[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x1ec6d95503c81c1f5dc83d006ba81dc1e22b7edb":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":196,"history":197,"resolved":216,"resolvedSummary":792,"specialization":794,"meta":814},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x1ec6d95503c81c1f5dc83d006ba81dc1e22b7edb",7580,1471,0.4187627464309993,0.24820368188159558,0.15500486961858626,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-25T19:41:58.738Z",56.48139749626108,4.4431418522860495,"2026-09-24T06:14:44.000Z",0,"cooccurrence",0.36525308425574315,0.05350966217525494,20621.788390909594,83084.13571700006,4.387367194078852,0.01935483870967742,[26,39,50,59,67,74,83,90,96,105,111,120,129,139,147,155,165,172,180,188],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","No",3160.14,0.86,"2026-10-01T23:29:45.048Z","2026-09-26T01:42:12.176Z","Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":49},"26181023444847865740144968881453381639052456965503182671034643115973725837732","0x6d7203b2161a636a6ad554a986400e29411aecfdb51f91416a0ef9f7b6685e3b","Yes",4006.66,0.3599,"Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.335\", \"0.665\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":51,"condition_id":52,"outcome":29,"size":53,"avg_price":54,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":58,"category":38},"64264976954058187238724333554507208255303776435657387002861226761784169752307","0x741bb46008b72234857c5118c8365ab3c2f69dbf28b30b59de04f173b8a778de",810.41,0.7899,"Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?","alaska-senate-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.285\", \"0.715\"]",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":66,"category":49},"104221712627787034860958810219855339564277372637518123220011557009651490653042","0x55eda2831f1369b028fb05c7e2392bbe2274f9c332388a7801c2430e3aac3579",881.2577,0.3832,"Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?","strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693","[\"0.91\", \"0.09\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":72,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":73,"category":49},"89935193776001764234914810530894985625350942201527563326613427606200761992090","0xbb379a14cd03f68c35c279ddbd928a6326f4fd2e21827f8cdaaf59715d6df50e",999.67,0.3299,"Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":29,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":79,"event_slug":80,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":82,"category":38},"71555783237826691404743898883579948268166206045189266732103718721600236642226","0xecbdf222a86c4a58e5c90fa94c7ababe5f82dbf26d1f0671b3d64bcbf81f4131",345.25,0.8735,"Will  Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?","who-will-trump-pick-as-the-next-press-secretary-20260812210729848","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":88,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":89,"category":49},"101492056351751833920629364005167338435431925816936377971961169353021340085257","0xacec7e5b90ccb1ac4c950e3aff18156d6ce1bb7b0c87c001a281279412dca784",508.98,0.5199,"Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":42,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":95,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":37,"category":49},"104279604547231872129402198190232956636095665469278761891693384128061158683041","0x6c8bc8cd9b2d64358ad995ccee8e998cf0f81a89c4be0b8e51eadf09c6be60ba",1660.43,0.1593,"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?",{"token_id":97,"condition_id":98,"outcome":42,"size":99,"avg_price":100,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":101,"event_slug":102,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":103,"outcome_prices":104,"category":49},"65710340847928463620991566082994656002922673891777077235559888767925599088131","0x5280e91e95ab540de0879f26813f060f51f9d77d8c2e41dd81f1aec41c8bb714",937.55,0.2299,"Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026","2026-11-01T04:00:00Z","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":106,"condition_id":107,"outcome":42,"size":108,"avg_price":109,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":110,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":73,"category":38},"72139607190315861034411702195742538105117960260100800877125381826122747504258","0x19d2ff72e389d190c183e6b114817301d29eba651d67d75a38ee201a05188fd9",233.34,0.7799,"Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":29,"size":114,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":116,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":119,"category":38},"6095135387098504804657413501038558704436156258876241785515156483951299853871","0xefc45792f1a9b1bb7099b50624af95b0390132afce22e2ec04a977ae297df596",154.01,0.8899,"2026-09-30T13:12:41.771Z","Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?","texas-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260928","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":121,"condition_id":122,"outcome":29,"size":123,"avg_price":124,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