[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":570,"history":571,"resolved":633,"resolvedSummary":1224,"specialization":1227,"meta":1254},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":12,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d",9928,3283,0.4928419128845568,0.9270052425222939,0.24845324996602214,0.0020000000000000018,0,"2026-09-25T19:41:58.738Z",1,372.92095674352805,2.0516635668526555,"2026-09-25T20:56:56.000Z","trades",0.3801406434879659,0.11270126939658855,1134932.0558342338,1224299.5009890026,11.270126939658855,[25,38,48,58,69,78,85,93,102,109,119,127,134,141,150,159,167,177,186,194,202,210,218,225,234,242,251,259,265,273,280,287,296,303,311,321,328,335,343,351,359,366,371,379,386,394,401,410,418,426,434,442,449,455,462,470,477,483,491,498,504,511,520,527,536,546,554,562],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","No",82572.5933,0.8467,"2026-09-27T15:01:10.723Z","2026-07-01T19:35:47.612Z","Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":43,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":37},"17371217118862125782438074585166210555214661810823929795910191856905580975576","0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928",50999.8862,0.8393,"2026-06-22T10:52:14.485Z","Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":28,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":37},"79085628201281122481883578594811594592260824252373059797032000397035131450743","0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b",38496.3119,0.8591,"2026-09-25T21:30:53.769Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":61,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":67,"category":68},"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404","0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d","Yes",46276.3645,0.6514,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.645\", \"0.355\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":70,"condition_id":71,"outcome":28,"size":72,"avg_price":73,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":74,"event_slug":75,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":76,"outcome_prices":77,"category":37},"7565921021555775006041943394390068423142281108752994121417017072842379450830","0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced",24524.2225,0.9936,"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-04T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":79,"condition_id":80,"outcome":61,"size":81,"avg_price":82,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":43,"question":83,"event_slug":45,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":84,"category":37},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4",28351.0943,0.8433,"Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]",{"token_id":86,"condition_id":87,"outcome":61,"size":88,"avg_price":89,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":92,"category":37},"88752597571738831347942513760817776151125290177540731190810686943474863159303","0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",88292.3682,0.2587,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":28,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":101,"category":68},"109719631173196402976582847567817158790560641472932038818342039512045728528798","0x951088c48f392379dc9b8a3becaad7a939b5fd3124ec98dd167d859350f049fc",27533.0695,0.8184,"Iran full airspace closure by September 30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","2027-01-26T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":28,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":107,"event_slug":99,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":108,"category":68},"38920824596940566520627325808924938453425845390003657036912369412019539683738","0x506a2f7a1aae43e74f04d412afdc5982f669c7274c26463da72c23b28b2a6004",31244.9619,0.695,"Iran full airspace closure by December 31?","[\"0.285\", \"0.715\"]",{"token_id":110,"condition_id":111,"outcome":61,"size":112,"avg_price":113,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":114,"question":115,"event_slug":116,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":117,"outcome_prices":118,"category":37},"18108354744468601294025853601030425188395211927926870885542758981304523217919","0x690fafd3b7bb8b4919ccf0f219b0014b65334411a1076162e76353e76d7f9bec",24003.86,0.8978,"2026-09-26T13:04:01.522Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.945\", \"0.055\"]",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":28,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":126,"outcome_prices":47,"category":37},"25869296386911654049715489068824757745174681288397238521780118949553760488529","0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b",22986.4792,0.9122,"2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":128,"condition_id":129,"outcome":61,"size":130,"avg_price":131,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":132,"event_slug":125,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":126,"outcome_prices":133,"category":37},"34722410608062854697106861099776685947172185964394483545370684749662285977831","0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d",41414.9686,0.4974,"2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]",{"token_id":135,"condition_id":136,"outcome":28,"size":137,"avg_price":138,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":139,"event_slug":55,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":140,"category":37},"33460385394344753109351907923235209397225125746318923726067817676780036931403","0xd8659b58a90d0d69fb1170f25b2b896871a1328115fd11c6f4cfe2b01a2a8ba0",24093.4522,0.7965,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":142,"condition_id":143,"outcome":61,"size":144,"avg_price":145,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":146,"event_slug":147,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":148,"outcome_prices":149,"category":37},"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64",18328.3033,0.838,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.855\", \"0.145\"]",{"token_id":151,"condition_id":152,"outcome":28,"size":153,"avg_price":154,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":158,"category":37},"13887896800265966487014179943559375403384011039339488276489274832989862323735","0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0",15000,0.9709,"Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.025\", \"0.975\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":28,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":166,"category":68},"55312781745086958549818693395440531431492427818819125634808790042923674294197","0x2167ab5c0d163f85195ccea4d11734e4ba53913c838c6720fb815794128c68f2",18999.99,0.6924,"China x Philippines military clash before 2027?","china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027-20260723214807932","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":168,"condition_id":169,"outcome":28,"size":170,"avg_price":171,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":174,"outcome_prices":175,"category":176},"11291662904897713174667903388388696640643610556195928998276904135282270136756","0xdaa4866bae18be58c5a79d2aeeffd035ec78f1bb49dbd88f72993997778a990f",16741.2057,0.7511,"Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":178,"condition_id":179,"outcome":61,"size":180,"avg_price":181,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":184,"outcome_prices":185,"category":68},"31155599200443620024532103683912072563894181253510224263086924270624693692711","0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b",41139.9221,0.2889,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412","2026-06-15T03:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":28,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":193,"category":37},"73810911392275096681812732914789906791232813410225649997085568580577931343365","0x3e0845c4736ae232c57b347d05f6145650416dfd3adb0fa5d7ddd335c64a84ca",9999.9921,0.8889,"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","[\"0.107\", \"0.893\"]",{"token_id":195,"condition_id":196,"outcome":28,"size":197,"avg_price":198,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792","0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94",10209.3222