[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":148,"history":149,"resolved":237,"resolvedSummary":895,"specialization":898,"meta":923},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924",4784,1586,0.49810844892812106,0.11546462139347992,0.05349800810751823,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-11T08:12:31.703Z",1081.8403814533417,2.193489225126089,"2026-10-07T09:48:08.000Z",0,"trades",0.4545046785180936,0.043603770410025035,198114.06402356317,1715798.844985,4.360377041002503,0.0006329113924050633,[26,39,48,59,68,78,86,95,103,112,121,131,139],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"100292172522149577922637436103132246456042318074117879550513151144706945321275","0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436","No",281050.0609,0.8407,"2026-11-02T00:42:34.005Z","2026-08-23T06:24:53.245Z","Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.036\", \"0.964\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",226945.1378,0.9302,"2026-05-29T12:10:53.671Z","Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":51,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":54,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":58,"category":38},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4","Yes",56865.6642,0.8833,"2026-08-04T10:01:30.190Z","Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.945\", \"0.055\"]",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":29,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":65,"event_slug":66,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":67,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",23510.1176,0.8499,"2026-10-18T06:08:24.931Z","Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":73,"question":74,"event_slug":75,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":76,"outcome_prices":77,"category":38},"13887896800265966487014179943559375403384011039339488276489274832989862323735","0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0",18446.93,0.9578,"2026-09-17T21:05:16.276Z","Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]",{"token_id":79,"condition_id":80,"outcome":29,"size":81,"avg_price":82,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":73,"question":83,"event_slug":84,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":85,"category":38},"102072737540439581721560119461604847465937488446785735397007396696309035351749","0x4769e6eb48b0e587abc7972c12c0b70f513b4f973f2b9fd30e3040d13f9b67c2",14069.5,0.9255,"Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?","lindsay-clancy-convicted-of-murder","[\"0.0375\", \"0.9625\"]",{"token_id":87,"condition_id":88,"outcome":29,"size":89,"avg_price":90,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":73,"question":91,"event_slug":92,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":93,"outcome_prices":94,"category":38},"10237931514669206459738969692446839841298207240577627133216632526823089267744","0xad06f38dbe6058465304718be47cde48763aa313a9b2cc90b290598a8d9a78d5",2823.79,0.9199,"Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?","lindsay-clancy-sentenced-to-prison-time","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",{"token_id":96,"condition_id":97,"outcome":29,"size":98,"avg_price":99,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":100,"question":101,"event_slug":75,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":76,"outcome_prices":102,"category":38},"39409206330527880169507414405291721950884951005340760541937649898052386499519","0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1",1989,0.9,"2026-10-06T12:13:12.985Z","Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.0415\", \"0.9585\"]",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":29,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":73,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":111,"category":38},"98607291656145724840946714271852256895489792837874100580112470045554450350724","0xd4a0412f91ddb4bb4062bf563c360cb2645adce35c1395a6d5bf439afe9cd6ac",1764.37,0.9599,"Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?","next-ministerprasident-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806155819619","2026-09-07T03:59:00Z","[\"0.014\", \"0.986\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":29,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":64,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":119,"category":120},"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043","0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d",1010.33,0.967,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":51,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":126,"question":127,"event_slug":128,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":129,"outcome_prices":130,"category":38},"40595502452363181787331218668039984728532857872808201785589778455728140875429","0x2216814f7c4f047af5d2a5c3581427c3060df02fee2c79af0919b2379e34345a",471,0.9618,"2026-09-22T07:40:51.976Z","Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?","which-parties-will-be-in-next-mecklenburg-vorpommern-state-government","2026-09-21T03:59:00Z","[\"0.957\", \"0.043\"]",{"token_id":132,"condition_id":133,"outcome":29,"size":134,"avg_price":135,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":73,"question":136,"event_slug":137,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":110,"outcome_prices":138,"category":38},"72147102845696608793213321830564272534648621380054363857767654189006708116543","0x315200b8feb80d7f467fb0bdbf3d25660eeb149aca3feb9f4ce6a45acb2bdb55",166.2142,0.86,"Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?","which-parties-will-be-in-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":140,"condition_id":141,"outcome":51,"size":142,"avg_price":143,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":144,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":147,"category":38},"113287701564209339913693347405685749986285999146