[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xf9b0e9186f3abe292a2519b555938f542c70a817":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":135,"history":136,"resolved":139,"resolvedSummary":712,"specialization":715,"meta":732},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xf9b0e9186f3abe292a2519b555938f542c70a817",3342,1083,0.3268698060941828,0.553195282504794,0.10066585844276525,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-26T07:41:56.521Z",18.19778986795934,2.4903129657228016,"2026-09-25T21:26:26.000Z",0,"trades",0.2239323742633424,0.1029374318308402,10902.486822047042,19708.206426999965,7.368036860764764,0.35520149953139646,[26,39,47,58,66,75,83,93,100,109,119,128],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"65797566438748896864350686842312410662673304545200365609504721764838887527063","0xe65e73b9a8725c2269ec406b43f3dedfc29fa1ef74c0b27a28d9c5f9d196b582","No",391.32,0.989,"2026-10-04T01:52:07.649Z","2026-10-03T08:33:19.388Z","Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?","avgpt-of-ships-transiting-bab-el-mandeb-strait-end-of-september","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0095\", \"0.9905\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"78744204325625407554240243907390755417262005711088478244740290622435758685610","0x1e6b21ebd7b7740b6ea6a1553013586f6afd85f41eae68922d2eeb352ff8312e","Yes",203.38,0.9465,"Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?","[\"0.9415\", \"0.0585\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":52,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":56,"category":57},"14787561417751624144518622790658075161082084635120545898312949131712095235055","0xdf1144b74ea296185ab16907b147abf8c0202bab9e24de267020f518da1a91f4",129,0.8937,"2026-10-01T06:35:38.516Z","Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-october-31","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0505\", \"0.9495\"]","Politics",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":63,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":57},"49131019536927190118473519437334544757370714552601724744855393780606374946516","0x666e1f1fc1f5beef406b0f1577a7fbff280e120184ae1a421fd65bb05f1fca7c",66,0.9185,"2026-09-26T08:59:07.950Z","Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-september-30",{"token_id":67,"condition_id":68,"outcome":42,"size":69,"avg_price":70,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":73,"outcome_prices":74,"category":57},"89347360758214178591842510867469319387633644742213678747172762687044540314752","0xbac0af08637f25aae0d661b4f270626a57b2a3a65f81a26c2e4d6deee89edf51",100,0.45,"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?","next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.465\", \"0.535\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":63,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":82,"category":38},"82383912546938862827752998326332915904985770987581942421047564218239152303214","0x7303b730199297c8d9c66b5bf826d74d543d046a6af0dc9d11a06fc22442c7f5",44,0.939,"0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?","0-ships-transit-bab-el-mandeb-on-any-date-by","[\"0.009\", \"0.991\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":42,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":88,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":92,"category":38},"101074810215896413612751017377598399085380640616093362390853615821313867000665","0xb258f9ae3a313cddd76a5160839d8354c29a564d1b9338ed5c54c6b384387a90",200,0.205,"2026-09-26T21:20:43.849Z","Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?","bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830","2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":29,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":88,"question":98,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":99,"category":38},"114266663191602253621257231358196341497923275307382776231079025709646713461775","0x132fa739f0fb2878be99dca0f3fbaf43af903cd65f509fc98e3926dc24397634",172.2178,0.2,"Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?","[\"0.87\", \"0.13\"]",{"token_id":101,"condition_id":102,"outcome":29,"size":103,"avg_price":104,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":63,"question":105,"event_slug":106,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":107,"outcome_prices":108,"category":38},"22456189528722502109407983606196093122951654703086178296376577433644079377953","0x40cebdfd8b3cc55d9d397377856e485acc941d121c317792801dc8d14521d530",24.8914,0.5878,"Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?","shipping-successfully-targeted-in-hormuz-onptptpt","2026-09-21T19:59:00Z","[\"0.9455\", \"0.0545\"]",{"token_id":110,"condition_id":111,"outcome":42,"size":112,"avg_price":113,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":114,"question":115,"event_slug":116,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":117,"outcome_prices":118,"category":57},"97276717765404256396585825192621852113616904485425054639361655781562131725384","0x47079ff0b0a0701beb088614467a0f1bcd272ac024bb6f649d6e0c28f92bae09",114.72,0.1199,"2026-10-02T09:54:26.627Z","Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?","putin-visits-us-by-december-31-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":29,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":63,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":126,"outcome_prices":127,"category":38},"67174251514315109189329763839082383074201131649985895727451889665487701640463","0x2dcab230189c73070d91d8fdf3378d17cfdd5e462e3382b898051bd9d6f66a6d",20,0.38,"Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 