[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xd85da6e47410324e32cc12fcc86e5e44a2c63700":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":284,"history":285,"resolved":295,"resolvedSummary":662,"specialization":665,"meta":681},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":12,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0xd85da6e47410324e32cc12fcc86e5e44a2c63700",1115,208,0.38461538461538464,0.030883576259966468,0.18232996684186198,0.009600000000000053,0,"2026-10-15T08:12:33.049Z",1,10.209650014423083,4.72457627118644,"2026-09-30T01:48:26.000Z","trades",0.4640528888168268,-0.07943750420144233,65.58458500006464,2123.6072030000014,-2.853409359230958,[25,38,46,55,63,72,81,89,97,105,112,120,128,137,145,153,161,169,177,185,192,200,208,216,223,231,238,245,251,258,266,273,280],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b","No",1214.19,0.9398,"2026-10-25T12:12:00.632Z","2026-10-15T15:34:44.997Z","Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",1003.83,0.8173,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":28,"size":49,"avg_price":50,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":51,"event_slug":52,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":53,"category":54},"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043","0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d",419.26,0.9463,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":56,"condition_id":57,"outcome":28,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":60,"event_slug":61,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":62,"category":37},"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827","0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f",170.62,0.8858,"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","[\"0.0325\", \"0.9675\"]",{"token_id":64,"condition_id":65,"outcome":66,"size":67,"avg_price":68,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":69,"event_slug":70,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":71,"category":37},"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231","0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f","Yes",89.42,0.8131,"Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","[\"0.7555\", \"0.2445\"]",{"token_id":73,"condition_id":74,"outcome":66,"size":75,"avg_price":76,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":77,"event_slug":78,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":79,"outcome_prices":80,"category":37},"86831555216352607458811867018842097191310281105831909967661155990095395482445","0xa090ae1a88ca96bcae7523a65a96425ed53616709be75cb69a0df144f718931e",88.24,0.7657,"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","nothing-ever-happens-2026","2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","[\"0.795\", \"0.205\"]",{"token_id":82,"condition_id":83,"outcome":66,"size":84,"avg_price":85,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":86,"event_slug":87,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":88,"category":37},"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc",136.0355,0.4706,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":90,"condition_id":91,"outcome":66,"size":92,"avg_price":93,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":94,"event_slug":95,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":96,"category":54},"31155599200443620024532103683912072563894181253510224263086924270624693692711","0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b",144.65,0.3222,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":28,"size":100,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":102,"event_slug":103,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":104,"category":37},"52144999543229413513861544800124735490771359660172681885251993902562842903350","0xfb013a43c6ea97f5af4515baefbefdc2a9cfeca1d764aa9f3ce1f6bd93002dfe",39.86,0.93,"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","[\"0.0695\", \"0.9305\"]",{"token_id":106,"condition_id":107,"outcome":28,"size":108,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":111,"category":37},"18702020867581976905619984893323736143098724607754292117438927457109238679413","0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa",37.07,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":66,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":119,"category":37},"107729402733481801715276727183402507127741210361101226673865413196241742960596","0xff68b32e6543ae8b44ccb520604b6ea224a1bac071a186fb65f6f40949a758df",116.44,0.2219," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31","[\"0.1335\", \"0.8665\"]",{"token_id":121,"condition_id":122,"outcome":66,"size":123,"avg_price":124,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":127,"category":37},"3833250547311424992805456252782158332407335422350263044535636678503072819141","0x1e5204036bd51e6ca0e0da6221319c5839bd9940782adc6d0f6fa703aa8a3bf4",45.1835,0.5644,"Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?","will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31","[\"0.09\", \"0.91\"]",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":66,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":135,"outcome_prices":136,"category":37},"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb",29.1612,0.8403,"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.8595\", \"0.1405\"]",{"token_id":138,"condition_id":139,"outcome":28,"size":140,"avg_price":141,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":144,"category":54},"23656858922081838696675685140201764168524829599975900398098789158260788656915","0xed7a65f4096c5b4c45a854562ac259d8e42ef5094ef4ee833867d57b2df67238",41.6245,0.4984,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?","iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