[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x2bbcd3222bc72229a4cff6278010b6051127d633":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":56,"history":57,"resolved":67,"resolvedSummary":242,"specialization":245,"meta":264},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x2bbcd3222bc72229a4cff6278010b6051127d633",144,70,0.8714285714285714,0.32139658382961356,0.08317879262040717,0.007200000000000095,1,"2026-11-07T08:31:50.618Z",104.3156598,1.8227848101265822,"2026-11-02T09:34:55.000Z",0,"trades",0.7397445875114288,0.1316839839171428,2346.8687689756507,7302.096186000001,5.7089538738651395,[25,38,48],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"59822649710870591002443082281655284432277286805384619774600638740092677692228","0xf036481613a53faafdc7638824e5dfab03b4dda5b9bf13fbdfa2075e2d4a8bea","No",4635.615,0.8111,"2026-11-10T20:01:07.554Z","2026-11-07T23:16:26.200Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0355\", \"0.9645\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":31,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"32498948505314576966704761143540900095142072751411430571598289128995809645377","0x4bda4a4df34e9929e7eecb7ee1adc0b6497ee79dddffe14be4b24237cd116cb7",130,0.79,"Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260629155934230","2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]",null,{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":28,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":31,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":46,"category":37},"102014344590877510111307026183396382993200803565841268936861018160343144455955","0x65dba70f1ce2e78bdc1c82ae6325d32b2ffbe2fe0eaec0e39e70c3dadfa44f94",100,0.6,"Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by","2026-08-31T12:00:00Z",[],[58,65],{"recorded_date":59,"roi":60,"win_rate":61,"brier_score":62,"p_value":63,"resolved_trades":64,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-10-05",0.41274313264898105,0.8727272727272727,0.08621492212235748,0.011400000000000077,55,{"recorded_date":66,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-11-07",[68,78,85,92,100,107,114,116,123,129,135,142,144,151,153,161,167,174,180,186,192,199,205,213,219,225,230,236],{"condition_id":69,"outcome":28,"usdc":70,"entry_price":71,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":74,"question":75,"event_slug":76,"category":77},"0x051ddc65cb9fab1200c14f0a24d7d5aec5cb969ed296d8a6e9ce1aba8afff6d7",406.185849,0.8033503408744588,"backfill","2026-09-28T03:59:00Z","2026-10-05T19:37:24.565Z","Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?","vma-aoty-2026","Culture",{"condition_id":79,"outcome":28,"usdc":80,"entry_price":81,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":82,"captured_at":74,"question":83,"event_slug":84,"category":37},"0x080f9a1940a57f74e1a418810add5ffeed367ba357f5d9e8b40226ed81a4806b",295.94666600000005,0.8367954780244836,"2026-07-25T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by July 24?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":86,"outcome":28,"usdc":87,"entry_price":88,"won":17,"source":72,"end_date_iso":89,"captured_at":74,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0x096ec0140df019c8cda7cffcdd556a74bebac9e23c1d0f9b05d4c94471e513e5",10.497926,0.21000000759789206,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?","cnn-politico-or-ms-now-unbanned-from-white-house-by-september-30",{"condition_id":93,"outcome":94,"usdc":95,"entry_price":96,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":97,"captured_at":74,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"category":47},"0x0ca328688c590d82b80ec763d0a34353b9b9bd56dd2016243909c038c91d2615","Yes",104.4,0.87,"2026-09-30T03:59:00Z","Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?","next-mythos-class-model-released-by",{"condition_id":101,"outcome":28,"usdc":102,"entry_price":103,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":104,"captured_at":74,"question":105,"event_slug":106,"category":47},"0x265366ede72d73e137b2b9095a6cdc9be6149290caa295738a95e3d881ad0865",205.959999,0.2299999994,"2024-11-05T12:00:00Z","Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?","presidential-election-popular-vote-winner-2024",{"condition_id":108,"outcome":28,"usdc":109,"entry_price":110,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":74,"question":112,"event_slug":113,"category":37},"0x33becd2f4f3b2b2b810fa1b4d5f92566f13194ee3381655e1b2ebe056714c5dd",199.8,0.74,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575",{"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"usdc":115,"entry_price":42,"won":17,"source":72,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":74,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"category":47},102.7,{"condition_id":117,"outcome":28,"usdc":118,"entry_price":119,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":120,"captured_at":13,"question":121,"event_slug":122,"category":47},"0x59051d0d37a3fdc04f6ba94f67af5ac2f086d01edfb2db98c0512c6f80c3c963",302.200428,0.8166302205,"2026-09-03T23:59:00Z","Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?","openais-astra-released-by-20260801214557729",{"condition_id":124,"outcome":28,"usdc":125,"entry_price":126,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":127,"captured_at":74,"question":128,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",269.999998,0.8385766102,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":130,"outcome":28,"usdc":131,"entry_price":132,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":89,"captured_at":74,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"category":37},"0x607bad9f1918548b5e721a724ddf44d58f654c954f997c7059f396b2846a14ad",29.842106,0.8100000038,"Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?","trump-bans-more-news-outlets-from-white-house-by-september-30",{"condition_id":136,"outcome":94,"usdc":137,"entry_price":138,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":139,"captured_at":13,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"category":47},"0x607ecc