[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x178d913891fee26e0380817f7689d41d33e474ed":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":125,"history":126,"resolved":129,"resolvedSummary":218,"specialization":221,"meta":235},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x178d913891fee26e0380817f7689d41d33e474ed",871,45,0.5777777777777777,0.5237745896350502,0.0870838209045338,0.008799999999999919,1,"2026-10-02T01:37:12.435Z",304.8709492888888,1.8893709327548807,"2026-10-01T14:43:05.000Z",0,"trades",0.4477777833688889,0.12999999440888893,7185.764535994616,13719.192717999997,5.880028508326598,[25,38,46,56,65,74,81,87,96,103,107,113,119],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"79085628201281122481883578594811594592260824252373059797032000397035131450743","0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b","No",25097.05,0.9989,"2026-10-04T01:47:08.025Z","2026-10-02T03:14:43.744Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"49131019536927190118473519437334544757370714552601724744855393780606374946516","0x666e1f1fc1f5beef406b0f1577a7fbff280e120184ae1a421fd65bb05f1fca7c",530.98,0.999,"Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-september-30","[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":49,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":37},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390","Yes",2000,0.25,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":28,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":63,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc",400,0.4,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.195\", \"0.805\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":28,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":72,"category":73},"100237550052683024817861121039974480379968243218271253553432274700292610668145","0x86c8e254c5d1234e441562ab34d59d3b2c5e258ed8d25dda141963d6b4bef5c9",82.61,0.994,"Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?","houthis-seize-an-oil-tanker-by","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":28,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":80,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"67363064243496325759737553667888232861902075178119910774176830249001852495674","0xa6fed01ba8b2bdd54390277a30d1a66d4e61050b6fe0b0263df857ba83f5edb0",77.18,0.9977,"2026-10-02T22:02:57.126Z","Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?",{"token_id":82,"condition_id":83,"outcome":28,"size":84,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":85,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":86,"category":37},"53378416026235690610466669161188735915838026728158875550486685109604824112654","0x58335eeeff59437c2f02013175de70ba43df5dfc3d56511c87e92dec11eac4a7",49.19,"Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?","[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",{"token_id":88,"condition_id":89,"outcome":28,"size":90,"avg_price":91,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":92,"event_slug":93,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":95,"category":37},"72155502909526419074973085997910282599671080180235761988358650207050340638509","0x155f096df1323914443f0707597d09606b2974b4df920309d9c6b0403ea8846a",48.72,0.998,"Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?","who-will-trump-speak-to-in-september","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]",{"token_id":97,"condition_id":98,"outcome":28,"size":99,"avg_price":100,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":101,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":102,"category":37},"44324507741950810345048249968200248159268619466616428532258973675449207806649","0xf07b4131a14e832c04495f2c3102ee2ea2d010ce6e8d2991d9c7c781c44fdbfb",45.05,0.984,"Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?","[\"0.031\", \"0.969\"]",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":27,"outcome":49,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"79492971912420892776290893910148058147353983898749011679176479416889510526578",12500,0.002,{"token_id":108,"condition_id":109,"outcome":28,"size":110,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":79,"question":111,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":112,"category":37},"88919346373240872983205727944422993047817232147141612370382519965792752242278","0x7540406c56af1282bc49885e0bbd805846a2789e0446b642391a742718fbbc54",24.99,"Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":114,"condition_id":115,"outcome":28,"size":116,"avg_price":117,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":118,"event_slug":93,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":95,"category":37},"89420335672493108335249215799398912298602317709555127290108717510125501109787","0x61f8d7e17cad4731747338132017c2262c53fecbd4f68b4ec7e27383556365e0",20,0.997,"Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":28,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":124,"event_slug":93,"active":12,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":94,"outcome_prices":95,"category":37},"49669662461646710801848964465321284829625998020543189689825884898613141657233","0x7aa004