[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x50733d0627e4763d7d7e81a69abc345edf6416a7":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":308,"history":309,"resolved":312,"resolvedSummary":910,"specialization":913,"meta":941},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x50733d0627e4763d7d7e81a69abc345edf6416a7",4422,1473,0.4636795655125594,0.17739832101959727,0.17961157480392134,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-23T04:35:28.626Z",30.962421598099134,2.9460359760159895,"2026-09-22T21:53:07.000Z",0,"trades",0.3998895432088921,0.06379002230366598,8090.720005938053,45607.647014000024,4.953345401705166,0.03223330775134305,[26,39,49,58,68,77,86,96,103,113,122,129,138,147,154,162,171,180,189,198,206,213,220,228,235,241,248,255,262,269,276,285,289,299],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"20709109032245341219796036781437500675609769308849791852341195403369410462976","0xcb7a1f14ecafc99a69ebc7914929d7ca8b395194f8d8b45ef23f33610f811218","Yes",692.0253,0.6679,"2026-09-23T11:56:09.327Z","2026-09-23T07:17:35.534Z","Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?","bank-of-canada-decision-in-october-20260715203359314","2026-10-28T00:00:00Z","[\"0.536\", \"0.464\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":48},"70872417388376843364304597404352716629161112244369113931584713304336856829867","0x85d487bdc31583a87960c0b347ffac8ce16e9528322a14277abb933722c1334d",428.4572,0.6849,"Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?","central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-september-20260630004643935","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.775\", \"0.225\"]","Economy",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":48},"84152868338515899679432250924095516731289578084756867474199480586894696984453","0xf97e2e2b845a3e5ce0646ce7563cca294f58b1c23affc38010386c08627075ac",407.9846,0.5117,"Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?","ecb-interest-rates-october-2026-20260723225848778","2026-10-30T03:59:00Z","[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":66,"category":67},"114464265820505292830736313996844584541383631416434730994675512950614434514489","0xba4a30cc8deca861f0f724d35dc4f8f09dc228bd97bd0af84eb7db173db21824",396.16,0.4237,"Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?","brazil-annual-inflation-2026","2027-01-13T04:59:00Z","[\"0.4505\", \"0.5495\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":73,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":76,"category":48},"78641030157353365266969613094134512822884924165729488032059814659313643743598","0x48990b9b994f28521f9e747ba9bbb4a542a6b8d07a0622fe38dfd154bdea5e50",359.89,0.4348,"Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?","south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-september-20260723230203732","2026-09-23T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":78,"condition_id":79,"outcome":29,"size":80,"avg_price":81,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":82,"event_slug":83,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":84,"outcome_prices":85,"category":38},"111141743875022425014082366328706246366536998743881258465740846069926282242834","0x5d5b8feb963ddcc0f4688f7ac0c0d375f99945b7a07155d60cd1a306c6b3054b",381.9,0.3904,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.53\", \"0.47\"]",{"token_id":87,"condition_id":88,"outcome":89,"size":90,"avg_price":91,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":92,"event_slug":93,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":95,"category":48},"48475430006369528913323432625996901818800341957836942549987034758359708162267","0x279e7c313ef98ae085c4ab82d855e11a9a0e40005c58dd62d240c3ec2ed09db9","No",391.02,0.3807,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?","how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-september","2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","[\"0.82\", \"0.18\"]",{"token_id":97,"condition_id":98,"outcome":29,"size":99,"avg_price":100,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":101,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":102,"category":67},"87466602052387452294616110610310550902071045306815153645457437261325145577793","0x7e53a9d9b32f134cf8e6a2d00a2ffbc18ea9625442067f65b0dac564d80b6722",677.1677,0.203,"Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?","[\"0.1995\", \"0.8005\"]",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":29,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":111,"category":112},"73581404635616237228941514194140820107127850277788805461210554778929538516253","0xb76ff311c0e983dbf7c4c937e660960f46c8e39f79e332c4380a55a29dbed4ab",250,0.4594,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-september-2026","2026-10-01T03:59:59.999Z","[\"0.63\", \"0.37\"]","Other",{"token_id":114,"condition_id":115,"outcome":29,"size":116,"avg_price":117,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":120,"outcome_prices":121,"category":38},"52487256270918227930942830546248720603566203568229607048093730748840489555808","0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4",184.98,0.5565,"Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.5325\", \"0.4675\"]",{"token_id":123,"condition_id":124,"outcome":89,"size":125,"avg_price":126,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":127,"event_slug":93,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":128,"category":48},"105327120811425410796049721433495213385649700117038005367511806127494753901557","0xf7dcc0fdd663fe8a5228652ff2112300eee723d28194472db938c64b65634b40",180.0422,0.5101,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?","[\"0.2355\", \"0.7645\"]",{"token_id":130,"condition_id":131,"outcome":29,"size":132,"avg_price":133,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":136,"outcome_prices":137,"category":38},"89904936605594152863868406887671497001916079037316322532070614607329556200942","0xe5f6842a69376f17c0b6b2b8181717cb266b3414bb6ddc070af1c1f7b40c8cb0",207.69,0.3307,"No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?","bank-of-england-decision-in-november-20260730150602252","2026-11-05T23:59:00Z","[\"0.305\", \"0.695\"]",