[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":169,"history":170,"resolved":173,"resolvedSummary":832,"specialization":835,"meta":852},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x5685bf6758facce7d1221d3cc3ab0fdb836a62e2",1560,437,0.9107551487414187,0.12819425461492726,0.0800617895597685,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-26T19:41:53.738Z",662.2730287437086,1.5506958250497018,"2026-09-26T16:20:57.000Z",0,"trades",0.7995447352897028,0.1112104134517163,37101.124007588696,289413.3135610006,10.12296496609485,0.014457831325301205,[26,39,49,56,64,73,81,89,97,104,113,121,129,136,145,152,161],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b","No",18035.7144,0.9155,"2026-09-28T01:33:08.187Z","2026-09-26T20:38:49.682Z","Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"107151098936186723859677628536733880558851060002514795735761427447010628440047","0x129dbcb7d39ff8df5f0d7685a2db6400b5db37d3963914486fbb7fd2bc96a923","Yes",15255.1177,0.9048,"Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?","north-carolina-senate-election-winner","","[\"0.955\", \"0.045\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915","0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803",14721.4192,0.6794,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":42,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":63,"category":38},"47848555635748009983462962481545341194026880518141560747711492227563791266566","0xe655180a65e17b6959aa722821312de23513cba6c6d2e3a55f47f198977316bf",10953.2739,0.9131,"Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?","florida-senate-election-winner","[\"0.915\", \"0.085\"]",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":42,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":71,"outcome_prices":72,"category":38},"86831555216352607458811867018842097191310281105831909967661155990095395482445","0xa090ae1a88ca96bcae7523a65a96425ed53616709be75cb69a0df144f718931e",10311.7441,0.8348,"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","nothing-ever-happens-2026","2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","[\"0.83\", \"0.17\"]",{"token_id":74,"condition_id":75,"outcome":29,"size":76,"avg_price":77,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":78,"event_slug":79,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":80,"category":38},"18702020867581976905619984893323736143098724607754292117438927457109238679413","0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa",9455.0337,0.806,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":82,"condition_id":83,"outcome":29,"size":84,"avg_price":85,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":86,"event_slug":87,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":88,"category":38},"60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",7501.5808,0.7998,"Iran leadership change by December 31?","iran-leadership-change-by","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":90,"condition_id":91,"outcome":29,"size":92,"avg_price":93,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":94,"event_slug":95,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"72413274791623935706318436448441626129741116452837525058113815959729031743718","0x656235664464bcadcc586acb871051dadb7c7343b7e805a5eccc02815e20d7df",7348.8946,0.8052,"Cuban regime falls in 2026?","cuban-regime-falls-in-2026","[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":42,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"21024219148268989748704207701411444044468128261642675917026452687231462203167","0x3c5b93b91196c8db64e63c424979da8cfbf44a4501afd70d2480ee28fbf306a2",2288.7464,0.8738,"Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?","georgia-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":105,"condition_id":106,"outcome":29,"size":107,"avg_price":108,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":112,"category":38},"22565697898866902421827249753073724853716728364324058991133494578952317785355","0x1e4ad3d340dbb9149ec6d2873bf6f519bddc1eb0f89665605fd90d226dd06b78",3687.9706,0.489,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.525\", \"0.475\"]",{"token_id":114,"condition_id":115,"outcome":29,"size":116,"avg_price":117,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":120,"category":38},"69571235428804745586333375352944333216796797827079661110088955176329741646668","0x7846774d5a3d0e7ea41c74a0f84f8e50e657e1ffa20a8fdc0f36a5898eff6a90",533.6757,0.9399,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":42,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":128,"category":38},"82410058691149830741200014405570918770267839390767234397030380747995715352939","0xfc5c740e4617eb9908ceada7c91bfbe1cd41f172d703ef811d544e60a7a70bb5",583.7766,0.8565,"Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?","new-hampshire-senate-election-winner","[\"0.85\", \"0.15\"]",{"token_id":130,"condition_id":131,"outcome":29,"size":132,"avg_price":133,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":134,"event_slug":87,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":135,"category":38},"4873866473576781461673824094832289054970626936457051935930934423294253776723","0xe802435286a79c0086810443a824d596619a6f34f901c112f0b70e4e140d6165",720.4968,0.6939,"Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":137,"condition_id":138,"outcome":29,"size":139,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