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Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?","next-fable-model-5pt2-released-byptptpt","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.968\", \"0.032\"]","Tech",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":41,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":37},"109652703823817054195861943783688046001499926991241297753787663643215905194265","0x24d07e8064205c2baff54d043d2bda1e92afbe15d3c31233e7c2965e9220a209","No",80,0.49,"Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?","next-claude-haiku-released-byptptpt-20260701205353326","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","[\"0.39\", 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2026?","next-openai-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":69,"outcome":28,"usdc":70,"entry_price":71,"won":17,"source":57,"end_date_iso":72,"captured_at":59,"question":73,"event_slug":74,"category":37},"0xbce02d9a6a2d4f0f9c61f636dab64ba93b60ce16a09dc34f6f82b2e1243142e0",77.52029388,0.0069,"2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717143435868",{"condition_id":76,"outcome":28,"usdc":77,"entry_price":78,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"category":37},"0x0023076ac2e2e8fbbdfd1ea5954a0f1cddb12264addc723514936933c28a497b",39.144286,0.3482145205202241,"backfill","2026-09-29T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?","next-claude-sonnet-released-byptptpt-20260701203831153",{"condition_id":84,"outcome":41,"usdc":85,"entry_price":86,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":87,"captured_at":13,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"category":90},"0x096fa9db9667f4d4920a2fc3b80ab0608a7de6ef4771519fd691e881d1b3fe3b",25,0.0018446780899833979,"2026-03-15T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?","gpt-5pt3-released-by-february-28-394",null,{"condition_id":92,"outcome":28,"usdc":93,"entry_price":94,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":95,"captured_at":13,"question":96,"event_slug":97,"category":90},"0x0f461cb384aa6289cc3b216ac9916b12a0dd90eccb46b198158507df81944a0e",118.853337,0.45966675540673696,"2026-04-30","GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?","gpt-5pt5-released-by",{"condition_id":99,"outcome":28,"usdc":100,"entry_price":101,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"category":37},"0x0fc751446629fdf52b5ce3f816a52d443dafe0e6dc68a4001ec14bdb38fb39d5",1182.0812310000003,0.0911696352038725,"2026-06-28T00:00:00Z","Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?","when-will-gpt-5pt6-be-released",{"condition_id":106,"outcome":41,"usdc":107,"entry_price":108,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"category":90},"0x0fe111894949f0e3007c5220be03d9f2f98d3eca39ad0adc1f35ed36bcf26e28",8.123997000000001,0.6124076125158534,"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?","what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-july-2026",{"condition_id":106,"outcome":28,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"category":90},1.024,0.4,{"condition_id":116,"outcome":41,"usdc":117,"entry_price":118,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"category":37},"0x251caae983a3f50c832c2c02e38043c445c8175f2c0faff2e5926b86632b5488",252.41283000000004,0.11085011185878524,"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 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2026?",{"condition_id":137,"outcome":28,"usdc":138,"entry_price":139,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":37},"0x4c7a81dd315b1f31d894e751d4b8598ed1ff08f7738ca17f991ac45541ba3248",2423.219154,0.543892900297049,"2026-09-23T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":28,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":37},"0x6af1bd22c72f1211f3d27b7b013c19729b2e6dde8600842ce0cc41b629e9f300",1907.0498470000002,0.6692490074172163,"2026-09-22T23:59:00Z","Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?","next-gpt-luna-model-5pt7-released-onptptpt-20260921193832425",{"condition_id":151,"outcome":28,"usdc":152,"entry_price":153,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":154,"captured_at":13,"question":155,"event_slug":129,"category":37},"0x6d4e3af4996807a673cb2678a7b5960bfd6dfa5c43b8556e23cdf094fb55d2b6",55.93865,0.012000000005397833,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":157,"outcome":28,"usdc":158,"entry_price":159,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"category":163},"0x73410bd1ddbe904d33f00a05fc0394084e71b5eec1798618a055594e12c89fee",10.4,0.52,"2026-09-22T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22?","highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-september-22-2026","Science",{"condition_id":165,"outcome":28,"usdc":166,"entry_price":167,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":168,"captured_at":13,"question":169,"event_slug":170,"category":90},"0x7344262e7c843ecddf2e6e09d22071151cf92dc310512499b74e2ee77c167f58",558.1260990000001,0.5394372491142113,"","GPT-5.4 