104794793705f031cee6897034c1374dc2c99d76b625d3df78ea32326b",5,0.992,"Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?",[],[127],{"recorded_date":128,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-02",[130,134,136,138,147,154,161,166,173,180,183,189,192,199,205,210],{"condition_id":89,"outcome":28,"usdc":131,"entry_price":91,"won":12,"source":132,"end_date_iso":94,"captured_at":133,"question":92,"event_slug":93,"category":37},48.62256,"live","2026-10-02T03:14:43.747Z",{"condition_id":115,"outcome":28,"usdc":135,"entry_price":117,"won":12,"source":132,"end_date_iso":94,"captured_at":133,"question":118,"event_slug":93,"category":37},19.94,{"condition_id":121,"outcome":28,"usdc":137,"entry_price":123,"won":12,"source":132,"end_date_iso":94,"captured_at":133,"question":124,"event_slug":93,"category":37},4.96,{"condition_id":139,"outcome":49,"usdc":140,"entry_price":141,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":143,"captured_at":13,"question":144,"event_slug":145,"category":146},"0x09cbe3e796661a1d820580145488ad2ccb9ad1e720efcd64b448bb77b97007c1",80.26504399999999,0.09000000022942803,"backfill","2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",null,{"condition_id":148,"outcome":49,"usdc":149,"entry_price":150,"won":12,"source":142,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":13,"question":152,"event_slug":153,"category":146},"0x15aa3c1259a716915e068a0d63c3885d2301d29e8982cbb1717ecb9b63d02d95",759.9991789999999,0.19000000004506173,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-march-1-2026-492",{"condition_id":155,"outcome":28,"usdc":156,"entry_price":157,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":158,"captured_at":13,"question":159,"event_slug":160,"category":146},"0x1bdc882e3c153d3b6ce6df827507337691f3374754bf734a88f053e2e0f3e1e7",0.61628,0.014,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?","military-action-against-iran-ends-by-522",{"condition_id":162,"outcome":49,"usdc":163,"entry_price":164,"won":12,"source":142,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":13,"question":165,"event_slug":145,"category":146},"0x3fc804e4d893f86d49229eb42492cabf6150f5bcbf36c1b66d1e8f22bc15ec6d",920,0.23,"US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":28,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"category":73},"0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb",11.3632,0.16,"2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",{"condition_id":174,"outcome":28,"usdc":175,"entry_price":176,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":146},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",459.80629999999996,0.06958338314676626,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":174,"outcome":49,"usdc":181,"entry_price":182,"won":12,"source":142,"end_date_iso":177,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"category":146},8751.1259,0.8517134659499568,{"condition_id":184,"outcome":28,"usdc":185,"entry_price":186,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":187,"captured_at":13,"question":188,"event_slug":179,"category":146},"0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3",368.49933699999997,0.05027282580957788,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",{"condition_id":184,"outcome":49,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":12,"source":142,"end_date_iso":187,"captured_at":13,"question":188,"event_slug":179,"category":146},746.9385,0.87,{"condition_id":193,"outcome":49,"usdc":194,"entry_price":195,"won":12,"source":142,"end_date_iso":196,"captured_at":13,"question":197,"event_slug":198,"category":146},"0x634ac8f30b4aac7e4be6c968097e4c4708f047e6641d005d3a0948c45f0912d3",1269.378978,0.8180666688540524,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?","kevin-warsh-confirmed-as-fed-chair-by-may-15",{"condition_id":200,"outcome":28,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":172,"category":73},"0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",160,0.08,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",{"condition_id":206,"outcome":49,"usdc":207,"entry_price":191,"won":12,"source":142,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":13,"question":209,"event_slug":179,"category":146},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",174,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":211,"outcome":28,"usdc":212,"entry_price":213,"won":12,"source":142,"end_date_iso":214,"captured_at":13,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"category":217},"0xc96479ad432494bbfc7624912f5f6d5a6a2a440101f2df7999cd050cedc3d3f3",17.2,0.86,"2026-07-29T15:59:00Z","Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?","how-many-dissent-at-the-july-fed-meeting-20260616001900143","Economy",{"total":219,"wins":220},16,10,[222,227,230,233],{"category":223,"n":220,"wins":224,"hitRate":225,"roi":226},"Other",6,0.6,0.5435318235721764,{"category":37,"n":228,"wins":228,"hitRate":12,"roi":229},3,0.0026854342395041014,{"category":73,"n":231,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":232},2,-1,{"category":217,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":234},0.16279069767441867,{"generatedAt":236},"2026-10-04T08:39:27.236Z"]