,0.8429,"NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":203,"condition_id":204,"outcome":28,"size":205,"avg_price":206,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":207,"question":208,"event_slug":200,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":209,"category":37},"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52",11704.9433,0.6688,"2026-07-03T18:49:36.454Z","NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":28,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":43,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":217,"category":37},"111094090837649765214249428313341768842963554572116350745061757857767411424456","0xff68b32e6543ae8b44ccb520604b6ea224a1bac071a186fb65f6f40949a758df",8502.6634,0.883," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":219,"condition_id":220,"outcome":28,"size":221,"avg_price":222,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":223,"event_slug":173,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":174,"outcome_prices":224,"category":176},"101492056351751833920629364005167338435431925816936377971961169353021340085257","0xacec7e5b90ccb1ac4c950e3aff18156d6ce1bb7b0c87c001a281279412dca784",8999.9915,0.6455,"Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":61,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":232,"outcome_prices":233,"category":37},"50292933818751585369672690878774599873941191925538325333138798248932182222864","0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463",10000,0.574,"Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.5855\", \"0.4145\"]",{"token_id":235,"condition_id":236,"outcome":61,"size":237,"avg_price":238,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":133,"category":37},"15290572385458522370285732869432740297199321382471116558439914335588167718663","0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417",11186.5083,0.5025,"Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":28,"size":245,"avg_price":246,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":247,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":250,"category":37},"83058466110717451681231918270720665192836798656062006286150563770780281745838","0x9383311a643990a4d8b6b9416cfd6dc448d44c6c0ea12c07de6f8ba4bfeb8081",6315.27,0.8795,"2026-09-27T14:09:28.170Z","Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?","what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-20260624150226501","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":252,"condition_id":253,"outcome":61,"size":254,"avg_price":255,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":256,"event_slug":116,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":257,"outcome_prices":258,"category":37},"1759128163540908136861900527987306673081148337830189221001436012323578054934","0xb70b8da7839ecb8b166e0f3a8553e079b38e139ee164f5d8bfd99183d535fc33",11239.5679,0.4544,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","2026-11-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.365\", \"0.635\"]",{"token_id":260,"condition_id":261,"outcome":28,"size":228,"avg_price":262,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":263,"event_slug":240,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":264,"category":37},"9846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048","0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14",0.5,"Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.395\", \"0.605\"]",{"token_id":266,"condition_id":267,"outcome":61,"size":268,"avg_price":269,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":272,"category":37},"90689690530039118737607894922148077480097700217322320781526913496162509181445","0xd50c016598c499fceea10a1a714e48d9b4953487fe215daeaf916068fae722f1",11225.0923,0.4212,"Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?","iowa-senate-election-winner","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]",{"token_id":274,"condition_id":275,"outcome":28,"size":276,"avg_price":277,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":126,"outcome_prices":108,"category":37},"64264976954058187238724333554507208255303776435657387002861226761784169752307","0x741bb46008b72234857c5118c8365ab3c2f69dbf28b30b59de04f173b8a778de",5950.9864,0.78,"Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?","alaska-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":281,"condition_id":282,"outcome":28,"size":283,"avg_price":284,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":285,"event_slug":147,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":148,"outcome_prices":286,"category":37},"35202785175624473743133325350336939697145393245733500300951742752216521350176","0x8a42bb4cb9b9f157b539611f6a8c122388f652570cfc3c07d538e7df2bb78894",5999.9673,0.77,"Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","[\"0.1115\", \"0.8885\"]",{"token_id":288,"condition_id":289,"outcome":61,"size":290,"avg_price":291,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":43,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":294,"outcome_prices":295,"category":37},"86831555216352607458811867018842097191310281105831909967661155990095395482445","0xa090ae1a88ca96bcae7523a65a96425ed53616709be75cb69a0df144f718931e",7845.8438,0.5821,"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","nothing-ever-happens-2026","2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","[\"0.825\", \"0.175\"]",{"token_id":297,"condition_id":298,"outcome":28,"size":299,"avg_price":300,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":301,"event_slug":99,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":302,"category":68},"98282689049673050962334818467743727614818971377812348096485339058203693156854","0x3ef582dd2a08ec4df3a237ff16505b0869b92afeb8cbf619ff085695c9bdb542",5134.289,0.8877,"Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":304,"condition_id":305,"outcome":61,"size":306,"avg_price":307,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":310,"category":37},"23545193122217391289335133742859160842475987880562465754342378273033942179195","0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",41167.75,0.11,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]",{"token_id":312,"condition_id":313,"outcome":61,"size":314,"avg_price":315,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":316,"question":317,"event_slug":318,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":319,"outcome_prices":320,"category":37},"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb",5149.7776,0.8475,"2026-06-22T14:40:47.082Z","Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.884\", \"0.116\"]",{"token_id":322,"condition_id":323,"outcome":28,"size":228,"avg_price":324,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":325,"question":326,"event_slug":271,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":327,"category":37},"45697952169290210733788647908439282215277461482653377209044144054693714912010","0x38a1025bfc56539ed1ff8fdd468283d55cf9002412decd61aa8d6c578c7d01a2",0.43,"2026-09-26T12:40:49.870Z","Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.585\", \"0.415\"]",{"token_id":329,"condition_id":330,"outcome":61,"size":331,"avg_price":332,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":333,"event_slug":334,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":140,"category":68},"106352973084247809978722887479381361784509565887960822996102387300658431649079","0xfed2dd1e83691ca08b8bc08d2bed09cb19003730f2be47da6a467ee37df96fbb",12914.7763,0.2972,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"token_id":336,"condition_id":337,"outcome":61,"size":338,"avg_price":339,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":340,"event_slug":341,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":342,"category":37},"114038073393175685070375877302821250190661708223658125394758492913778794477403","0x8e1e5c26dec73aee98230dc0ef93a294142587ca24190c4728d4b7ff831a22e0",5692.9626,0.5799,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":344,"condition_id":345,"outcome":28,"size":346,"avg_price":347,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":348,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":217,"category":37},"60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",3329.2988,0.8499,"2026-07-03T11:54:13.494Z","Iran