[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x257492f3ffa9df584bfb0ec93d8aa0a32135144b":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":161,"history":162,"resolved":172,"resolvedSummary":653,"specialization":656,"meta":686},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0x257492f3ffa9df584bfb0ec93d8aa0a32135144b",359,136,0.6470588235294118,0.5811716094331677,0.23867026659990268,0.0020000000000000018,0,"2026-10-22T10:57:43.916Z",1,45.97845603676469,2.5104895104895104,"2026-10-22T03:51:03.000Z","trades",0.4332139434022057,0.21384488012720573,3634.1067680028605,6253.070020999998,13.529832765572547,0.007751937984496124,[26,39,49,59,68,78,87,97,106,113,122,130,137,145,154],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"113287701564209339913693347405685749986285999146352375265161592243948562084773","0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3","Yes",312.5,0.64,"2026-10-25T12:12:00.632Z","2026-10-22T13:31:34.558Z","Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.645\", \"0.355\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"35291645172588917457521605652032084946130296187859859151580316412122619317107","0x91e20860241f7c90fcff5ec348a68f953bd66a02d5662ac26cab32ac1f904be6","No",243.6841,0.8207,"Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?","next-prime-minister-of-spain-20260625005215443","2028-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.1725\", \"0.8275\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":58},"90753745369649762254854156102590593836307282569300590369993027838878482583513","0xf42793c8f7c96394366030dd9a290a069e431e9c81812e21f49e799fca5709f0",673.3333,0.297,"Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?","coreweave-announces-bankruptcy-by","2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.275\", \"0.725\"]","Tech",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":67,"category":38},"26765194833716294054807992124561088613125373582147747941926106098870013494853","0x182c4ed2f471ae9281f292aa88abac70c0b94c38442261d4a6edf8271e913290",253.1645,0.7899,"US imports Russian diesel by December 31?","us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.845\", \"0.155\"]",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":73,"event_slug":74,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":76,"category":77},"17598588283389280005868192057949602193117867885446413245351639540990261473036","0xf18975f8753fac053455f9301b89cee143990e1bee12e7e6b7da27242f3de0ef",298.0625,0.6709,"Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?","how-high-will-30-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.1405\", \"0.8595\"]","Economy",{"token_id":79,"condition_id":80,"outcome":29,"size":81,"avg_price":82,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":83,"event_slug":84,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":85,"outcome_prices":86,"category":38},"69549346928853472628122030453187144427432924435990276090772625659073977942526","0x7981fa84d31399de903d38c9b587d2f04991838213f6b25d0fe2ba6285cb8fde",322.5806,0.6199,"Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?","which-party-will-win-white-women-in-the-midterms","2026-11-07T04:59:00Z","[\"0.74\", \"0.26\"]",{"token_id":88,"condition_id":89,"outcome":29,"size":90,"avg_price":91,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":92,"question":93,"event_slug":94,"active":12,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":95,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"33248445071287475784020539078449011387420179680117931563779651328806644373237","0x704e1af6fadba2ba429fa208f48591cfc3f812202589c11076a0baaab8588ca9",476.1904,0.4199,"2026-10-23T14:11:32.688Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory","2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":29,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":104,"outcome_prices":105,"category":38},"55764212211467781322980371912612507865974994976253196346176314491480419639168","0x8126317d621047fb13d508a2651eecc8d38305904671822a62309c5aabd353aa",484.2615,0.4129,"Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?","next-french-presidential-election","2027-04-19T03:59:00Z","[\"0.4375\", \"0.5625\"]",{"token_id":107,"condition_id":108,"outcome":29,"size":109,"avg_price":110,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":111,"event_slug":74,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":112,"category":77},"80334185598337143415900185670117620503898810148605192115905745046148901303213","0xda546092a75bd4894ddacb2aba229d1bd71f2735107cd0821bbe64225c2d45cb",300,0.6477,"Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":114,"condition_id":115,"outcome":42,"size":116,"avg_price":117,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":118,"event_slug":119,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":120,"outcome_prices":121,"category":38},"100034398453928677900927149357515953686563982742624376818005050059428473236372","0x6d97a19a05c7670ea08cc623c4cc90ec262324aca61b52eee6ccb5c4966aee9e",200,0.77,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2027","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":123,"condition_id":124,"outcome":29,"size":125,"avg_price":126,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":129,"category":38},"34722410608062854697106861099776685947172185964394483545370684749662285977831","0