[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xfde17cffbbbeec78f9f89d0df4d08fe7ab1a3690":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":79,"history":80,"resolved":83,"resolvedSummary":283,"specialization":286,"meta":305},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xfde17cffbbbeec78f9f89d0df4d08fe7ab1a3690",1438,111,0.6036036036036037,0.38191326154361316,0.19839777846423945,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-27T07:42:08.794Z",228.06543816216214,2.1303703703703705,"2026-09-26T09:26:17.000Z",0,"trades",0.4226544598072074,0.18094914379639623,9668.234902061185,25315.263635999996,13.279856485959188,0.02702702702702703,[26,38,48,55,64,71],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"69461499213168062107102721575614403237289939667406031040686958351690757767152","0xee99ef359aaa01fb7cb9301601da51f65cd3967d15c17cbce72d1e4b985b519c","No",1071.81,0.9913,"2026-09-27T08:59:14.644Z","Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?","who-will-attend-the-white-house-state-dinner-for-xi-jinping","2026-10-08T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":29,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"45616597027927994404486413287361000068169599668527207960164030011513161114219","0xcfdf507e7677114ebd2da6371b167c8e2f19b1a048f1b9f92f139c9553fc9364",1025.641,0.9639,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]","Tech",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":53,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":54,"category":37},"55499021355168038951395249972127047568235920198405503079385507993248735161580","0x300e6f6c5f258c1f88eb2bec885a858f6989be37df7c342d9ea9ec65daa6aac8",611.4,0.9914,"Will Alex Karp attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":56,"condition_id":57,"outcome":29,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":60,"event_slug":61,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":62,"outcome_prices":54,"category":63},"39771334486741346905822006281449519799982989837235235818073802067017492155242","0xd31ea16f62323490bd64810ed8d10c46801ee63763e2d144bfa19e71e7b3e19c",599.99,0.977,"No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?","reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-september-20260729163823944","2026-09-29T00:00:00Z","Geopolitics",{"token_id":65,"condition_id":66,"outcome":29,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":69,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":70,"category":37},"23147608262579182556643477548625517195398875379055399143839808823904768205886","0x1af0958406b0c28b8569997d1572f99d466f6e2ab3d1126a49941a2a1cd62701",359.28,0.9495,"Will Dario Amodei attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?","[\"0.0115\", \"0.9885\"]",{"token_id":72,"condition_id":73,"outcome":74,"size":75,"avg_price":76,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":77,"event_slug":61,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":62,"outcome_prices":78,"category":63},"65357241631372935654381851285956796194376848378705071642181234066464060408228","0x547a1a83abf33bdbe7ca1c37707f334355c81901035e5c6f1e9dff23fea54fb2","Yes",91.34,0.924,"Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?","[\"0.9845\", \"0.0155\"]",[],[81],{"recorded_date":82,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-27",[84,92,97,105,112,118,125,132,137,145,152,159,165,172,176,179,186,191,197,205,212,218,221,226,229,235,240,248,257,264,270,278],{"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"usdc":86,"entry_price":87,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":89,"captured_at":13,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0x080f9a1940a57f74e1a418810add5ffeed367ba357f5d9e8b40226ed81a4806b",756.349114,0.8600000008933892,"backfill","2026-07-25T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by July 24?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":93,"outcome":74,"usdc":94,"entry_price":95,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":13,"question":96,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x09d228140baff44da077b22a58e20fd40902de705ec9ca3bd02cf012a6965797",20.870137,0.5100000032,"Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?",{"condition_id":98,"outcome":74,"usdc":99,"entry_price":100,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":101,"captured_at":13,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"category":104},"0x164b6e7ee273b4ee01302ad067ad176ec1f92d9b06aad436c794f2d1a3699160",103.53996,0.3500000013522423,"2026-08-28T23:59:00Z","Will Warsh say \"Task