466","[\"0.13\", \"0.87\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":28,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":152,"category":54},"114077881433235976012027723972687839770033056296079907449977117179794878950358","0xe85cac63bc745dbdee8c9523fb87dd25658b678efb266eb3e91a44d1b558c205",22.9141,0.8887,"Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?","israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by","[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":66,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":158,"event_slug":143,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":159,"outcome_prices":160,"category":54},"28124160639561291369865852757900361591346814138837883756455228145975719395425","0xb818eb1084fdbc85161dda72c93e1e2da6eb3cc675aa815becb69f45f30683c9",40.17,0.449,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":28,"size":164,"avg_price":101,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":165,"event_slug":166,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":167,"outcome_prices":168,"category":54},"84641922064827552827253311981339741860829640000680909725575149181637431473946","0x3d4a1a3e0581eb60fdd03cc85b8190a9a1cfbda42f1aa9771e39197f8a21f441",16,"Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?","will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026","2026-12-31T19:59:00Z","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":170,"condition_id":171,"outcome":28,"size":172,"avg_price":173,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":176,"category":54},"10553917527871259014867933253903838134228152744058156727275127563897745134791","0x9191a518df23e67546ee548029803c645f80c5e5cc8a9f247841dcd910f11975",16.22,0.8942,"Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?","israel-and-syria-normalize-relations-in-2025","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":178,"condition_id":179,"outcome":28,"size":180,"avg_price":181,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":184,"category":37},"16507531654323613440839711226389584097745237130431039493320761537250304112351","0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a",13,0.961,"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","[\"0.037\", \"0.963\"]",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":28,"size":180,"avg_price":188,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":189,"event_slug":190,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":191,"category":54},"63409286016973577903012142269621228305682014726736632772295861872995350316136","0x95783b62c693ea42d8613482a625828fc14a288e8e8440b974c54d42f4ffd04b",0.94,"Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?","israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027","[\"0.0645\", \"0.9355\"]",{"token_id":193,"condition_id":194,"outcome":66,"size":195,"avg_price":196,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":197,"event_slug":198,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":199,"category":37},"34121477552603842220562776406803032728334731986482841432311709319160089219357","0x83f33a20c2c305163e90657b8e37ce126b13d27f76a0e3b45fa2fbbd834dc0f7",29.3038,0.3555,"Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?","what-will-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026-20260624150226501","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":201,"condition_id":202,"outcome":28,"size":203,"avg_price":204,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":205,"event_slug":206,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":207,"category":37},"69409168774165757897148405247485609965756023732214755803048587313389364883230","0x3e80f6cc475d7940ce26db5ee997b28ee80c50170ce7aa8af2d104c947c8e5e3",12,0.8649,"Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":209,"condition_id":210,"outcome":28,"size":211,"avg_price":212,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":215,"category":37},"31623217819038603813783350826187730431369952540273671534916386825104775476271","0x794fbb668b14dacd636ff47a39e2294148420577e38278e11adf14655ad6cfe0",10,0.91,"Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?","will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027","[\"0.0495\", \"0.9505\"]",{"token_id":217,"condition_id":218,"outcome":66,"size":219,"avg_price":220,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":144,"category":37},"108571806153453077888243294663984245780177684183406082076002016448584873901936","0xa6aa5a20027dd49336ca96b7ccbe0fabad29bf3ec01045cf8dc8535ea80156f2",12.29,0.7044,"Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-october-31",{"token_id":224,"condition_id":225,"outcome":28,"size":226,"avg_price":227,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":228,"event_slug":229,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":230,"category":37},"73810911392275096681812732914789906791232813410225649997085568580577931343365","0x3e0845c4736ae232c57b347d05f6145650416dfd3adb0fa5d7ddd335c64a84ca",8.4831,0.8987,"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","[\"0.124\", \"0.876\"]",{"token_id":232,"condition_id":233,"outcome":28,"size":234,"avg_price":188,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":235,"event_slug":236,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":167,"outcome_prices":237,"category":54},"79511288995111009605193688033869924358122905241995756429255377513755310904450","0x2d9ffab1a53bf58c0c6395b83d3fbdbeee89af9fc2c048e33c7cdc960086ac1c",8,"Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council  in 