":127,"outcome_prices":128,"category":49},"95434857639311604296490131438289126311805853194335826914630427232294023700385","0xb4c762758287be1a7d450f18fe954efeaa3b76eb0b154c0a6f6787fbeadd69c3",281.55,0.4699,"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?","bitcoin-above-on-october-4-2026","2026-10-04T16:00:00Z","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":130,"condition_id":131,"outcome":29,"size":132,"avg_price":133,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":134,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":138,"category":49},"107200555956663824693107549752166562256192249897727500599135479032393901867108","0xbd549c211a4b156b03a37401348ffaf6b8fcce0182e3bb48f58179ccd1fc4094",465.28,0.2752,"2026-09-27T11:08:20.016Z","Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?","variational-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.705\", \"0.295\"]",{"token_id":140,"condition_id":141,"outcome":29,"size":142,"avg_price":143,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":144,"question":145,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":146,"category":49},"12313697152003878560906547014080252103698305574713028882684973037852010428762","0x88b2827dd9bb9b3ebd4f229561a7606bd2bbdedbf3dfbb9c563e1e7dd2673747",329.97,0.3699,"2026-09-29T01:57:17.045Z","Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?","[\"0.595\", \"0.405\"]",{"token_id":148,"condition_id":149,"outcome":29,"size":150,"avg_price":151,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":152,"question":153,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":137,"outcome_prices":154,"category":49},"82662535924441235443132465838061597581586336437822712289087587073301312887388","0x76e7f72aef4e8533e5f3e6672f223899682d52849e022cac8592a7a4f56cb1a7",626.01,0.1727,"2026-09-27T14:09:28.170Z","Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?","[\"0.835\", \"0.165\"]",{"token_id":156,"condition_id":157,"outcome":29,"size":158,"avg_price":159,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":160,"event_slug":161,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":162,"outcome_prices":163,"category":164},"13182954244513796532722289466456339865507845527996417434766174674275559808287","0xf7f868938b1bd32bfe10608ce8e67f12ced5111c5af68d2317e9ea7cee1ca55f",62.51,0.8615,"Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?","1-searched-movie-on-google-2026-20260730181459","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.16\", \"0.84\"]","Tech",{"token_id":166,"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"size":168,"avg_price":169,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":170,"event_slug":80,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":171,"category":38},"31758653756400617089828602933564954315429073950939555767361942663241343502288","0x8f38b53c21eb19bc2f5765442d027063c72ef28a1e38e04931c289e7b4385ba0",47.98,0.9,"Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?","[\"0.1265\", \"0.8735\"]",{"token_id":173,"condition_id":174,"outcome":29,"size":175,"avg_price":176,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":177,"event_slug":178,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":179,"outcome_prices":154,"category":164},"53195884283672774026891441921065904229748558118802479137535050914862599831224","0x2709a9392fcfe2348ad935b3158d5e4184ef484cf233d536ecdaa3148bda4aad",247.9,0.1713,"Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?","anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-979","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":181,"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"size":183,"avg_price":184,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":185,"event_slug":186,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":179,"outcome_prices":187,"category":164},"108106631235974987801820798416657587426398379451395604120727082914451082463656","0x0b44e9c6eb563adf459816f9a7a2de0aa66ba5423c474ecab30c97203a3e8207",121.62,0.3399,"Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?","skin-cancer-vaccine-fda-approved-by-december-31-2027","[\"0.665\", \"0.335\"]",{"token_id":189,"condition_id":190,"outcome":42,"size":191,"avg_price":192,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":193,"event_slug":194,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":195,"category":38},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",478.91,0.0799,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","[\"0.0485\", \"0.9515\"]",[],[198,205,207,214],{"recorded_date":199,"roi":200,"win_rate":201,"brier_score":202,"p_value":203,"resolved_trades":204,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-10",0.07099744788128691,0.37777777777777777,0.19870672527520772,0.010199999999999987,135,{"recorded_date":206,"roi":200,"win_rate":201,"brier_score":202,"p_value":203,"resolved_trades":204,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-11",{"recorded_date":208,"roi":209,"win_rate":210,"brier_score":211,"p_value":212,"resolved_trades":213,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-18",0.1608858332245726