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":29,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":143,"event_slug":144,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":145,"outcome_prices":146,"category":48},"6288000870966804297806519848433893862936676685065217432325287609174019134790","0xb06f3e905ae0f5671863395986d35ef69d95984f046a3dc422a43d01953cd014",235,0.2678,"Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?","argentina-monthly-inflation-september-2026","2026-10-13T15:59:00Z","[\"0.405\", \"0.595\"]",{"token_id":148,"condition_id":149,"outcome":89,"size":150,"avg_price":151,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":152,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":136,"outcome_prices":153,"category":38},"68497805411852774322097572675347250375127481878710837621260929979199590677407","0x9fee56ff658a4063a05c0d372c2854c4c5594ccfd899fc3922a78e61c05a72e4",200,0.3,"Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":155,"condition_id":156,"outcome":29,"size":157,"avg_price":158,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":159,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":161,"category":38},"57338466215481309308614410846232297524300179110482226586757273048012596879183","0x6691f3b28720cfb48594a8560331ce008c7af7ee39e3ac7432e015ea97a1aba9",235.6672,0.21,"Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?","us-announces-diesel-export-ban-byptptpt","[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]",{"token_id":163,"condition_id":164,"outcome":29,"size":165,"avg_price":166,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":167,"event_slug":168,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":169,"outcome_prices":170,"category":38},"111662129652828266889360374468657435151479595863413519836161861837506140152890","0x8a4196617dcb703e49d9bb36d3847bf6a75fd364dbd19f8d408ac944bf1a03d8",71.46,0.6499,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632","2026-12-09T23:59:00Z","[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]",{"token_id":172,"condition_id":173,"outcome":29,"size":174,"avg_price":175,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":176,"event_slug":177,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":178,"outcome_prices":179,"category":38},"65318042793305154928481822061228422214615698483328483747495637152414701080541","0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f",400,0.11,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":181,"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"size":183,"avg_price":184,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":187,"outcome_prices":188,"category":38},"59573580306448637210106211846184223086456880319167309095381061981348540313643","0x8011cff605bac25673a202332b678e823cd7d82abad9e9770db01ea625808229",499.9952,0.0759,"Will Russia invade another country in 2026?","will-russia-invade-another-country-in-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":190,"condition_id":191,"outcome":89,"size":192,"avg_price":193,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":196,"outcome_prices":197,"category":48},"70872247565357913404417527551050461855259198639039656697598042895677411884189","0xa78a51fcc6c369e1e346ab703bb4255cda3b0d1e0de17538002e475e1fcfd826",47.365,0.6162,"Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?","bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november-1785878499354","2026-11-04T11:59:00Z","[\"0.19\", \"0.81\"]",{"token_id":199,"condition_id":200,"outcome":29,"size":201,"avg_price":202,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":205,"category":48},"7101818655757366918866347423681739755069201499425059463576866836443782606429","0xba2691a98035fa5d7c6989c995773afe596e720cfb65546984819c99a1efffee",425.4373,0.0635,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?","how-low-will-10-year-treasury-yield-get-in-september","[\"0.0205\", \"0.9795\"]",{"token_id":207,"condition_id":208,"outcome":89,"size":209,"avg_price":210,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":211,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":212,"category":38},"25486310808027456203375800342044434940869793477057143447549040533939637033793","0x13f5c06545b93357de46e704a3f0ca309e9e1506d7f120b1f326237d5ea65f3c",37,0.7166,"Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?","[\"0.461\", \"0.539\"]",{"token_id":214,"condition_id":215,"outcome":29,"size":216,"avg_price":217,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":218,"event_slug":195,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":196,"outcome_prices":219,"category":48},"33131597082352583225010305671424905158169906181332915587833061427488836589648","0xcbce37e0937945ab49f5bb540daf972c0fe2162212cfe047cbfef4c822a4f177",540.2329,0.0471,"Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]",{"token_id":221,"condition_id":222,"outcome":89,"size":223,"avg_price":151,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":226,"outcome_prices":227,"category":48},"7079491602359238349049956981389432325978472194468017352146995524302159113519","0x4eb26ce003cf362bdc952f293821a9bb805cca8147ab4253c29c3265646250d3",80,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?","how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.835\", \"0.165\"]",{"token_id":229,"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"size":231,"avg_price":232,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":233,"event_slug":204,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":234,"category":48},"84590333032588158499207554571825081725302393245033981741112342426506888732418","0xfe4cfb9516a3419bca70f9ebf2636b59e1ae47db311ff1759dbba3739d33460f",260,0.0923,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?","[\"0.0165\", \"0.9835\"]",{"token_id":236,"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"size":238,"avg_price":239,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":240,"event_slug":204,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":234,"category":48},"37220494841984455164469981171936633171975617654870880133928205100041894903233","0x841d725fbc029dc6e88f99288428cd6288e91261bea0d8d2733a7165da370b61",550,0.0409,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?",{"token_id":242,"condition_id":243,"outcome":29,"size":244,"avg_price":245,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":246,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":247,"category":48},"12700237986126660503751057534057681884986857840127348299189094043631348071541","0xd9ef56d0b43895427b11293df0dee6051ad41e9ba5fb12230841c0be3df7d9c0",28,0.7333,"Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the