2026?","will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026","[\"0.0525\", \"0.9475\"]",{"token_id":239,"condition_id":240,"outcome":66,"size":241,"avg_price":242,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":243,"event_slug":198,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":244,"category":37},"96459096350293979949150549694293228485495944927529905541533983606476871296950","0x9383311a643990a4d8b6b9416cfd6dc448d44c6c0ea12c07de6f8ba4bfeb8081",30.4,0.2422,"Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":246,"condition_id":247,"outcome":66,"size":248,"avg_price":249,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":250,"event_slug":198,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":96,"category":37},"114245191503232465363315640409504870951153657459002191006584916453493620924528","0x6087a0c22a3cfe3dda0314c8cdc246708f463e677194d23beca9f23293bd7c07",20,0.3525,"Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?",{"token_id":252,"condition_id":253,"outcome":66,"size":254,"avg_price":255,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":256,"event_slug":198,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":257,"category":37},"32959319162469428241742931252794025673861016626327139344084864031443960739513","0x59807c6726f0d7111f1879a255d11bf772fec5d58bd79562f76637c21a3bb6d9",15.47,0.2977,"Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":259,"condition_id":260,"outcome":28,"size":261,"avg_price":262,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":263,"event_slug":264,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":265,"category":37},"52837405094236171687649460051264604710453798793021773034180132912701882960185","0x8b2d3edd0500a52b39676e1d59a0da5ac145f4e03e97b0d0412da13ca0e70c2a",5,0.89,"Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?","will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31","[\"0.0945\", \"0.9055\"]",{"token_id":267,"condition_id":268,"outcome":66,"size":269,"avg_price":270,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":271,"event_slug":70,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":272,"category":37},"38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112","0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7",11,0.379,"Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":274,"condition_id":275,"outcome":28,"size":276,"avg_price":277,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":199,"category":37},"60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",4,0.8406,"Iran leadership change by December 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"token_id":281,"condition_id":139,"outcome":66,"size":282,"avg_price":283,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":144,"category":54},"30084046110340630915815124176402512146373063505864644025251039436415886255442",5.3606,0.2814,[],[286,293],{"recorded_date":287,"roi":288,"win_rate":289,"brier_score":290,"p_value":291,"resolved_trades":292,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-27",0.062238055192494444,0.4166666666666667,0.1911666880370171,0.0414000000000001,192,{"recorded_date":294,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-10-15",[296,306,313,320,327,334,337,344,350,355,363,370,373,379,386,391,394,401,405,412,415,422,427,432,438,444,450,453,458,464,471,476,482,488,494,501,506,512,517,524,530,536,542,549,554,560,566,573,578,581,587,593,599,605,610,615,617,623,629,635,638,645,650,656],{"condition_id":297,"outcome":28,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"category":305},"0x05ab8661c04ca27f89fed024c6b7906098a5f46381143f21f44f35fda009afee",32.85,0.73,"backfill","2026-07-10T12:00:00Z","2026-09-27T07:42:08.794Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-july-10-2026",null,{"condition_id":307,"outcome":28,"usdc":308,"entry_price":309,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":310,"captured_at":302,"question":311,"event_slug":312,"category":305},"0x0ed1e159cec6838151c0cc0b0789701d57284398688c6e342bbbc33edf5b85ee",12.987,0.65,"2026-07-09T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?","highest-temperature-in-austin-on-july-9-2026",{"condition_id":314,"outcome":66,"usdc":315,"entry_price":316,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":13,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"category":37},"0x0fe474e15375c731a7daa6647f456a387bfd65bf8284cd29aaddfb5372557585",23.3435,0.31170383228735477,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?","foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":66,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":324,"captured_at":302,"question":325,"event_slug":326,"category":305},"0x1097c81f1b600795ca4d4d7d1f222c7df11bf1bb4e99f127d2e2b7a6333adb96",0.065703,0.11,"2026-08-01T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 1?","highest-temperature-in-miami-on-august-1-2026",{"condition_id":328,"outcome":28,"usdc":329,"entry_price":330,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":331,"captured_at":302,"question":332,"event_slug":333,"category":305},"0x136f4e242faeb42f66fa6baf4c192fbfa0b5788ed47a2bf1a3d3a2051b87715a",31.2,0.8,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?","us-announces-blockade-on-iran-byptptpt-20260622191049039",{"condition_id":328,"outcome":66,"usdc":335,"entry_price":336,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":331,"captured_at":302,"question":332,"event_slug":333,"category":305},2.88,0.32,{"condition_id":338,"outcome":66,"usdc":339,"entry_price":340,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":341,"captured_at":302,"question":342,"event_slug":343,"category":305},"0x18c398c97deddabe1f3900e0d4c58472a19c7c33ffcb7d09ea6979cdda3eb0ac",7.4,0.37,"2026-07-10T23:59:00Z","Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?","iran-military-action-against-a-gulf-state-onptptpt-20260708212328295",{"condition_id":345,"outcome":28,"usdc":346,"entry_price":347,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":348,"event_slug":349,"category":305},"0x2364b9e2c522f59dc45c54f09b5e081f02677398e0