[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x0b652d3e55be0e1d50c2f7be39358585c415293e":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":254,"history":255,"resolved":258,"resolvedSummary":857,"specialization":859,"meta":887},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x0b652d3e55be0e1d50c2f7be39358585c415293e",8707,1185,0.6818565400843882,0.192382028750006,0.14391722992948344,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-25T07:41:38.501Z",83.2922986185653,1.4922022279348757,"2026-09-25T03:08:11.000Z",0,"trades",0.5891421599165392,0.09271438016784779,18988.370544176734,98701.37386299987,7.717433126558406,0.027610008628127698,[26,39,47,56,65,74,82,90,98,108,116,125,132,139,148,156,164,173,182,190,198,206,215,223,231,239,246],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"96214953624495509683027302209340859673097705517450500531670409012928242777230","0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c083","No",7418.9039,0.958,"2026-09-26T00:18:24.102Z","2026-09-25T08:14:01.566Z","Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781","0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0",7003.6079,0.8557,"Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?","will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":38},"71418186787677948176727422149720262158054147177659978491938945624454952053435","0x25e4d8c492f2b24d8f720c9bd7480e541613405d6d13598c51f36f214ec5112a",5814.7705,0.9774,"Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?","will-russia-capture-lyman-in-2025","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":29,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":63,"category":64},"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043","0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d",5000.0317,0.944,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30","[\"0.0385\", \"0.9615\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":29,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":72,"outcome_prices":73,"category":38},"17575251723632910699589265433682994835860884178986826320137675884859225059838","0x4b7b21a5cfdcc7cbb33d499c44b7f11ac754f13d3db39cd93b976141dcdb516e",4000,0.92,"Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025","2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","[\"0.06\", \"0.94\"]",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":77,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":81,"category":38},"33494367347551331946342435103439941845098826775268607415622273267276026227499","0xf691956d44187f9296718a26b10c03d3b85e3369e2098ab2188f765ef4dc97b7","Yes",6728.9388,0.4783,"Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":83,"condition_id":84,"outcome":29,"size":85,"avg_price":86,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":87,"event_slug":88,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"35575944116956982188959537860451847709356412707937191275113536563489728185182","0xef1904f76f205933ad8038a36348561388df264ce167465e91057a14627a418e",2498.6514,0.8051,"Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?","nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":95,"event_slug":96,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":97,"category":38},"113450008327520733608688774741559555254780901127889067621861699374704317480852","0xf91ca58d99ac47e4c6a8c324419f082b3d09744179b1a8b6540a3c20c6c23c7d",1868.0811,0.9078,"Russia coup attempt in 2026?","russia-coup-attempt-in-2026","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":99,"condition_id":100,"outcome":77,"size":101,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":105,"outcome_prices":106,"category":107},"29241460373331969008916106965855886900909848557177317313989395804811495679243","0xc3891a25eba266502a5ba109ce1566f6fde08d0699d38f8ad6cfd719bca2049e",1500.43,0.9532,"Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?","next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852","2026-08-12T23:59:00Z","[\"0.9635\", \"0.0365\"]",null,{"token_id":109,"condition_id":110,"outcome":29,"size":111,"avg_price":112,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":115,"category":38},"50581562386301423614620561545485561734060713130040768529204518300505097491900","0x8011cff605bac25673a202332b678e823cd7d82abad9e9770db01ea625808229",1400,0.9,"Will Russia invade another country in 2026?","will-russia-invade-another-country-in-2026","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":117,"condition_id":118,"outcome":29,"size":119,"avg_price":120,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":121,"event_slug":122,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":123,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"16507531654323613440839711226389584097745237130431039493320761537250304112351","0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a",1213.4047,0.9502,"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","[\"0.0415\", \"0.9585\"]",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":29,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":81,"category":38},"27161499323032909865926734194413407881612919594284694348907436111727260357253","0x26ed26fd53ec238c80afee64b55e098e4c8f7e0b64f332ff6713fd3b504ab350",1192.9348,0.8495,"U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? ","us-agrees-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantee-by-december-31",{"token_id":133,"condition_id":134,"outcome":29,"size":135,"avg_price":136,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":137,"event_slug":138,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":97,"category":64},"102589304636243932340516002530240552836830600801368026326450731038800605470795","0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912",531.8952,0.8768,"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?","hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king",{"token_id