352375265161592243948562084773","0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3",50,0.53,"2026-08-15T07:37:54.387Z","Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]",[],[150,156,162,164,166,168,170,176,181,187,193,195,201,207,213,219,226,233,235],{"recorded_date":151,"roi":152,"win_rate":153,"brier_score":154,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":155,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-05-29",0.07880207610021603,0.9977324263038548,0.03961313056567401,441,{"recorded_date":157,"roi":158,"win_rate":159,"brier_score":160,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":161,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-01",0.18232049907121248,0.9972972972972973,0.04711405301295715,370,{"recorded_date":163,"roi":158,"win_rate":159,"brier_score":160,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":161,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-05",{"recorded_date":165,"roi":158,"win_rate":159,"brier_score":160,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":161,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-08",{"recorded_date":167,"roi":158,"win_rate":159,"brier_score":160,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":161,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-15",{"recorded_date":169,"roi":158,"win_rate":159,"brier_score":160,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":161,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-22",{"recorded_date":171,"roi":172,"win_rate":173,"brier_score":174,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":175,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-29",0.1902069000987035,0.9970845481049563,0.049727380660922194,343,{"recorded_date":177,"roi":178,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":179,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":180,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-06",0.20800442890729812,0.043270872898027876,333,{"recorded_date":182,"roi":183,"win_rate":184,"brier_score":185,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":186,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-13",0.18409891344601503,0.9967213114754099,0.018839674470463214,305,{"recorded_date":188,"roi":189,"win_rate":190,"brier_score":191,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":192,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-20",0.19121472671584172,0.9967105263157895,0.01882763392595816,304,{"recorded_date":194,"roi":189,"win_rate":190,"brier_score":191,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":192,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-27",{"recorded_date":196,"roi":197,"win_rate":198,"brier_score":199,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":200,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-04",0.19100643516169452,0.9965986394557823,0.01840599338400541,294,{"recorded_date":202,"roi":203,"win_rate":204,"brier_score":205,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":206,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-12",0.18427091496547288,0.9965034965034965,0.018019447744397173,286,{"recorded_date":208,"roi":209,"win_rate":210,"brier_score":211,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":212,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-19",0.17087093842100703,0.995575221238938,0.018462663983856598,226,{"recorded_date":214,"roi":215,"win_rate":216,"brier_score":217,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":218,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-26",0.17426980974346637,0.9921875,0.021573141802434092,128,{"recorded_date":220,"roi":221,"win_rate":222,"brier_score":223,"p_value":224,"resolved_trades":225,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-02",0.1781100728367446,0.9772727272727273,0.03526732197526275,0.0021999999999999797,44,{"recorded_date":227,"roi":228,"win_rate":229,"brier_score":230,"p_value":231,"resolved_trades":232,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-17",0.20146696965537175,0.18733153638814015,0.02307156253163718,0.006199999999999983,742,{"recorded_date":234,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-25",{"recorded_date":236,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-11",[238,245,252,262,269,276,284,291,298,305,311,318,325,332,339,345,352,358,365,372,379,386,392,399,406,413,419,425,432,440,446,453,458,465,471,476,483,490,495,502,508,514,520,525,532,538,544,552,558,564,569,576,582,587,594,600,607,615,622,629,634,642,649,655,662,667,674,681,688,695,700,706,711,718,725,731,738,744,751,757,764,771,778,784,790,797,804,811,816,823,829,836,844,849,856,862,868,876,882,888],{"condition_id":239,"outcome":29,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":243,"question":244,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x7846774d5a3d0e7ea41c74a0f84f8e50e657e1ffa20a8fdc0f36a5898eff6a90",4163.5595889999995,0.8197,"live","2026-09-19T23:25:41.085Z","Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":246,"outcome":29,"usdc":247,"entry_price":63,"won":17,"source":242,"end_date_iso":248,"captured_at":249,"question":250,"event_slug":251,"category":38},"0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8",3106.078536,"2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","2026-10-06T02:28:10.009Z","Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election",{"condition_id":253,"outcome":29,"usdc":254,"entry_price":255,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":258,"question":259,"event_slug":260,"category":261},"0x0141bc972b2f4a4591e471742426c99da055fa513f41de9dfdc449fdfc60747f",4605.9052,0.825465064,"backfill","2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","2026-09-25T19:41:58.738Z","US x Iran ceasefire before