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d",169.3921,0.5099,"2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","[\"0.655\", \"0.345\"]",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":29,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":95,"outcome_prices":96,"category":38},"109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",140.0035,0.576,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"token_id":138,"condition_id":139,"outcome":29,"size":140,"avg_price":141,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":144,"category":38},"105031123790227090351610621121319179238510007553875150023320472711583933704999","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52",250,0.288,"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":29,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":152,"outcome_prices":153,"category":38},"96972794085445478502118386209219626048407104930213167197946285611747327241358","0x4a9d58d4da874e26708f5bdb014eb07a06aeebb927068d169d43831595386557",2343.0333,0.0256,"Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","republican-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]",{"token_id":155,"condition_id":156,"outcome":29,"size":157,"avg_price":158,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":159,"event_slug":151,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":152,"outcome_prices":160,"category":38},"70663522560386702809794077554934323058266367604787739541440326847712418734032","0x7190eccbd0677d5d0ae8cdf598b37e945a346915c666dda11468dc9970657a56",20110,0.0009,"Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",[],[163,170],{"recorded_date":164,"roi":165,"win_rate":166,"brier_score":167,"p_value":168,"resolved_trades":169,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-30",0.23310364373575396,0.5308641975308642,0.17612677740851101,0.06719999999999993,81,{"recorded_date":171,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-10-22",[173,177,182,188,198,205,210,215,222,229,236,243,250,255,262,270,277,284,290,297,304,310,317,324,329,337,345,351,357,364,369,375,381,387,393,399,406,412,419,424,430,435,442,448,455,462,467,473,478,484,490,497,503,510,515,521,528,534,541,548,553,558,563,570,576,582,589,594,599,605,610,615,622,630,637,642,648],{"condition_id":89,"outcome":29,"usdc":174,"entry_price":91,"won":12,"source":175,"end_date_iso":95,"captured_at":176,"question":93,"event_slug":94,"category":38},199.95234896,"live","2026-10-23T18:36:46.210Z",{"condition_id":132,"outcome":29,"usdc":178,"entry_price":179,"won":12,"source":175,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":181,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"category":38},53.791882650000005,0.5379,"2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","2026-10-22T18:24:43.286Z",{"condition_id":183,"outcome":29,"usdc":184,"entry_price":185,"won":14,"source":175,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":181,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":38},"0x4ba8ec5d2c8cc2377cbf28c96546b648752db8871b6325fc7a6822eac7ad306e",199.97741378999999,0.8869,"Will there be no Hormuz agreement?","who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":29,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":194,"question":195,"event_slug":196,"category":197},"0x02103f049a5fe127c4ea03c9531772e82f3b9f5e9f5f30d67fda5b472fb56c17",10.191989,0.359999987,"backfill","2026-07-07T00:00:00Z","2026-09-30T13:37:20.328Z","Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?","fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06",null,{"condition_id":199,"outcome":42,"usdc":200,"entry_price":201,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":194,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"category":197},"0x02f8dd15d4c674a75fccbd0e00f0cf1256101c45ef41f6d0c5dfde9c36d4141e",10.2,0.003,"","Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":206,"outcome":42,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":209,"event_slug":136,"category":38},"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced",50.339998,0.8299999924,"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":211,"outcome":29,"usdc":212,"entry_price":213,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":136,"category":38},"0x054725b2a7971376f7924a7021221b12acc50fe78d97817824fe411704d5b5a2",9.999999,0.0955631314,"Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":42,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":194,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":77},"0x059db22dae2d735516017d47d1def0ea43e5d7221259c3aaa60c090d32566d4e",153.449989,0.5399999999,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?","fed-rate-hike-by",{"condition_id":223,"outcome":29,"usdc":224,"entry_price":225,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":194,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"category":197},"0x0b1b3cae5d8e1d93dec56e4f1009ae8938df59ba4ed2c1ccb347594aa99dc284",61,0.61,"2026-09-08T23:59:00Z","Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?","will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-august-28-20260714142248732",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":42,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":38},"0x0cbb08c4ff96eea8aeb7932bc6b030caf52333e10a93ead776a8b9cf9ce77350",307.62145,0.3648783738,"2026-10-24T23:59:00Z","Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?","lula-x-flavio-bolsonaro-debate-before-second-round",{"condition_id":237,"outcome":42,"usdc":238,"entry_price":239,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":194,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",249.999998,0.7337988821709888,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":194,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"category":249},"0x0ed2e5e985631ab71750ad21a40503508a5f7d928032b2d1f8c901013f4e002f",13.83865,0.19,"Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","which-continent-will-win-the-world-cup","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"usdc":252,"entry_price":253,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":254,"event_slug":136,"category":38},"0x101d084cd035070abde58d8a3113b78e11ba68028b0d9e7e38ea7d780797aecc",5.192189,0.0389999923,"Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":29,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":259,"captured_at":194,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"category":197},"0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90",13.8,0.69,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?","houthis-successfully-target-shipping-byptptpt-20260708165455691",{"condition_id":263,"outcome":29,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":194,"question":267,"event_slug":268,"category":269},"0x1591b72dc504383d8fa2024e72a585c520b3c673614100d2e167507485e17e38",14.5208,0.07,"2026-06-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026","Other",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":29,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":66,"captured_at":13,"question":274,"event_slug":275,"category":276},"0x15a76480d8b6c81b118804d613476cffada2bea80dcaef5cf449200c81bb58c7",23.46,0.6,"Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?","measles-cases-in-us-in-2026","Science",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":29,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":194,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"category":197},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",124.199999,0.0057313544061853,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":285,"outcome":29,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":38},"0x2153374302d7d3fec49657493f076e49f3235c3b69a3b5ce4e8bb86c9e2e47d8",71.832639,0.18629187286368049,"Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?","minas-gerais-governor-election-winner",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":29,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":194,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",28.373188,0.09088812768399597,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":29,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":194,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":58},"0x2ef481c2bb5b69beb5ff2160b4c3a31ca17eb31c2d08abbbbef82d854814248b",51.139989,0.4299999979,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?","will-any-ai-model-reach-overall-arena-score-by-september-30",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":42,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"category":38},"0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",49.999999,0.3399999967,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":194,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"category":38},"0x31327c6fbdc70a44d97f8e8973f536b6a748e01b4c0ca5549ed0910c703b1d7b",33.9983,0.17,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":42,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":194,"question":322,"event_slug":323,"category":249},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",119.999998,0.6179741354598981,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":325,"outcome":29,"usdc":326,"entry_price":327,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":194,"question":328,"event_slug":248,"category":249},"0x3561a95d16ac2edfd3831aba4612c88c6f5b84a6f0924bdb6b07dc7cfe73e121",50.432468,0.7116813083,"Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":330,"outcome":42,"usdc":331,"entry_price":332,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":194,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"category":336},"0x375409bc5eeeff961e82b479caeccc20f33d15738e5bce1186d628aa3d9dfb1f",84.76859,0.841,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":338,"outcome":339,"usdc":340,"entry_price":341,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":194,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":197},"0x3c995fa852613961df5b34fc1b2d14eb6850145f5d28d349d1622f4ed8cd84ca","Portugal",15.296989,0.3399999855,"2026-07-06T19:00:00Z","Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance","fifwc-prt-esp-2026-07-06-more-markets",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":29,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"category":38},"0x3dbbbe0f8e69b1aee0092e1eca397b24c954c00ecc54995035a8683201ad26aa",123.36,0.2909090909090909,"Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place",{"condition_id":352,"outcome":29,"usdc":353,"entry_price":354,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":355,"event_slug":356,"category":38},"0x3e2cae7b81cad2c378add4f126022a5c4a590298b45d52921db64d928855eb87",233.51369499999998,0.832683773284176,"Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?","next-brazil-senate-election-most-seats-held",{"condition_id":358,"outcome":42,"usdc":359,"entry_price":360,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":194,"question":362,"event_slug":363,"category":197},"0x471e2fa06bd8975b77be49a36781bc41286d57bffa84de55173f4eacdbd52b28",225.399998,0.8193180826,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-end-of-april",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":29,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":194,"question":368,"event_slug":268,"category":269},"0x4bab360a81b57047b48c0dd7c6c1377706129e3e6b9fa3f079cc28d310ec4cec",53.4,0.89,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":42,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":240,"captured_at":194,"question":373,"event_slug":374,"category":249},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",199.999999,0.6099999997,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":376,"outcome":29,"usdc":377,"entry_price":378,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":194,"question":379,"event_slug":380,"category":58},"0x59ee6ea91056116e8ed99a6d11d60872c3a4f89892551f1db12e2752380c9874",26.15912,0.5262976629766298,"Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?","will-any-ai-model-reach-math-arena-score-by-december-31",{"condition_id":382,"outcome":42,"usdc":371,"entry_price":383,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":194,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"category":197},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",0.4407411296,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":42,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":391,"captured_at":194,"question":392,"event_slug":309,"category":38},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",28.15,0.563,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":42,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":194,"question":397,"event_slug":398,"category":197},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",153.199995,0.8299999965404701,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":29,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":194,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":336},"0x649bd3dc845f647aa8c9a739ad8de245b853224961afd01127de0071c13f84b3",15.076489,0.8299999978,"2026-06-24T22:00:00Z","Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?","fifwc-mar-hai-2026-06-24",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":42,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":194,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":197},"0x6c58bfcdfd03d3aeb4f973dfe8b70f88d8e9bd630a421222682efb2cc0f05fb0",39.999999,0.04524244897995268,"Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-july-31-20260626152655081",{"condition_id":413,"outcome":42,"usdc":414,"entry_price":415,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":416,"captured_at":194,"question":417,"event_slug":418,"category":38},"0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead",99.999998,0.7599999985,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",{"condition_id":420,"outcome":42,"usdc":421,"entry_price":422,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":194,"question":423,"event_slug":405,"category":336},"0x6fcd127dbe2c45255d6b201b1b250c69dbf940de0fe80b4e40e23822c963443d",20.071984,0.8799999965,"Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?",{"condition_id":425,"outcome":42,"usdc":306,"entry_price":426,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":427,"captured_at":194,"question":428,"event_slug":429,"category":38},"0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de",0.5699999967,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":431,"outcome":42,"usdc":432,"entry_price":433,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":194,"question":434,"event_slug":221,"category":77},"0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c",92,0.46,"Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":29,"usdc":437,"entry_price":117,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":439,"event_slug":440,"category":441},"0x7ebc764e77eccde057b2d714b13f25a442d7f1e948fac4071ef368b40eb13a4e",155.771,"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","Will \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?","whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office","Culture",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":42,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":38},"0x83030b249525db4c0bcd83a915776442f4ea32d2fba10825fca4abeb51512d8f",100.679145,0.8302117233,"Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":450,"usdc":451,"entry_price":452,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":194,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":197},"0x83d646ac5646bf847f2dc0ce9c18c4d8909bbb7b050b31075afb9b67d3802b33","Belgium",10.155989,0.4799999827,"United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance","fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06-more-markets",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":29,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":194,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":38},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",103.2281,0.854,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