":140,"condition_id":141,"outcome":29,"size":142,"avg_price":143,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":144,"event_slug":145,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":146,"outcome_prices":147,"category":64},"114015214885937705633397689289214916446455441688941879129289490476352777205751","0x548ebb503479b3b39f5da4f77a718342b43d7d91d0da3b2868ff156662630e1d",412.5,0.8826,"Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?","will-iran-target-an-arab-country-by-20260909","2026-09-30T20:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":149,"condition_id":150,"outcome":29,"size":151,"avg_price":152,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":153,"event_slug":145,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":154,"outcome_prices":155,"category":64},"35504759245405997539235187730475157534921849430155388682107517994138740938721","0xd37c6e010359b4b98d9ab24968e5f8c150d118563e722709804702ce60bd37f8",315,0.9563,"Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?","2026-09-15T20:59:00Z","[\"0.0805\", \"0.9195\"]",{"token_id":157,"condition_id":158,"outcome":29,"size":159,"avg_price":160,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":163,"category":38},"115468453072887082184859104588685406421973087033977537841132273666823463944505","0xbed2a6374a4ba91a772f009cc811bb4d680f28990038da090a651af2e57e0d61",261.838,0.8528,"European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?","european-country-agrees-to-give-ukraine-security-guarantee-by-june-30","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":165,"condition_id":166,"outcome":29,"size":167,"avg_price":168,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":169,"event_slug":170,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":171,"outcome_prices":172,"category":38},"24802056467396522805305545521670928471141648916790905185317357490733857825079","0x0e21beee2195f219b4c8946ba9a2e9b291adfafec012b592b510a6ec62972482",125.8666,0.985,"Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?","socialist-party-of-france-presidential-nominee-20260710182042067","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",{"token_id":174,"condition_id":175,"outcome":29,"size":176,"avg_price":177,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":178,"event_slug":179,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":180,"outcome_prices":181,"category":64},"61796120672113780659579755552348650537665620703629615385075252535770765424211","0x318ef0a15fa0b812e4e24f4d418377d03ffea893d9474c0a84ae95851e398de2",104.72,0.9677,"Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 24, 2026?","will-ukraine-target-moscow-on-september-2026","2026-09-24T20:59:00Z","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":183,"condition_id":184,"outcome":29,"size":185,"avg_price":186,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":187,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":188,"outcome_prices":189,"category":38},"104994847978789326453631448125033377991723984938685649333281699827247149937314","0x54c848f9c72095a29ab0a7ec0080e583dbafb74a7fcce73dae51fc5f216b370f",83.3333,0.88,"Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":191,"condition_id":192,"outcome":29,"size":193,"avg_price":194,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":195,"event_slug":196,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":197,"outcome_prices":115,"category":38},"21035288356943451732275819126068764838449703167261737879761739468588056511297","0xf151142976b14630c151d144f9768f1a794bfd3b205e377be2e0be7a608319a4",65.4957,0.9299,"Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?","lauren-boebert-admits-to-sex-with-staffer-before-midterms","2026-11-02T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":199,"condition_id":200,"outcome":29,"size":201,"avg_price":202,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":205,"category":64},"71359497870872110833383515064956828111529316422254693553146691236842809707778","0x5faa92b9df4273e710f72e75e09b4d30ce00579ad4b5041427d00c98d3ada2f3",43.42,0.95,"Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?","will-ukraine-re-enter-rodynske-byptptpt-20260724164113823","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]",{"token_id":207,"condition_id":208,"outcome":77,"size":209,"avg_price":210,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":211,"event_slug":212,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":213,"outcome_prices":214,"category":64},"41425795815124379535135904361164473225276488208364726125240306773890327339888","0x6f64c13d8f4fb332bcfbfb4f2a86b30b2de9f7f71575be63f473213b4df03a9b",66.12,0.5853,"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026?","will-russia-target-kyiv-on-september-2026","2026-09-29T23:59:00Z","[\"0.91\", \"0.09\"]",{"token_id":216,"condition_id":217,"outcome":77,"size":218,"avg_price":219,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":220,"event_slug":212,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":221,"outcome_prices":222,"category":64},"30420122233086366834617160169493746960416458710705389769522432496934538449404","0xd1a1b971832dfbf878eb2d04e4caf7429fc43ad810463bc671a08af891286c9d",20,0.62,"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 27, 