July? ","us-x-iran-ceasefire-before-july",null,{"condition_id":263,"outcome":29,"usdc":264,"entry_price":265,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":258,"question":267,"event_slug":268,"category":261},"0x01b8a3a88a9ebe4f1bbb35ebfa6a170be07ef5b446c0dd2992c02f883f944ae9",270.55988,0.18859998467341016,"2025-09-16T12:00:00Z","Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?","malawi-presidential-election-981",{"condition_id":270,"outcome":29,"usdc":271,"entry_price":272,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":273,"captured_at":258,"question":274,"event_slug":275,"category":261},"0x03febe14c3f6d5629139c0d941219a86df12a19b3cca5fa83f488c1bc8ef00c5",10696.4796,0.8889449986,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","TikTok sale announced by September 30?","tiktok-sale-announced-in-2025",{"condition_id":277,"outcome":51,"usdc":278,"entry_price":279,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":280,"captured_at":281,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"category":261},"0x136f5a0c27a62cf9a2e40a4f48425e43d61b9571a53a2529372c0065f3218a73",3947.2312,0.8790201515,"2026-06-30","2026-06-15T09:28:03.979Z","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by June 30?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":285,"outcome":29,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":258,"question":289,"event_slug":290,"category":38},"0x139bc939a90e0414f2446ef09b30e3c5a14cc0fa8496c11bb6822954ad674a17",2017.5998,0.7260295435,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?","will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025",{"condition_id":292,"outcome":51,"usdc":293,"entry_price":294,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":281,"question":296,"event_slug":297,"category":261},"0x18dccc229331c63d8360d1400ece2355627637547d8dcd54aa5f7f1b5580686e",428.5089,0.8851295133,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?","military-action-against-iran-ends-on-april-9-2026",{"condition_id":299,"outcome":29,"usdc":300,"entry_price":301,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":258,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"category":261},"0x20ac17a89c85d79795ba093d0536ab35c7215c04ea04286a69ec5755a88c5d11",1072.07,0.7067040211,"2025-09-07T12:00:00Z","Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?","2025-us-open-winner-m",{"condition_id":306,"outcome":51,"usdc":307,"entry_price":308,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":309,"captured_at":281,"question":310,"event_slug":283,"category":261},"0x23408daff185f6c89d91bd279ce97142c573454277d72ae882a9d9fd1ae79af4",28099.994629,0.8264705875857783,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by December 31?",{"condition_id":312,"outcome":51,"usdc":313,"entry_price":314,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":315,"captured_at":281,"question":316,"event_slug":317,"category":261},"0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed",22680,0.84,"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?","will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting",{"condition_id":319,"outcome":29,"usdc":320,"entry_price":321,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":258,"question":323,"event_slug":324,"category":261},"0x26ed2c7b22d8bbf6789e76bdcd88c22b605df53e88c7b57fb3dc48b7ab259a8f",3051.42,0.5,"2025-06-24T12:00:00Z","Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?","who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor",{"condition_id":326,"outcome":29,"usdc":327,"entry_price":328,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":329,"captured_at":258,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"category":261},"0x2a05c4416f02c6bb616816d7410c7d1602c6c2cf9a4f379286beebae4ec1d831",71584.32949999999,0.8846036435606466,"2025-07-13T12:00:00Z","Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?","2025-wimbledon-winner-m",{"condition_id":333,"outcome":29,"usdc":334,"entry_price":335,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":258,"question":337,"event_slug":338,"category":261},"0x2a8972708633cbe7d79e6b66f14b6654bd72b4329abb82e28fd9a62e19662f16",2930.784,0.6,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?","will-the-government-shutdown-end-by-763",{"condition_id":340,"outcome":29,"usdc":341,"entry_price":342,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":329,"captured_at":258,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":261},"0x2b0bfd93edb986831c1dca98d077d7aa6b2702fc4d3ac8ae0385a7d89c38b863",8381.132430000001,0.7372247703835487,"Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?","fifa-club-world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":29,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":349,"captured_at":281,"question":350,"event_slug":351,"category":261},"0x2d859e9b62672ab0e90238495c1799f37759f8a2e96b67e240ddbf679428e7c8",2817.36036,0.887,"2026-04-15","Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?","will-another-country-conduct-military-action-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":353,"outcome":29,"usdc":354,"entry_price":135,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":355,"captured_at":281,"question":356,"event_slug":357,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",3003.4554,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":359,"outcome":29,"usdc":360,"entry_price":361,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":362,"captured_at":281,"question":363,"event_slug":364,"category":261},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",5376.8285,0.6918026428,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":366,"outcome":51,"usdc":367,"entry_price":368,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":369,"captured_at":258,"question":370,"event_slug":371,"category":261},"0x39b1997494b2e001ec1459e601732ded33809b609b396e902dca392f8ea82358",2161.04769,0.8960459125,"2026-03-08T00:00:00Z","Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?","baden-wrttemberg-parliamentary-elections-2nd-place",{"condition_id":373,"outcome":29,"usdc":374,"entry_price":375,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":376,"captured_at":258,"question":377,"event_slug":378,"category":261},"0x3a1841d9bc27d7542c4fb4ecccf44fe07149ae3203b11be3979a627379f49897",16766.2312,0.8969136560060539,"2025-06-18T00:00:00Z","Will