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exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?","how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026-20260805184236864","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]","Science",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"21578654549166421882997157277461285256508743483085349146932317150560956547267","0x2f555d57bb441e70cc5f8f9a63457fe77b6b319cbea9cc63bb0495e756065edb",304.46,0.0331,"Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 26?","highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-26-2026","2026-10-26T12:00:00Z","[\"0\", 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31°C on October 26?","highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-october-26-2026",{"token_id":64,"condition_id":65,"outcome":29,"size":66,"avg_price":67,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":68,"event_slug":45,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":46,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"115353803866385630772361581046719732709044881004158754944657320184141271308040","0xb053239652c9ef134540e7e00dbf2da26eb5be6ffef70ae12ddfbbae271af8cd",218.85,0.007,"Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 26?",[],[71,78],{"recorded_date":72,"roi":73,"win_rate":74,"brier_score":75,"p_value":76,"resolved_trades":77,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-30",0.0946456420229233,0.3978494623655914,0.14729352064938067,0.562,186,{"recorded_date":79,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-22",[81,85,87,95,100,106,111,119,125,132,140,147,155,158,165,171,178,186,192,199,206,209,215,220,227,230,237,244,251,257,264,270,275,282,288,295,302,308,314,321,328,333,339,346,351,354,359,365,367,373,378,384,389,391,395,400,406,413,418,425,431,434,439,444,450,453,460,466,472,477,483,490,495,501,508,514,519,525,531,537,544,550,557,562,568,575,581,587,593,599,605,612,617,624,631,637,643,650,655,662],{"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"usdc":82,"entry_price":43,"won":17,"source":83,"end_date_iso":46,"captured_at":84,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"category":38},10.077625999999999,"live","2026-10-26T10:00:39.901Z",{"condition_id":65,"outcome":29,"usdc":86,"entry_price":67,"won":17,"source":83,"end_date_iso":46,"captured_at":84,"question":68,"event_slug":45,"category":38},1.53195,{"condition_id":88,"outcome":29,"usdc":89,"entry_price":90,"won":12,"source":83,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":92,"question":93,"event_slug":94,"category":38},"0xfe5b73c5d266088b45dc790050274d1df7055508203171567f55fd686244d0e8",48.046656,0.3136,"2026-10-22T12:00:00Z","2026-10-23T10:55:31.021Z","Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?","highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-october-22-2026",{"condition_id":96,"outcome":29,"usdc":97,"entry_price":98,"won":17,"source":83,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":92,"question":99,"event_slug":94,"category":38},"0x0862e217e07167f93e37634bc5e025ff8dd768faedae370cae9968c884f4fb0e",63.267936000000006,0.5944,"Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?",{"condition_id":101,"outcome":29,"usdc":102,"entry_price":103,"won":17,"source":83,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":92,"question":104,"event_slug":105,"category":38},"0xe1d0fa48fe1559e46029230776e06e74d5505d32c3679e2ba336bfde6f32f296",3.1712800000000003,0.0196,"Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?","highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-22-2026",{"condition_id":107,"outcome":29,"usdc":108,"entry_price":109,"won":17,"source":83,"end_date_iso":91,"captured_at":92,"question":110,"event_slug":105,"category":38},"0x70384682713e02c628f4f2ae7a09178a30536ba2689074a83b51822c7219d26e",27.077886,0.1793,"Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?",{"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":116,"captured_at":13,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"category":38},"0x0045fa507c484e5f36a7631eb577c3d559c46801cc8597a7e18b390e307df158",18.99427,0.41,"backfill","2026-10-16T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?","highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-october-16-2026",{"condition_id":120,"outcome":29,"usdc":121,"entry_price":122,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":116,"captured_at":13,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"category":38},"0x009d8765bb7b952bcaeb22a03eeecca0ae1f8e89e78df3cdb2c1498ea087a368",13.50653,0.5278,"Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 16?","highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-16-2026",{"condition_id":126,"outcome":29,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"category":38},"0x00aa8a2bf898fcca1f55882a5b147d2313c1d137e2a32ef6bc430bebae9f0e95",7.5,0.25,"2026-10-14T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-14-2026",{"condition_id":133,"outcome":29,"usdc":134,"entry_price":135,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":137,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"category":38},"0x0358c6cc13b490d7f23e25dff826c7842d05a1caf1d7e1052fcfa3e03567907e",9.72097,0.31260436653695,"2026-09-24T12:00:00Z","2026-09-30T08:10:27.737Z","Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 