September meeting?","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]",{"token_id":249,"condition_id":250,"outcome":29,"size":251,"avg_price":252,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":253,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":254,"category":48},"53318282219762671562936446880822685220891930554185553744511403349537290893129","0x8550c952741ac69cc7cf3db741e0ea0aa1808ca1148a3c0995cda05af91cf4fd",60,0.3333,"Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?","[\"0.0955\", \"0.9045\"]",{"token_id":256,"condition_id":257,"outcome":29,"size":258,"avg_price":259,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":260,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":261,"category":67},"76704139201748371565357305250127095891809271555930588672046602404458557989220","0x66d397cfc57b75b096980637e05d793997af8f7cc599bbdac0ff1ff04b81f3c7",575.7953,0.0347,"Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?","[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]",{"token_id":263,"condition_id":264,"outcome":29,"size":265,"avg_price":266,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":267,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":268,"category":67},"107270962335143120470742453212767834157979442895340902231983201123112460013019","0x8f4d9bab9dab8e844d697cbf291c571afa521342d53c735970ac21a9b1f3f0cb",672.4966,0.0149,"Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?","[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",{"token_id":270,"condition_id":271,"outcome":29,"size":272,"avg_price":273,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":274,"event_slug":204,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":275,"category":48},"80288341741864039167335646195269559400776404309693963852990610401257253683","0x49b44ee2c46afbf9d542e2d7c492c18bb5e31679c4a485c7e84f7f1666d8fa52",331.6159,0.0228,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?","[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]",{"token_id":277,"condition_id":278,"outcome":29,"size":279,"avg_price":280,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":283,"outcome_prices":284,"category":67},"70974541306360618752718269914222219042190628463826507102569242466799494097142","0xc971c34b8982e35c2d02e6a88569be95860da98bf7e4067bb36d39f24682d1b1",11.93,0.2706,"Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?","bank-of-israel-decision-in-october","2026-10-21T00:00:00Z","[\"0.2\", \"0.8\"]",{"token_id":286,"condition_id":41,"outcome":89,"size":287,"avg_price":288,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":48},"72113196731342123483920613212865924097583080050464805128224299612638472889152",11.9433,0.2586,{"token_id":290,"condition_id":291,"outcome":29,"size":292,"avg_price":293,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":296,"outcome_prices":297,"category":298},"66258306997757255429110018391602834962979284290793404130683055523076965648051","0x94863fef07e2101b8008f3994fe9fb79da69bede7f02f976d62797cf73e6d22f",191.9633,0.0139,"Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]","Tech",{"token_id":300,"condition_id":301,"outcome":29,"size":302,"avg_price":303,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":304,"event_slug":305,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":306,"outcome_prices":307,"category":38},"98511916129081689027111328481059704559518789751071585689160934736837069796376","0x5f3b3456b2d6ef0d6f15d7492162725057be78d738d2465456e2835f1d89046c",160,0.007,"Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","republican-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",[],[310],{"recorded_date":311,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",[313,321,329,337,344,351,358,365,371,378,385,392,397,403,406,413,420,427,434,439,446,453,459,466,472,478,485,490,497,502,507,514,520,527,531,538,545,551,556,561,566,573,580,585,591,598,605,610,615,622,627,630,636,641,647,652,659,665,671,676,682,688,694,699,702,707,714,721,728,735,741,748,755,759,762,769,774,779,785,790,796,802,809,816,821,826,832,838,845,849,855,862,867,873,876,881,887,894,900,907],{"condition_id":314,"outcome":29,"usdc":315,"entry_price":316,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":13,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":67},"0x0111a2756734a64f9d70fd6b8f8ed3bb583b19935a2fccc62b0c98b3f1557eac",415.0573000000001,0.32756263581268447,"backfill","2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?","bank-of-brazil-decision-in-june",{"condition_id":322,"outcome":29,"usdc":323,"entry_price":324,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":325,"captured_at":13,"question":326,"event_slug":327,"category":328},"0x014cc3cd3a8ffe5ac6a63e417214c8b847755cd20a1642861eda6bb81cbb94b5",8.4,0.84,"2026-04-23","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?","will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on",null,{"condition_id":330,"outcome":29,"usdc":331,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"category":336},"0x04b6d6630d49e6513355ff045c96439c929335cb0d18da7792dea6c2fc717ead",76.5424,0.76,"2026-06-16T19:00:00Z","Will France win on 2026-06-16?","fifwc-fra-sen-2026-06-16","Sports",{"condition_id":338,"outcome":29,"usdc":339,"entry_price":340,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":342,"event_slug":343,"category":328},"0x05ccbc3b7861349dc2fc0ce2c2bca9fd9671675171d7070abdf087ba1d7f085b",585.1129769999999,0.28871687525661077,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-april-2026",{"condition_id":345,"outcome":29,"usdc":346,"entry_price":347,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":348,"captured_at":13,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"category":328},"0x07e27c38fcd9b024bcfa929de463d26ca5f3b68d3dc9a3970dd9d0a61be9205b",5.19996,0.51,"2026-04-29T00:00:00Z","Will