Al Hilal beat Real Madrid?","fifa-club-world-cup-real-madrid-vs-al-hilal",{"condition_id":380,"outcome":51,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":258,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":261},"0x3ee86a850a9f5b495d65ad5e409e5903a1f14ccc78c4e8bfa82fdb4c497b543d",25905.2782,0.8725524064492145,"2025-09-08T12:00:00Z","Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?","norway-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":362,"captured_at":258,"question":390,"event_slug":391,"category":261},"0x3f8c674a155ca643341200af3bc4dfc61a825f0c2de3d384df0707f11321de9c",478.8063,0.6454219856,"US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?","us-forces-in-venezuela-again-by",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":29,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":396,"captured_at":258,"question":397,"event_slug":398,"category":38},"0x46e125ed5c19495501ddddffbc6a11651219dc15a1baedf7eb0dddb2d7589ff5",10508.6863,0.7610941934,"2026-02-01T04:59:00Z","Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?","will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":29,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":258,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":261},"0x480bddaf1d050a3adb9a9f1e0e42f770f133906ee428850a127944c31f2c7022",6156.2209,0.8324662211338563,"","Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?","will-trump-meet-with-putin-again-by",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":29,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":410,"captured_at":281,"question":411,"event_slug":412,"category":261},"0x49131d36d313837145649d4cd7dcebbda31324435586cf8f102ed753a699c02f",22719.723128999998,0.7681836703036217,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?","hungary-parliamentary-election-popular-vote-winner",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":51,"usdc":415,"entry_price":314,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":416,"captured_at":258,"question":417,"event_slug":418,"category":261},"0x4a68d828f7263f34391484404380c34efa9566f12a08a88553ddbe8e285c3ae9",40841.556,"2025-07-30T12:00:00Z","No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july",{"condition_id":420,"outcome":29,"usdc":421,"entry_price":422,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":309,"captured_at":258,"question":423,"event_slug":424,"category":261},"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58",1765.8183,0.597923745,"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":29,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":429,"captured_at":258,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":261},"0x4ec4d0c92654ccfed5b161c3ca1b4e3664608581b9d21d80939ce792a3a3b94f",6021.5836,0.8876259744,"2025-06-22T23:55:00Z","US military action against Iran by Sunday?","us-military-action-against-iran-by-sunday-225",{"condition_id":433,"outcome":29,"usdc":434,"entry_price":435,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":437,"question":438,"event_slug":439,"category":38},"0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8",5484.131566999999,0.8200000000830758,"2026-09-06T00:00:00Z","2026-09-17T20:51:53.055Z","Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?","will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-sachsen-anhalt",{"condition_id":441,"outcome":51,"usdc":442,"entry_price":135,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":443,"captured_at":258,"question":444,"event_slug":445,"category":261},"0x56848d4be72f57f7b44a1100a3c384444b5c4b39528827f112ad2465a35f3e94",9460,"2025-09-13T11:30:00Z","Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?","epl-ars-not-2025-09-13",{"condition_id":447,"outcome":29,"usdc":448,"entry_price":449,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":450,"captured_at":258,"question":451,"event_slug":452,"category":261},"0x56a161fce05c462bbe64fdf80b83f720406150b11ae2d35c94907ac3d0eace80",11903.432499,0.8969952918917832,"2025-11-04T23:55:00Z","Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","2nd-place-in-new-york-city-mayoral-election",{"condition_id":454,"outcome":51,"usdc":455,"entry_price":456,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":329,"captured_at":258,"question":457,"event_slug":331,"category":261},"0x58e6dabcbe0b32490a7280dfe1c3cce28f10aa76dbae3740c2863742f5fc4679",2350,0.47,"Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?",{"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":258,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"category":261},"0x5d892486e700e4b7afb9b1726ce4697b0c3002bc086dca4bf1131c932788e920",5685.7561,0.89,"2025-07-31T00:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-july-31",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":258,"question":469,"event_slug":470,"category":261},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",51610.11576,0.8905931889360396,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":472,"outcome":51,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":322,"captured_at":258,"question":475,"event_slug":324,"category":261},"0x6220c4164a293367cd40eba018dd6e67c78e4d48e74158845cc9361230bcb34d",14682.178820000001,0.49110370616984617,"Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":51,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":258,"question":481,"event_slug":482,"category":261},"0x62727c536b08c4a73edb786408542ccecc4a0cf9b0e14ce571b5d00d84e72e04",4250.8113,0.5156160982,"2026-02-01T00:00:00Z","Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?","2026-mens-australian-open-winner",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":51,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":258,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":261},"0