27?","houthi-military-action-against-saudi-arabia-on-20260916","2026-09-27T20:59:00Z","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":42,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":133,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":134,"category":38},"98850799598896573320597685521357080401581027439120347210171912861588945236720","0xe8619de4d27410d4788a1b1331fd028b369f41dad4f04a04b6b183d6a46c728c",25.585,0.0058,"Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",[],[137],{"recorded_date":138,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-26",[140,147,155,162,168,175,182,189,196,199,206,213,220,227,232,235,242,245,252,258,265,272,277,283,290,296,301,308,315,321,327,333,340,346,352,358,361,368,373,378,386,391,397,402,408,415,422,427,434,441,447,454,461,467,469,475,481,488,493,500,506,511,516,518,522,527,533,536,541,547,555,560,565,568,574,577,583,590,596,601,606,609,616,620,627,632,635,639,644,647,653,661,667,672,677,682,689,695,702,707],{"condition_id":141,"outcome":42,"usdc":142,"entry_price":143,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":13,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"category":57},"0x03c583dd10a5df0d57fd8b32452554da9bbb0dd212fe0e259e8561db3b4f9153",161,0.644,"backfill","Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":42,"usdc":149,"entry_price":150,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":13,"question":152,"event_slug":153,"category":154},"0x0584a297e722e8ad0e29182d83c880c6ee0f66c2e9753f37ffaf2110123421e5",0.8863,0.01,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?","next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-on",null,{"condition_id":156,"outcome":29,"usdc":157,"entry_price":158,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":159,"captured_at":13,"question":160,"event_slug":161,"category":154},"0x05c166971e8486ae79b16236edd5e17a89bd97ab77f4fb26686715640a716313",15.6,0.78,"2026-06-29T23:59:00Z","Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?","iran-successfully-targets-shipping-onptptpt-20260625225210236",{"condition_id":163,"outcome":42,"usdc":164,"entry_price":150,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":165,"captured_at":13,"question":166,"event_slug":167,"category":154},"0x0a1ce2655453eec5c3aa76b114e5e3471a718a39dc8deac1c58f3b266bdb6f50",10,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?","who-will-be-next-supreme-leader-of-iran-515",{"condition_id":169,"outcome":42,"usdc":170,"entry_price":171,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":173,"event_slug":174,"category":154},"0x0a8db80928b9b675433e5489a7e20b0a839d3bd05a46caec5ab6e67a09a6ada5",13.561456999999997,0.004010509699746885,"2026-05-03T00:00:00Z","Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-apr-27",{"condition_id":176,"outcome":42,"usdc":177,"entry_price":178,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":179,"captured_at":13,"question":180,"event_slug":181,"category":154},"0x0b3e2377a8d73dfa158d35307c8e68094246bd1645a045639808fde829b4d202",10.3,0.20600000000000002,"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-september-14",{"condition_id":183,"outcome":42,"usdc":184,"entry_price":185,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":188,"category":154},"0x0b4af31295cfe435b0c72fe21ef835b79246ece45229387312e3eabc39a3df24",3,0.03,"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-august-31",{"condition_id":190,"outcome":29,"usdc":191,"entry_price":192,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":154},"0x0de3f76fe9b60857833856bec4f30d815cdb0c283361112b46e13b759cd8ef38",0.762416,0.02,"2026-04-10T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":190,"outcome":42,"usdc":197,"entry_price":198,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":154},8.66,0.866,{"condition_id":200,"outcome":42,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":38},"0x0f352562046739e3113040166c62294e15cd8eeb48b2ee97a62e4faf3cd24b09",20.386129999999998,0.036420713188265966,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?","avg-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-june",{"condition_id":207,"outcome":42,"usdc":208,"entry_price":209,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":211,"event_slug":212,"category":38},"0x15a27b4ab344a2f7c9f6589d56c2533c9c6f615c7411bfe661fd7777b230e6e7",2.5302,0.0020008224074396243,"2026-06-14T00:00:00Z","Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-june-8",{"condition_id":214,"outcome":42,"usdc":215,"entry_price":216,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":217,"captured_at":13,"question":218,"event_slug":219,"category":57},"0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68",73.3,0.03409302325581395,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":42,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"category":38},"0x17c1591393e9bfcaa68c89086af37ffc1b44db673c56c8bebe07480759c6038a",22,0.011,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"condition_id":228,"outcome":29,"usdc":229,"entry_price":230,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":231,"event_slug":174,"category":154},"0x186733e78213058e9e5bcb47085f6fffdf491f72a8e233cbc6f2fa107090f4b0",30.22251,0.023524222805661844,"Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?",{"condition_id":228,"outcome":42,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":13,"question":231,"event_slug":174,"category":154},0.58918,0.001439904198641185,{"condition_id":236,"outcome":29,"usdc":237,"entry_price":238,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"category":154},"0x18c398c97deddabe1f3900e0d4c58472a19c7c33ffcb7d09ea6979cdda3eb0ac",14,0.7,"2026-07-10T23:59:00Z","Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?","iran-military-action-against-a-gulf-state-onptptpt-20260708212328295",{"condition_id":236,"outcome":42,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"category":154},5,0.25,{"condition_id":246,"outcome":42,"usdc":247,"entry_price":248,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":249,"captured_at":13,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":57},"0x1a024724af1216bca940f7306569b52b48bead8e27d89e6d89adccfc0d19371c",0.8,0.04,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?","will-mojtaba-khamenei-leave-iran-byptptpt-20260720003505489",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":42,"usdc":254,"entry_price":150,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":255,"captured_at":13,"question":256,"event_slug":257,"category":154},"0x1a1b42c8b539ff4bfed50921f7b7dd8df659f68adbce3b4b89a7da6cb8e8883b",4.909,"2026-07-12T23:59:00Z","Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-july-6-20260703173313706",{"condition_id":259,"outcome":29,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"category":38},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",695.8,0.8090697674418604,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":266,"outcome":42,"usdc":267,"entry_price":268,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":269,"captured_at":13,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"category":154},"0x22a6788e30520a31998489d7b1a132f551ed64d917b9b57f8346e021820cb78c",351.5648,0.62,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?","hungary-election-fidesz-kdnp-wins-seats",{"condition_id":273,"outcome":42,"usdc":274,"entry_price":275,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":210,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":212,"category":38},"0x22c0216228ef4f9585786ab787855f533d098d6fab779e5d6cc2d57dc7feb47d",128.29163999999997,0.5180570182523017,"Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":42,"usdc":279,"entry_price":150,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":38},"0x23591cceaef52994b5cc694e439eb68e205ed068b2d3902b94b223c312cce8e2",2.9068,"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":29,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":287,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":57},"0x2421eb7f6db120f7fa8a4bac72805d412a397b3d99bcb1202a05cf9b35f63176",340,0.85,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?","how-many-seats-will-united-russia-win-in-the-next-russian-legislative-election",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":42,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":264,"category":38},"0x253676d94edd8f3e92060410bec8bca9117890d117d06664d31867db0e396c56",12,0.06,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":42,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":179,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":181,"category":154},"0x2587536ef13f42a842457a2199dee2e36e58d475073c5a341f77ed95f097c5bb",21.399858,0.09727276847945031,"Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?",{"condition_id":302,"outcome":29,"usdc":303,"entry_price":304,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":305,"captured_at":13,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":154},"0x261d9eab6278dd6f0c68b08a95fcc5f3354a60e1af0ee99309a7b2f373cbc841",72.010756,0.11097683926184156,"2026-07-05T23:59:00Z","Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-june-29-20260626161457728",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":13,"question":313,"event_slug":314,"category":154},"0x27692598fed3fcb21241b38e52b888dcdb19d2766b40a0cda8cf9f3b6352737e",1.24246,0.008721465674575319,"2026-05-15","Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?","deepseek-v4-released-on",{"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"usdc":164,"entry_price":317,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":165,"captured_at":13,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"category":320},"0x283a00442ca7b8977583034935782013585a134ef24d0e3820775e733706a79d",0.001,"Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 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2026?",{"condition_id":654,"outcome":655,"usdc":656,"entry_price":657,"won":12,"source":144,"end_date_iso":658,"captured_at":13,"question":659,"event_slug":660,"category":154},"0xad9e90bf3ccd05f9c3d4a25f49109d5f860225c26faec54b52edec93c4ba4e62","Norway",7.65472,0.76,"2026-07-05T20:00:00Z","Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance","fifwc-bra-nor-2026-07-05-more-markets",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":42,"usdc":663,"entry_price":349,"won":17,"source":144,"end_date_iso":664,"captured_at":13,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"category":154},"0xae74e02c397d76376893f556f64ef2b6ae19ae079d9aa52c895d3c916cb841a7",0.149233,"2026-02-01T00:00:00Z","Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY 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