Force\" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?","what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-speech-at-jackson-hole-01",null,{"condition_id":106,"outcome":29,"usdc":107,"entry_price":108,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"category":104},"0x1b7ce3378b7b505abf313265e4386601717d766d3b6815329a4548cbc25cf057",204.2204,0.88822373,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?","will-netanyahu-wear-a-yarmulke-at-next-meeting-with-trump-20260724180650962",{"condition_id":113,"outcome":74,"usdc":114,"entry_price":115,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":13,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":37},"0x1ecc86689cb3d8015ff453bdee600cfefee2d3244baefceb0acd5d626a20546f",18,0.12,"Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?","how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-20260916",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"usdc":120,"entry_price":121,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"category":104},"0x20bef217896f188a907793b3bf890ede4a43f86f4ce9735016472f106488a696",39.9417,0.29,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?","will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",{"condition_id":126,"outcome":74,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"category":63},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",401.58752499999997,0.13910609833579382,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":133,"outcome":74,"usdc":134,"entry_price":135,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":13,"question":136,"event_slug":117,"category":37},"0x28739bc1581620806cc3c4131125b3f72cd96f77a3add6f1dd5b891de85202b3",0.75412,0.01,"Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?",{"condition_id":138,"outcome":139,"usdc":140,"entry_price":141,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":142,"captured_at":13,"question":143,"event_slug":144,"category":104},"0x2fcf1c20c7208b0fd0ad466726d5cf620001c1aed7fbb4a81197cc7a829f01bd","Over",3575,0.7944444444444444,"2026-09-01T11:00:00Z","Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O\u002FU 21.5","itf-carbaja-cosano-2026-08-25",{"condition_id":146,"outcome":29,"usdc":147,"entry_price":148,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":149,"captured_at":13,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"category":37},"0x325d2f917428a0d39ac7563770ec519208666b8c926091de1a1934d8570b64cd",108.54,0.75,"2026-07-18T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":153,"outcome":29,"usdc":154,"entry_price":155,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":157,"event_slug":158,"category":63},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",29.147436,0.6700000126415717,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 31?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":160,"outcome":29,"usdc":161,"entry_price":162,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":158,"category":63},"0x47c12169314c6cf66fe782e244753df3b0e68ee892d893d48022ec6c41cc0170",365.7008,0.8555605465148513,"2026-07-22T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 21?",{"condition_id":166,"outcome":74,"usdc":167,"entry_price":168,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":169,"captured_at":13,"question":170,"event_slug":171,"category":63},"0x4961d77539d2ae985a957254aa479a1cf95394be11d03b4a39be8278695f6e5a",792,0.88,"2026-07-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?","bank-of-korea-decision-in-july",{"condition_id":173,"outcome":74,"usdc":174,"entry_price":121,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":13,"question":175,"event_slug":117,"category":37},"0x4e7245df81b58c835f46bfd82bb9ec5607c2364a1d200243ae6c92d9892dffdb",2.5636,"Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?",{"condition_id":177,"outcome":29,"usdc":167,"entry_price":168,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":169,"captured_at":13,"question":178,"event_slug":171,"category":63},"0x532bc7c57ab441649590c6d3477c7ec1cf145914d5aebc5f0580c6d2a81e0526","Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?",{"condition_id":180,"outcome":139,"usdc":181,"entry_price":182,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":183,"captured_at":13,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"category":104},"0x5fc7a76edb5fbef9fca9d2ad2a6a90e6d8a23762602aa75d84534b6b35bc1f61",259.37499,0.25,"2026-09-27T10:30:00Z","Finkelstein vs. Gabelic: Match O\u002FU 23.5","itf-finkel1-gabeli1-2026-09-20",{"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"usdc":188,"entry_price":189,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":13,"question":190,"event_slug":117,"category":37},"0x6d1e27b29897205f8387db29a54cb7afcbfaee117ed74d8277efaa5f9bccce3f",382.57018999999997,0.7649455733086802,"Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?",{"condition_id":192,"outcome":139,"usdc":193,"entry_price":194,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":195,"captured_at":13,"question":196,"event_slug":104,"category":104},"0x9015dfd3ad8fcfda355387af8e084c3e67af65d5f3a69aef7cc316a9294ba0d7",5204.585063,0.7606077496198059,"2026-09-01T00:00:00Z","Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O\u002FU 