x63276180dff2062f707fe30e06ab8b1c7d81b0194a2d8b97f176896c96acc19f",505.36472,0.8773693056,"2025-10-26T12:00:00Z","Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?","ballon-dor-winner-2025",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":29,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":266,"captured_at":258,"question":494,"event_slug":268,"category":261},"0x6cf3987128ef2424eefe80ade1ca390a88d4d1f08ae5d970fbf4d4179cce6ce1",1972.565,0.8647807979,"Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?",{"condition_id":496,"outcome":29,"usdc":497,"entry_price":498,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":499,"captured_at":258,"question":500,"event_slug":501,"category":261},"0x7382a5e41b0fec7ba5fd4d62191fc1cf4504d3768970c46d4c9185615c416872",2287.999602,0.7833252843719107,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?","eurovision-winner-2026",{"condition_id":503,"outcome":29,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":258,"question":506,"event_slug":507,"category":38},"0x759b597b20756bff4086ed700c82b91b8b9fdee4267853dd9773c267738dcd1e",12458.2466,0.8469766022,"Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?","venezuela-presidential-election-scheduled-by",{"condition_id":509,"outcome":29,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":362,"captured_at":258,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":261},"0x77b9b065f487d1e18d005465d221ec6c84ed3babfaf6ecf62f20baeaa9fc3038",24922.873261999994,0.8700000003291429,"Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-january-31",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":135,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":517,"captured_at":258,"question":518,"event_slug":519,"category":261},"0x79c2139370c0d718bc65b47a5476a3a180efe0f3d65e5cfe557951fd2dd02452",18832.3316,"2026-01-17T17:30:00Z","Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?","epl-not-ars-2026-01-17",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":258,"question":524,"event_slug":290,"category":38},"0x7f3c6b9029a1a4a932509c147a2cc0762e1116b7a4568cde472908b29dd4889d",5301.9816900000005,0.8068943424079237,"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":526,"outcome":29,"usdc":527,"entry_price":528,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":529,"captured_at":258,"question":530,"event_slug":531,"category":261},"0x846ce700a217ec7b75b8d078450f7e88eb5f44c76c12ae448ca10039ef4412b9",145315.05853,0.7952015002096305,"2025-11-04T12:00:00Z","Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","new-york-city-mayoral-election",{"condition_id":533,"outcome":29,"usdc":534,"entry_price":535,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":281,"question":536,"event_slug":537,"category":261},"0x8a4e2896a318755e419acbeb8f5896ce06715fd2e5ebf35c27602a51b1a891b0",6028.8558,0.856301015,"Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?","gulf-state-military-action-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":539,"outcome":29,"usdc":540,"entry_price":541,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":362,"captured_at":258,"question":542,"event_slug":543,"category":261},"0x8d9b74d39735dd0b76542c31b81b9544c3eb954060b3c5790d24957538638145",1639.1597,0.8490767772441011,"Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-january",{"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"usdc":546,"entry_price":547,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":548,"captured_at":281,"question":549,"event_slug":550,"category":551},"0x8df5a4256840dee05851250c0490da7593597faff3a7f9a156ccbbda7fec76f8",28842.989999999998,0.726079027355623,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?","uefa-champions-league-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":553,"outcome":29,"usdc":554,"entry_price":555,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":273,"captured_at":258,"question":556,"event_slug":557,"category":261},"0x8ee2f1640386310eb5e7ffa596ba9335f2d324e303d21b0dfea6998874445791",77948.159127,0.8765241900263834,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025",{"condition_id":559,"outcome":29,"usdc":560,"entry_price":561,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":562,"captured_at":258,"question":563,"event_slug":275,"category":261},"0x923c18fc3717918a566f1f8e907cbd3f9f9b3c386429ef5f56d431b7f374b1c4",410.765,0.6772712284,"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","TikTok sale announced by October 31?",{"condition_id":565,"outcome":51,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":302,"captured_at":258,"question":568,"event_slug":304,"category":261},"0x941bea9e5fb5e647831373ff50acacf30a3a6a66ec47c1f2ed757b4c1dec3613",9762.239932999999,0.5781278522544497,"Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?",{"condition_id":570,"outcome":29,"usdc":571,"entry_price":572,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":573,"captured_at":437,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":261},"0x95f41e6f6c8bc899fda186967cdc6359f5eca12dc9fe48372cd95383a38f995c",4503.70829,0.8358047264,"2026-09-06T23:59:00Z","Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?","sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-elections-afd-of-seats-20260722230807017",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":29,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":258,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":261},"0x9a40c58ffda1c02eec35f58107bd69bd30cb3d367f1755c0512bbde5abeb9d4b",3325.3134,0.8771183114,"US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?","us-announces-military-coordination-with-kurds-in-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":29,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":295,"captured_at":281,"question":586,"event_slug":351,"category":261},"0x9a8757bf4ecee8ba364603c3195d63c37c4d2700b69f8e4c5f751850bc330c9a",755.0040809999999,0.7700000035378037,"Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":588,"outcome":51,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":591,"captured_at":258,"question":592,"event_slug":593,"category":261},"0x9ba0e12a339b01159f86cd697890e24ab2a25749cdaa8beb6a1a744fb4a93610",9419.566011,0.643367024514343,"2025-08-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?","will-russia-capture-pokrovsk-by",{"condition_id":595,"outcome":29,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":258,"question":598,"event_slug":599,"category":261},"0xa0f7f47301fe16ce44faf82b4b435cc34e4bff3bce09c40e02603e45618f6e07",30130.707000000002,0.8921463061883486,"Iranian