769864c4f1a7217fbceff7",13.2,0.66,"Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":351,"outcome":28,"usdc":352,"entry_price":353,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":302,"question":354,"event_slug":95,"category":54},"0x23667427b34ca1c7144d50540beba9e7ffb608443a84252c194bb8b40919a0cb",62.36,0.8314666666666667,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":66,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":359,"captured_at":302,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"category":362},"0x308ee24a8f46e8e61286e9b0661cc42e09c34c93bc46dd4842070a2daf928dee",8.2,0.41,"2026-10-11T00:00:00Z","Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?","mlb-2026-al-central-champion","Sports",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":28,"usdc":365,"entry_price":366,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":302,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":54},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",33.339115,0.8607060083262975,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 31?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":364,"outcome":66,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":302,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"category":54},7.98,0.42,{"condition_id":374,"outcome":28,"usdc":375,"entry_price":376,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":377,"event_slug":378,"category":305},"0x3b841c1c338a6ac874f8fc0da6ac2a889f8713c829d73dd9890e48adf869c1b8",16.47,0.61,"Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":380,"outcome":66,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":302,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":305},"0x3b99a9a67743ddb1e2b20e6aee44c7ece3004085b637ba758d54a2a4d3178501",1.68,0.084,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?","next-uk-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-in-2026-20260621005319178",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":28,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":302,"question":390,"event_slug":222,"category":37},"0x42e3c646192b653e82c62967396def5affbbe8e97f136328372783deb18f5cd8",31.95657,0.5481536107070768,"Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":66,"usdc":392,"entry_price":393,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":302,"question":390,"event_slug":222,"category":37},4.212,0.351,{"condition_id":395,"outcome":66,"usdc":396,"entry_price":397,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":399,"event_slug":400,"category":37},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",12.578335,0.574263176008396,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":402,"outcome":28,"usdc":346,"entry_price":347,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":305},"0x4c15468ab7edf835b74a09b9d214c5d949dd81d5dfb8e924969fd702803e1924","Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-munich-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":28,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":302,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":305},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",4.05,0.81,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":66,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":302,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"category":305},176.59017500000004,0.5826709130404637,{"condition_id":416,"outcome":66,"usdc":417,"entry_price":418,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":302,"question":420,"event_slug":421,"category":305},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",7.83,0.34043478260869564,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":66,"usdc":424,"entry_price":425,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":331,"captured_at":302,"question":426,"event_slug":421,"category":305},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",348.19931899999995,0.41207194825791044,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":428,"outcome":66,"usdc":371,"entry_price":429,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":305},"0x5af5f15a673221e700981cc807ff336a56606c9439a5053ef7753f5eb2db8c43",0.38,"Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-paris-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":433,"outcome":66,"usdc":434,"entry_price":435,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":436,"captured_at":302,"question":437,"event_slug":400,"category":37},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",124.62496600000001,0.3285685783712336,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":439,"outcome":28,"usdc":440,"entry_price":441,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":302,"question":442,"event_slug":443,"category":305},"0x5fe50c3617f3a7385aaaa076897b60ca9312dfe67252b0581a688af31b7961ca",12.95,0.8633333333333333,"Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","us-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622192051747",{"condition_id":445,"outcome":28,"usdc":446,"entry_price":447,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"category":305},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",347.7900000000001,0.8630024813895782,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":445,"outcome":66,"usdc":451,"entry_price":452,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"category":305},6.15,0.15,{"condition_id":454,"outcome":66,"usdc":455,"entry_price":456,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":457,"event_slug":319,"category":37},"0x61bfe4ef1054e3ef94024c915a59a47e781bdc3ef6c2e578119f7b440e84a4e6",5.63,0.28150000000000003,"Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?",{"condition_id":459,"outcome":28,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":331,"captured_at":302,"question