Powell say \"Balance Sheet\" during April press conference?","what-will-powell-say-during-april-press-conference",{"condition_id":352,"outcome":29,"usdc":353,"entry_price":354,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":355,"captured_at":13,"question":356,"event_slug":357,"category":38},"0x087713ab2905e789c42c3fafdf747512f8d7883b7fab1ac554b703310c09d869",174,0.58,"2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":359,"outcome":29,"usdc":360,"entry_price":361,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":362,"captured_at":13,"question":363,"event_slug":364,"category":38},"0x0a10ea4f5d42ac33a29d73b8562f4414f5ea2219afd9da74ba950f7aefe7c630",5.1,0.006,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":366,"outcome":29,"usdc":367,"entry_price":158,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":368,"captured_at":13,"question":369,"event_slug":370,"category":336},"0x0a4b9beb6128863db2b107f185521597a426356f1d9a23c7001401edfd32014b",5.15944,"2026-06-11T19:00:00Z","Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?","fifwc-mex-rsa-2026-06-11",{"condition_id":372,"outcome":29,"usdc":373,"entry_price":374,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":375,"captured_at":13,"question":376,"event_slug":377,"category":328},"0x0aa879d7b6425fc043b1a974eb3702d4b03acf52afae5bf44d3b476c439c7eea",8.6,0.43,"2026-04-10T00:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 10?","highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-april-10-2026-9c",{"condition_id":379,"outcome":29,"usdc":380,"entry_price":381,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":383,"event_slug":384,"category":336},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",115.64157800000001,0.14251205454929586,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":386,"outcome":89,"usdc":387,"entry_price":388,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":13,"question":390,"event_slug":391,"category":328},"0x0d52ce82886ba5ed34d396999b2afbb193d22cf1c5f791b5b4efdf1a094f410c",3.8501000000000003,0.0067986932749779265,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":89,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":396,"event_slug":225,"category":48},"0x0e159c0d672526d1d65f524b1c512185924aac8f781b6c68549c2a17dec953e0",43.88016,0.10504845217898595,"Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":89,"usdc":399,"entry_price":400,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":357,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",1632.5,0.8371794871794872,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":398,"outcome":29,"usdc":404,"entry_price":405,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":357,"category":38},2298.867499,0.389793816210331,{"condition_id":407,"outcome":29,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":410,"captured_at":13,"question":411,"event_slug":412,"category":38},"0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd",76.14494,0.20146163082632904,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":29,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":328},"0x0fe111894949f0e3007c5220be03d9f2f98d3eca39ad0adc1f35ed36bcf26e28",63.933368,0.14968017746617798,"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?","what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-july-2026",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":29,"usdc":422,"entry_price":423,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":424,"captured_at":13,"question":425,"event_slug":426,"category":328},"0x12a8637ee0c68e75db5c03c93c4dcafa95c7c915007e5b8153980b9e5c7d36c1",2,0.010000000000000002,"2026-04-16T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 16?","highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-april-16-2026",{"condition_id":428,"outcome":29,"usdc":429,"entry_price":430,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":431,"captured_at":13,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":38},"0x146cdf818590e91110ab0ec950b367020625c792ce1953f12bb5e7c439643797",45.597069999999995,0.11991762993877159,"2026-06-10T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?","bank-of-canada-decision-in-june",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":362,"captured_at":13,"question":438,"event_slug":364,"category":38},"0x158fdaad572880f8de3d3f00e4d3c2fbbae77108d88c29deb800141928c1e040",24.020625000000003,0.03864379764999483,"Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":440,"outcome":89,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":444,"event_slug":445,"category":67},"0x17c51c52caf554ca5337fb1391dae64e2b9dda236ff5725e27191faae96e1b83",79.8295,0.79,"2026-07-06T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?","bank-of-israel-decision-in-july",{"condition_id":447,"outcome":29,"usdc":448,"entry_price":449,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":450,"captured_at":13,"question":451,"event_slug":452,"category":112},"0x1b2a9f58aeca1de7fc2e404760336db43c8bbee2123edb4c90bb446fac834d56",103.38983999999999,0.6369375,"2026-06-30T18:30:00Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?","cl-hit-jun-2026",{"condition_id":454,"outcome":29,"usdc":455,"entry_price":456,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":424,"captured_at":13,"question":457,"event_slug":458,"category":328},"0x1b334fe6f6be9a476053756f4e660c2c49f17f2f38247b9095e0b5cafafa4097",3.199396,0.03200000030997537,"Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 16?","highest-temperature-in-paris-on-april-16-2026",{"condition_id":460,"outcome":29,"usdc":461,"entry_price":462,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":463,"captured_at":13,"question":464,"event_slug":465,"category":328},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",35,0.002,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":467,"outcome":29,"usdc":468,"entry_price":469,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":13,"question":471,"event_slug":357,"category":38},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",349.93392,0.24316164269334994,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":473,"outcome":29,"usdc":474,"entry_price":475,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":476,"captured_at":13,"question":477,"event_slug":357,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",1027.9166,0.4015330588520223,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":479,"outcome":29,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":482,"captured_at":13,"question":483,"event_slug":484,"category":328},"0x246fefec944751f8ffcda61e6750a763ed968b6b9ad829e3c0c59b88adcc4f28",2.5794,0.06,"2026-04-17T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 