24?","highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-september-24-2026",{"condition_id":141,"outcome":29,"usdc":142,"entry_price":143,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":144,"captured_at":13,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"category":38},"0x064ecee432b4f6ff69d3b636ea390adb43814df14d686f7fa92968b4dc52344a",1.43313,0.23,"2026-10-04T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 4?","highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-october-4-2026",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":149,"usdc":150,"entry_price":151,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"category":38},"0x0650a8d2bec1f7d2ac7610154daf6cabcceca051cb42136a2f4b822bcbb2ea70","No",45.65515,0.8214658926297533,"2026-10-21T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?","highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-21-2026",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":29,"usdc":156,"entry_price":157,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"category":38},31.50763,0.4269089401547602,{"condition_id":159,"outcome":29,"usdc":160,"entry_price":161,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":162,"captured_at":13,"question":163,"event_slug":164,"category":38},"0x07d8341c7dca6172b490f705c7119b266c12ec14f6a9b9e565974d2a05d36f0a",31.166230000000002,0.48630452147307873,"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 18?","highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-18-2026",{"condition_id":166,"outcome":29,"usdc":167,"entry_price":168,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":162,"captured_at":13,"question":169,"event_slug":170,"category":38},"0x08207d45978add14e77efe4015ba9d94e2203f4b4cb44dec04bfafc536224a35",32.614110000000004,0.41330119855184994,"Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 18?","highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-18-2026",{"condition_id":172,"outcome":29,"usdc":173,"entry_price":174,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":175,"captured_at":13,"question":176,"event_slug":177,"category":38},"0x095e02faa0e252070c779af250686498c03bee49a30dfabf88220a934e1c2c5e",2.54165,0.081,"2026-10-15T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15?","highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-15-2026",{"condition_id":179,"outcome":29,"usdc":180,"entry_price":181,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":137,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"category":185},"0x0a44687684f6ba3dad270708a29179470dad4ac550f4f2d0b3bd8040ae159372",3.85762,0.148,"2026-09-21T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?","highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-september-21-2026",null,{"condition_id":187,"outcome":149,"usdc":188,"entry_price":189,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":116,"captured_at":13,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"category":38},"0x0a6209dbb43e027d195dc59969b3a7db01cdb609d367c055144defc1f6412fb1",44,0.88,"Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?","highest-temperature-in-tokyo-on-october-16-2026",{"condition_id":193,"outcome":29,"usdc":194,"entry_price":195,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":196,"captured_at":13,"question":197,"event_slug":198,"category":38},"0x0a932b45dddb752e74aadf73d17f0fb23698cde65db1b226ede0bed80f842af1",5.74197,0.3701855053516623,"2026-10-17T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?","highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-17-2026",{"condition_id":200,"outcome":149,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":38},"0x0aa65a936a75078a9d536d7aeae9db75af9f56a260c648720c184731c7de8209",6.92272,0.41819875776397514,"2026-10-10T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?","highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-10-2026",{"condition_id":200,"outcome":29,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":13,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":38},37.075649999999996,0.49367048867301383,{"condition_id":210,"outcome":29,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":116,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":38},"0x0c6c3e433671c23186d06a77e7a8548290e61ec874d4201a33f41ad35ceb91a7",5.9236,0.53,"Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 16?","highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-16-2026",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":29,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":116,"captured_at":13,"question":219,"event_slug":124,"category":38},"0x0e756f1c229981febf05fdd5fe09defdb1d100d0ec0e312f3cadf0a213caf27d",0.94738,0.098,"Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 16?",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":149,"usdc":222,"entry_price":223,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"category":38},"0x0ee9fdd78e02f3e8e1b383169a26a61f2275ad00e67279a729157f76d999412d",54.57726,0.6776633863,"2026-10-09T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 