leadership change by December 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"token_id":352,"condition_id":353,"outcome":61,"size":354,"avg_price":355,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":356,"event_slug":357,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":358,"category":37},"99878393523957043401217108863095556720659532630565063651671026144852955005052","0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd",8397.9065,0.334,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":360,"condition_id":361,"outcome":28,"size":362,"avg_price":363,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":364,"event_slug":365,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":272,"category":37},"23913381536137166406579511315285934624565002001604591688105636176511254870797","0x771873c365f87bffd990644e4b688aebc1be7f18396d2eab64b996ff66e88669",5000,0.56,"Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?","ohio-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":367,"condition_id":368,"outcome":61,"size":362,"avg_price":363,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":369,"event_slug":365,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":370,"category":37},"83018072688154066292491996133599479395547801317505487833443670253228061205312","0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb","Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.575\", \"0.425\"]",{"token_id":372,"condition_id":373,"outcome":61,"size":374,"avg_price":375,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":376,"event_slug":377,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":378,"category":37},"13662583235320132426949657391276078470832417600424257304394004178395357669251","0x6c783a56758368cb7ebdd383a368ab39728d3475d36a561626176657faaeb564",10208.9625,0.2229,"IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?","iaea-visits-isfahan-fordow-or-natanz-nuclear-site-by-july-31-20260624040209014","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":380,"condition_id":381,"outcome":28,"size":382,"avg_price":383,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":209,"category":37},"71610581811588451243087930916572592402913705975252472987256607890992191263885","0x3fd189cac9280dfc49a07115581e8d4c9e0b7e1c1e8580a44e9ff3d74e39cf2d",3156.1577,0.64,"Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?","michigan-senate-election-winner",{"token_id":387,"condition_id":388,"outcome":61,"size":389,"avg_price":390,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":174,"outcome_prices":393,"category":37},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",13758.2481,0.14,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","[\"0.0675\", \"0.9325\"]",{"token_id":395,"condition_id":396,"outcome":61,"size":397,"avg_price":398,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":399,"event_slug":116,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":232,"outcome_prices":400,"category":37},"30473344794239220995088264915766809943868068209555159167607047748901899155342","0x32851891e7ccfb249b1e120d77db70370fa92a13d821ce6c949de69402742aab",3956.43,0.4368,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","[\"0.335\", \"0.665\"]",{"token_id":402,"condition_id":403,"outcome":28,"size":404,"avg_price":405,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":406,"event_slug":407,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":408,"outcome_prices":409,"category":68},"3486983953322740681154139172710824630462068835789585767041735977203591506052","0x2349e6f85eaf78e840acb16ca11723bdbb51d070b8ea6439f1d05f95574ac45d",1999.9953,0.85,"Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?","israel-military-action-against-beirut-byptptpt-20260708221422557","2026-09-30T20:59:00Z","[\"0.0425\", \"0.9575\"]",{"token_id":411,"condition_id":412,"outcome":28,"size":413,"avg_price":414,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":415,"event_slug":416,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":417,"category":68},"62109109368651649361466638044437351607306873863434209336981792915453296395926","0x25e0446db31606d8af4f792083c5238d64545535321c048579a849971cfda640",2061.4,0.8098,"Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?","will-gustavo-petro-be-charged-in-the-us-by-april-30","[\"0.18\", \"0.82\"]",{"token_id":419,"condition_id":420,"outcome":61,"size":421,"avg_price":422,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":423,"event_slug":116,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":424,"outcome_prices":425,"category":37},"67102598924726349989742049657609063097299442010642912942032681022413402597017","0x3738ad9665480991affe3ba286cd035516e17d1f8b7703e05088ec19c70c21a4",3486.35,0.4683,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]",{"token_id":427,"condition_id":428,"outcome":61,"size":429,"avg_price":430,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":431,"event_slug":432,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":433,"category":37},"113287701564209339913693347405685749986285999146352375265161592243948562084773","0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3",3000,0.52,"Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","[\"0.625\", \"0.375\"]",{"token_id":435,"condition_id":436,"outcome":61,"size":437,"avg_price":438,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":439,"event_slug":440,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":441,"category":37},"70797640598204507566607682904927330776781230123700201973007682185470910680582","0x9171944ccff1e5bb85ef0cdc1579abc39e4317ee884b3da9b7aee0d83e3c834f",25876.15,0.0582,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]",{"token_id":443,"condition_id":444,"outcome":28,"size":445,"avg_price":390,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":448,"category":37},"106735117676771824247027811445178447955204027242855029915419117736623883137120","0x1c017cbb38a9d0ab233ebb265b25c78290317e6a2470657ca18a73a112397b55",9984.39,"Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","south-carolina-senate-election-winner","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":450,"condition_id":451,"outcome":61,"size":452,"avg_price":453,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":454,"event_slug":249,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"34121477552603842220562776406803032728334731986482841432311709319160089219357","0x83f33a20c2c305163e90657b8e37ce126b13d27f76a0e3b45fa2fbbd834dc0f7",9878.56,0.13,"Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?",{"token_id":456,"condition_id":457,"outcome":28,"size":458,"avg_price":459,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":43,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":217,"category":37},"63288727222857538715525574191584916211293137089612615781724211046379219138896","0x57630ca87de434c74db1c388ed88c1920a6d1dfcf4094ef14a415dcc5049babc",1621.5403,0.7242,"Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?","katy-perry-and-justin-trudeau-engaged-by-end-of-2026",{"token_id":463,"condition_id":464,"outcome":28,"size":465,"avg_price":466,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":469,"category":37},"3846533532930661180291298558314827648786405412231092530124351128414971688843","0x984ee41a6ca3a79a425befa1dc635ff8204cd29550190b8363ae6a1250c1677d",1214.79,0.83,"Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?","will-the-us-invade-a-latin-american-country-in-2026","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":471,"condition_id":472,"outcome":61,"size":473,"avg_price":474,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":475,"event_slug":447,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":241,"outcome_prices":476,"category":37},"30718966535311015751929217398361750334834655110246828806892843311659716192347","0x4de72138204727d2821bff847d8158819ab5b591db1b5b263676126cbb3a0430",7000,0.1399,"Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":478,"condition_id":479,"outcome":61,"size":480,"avg_price":390,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":481,"event_slug":357,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":482,"category":37},"10861802947610899379330568332287100318869035186187733531205554992019689450318","0x6c3f1009a0c91ba9f7aae