17?","highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-april-17-2026",{"condition_id":486,"outcome":29,"usdc":487,"entry_price":488,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":348,"captured_at":13,"question":489,"event_slug":350,"category":328},"0x2628b19ae6bfc501b05616e7a82b64f14ce45801f18aa3bdf817776493b79019",1.96156,0.19,"Will Powell say \"Kevin\" or \"Warsh\" during April press conference?",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":29,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":494,"captured_at":13,"question":495,"event_slug":496,"category":336},"0x26c10c27cde58e2d6214d65ab562d8142d34723b3b6ec3f40836d24f6d22dfc9",5.60942,0.46,"2026-06-13T01:00:00Z","Will United States win on 2026-06-12?","fifwc-usa-par-2026-06-12",{"condition_id":498,"outcome":29,"usdc":499,"entry_price":500,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":362,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":364,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",121.38915,0.10320687596785215,"Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":503,"outcome":29,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":482,"captured_at":13,"question":506,"event_slug":484,"category":328},"0x2da2de4714e20493be5f57e3ba47742abb5836d4a7b33b67f3df20e269067408",1.2580400000000003,0.014000000000000004,"Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 17?",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":29,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":13,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":38},"0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c",9.438958,0.02354536077796174,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":424,"captured_at":13,"question":518,"event_slug":519,"category":328},"0x30210aee8064a655dd9dcc68ad40b07ca487db5e87f86d5a22a5f8469a386082",2.6,0.13,"Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16?","highest-temperature-in-milan-on-april-16-2026",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":524,"captured_at":13,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"category":328},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",193.28,0.17699633699633702,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":528,"outcome":29,"usdc":529,"entry_price":151,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":348,"captured_at":13,"question":530,"event_slug":350,"category":328},"0x31661657e0a173e73bd2a6ae00841e3cf5891494965aa74c5c118026c9355181",3.084,"Will Powell say \"No Comment\" during April press conference?",{"condition_id":532,"outcome":29,"usdc":533,"entry_price":534,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":535,"captured_at":13,"question":536,"event_slug":537,"category":328},"0x31d7a76e9bd1ad98cd5b16e7605169720d5ea7df577e2ceef6b9dc533b19b0fe",456.38958999999994,0.7782975940522493,"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?","bank-of-korea-decision-in-may",{"condition_id":539,"outcome":89,"usdc":540,"entry_price":541,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":542,"captured_at":13,"question":543,"event_slug":544,"category":328},"0x32c1416ab4a73296c9d19905d8063c5fd58bfcfcda76d583797d69d70cd7e379",1.13351,0.009,"2026-04-29","Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?","bank-of-canada-decision-in-april",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":29,"usdc":547,"entry_price":548,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":67},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",132.0967,0.4261321332946224,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":552,"outcome":29,"usdc":553,"entry_price":554,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":410,"captured_at":13,"question":555,"event_slug":412,"category":38},"0x358a4c706ce29a1847d26244857c6272e5359a17aad079f5672c8fb40d50d66c",8.999973,0.003,"Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",{"condition_id":557,"outcome":29,"usdc":558,"entry_price":559,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":560,"event_slug":384,"category":336},"0x37a6de1b21803e5f3fb1965116218215d79963af4f7e51659696366267a63a03",23.208,0.015339061467283541,"Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":29,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":348,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":350,"category":328},"0x3ba31b7799d548348410ab1c51ce307b9af37118e42126411eb8c26ecd9e81e4",1.8576,0.2,"Will Powell say \"Luck\" during April press conference?",{"condition_id":567,"outcome":29,"usdc":568,"entry_price":569,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":570,"captured_at":13,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":336},"0x3dac1c6e41591af519fee14c8b7e47022825b19e04e643b115ca407c6a722617",1.999965,0.02,"2026-06-23T17:00:00Z","Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?","fifwc-prt-uzb-2026-06-23",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":29,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":577,"captured_at":13,"question":578,"event_slug":579,"category":112},"0x416e3cbe25a60b8210f4e67c056ea2b03f4d511e7b969826d69ef90b753ff214",6.64153,0.26,"2026-06-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",{"condition_id":581,"outcome":29,"usdc":582,"entry_price":583,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":584,"event_slug":419,"category":328},"0x41bfaa8f94e9eb7015ea7a336431c42771d8f33fa94b43bee27760a39cf36671",20.776698,0.028499575741283197,"Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":89,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":589,"captured_at":13,"question":590,"event_slug":357,"category":38},"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9",758.6864,0.656882716583837,