9?","highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-october-9-2026",{"condition_id":221,"outcome":29,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":224,"captured_at":13,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"category":38},9.78904,0.6298296199213631,{"condition_id":231,"outcome":149,"usdc":232,"entry_price":233,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":234,"captured_at":137,"question":235,"event_slug":236,"category":185},"0x0efc26be684d24e8a204d1dca4a11784f0ae2629484f0d24c9d5e9b904e0a14c",1.48738,0.49,"2026-09-19T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?","highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-september-19-2026",{"condition_id":238,"outcome":149,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"category":38},"0x0f9780a134328c73646d21d71c4612f37abb5ad7f2f9caabc9989f5b8b4a84ca",82.64963,0.7510838163445579,"2026-10-06T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-6-2026",{"condition_id":245,"outcome":29,"usdc":246,"entry_price":247,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":248,"captured_at":137,"question":249,"event_slug":250,"category":185},"0x113eb585e66aeabf365080f69927d93b7f06a41e1ca7cafbd2524a0c19477ef9",15.159310000000001,0.1374022793519638,"2026-09-07T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?","highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-september-7-2026",{"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"usdc":253,"entry_price":254,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":196,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"category":38},"0x114ab30a0189b99420094dc37d823f88542a8d16df6d7e4ea95a23a5866faa6f",4.03921,0.44,"Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?","highest-temperature-in-helsinki-on-october-17-2026",{"condition_id":258,"outcome":29,"usdc":259,"entry_price":260,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":261,"captured_at":137,"question":262,"event_slug":263,"category":185},"0x117d360de7451e8a1b66c8835b3a03a1547c37302544630c608eeb04f8bbf417",6.93816,0.2766942149,"2026-09-14T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 14?","highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-september-14-2026",{"condition_id":265,"outcome":29,"usdc":266,"entry_price":267,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":261,"captured_at":137,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":185},"0x118959cdb97704ff8ed5d0769cd8a34ec8c54b4e1bcaeb325eb93ab095e96733",29.71699,0.499862069,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-14-2026",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":29,"usdc":272,"entry_price":212,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":137,"question":273,"event_slug":274,"category":185},"0x1207925e461bfeed196852630033cda678cb66fe3c694e92b84a221a4243dd44",2.78279,"Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?","highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-september-21-2026",{"condition_id":276,"outcome":29,"usdc":277,"entry_price":278,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":279,"captured_at":137,"question":280,"event_slug":281,"category":185},"0x17b7acab9849e2199db53cc32a0db100d382a56d52a9a42962650f478d34c435",1.315348,0.022869326152182724,"2026-09-20T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?","highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-september-20-2026",{"condition_id":283,"outcome":29,"usdc":284,"entry_price":285,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":162,"captured_at":13,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"category":38},"0x18745cf964ba2ea5996dcc2269c5098f30cd67cbd0ddc5dffb4ae889747b03a5",77.06711,0.86,"Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?","highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-october-18-2026",{"condition_id":289,"outcome":29,"usdc":290,"entry_price":291,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":292,"captured_at":137,"question":293,"event_slug":294,"category":38},"0x19ebedcc627089fae24b84e378da628067ace9b083c4c65633419f30d2f42989",10.42851,0.1428564286,"2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?","highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-september-27-2026",{"condition_id":296,"outcome":29,"usdc":297,"entry_price":298,"won":17,"source":115,"end_date_iso":299,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"category":38},"0x1a23bbcdf93cb5101a160475d3a8e94368c2425d950032f49de3535538cf33a9",15.0048,0.16,"2026-10-01T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 1?","highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-october-1-2026",{"condition_id":303,"outcome":149,"usdc":304,"entry_price":305,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":196,"captured_at":13,"question":306,"event_slug":307,"category":38},"0x1a577cb803c59c2a2dbff96bdaf83ea6de3b96daad4201a8c4a7e6b85fdaf3bb",6.7122,0.66,"Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 17?","highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-17-2026",{"condition_id":309,"outcome":29,"usdc":310,"entry_price":311,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":116,"captured_at":13,"question":312,"event_slug":313,"category":38},"0x1a893d1c06aed866da20ff926a5c808be850170fa94f8192326053710c29ef69",49.13783,0.6727971054828834,"Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?","highest-temperature-in-wuhan-on-october-16-2026",{"condition_id":315,"outcome":29,"usdc":316,"entry_price":317,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":13,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"category":38},"0x1af8a6062c676e11fd12473850660a6233aa77fc52975ee8fd705125f1e77945",40.75934,0.6382148549384283,"2026-10-12T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?","highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-12-2026",{"condition_id":322,"outcome":149,"usdc":323,"entry_price":324,"won":12,"source":115,"end_date_iso":325,"captured_at":137,"question":326,"event_slug":327,"category":38},"0x1d23d8467a4f8db381a60fcea0248fa67e5b539eb17fb2d5d867e0077e278405",89.66447,0.698581257435524,"2026-09-29T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 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