":29,"usdc":464,"entry_price":465,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":466,"event_slug":447,"category":38},"0x8ee27c276a1bee094293751285d8a6697674b023196cb21fdd14bf3ca12f6ec0",260.19568300000003,0.09478450416864262,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":468,"outcome":42,"usdc":469,"entry_price":470,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":361,"captured_at":194,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"category":197},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",122.759998,0.7299999992,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":474,"outcome":29,"usdc":475,"entry_price":476,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":194,"question":477,"event_slug":335,"category":336},"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894",20.403189,0.327999993,"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":479,"outcome":42,"usdc":480,"entry_price":481,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":482,"captured_at":194,"question":483,"event_slug":309,"category":38},"0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",26.4745,0.264745,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":42,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":38},"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",149.999997,0.7899999997,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":29,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":494,"captured_at":194,"question":495,"event_slug":496,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",68.1055,0.67,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":498,"outcome":29,"usdc":499,"entry_price":500,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":194,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":249},"0xab38d355b9733ce4d605d47f6643436c1d706889efcb922682bf2e1d7c795bec",99.999999,0.5459161091,"0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?","0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-byptpt-20260626172559966",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":29,"usdc":505,"entry_price":506,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":507,"captured_at":194,"question":508,"event_slug":509,"category":197},"0xadf4acda3ae836e6c4f6646eaa940c7934d1b97de2a8f7a51ff585139e8f693a",20.689989,0.3099999895,"2026-07-15T19:00:00Z","Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?","fifwc-eng-arg-2026-07-15",{"condition_id":511,"outcome":42,"usdc":512,"entry_price":513,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":194,"question":514,"event_slug":411,"category":197},"0xb31a925459bbe6832c9fa224f94ab0c8000b57b623c1d9ced9b583d402269b66",100,0.8474576271,"Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":29,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":194,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":336},"0xb4431b4a10c926381c72d581ba9bec629f430feea5e72fbaff3a9e2ac87a3001",10.90144,0.116,"Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-golden-boot-winner",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":29,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":526,"event_slug":527,"category":269},"0xb5b523640460f1714cb69fa4f522a596051ab422419a5d85a489119a89fc7dc5",129.57671,0.859,"2026-11-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-october-2026",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":42,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":194,"question":533,"event_slug":429,"category":38},"0xb75c07f4252992808d7ca7d9828169c524b0fef44bf5adf78c327ef88469c986",49.999998,0.7299999994,"2026-05-05T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":42,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":538,"captured_at":194,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":38},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",194.999995,0.5705257517940601,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":29,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":194,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":197},"0xb922831a85768df453c078fb6c2b242f4d7224a9b6d441941e39a31d788ee17b",10.18,0.4,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?","world-cup-group-of-champion-20260605001357294",{"condition_id":549,"outcome":29,"usdc":550,"entry_price":551,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":66,"captured_at":194,"question":552,"event_slug":275,"category":276},"0xba62360f068e50d543b2b5c9d486f14cfefea46d16c8bc7202d22735f0d044fa",149.999998,0.7450980384,"Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":29,"usdc":555,"entry_price":556,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":557,"event_slug":289,"category":38},"0xbb9450c639a6cff45852a72f736ad87bd7937bb6c32a5188951c384044db7a3e",131.427988,0.6325283580985139,"Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?",{"condition_id":559,"outcome":29,"usdc":560,"entry_price":561,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":562,"event_slug":350,"category":38},"0xbc0070bd88b113d9beedbae5efd78df0e605ca029aff8ef470c881010c923a24",158.39478,0.4004833202166949,"Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":564,"outcome":29,"usdc":565,"entry_price":566,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":194,"question":568,"event_slug":569,"category":197},"0xbca476df14a1b145502e65d5dec848d00f6f77a4ad22af7bbaecf4cb0015