":462,"event_slug":463,"category":305},"0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005",44.4,0.8377358490566037,"Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":465,"outcome":66,"usdc":466,"entry_price":467,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":468,"captured_at":302,"question":469,"event_slug":470,"category":305},"0x6aaac89f942ba4709f67b15219a44049dfb9a4313a97dcd28368de65565c3383",12.8,0.64,"2026-07-22T11:00:00Z","Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?","will-ge-vernova-gev-q2-orders-be-above-20260707031051767",{"condition_id":472,"outcome":66,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":143,"category":54},"0x6b6fc067a481ea2426eab480e4041751f2d21b3af575e08be54d20f6dcdfe783",0.99981,0.023,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":28,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":302,"question":481,"event_slug":369,"category":54},"0x6c486242e79252cc0bb57163a3b8d95e3b9538ea6a1de2e91848beeb5c6ad986",71.685,0.8960625,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 15?",{"condition_id":483,"outcome":66,"usdc":484,"entry_price":485,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":486,"event_slug":487,"category":37},"0x7de40f0990c2598fdaff0d259d0b2bad2dc284d74c510530c740f18394a6771d",8.43,0.3665217391304348,"US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?","us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046",{"condition_id":489,"outcome":66,"usdc":490,"entry_price":491,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":492,"captured_at":302,"question":493,"event_slug":421,"category":305},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",12.48,0.49920000000000003,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":66,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":302,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":305},"0x86d711193d070842a45d36aac28ea664217d2777c084d668828f8fcab0805f77",1.2,0.06,"2026-07-30T23:59:00Z","Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?","greater-manchester-mayoral-election-winner-20260619154130299",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":66,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":302,"question":505,"event_slug":400,"category":37},"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91",6.1899999999999995,0.19967741935483868,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":507,"outcome":66,"usdc":508,"entry_price":509,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":510,"event_slug":511,"category":305},"0x8bbc872ee676d2fae36d442e28c5d1141461f6666bd078b87763a4e5dc462bb8",7.75,0.31,"Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":513,"outcome":66,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":516,"event_slug":304,"category":305},"0x90eb0a2be6365080fc7bae77972df656440044808a383a6ab1298d196d51ec74",37.8,0.35,"Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?",{"condition_id":518,"outcome":66,"usdc":519,"entry_price":520,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":521,"captured_at":302,"question":522,"event_slug":523,"category":305},"0x9b12c1b45bd9ab339cc190633cff7e7230b55bbab980bbd8d3dbd9834ff9ab9f",10.8491,0.53,"2026-07-13T23:59:00Z","Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?","will-british-or-norwegian-airways-swap-logos-on-instagram-20260710162631182",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":28,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":528,"event_slug":529,"category":305},"0xa0027dc8a552244825bc542671d14aed260e1314af14461c6babb852aff8e5d1",1.7226,0.58,"Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":531,"outcome":66,"usdc":532,"entry_price":533,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":534,"captured_at":302,"question":535,"event_slug":400,"category":37},"0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",207.47,0.42254582484725056,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":66,"usdc":538,"entry_price":539,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":317,"captured_at":13,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"category":37},"0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc",38.34,0.22821428571428573,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440",{"condition_id":543,"outcome":28,"usdc":544,"entry_price":545,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":546,"captured_at":302,"question":547,"event_slug":548,"category":305},"0xa1835ce4a41fee902ee1ab1e526cc24daeb108fed38a57ceaf89a3f292767d25",16.75,0.67,"2026-07-11T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 11?","highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-july-11-2026",{"condition_id":550,"outcome":28,"usdc":551,"entry_price":552,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":553,"event_slug":95,"category":54},"0xa1b3158fedfddaf2a0d8b364f6a57ee68146fb6ad458222aa8e02bcf0abbb099",87.87,0.87,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":28,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":310,"captured_at":302,"question":558,"event_slug":559,"category":305},"0xa9f3c441b697f2d9a95ac645f36da249a35e9c5a137d51e58a3907b04d1893c8",7.6038,0.57,"Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 9?","highest-temperature-in-houston-on-july-9-2026",{"condition_id":561,"outcome":66,"usdc":562,"entry_price":563,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":367,"captured_at":302,"question":564,"event_slug":565,"category":37},"0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59",1.76,0.22000000000000003,"Israel closes its airspace by July 