2026?","2026-09-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.77\", \"0.23\"]",{"token_id":224,"condition_id":225,"outcome":29,"size":218,"avg_price":226,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":229,"outcome_prices":230,"category":64},"26587771904666825735176436600497389901010951257553424557103614624983192060372","0x35ca391274fa203fe505b7ea604271d5ec57c7131ac328120ebd40810882fd16",0.495,"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?","saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-20260916","2026-09-18T20:59:00Z","[\"0.61\", \"0.39\"]",{"token_id":232,"condition_id":233,"outcome":77,"size":234,"avg_price":235,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":236,"event_slug":212,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":237,"outcome_prices":238,"category":64},"91287845335510768010157833811470739093196020377498573614956212569938163431778","0x5ef3e73bd78e32c538a3b6aeae5deef5db6db9eb464a441c99e766867013e0a0",10,0.64,"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026?","2026-09-28T23:59:00Z","[\"0.905\", \"0.095\"]",{"token_id":240,"condition_id":241,"outcome":77,"size":234,"avg_price":242,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":243,"event_slug":212,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":244,"outcome_prices":245,"category":64},"82845975829539451657186552723937149769012525148784700312567783996215739567688","0xe54394c27de120675179eab1ece3c5f85d53afebde04ab261d697430f99f9722",0.56,"Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026?","2026-09-26T23:59:00Z","[\"0.971\", \"0.029\"]",{"token_id":247,"condition_id":248,"outcome":29,"size":249,"avg_price":250,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":251,"event_slug":179,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":252,"outcome_prices":253,"category":64},"83978307375183307553237588301744708079105091287312398334875067386478228623772","0x3a63c7e5dd4d3c83db21909ee64b18e7dbb404e0503009baa92a074845489661",5.65,0.989,"Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 23, 2026?","2026-09-23T20:59:00Z","[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]",[],[256],{"recorded_date":257,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",[259,267,274,281,288,294,301,308,315,322,329,336,342,349,355,359,364,370,376,383,389,396,401,408,415,422,428,434,439,446,453,457,463,469,475,481,488,494,501,507,513,520,524,528,535,538,545,551,556,563,569,575,581,587,593,599,606,612,620,627,633,635,642,648,654,660,667,673,679,686,692,698,703,706,712,717,722,727,733,739,744,750,756,761,767,773,780,789,795,802,807,809,814,816,822,828,834,839,846,852],{"condition_id":260,"outcome":77,"usdc":261,"entry_price":262,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":265,"event_slug":266,"category":38},"0x0171fdc9ab8522b86fd0439283fb61e8d619c65635f0b6d00e285d39b2a3fbf7",404.9820940000002,0.8100000029517098,"backfill","2026-07-07T23:59:00Z","Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?","who-will-attend-us-iran-signing-ceremony-20260615232202457",{"condition_id":268,"outcome":77,"usdc":269,"entry_price":270,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":272,"event_slug":273,"category":107},"0x02f8dd15d4c674a75fccbd0e00f0cf1256101c45ef41f6d0c5dfde9c36d4141e",339.998351,0.34,"","Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":275,"outcome":29,"usdc":276,"entry_price":277,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":13,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"category":107},"0x0300b4e2114939c2f961dbed8244a2cd78416dad8f449095a7a191268f35ec1d",5,0.05,"2026-08-30T20:59:00Z","Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?","will-russia-target-kyiv-onptptpt-20260810162903045",{"condition_id":282,"outcome":77,"usdc":283,"entry_price":284,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":285,"captured_at":13,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"category":107},"0x03522ed2c837f74f93785c9e3c8a12cca8a6b5a19dec15f8a91052fc2301cbfd",88.298415,0.8830000086800784,"2025-12-31T22:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?","will-russia-capture-rodynske-by-september-15",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":77,"usdc":290,"entry_price":291,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"category":107},"0x03bc660a4df5faeaee8e66d0e7bc4f2200b543340b7f7a5c83bfa1fecafa9ead",447.5,0.895,"Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?","iran-strikes-israel-on",{"condition_id":295,"outcome":77,"usdc":296,"entry_price":297,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"category":107},"0x05beef793157deb1cc34e2d3159539f461b73c7eeaa3b5348617c10eed5509d0",45.99776000000001,0.04600000024510089,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?","us-anti-cartel-ground-operation-in-mexico-by-january-31",{"condition_id":302,"outcome":29,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":13,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":38},"0x06c901b3983cd58bec34252a72a74d4a2f2a64e6ad359967a864dc424997967a",248.172413,0.4100854706679155,"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":107},"0x073c3ad4cf19cf82c9216db815f6e4286902bcf9f33c5ea0ab0dbf164d5a0840",17.2,0.86,"2026-03-04T00:00:00Z","Will \"Apple Intelligence\" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?","what-will-be-said-during-the-nyc-apple-event",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":77,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":320,"event_slug":321,"category":107},"0x0873468013b24ec29dbea6baf4db35b679d99d6358b774a472fdfb7d2a6f1836",11.233333,0.8425000592499879,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Les Wexner Testify to Congress about