23.5",{"condition_id":198,"outcome":199,"usdc":200,"entry_price":201,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":202,"captured_at":13,"question":203,"event_slug":204,"category":104},"0x9395d17548525858db6a29acefc0f2d9e1c4d4c0aa1e1f1653df624e09ebe871","Team Liquid",1480,0.37,"2026-08-22T08:15:00Z","Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs","dota2-ts8-liquid-2026-08-21",{"condition_id":206,"outcome":29,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":13,"question":210,"event_slug":211,"category":37},"0x93f633e9eb0ca56cbf8395a5692bbe55b95528ad92d301f476a857337858bacc",175.08713,0.22878666667333333,"2026-09-04T03:59:00Z","Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?","will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-september-2026",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":63},"0xa6480903e54c68f2ee79cacb7861dfcc9b473e8b07d6dcaf2c9923034a5fb56f",114.4014,0.08132666045823884,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":74,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":109,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":63},3828.664854,0.759983957847021,{"condition_id":222,"outcome":29,"usdc":223,"entry_price":224,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":91,"category":37},"0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59",720,0.72,"Israel closes its airspace by July 31?",{"condition_id":222,"outcome":74,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":156,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":91,"category":37},1248.7497970000002,0.14602751171889206,{"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":158,"category":63},"0xbad91c213787a7542345b8abd72a1d55754987c47ba82ef5d4aa625ac046f024",105.564784,0.4100000015,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by August 31?",{"condition_id":236,"outcome":74,"usdc":237,"entry_price":238,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":239,"event_slug":151,"category":37},"0xbdc0827c873d1c3c538e549ab94c77829f7e40fd3376b25164c0279f744a87bc",680,0.4533333333333333,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":241,"outcome":242,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"category":104},"0xc5fe3006b3fc6ab1d9ee626fa29466643dbe3431310c53b3180b10f7cabb11f2","Nicolas Jadoun",100.198052,0.5010000019499377,"2026-09-10T09:00:00Z","M15 Monastir: Nicolas Jadoun vs Stevan Popovic","itf-jadou-popovi-2026-09-03",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":250,"usdc":251,"entry_price":252,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":253,"captured_at":13,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"category":256},"0xc851fc5ae688d3d67bccb7c8f0ca475f61ebda796cfcddca7230042de6b48cfd","Conor McGregor",254.7445,0.35,"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z","UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)","ufc-max1-con-2026-07-11","Sports",{"condition_id":258,"outcome":29,"usdc":259,"entry_price":260,"won":17,"source":88,"end_date_iso":261,"captured_at":13,"question":262,"event_slug":263,"category":104},"0xeb9f5707eabf3c272097196b137d841fda958ec64aecff36283cc448a7e3e40b",17.395766,0.671000016,"2026-07-09T23:59:00Z","Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?","iran-military-action-against-a-gulf-state-onptptpt-20260708212328295",{"condition_id":265,"outcome":74,"usdc":266,"entry_price":267,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":268,"captured_at":13,"question":269,"event_slug":151,"category":37},"0xed5a9e7831ee363d92cb102f2c21e2465b09196ef5beb7c8e23671851a1c3ca4",1828.112718,0.17806006280432346,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":272,"usdc":273,"entry_price":274,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":275,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":277,"category":256},"0xfa4f3f100c05379533dae4ac784a2838b2d8ef40a0fe911cda5d54cc4f7a502f","Garland\u002FHsieh",1390.4,0.632,"2026-10-01T08:30:00Z","Set Handicap: Routliffe\u002FSutjiadi (-1.5) vs Garland\u002FHsieh (+1.5)","wta-doubles-routsut-garlhsi-2026-09-24",{"condition_id":279,"outcome":74,"usdc":280,"entry_price":281,"won":12,"source":88,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":13,"question":282,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0xfab4c962b5ea1c453188b245257ad1fb1c5c7050444bacb08e00c104a36f64ef",315.1996,0.8165632582831972,"Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?",{"total":284,"wins":285},32,20,[287,292,298,301],{"category":37,"n":288,"wins":289,"hitRate":290,"roi":291},13,8,0.6153846153846154,1.1246490070131065,{"category":293,"n":294,"wins":295,"hitRate":296,"roi":297},"Other",9,5,0.5555555555555556,0.08430762609807313,{"category":63,"n":289,"wins":299,"hitRate":148,"roi":300},6,0.1768802853586703,{"category":256,"n":302,"wins":12,"hitRate":303,"roi":304},2,0.5,0.33726854996627953,{"generatedAt":306},"2026-09-27T09:04:36.402Z"]