,0.43567251461988304,0.15270606274621387,0.05879999999999996,342,{"recorded_date":215,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",[217,226,233,238,247,255,261,269,276,283,290,297,304,310,316,323,330,337,343,348,355,361,368,375,381,388,393,400,406,412,415,422,428,434,439,442,449,452,457,463,469,475,482,488,494,501,504,509,514,520,526,532,537,543,548,551,557,564,570,576,579,585,591,594,600,606,612,617,620,626,633,639,645,651,657,662,669,674,680,685,690,693,698,703,708,714,720,725,728,733,738,744,747,752,758,763,769,775,780,785],{"condition_id":218,"outcome":42,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":17,"source":221,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":223,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"category":38},"0xeff40c2677dabb36118e71e65dfab4bae514a20ba97311304162a7ed73c4c086",6.889311,0.0689,"live","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","2026-09-26T02:51:15.166Z","Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?","trump-renames-new-mexico-to-new-america-byptptpt",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":42,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":12,"source":221,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":230,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"category":38},"0xcd5c9c29329f142504b3975bf5464228dd3af6579ace47fd1816b644f0ed4dea",32.343044,0.7099,"2026-09-29T03:14:44.384Z","Trump renames AI by December 31?","trump-renames-ai-by-september-30",{"condition_id":234,"outcome":29,"usdc":235,"entry_price":236,"won":17,"source":221,"end_date_iso":222,"captured_at":223,"question":237,"event_slug":232,"category":38},"0x56fda0f04440ef5a2b8f4cb1d33e256f0e28d5cb635d812b1314c8078a0a1b1d",101.3595,0.825,"Trump renames AI by September 30?",{"condition_id":239,"outcome":42,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":246},"0x02f8dd15d4c674a75fccbd0e00f0cf1256101c45ef41f6d0c5dfde9c36d4141e",270.43942499999997,0.4586577337276795,"backfill","","Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-extended-by",null,{"condition_id":248,"outcome":42,"usdc":249,"entry_price":250,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":251,"captured_at":252,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":38},"0x0549eb8269570dea333fe47ffff241827d93a22caed18f64f9a1eb4c3239c7f8",84.5945,0.89,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","2026-09-18T10:50:35.673Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":256,"outcome":42,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":259,"event_slug":260,"category":246},"0x07d45de444dbe0595c068a9eade49ace2bd381e30d6a45022d801ec10e7d0294",53.48144,0.012168534673019255,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":262,"outcome":42,"usdc":263,"entry_price":264,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":13,"question":266,"event_slug":267,"category":268},"0x09148e8a5260a4c40aceb29badc45845fe08330497756bfcc1017c478c28bb65",34.8425,0.11,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31-945","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":270,"outcome":42,"usdc":271,"entry_price":272,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":273,"captured_at":13,"question":274,"event_slug":275,"category":38},"0x0c763cc9066c1733ffa440212b0a2bb491171177a41aef4a5af958a71f3263f6",40.8864,0.152067541934764,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Weed rescheduled by June 30?","weed-rescheduled-by-march-31",{"condition_id":277,"outcome":42,"usdc":278,"entry_price":279,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":280,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",3129.621150000001,0.11337847344747101,"2026-09-10T16:58:22.812Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":42,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":246},"0x0f1436851188b2ace8c83413e5e9f7bbd6a9b3a92173fe8a2350f6ce09b36107",7.76873,0.03255827500108965,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","ICE Shooter fired\u002Fresigns by March 31?","ice-shooter-fired-by-march-31",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":42,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":38},"0x0f3062f421a43ab9af2f3dc9c3eef48e2aab38a4c9858aca7651947642c4c964",80.1998,0.6882921387,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":42,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":246},"0x125466a1d45ae996569106ee1d4f804bc3de7bea9b244bc756e5f41e88d6d6d5",66.49709999999999,0.07596109251664933,"2026-03-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":42,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"category":246},"0x13a51d63e8053ee7045caf8653ddcbe57d58cf829e94431084bb3de35c0b5dcd",60.184,0.5585003711952488,"US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-before-trump-visits-china",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":303,"category":246},"0x1507c50c86fb307e4f1acd9d740b2be66d98773f90d161e94907d8ef2c5699b3",588.0427,0.6654400298761307,"2026-04-21","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?",{"condition_id":317,"outcome":42,"usdc":318,"entry_price":319,