":143,"outcome_prices":144,"category":38},"13887896800265966487014179943559375403384011039339488276489274832989862323735","0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0",211.6401,0.9449,"Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":42,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":63,"category":38},"5210147086444382339849101722545511095151948730486562412029285471203011774407","0x44b642636473fb07f0c2319a1d25729a36134969076ffdbb8979cbfdda612b14",138.6525,0.9106,"Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?","minnesota-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":153,"condition_id":154,"outcome":29,"size":155,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":160,"category":38},"78935030613038194779147226463048913187247425461933527083007539809178403199936","0x174ea87d011bfd0b230efc45e0b4d0756d38af91f0ffbab70013a582603c2be8",120.1112,0.8705,"Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?","next-french-presidential-election","2027-04-30T00:00:00Z","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":42,"size":164,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":166,"event_slug":167,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":111,"outcome_prices":168,"category":38},"46892570415920478531233142374407395124083443033067712069850308782029625047552","0x489c9d0b0449d5bc45625ace5cb37c78de8e11fae3b312bee674fc36fa4b23b8",1.1764,0.8499,"Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-winner","[\"0.86\", \"0.14\"]",[],[171],{"recorded_date":172,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-26",[174,184,193,201,210,219,227,236,244,250,257,260,267,274,280,288,296,302,309,315,321,328,335,342,349,356,363,369,374,382,387,390,397,404,411,418,425,432,438,445,451,457,464,471,477,484,490,497,503,510,516,523,529,535,540,547,553,560,567,573,579,586,593,600,606,612,618,624,631,637,643,650,656,663,668,674,680,686,692,700,706,713,719,725,732,738,743,750,756,763,769,775,781,786,792,799,806,813,818,825],{"condition_id":175,"outcome":176,"usdc":177,"entry_price":165,"won":12,"source":178,"end_date_iso":179,"captured_at":180,"question":181,"event_slug":182,"category":183},"0xca6189581f97c5b82d256a196e708e21f6b95e1a982b9928e29eb69fe7ca222e","Ravens",49.99409265,"live","2026-09-27T20:25:00Z","2026-09-27T22:53:05.019Z","Ravens vs. Cowboys","nfl-bal-dal-2026-09-27","Sports",{"condition_id":185,"outcome":186,"usdc":187,"entry_price":188,"won":12,"source":178,"end_date_iso":189,"captured_at":190,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"category":183},"0x78d330c13885ac6fd36f082f2c502aefdb2a9bd53cc6a5765ce4375b650b9d35","Jaguars",534.94245712,0.9299,"2026-09-27T17:00:00Z","2026-09-27T19:31:31.134Z","Patriots vs. Jaguars","nfl-ne-jax-2026-09-27",{"condition_id":194,"outcome":195,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":12,"source":178,"end_date_iso":189,"captured_at":198,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":183},"0xed537832cbf6774d5b54da06732b53ce6866d82941e593ca71292f8e247babc5","Chiefs",631.19652452,0.8599,"2026-09-26T20:39:01.535Z","Chiefs vs. Dolphins","nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":203,"usdc":204,"entry_price":205,"won":12,"source":178,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":207,"question":208,"event_slug":209,"category":183},"0x9076f43ed2fbcd279b6fe01485cdc5017565c2400ff8ac556b6f2c59fd26fc3c","Cincinnati",699.96742277,0.9779,"2026-09-26T23:00:00Z","2026-09-27T02:42:57.769Z","Kansas State vs. Cincinnati","cfb-kanst-cin-2026-09-26",{"condition_id":211,"outcome":212,"usdc":213,"entry_price":214,"won":12,"source":178,"end_date_iso":215,"captured_at":216,"question":217,"event_slug":218,"category":183},"0x73beb546468d55ef971db6f1e54518b2716af2636e4ced760e0b7bd9a301ad61","Utah",699.93989232,0.9816,"2026-09-26T19:30:00Z","2026-09-26T20:53:15.941Z","Utah vs. Iowa State","cfb-utah-iowast-2026-09-26",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":221,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":12,"source":178,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":216,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"category":183},"0xf521be8b63d678558c4bc0920b1ad0833e80dec76d1a6b71168f562b42a41257","Austin Peay",19.99786212,0.9879,"2026-09-26T18:00:00Z","Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay","cfb-tmrt-ausp-2026-09-26",{"condition_id":228,"outcome":42,"usdc":229,"entry_price":230,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":233,"event_slug":234,"category":235},"0x027eeeaba097b5f3b166eace64668b2e6b327acc7c6b314ae5f03b33b51425e7",1022.1899900000001,0.8233838638581541,"backfill","2025-11-04T00:00:00Z","Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025","new-jersey-governor-election-winner-2025",null,{"condition_id":237,"outcome":238,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"category":235},"0x0ad30faec3cd25a8ee81a919c4241ef9ec076882435a0b23205cd2b31bf32e70","Colts",19.999999,0.5299999883,"2026-09-21T00:20:00Z","Colts