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":567,"outcome":66,"usdc":568,"entry_price":569,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":570,"captured_at":302,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":305},"0xba34d786cd7bfbd719aa77c705f27969aba84d6649dca9adb365aad8c255db7a",5.4799999999999995,0.4566666666666667,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?","us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":28,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":577,"event_slug":369,"category":54},"0xbad91c213787a7542345b8abd72a1d55754987c47ba82ef5d4aa625ac046f024",19.18,0.6187096774193548,"Iran full airspace closure by August 31?",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":66,"usdc":579,"entry_price":580,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":577,"event_slug":369,"category":54},5.8,0.29,{"condition_id":582,"outcome":66,"usdc":583,"entry_price":584,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":585,"event_slug":586,"category":37},"0xbdc0827c873d1c3c538e549ab94c77829f7e40fd3376b25164c0279f744a87bc",51.599999999999994,0.39692307692307693,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":588,"outcome":66,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":591,"captured_at":302,"question":592,"event_slug":95,"category":54},"0xc0aed6d5d893988b4bef5a8242435bbc7c3b45b1e438bcffc9e9bf71d173ae46",13.68,0.09,"2026-08-19T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?",{"condition_id":594,"outcome":66,"usdc":595,"entry_price":596,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":310,"captured_at":302,"question":597,"event_slug":598,"category":305},"0xc4dca87216b467a4f29b04ed4f6721ec5b60bb8236f0c634f2019be6d29800cf",2,0.4,"Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?","highest-temperature-in-ankara-on-july-9-2026",{"condition_id":600,"outcome":28,"usdc":601,"entry_price":602,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":305},"0xc90c09438ad73193bf1b3a82e9f1aa32831271dfd705e6a0f025928145a94662",21.6,0.72,"Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-helsinki-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":28,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":398,"captured_at":302,"question":609,"event_slug":143,"category":54},"0xceb73b756d1dffbb60452a86efbca93efea9453a6f5078b2c8fd49dda3f5ccee",8.16,0.68,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":28,"usdc":612,"entry_price":613,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":570,"captured_at":302,"question":614,"event_slug":333,"category":305},"0xd7d6bcbc6c1201251e42ba47062f2cf33dd45922afca02dda1c2da8081013ad0",4.26,0.71,"Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":66,"usdc":616,"entry_price":520,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":570,"captured_at":302,"question":614,"event_slug":333,"category":305},5.3,{"condition_id":618,"outcome":28,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":621,"event_slug":622,"category":305},"0xd83620a0e826c30bae31c359f067e10ff8b63227fc1edf8771d5d6eabeb15b71",2.304166,0.7000001519,"Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-tel-aviv-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":624,"outcome":28,"usdc":625,"entry_price":626,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":627,"event_slug":628,"category":305},"0xdec72632b2c2d24aff8b1d01cff3120fe7974cbde2f0774edf73cd729f4ff982",20.571428,0.7200000196,"Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":630,"outcome":28,"usdc":631,"entry_price":632,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":633,"event_slug":634,"category":305},"0xe58e9e3672c5891711b455a386a52c0c9af1e26c67bcfa8a1a0858afa67b551c",15.5,0.62,"Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?","highest-temperature-in-milan-on-july-10-2026",{"condition_id":630,"outcome":66,"usdc":636,"entry_price":637,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":633,"event_slug":634,"category":305},3.1941,0.39,{"condition_id":639,"outcome":66,"usdc":640,"entry_price":641,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":642,"captured_at":302,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":305},"0xe86567366c007641eb05954e85d9d2e0c9c4c021f487db2457e82156f861ba3a",0.7999999999999999,0.08,"2026-07-13T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 13?","highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-july-13-2026",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":28,"usdc":647,"entry_price":648,"won":14,"source":300,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":302,"question":649,"event_slug":404,"category":305},"0xf488dbae76d5fda4ecf58b6fd061d4426c5dc8f8cbd24b23fa5f2ad2700a8285",8.232,0.7,"Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":66,"usdc":652,"entry_price":653,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":310,"captured_at":302,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"category":305},"0xf73190d702b4482248629f65ff37ea6ba4cfb6901f607d57146aea0353a5ad1f",0.315789,0.2400000912,"Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 9?","highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-july-9-2026",{"condition_id":657,"outcome":28,"usdc":658,"entry_price":659,"won":12,"source":300,"end_date_iso":310,"captured_at":302,"question":660,"event_slug":661,"category":305},"0xf8a991163f51ecfe30745ecea8d65934c7ac063c64d3287cb6b0c79a3d2396a6",1.832727,0.5600001344,"Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?","highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-july-9-2026",{"total":663,"wins":664},64,33,[666,672,675,679],{"category":667,"n":668,"wins":669,"hitRate":670,"roi":671},"Other",41,25,0.6097560975609756,0.3766145442969647,{"category":37,"n":203,"wins":14,"hitRate":673,"roi":674},0.08333333333333333,-0.8870479136377182,{"category":54,"n":211,"wins":676,"hitRate":677,"roi":678},6,0.6,0.0857751240399879,{"category":362,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":680},1.4390243902439024,{"generatedAt":682},"2026-10-26T13:24:07.584Z"]