coup attempt before July?","iranian-coup-attempt-before-july",{"condition_id":601,"outcome":29,"usdc":602,"entry_price":603,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":604,"captured_at":258,"question":605,"event_slug":606,"category":261},"0xa529f6172053308b6a658c516cd03ead5fb3a2e75769e20bc369fe2bfd750173",2457.7378,0.1980494161,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Larry Ellison\u002FOracle acquire TikTok?","who-will-acquire-tiktok-559",{"condition_id":608,"outcome":609,"usdc":610,"entry_price":611,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":612,"captured_at":258,"question":613,"event_slug":614,"category":261},"0xa59977d4e9b8830732c4ec9d1065bb356fbffca61d04a0a10589367e831f0569","Alcaraz ",10806.2772,0.8191246370088392,"2025-07-11T00:00:00Z","Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz ","wimbledon-alcaraz-vs-fritz-481",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":29,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":619,"captured_at":258,"question":620,"event_slug":621,"category":261},"0xb2f2bdc4427cfe0b7ae878355610478ad2384e387705e42cf8c8f596193488c6",13121.5579,0.7956509920464113,"2025-06-20T00:00:00Z","US military action against Iran by Friday?","us-military-action-against-iran-by-friday",{"condition_id":623,"outcome":29,"usdc":624,"entry_price":625,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":626,"captured_at":258,"question":627,"event_slug":628,"category":261},"0xb3ebf217cf2f393a66030c072b04b893268506923e01b23f1bcf3504c3d319c2",2921.1402,0.7556014774649419,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?","iran-strike-on-israel-by",{"condition_id":630,"outcome":29,"usdc":631,"entry_price":632,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":258,"question":633,"event_slug":489,"category":261},"0xb9ec4394b00a43b7fecca64fd351f714ee6ee8bb241c2e04ecf89f0eeeb32cd4",1676.46913,0.7899824377,"Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?",{"condition_id":635,"outcome":636,"usdc":637,"entry_price":638,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":639,"captured_at":258,"question":640,"event_slug":641,"category":261},"0xbca42cc8f2895665fcd5af5001ff7417d173330fe7c0161cb31afce8c11a06ec","Nakashima",2117.9739999999997,0.8492958537112036,"2025-09-03T15:00:00Z","US Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kym","us-open-brandon-nakashima-vs-jerome-kym-2025-08-27",{"condition_id":643,"outcome":29,"usdc":644,"entry_price":645,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":646,"captured_at":258,"question":647,"event_slug":648,"category":261},"0xc03bc300379b0626db145f803121b768b0ec8d164e86188f6f3e45aa48616456",1760.8926109999998,0.8009971208155384,"2025-09-30T00:00:00Z","Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?","jimmy-kimmel-out-by-september-30",{"condition_id":650,"outcome":29,"usdc":651,"entry_price":652,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":646,"captured_at":258,"question":653,"event_slug":654,"category":261},"0xc23f9b92d4179611ecf2d28e2ae73b4c8da7ce2fb25564d70225f59e537af3bf",3263.43,0.75,"Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?","will-israel-raid-gaza-aid-flotilla-by",{"condition_id":656,"outcome":29,"usdc":657,"entry_price":658,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":659,"captured_at":281,"question":660,"event_slug":661,"category":261},"0xc3b642d735f7cc688cdc6860cf9b85bfe06e178c3759e4bd79bd2971347e9464",2332.4358400000006,0.4560891708262821,"2026-02-23T00:00:00Z","Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?","2026-winter-olympics-winter-olympics-2026-curling-mixed-doubles-usa",{"condition_id":663,"outcome":29,"usdc":664,"entry_price":665,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":529,"captured_at":258,"question":666,"event_slug":531,"category":261},"0xc40cbb2d7f5d2c43c624bd5b1d0b18cd3d0682b3937363ec7c1ad1d13bee107e",101745.323057,0.8472508514523385,"Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":51,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":671,"captured_at":258,"question":672,"event_slug":673,"category":261},"0xc5081a35908a7bd341212bb376f02ab5fdf346dd364e963ce866639f93636fc9",1058.67,0.4790795547108336,"2026-02-23T04:59:00Z","Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?","winter-games-2026-curling-mixed-doubles",{"condition_id":675,"outcome":51,"usdc":676,"entry_price":677,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":678,"captured_at":281,"question":679,"event_slug":680,"category":261},"0xc84dfa2ab4a808d1b96a2cf439f8b88a1c5c37762253280deb7663a195d9b859",7530.0071,0.77,"2026-06-30T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":682,"outcome":29,"usdc":683,"entry_price":684,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":685,"captured_at":258,"question":686,"event_slug":687,"category":261},"0xc952d0cfab6d4cf566294602c0e81982def8850f1a6f713c634c9b686872990a",10097.8444,0.8399359516,"2025-06-23T23:55:00Z","US military action against Iran by