vs. Chiefs","nfl-ind-kc-2026-09-21",{"condition_id":245,"outcome":29,"usdc":246,"entry_price":247,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":13,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"category":235},"0x0c23ad7af38087ab27f94fd35eec62b4f53c0d6edd16bf04d85b7c456dc777de",9491.999988,0.860428567419442,"Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-2025",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"usdc":252,"entry_price":253,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"category":38},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",72.609994,0.7398381499754252,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30",{"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"usdc":258,"entry_price":259,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":13,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"category":38},2714.3122479999997,0.8342360415106744,{"condition_id":261,"outcome":29,"usdc":262,"entry_price":263,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":265,"event_slug":266,"category":235},"0x12da9018becd98b431fb377ae57087ebbe8ad4a1cf82c832fb0aed7c4b6b791d",569.999998,0.7130912705,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Will Trump visit Russia before July?","will-trump-visit-russia-before-july",{"condition_id":268,"outcome":29,"usdc":269,"entry_price":270,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":272,"event_slug":273,"category":38},"0x139bc939a90e0414f2446ef09b30e3c5a14cc0fa8496c11bb6822954ad674a17",8200.359981999998,0.8794714276259319,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?","will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025",{"condition_id":275,"outcome":29,"usdc":276,"entry_price":277,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"category":235},"0x14618aaf6f238e45400b1bb50857617f4b8d5a3a04e8dfa8b17de3db3b26bb27",1599.9999979999998,0.4203590360880116,"Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?","which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed",{"condition_id":281,"outcome":29,"usdc":282,"entry_price":283,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":13,"question":285,"event_slug":286,"category":287},"0x15fcf94587789dcd26efd4a31a1dbc8ff80c3c0bbfed1ca7eb90a054fda6efbf",4565.269994999999,0.8438785695599571,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Kurds declare independence from Iran?","kurds-declare-independence-from-iran","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":290,"usdc":291,"entry_price":292,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":293,"captured_at":13,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":235},"0x1892e09a862f12c9b3488e14b3f4f87f3eb7fc92d2d8a6c4191337fb45c2d884","Eagles",12.909997,0.809999995,"2025-12-28T21:25:00Z","Eagles vs. Bills","nfl-phi-buf-2025-12-28",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":29,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"category":235},"0x1b2b69401b202d313f8909800ca7e5b1c631de6782d0b74e7cc827e1873abfb0",3731.919995,0.8500858909982959,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-june-30",{"condition_id":303,"outcome":42,"usdc":304,"entry_price":305,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":306,"captured_at":13,"question":307,"event_slug":308,"category":38},"0x1b427a1cc93c7d7be6814173de740735e0d1c321a8bdfc9242bde26c19779bad",23.530997,0.7953516901687203,"2026-09-08T00:00:00Z","Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?","new-hampshire-governor-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":310,"outcome":29,"usdc":311,"entry_price":312,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":235},"0x1d54eb5eac2cee8f595f3097c65da7d07f8ab5dee63d7c0c6883eb70e1e9af30",7129.479998,0.7719637912814648,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-march-31-2026",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":13,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":38},"0x1e5efe84a9a890e61044d77ea6e182f39b06d5b382c851b926cad54cb4972e68",14959.759985000004,0.7779749316514131,"Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?","will-russia-capture-slovainsk-by-2027",{"condition_id":322,"outcome":29,"usdc":323,"entry_price":324,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":325,"captured_at":13,"question":326,"event_slug":327,"category":235},"0x244c75b2c6095b2e67699c10d0c6548d757d58a1ffea32ad6882c9a389803bd4",10565.999988,0.7641433656081599,"2025-04-28T12:00:00Z","Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?","next-prime-minster-of-canada",{"condition_id":329,"outcome":42,"usdc":330,"entry_price":331,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":332,"captured_at":13,"question":333,"event_slug":334,"category":235},"0x25e48d2f5c66a03982f233e67f8131159e884dc186e6a55cc2e413d07e74830c",565.999998,0.8199999988,"2024-11-05T12:00:00Z","Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?","montana-us-senate-election-winner",{"condition_id":336,"outcome":29,"usdc":337,"entry_price":338,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":339,"captured_at":13,"question":340,"event_slug":341,"category":235},"0x2b1d22011f3ee2a7794daf1a7f3fd1092222cf8c5ae9be251abdf215926da14b",99.979997,0.8499999991,"2024-08-04T12:00:00Z","Iran military response by Sunday?","iran-military-response-by-sunday",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":29,"usdc":344,"entry_price":345,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":235},"0x2bb0599cb3f3223bd000006dd28fcd901c9920e78e6d31337552c0f8ec9d9a5b",1999.999997,0.8295852074,"2024-12-31T12:00:00Z","U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?","us-military-action-against-iran-in-2024",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":353,"captured_at":13,"question":354,"event_slug":355,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",1514.019996,0.8065734488523091,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":357,"outcome":29,"usdc":358,"entry_price":359,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":287},"0x2e43d977463a0d78a859fdd95d1570287b888ed6c9d4670532d46c22a3a7478f",1332.999988,0.8850133765356032,"2025-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will