released by March 5?","gpt-5pt4-released-by",{"condition_id":172,"outcome":41,"usdc":173,"entry_price":174,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":175,"captured_at":13,"question":176,"event_slug":89,"category":90},"0x77d5dea29462651bc4d34c98fcd5f4bf39939cd33fa2dd83d1d1a7cc52a2b809",530,0.005957195977570951,"2026-03-08T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?",{"condition_id":178,"outcome":28,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":181,"captured_at":13,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"category":90},"0x7b2b0ac174514a7ec6351f91a01edd5064cf670c29f539cdfcc4d88bdb9937d0",261.884,0.3707934530214646,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260701204710232",{"condition_id":185,"outcome":28,"usdc":186,"entry_price":187,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":188,"captured_at":13,"question":189,"event_slug":190,"category":90},"0x8d26b8c0d0ce24e7343157777cd448ea481db2e6ea705b8aee8cb608113f7b9d",296.616899,0.5352988875974072,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Claude 4.7 released by May 31?","claude-4pt7-released-by",{"condition_id":192,"outcome":41,"usdc":193,"entry_price":194,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":195,"captured_at":13,"question":196,"event_slug":142,"category":37},"0x8d6898e1830ac39bc12bcbcacb698f3f635f58dcdf537d6df437cbb9fc518c92",1929.4588199999998,0.340846076506749,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":192,"outcome":28,"usdc":198,"entry_price":199,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":195,"captured_at":13,"question":196,"event_slug":142,"category":37},503.78154799999993,0.3000000001162999,{"condition_id":201,"outcome":28,"usdc":202,"entry_price":203,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":204,"captured_at":13,"question":205,"event_slug":149,"category":37},"0x9d9ed7dc85bcb930506c8278ad6cba8680556fe8a8555722e2b4b290b0c59e96",54.0195,0.19999999999999998,"2026-09-24T23:59:00Z","Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on September 24, 2026?",{"condition_id":207,"outcome":28,"usdc":208,"entry_price":209,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":163},"0xb323c35a518380bbb5a0170003a56092f7e5adc10bb0936103a97bd5d28f9c5b",20,0.04,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-22-2026",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":28,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":218},"0xc7434fde9d27544408e6a3ed845dc4a6f839711db827b165e81a92b027c33cc2",10.29999,0.5025,"Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22?","highest-temperature-in-paris-on-september-22-2026","Politics",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":28,"usdc":221,"entry_price":222,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":13,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"category":90},"0xd26d0f02ed27aa7c67dac9d9f0e66ec891f71f2ef6697f172f6ae1e43813b184",3673.043560000002,0.2593312586342391,"2026-08-31T03:59:00Z","Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?","next-mythos-class-model-released-by",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":28,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":188,"captured_at":13,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"category":90},"0xd9c68bdcb30af508d2669d953a3fc3fceda398989a16ffbcca395484d61457c4",12.18901,0.11,"Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?","claude-mythos-released-on",{"condition_id":233,"outcome":41,"usdc":234,"entry_price":235,"won":17,"source":79,"end_date_iso":236,"captured_at":13,"question":237,"event_slug":238,"category":90},"0xde0943d1df2ed41ad3c09b17246d56439fa0248b7c00e0a67bc2decee97987ba",171.428571,0.3,"2026-09-25T03:59:00Z","Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026?","next-openai-gpt-sol-5pt7-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":240,"outcome":28,"usdc":241,"entry_price":242,"won":12,"source":79,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":90},"0xea81964ffffae37e24bf4bf09e7c265ea1d850eae146d802ca0ad293bfa614da",960.0324870000001,0.51708053874822,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Claude 4.8 released by May 31?","claude-4pt8-released-by",{"total":247,"wins":248},30,11,[250,255,261,264],{"category":37,"n":251,"wins":252,"hitRate":253,"roi":254},15,5,0.3333333333333333,0.36384301833031846,{"category":256,"n":257,"wins":258,"hitRate":259,"roi":260},"Other",12,6,0.5,-0.33142467864479797,{"category":163,"n":262,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":263},2,-1,{"category":218,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":263},{"generatedAt":266},"2026-10-04T09:38:29.964Z"]