84f1b92e42bbf1e5d855f49d0949111dca5ff1502d8970154a4a34c2f3",1015.259989,0.7819999995499999,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?","laptop-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":50,"outcome":28,"usdc":143,"entry_price":52,"won":17,"source":72,"end_date_iso":55,"captured_at":74,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"category":37},60,{"condition_id":145,"outcome":28,"usdc":146,"entry_price":147,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":74,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"category":47},"0x6cb42eebafe77f81d9164773db07ebd168add91ee909892cd14c59d4d442f3dc",643.6272,0.48,"2024-06-30T12:00:00Z","EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?","airdrops-by-june-30",{"condition_id":145,"outcome":94,"usdc":41,"entry_price":152,"won":17,"source":72,"end_date_iso":148,"captured_at":74,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"category":47},0.52,{"condition_id":154,"outcome":28,"usdc":155,"entry_price":156,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":157,"captured_at":74,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"category":160},"0x7fcd437be2d574e46b941a15c187fdff5c8a8eaa746b10ebcd7741f356014d7c",101.360279,0.7800000818709986,"2026-08-22T03:59:00Z","Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","Tech",{"condition_id":162,"outcome":28,"usdc":163,"entry_price":164,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":165,"captured_at":74,"question":166,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91",243.999998,0.8899999972,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":168,"outcome":28,"usdc":169,"entry_price":170,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":171,"captured_at":74,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"category":160},"0x8d6898e1830ac39bc12bcbcacb698f3f635f58dcdf537d6df437cbb9fc518c92",216.53725899999998,0.8934592638919424,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":28,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":139,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":37},"0x8f38b53c21eb19bc2f5765442d027063c72ef28a1e38e04931c289e7b4385ba0",806.8116239999999,0.7866503379622798,"Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?","who-will-trump-pick-as-the-next-press-secretary-20260812210729848",{"condition_id":181,"outcome":28,"usdc":182,"entry_price":183,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":184,"captured_at":74,"question":185,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",195.8,0.89,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":187,"outcome":28,"usdc":188,"entry_price":189,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":74,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"category":160},"0xabe0e41540b70f3535b0d9325a19bc6f8c6bcce0ce27c28636a2e1d5c0c4eda8",308,0.77,"Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":193,"outcome":28,"usdc":194,"entry_price":195,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":196,"captured_at":74,"question":197,"event_slug":198,"category":37},"0xbb12ad2ac9c3e69ebd2022a8f705d7f758a4c6027f43dc44df4e5ec5ed1c285f",212.5,0.85,"2026-09-23T03:59:00Z","Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?","saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt",{"condition_id":200,"outcome":28,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":74,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"category":37},"0xbdc0827c873d1c3c538e549ab94c77829f7e40fd3376b25164c0279f744a87bc",202.4919,0.81,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":206,"outcome":28,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":212},"0xcdc85a2c58063071b45876dc69fdb3a85f1dc506769c24cc77606c84ea091341",252.90410999999997,0.8001483535007919,"2026-10-06T03:59:00Z","Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?","total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion","Crypto",{"condition_id":214,"outcome":28,"usdc":215,"entry_price":216,"won":17,"source":72,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":218,"event_slug":122,"category":47},"0xd057d6d4326e89bd33545af4ca650c474fab86cb87490902a5c5a29e34b21f99",102,0.51,"2026-09-15T23:59:00Z","Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":28,"usdc":221,"entry_price":222,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":74,"question":224,"event_slug":99,"category":47},"0xd26d0f02ed27aa7c67dac9d9f0e66ec891f71f2ef6697f172f6ae1e43813b184",51.1,0.73,"2026-08-31T03:59:00Z","Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":28,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":139,"captured_at":13,"question":229,"event_slug":179,"category":37},"0xecbdf222a86c4a58e5c90fa94c7ababe5f82dbf26d1f0671b3d64bcbf81f4131",430,0.86,"Will  Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?",{"condition_id":231,"outcome":28,"usdc":232,"entry_price":233,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":234,"captured_at":13,"question":235,"event_slug":179,"category":37},"0xf68a9e1d2587884fda3752d96e0fe964c10b60e540047e800b60dd83614ddd48",200.810868,0.8986405397,"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":94,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":12,"source":72,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":74,"question":241,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0xf6f7be1e0436163a2b55575f5d4225e0bf80d582358ebebba2f4133fcac1907e",201.359987,0.8299999993,"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31?",{"total":243,"wins":244},28,23,[246,251,257,260,262],{"category":37,"n":247,"wins":248,"hitRate":249,"roi":250},14,12,0.8571428571428571,0.18109723915166723,{"category":252,"n":253,"wins":254,"hitRate":255,"roi":256},"Other",9,6,0.6666666666666666,0.5409600976705453,{"category":160,"n":258,"wins":258,"hitRate":12,"roi":259},3,0.23391977869419683,{"category":77,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":261},0.2447869243591596,{"category":212,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":263},0.24976824063290448,{"generatedAt":265},"2026-11-11T00:34:05.762Z"]