Epstein?","who-will-testify-to-congress-about-epstein",{"condition_id":323,"outcome":29,"usdc":324,"entry_price":325,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":326,"captured_at":13,"question":327,"event_slug":328,"category":107},"0x09f2c1563795ab7f72fbee56aa57afc23f319ee687b494d4c2b26c01d19729ce",104.4,0.7457142857142858,"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?","how-many-times-will-the-us-strike-somalia-in-march",{"condition_id":330,"outcome":77,"usdc":331,"entry_price":332,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"category":38},"0x0b5676c33e495c58b8495e90f72b73a5dd7a196035cd31be17a37ff94a1a50b0",582.9358080000001,0.8273380715209359,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?","who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31",{"condition_id":337,"outcome":29,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":340,"event_slug":341,"category":64},"0x0c38dd9305e3205557885183f0730270779e7e426b0ec3e7743f23963b6d6e4a",423,0.846,"Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-june-30-259",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":77,"usdc":344,"entry_price":345,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":107},"0x0c52744afc2bbbdd30d1450e0c7480c087bbfd9f1acffa6fee50bd006608fa9d",3.5,0.35,"2026-09-11T20:59:00Z","Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?","will-ukraine-target-moscow-by-20260907",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":29,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":64},"0x0ceab60f9942ddccac459fb4a5ac5505e4757874e974e9fbf513ec782c587c5d",350,0.7,"Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?","gaza-flotilla-enters-israeli-waters-by-31",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":29,"usdc":111,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":357,"event_slug":358,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":360,"outcome":77,"usdc":361,"entry_price":362,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":363,"event_slug":321,"category":107},"0x0ea73895f1293d6ffa27682626c7e5b97488825d6d38146f57850a1dcf048d3d",10.42551,0.633,"Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?",{"condition_id":365,"outcome":29,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":107},"0x101d521eea2a04b8bf2c865facd18dcdfd8c7751a759ca622e512bbdb3896610",131.990293,0.6600000047056425,"Will UK strike Iran by March 31?","which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":371,"outcome":29,"usdc":372,"entry_price":373,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":374,"event_slug":375,"category":107},"0x117197cd61a74b49a334084789ae701a0ec3e7637c25840a32ea9675473af447",122.90818,0.8753520404304822,"Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?","how-many-times-will-the-us-strike-somalia-in-february",{"condition_id":377,"outcome":29,"usdc":378,"entry_price":379,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":381,"event_slug":382,"category":107},"0x1204e81bd79e5caf0065549828d8c759b94c1914aef018a8535c986064cbe0b7",203.211251,0.46934056108120653,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?","will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by",{"condition_id":384,"outcome":77,"usdc":385,"entry_price":386,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":387,"event_slug":388,"category":107},"0x12d1b41c90a2ff07173ab2469aad97fb9e80f781b36c32f99fbf4ae28a28b42a",4562.860140999999,0.5798810913713732,"Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-january",{"condition_id":390,"outcome":29,"usdc":391,"entry_price":392,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":394,"event_slug":395,"category":107},"0x13f779bedf03ec8dfd785bdeeb7688f40bcdbc3b32cb21a8b57992004c223385",445,0.89,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?","will-trump-and-xi-hug-at-their-summit",{"condition_id":397,"outcome":29,"usdc":398,"entry_price":399,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":400,"event_slug":369,"category":107},"0x149e2cdbf5b3df3142452412c4c9f4e8f39379020ba1bc25c1811a3f43c8ad27",177.48436299999995,0.4437492319108803,"Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":402,"outcome":77,"usdc":403,"entry_price":404,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":407,"category":107},"0x15519d29f4256ada6f7280910a456c52b7108e1b6fa2cc820b90ae0dbc2cd6c1",536.195,0.8899502075,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the US strike Somalia next?","next-country-us-strikes-457",{"condition_id":409,"outcome":29,"usdc":410,"entry_price":411,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":413,"event_slug":414,"category":38},"0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b",6092.251136999998,0.8173885012776346,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Iran coup attempt by June 30?","iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",{"condition_id":416,"outcome":77,"usdc":417,"entry_price":418,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":420,"event_slug":421,"category":107},"0x18dccc229331c63d8360d1400ece2355627637547d8dcd54aa5f7f1b5580686e",77.63206,0.682,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?","military-action-against-iran-ends-on-april-9-2026",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":77,"usdc":424,"entry_price":425,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"category":107},"0x1b4467a565be20b12058d8fa2e6a114441830be2407fb8d9799a25536537f432",5.748257999999999,0.0009999999999999998,"Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?","us-next-strikes-iran-on",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":29,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":38},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",446.5,0.893,"Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":29,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":438,"event_slug":358,"category":38},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",1487.2666089999998,0.8503910052185671,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":440,"outcome":29,"usdc":441,"entry_price":442,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":13,"question":444,"event_slug":445,"category":64},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",784.9966529999999,0.872222232567872,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":447,"outcome":29,"usdc":448,"entry_price":449,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":450,"captured_at":13,"question":451,"event_slug":452,"category":107},"0x2232160c7b9a9607a506b46872f1f3501a3dccdf8384c7572a1617956a86797a",74.29866899999999,0.8700000098575943,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?","french-forces-seize-another-oil-tanker-by-feb-28",{"condition_id":454,"outcome":29,"usdc":455