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":592,"outcome":29,"usdc":593,"entry_price":594,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":595,"captured_at":13,"question":596,"event_slug":597,"category":328},"0x42e32bd8f228f746250da57ea47dfc9b1532116e96383f20eb55bae9eb3df424",14.99849,0.24083333333333332,"2026-05-12T00:00:00Z","Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?","april-inflation-us-monthly",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":29,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":328},"0x430c82b739789b90fd5f95929d03223f332808122327c8b69424793a5bad3daf",33.26021,0.2498005609224057,"2026-05-25T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?","bank-of-israel-decision-in-may",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":89,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":450,"captured_at":13,"question":609,"event_slug":452,"category":112},"0x46f19d5bedd6d601d597d308d86814245974014d8a108395a7690d7a099cacdd",1745.0519899999997,0.5181662993707363,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":89,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":604,"category":328},"0x47381a493e81772f69e695d4de92695602eb353caa4a7a3bbf3b5df2ffa7ec74",12.55504,0.26151187904967604,"Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":619,"captured_at":13,"question":620,"event_slug":621,"category":67},"0x4961d77539d2ae985a957254aa479a1cf95394be11d03b4a39be8278695f6e5a",551.0845750000001,0.5363049938222654,"2026-07-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?","bank-of-korea-decision-in-july",{"condition_id":623,"outcome":89,"usdc":624,"entry_price":625,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":577,"captured_at":13,"question":626,"event_slug":579,"category":112},"0x4bab360a81b57047b48c0dd7c6c1377706129e3e6b9fa3f079cc28d310ec4cec",886.0675400000001,0.6038675965413086,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?",{"condition_id":623,"outcome":29,"usdc":628,"entry_price":629,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":577,"captured_at":13,"question":626,"event_slug":579,"category":112},109.9872,0.54,{"condition_id":631,"outcome":29,"usdc":632,"entry_price":633,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":634,"event_slug":635,"category":328},"0x4c63863c9f4449243981ae1748c5ee9d4d8c8f22e25f708a9afd4c86e124f360",166.27322800000002,0.18881614256185913,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026",{"condition_id":637,"outcome":29,"usdc":638,"entry_price":639,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":368,"captured_at":13,"question":640,"event_slug":370,"category":336},"0x4cd77d456c83e7d8c569a8fb8f6396c3f40154f657e6d970733e2b1b6a7110ff",5.57133,0.69,"Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?",{"condition_id":642,"outcome":89,"usdc":643,"entry_price":644,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":535,"captured_at":13,"question":645,"event_slug":646,"category":328},"0x4d8d101f6b029a6c2150a3ac45652800a99bcaba29bde12ed57729de330da177",19.8276,0.8199999999999998,"Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the May meeting?","south-african-reserve-bank-decision-in-may",{"condition_id":648,"outcome":89,"usdc":649,"entry_price":650,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":450,"captured_at":13,"question":651,"event_slug":452,"category":112},"0x4e1c008e15b102dd1a7d4d3981575816e5b0e281285fa22533bd7b415c2f5e2d",78.13461,0.774357,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?",{"condition_id":653,"outcome":29,"usdc":654,"entry_price":655,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":656,"captured_at":13,"question":657,"event_slug":658,"category":328},"0x50fb3bfcc662dbed202901de3aab9f5f171627b2bf93492877a618a3230a47bd",2.287835,0.1500000032567582,"2026-05-08T00:00:00Z","Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?","how-many-jobs-added-in-april-296",{"condition_id":660,"outcome":29,"usdc":661,"entry_price":662,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":663,"event_slug":664,"category":67},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",373.99659999999994,0.34,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":666,"outcome":29,"usdc":667,"entry_price":668,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":389,"captured_at":13,"question":669,"event_slug":670,"category":38},"0x52fa882beba7627c68eb13f5b917313a422fdfe3d3e75c3073d39f687b84a212",17.4044,0.05372225825415933,"Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?","gustavo-petro-out-as-leader-of-colombia-by",{"condition_id":672,"outcome":89,"usdc":673,"entry_price":674,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":619,"captured_at":13,"question":675,"event_slug":621,"category":67},"0x532bc7c57ab441649590c6d3477c7ec1cf145914d5aebc5f0580c6d2a81e0526",495.677214,0.6166055158290985,"Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?",{"condition_id":677,"outcome":29,"usdc":678,"entry_price":679,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":13,"question":680,"event_slug":681,"category":328},"0x5360f524a00e2d02089ad82fe32061742c2df6ad282d44d6f91b96f23c18af7f",13.25339,0.036176852736454206,"Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?","kevin-warsh-confirmed-as-fed-chair-by-may-15",{"condition_id":683,"outcome":29,"usdc":684,"entry_price":685,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":656,"captured_at":13,"question":686,"event_slug":687,"category":328},"0x5728a8537d747921d015613afb5e171ae504b1f26c037650729c62002d10334e",9.47095,0.0696153846153846,"Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?","april-unemployment-rate-372",{"condition_id":689,"outcome":29,"usdc":690,"entry_price":691,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":692,"captured_at":13,"question":693,"event_slug":327,"category":328},"0x599fe5a0ce8118b708b738b476a93d43191b6f89d0d64fb3eb8899c384af950e",4.4,0.88,"2026-04-22","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":695,"outcome":89,"usdc":696,"entry_price":697,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":577,"captured_at":13,"question":698,"event_slug":579,"category":112},"0x59a37ea3830d532957b04d3c437a329e14a5dc840096d48c7ee4b55ba3d9cca8",30.3953,0.4576923076923