Russia capture Sumy before October?","will-russia-capture-sumy-before-october",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":29,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":87,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",8.389987,0.8772062974799687,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":29,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":373,"event_slug":279,"category":235},"0x330f413895b25d8669861208d3403725516f6e3d66164bea64a8be41a4ccb0b4",549.999999,0.7173363946834366,"Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":376,"usdc":377,"entry_price":378,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":379,"captured_at":13,"question":380,"event_slug":381,"category":235},"0x354ebe41d75446cd43eb2dbebacd344cfb9a8abe9b26ce39c5074e0841e5a885","Crawford",1701.199987,0.8529354685491431,"2025-04-01T12:00:00Z","Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel ","wisconsin-supreme-court-election-susan-crawford-vs-brad-schimel",{"condition_id":383,"outcome":29,"usdc":384,"entry_price":385,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":386,"event_slug":279,"category":235},"0x3b40221adf21a481d1eb3c84bd52e828384fe2558a9889afa86068874f84f7b8",570.999996,0.6256282699406792,"Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?",{"condition_id":99,"outcome":42,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":13,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"category":38},1809.5006349999999,0.8680167541898962,{"condition_id":391,"outcome":29,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":394,"captured_at":13,"question":395,"event_slug":396,"category":235},"0x3d16ed6f91ad7d3ffb1633e792a6b5595cbd30cf8a9f63883ade9e6e97c8bdc8",8734.709982,0.7845525179194615,"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?","us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":29,"usdc":399,"entry_price":400,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":403,"category":38},"0x3f375f4ae7614be4a20da05382c128dff7a3a917dcbd63d1c3e12ff7ca862d56",41.499998,0.5987936659239378,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?","naim-qassem-out-as-hezbollahs-secretary-general-by-december-31",{"condition_id":405,"outcome":29,"usdc":406,"entry_price":407,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":408,"captured_at":13,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"category":235},"0x41eda073eeca4071d3a643a527bf8549851ff16c7e4b924a007671cb11920f98",9148.789981,0.8682139771250015,"2025-09-30T12:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-october",{"condition_id":412,"outcome":42,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":415,"captured_at":13,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"category":235},"0x432e3bff20596f36c22e015ec23182e591ab7c37367e1ad96db73dc5984ddf5b",3778.229999,0.714815348085404,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":42,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":423,"event_slug":424,"category":235},"0x44a23a99b4106399813d921551bc08e69c699fc8c14a8868724eea8b1827a435",100,0.8,"2024-10-31T12:00:00Z","Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?","yahya-sinwar-still-hamas-leader-through-november",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":42,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":429,"captured_at":13,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":38},"0x4808488e54a414ee180be47feebba96166cad42fff4cc5c363733c42b6357d4e",4760.8416910000005,0.8116202933812764,"2026-09-01T00:00:00Z","Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?","massachusetts-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":433,"outcome":42,"usdc":434,"entry_price":435,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":13,"question":436,"event_slug":437,"category":235},"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58",24.809995999999998,0.6171233064896536,"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":439,"outcome":29,"usdc":440,"entry_price":441,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":13,"question":443,"event_slug":444,"category":235},"0x4e9e1271a85c381ee19ad89866bc06df26f37793c77b6933a24bef8c4bfe2dc0",1999.999999,0.8761542224,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-by-march-31",{"condition_id":446,"outcome":29,"usdc":447,"entry_price":448,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":449,"event_slug":450,"category":235},"0x53ebb991b4811704723ecf16c29acd4be97368b2e707685e961421dc27b5826c",999.999996,0.8981139607,"Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?","will-russia-capture-pokrovsk-before-november",{"condition_id":452,"outcome":29,"usdc":453,"entry_price":454,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":455,"event_slug":456,"category":235},"0x5412ae25e97078f814157de948459d59c6221b4c4c495fdd57b536543ad36729",10947.999983,0.7898092654292507,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-july",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":29,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":461,"captured_at":13,"question":462,"event_slug":463,"category":38},"0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606",5897.125408,0.7836242295880286,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117",{"condition_id":465,"outcome":29,"usdc":466,"entry_price":467,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":469,"event_slug":470,"category":235},"0x5bb02509cac2580d4b13ab17cef450011997faf52882059ca9a9611e374c210a",1819.999997,0.5669393851042003,"2025-07-31T00:00:00Z","US