,"entry_price":219,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":456,"event_slug":369,"category":107},"0x22fe0f993bb899d3ae33bbdfbeb7f7d06df0982f578ae26592b55cf581396376",62,"Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":458,"outcome":29,"usdc":459,"entry_price":460,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":461,"event_slug":462,"category":107},"0x24026080b17f4e88729eab0ac2929ee37c13bfbb4a159179ec63deb4a242d9c9",301,0.602,"France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-march-31-929",{"condition_id":464,"outcome":29,"usdc":465,"entry_price":466,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":38},"0x24caca44a9ec5c344bd5f57c547f466dc0452e147d264a626afbffe3b5a0b55f",43.486614,0.8700000312095983,"Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?","ukraine-election-held-in-2025",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":77,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":473,"event_slug":474,"category":107},"0x24fb7c2d95c93a68018e6c4a90d88043bb67d32fd1454924cef8ebdd550228f3",841.439,0.841699926977363,"Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-by-march-31",{"condition_id":476,"outcome":29,"usdc":477,"entry_price":478,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":480,"event_slug":445,"category":64},"0x253676d94edd8f3e92060410bec8bca9117890d117d06664d31867db0e396c56",1684.9840270000002,0.8424998394740985,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":77,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":485,"captured_at":13,"question":486,"event_slug":487,"category":107},"0x26330d09cbe8237d345657f5fce337a4a4a95a0cebe45326ef7c0caaf575ec68",152.2,0.761,"2026-01-17T00:00:00Z","Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?","russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-by-168",{"condition_id":489,"outcome":29,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":493,"category":38},"0x274cec202608757e62a0cf64ec63a3a814a6cc23a1bff1819b437362c5c16732",408.46855000000005,0.43957744584225655,"Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-june-30",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":77,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":107},"0x27ade12e788507af8c7723933e38c79c97d2f687c9daa7eb6c9e6951786bf247",35.535,0.6967647058823528,"2026-03-07T00:00:00Z","Will Iran strike Jordan in March?","which-countries-will-iran-strike-in-march",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":77,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":505,"captured_at":13,"question":506,"event_slug":212,"category":64},"0x27c578f190b29c59ee41a2e3589a22c03f01d4d40eb4f67c72f1cdf8bcbf3d0f",13.4,0.67,"2026-09-22T23:59:00Z","Will Russia target Kyiv on September 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":77,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":511,"event_slug":512,"category":38},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",100.99798,0.202,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":514,"outcome":29,"usdc":515,"entry_price":516,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":517,"captured_at":13,"question":518,"event_slug":519,"category":107},"0x2a22753d8810cf70701e0a1c807433348aec8e7b1d67576bab4411e98d12d2e4",136.2912,0.4396773985418414,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?","champions-league-which-teams-advance-to-round-of-16",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":504,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":523,"event_slug":162,"category":38},"0x2a6d2cb5250e55c9c910e2ce005cc67d956973fbffe9b69539fb4ab58383cc59",67,"European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":29,"usdc":526,"entry_price":392,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":527,"event_slug":53,"category":38},"0x2d02521a1f5f3ae2aca49885834bdb34b279cf9551feebe4e13474a9150c4f9f",178,"Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":29,"usdc":530,"entry_price":531,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":13,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":38},"0x2de8d7b9d103366e37f3a448db8289c5c571dec5c0b9eeddbc673546d4bd9322",16.9983,0.17,"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?","us-and-iran-sign-an-agreement-byptptpt-20260611221049850",{"condition_id":529,"outcome":77,"usdc":536,"entry_price":537,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":13,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":38},837.5,0.8375,{"condition_id":539,"outcome":29,"usdc":540,"entry_price":541,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":542,"captured_at":13,"question":543,"event_slug":544,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",602.0212210000001,0.8200000019532981,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":29,"usdc":547,"entry_price":548,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":107},"0x2fa6bf0256e3a10240662b4d9c1cd30720b450297dce5e05d963671a3f42adcb",14.0298,0.6,"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?","saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-by",{"condition_id":552,"outcome":29,"usdc":553,"entry_price":554,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":555,"event_slug":314,"category":107},"0x305aed72121b23bb80b4620f2326deeb396f8f633a214649a493bf46c1ddcc1a",34.995315000000005,0.8750006938372695,"Will \"Apple