Monday?","us-military-action-against-iran-by-monday-177",{"condition_id":689,"outcome":51,"usdc":690,"entry_price":691,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":692,"captured_at":281,"question":693,"event_slug":694,"category":261},"0xcba24842ceac7a40d2a8b9adde1f4407999b6505193b9fd68156ae76fbffa706",57547.24839299998,0.8837123098902961,"2026-05-27T00:00:00Z","Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?","english-premier-league-winner",{"condition_id":696,"outcome":29,"usdc":697,"entry_price":698,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":329,"captured_at":258,"question":699,"event_slug":344,"category":261},"0xcddc4839d7f41cd37d0aaf0a4b8336178ae799b9d166f25fe0c35f4a61682d8c",639.6,0.78,"Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?",{"condition_id":701,"outcome":51,"usdc":702,"entry_price":703,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":646,"captured_at":258,"question":704,"event_slug":705,"category":261},"0xd189af84a1c6c02b579796a1eb08af597232d33455c42d9c0f5c98eccb4292cb",12270.928679999999,0.6674302151957451,"Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?","lord-miles-completes-40-day-water-fast-in-the-dessert",{"condition_id":707,"outcome":29,"usdc":708,"entry_price":135,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":258,"question":709,"event_slug":710,"category":261},"0xd5e2c76090cc15dc1e613fd61b9a2cee9b76c9097a6c313f256df55d2df5149c",14217.3394,"Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-in-2025",{"condition_id":712,"outcome":29,"usdc":713,"entry_price":714,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":715,"captured_at":258,"question":716,"event_slug":717,"category":261},"0xd6c22daa78afa38f19e23ca808052938cfa9388db1b628145587a80c47e6c733",20804.1416,0.88,"2025-06-24T00:00:00Z","Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?","nyc-mayor-dem-primary-1st-round-winner",{"condition_id":719,"outcome":29,"usdc":720,"entry_price":721,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":722,"captured_at":258,"question":723,"event_slug":724,"category":261},"0xd738e71656c315e90cc6712b6afc534724bcd6bf6f40b03f194029511f117369",8054.7701,0.8891279454,"2026-01-05T00:00:00Z","Maduro mugshot released by Monday?","maduro-mugshot-released-by-monday",{"condition_id":726,"outcome":51,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":403,"captured_at":281,"question":729,"event_slug":730,"category":38},"0xd7540d64e03b1894ececcbb54c02b88d9c5c0e854ba66ec4e1ece20477994ac5",4313.646589,0.8096569845460789,"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":732,"outcome":29,"usdc":733,"entry_price":734,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":735,"captured_at":281,"question":736,"event_slug":737,"category":261},"0xd81f611670339738cb6ac259b94a54b5b08e372f19c063a8ad6fb2a8c7fe3ed8",1871.2932,0.7978363306,"2026-04-18T00:00:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":739,"outcome":29,"usdc":740,"entry_price":698,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":741,"captured_at":281,"question":742,"event_slug":743,"category":261},"0xd82e290278038064d836ea912e3989fb7bae996b73d5a5e6910e3c5ac01ae136",4742.18399,"2026-05-06T19:00:00Z","Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?","ucl-bay-psg-2026-05-06",{"condition_id":745,"outcome":51,"usdc":746,"entry_price":747,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":748,"captured_at":258,"question":749,"event_slug":750,"category":261},"0xdaefb1932437cd3f7ece0d9501f33e884793332797e4028db51aa3c3301f9013",3108.598,0.8199076857853933,"2026-01-06T17:00:00Z","Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?","sea-lec-rom-2026-01-06",{"condition_id":752,"outcome":29,"usdc":753,"entry_price":754,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":273,"captured_at":258,"question":755,"event_slug":756,"category":261},"0xdfbdc5331baaf33996d442f543f7c0fe3391dd067cecbb90899b8339e927d05c",1160,0.58,"Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?","who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"usdc":759,"entry_price":760,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":761,"captured_at":281,"question":762,"event_slug":763,"category":38},"0xe208a07bd71069b04e3b89de92f71da8b155d45dc2e527dc46c3ceb2a63b307b",319.1808,0.48,"2026-04-27","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":765,"outcome":29,"usdc":766,"entry_price":767,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":768,"captured_at":281,"question":769,"event_slug":770,"category":261},"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84",166292.4785,0.85,"2026-04-30","Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-april-30",{"condition_id":772,"outcome":29,"usdc":773,"entry_price":774,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":775,"captured_at":258,"question":776,"event_slug":777,"category":261},"0xe90b27f08082e17740308fdc957528d29a3f334a9ecaeefd056a3427a4cfdaaf",10270.63586,0.880869997,"2026-01-25T14:00:00Z","Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?","portugal-presidential-election",{"condition_id":779,"outcome":51,"usdc":780,"entry_price":461,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":781,"captured_at":258,"question":782,"event_slug":783,"category":261},"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d",26700,"2026-01-28T00:00:00Z","No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-january",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":29,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":369,"captured_at":258,"question":788,"event_slug":789,"category":261},"0xe9ce2255c884b6b6c0d00b970f1b496531a750191b8fc4b246f809cfda550915",143.4615,0.65,"Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-march-referendum-what-will-pass",{"condition_id":791,"outcome":51,"usdc":792,"entry_price":793,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":281,"question":795,"event_slug":796,"category":261},"0xebddfcf7b4401dade8b4031770a1ab942b01854f3bed453d5df9425cd9f211a9",65758.768306,0.8787432447865791,"2025-11-04T00:00:00Z","Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?","will-zohran-mamdani-win-the-2025-nyc-mayoral-election",{"condition_id":798,"outcome":29,"usdc":799,"entry_price":800,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":801,"captured_at":258,"question":802,"event_slug":803,"category":261},"0xec0a4d2952