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"category":246},"0x19be7c46e28b61455ec766679ee1122fba39eb0d5c85d0878e4b203ab8b18406",46.535,0.82,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?","next-ceo-of-apple",{"condition_id":324,"outcome":42,"usdc":325,"entry_price":326,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":327,"captured_at":252,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":246},"0x1cb2d865f0ee15752a25591ca7cdc28cfa21232915bcb195014dc5b9d2b28b92",6.16119,0.598,"2026-08-13T23:59:00Z","Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?","kai-and-speed-beat-minecraft-challenge-byptptpt-20260807141254095",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":42,"usdc":332,"entry_price":333,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":335,"event_slug":336,"category":246},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",591.77967,0.29648975696960644,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":338,"outcome":42,"usdc":339,"entry_price":340,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":280,"question":342,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",1904.3673649999994,0.11949067314700175,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":344,"outcome":42,"usdc":345,"entry_price":346,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":251,"captured_at":252,"question":347,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",1358.5137,0.5736215698113845,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":349,"outcome":29,"usdc":350,"entry_price":351,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":252,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":246},"0x211f2f58d38d8022f3d71a99685ebec3ff12a396118c38e8fb97fdcab53ded1e",365.90797,0.8,"2026-09-01T04:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-august-2026",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":29,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":13,"question":359,"event_slug":360,"category":38},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",819.5182,0.6559976626349788,"Iran closes its airspace by May 8?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":362,"outcome":29,"usdc":363,"entry_price":364,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":365,"captured_at":252,"question":366,"event_slug":367,"category":246},"0x2170cff0aedcc55d57d9d69f6df9404009a4df9d2f2afc96cf4dfb29dc1c17a2",664.1328299999999,0.7040786209925756,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709",{"condition_id":369,"outcome":29,"usdc":370,"entry_price":371,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":373,"event_slug":374,"category":246},"0x21b98500085731e81028ba9bfb823f58047b69c4d5fad6884e5ead2613cc8c54",12.6657,0.09,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":376,"outcome":42,"usdc":377,"entry_price":378,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":379,"captured_at":280,"question":380,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x2509daa236d3aea83c910be4e00f50027dd72e6fa0d350536d07cd079f58d7ab",128.56461000000002,0.026424589031804564,"2026-05-13T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":382,"outcome":42,"usdc":383,"entry_price":384,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":385,"captured_at":252,"question":386,"event_slug":387,"category":38},"0x2a28cc33492516116690a20d290f9922acbe0ed367ff52a6082154474c7f2971",19.01266,0.003,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":389,"outcome":42,"usdc":390,"entry_price":391,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":392,"event_slug":303,"category":246},"0x2cbfefb1c7f083b083bbc123b164c05fc13a9baf298063e9570fceb0ff1742a7",569.5845,0.18162133981269793,"Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?",{"condition_id":394,"outcome":42,"usdc":395,"entry_price":396,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":252,"question":398,"event_slug":399,"category":38},"0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c",68.71406999999999,0.007014996720974192,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":401,"outcome":29,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":246},"0x2e94bb8dd09931d12e6e656fe4fe6ceb3922bc3d6eab864bb6cd24773cf67269",128.84579999999997,0.22779166592846914,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-747",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":29,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":246},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",4580.56211,0.8219632093901117,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":42,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":246},256.87093,0.05333388633147366,{"condition_id":416,"outcome":29,"usdc":417,"entry_price":418,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":420,"event_slug":421,"category":246},"0x33a5f0ddfa9fb2ae67672443de031edf7947bc733bcdc5f8935578deccb7f126",8.0574,0.39,"2026-04-01T05:00:00Z","Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?","what-day-will-the-opinion-token-launch-be-425",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":42,"usdc":424,"entry_price":351,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":425,"captured_at":13,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"category":246},"0x36327b2d2494eb0af779d2f458690ed0b4821a3c56ef28b7590b03e5d1362047",10,"2026-03-29T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Six