Watch\" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?",{"condition_id":557,"outcome":29,"usdc":558,"entry_price":559,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":560,"captured_at":13,"question":561,"event_slug":562,"category":107},"0x3061dcc85903c2700dffd529e0fbd9b0023c3b481324cd0276d5399f9dace5dc",1143.3584840000003,0.845457807105553,"2026-02-28T12:00:00Z","Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?","rojas-guilty-in-texas-illegal-abortion-case",{"condition_id":564,"outcome":77,"usdc":565,"entry_price":566,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":13,"question":568,"event_slug":53,"category":38},"0x309ae759aefeb898fbc17881e16b796aceb3ce7ee99d077bae89f46904ef3635",225,0.45,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":570,"outcome":29,"usdc":571,"entry_price":572,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":573,"event_slug":574,"category":64},"0x31a3bcdbd168e04b59406dd868b3d305ce1687c6e802dbbbeffc5ece1c23191e",511.99999999999994,0.8533333333333333,"Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?","will-russia-capture-all-of-rodynske-again-by",{"condition_id":576,"outcome":29,"usdc":577,"entry_price":578,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":450,"captured_at":13,"question":579,"event_slug":580,"category":107},"0x348ade0c7df38c4fc23abb31eb7d74ee6bc7064dc0e2709a872be434857de1a9",143.632653,0.5100000017101449,"Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?","will-israel-strike-gaza-on-224",{"condition_id":582,"outcome":77,"usdc":583,"entry_price":584,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":585,"event_slug":586,"category":107},"0x350b732d1cef0a4da7cc8077fc95a866a746ad29d390745d4a2e1b86ebbaecff",150.4,0.8847058823529412,"Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?","iran-strike-on-qatar-by-january-31",{"condition_id":588,"outcome":29,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":591,"event_slug":592,"category":38},"0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6",445.00000000000006,0.8900000000000001,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":594,"outcome":77,"usdc":595,"entry_price":392,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":596,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":107},"0x362a16591b7a32e563753700d2a6404f80c382b1538d411239970abb3549753a",1780,"2026-04-30","Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?","will-russia-enter-kupiansk-vuzlovyi-by",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":29,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":603,"captured_at":13,"question":604,"event_slug":605,"category":107},"0x367e1fde4a30513ea88ce52b6fb34411dd41e5aca3d070288e3c780eb09f2f8f",168,0.84,"2026-02-21T17:00:00Z","Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-february-19-february-21",{"condition_id":607,"outcome":77,"usdc":608,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":610,"event_slug":611,"category":107},"0x36b7731773d528412b310f6e5ab627010eea9f05973829ebcc8606e3d70972ab",30.45522,0.87,"Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?","will-ukraine-re-enter-huliaipole-by-march-31",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":29,"usdc":614,"entry_price":615,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":616,"captured_at":13,"question":617,"event_slug":618,"category":619},"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868",269.9973,0.2700000000000001,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025","Crypto",{"condition_id":621,"outcome":29,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":624,"captured_at":13,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"category":107},"0x379fede56f45ff53332a3bccc7364b74a04dd36136d54241701dfff41834a06a",117.016666,0.8500000054479406,"2026-08-26T20:59:00Z","Will Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026?","will-russia-target-kyiv-byptptpt-august-26-31",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":29,"usdc":629,"entry_price":630,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":485,"captured_at":13,"question":631,"event_slug":632,"category":107},"0x3ca267e7a56fc36b06dbada2e24ce9ef60b949bd50e0903655eff91638507fad",160.8402,0.1492813454,"Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17?","russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-by-423",{"condition_id":628,"outcome":77,"usdc":634,"entry_price":392,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":485,"captured_at":13,"question":631,"event_slug":632,"category":107},80.0644,{"condition_id":636,"outcome":77,"usdc":637,"entry_price":638,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":639,"captured_at":13,"question":640,"event_slug":641,"category":107},"0x3cda63b9418e5165566496b87f04d454964f22484eca98aa09d410f205998d93",628.6782000000001,0.6473943712957626,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?","will-russia-enter-kindrashivka-by-february-28",{"condition_id":643,"outcome":29,"usdc":644,"entry_price":645,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":646,"event_slug":647,"category":38},"0x3d529e0abd4eb7c599ddc3ac54b5f0de9d5dd5455e8d83903cd0b5f967be20c0",54.121866,0.7937833302910324,"Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?","ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31",{"condition_id":649,"outcome":77,"usdc":650,"entry_price":651,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":652,"event_slug":653,"category":38},"0x3d7f5a6101377e34b9f8d1d62b793288668380bd821932ccacb84f788c72f5da",55.704,0.044,"Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?","how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026",{"condition_id":655,"outcome":77,"usdc":656,"entry_price":657,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":658,"event_slug":659,"category":38},"0x3f0743b88ef23a678e1d07fd2fb92badcbbb17aeca7110f188533b081afbd6af",35.196795,0.17600000068737448,"Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-may-31",{"condition_id":661,"outcome":29,"usdc":662,"entry_price":663,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":664,"captured_at":13,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"category":107},"0x3f0b36655c1fc649c82c6c9ee6702180a053afc82bd87ed25eedb14702a978ef",410,0.82,"2026-02-04T17:00:00Z","Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-february-2-february-4",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":29,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":567,"captured_at":13,"question":671,"event_slug":672,"category":64},"0x403b8deb760c51691df6dcc9a6aa080846ecd280d49d3786865c2d9846180aaa",33.535814,0.845000018,"US