military action against Iran before August?","us-military-action-against-iran-before-august",{"condition_id":472,"outcome":29,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":235},"0x5d892486e700e4b7afb9b1726ce4697b0c3002bc086dca4bf1131c932788e920",995.999989,0.8583296723762622,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-july-31",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":29,"usdc":479,"entry_price":480,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":13,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"category":235},"0x5ebd7530e7ae05d362aafff51c840890f271e387a77ca4dc653e6e9e9a7c4734",205.999995,0.8934939757,"2025-01-31T12:00:00Z","Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? ","how-many-trump-cabinet-confirmations-in-january",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":29,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":13,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":38},"0x61af02c9250c3917602e21c301e2f0cd032ea4e25bdef3751846b4d5f1c22799",299.999996,0.7759757832544234,"Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?","mamdani-opens-city-owned-grocery-store-by-june-30",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":29,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":494,"captured_at":13,"question":495,"event_slug":496,"category":235},"0x6220c4164a293367cd40eba018dd6e67c78e4d48e74158845cc9361230bcb34d",39.999997,0.8783536339994642,"2025-06-24T12:00:00Z","Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?","who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor",{"condition_id":498,"outcome":29,"usdc":499,"entry_price":500,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":501,"captured_at":13,"question":502,"event_slug":273,"category":38},"0x62f31557b0e55475789b57a94ac385ee438ef9f800117fd1b823a0797b1fdd68",9541.809982,0.8770539626534397,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":29,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":507,"captured_at":13,"question":508,"event_slug":509,"category":38},"0x69b009591dd768c3878e2ff9b28b8661e039409ea2f156ad70aa5224c08702e0",1394.099993,0.7089763181124046,"2026-01-01T04:59:00Z","Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?","will-russia-capture-lyman-in-2025",{"condition_id":511,"outcome":29,"usdc":512,"entry_price":513,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":514,"event_slug":515,"category":235},"0x6a67b9d828d53862160e470329ffea5246f338ecfffdf2cab45211ec578b0347",5418.999991000001,0.6990006487919697,"US military action against Iran before July?","us-military-action-against-iran-before-july",{"condition_id":517,"outcome":29,"usdc":518,"entry_price":519,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":520,"captured_at":13,"question":521,"event_slug":522,"category":235},"0x6b01f79ee5ada0a16f0a967c0e857490e99669373c04ba8439b7e9723d58e031",1999.999998,0.89,"2024-11-30T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?","will-ruusia-capture-chasiv-yar-before-december",{"condition_id":524,"outcome":29,"usdc":525,"entry_price":526,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":13,"question":527,"event_slug":528,"category":235},"0x6b4da4ccf2820da78b36efdcd4fc9601a4fc725f4eb4dc009c0ce9444310df1d",999.999998,0.8623230882,"Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?","trump-orders-us-prisoners-to-el-salvador-before-apirl",{"condition_id":530,"outcome":29,"usdc":531,"entry_price":532,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":235},"0x6b8a66b95e7bc212ff6033bd8a38b1611dfa791d149d80656e880f4a84d596a0",318.999998,0.7799999989,"Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":13,"question":539,"event_slug":79,"category":38},"0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead",1999.69,0.7967864208,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":541,"outcome":29,"usdc":542,"entry_price":543,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":13,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":235},"0x6ee44a32b167a5d5d05a4b6522d7304a27b8682e3314528afbd99a9cf22a3ef6",699.999993,0.8714576705168147,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?","us-announces-resumption-of-direct-flights-to-russia-before-may",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":29,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"category":235},"0x705479cc3e7cf2907997c62b4245356c48b5133f7d82a47829a2354dd77a7c51",6152.29999,0.8737838380303908,"Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?","will-the-us-invade-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":29,"usdc":555,"entry_price":556,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":557,"captured_at":13,"question":558,"event_slug":559,"category":235},"0x73f71c364e6085e956abcd950f2176abcf3a6959022b5cc008fd505f296e335a",2216.179988,0.8944204384186925,"2026-01-01T00:00:00Z","Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?","will-the-us-invade-iran-in-2025",{"condition_id":561,"outcome":29,"usdc":562,"entry_price":563,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":566,"category":235},"0x77783da9b3549399a4bc0ba504f03c33f6cafca89f6ef5d96cb1d9492dfd22d5",3047.749971,0.8650885973155983,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","US