Seven\" this week? (March 29)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-29",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":42,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":252,"question":433,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",411.70300000000003,0.12784735441438144,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":280,"question":438,"event_slug":254,"category":38},"0x36f665053a7ca5c102f2db15cfc49b1b9f38fa820a5f2bb4bde87bf9fbd9a2ab",48.8835,0.81,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":42,"usdc":440,"entry_price":441,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":280,"question":438,"event_slug":254,"category":38},113.67452000000002,0.07548610133895611,{"condition_id":443,"outcome":29,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":280,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":49},"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868",1831.1564200000003,0.5158229113994753,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":42,"usdc":450,"entry_price":451,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":280,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":49},819.7506400000001,0.594589742878694,{"condition_id":453,"outcome":42,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":456,"event_slug":260,"category":246},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",5207.80815,0.12706116855357957,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":42,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":246},"0x4382d7a5908ea9779dbc0daef377eaf77125757a913efc59f3a41b4647f7366c",125.92119,0.8417084873272899,"Will Trump say \"Dumbocrat\" during Bret Baier interview?","what-will-trump-say-during-bret-baier-interview",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":42,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":246},"0x4642df0d198e647209dec3dd3b3e0c8f19d8ed364a2661e08443faae6d74c4b9",10.530999999999999,0.19888574126534464,"Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?","military-action-against-iran-ends-by",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":42,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":474,"category":246},"0x46ccf5e76fc86d54382165703ce428439ecb4b04d5ee8c408b2fefe748760de9",5.3875,0.862,"Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?","trump-cabinet-member-out-by-685",{"condition_id":476,"outcome":29,"usdc":477,"entry_price":478,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":480,"event_slug":481,"category":246},"0x46f15cb064fb468e39de360f14f5847898ef9b1489d15e9df702b92f1836598d",742.339891,0.8160833096682313,"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":483,"outcome":29,"usdc":484,"entry_price":485,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":486,"event_slug":487,"category":246},"0x471e2fa06bd8975b77be49a36781bc41286d57bffa84de55173f4eacdbd52b28",61.754960000000004,0.8717526821005082,"Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-end-of-april",{"condition_id":489,"outcome":42,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":493,"category":268},"0x4befb52f7cd2b606c63731ad74e677325ff0ed0f48f1104552a34f0f54619ea3",91.7924,0.06345652384310146,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":29,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":246},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",64.40484000000001,0.262,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":42,"usdc":502,"entry_price":503,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":246},888.57238,0.04541870127084823,{"condition_id":505,"outcome":42,"usdc":506,"entry_price":507,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":508,"event_slug":260,"category":246},"0x4ccff8c606ad71080c7611d28f1593a528a8ca6c11c1fb63bfa24a7eb2ad30d7",214.094,0.7489732377,"US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":42,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":252,"question":513,"event_slug":254,"category":38},"0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6",21.441200000000002,0.6319245505452402,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":518,"event_slug":519,"category":246},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",146.4614,0.19044457447500163,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":524,"captured_at":13,"question":525,"event_slug":303,"category":246},"0x57c1e8de9d359a76055fe1be95e46a1e72d0537811dcc2ccf070cdfa73d8ba33",80.9375,0.25,"2026-05-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?",{"condition_id":527,"outcome":42,"usdc":528,"entry_price":529,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":530,"event_slug":531,"category":246},"0x5bbabd359667d5bbdb9ee690bb959c9aa4cf4b08b2ae6592118a59753f622d78",49.751490000000004,0.8083101543460602,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