44aeadf86863b0d433b60f7a090fd00c945019aa32f",4999.993,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":484,"condition_id":485,"outcome":28,"size":486,"avg_price":487,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":490,"category":37},"100292172522149577922637436103132246456042318074117879550513151144706945321275","0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436",773.0846,0.87,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]",{"token_id":492,"condition_id":493,"outcome":61,"size":494,"avg_price":495,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":496,"event_slug":377,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":497,"category":37},"100533112439619746354289028296398483950720842225128756964108690731124876463339","0x73dd54214430d1d67ddf59ad22fdf62e00e71e273b229dc0040da504e5281b6f",3326.9332,0.1893,"IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?","[\"0.024\", \"0.976\"]",{"token_id":499,"condition_id":500,"outcome":28,"size":501,"avg_price":277,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":502,"event_slug":173,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":174,"outcome_prices":503,"category":176},"478527591373338225284037593163730441333267754562735300431025557171581810352","0x63eaf41ce1f475323e2202d7dfa3b1def8b82cd166f7007c50bfbf47615c7b01",760,"Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",{"token_id":505,"condition_id":506,"outcome":61,"size":507,"avg_price":508,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":509,"event_slug":334,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":510,"category":68},"10469726765839873820362073467622520213014698522496709122786884143196824781207","0x4219333003bec448d39151bfe3ea3d6fa91f15bedf23c3f26e28d304be5c893a",1999.9872,0.27,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":512,"condition_id":513,"outcome":28,"size":514,"avg_price":515,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":516,"question":517,"event_slug":518,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":519,"category":37},"2604255573890777203232733890491993188465657717521065393738118576629485345716","0x82ec29323ad31bab12038200ab276db8ebc596a0a8ae8a5f8db2dfb6d2cb4942",584.8745,0.7287,"2026-07-04T09:50:33.574Z","Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":521,"condition_id":522,"outcome":28,"size":523,"avg_price":383,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":524,"event_slug":525,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":526,"category":37},"5172353013074451038147803467915944881435658052036748089942726800350433618985","0x692e25164dc49497ec89827459eefa60b11b7958bdece6ea506963a503eac5a9",500,"Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?","anthony-fauci-charged-by-december-31-20260729165802089","[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]",{"token_id":528,"condition_id":529,"outcome":61,"size":530,"avg_price":531,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":532,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":535,"category":37},"9752985741873181500412050470133848226355434216247706513840008380426990951786","0x0c7245047183848e41555dc9a5ccc14c970a0711a3591bebc8310119cbae64c0",317.4177,0.39,"2026-06-27T10:49:56.863Z","UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?","will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":537,"condition_id":538,"outcome":28,"size":539,"avg_price":540,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":541,"event_slug":542,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":543,"outcome_prices":544,"category":545},"96673061495606447446807766318798227448988726016015660563790215172948144842071","0x1ea2b1c0091848e75be823c039081f7db66ebb48af0e5d286da156fce773722f",123.1733,0.88,"Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?","1-searched-person-on-google-this-year-20260717214320563","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]","Tech",{"token_id":547,"condition_id":548,"outcome":28,"size":549,"avg_price":550,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":553,"category":37},"88496841039217425529633014138604073270845626461615951633938983852496815451920","0x720e3088802a33c3607cbff579d67a6e5c42f6e0196470a447f108f9d005557f",88.18,0.95,"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":555,"condition_id":556,"outcome":61,"size":557,"avg_price":558,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":559,"event_slug":65,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":560,"outcome_prices":561,"category":68},"36595575197199846398267481972385180643951985822505187477756829088194676076340","0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d",5.0485,0.7694,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.84\", \"0.16\"]",{"token_id":563,"condition_id":564,"outcome":28,"size":565,"avg_price":566,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":53,"question":567,"event_slug":568,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":569,"category":37},"7733735778483561247046897369741580916963308366432922096821529702443175329564","0x7a4fd44956a282a1249e2191865f555976e37dd82f48bc783ec04a58a8d0450a",7.1033,0.168,"Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?","saudi-oil-pipeline-east-west-restarts-byptptpt","[\"0.658\", \"0.342\"]",[],[572,579,585,591,597,603,608,613,619,621,623,625,631],{"recorded_date":573,"roi":574,"win_rate":575,"brier_score":576,"p_value":577,"resolved_trades":578,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-05-29",-0.29003877583876875,0.16666666666666666,0.03194774669260606,0.0038000000000000256,108,{"recorded_date":580,"roi":581,"win_rate":582,"brier_score":583,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":584,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-01",-0.7552856953823915,0.09302325581395349,0.06313243140933815,86,{"recorded_date":586,"roi":587,"win_rate":588,"brier_score":589,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":590,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-05",-0.7020877305566497,0.076158940397351,0.10849184892447448,302,{"recorded_date":592,"roi":593,"win_rate":594,"brier_score":595,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":596,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-08",-0.4508068399369763,0.1134020618556701,0.11598987182488861,194,{"recorded_date":598,"roi":599,"win_rate":600,"brier_score":601,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":602,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-15",1.5387554148782165,0.9962546816479401,0.40695818997740874,267,{"recorded_date":604,"roi":605,"win_rate":14,"brier_score":606,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":607,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-06-22",2.0701425017028843,0.3412928251512222,107,{"recorded_date":609,"roi":610,"win_rate":14,"brier_score":611,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":612,"is_sharp":14,"is_profitable":14},"2026-06-29",0.5986032499046491,0.1417205474394595,47,{"recorded_date":614,"roi":615,"win_rate":616,"brier_score":617,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":618,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-19",-0.8347266734518518,0.9130434782608695,0.1412158938183003,69,{"recorded_date":620,"roi":615,"win_rate":616,"brier_score":617,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":618,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-26",{"recorded_date":622,"roi":615,"win_rate":616,"brier_score":617,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":618,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-02",{"recorded_date":624,"roi":615,"win_rate":616,"brier_score":617,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":618,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-10",{"recorded_date":626,"roi":627,"win_rate":628,"brier_score":629,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":630,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-17",-0.4989697915913614,0.22764227642276422,0.13867795326867477,615,{"recorded_date":632,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-09-25",[634,642,649,656,664,671,678,686,692,699,706,712,719,726,732,735,744,749,755,758,763,768,774,780,785,788,794,801,807,813,820,826,831,838,844,850,857,864,871,876,882,888,893,900,907,912,917,923,929,935,