452,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":453,"event_slug":431,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":454,"category":38},"37577914099077709767825574246133987416970299621079385852531745332696668045997","0x7d65d477984860fffc3ef5e290e4e16e574cc7ac28c0ba12606c0e1c56b82c71",11.37,0.5799,"Will Vest launch a token by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.42\", \"0.58\"]",{"token_id":456,"condition_id":457,"outcome":29,"size":458,"avg_price":459,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":460,"event_slug":164,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":461,"category":38},"4872889902962251461312649167541481575277683733870308010245038343458973332984","0x6c9cfece5b0a1b465a2b675ee40ef10ebdb017142b222561e89ebf6d806b6fbd",214.61,0.0244,"Will Jumper launch a token by June 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\"0.0315\"]",[],[464,470],{"recorded_date":465,"roi":466,"win_rate":467,"brier_score":468,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":469,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-23",0.8366527814786938,0.5084745762711864,0.291230233899305,177,{"recorded_date":471,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-05",[473,482,492,499,504,511,518,525,532,539,545,551,558,564,571,576,582,589,595,601,607,612,619,625,631,637,643,650,655,662,668,673,680,687,693,700,707,713,718,723,729,735,742,749,754,759,767,773,780,785,790,795,801,807,813,819,824,829,834,841,846,853,860,867,874,880,885,891,897,904,910,915,921,928,935,942,946,951,954,960,966,971,978,983,989,994,999,1005,1010,1015,1022,1028,1034,1039,1046,1051,1056,1062,1067,1072],{"condition_id":474,"outcome":29,"usdc":475,"entry_price":476,"won":17,"source":477,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":481},"0x01020cdc5580a9ca300c377ba42c7cbd7961b09ac4f10a6d9615f34d3b64186b",231.22321200000002,0.09777158722662128,"backfill","","Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?","will-aztec-launch-a-token-in-2025",null,{"condition_id":483,"outcome":484,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":17,"source":477,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":488,"question":489,"event_slug":490,"category":491},"0x026750b9545df1861e77a85eb5461e621955344738355a6c7fe69bc78510d5d6","Yes",12.42571,0.027986463640485144,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","2026-09-23T04:35:28.626Z","Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455","Politics",{"condition_id":493,"outcome":29,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":17,"source":477,"end_date_iso":496,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":481},"0x02b36f219ad7c0676f29c1333aeeda41a13e8553f79661304e2f124def551d42",15.842220000000001,0.015548813879088599,"2026-01-01T00:00:00Z","Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?","plasma-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":500,"outcome":484,"usdc":501,"entry_price":502,"won":17,"source":477,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":488,"question":503,"event_slug":490,"category":491},"0x061d30d493488624cb80cce362179251bd837ea6a0664ed4d7fd6a126ab8caa7",2.33547,0.0030260434,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?",{"condition_id":505,"outcome":484,"usdc":506,"entry_price":507,"won":17,"source":477,"end_date_iso":508,"captured_at":13,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"category":481},"0x06377ae8a4621549a460c111b5ee35452165970d7610b57557c83ea0d9222674",278.079999,0.1384920096,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","No airdrop in 2025?","what-day-will-the-lighter-airdrop-be",{"condition_id":512,"outcome":29,"usdc":513,"entry_price":514,"won":12,"source":477,"end_date_iso":515,"captured_at":13,"question":516,"event_slug":517,"category":481},"0x08c781724bfa815b391fe31e6e5604dba1a8f61f702205ef77a51a3edc53a119",336.97719800000004,0.7541766083199447,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?","monad-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":519,"outcome":29,"usdc":520,"entry_price":521,"won":12,"source":477,"end_date_iso":522,"captured_at":13,"question":523,"event_slug":524,"category":481},"0x0cd16ea8e6e2b5f3475db22b82463cf7b6bf0579123c0db794c7eaf6cc6292d7",1159.373477,0.856335625061575,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?","trump-exits-russia-x-ukraine-negotiations-before-july",{"condition_id":526,"outcome":29,"usdc":527,"entry_price":528,"won":12,"source":477,"end_date_iso":529,"captured_at":488,"question":530,"event_slug":531,"category":481},"0x0ce2da6193ffc43d329fe5bb3e895fb7c0019e37b09c6778e7442c91c32b6f82",157.4519,0.8699,"2026-03-14","Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?","internet-access-restored-in-iran-by",{"condition_id":533,"outcome":484,"usdc":534,"entry_price":535,"won":17,"source":477,"end_date_iso":536,"captured_at":13,"question":537,"event_slug":538,"category":481},"0x0e05e0150c23d2c0d616ef70b19e0b6e6590e73c6ea9307f68057ca63f32d10b",24.4,0.61,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after 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