-2027",{"condition_id":533,"outcome":29,"usdc":534,"entry_price":535,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":352,"captured_at":252,"question":536,"event_slug":354,"category":246},"0x5bd7f96d38645c7dabffa94c6f48e741f86655ba0dbd48cd4e7f9bbdde2774cc",414.46578,0.4436776546999421,"Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?",{"condition_id":538,"outcome":29,"usdc":539,"entry_price":540,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":541,"captured_at":252,"question":542,"event_slug":329,"category":246},"0x60613b262912ce2e3138ec5610a31a2f932b6300843c094053cb33aaff9f2238",101.3256,0.72,"2026-08-17T23:59:00Z","Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":29,"usdc":545,"entry_price":546,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":13,"question":547,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",55.414100000000005,0.43,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":42,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":280,"question":547,"event_slug":282,"category":38},2338.2565000000004,0.3868851550349119,{"condition_id":552,"outcome":29,"usdc":553,"entry_price":554,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":555,"event_slug":556,"category":246},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",154.67404,0.6531291276290433,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":558,"outcome":29,"usdc":559,"entry_price":560,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":561,"captured_at":252,"question":562,"event_slug":563,"category":164},"0x6619036865c2d27f1b1c00cd565ce74f6aa72ef93be29c315be36941d3559c59",552.26802,0.2537320554023294,"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",{"condition_id":565,"outcome":42,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":568,"captured_at":280,"question":569,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x667c01a18ac1efb8300ce2c4d9fd573275cb633344148675beee8e097db193c4",151.2322,0.08157428584591893,"2026-05-11T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":29,"usdc":572,"entry_price":573,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":303,"category":246},"0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c",88.4352,0.56,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?",{"condition_id":571,"outcome":42,"usdc":577,"entry_price":578,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":574,"captured_at":13,"question":575,"event_slug":303,"category":246},67.81700000000001,0.4483175778409468,{"condition_id":580,"outcome":29,"usdc":581,"entry_price":582,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":583,"event_slug":584,"category":246},"0x6aa39e488afd5dd8e1cd995258c28c3c485dbc4d467d4eb4d94fc6f30e172833",10.51725,0.111,"Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-march",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":29,"usdc":587,"entry_price":588,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"category":246},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",9846.828718000002,0.29615313654154046,"US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":586,"outcome":42,"usdc":592,"entry_price":593,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"category":246},988.182074,0.5350799079318634,{"condition_id":595,"outcome":29,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":598,"event_slug":599,"category":246},"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2",964.738427,0.3220589660737236,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":601,"outcome":42,"usdc":602,"entry_price":603,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":13,"question":604,"event_slug":605,"category":38},"0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de",7.3302,0.57,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":607,"outcome":42,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":252,"question":610,"event_slug":611,"category":38},"0x724a93f3e0ed0a6c83d2b4f2bc60839b39a92cc2c7cbac0169447f48d72537ab",1151.77,0.8489746878363039,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by July 31?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":29,"usdc":614,"entry_price":615,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":260,"category":246},"0x773abaa5fe55e5cde51a261f444b7921652a4e059ead6b3be9fe56499c2d4609",215.9186,0.39935376475424206,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":42,"usdc":618,"entry_price":619,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":260,"category":246},4878.508164,0.28078733744729206,{"condition_id":621,"outcome":42,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":624,"event_slug":625,"category":246},"0x77791e343f0c9befba6344921e846af705e5b63937c475d105707dd24a758902",8.5413,0.7982523364,"Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-april",{"condition_id":627,"outcome":29,"usdc":628,"entry_price":629,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":630,"captured_at":280,"question":631,"event_slug":632,"category":246},"0x77f4da92e95343c2debdc8cc0ea577d0065f63f566974bc41152548b7af068fc",16.86204,0.01738870787530224,"