940,946,952,958,964,970,976,979,987,992,995,1001,1007,1012,1019,1025,1030,1036,1042,1050,1057,1065,1071,1077,1082,1088,1093,1099,1104,1110,1115,1118,1124,1129,1132,1138,1143,1151,1157,1162,1169,1174,1180,1183,1189,1194,1204,1210,1213,1219],{"condition_id":635,"outcome":61,"usdc":636,"entry_price":637,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":639,"captured_at":13,"question":640,"event_slug":641,"category":68},"0x053d22e12bfe8dd73b12fc1cf89858ecc0de76aede10fea3eca5c7877d8db40c",5083.872795,0.08719692886387609,"backfill","2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":643,"outcome":28,"usdc":644,"entry_price":645,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":646,"captured_at":13,"question":647,"event_slug":648,"category":37},"0x0e2e5c0146c730a2e4ef8031c9128b4efef451a9f4832f42b46997926f9e1303",3899.991642,0.6500000001827694,"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","la-mayoral-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round",{"condition_id":650,"outcome":61,"usdc":651,"entry_price":652,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":653,"captured_at":13,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"category":37},"0x0efcc493f7e7578cd5808b29e08c2535dee61c2a1fe841696e76e7892b29cca8",8600,0.8599999999999999,"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by July 31, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":28,"usdc":658,"entry_price":659,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":660,"captured_at":13,"question":661,"event_slug":662,"category":663},"0x124f07d29e0fbef1f36535f4f1ee289759ec8bca4a708c4934a557ff556cd05c",3549.3139499999997,0.2232622600468257,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",null,{"condition_id":665,"outcome":61,"usdc":666,"entry_price":667,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":669,"event_slug":670,"category":37},"0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68",18132.071429,0.3245692519677217,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":672,"outcome":61,"usdc":673,"entry_price":674,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":675,"question":676,"event_slug":677,"category":37},"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9",18941.045400000003,0.6566953888659276,"2026-06-15T09:28:03.979Z","US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027",{"condition_id":679,"outcome":61,"usdc":680,"entry_price":681,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":682,"captured_at":683,"question":684,"event_slug":685,"category":663},"0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08",10169.696176000001,0.5902146238645076,"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","2026-09-17T20:51:53.055Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":61,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":691,"event_slug":377,"category":37},"0x1db767f9a120d6155447976e3199556592951e72e63981173cb743d24121329c",109.71265500000001,0.022361912820005818,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?",{"condition_id":693,"outcome":28,"usdc":694,"entry_price":695,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":696,"captured_at":13,"question":697,"event_slug":698,"category":663},"0x2170cff0aedcc55d57d9d69f6df9404009a4df9d2f2afc96cf4dfb29dc1c17a2",9164.1197,0.700076923076923,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-july-31-20260626210612709",{"condition_id":700,"outcome":61,"usdc":701,"entry_price":702,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":704,"event_slug":705,"category":37},"0x258031a51215d328eac2db15bdf45abdee1a23d38d66e12462a83c34cf31b5c8",28684.284379999997,0.8689537330044647,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":707,"outcome":61,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":710,"event_slug":711,"category":37},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",942.4757300000002,0.1456340598540855,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":713,"outcome":61,"usdc":714,"entry_price":715,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":716,"captured_at":13,"question":717,"event_slug":718,"category":37},"0x2de8d7b9d103366e37f3a448db8289c5c571dec5c0b9eeddbc673546d4bd9322",1594.7956000000001,0.3174863010494317,"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?","us-and-iran-sign-an-agreement-byptptpt-20260611221049850",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":61,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":37},"0x2df300d7831176cc00acf06ddaadf29a5d761476fa7f8e4f8978febd7da92d27",25.007846,0.1900000002,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",{"condition_id":727,"outcome":28,"usdc":728,"entry_price":729,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":730,"captured_at":13,"question":731,"event_slug":65,"category":68},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",729.4431810000003,0.3385656092224383,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?",{"condition_id":727,"outcome":61,"usdc":733,"entry_price":734,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":730,"captured_at":13,"question":731,"event_slug":65,"category":68},14150.6951,0.7523716273807073,{"condition_id":736,"outcome":737,"usdc":738,"entry_price":739,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":740,"captured_at":13,"question":741,"event_slug":742,"category":743},"0x2f700a80c9b27658e5c052f2972d23da63997f94ce32d7939817a829be5112f6","3DMAX",2099.998262,0.42000000006160954,"2026-09-22T23:00:00Z","Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs","cs2-ice-3dmax-2026-09-22","Sports",{"condition_id":745,"outcome":28,"usdc":746,"entry_price":531,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":747,"captured_at":13,"question":748,"event_slug":65,"category":68},"0x2f738e4c227b83c08c490dc6618164d31315a6740b9a5a98c392fc3160810957",780,"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?",{"condition_id":750,"outcome":28,"usdc":751,"entry_price":752,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":753,"captured_at":13,"question":754,"event_slug":705,"category":37},"0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82",11456.998362999999,0.7690270888808627,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":750,"outcome":61,"usdc":756,"entry_price":757,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":753,"captured_at":13,"question":754,"event_slug":705,"category":37},11489.214096999993,0.4275382359998572,{"condition_id":759,"outcome":28,"usdc":760,"entry_price":761,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":762,"event_slug":55,"category":37},"0x31327c6fbdc70a44d97f8e8973f536b6a748e01b4c0ca5549ed0910c703b1d7b",6479.993178000001,0.8100000000789476,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?",{"condition_id":764,"outcome":28,"usdc":765,"entry_price":766,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":683,"question":767,"event_slug":440,"category":37},"0x33becd2f4f3b2b2b810fa1b4d5f92566f13194ee3381655e1b2ebe056714c5dd",52.872,0.24,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?",{"condition_id":769,"outcome":61,"usdc":770,"entry_price":771,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":772,"captured_at":13,"question":773,"event_slug":65,"category":68},"0x33c491023cecc6a42a70608427c2be37dfbe789ae1b08d8791f2450a3f9696f2",4397.5894,0.7198282923,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?",{"condition_id":775,"outcome":61,"usdc":776,"entry_price":777,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":778,"event_slug":779,"category":68},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",19434.203579,0.16983130674425623,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":28,"usdc":782,"entry_price":783,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":784,"event_slug":705,"category":37},"0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6",7334.626052,0.8355065881645891,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":61,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":784,"event_slug":705,"category":37},818.9270799999999,0.08250373062903867,{"condition_id":789,"outcome":28,"usdc":790,"entry_price":791,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":792,"captured_at":13,"question":793,"event_slug":407,"category":68},"0x35fac6dda287ab6433bdc326bb39f31