strike on Cuba by March 31?","us-strike-on-cuba-by",{"condition_id":674,"outcome":29,"usdc":675,"entry_price":676,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":677,"event_slug":678,"category":107},"0x40ae35803cf80ab53122ea000eae8c690df0376366b527f77071b3f9a38f8133",4.1916,0.1239384979,"US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?","us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-838",{"condition_id":680,"outcome":29,"usdc":681,"entry_price":682,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":683,"captured_at":13,"question":684,"event_slug":685,"category":107},"0x41e47408f8ab39b46a9d9e3c9b15ebd62f1d795eb072ff46df3d376c09eb583e",59.9985,0.19999999999999998,"2026-02-13T00:00:00Z","US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?","us-x-iran-meeting-by",{"condition_id":687,"outcome":77,"usdc":688,"entry_price":689,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":450,"captured_at":13,"question":690,"event_slug":691,"category":107},"0x42f3f7b4f8ddc2c9ef856a7d5b180ec0bb1493cdbc5f9d54bc45dcbe2cd370d7",497.446145,0.8761645851228214,"Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?","will-russia-capture-zaliznychne-by-february-28",{"condition_id":693,"outcome":29,"usdc":694,"entry_price":695,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":696,"event_slug":697,"category":107},"0x4495596ef99ce27149438102ea678eaba0c46053ce37abda7140680cc84b13ad",112.94630000000001,0.79,"Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?","confirmed-case-of-hantavirus-in-us-by-may-15",{"condition_id":699,"outcome":29,"usdc":700,"entry_price":701,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":702,"event_slug":382,"category":107},"0x49d816ab9745e1b45e0db79317e1e7113d6cbdfabde21e0de0a6d42bc87a1d4a",380.636679,0.6591154980343308,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?",{"condition_id":699,"outcome":77,"usdc":704,"entry_price":705,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":702,"event_slug":382,"category":107},6.2,0.31,{"condition_id":707,"outcome":29,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":710,"event_slug":711,"category":107},"0x4a21333b027a3b8fe9ae5ea8113d288c43aed57bf10f283e5466a4f2eaa5158f",8.414441,0.8360000676,"Will the US strike Iran next?","next-country-us-strikes-163",{"condition_id":713,"outcome":29,"usdc":714,"entry_price":715,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":716,"event_slug":314,"category":107},"0x4aa528e9898bd2250ecdf8f0f160481b8c6edf96caf94f4e6819b34f35345504",17.22,0.861,"Will \"Macbook\" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?",{"condition_id":718,"outcome":29,"usdc":719,"entry_price":609,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":720,"event_slug":721,"category":64},"0x4befb52f7cd2b606c63731ad74e677325ff0ed0f48f1104552a34f0f54619ea3",435,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":723,"outcome":77,"usdc":724,"entry_price":725,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":298,"captured_at":13,"question":726,"event_slug":388,"category":107},"0x4cebbe2cbf5aca28f34db88e7b2115da4226350e279b3d64e898cbf24fe890f3",228.669,0.8111130817,"Will Trump talk to Jensen Huang in January?",{"condition_id":728,"outcome":29,"usdc":729,"entry_price":730,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":683,"captured_at":13,"question":731,"event_slug":732,"category":107},"0x4ee9a85f509afd46313a753e065f49d59da6f3fc2e5c686ca4dd5feeaa22dc1b",166,0.83,"Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?","where-will-the-us-iran-meet",{"condition_id":734,"outcome":29,"usdc":735,"entry_price":736,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":737,"event_slug":738,"category":107},"0x4f0ad5a25212740c32b5f6fe600eefa105c659ad28c82fb87dbfa55380bbbc29",594.6118380000001,0.3556301459297233,"Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?","claude-code-commits-end-of-june",{"condition_id":740,"outcome":29,"usdc":741,"entry_price":742,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":743,"event_slug":314,"category":107},"0x55494fe0f7b2b4063d32056bbc3ff81947c6921a8bbcafd8931782682a505ccb",17.795954000000002,0.890000041513676,"Will \"Most Advanced\" or \"Most Powerful\" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?",{"condition_id":745,"outcome":29,"usdc":746,"entry_price":747,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":479,"captured_at":13,"question":748,"event_slug":749,"category":64},"0x5813dc7ee3feea004711c97bdf27c407c3e943d876432ef50b49b8399eae9f37",407.478955,0.8200000014,"Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?","israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",{"condition_id":751,"outcome":29,"usdc":752,"entry_price":753,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":754,"event_slug":755,"category":38},"0x585673fcbde68965ee57520268c290e554071d5082f25bba0527f01dc05c8612",1957.9667429999997,0.8513050873892688,"Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?","israeli-forces-withdraw-from-beyond-the-litani-river-by-20260607234645733",{"condition_id":757,"outcome":29,"usdc":758,"entry_price":759,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":271,"captured_at":13,"question":760,"event_slug":369,"category":107},"0x5ae2262eda6de370ef906870a76bbaeb3e1e0fc579ccb2c21cce5bc9f5449d2b",338,0.845,"Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":762,"outcome":29,"usdc":763,"entry_price":764,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":333,"captured_at":13,"question":765,"event_slug":766,"category":38},"0x5e5482b1e2afa7bed0b9a0c3c8ad33a83dd6cc6d649666cdf1977be64c42c82a",347.6,0.8690000000000001,"Epstein suicide note released by May 