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?","jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by",{"condition_id":634,"outcome":42,"usdc":635,"entry_price":636,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":13,"question":637,"event_slug":638,"category":38},"0x79e008f552c7459175380ec2ba980780067b1bfe6afe07805c8d56a240a7628a",297.4743,0.8249654732521701,"Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?","who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027",{"condition_id":640,"outcome":42,"usdc":641,"entry_price":642,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":13,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":38},"0x79e7d16f5c71ab6ff5f805f77045eb5cef7b8f6aa87db54ebabeb3373d31b254",15.3618,0.03,"Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to \"Strait of Trump\" by May 31?","trump-renames-straight-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-may-31",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":29,"usdc":647,"entry_price":648,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":252,"question":649,"event_slug":650,"category":268},"0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",14.023293,0.3700000184729481,"China x Philippines military clash before 2027?","china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":29,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":252,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"category":246},"0x7f4378c2e8fb0a4673813e5a5d6f5a773765bab522186932a0465f326a05328d",5.72543,0.2711130604,"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" during events with Xi Jinping?","what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping",{"condition_id":658,"outcome":42,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":243,"captured_at":13,"question":661,"event_slug":260,"category":246},"0x80059ff4e694f878c0498f6f3a067ee7ca62dc2fc46251a4287b58355ce47bc5",2694.4118529999996,0.32291235726902057,"US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?",{"condition_id":663,"outcome":42,"usdc":664,"entry_price":665,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":666,"captured_at":13,"question":667,"event_slug":668,"category":246},"0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5",71.7731,0.06648242835176643,"2026-04-07","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 7?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":670,"outcome":42,"usdc":671,"entry_price":672,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":673,"event_slug":260,"category":246},"0x81b06cb917c9a2aabc67a7765bc3c640e88a699bbf451b29915049c0766cde04",1457.171609,0.6539707184752439,"US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?",{"condition_id":675,"outcome":42,"usdc":676,"entry_price":677,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":252,"question":679,"event_slug":611,"category":38},"0x876047c0df88886ddbe468fe811bc75a667da45a552d798e626ecfc5c60d52d9",67.041,0.0598041052215288,"2026-05-29T00:00:00Z","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 12?",{"condition_id":681,"outcome":29,"usdc":682,"entry_price":683,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":252,"question":684,"event_slug":399,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",139.6604,0.22,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":686,"outcome":29,"usdc":687,"entry_price":688,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":280,"question":689,"event_slug":254,"category":38},"0x8b369e10358094a99ffe7f85a81a8e8ca68c611eee0fe63a2efa790ad045bcd6",1226.5411530000001,0.383190978770797,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":686,"outcome":42,"usdc":691,"entry_price":692,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":280,"question":689,"event_slug":254,"category":38},45.000299999999996,0.29222871615039936,{"condition_id":694,"outcome":42,"usdc":695,"entry_price":696,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":385,"captured_at":252,"question":697,"event_slug":387,"category":38},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",1701.34701,0.7666459038902131,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":699,"outcome":29,"usdc":700,"entry_price":701,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":365,"captured_at":252,"question":702,"event_slug":367,"category":246},"0x8c312c5aec6e368da4eb6caf90fd8f325f8ce9438f2aa6f9274dded41e5f251e",55.974900000000005,0.2605886323246975,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":704,"outcome":29,"usdc":705,"entry_price":706,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":280,"question":707,"event_slug":448,"category":49},"0x8e7a03cb1970e2ad6533b01892403516b6b3f5b5fa90ed7d104c28b27e40ba00",239.60644000000002,0.2790068044321294,"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":709,"outcome":42,"usdc":710,"entry_price":711,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":712,"event_slug":713,"category":246},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",93.96424,0.014970635248408286,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":715,"outcome":29,