cb62ca55e16a4ad879aae5c988309f71a8f16fc3c65fe0a8df52d4",37125.089199999995,0.8715828563691239,"2025-10-19T00:00:00Z","Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?","bolivia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":805,"outcome":29,"usdc":806,"entry_price":807,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":808,"captured_at":258,"question":809,"event_slug":810,"category":261},"0xed4615db4766881d064c19a6ca9ea6f3f3bc4d55c41fac513d1ca7a2f4dc96e4",16003.9974,0.883870108,"2025-08-17T00:00:00Z","Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?","bolivia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner",{"condition_id":812,"outcome":51,"usdc":813,"entry_price":814,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":715,"captured_at":258,"question":815,"event_slug":717,"category":261},"0xf53a63a7aec5009131e8bc192327c24fb85ed96e5208608fb779a7345a5c2733",2553.5372,0.8880509418,"Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?",{"condition_id":817,"outcome":29,"usdc":818,"entry_price":819,"won":12,"source":256,"end_date_iso":820,"captured_at":258,"question":821,"event_slug":822,"category":261},"0xfa48a99317daef1654d5b03e30557c4222f276657275628d9475e141c64b545d",13082.2933,0.7493722415,"2026-02-28T12:00:00Z","US recession in 2025?","us-recession-in-2025",{"condition_id":824,"outcome":29,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":17,"source":256,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":258,"question":827,"event_slug":828,"category":261},"0xfe4ddfdf4e6b6188967331f5932c8ec6dcbc815572ef9f3566b5d903a708b61f",14187.115000000002,0.7207361741876016,"Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?","fordow-nuclear-facility-destroyed-before-july",{"condition_id":830,"outcome":29,"usdc":831,"entry_price":832,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":833,"captured_at":834,"question":835,"event_slug":251,"category":38},"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced",28280.072304999998,0.9299,"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","2026-08-07T13:11:36.293Z","Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":837,"outcome":29,"usdc":838,"entry_price":839,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":840,"captured_at":841,"question":842,"event_slug":843,"category":120},"0x0f94ae65ad29cb9e7c7703a71d404f7616edeebbc2873257759c746156d96425",92,0.92,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","2026-07-31T10:09:55.928Z","Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?","will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":29,"usdc":846,"entry_price":107,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":847,"question":848,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x5c881188a151876e13d8bf67c36c03e34ce851bd5fbc2163288e9e45b93ef46c",22035.013247,"2026-09-20T14:25:42.921Z","Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026",{"condition_id":850,"outcome":29,"usdc":851,"entry_price":135,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":853,"question":854,"event_slug":855,"category":38},"0xe56ea36629f22db9d86fffb7a326a1d64750d3da6037ef69dd7d3ff301ff880b",43.0602,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","2026-08-04T20:00:27.891Z","Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?","berlin-state-election-winner",{"condition_id":857,"outcome":29,"usdc":858,"entry_price":859,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":860,"question":861,"event_slug":855,"category":38},"0x8aaaca6ea5c037d3cdfe85272ab9029b7165694dcae8af0de5071f01a1a944f0",18.08474,0.8779,"2026-08-22T08:08:39.918Z","Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?",{"condition_id":863,"outcome":51,"usdc":864,"entry_price":865,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":834,"question":866,"event_slug":867,"category":38},"0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c",180.4669,0.83,"Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":869,"outcome":29,"usdc":870,"entry_price":871,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":872,"captured_at":873,"question":874,"event_slug":875,"category":551},"0x15f8f202d13a8bf70566cc9d015331f2b7c4673ce7c0f3bd9274122143da98d7",15289.927169999999,0.9379,"2026-09-13T00:00:00Z","2026-08-21T13:08:38.364Z","Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?","2026-mens-us-open-winner-tennis",{"condition_id":877,"outcome":29,"usdc":878,"entry_price":879,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":872,"captured_at":880,"question":881,"event_slug":875,"category":551},"0x1e8287101399f3c9c1c135d82f7e53613a4ba421cab14fb7e6b2b1cf8bd83f30",6744.337138,0.9449,"2026-08-25T06:08:46.049Z","Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?",{"condition_id":883,"outcome":29,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":872,"captured_at":886,"question":887,"event_slug":875,"category":551},"0x2212033b5adefa053fe4c71067daa55118aa7e97cd9599f3d31d49bbc5778674",29250,0.975,"2026-08-19T20:50:58.048Z","Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":51,"usdc":890,"entry_price":891,"won":12,"source":242,"end_date_iso":892,"captured_at":841,"question":893,"event_slug":894,"category":38},"0x7e50b661a2bedc670bcf32fc9ece12616f6fc4fba5dbe8526292bf3447374009",31217.153550000003,0.935,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"total":896,"wins":897},157,129,[899,905,910,915,920],{"category":900,"n":901,"wins":902,"hitRate":903,"roi":904},"Other",88,70,0.7954545454545454,0.09940769814415787,{"category":38,"n":906,"wins":907,"hitRate":908,"roi":909},35,34,0.9714285714285714,0.04178280752211558,{"category":551,"n":911,"wins":912,"hitRate":913,"roi":914},22,14,0.6363636363636364,0.11791332170006633,{"category":120,"n":916,"wins":917,"hitRate":918,"roi":919},11,10,0.9090909090909091,0.025919974347937736,{"category":921,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":922},"Crypto",0.008064516129032251,{"generatedAt":924},"2026-11-02T11:50:23.267Z"]