077,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?",{"condition_id":695,"outcome":29,"usdc":700,"entry_price":701,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":577,"captured_at":13,"question":698,"event_slug":579,"category":112},106.05894999999998,0.3466668888962966,{"condition_id":703,"outcome":29,"usdc":704,"entry_price":705,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":706,"event_slug":343,"category":328},"0x5a6c4378df2112cca4ecd59cb092504bafdaf323714dd73521bce5b3613bcf4e",45,0.45,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?",{"condition_id":708,"outcome":29,"usdc":709,"entry_price":710,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":711,"captured_at":13,"question":712,"event_slug":713,"category":336},"0x5bdcf0fd010eba1a55a0f3de9be6612fc72038279a734e994ce2e34664a3cfe4",28.11195,0.7985714285714286,"2026-06-22T17:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?","fifwc-arg-aut-2026-06-22",{"condition_id":715,"outcome":89,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":718,"captured_at":13,"question":719,"event_slug":720,"category":328},"0x5c2e6aef8af5931e9bfa3750364626d754531d2fada2885d45c356b175962a25",25.4,0.508,"2026-04-15","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 15?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":722,"outcome":29,"usdc":723,"entry_price":724,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":725,"captured_at":13,"question":726,"event_slug":727,"category":328},"0x5d5a4729071ff8d9d878210312f132d3691ce6fbbd2f01aebd4546b23e7b624c",241.93208,0.4022718870778021,"2026-05-07T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?","bank-of-mexico-decision-in-may",{"condition_id":729,"outcome":29,"usdc":730,"entry_price":731,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":732,"captured_at":13,"question":733,"event_slug":734,"category":48},"0x5df2b1eee1b40c0ff3ae1c0c3bac9697f718ded26c3eff9ddb0084f613a71a34",10,0.1,"2026-06-10T08:00:00Z","Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?","may-inflation-us-monthly",{"condition_id":736,"outcome":29,"usdc":461,"entry_price":737,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":738,"captured_at":13,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"category":328},"0x5ec80dc407457301f282a2b44341947afc700dfaa7923d14c8894e04bc63b03f",0.35,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":29,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":746,"event_slug":747,"category":328},"0x607bc3b401801518852f4d3e8ae5573c1710f15ea6fbc1efda6c2614074da677",743.7282809999999,0.40547936960931225,"2026-04-30","Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?","ecb-interest-rates-april-2026",{"condition_id":749,"outcome":29,"usdc":750,"entry_price":751,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":752,"captured_at":13,"question":753,"event_slug":754,"category":328},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",75.499999,0.17649350492049248,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":756,"outcome":89,"usdc":174,"entry_price":757,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":758,"event_slug":357,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",0.8,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":756,"outcome":29,"usdc":760,"entry_price":761,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":401,"captured_at":13,"question":758,"event_slug":357,"category":38},3127.2692999999995,0.5073186293355462,{"condition_id":763,"outcome":29,"usdc":764,"entry_price":765,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":766,"captured_at":13,"question":767,"event_slug":768,"category":328},"0x62b71e5e61067bc382f67779e8135ee4512acbab9ddb4a44917dc7d9f93e607a",14.06,0.37,"2026-04-28","No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","bank-of-japan-decision-in-april",{"condition_id":770,"outcome":29,"usdc":771,"entry_price":772,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":13,"question":773,"event_slug":681,"category":328},"0x634ac8f30b4aac7e4be6c968097e4c4708f047e6641d005d3a0948c45f0912d3",131.345,0.5407369287772748,"Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?",{"condition_id":775,"outcome":29,"usdc":776,"entry_price":777,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":778,"event_slug":635,"category":328},"0x668373148ae84fcdb7c43f6559e7a02c8a3f36bfcbebddb9d85f61166b342714",155.648839,0.4471311316229818,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?",{"condition_id":780,"outcome":29,"usdc":781,"entry_price":481,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":782,"captured_at":13,"question":783,"event_slug":784,"category":336},"0x66b7ad48448f8846395b8df8edb5f20f99bed8e79928b1b9d2cf3a19d70dbdf8",5.24382,"2026-06-23T20:00:00Z","Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?","fifwc-eng-gha-2026-06-23",{"condition_id":786,"outcome":29,"usdc":787,"entry_price":788,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":789,"event_slug":635,"category":328},"0x6b382feeb97121c8bd5fe0fe0ab8272b955e741ac7117ee691a2460896f43ee7",101.639978,0.5898305066947428,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?",{"condition_id":791,"outcome":29,"usdc":792,"entry_price":793,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":794,"event_slug":795,"category":328},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",354.45,0.6058974358974358,"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":797,"outcome":89,"usdc":798,"entry_price":799,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":470,"captured_at":13,"question":800,"event_slug":801,"category":38},"0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de",258,0.86,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":29,"usdc":804,"entry_price":805,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":806,"captured_at":13,"question":807,"event_slug":808,"category":38},"0x71dd44fa5059fbed28a279172185d3623aa34ce86be1936281df26b5d1b87200",45.05,0.1097442143727162,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":810,"outcome":29,"usdc":811,"entry_price":812,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":813,"captured_at":13,"question":814,"event_slug":815,"category":48},"0x72c0a78cc4255678e80c3b13117a3d6c4134151