c5c0",101.507908,0.6984179729,"2026-09-15T11:59:00Z","Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?","bank-of-brazil-decision-in-september-20260616232552895",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":29,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":38},"0xbd30a99e5e7572bcf8cb89def3fcaabbd59afdb343f931de2b261e8f42ad716d",54.54354,0.7793790520097968,"Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?","next-brazil-senate-election-most-seats-won",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":42,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":194,"question":581,"event_slug":418,"category":38},"0xc11f41372087c4d934ae7adb869ff08272b2bcb3e242d4e628330353c130e480",49.999995,0.8299999977,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":29,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":586,"captured_at":194,"question":587,"event_slug":588,"category":197},"0xc3121ff2f51630d25db3464545e28737b37052b1152c9aa2d49722f817133de2",37.843199999999996,0.0246048217211516,"2026-04-27","Will \"Michael\" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?","michael-rotten-tomatoes-score",{"condition_id":590,"outcome":42,"usdc":591,"entry_price":592,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":194,"question":593,"event_slug":296,"category":38},"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a",101.499999,0.28813559159347896,"Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":595,"outcome":29,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":13,"question":598,"event_slug":527,"category":269},"0xc97dfdadb9df05ae810d375c22e6226d78e657c9f4a24fc2d307c39b136efbfe",101.41256,0.6468575637,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":42,"usdc":512,"entry_price":601,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":194,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":38},"0xcacd424332319971356c757c025b45a4eb5643b919fb3bd2f84051afea599b13",0.8,"2026-07-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":42,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":609,"event_slug":350,"category":38},"0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9",225.303209,0.6040312382060301,"Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":29,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":180,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":136,"category":38},"0xdd3d104667774208eae2239f576122ecdd1c04ba81cc14d26d22a36b33887977",5.194189,0.0289999942,"Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":619,"captured_at":194,"question":620,"event_slug":621,"category":336},"0xe9b6af2b81a59d36a47915db6f54b6af0e3dd19883382aacc41fe82e43cc2313",40.227989,0.809999997,"2026-06-25T01:00:00Z","Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?","fifwc-rsa-kr-2026-06-24",{"condition_id":623,"outcome":624,"usdc":625,"entry_price":626,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":194,"question":628,"event_slug":629,"category":197},"0xecba7b1db1c698ab73b3572abfcde327a02b5112676144e049edcc1e1e0f5b0b","France",25.506238,0.594999991,"2026-07-14T19:00:00Z","France vs. Spain: Team to Advance","fifwc-fra-esp-2026-07-14-more-markets",{"condition_id":631,"outcome":29,"usdc":632,"entry_price":633,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":634,"captured_at":13,"question":635,"event_slug":636,"category":38},"0xf994a121c3091ebae554694d55037e297bb90aba124de5c25d2b98b94b31ae59",30,0.03,"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?","lula-flips-bolsonaro-for-brazil-president-by",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":194,"question":641,"event_slug":520,"category":336},"0xfa021d817ad33e0fa28e04051b4fea25b0a090e94bb1b2a38b377bce9778eb8e",36.1856,0.44,"Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":643,"outcome":29,"usdc":644,"entry_price":645,"won":12,"source":192,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":194,"question":646,"event_slug":647,"category":197},"0xfa52f5817ea613138cbd376abf4adf5d128dcee82c7b04751409577b70cb15bc",136.18310000000002,0.0728388440426219,"Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?","spider-man-brand-new-day-total-domestic-gross-by-august-31-20260716181307512",{"condition_id":649,"outcome":29,"usdc":650,"entry_price":651,"won":14,"source":192,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":194,"question":652,"event_slug":502,"category":249},"0xff3eade4aeb721d37d4ba7c7a924eb949df2a0449488709eb1825233cc49e7b1",19.73,0.09865,"0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?",{"total":654,"wins":655},77,47,[657,662,667,672,677,680,682,684],{"category":38,"n":658,"wins":659,"hitRate":660,"roi":661},34,21,0.6176470588235294,0.7310872739514664,{"category":269,"n":663,"wins":664,"hitRate":665,"roi":666},23,12,0.5217391304347826,0.2924381784904417,{"category":336,"n":668,"wins":669,"hitRate":670,"roi":671},7,5,0.7142857142857143,0.2022420005873611,{"category":249,"n":673,"wins":674,"hitRate":675,"roi":676},6,4,0.6666666666666666,0.5732416985293425,{"category":58,"n":678,"wins":678,"hitRate":14,"roi":679},2,1.1815807395893259,{"category":276,"n":678,"wins":678,"hitRate":14,"roi":681},0.3860013246965533,{"category":77,"n":678,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":683},-1,{"category":441,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":685},0.2987012987012987,{"generatedAt":687},"2026-10-26T12:00:26.156Z"]