594744200fb68625621c6115b4f0d8622",1607.8123,0.6686624773,"2026-08-31T20:59:00Z","Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?",{"condition_id":795,"outcome":61,"usdc":796,"entry_price":797,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":798,"captured_at":13,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"category":37},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",4143.924905999999,0.044907170267750963,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":802,"outcome":61,"usdc":803,"entry_price":804,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":805,"captured_at":683,"question":806,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",1971.222555,0.09285535564041453,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":808,"outcome":61,"usdc":809,"entry_price":810,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":56,"captured_at":13,"question":811,"event_slug":812,"category":37},"0x42742fa156da771a75cf8c7713ba0cfa4b2610112bae81a0ea8772fdeb50510b",344.44131,0.07113601789599566,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663",{"condition_id":814,"outcome":61,"usdc":815,"entry_price":816,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":817,"captured_at":13,"question":818,"event_slug":819,"category":663},"0x42b633e7acfedf301c4eb85acefc7430f2e76825c1f3324a39a5582d7a26599b",227.052,0.35,"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",{"condition_id":821,"outcome":61,"usdc":822,"entry_price":823,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":639,"captured_at":13,"question":824,"event_slug":825,"category":68},"0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64",660,0.033,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",{"condition_id":827,"outcome":61,"usdc":828,"entry_price":829,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":683,"question":830,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",16844.153940000004,0.22605308183821538,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":832,"outcome":61,"usdc":833,"entry_price":834,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":13,"question":836,"event_slug":837,"category":663},"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805",3542.1204470000002,0.030054169656006848,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":839,"outcome":61,"usdc":840,"entry_price":841,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":842,"event_slug":843,"category":37},"0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6",4005.8378240000006,0.6399850905604857,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":61,"usdc":846,"entry_price":383,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":847,"captured_at":13,"question":848,"event_slug":849,"category":37},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",94.6112,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":851,"outcome":61,"usdc":852,"entry_price":853,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":683,"question":855,"event_slug":856,"category":663},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",9723.348194,0.17688771077047052,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":858,"outcome":61,"usdc":859,"entry_price":860,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":861,"captured_at":13,"question":862,"event_slug":863,"category":663},"0x57386fa65bb2d5264e28c20dc9ee89240d5f30f7615c6010ff6eb22a3c50e1e3",269.99556099999995,0.2700000003416384,"2026-08-13T00:00:00Z","Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?","clacton-by-election-count-binface-vote-20260708142507718",{"condition_id":865,"outcome":61,"usdc":866,"entry_price":867,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":868,"captured_at":13,"question":869,"event_slug":870,"category":663},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",9190.127951000002,0.22782149132050988,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":872,"outcome":61,"usdc":873,"entry_price":874,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":696,"captured_at":683,"question":875,"event_slug":870,"category":663},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",37467.24169200001,0.4960338699019109,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":877,"outcome":61,"usdc":878,"entry_price":879,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":880,"captured_at":683,"question":881,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",28062.981814999996,0.3263120082955152,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":883,"outcome":61,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":886,"event_slug":887,"category":68},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",2842.71367,0.06706302247132431,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":61,"usdc":890,"entry_price":891,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":683,"question":892,"event_slug":837,"category":663},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",9555.234598000001,0.045079371033240466,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?",{"condition_id":894,"outcome":61,"usdc":895,"entry_price":896,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":897,"captured_at":898,"question":899,"event_slug":800,"category":37},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",18865.979267,0.16957054378994152,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","2026-06-22T10:36:51.080Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":901,"outcome":61,"usdc":902,"entry_price":903,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":904,"captured_at":13,"question":905,"event_slug":906,"category":37},"0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead",529.0011109999999,0.1,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",{"condition_id":908,"outcome":61,"usdc":909,"entry_price":910,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":703,"captured_at":13,"question":911,"event_slug":705,"category":37},"0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164",3512.651951,0.7400599636942699,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":913,"outcome":61,"usdc":914,"entry_price":915,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":916,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0x71dd44fa5059fbed28a279172185d3623aa34ce86be1936281df26b5d1b87200",302.660999,0.30000000051625786,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":918,"outcome":61,"usdc":919,"entry_price":920,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":921,"event_slug":922,"category":37},"0x724a93f3e0ed0a6c83d2b4f2bc60839b39a92cc2c7cbac0169447f48d72537ab",4036.3999999999996,0.6997919556171983,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by July 31?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":924,"outcome":61,"usdc":925,"entry_price":926,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":927,"event_slug":928,"category":37},"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39",6089.966535000001,0.8700000005571462,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","makerfield-by-election-winner",{"condition_id":930,"outcome":61,"usdc":931,"entry_price":932,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":232,"captured_at":13,"question":933,"event_slug":934,"category":37},"0x7a833b2745bc6911db3ef244e37287c9ab1be1e63ee71266d2c79326cafbe285",5.997681,0.45,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":936,"outcome":61,"usdc":937,"entry_price":938,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":939,"category":68},"0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",2301.68303,0.29058743718333657,"china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027",{"condition_id":941,"outcome":28,"usdc":942,"entry_price":943,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":944,"event_slug":945,"category":37},"0x7e5228c4aa228752fb75ec1ffcb315a5f2fef812d746ceb6601cee285366d1a8",828.6439,0.49,"Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?","who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",{"condition_id":947,"outcome":61,"usdc":948,"entry_price":949,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":950,"captured_at":683,"question":951,"event_slug":870,"category":663},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",3259.5653580000007,0.6168953581044403,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":953,"outcome":61,"usdc":954,"entry_price":955,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":956,"captured_at":13,"question":957,"event_slug":922,"category":37},"0x876047c0df88886ddbe468fe811bc75a667da45a552d798e626ecfc5c60d52d9",12751.82171,0.11246346416581399,"2026-05-29T00:00:00Z","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 