forces in Yemen in 2025?","us-forces-in-yemen-in-2025",{"condition_id":568,"outcome":42,"usdc":569,"entry_price":570,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":13,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":38},"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39",100.640758,0.8799999965,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","makerfield-by-election-winner",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":29,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":577,"event_slug":578,"category":235},"0x7949174f6cb3b0781fbd1a63a51fb7d2e72ac2d7cff1628f2c62477b64734bff",1499.9999950000001,0.8690094710877891,"Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?","will-israel-invade-syria-in-2024",{"condition_id":580,"outcome":42,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":583,"captured_at":13,"question":584,"event_slug":585,"category":38},"0x805989714fd56adb1fda05206d993bc60aa133f2331580ab69df906f65360d31",502.11688100000003,0.8941228289034735,"2026-08-11T00:00:00Z","Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?","mn-05-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":587,"outcome":29,"usdc":588,"entry_price":589,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":590,"captured_at":13,"question":591,"event_slug":592,"category":235},"0x805d5d29303a29387e9b541f5c7405bcea69f8ef56137ce174356cb0e548d3ee",1999.999994,0.8851649634,"2025-04-29T12:00:00Z","Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?","trump-ends-taxes-on-tips-in-first-100-days",{"condition_id":594,"outcome":42,"usdc":595,"entry_price":596,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":597,"captured_at":13,"question":598,"event_slug":599,"category":38},"0x807a5bd3d52942c2d8b58bf71a583d4aa03a637f3fd9ff7a7c4a1ad818003067",1000.189996,0.6378671243674394,"2026-06-09T00:00:00Z","Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?","maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":601,"outcome":29,"usdc":602,"entry_price":603,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":13,"question":604,"event_slug":605,"category":235},"0x80dbcce5a1e4e4a1dc769a1d3ed66ef704a4c578da49423438a605bb2c3915ec",1292.4399939999998,0.7990735393723788,"Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?","who-will-leave-trump-administration-in-2025",{"condition_id":607,"outcome":29,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":13,"question":610,"event_slug":611,"category":235},"0x83db8ba7bbbae39dfb017f61c634f199579acb813e2dd6d81068ffefb59c1bae",2999.9999980000002,0.793326632091993,"U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?","us-anti-cartel-operation-in-mexico-before-may",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":42,"usdc":614,"entry_price":615,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":332,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":617,"category":235},"0x883f6ac0468d3449161454db37acb951bad5b55a7752bc2dd007e40356cee353",4999.99999,0.8809815637075082,"Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?","texas-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":619,"outcome":29,"usdc":620,"entry_price":621,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":622,"event_slug":623,"category":235},"0x896d1877ca71ffa3d43c046fdacd4470f1a8c0cf91e14ed66d9d0e0b3099dfe5",1997.829997,0.7846286559876865,"US-Iran nuclear deal before July?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-july",{"condition_id":625,"outcome":626,"usdc":627,"entry_price":519,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":628,"captured_at":13,"question":629,"event_slug":630,"category":235},"0x8fc6412c31b369883964bfd03acacc375e6bc1c6e89995a7eb15b93de4cd546b","49ers",544.429999,"2026-09-20T20:25:00Z","Dolphins vs. 49ers","nfl-mia-sf-2026-09-20",{"condition_id":632,"outcome":29,"usdc":633,"entry_price":634,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":13,"question":635,"event_slug":636,"category":235},"0x91530807080b8dda487bc241f92b35a9da243edeb3cbee7ae98e371fdc3e40a6",733.419992,0.8613150344364059,"Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?","mike-waltz-out-of-trump-administration-before-may",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":13,"question":641,"event_slug":642,"category":38},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",7103.739976,0.854002496156282,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":644,"outcome":42,"usdc":645,"entry_price":646,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":647,"captured_at":13,"question":648,"event_slug":649,"category":235},"0x939bf902c7ba884c1310f19b6be20576f823952460f6367c9f10c08cd449ee60",1791.9599829999997,0.8835049741265874,"2026-05-05T00:00:00Z","Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?","ohio-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":29,"usdc":652,"entry_price":653,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":13,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"category":235},"0x96ac7b3cd2322768c3c2d4d80c1bf8471f013d267a2b7a1630adf23d56e6e10f",1140.999997,0.893992375519157,"Will  Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?","will-trump-claim-he-crashed-the-market-on-purpose",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":29,"usdc":658,"entry_price":659,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":660,"captured_at":13,"question":661,"event_slug":662,"category":235},"0x997b435aeeb8a9b81a4d1374510529b915908639193e1f84f37267c19794c3f4",9068.999977,0.8631100681639844,"2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?","will-iran-strike-gulf-oil-facilities-before-july",{"condition_id":664,"outcome":29,"usdc":665,"entry_price":666,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":13,"question":667,"event_slug":249,"category":235},"0x9aa6086535a4b3145e9f7378dd58a7a8c30c4b15bd4fe17eb6990817f5cd3cd9",11556.959985,0.7398927633654476,"Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?",{"condition_id":669,"outcome":42,"usdc":670,"entry_price":671,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":672,"event_slug":673,"category":235},"0x9ce4ce441b98560634b67589135dac0034a45edaacf13455c9add1ddbb6b7dec",99.999998,0.8479999996,"Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?","will-assad-remain-president-of-syria-through-2024",{"condition_id":675,"outcome":29,"usdc":676,"entry_price":677,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":13,"question":678,"event_slug":679,"category":235},"0x9d2399f73bcf8a21d50a4f148cb821958aaf3b66104cd51b472f9c7fcef16a66",4999.999997,0.8891523414,"Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-by-march-31",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":29,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":501,"captured_at":13,"question":684,"event_slug":685,"category":235},"0x9d34c3fa462dc5e0b9d1d374d14dfc4a211c404f03860e5273e1ac67fa4580a7",499.999996,0.8524704194473351,"Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?","israel-confirms-it-has-nuclear-weapons-in-2025",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":29,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":13,"question":690,"event_slug":691,"category":235},"0xa39487c2b83c3587aa7f4c6afb0165484b5c1b6f17211fda0ba15e446f9ad155",300,0.75,"Karen Read guilty in officer's death?","karen-read-guilty-in-officers-death",{"condition_id":693,"outcome":694,"usdc":695,"entry_price":696,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":697,"captured_at":13,"question":698,"event_slug":699,"category":235},"0xa4741df4f013ac2a7c5c44667074b0b76d1e600291a6d39ac6888428c9b07c02","Patriots",50.649997,0.7699999986,"2025-11-30T18:00:00Z","Patriots vs. Bengals","nfl-ne-cin-2025-11-23",{"condition_id":701,"outcome":29,"usdc":518,"entry_price":702,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":704,"event_slug":705,"category":235},"0xa5ac4cdcfff44ddfb0d332d33575f766414465786fb7d4350782db40d5e9da11",0.8599999996,"2025-04-20T12:00:00Z","Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?","trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days",{"condition_id":707,"outcome":42,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":710,"captured_at":13,"question":711,"event_slug":712,"category":235},"0xaa5041ca3ea8400325d726e0fb44b85180c4d6211dea960d7a3fb4600d5d6c76",99.999999,0.4845360816677756,"2025-11-16T12:00:00Z","Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?","chile-presidential-election",{"condition_id":714,"outcome":29,"usdc":715,"entry_price":716,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":717,"event_slug":718,"category":235},"0xacb222d877953d15539b66743500d421db46c7e3b9bb429007489c25f23f3fad",8999.999993,0.832530282619329,"Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?","will-russia-capture-pokrovsk-in-2024",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":660,"captured_at":13,"question":723,"event_slug":724,"category":235},"0xacbda74c0ef35c23ddad0e601e1b9cd07721ae0bce0ef38e6ad9cf9f78475253",305.689998,0.8896769467,"UK strike on Iran before July?","uk-strike-on-iran-before-july",{"condition_id":726,"outcome":42,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":729,"captured_at":13,"question":730,"event_slug":731,"category":235},"0xaf0837382f86eb1e83dd3eb205de5ee99d9a2808934f79814a57653e39bf1c4a",22.869996,0.6802703508323782,"2026-03-17T00:00:00Z","Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?","illinois-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":733,"outcome":29,"usdc":734,"entry_price":735,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":564,"captured_at":13,"question":736,"event_slug":737,"category":235},"0xafc235557ace53ff0b0d2e93392314a7c3f3daab26a79050e985c11282f66df7",6480.999982,0.7994308005725748,"Maduro out in 2025?","maduro-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":739,"outcome":42,"usdc":740,"entry_price":519,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":442,"captured_at":13,"question":741,"event_slug":742,"category":235},"0xb016ffde99bb7820cf82a9358f73d2cd9d0b9df6d3b1fd30198b043656a077ee",3127.999995,"Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?","assad-out-as-president-of-syria-by-march-31-2025",{"condition_id":744,"outcome":29,"usdc":745,"entry_price":746,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":747,"captured_at":13,"question":748,"event_slug":749,"category":235},"0xb1d2cd56624ec8bb3d8115d50d503d0e8578bf32d754ad5fe3c0e08a73186c57",2216.239998,0.7447643429967132,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?","will-the-supreme-court-rule-in-favor-of-trumps-tariffs",{"condition_id":751,"outcome":29,"usdc":752,"entry_price":753,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":754,"captured_at":13,"question":755,"event_slug":87,"category":38},"0xb412664463bbfe21be44b1963291205ab332afd4f7f6e0d027aec1ba7a9e6793",6.879995,0.8388700217449716,"2026-05-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by