963cb2e8bfb62478a71e5385e",1428.402535,0.5898446106173499,"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?","bank-of-brazil-decision-in-august",{"condition_id":817,"outcome":29,"usdc":818,"entry_price":819,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":656,"captured_at":13,"question":820,"event_slug":658,"category":328},"0x73f2be733b93cb9b02ca94ce125cc21a0a8c74f6b1075a18b7855f11dfbef953",7.301,0.14,"Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?",{"condition_id":822,"outcome":29,"usdc":823,"entry_price":824,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":825,"event_slug":635,"category":328},"0x74d17f5d49e264bafc2b6b1cd66837e9e2fc17206acbbea51b7b227217a2325f",12.69728,0.05351334091986702,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?",{"condition_id":827,"outcome":29,"usdc":828,"entry_price":829,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":595,"captured_at":13,"question":830,"event_slug":831,"category":328},"0x753da743d8afe66bfeb0ea62f2490706b0bf8713fa908a6ec7ecce0f07a852a3",3.536,0.136,"Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?","april-inflation-us-annual",{"condition_id":833,"outcome":29,"usdc":834,"entry_price":835,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":836,"event_slug":837,"category":38},"0x763a7f1e440693b54c56da02d338c2092053567dd865174387d06ee5612fdc9e",38.9424,0.38,"Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?","next-uk-prime-minister-in-2026-122",{"condition_id":839,"outcome":29,"usdc":840,"entry_price":841,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":842,"captured_at":13,"question":843,"event_slug":844,"category":328},"0x76d9af80b7e24b4be1d331f264edb1ca9a4c6d0e9ab10fead555455be12db381",2.499891,0.025,"2026-04-15T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 15?","highest-temperature-in-paris-on-april-15-2026",{"condition_id":846,"outcome":29,"usdc":847,"entry_price":541,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":848,"event_slug":384,"category":336},"0x7876851632c295043c66536150a304cb785abdf712ba8489d298c6e6926be106",15.47684,"Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":850,"outcome":29,"usdc":851,"entry_price":493,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":853,"event_slug":854,"category":328},"0x792b1b79da4069f35bee33e5a04b3ca22aa178b7d5ddf54487aed7fbe38fd246",32.2,"2026-05-04T14:00:00Z","Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?","epl-che-not-2026-05-04",{"condition_id":856,"outcome":29,"usdc":857,"entry_price":858,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":859,"captured_at":13,"question":860,"event_slug":861,"category":48},"0x79cda13f05442370aa8e3403c230cd5157c3cdd07e3b446d8d828a4dfd650736",26.50367,0.11940733772342427,"2026-06-05T00:00:00Z","Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?","may-unemployment-rate-168",{"condition_id":863,"outcome":29,"usdc":864,"entry_price":865,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":866,"event_slug":384,"category":336},"0x7b52405ad0e0d31bfe970940b67d77f24ecedeab8a2361c11148c02a006e325c",18.650000000000002,0.028692307692307694,"Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":868,"outcome":89,"usdc":869,"entry_price":870,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":871,"captured_at":13,"question":872,"event_slug":801,"category":38},"0x7c8241e9d7d1a6e8a42c6af38aeb18479ce087f7e47227399273b12766cb9ab2",35.5,0.71,"2026-04-26","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":868,"outcome":29,"usdc":874,"entry_price":875,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":871,"captured_at":13,"question":872,"event_slug":801,"category":38},23,0.10952380952380952,{"condition_id":877,"outcome":29,"usdc":878,"entry_price":879,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":880,"event_slug":635,"category":328},"0x7d352ec1d718dd1f2d2fdb93d65fd3908cf34755d1aa45a8697a84d2b5ae1e8e",24.8832,0.08,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?",{"condition_id":882,"outcome":89,"usdc":883,"entry_price":884,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":885,"captured_at":13,"question":886,"event_slug":327,"category":328},"0x7da9af875e80930fed70c6920acf88ce37b79caef518aa4e287fbb77487b0ed7",1.8,0.09,"2026-04-25","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?",{"condition_id":888,"outcome":29,"usdc":889,"entry_price":890,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":891,"captured_at":13,"question":892,"event_slug":893,"category":336},"0x7ebb07134794576c154f06fbaa1cc61a5292d58e280ce98207977771c0326c27",9.108,0.6,"2026-06-19T19:00:00Z","Will United States win on 2026-06-19?","fifwc-usa-aus-2026-06-19",{"condition_id":895,"outcome":29,"usdc":896,"entry_price":629,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":897,"captured_at":13,"question":898,"event_slug":899,"category":336},"0x802adc7238db42d431521f625b2a367954d04ebf8836109257dd4a3b961c6108",5.47452,"2026-06-12T19:00:00Z","Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?","fifwc-can-bih-2026-06-12",{"condition_id":901,"outcome":89,"usdc":902,"entry_price":903,"won":17,"source":317,"end_date_iso":904,"captured_at":13,"question":905,"event_slug":906,"category":48},"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b",237.59624000000002,0.6224933687002653,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",{"condition_id":901,"outcome":29,"usdc":908,"entry_price":909,"won":12,"source":317,"end_date_iso":904,"captured_at":13,"question":905,"event_slug":906,"category":48},477.3003000000001,0.3077946803116213,{"total":911,"wins":912},204,75,[914,919,924,929,934,939],{"category":112,"n":915,"wins":916,"hitRate":917,"roi":918},96,39,0.40625,0.5451995578361678,{"category":38,"n":920,"wins":921,"hitRate":922,"roi":923},54,20,0.37037037037037035,0.01649706122458007,{"category":336,"n":925,"wins":926,"hitRate":927,"roi":928},22,7,0.3181818181818182,-0.6214336628087769,{"category":48,"n":930,"wins":931,"hitRate":932,"roi":933},16,3,0.1875,0.34993354551771993,{"category":67,"n":935,"wins":936,"hitRate":937,"roi":938},14,6,0.42857142857142855,0.023047074847077614,{"category":298,"n":422,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":940},-1,{"generatedAt":942},"2026-09-23T14:35:14.290Z"]