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":719,"category":38},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",146.1798,0.78,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":721,"outcome":29,"usdc":722,"entry_price":723,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":561,"captured_at":252,"question":724,"event_slug":563,"category":164},"0x93f2e17cfd239c4667eb3d41ff04e2cd1ae6f3f663210cbc42ec1296ff880805",195.18499,0.34646092771632503,"SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?",{"condition_id":721,"outcome":42,"usdc":726,"entry_price":727,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":561,"captured_at":252,"question":724,"event_slug":563,"category":164},128.90618,0.09249943032717596,{"condition_id":729,"outcome":42,"usdc":730,"entry_price":731,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":252,"question":732,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27",4117.163464000001,0.7699098297832051,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":734,"outcome":42,"usdc":735,"entry_price":736,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":737,"event_slug":374,"category":246},"0x9823d715687a0a82d2a03731792e83bf58a0409f10def1379e00e4d67a95ba69",554.5326,0.8955774479696378,"Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?",{"condition_id":739,"outcome":29,"usdc":740,"entry_price":741,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":252,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"category":38},"0x9a87a0011494682e4d17a9073059cbbd32ebea4bbc7284219afb5e9a6b4ca8f6",57.06368,0.818,"Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?","will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by",{"condition_id":739,"outcome":42,"usdc":745,"entry_price":746,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":252,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"category":38},47.475,0.211,{"condition_id":748,"outcome":42,"usdc":749,"entry_price":750,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":252,"question":751,"event_slug":399,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",917.3077759999999,0.3139831569699286,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":753,"outcome":42,"usdc":754,"entry_price":755,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":756,"captured_at":13,"question":757,"event_slug":605,"category":38},"0xa573400b588079857899fce1e5a68da2d086f63fd35cbdd626df397e19e9995e",442.7807880000001,0.5719434033536146,"2026-04-30","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":759,"outcome":42,"usdc":760,"entry_price":761,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":372,"captured_at":13,"question":762,"event_slug":668,"category":246},"0xa6ddb7146f48a12dbf73456d654211b01d7493829932c31b7fe85d82120d338f",385.666514,0.7699076010498946,"Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 30?",{"condition_id":764,"outcome":42,"usdc":765,"entry_price":766,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":280,"question":767,"event_slug":768,"category":38},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",173.80639999999997,0.40576738105243493,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":770,"outcome":29,"usdc":771,"entry_price":772,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":320,"captured_at":252,"question":773,"event_slug":774,"category":246},"0xa7f9dfe2a90e8556fe6b9045ae2dce6950bb4cd8c7fc33efc2876c0bf2f81c0a",8.13619,0.15,"Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?","trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by",{"condition_id":776,"outcome":42,"usdc":777,"entry_price":778,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":252,"question":779,"event_slug":656,"category":246},"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697",30.73403,0.0017007644051790565,"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":29,"usdc":782,"entry_price":783,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":265,"captured_at":252,"question":784,"event_slug":360,"category":38},"0xb7dd41c16cd5b59e543ffcdab6a0d876f5ccef5329ea42ef1798d80c9a2b8499",12.50655,0.831,"Iran closes its airspace by May 31?",{"condition_id":786,"outcome":29,"usdc":787,"entry_price":788,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":789,"captured_at":252,"question":790,"event_slug":791,"category":49},"0xba83c6e2f545c22fe003c3c3676e2f40461422275c33e8a93ac4026d2bf6c95d",12.75934,0.05693169709513413,"2026-06-09T04:00:00Z","Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?","will-microstrategy-announce-a-bitcoin-purchase-june-2-8",{"total":204,"wins":793},62,[795,801,806,809,811],{"category":796,"n":797,"wins":798,"hitRate":799,"roi":800},"Other",73,39,0.5342465753424658,0.39559765279024295,{"category":38,"n":802,"wins":803,"hitRate":804,"roi":805},51,21,0.4117647058823529,0.02316529484804332,{"category":164,"n":807,"wins":12,"hitRate":523,"roi":808},4,-0.5806074177530474,{"category":49,"n":807,"wins":12,"hitRate":523,"roi":810},0.22274800880588835,{"category":268,"n":812,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":813},3,-1,{"generatedAt":815},"2026-10-02T02:48:00.244Z"]