12?",{"condition_id":959,"outcome":61,"usdc":960,"entry_price":961,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":962,"captured_at":13,"question":963,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91",2689.9891549999993,0.13449981670323607,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":965,"outcome":61,"usdc":966,"entry_price":967,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":962,"captured_at":13,"question":968,"event_slug":969,"category":37},"0x9238690bc7157a8a6788205fb13690ad8bcd9ec598ff7f79cbc04f7ad6d9c828",1262.2857410000001,0.3964957985236887,"Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373",{"condition_id":971,"outcome":28,"usdc":972,"entry_price":973,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":974,"captured_at":13,"question":975,"event_slug":65,"category":68},"0x93796dea2fe5dfc8da1a942448e6ab767d9bb3464a96ea3a527dfed0ef7bd958",2118.6375240000016,0.2610908458292985,"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",{"condition_id":971,"outcome":61,"usdc":977,"entry_price":978,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":974,"captured_at":13,"question":975,"event_slug":65,"category":68},12446.774443000002,0.7337285890826245,{"condition_id":980,"outcome":981,"usdc":982,"entry_price":983,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":984,"captured_at":683,"question":985,"event_slug":986,"category":663},"0x9395d17548525858db6a29acefc0f2d9e1c4d4c0aa1e1f1653df624e09ebe871","Team Liquid",3699.9784409999997,0.3700000001646509,"2026-08-22T08:15:00Z","Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs","dota2-ts8-liquid-2026-08-21",{"condition_id":988,"outcome":28,"usdc":989,"entry_price":990,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":683,"question":991,"event_slug":440,"category":37},"0x95f75978d8e3b735dda39675d113c68c4619a09f392cda4f28612ef5385f4af9",402.4832,0.3993839803127729,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?",{"condition_id":988,"outcome":61,"usdc":993,"entry_price":994,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":13,"question":991,"event_slug":440,"category":37},5.621932,0.41000003795044926,{"condition_id":996,"outcome":28,"usdc":997,"entry_price":998,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":999,"captured_at":13,"question":1000,"event_slug":65,"category":68},"0x98f962ca4a21a47b73c8a914d08f224be31bc6dbdc609b3f0edd9654bbc802a1",686.9981520000001,0.0858749959098142,"2026-08-01T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?",{"condition_id":1002,"outcome":61,"usdc":1003,"entry_price":1004,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":1005,"event_slug":1006,"category":37},"0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7",41738.62603999999,0.28187661543639797," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":61,"usdc":1009,"entry_price":1010,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":683,"question":1011,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",19220.704686000005,0.3436913326304361,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":1013,"outcome":61,"usdc":1014,"entry_price":1015,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1016,"captured_at":683,"question":1017,"event_slug":1018,"category":37},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",25377.386337,0.46925929594805194,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":1020,"outcome":28,"usdc":1021,"entry_price":540,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1022,"captured_at":13,"question":1023,"event_slug":1024,"category":663},"0xa488ab1e9bc72914b695c398c0027bd4edc1679d6ff949c1861fa33b2c9ae4d4",9802.1088,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":1026,"outcome":61,"usdc":1027,"entry_price":1028,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":1029,"event_slug":922,"category":37},"0xa48ee32a0cbe5bc1a48844bd14e1691701d3bf8f45f4dd8cb8d1d304561393b6",44480.309177,0.5291184982564059,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 30?",{"condition_id":1031,"outcome":61,"usdc":1032,"entry_price":1033,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1034,"captured_at":13,"question":1035,"event_slug":705,"category":37},"0xa6e388d87a81a17dd8f2046479e11c50bf32bcf475ce75a3506c5cf19a09613c",6059.622463000007,0.8167391525857314,"2026-06-19T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?",{"condition_id":1037,"outcome":61,"usdc":1038,"entry_price":1039,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":675,"question":1040,"event_slug":1041,"category":37},"0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",75607.37494300006,0.35771061598842635,"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1043,"outcome":1044,"usdc":1045,"entry_price":1046,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1047,"captured_at":683,"question":1048,"event_slug":1049,"category":663},"0xadc9bd4c8ef5661b53b27155e401de41c63e169bcb697d6cf3e803a2bf14a211","paiN Gaming",3439.225199999999,0.32969340149318904,"2026-09-13T22:00:00Z","LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner","lol-lll-png1-2026-09-13",{"condition_id":1051,"outcome":61,"usdc":1052,"entry_price":1053,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1054,"captured_at":13,"question":1055,"event_slug":1056,"category":37},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",10298.484215999999,0.110608453617061,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1058,"outcome":1059,"usdc":1060,"entry_price":1061,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1062,"captured_at":683,"question":1063,"event_slug":1064,"category":663},"0xb9bd43060fd883c4965a61df6ae632bd2800da66664277c32e29d28ba01f9e36","Movistar KOI",5899.9916539999995,0.5900000000117073,"2026-09-12T19:00:00Z","LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner","lol-vit-mkoi-2026-09-12",{"condition_id":1066,"outcome":61,"usdc":1067,"entry_price":943,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1068,"captured_at":13,"question":1069,"event_slug":1070,"category":663},"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a",2450,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?","us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096",{"condition_id":1072,"outcome":61,"usdc":1073,"entry_price":1074,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1075,"captured_at":13,"question":1076,"event_slug":705,"category":37},"0xba9e2c497a753af5534c0811d578d044695fec32a563ace340152850561c6409",806.518968,0.36000000009764094,"2026-06-18T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?",{"condition_id":1078,"outcome":61,"usdc":1079,"entry_price":1080,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":683,"question":1081,"event_slug":934,"category":37},"0xbdc0827c873d1c3c538e549ab94c77829f7e40fd3376b25164c0279f744a87bc",1662.60457,0.02967175502268593,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1083,"outcome":28,"usdc":1084,"entry_price":1085,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":696,"captured_at":13,"question":1086,"event_slug":1087,"category":663},"0xbdee951d870b2e24184240d9ab6eb4471277ffb763219cd949da56ba60f0714b",4157.795725,0.5895619764584332,"Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?","who-will-trump-speak-to-in-july-20260626154217421",{"condition_id":1089,"outcome":28,"usdc":1090,"entry_price":1091,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":835,"captured_at":13,"question":1092,"event_slug":99,"category":68},"0xbf08ec6654ade883d96f3e25a5330ccf4aae0d8e9efa690c694305e95738e8a1",20424.282973999998,0.8645234245765638,"Iran full airspace closure by August 