8?","epstein-suicide-note-released-by",{"condition_id":768,"outcome":29,"usdc":769,"entry_price":770,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":319,"captured_at":13,"question":771,"event_slug":772,"category":64},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",842.993878,0.843000000701434,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":774,"outcome":29,"usdc":775,"entry_price":776,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":777,"captured_at":13,"question":778,"event_slug":779,"category":107},"0x5fe83230b3a0224aa8ac582d512f8aa4f778b53631ebf2f1f7d5cfc5c85a2025",222.88,0.5868351764086361,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?","where-will-tropical-storm-saudel-make-landfall-1787177922936",{"condition_id":781,"outcome":782,"usdc":783,"entry_price":784,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":785,"captured_at":13,"question":786,"event_slug":787,"category":788},"0x606d72ea0abfc04a07395da4096b11a6cd4a574b24b9c023d28991278aaeea2d","Lotte Giants",5.200100000000001,0.008523356826749715,"2026-04-16T09:30:00Z","KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants","kbo-kt-lot-2026-04-09","Sports",{"condition_id":790,"outcome":29,"usdc":791,"entry_price":792,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":793,"event_slug":794,"category":107},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",419.5,0.839,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":796,"outcome":77,"usdc":797,"entry_price":798,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":799,"captured_at":13,"question":800,"event_slug":801,"category":107},"0x62da938fad8830c01b815e9ffeb8a71065a0ca7aeb4b87c860b413ce9a3a7c04",176.19437299999998,0.8810000041434726,"2026-02-07T00:00:00Z","U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?","us-strike-on-somalia-by-february-7",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":29,"usdc":804,"entry_price":805,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":806,"event_slug":382,"category":107},"0x634dd624627e8d8a1f095f4b5c05353fee8738fd9f5e4bd0926e32f811bd691a",512.927531,0.824136285289114,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":77,"usdc":276,"entry_price":808,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":380,"captured_at":13,"question":806,"event_slug":382,"category":107},0.1,{"condition_id":810,"outcome":29,"usdc":811,"entry_price":812,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":375,"category":107},"0x651277a730de6e7b084fe9eee35c17ff66191ed2eae2310177f73c7125ce821a",737.864915,0.7432949716712807,"Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?",{"condition_id":810,"outcome":77,"usdc":815,"entry_price":242,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":375,"category":107},56,{"condition_id":817,"outcome":77,"usdc":12,"entry_price":818,"won":17,"source":263,"end_date_iso":819,"captured_at":13,"question":820,"event_slug":821,"category":107},"0x6712eb9e97c325b89ed2a23c868d89805ab8cd777465bdcb34e7b41984b5fd71",0.001,"2026-01-13T00:00:00Z","Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?","israel-strikes-iran-by-january-13-2026",{"condition_id":823,"outcome":77,"usdc":824,"entry_price":825,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":826,"event_slug":827,"category":107},"0x6747bae2269c348786d0c0c0f4286ac006f13f16325d4dcbab954b46de029f19",1070,0.7133333333333334,"Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?","clavicular-pregnancy-in-2026",{"condition_id":829,"outcome":29,"usdc":830,"entry_price":831,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":832,"event_slug":833,"category":107},"0x683c00d1a271b8316d5851fe4b07508ebf230b2aa9e94b4f455dcbb4486b6ab5",697,0.8993548387,"Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?","iran-military-action-against-a-gulf-state-on-627",{"condition_id":835,"outcome":29,"usdc":836,"entry_price":837,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":838,"event_slug":721,"category":64},"0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e",219,0.876,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":29,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":843,"captured_at":13,"question":844,"event_slug":845,"category":107},"0x699d8a258e1f6921a3e79dfa7334ea3936921ce045afb7a3639aa4703d95d6ec",33,0.66,"2026-09-21T23:59:00Z","Will Trump say \"Ballroom\" during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?","what-will-trump-say-during-his-ribbon-cutting-ceremony",{"condition_id":847,"outcome":77,"usdc":848,"entry_price":849,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":560,"captured_at":13,"question":850,"event_slug":851,"category":107},"0x6acea3596be0a8126e8658d39ecc1ac44bee1246c162e51a8062b380bcf147c2",3272.78257,0.8875731248750705,"Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?","how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025",{"condition_id":853,"outcome":29,"usdc":854,"entry_price":855,"won":12,"source":263,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":856,"event_slug":314,"category":107},"0x6b3e952a78cf20047bc4f24c69bdd2b5aba38f67db4e6b9484032ba1661eafd0",17.039827000000002,0.8520000404071024,"Will \"M5\" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?",{"total":836,"wins":858},151,[860,866,871,876,881,883,885],{"category":861,"n":862,"wins":863,"hitRate":864,"roi":865},"Other",148,101,0.6824324324324325,0.25144302099698845,{"category":38,"n":867,"wins":868,"hitRate":869,"roi":870},47,34,0.723404255319149,0.0640537070730598,{"category":64,"n":872,"wins":873,"hitRate":874,"roi":875},18,14,0.7777777777777778,0.16093294118830404,{"category":877,"n":878,"wins":12,"hitRate":879,"roi":880},"Tech",2,0.5,-0.32479479760638036,{"category":788,"n":878,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":882},-1,{"category":884,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":882},"Culture",{"category":619,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":886},2.703703703703703,{"generatedAt":888},"2026-09-26T00:28:47.656Z"]