April 30?",{"condition_id":757,"outcome":42,"usdc":758,"entry_price":759,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":760,"captured_at":13,"question":761,"event_slug":762,"category":235},"0xb64d0eb9636ace08b2e15514a729c8e9ed7468148300912324ecb8ce8416f9db",999.999993,0.8805695581,"2025-01-03T12:00:00Z","Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?","fact-check-cybertruck-explosion-intentional",{"condition_id":764,"outcome":29,"usdc":765,"entry_price":766,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":544,"captured_at":13,"question":767,"event_slug":768,"category":235},"0xb6e892114540dad45ad54826b63f8c0e7523a52e017ba1355acc7462c3377cb6",999.999999,0.804958236,"Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?","will-trump-increase-tariffs-on-china-before-may-2025",{"condition_id":770,"outcome":29,"usdc":771,"entry_price":772,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":520,"captured_at":13,"question":773,"event_slug":774,"category":235},"0xb89013825a38d14f0a5b7edf6b8e5c5573e6d037e6801c4a8c1143461fc67476",4999.999995,0.889824064,"Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?","israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-before-december",{"condition_id":776,"outcome":29,"usdc":447,"entry_price":777,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":778,"captured_at":13,"question":779,"event_slug":780,"category":235},"0xb99ef516a29277c886f65d979143c0cad5eb80b937bf6039b9832eff7389a743",0.8780938085,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?","texas-republican-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":782,"outcome":29,"usdc":783,"entry_price":784,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":710,"captured_at":13,"question":785,"event_slug":712,"category":235},"0xbc12b9cfb9b3694dee7221b78ea7c1723ebfbee683efeabc0e047f3e547b4170",2086.619971,0.7427081220495324,"Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?",{"condition_id":787,"outcome":29,"usdc":788,"entry_price":789,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":790,"event_slug":791,"category":235},"0xc2e718b1b827bf996611f43405ffe1a796acb77b0b8821fa1feb879ceee1acc4",99.999996,0.8299999993,"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?","howard-lutnick-out-as-secretary-of-commerce-before-july",{"condition_id":793,"outcome":42,"usdc":794,"entry_price":795,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":796,"captured_at":13,"question":797,"event_slug":798,"category":235},"0xc914317b14972d5d15f30740d3bdf32f4028877c13b9d7ccc78b4ba33f67fb1e",504.229998,0.05317340051821879,"2026-02-08T00:00:00Z","Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?","will-the-new-england-patriots-win-super-bowl-2026",{"condition_id":800,"outcome":42,"usdc":801,"entry_price":802,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":803,"captured_at":13,"question":804,"event_slug":805,"category":38},"0xca0329cd4392d91e39df0702949229573d2415ae4a37b0103d0c6e9d03b8dd44",1005.140794,0.8714798033,"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?","michigan-democratic-senate-primary-winner",{"condition_id":807,"outcome":29,"usdc":808,"entry_price":809,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":13,"question":811,"event_slug":812,"category":235},"0xcb1745eeb2d414a6865e6dd69b9d648e6596c67ff92c778c1eed6b0b43d27055",499.999999,0.7586347608,"2025-01-20T12:00:00Z","Will Biden pardon Fauci?","who-will-biden-pardon",{"condition_id":814,"outcome":29,"usdc":815,"entry_price":816,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":817,"event_slug":87,"category":38},"0xcc07920770fdaadcdc4dff75056e88140d0988c9cb1dbfb4a78eda51b2868027",812.1899820000001,0.8346119462914222,"Iran leadership change by March 31?",{"condition_id":819,"outcome":42,"usdc":820,"entry_price":821,"won":17,"source":231,"end_date_iso":822,"captured_at":13,"question":823,"event_slug":824,"category":235},"0xd009ac14bccdd12925a2d9f8d910411556e4ed153337abb18a97b97fabcf7db0",4421.449979,0.8320646017093988,"2025-05-18T12:00:00Z","Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?","poland-presidential-election",{"condition_id":826,"outcome":42,"usdc":827,"entry_price":828,"won":12,"source":231,"end_date_iso":829,"captured_at":13,"question":830,"event_slug":831,"category":38},"0xd4a3de1964b1f3fa1edeca40dbc3ef6663a56fda84e804066c23096b615904f9",5038.864883999999,0.840198057026366,"2026-08-18T00:00:00Z","Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?","republican-nominee-for-florida-governor",{"total":833,"wins":834},117,99,[836,841,846,849],{"category":837,"n":838,"wins":839,"hitRate":421,"roi":840},"Other",85,68,0.10091776229229744,{"category":38,"n":842,"wins":843,"hitRate":844,"roi":845},24,23,0.9583333333333334,0.20902454625383293,{"category":183,"n":847,"wins":847,"hitRate":12,"roi":848},6,0.06873122891782892,{"category":287,"n":850,"wins":850,"hitRate":12,"roi":851},2,0.17255702872979162,{"generatedAt":853},"2026-09-28T01:41:31.687Z"]