15?",{"condition_id":1094,"outcome":61,"usdc":1095,"entry_price":1096,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1097,"captured_at":683,"question":1098,"event_slug":65,"category":68},"0xc1556ecbe613e403dfb9e38bf1b25a8aee2aa1687f2b343bc896dd2c9763ed74",47743.301129,0.6452565346307845,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?",{"condition_id":1100,"outcome":61,"usdc":1101,"entry_price":1102,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":1103,"event_slug":711,"category":37},"0xc7373d242a34de5c184ffdc9707e7b179ea6aa8f8600686ca2ddecbdbec9457b",12.1926,0.042,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?",{"condition_id":1105,"outcome":61,"usdc":1106,"entry_price":1107,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1108,"captured_at":683,"question":1109,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0xccf2b4f4ee94200fb3e05bfd45c1fb8a43bb0bf5cf69d78508c969d72b3a7f2b",5410.827712000005,0.09481599492712593,"2026-08-23T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":1111,"outcome":28,"usdc":1112,"entry_price":1113,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":683,"question":1114,"event_slug":200,"category":37},"0xcd6c66b11ed8fdbdc1183fb761cf22959c6b481e843a715a7a9f53e22b90d420",3580.50786,0.6939587366,"NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1111,"outcome":61,"usdc":1116,"entry_price":1117,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":683,"question":1114,"event_slug":200,"category":37},5358.006959,0.5250888530518613,{"condition_id":1119,"outcome":61,"usdc":1120,"entry_price":1121,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1122,"captured_at":683,"question":1123,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0xcd9079a837d72a0eafde1dc692c819940bd030a295ddc67f27590e98df33878c",101.466219,0.018283643297569784,"2026-09-15T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?",{"condition_id":1125,"outcome":28,"usdc":1126,"entry_price":284,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":13,"question":1127,"event_slug":1128,"category":68},"0xceb73b756d1dffbb60452a86efbca93efea9453a6f5078b2c8fd49dda3f5ccee",3850,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?","iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466",{"condition_id":1125,"outcome":61,"usdc":1130,"entry_price":1131,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":690,"captured_at":683,"question":1127,"event_slug":1128,"category":68},5391.524687999998,0.2734794662664554,{"condition_id":1133,"outcome":28,"usdc":1134,"entry_price":1135,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1068,"captured_at":13,"question":1136,"event_slug":1137,"category":663},"0xd7d6bcbc6c1201251e42ba47062f2cf33dd45922afca02dda1c2da8081013ad0",2439.98952,0.610000000255024,"Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?","us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039",{"condition_id":1139,"outcome":61,"usdc":1140,"entry_price":1141,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":639,"captured_at":13,"question":1142,"event_slug":800,"category":37},"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423",154937.67478000006,0.1327280506837643,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":1144,"outcome":1145,"usdc":1146,"entry_price":1147,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1148,"captured_at":13,"question":1149,"event_slug":1150,"category":743},"0xd9088d41fca7982f05b516f06b45fd53840db620c564e26e80d5d0ebe5023a90","B8",3100,0.62,"2026-09-22T20:00:00Z","Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs","cs2-b8-lg6-2026-09-22",{"condition_id":1152,"outcome":28,"usdc":1153,"entry_price":1154,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":646,"captured_at":13,"question":1155,"event_slug":1156,"category":37},"0xeab018c7bf997a0b0a9f2c678ff7ea48e68d49bad09a5dbb89a5321c87a4da2b",88.29,0.81,"Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner",{"condition_id":1158,"outcome":61,"usdc":1159,"entry_price":1160,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":117,"captured_at":13,"question":1161,"event_slug":934,"category":37},"0xed5a9e7831ee363d92cb102f2c21e2465b09196ef5beb7c8e23671851a1c3ca4",18468.6774,0.4015912161529946,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1163,"outcome":61,"usdc":1164,"entry_price":1165,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1166,"captured_at":13,"question":1167,"event_slug":1168,"category":37},"0xee78796c2501ccee253b7b3fc9ebda254acb4c82c424db2dd24fc6b16885417d",3733.25229,0.5014859921,"2026-07-31T11:59:00Z","U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?","us-anti-cartel-operation-outside-of-the-us-by-20260616214856017",{"condition_id":1170,"outcome":28,"usdc":1171,"entry_price":1172,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":696,"captured_at":13,"question":1173,"event_slug":698,"category":663},"0xeeec9ee057e3a0bcf1bc9a0991eb0ec4070432a866a618194ac23a44006b24a2",1863.8890590000021,0.2947156352121586,"Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1175,"outcome":28,"usdc":1176,"entry_price":1177,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1022,"captured_at":1178,"question":1179,"event_slug":725,"category":37},"0xf1568f444e1e341e3aceb0e975cb1f88da832301ae54a4fa8e85138072265b7e",605.2665119999999,0.5932977602460021,"2026-08-19T07:54:24.769Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?",{"condition_id":1175,"outcome":61,"usdc":1181,"entry_price":1182,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":1022,"captured_at":1178,"question":1179,"event_slug":725,"category":37},5567.376614,0.7903158495357671,{"condition_id":1184,"outcome":61,"usdc":1185,"entry_price":1186,"won":14,"source":638,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":1187,"event_slug":1188,"category":37},"0xfa08848205da5717b79e5bc21e7dbd31264fb01acc98bd1436b95870e8fec409",5039.9588520000025,0.7200000006096483,"Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1190,"outcome":61,"usdc":1191,"entry_price":1192,"won":12,"source":638,"end_date_iso":861,"captured_at":13,"question":1193,"event_slug":663,"category":663},"0xfb1ca2245a16fed523d8f368a8704bf0e257e5c9bdff9e4c8d0459985d8888bb",90.335924,0.05312367088985547,"Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?",{"condition_id":1195,"outcome":61,"usdc":1196,"entry_price":1197,"won":14,"source":1198,"end_date_iso":1199,"captured_at":1200,"question":1201,"event_slug":1202,"category":1203},"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b",9749.94514,0.65,"live","2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","2026-06-22T10:59:05.844Z","Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026","Economy",{"condition_id":1205,"outcome":28,"usdc":1206,"entry_price":214,"won":14,"source":1198,"end_date_iso":1207,"captured_at":1200,"question":1208,"event_slug":1209,"category":743},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",13245,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":936,"outcome":28,"usdc":1211,"entry_price":487,"won":12,"source":1198,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":1212,"question":164,"event_slug":939,"category":68},10440,"2026-07-04T03:48:49.737Z",{"condition_id":1214,"outcome":61,"usdc":1215,"entry_price":1216,"won":14,"source":1198,"end_date_iso":798,"captured_at":1200,"question":1217,"event_slug":1218,"category":37},"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a",41076.86947818,0.9829,"Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":1220,"outcome":28,"usdc":1221,"entry_price":1222,"won":14,"source":1198,"end_date_iso":1207,"captured_at":1200,"question":1223,"event_slug":1209,"category":743},"0xcdb1f0400949238a63d3e88243d2ada08cd9c2a71985ced9f0cfd5e66354cf90",43857,0.9746,"Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"total":1225,"wins":1226},166,102,[1228,1233,1238,1243,1248,1250,1252],{"category":37,"n":1229,"wins":1230,"hitRate":1231,"roi":1232},87,52,0.5977011494252874,1.224292511727901,{"category":68,"n":1234,"wins":1235,"hitRate":1236,"roi":1237},41,26,0.6341463414634146,-0.017103467358525234,{"category":1239,"n":1240,"wins":1241,"hitRate":430,"roi":1242},"Other",25,13,0.16435358790229976,{"category":743,"n":1244,"wins":1245,"hitRate":1246,"roi":1247},10,8,0.8,0.02506622432174095,{"category":545,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":1249},0.039501039501039566,{"category":1203,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":1251},0.5384615384615383,{"category":176,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":1253},1.8758486470172957,{"generatedAt":1255},"2026-09-27T15:09:34.544Z"]