[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xd6639bff2beb2bcc0cfedc27e0f7980964e1ca64":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":193,"history":194,"resolved":197,"resolvedSummary":779,"specialization":782,"meta":801},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xd6639bff2beb2bcc0cfedc27e0f7980964e1ca64",3722,1752,0.4834474885844749,0.25195224907103947,0.1694337839836445,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-03T13:37:21.760Z",4.277801742009132,1.7740705433746424,"2026-10-02T07:12:12.000Z",0,"trades",0.4185277152478841,0.06491977333658679,1888.308701003578,7494.708651999999,4.1925327010180755,0.11939429237041352,[26,39,49,58,68,76,84,93,103,111,119,128,136,145,153,162,170,176,185],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"5697221075711858699852624943573291720358422810802415883854283024034226588211","0x8bdeac60c92d3bc494792fd334ca181b0cf70355f23dca4098d558280b554c81","No",869.09,0.8655,"2026-10-10T16:19:39.237Z","2026-10-03T23:10:42.913Z","Iran Nuke before 2027?","iran-nuke-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0355\", \"0.9645\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"13565458761220145250977753098276900790902214604876327357986816739576288755859","0x21ad31a46bfaa51650766eff6dc69c866959e32d965ffb116020e37694b6317d","Yes",1116.0098,0.2699,"Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?","republican-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.1475\", \"0.8525\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37",191.78,0.6771,"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.335\", \"0.665\"]",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":63,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":67,"category":38},"114475889232765203212032217024645308497828327658421967586050553616813506019119","0x3738ad9665480991affe3ba286cd035516e17d1f8b7703e05088ec19c70c21a4",261.23,0.2708,"2026-10-04T09:37:11.214Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":42,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":73,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":75,"category":38},"114694726451307654528948558967898493662917070661203465131156925998487819889437","0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96",113.7407,0.4917,"Netanyahu out by end of 2026?","netanyahu-out-before-2027","[\"0.38\", \"0.62\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":83,"category":38},"48363336280603988612943937623657599900834676634371552666346986109028055383864","0xc855714184ac46005a7897c68f274147f0abf1fde791421541edb065fa65a1e4",59.24,0.8638,"Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","israel-election-likud-of-seats","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":42,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":89,"question":90,"event_slug":91,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":92,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"76554435351712744933103563779334623391051223240580491931622345690225036618406","0x20ef99fa46f434d2622e1b31a11d090867922f9618e22a79cee444d77b7d3207",85.58,0.3499,"2026-10-07T07:21:33.588Z","Israeli election results in a hung parliament?","israeli-election-results-in-a-hung-parliament","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":29,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":63,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":101,"category":102},"34386684966925037477701889915132575610574649191623462027976379158560146275115","0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d",120.12,0.1708,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.855\", \"0.145\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":29,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":89,"question":108,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":109,"outcome_prices":110,"category":38},"18368161459732947229970694377522451372979676356971809107906485726590890158916","0x334954cfe7d8ae24e350972470c156f5b2cdd4616dcaa5bfb71b4e2b2298d690",252.19,0.0645,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?","2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","[\"0.9725\", \"0.0275\"]",{"token_id":112,"condition_id":113,"outcome":42,"size":114,"avg_price":115,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":118,"category":102},"71707922810772036956457186337451791854576863689981200918548276310457661734341","0x2395fcf739d050877cb6fe38878aaac89bc5bf0a13d03e1c358becdbc38a65c3",43.24,0.26,"Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?","houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":42,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":89,"question":124,"event_slug":125,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":126,"outcome_prices":127,"category":38},"51635828369088582173026050369364839462389016688266714081659732794747134130477","0xbbf0bf35801866a361a3733ef21c787b94b9e7ccc9c4cde622b24f471b95c1ca",28.6,0.39,"Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":29,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":133,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":134,"outcome_prices":135,"category":102},"81617860044825696470427602276776404152917680737920734100709251051324236143390","0xca394e0db041f91ac2d69f3ea06efdfc8643acb0d2751283bd594e7b8bd581f9",41.67,0.25,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?","2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","[\"0.745\", \"0.255\"]",{"token_id":137,"condition_id":138,"outcome":29,"size":139,"avg_price":140,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":143,"outcome_prices":144,"category":38},"348569618321024214669675626848387769579762622389779161753255841113220637559","0xc90894254e1f804e3087e89288d192b529287b7de6e3f5230c06868f7777661d",15.16,0.67,"Israel accuses Iran\u002Fproxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?","israel-accuses-iranproxies-of-plane-stabbing-incident-by-oct-31","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":29,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":150,"question":151,"event_slug":82,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":152,"category":38},"65331923130563696431404700503186397058780298200487967800190302554654140679472","0x78b3aec55f914a149fc110ffd4dcfb008ff94e2df4a451b396f7c14a572d6aa7",10.16,0.9909,"2026-10-06T18:14:12.329Z","Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":42,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":63,"question":158,"event_slug":159,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":160,"outcome_prices":161,"category":38},"109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",15.9,0.6299,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.8795\", \"0.1205\"]",{"token_id":163,"condition_id":164,"outcome":42,"size":165,"avg_price":166,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":167,"event_slug":168,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":143,"outcome_prices":169,"category":38},"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970","0xcee04ba47d02f6c64642369b34193c355f64de1b9ae425c71ea4efef1989d271",28.58,0.35,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":171,"condition_id":172,"outcome":42,"size":173,"avg_price":174,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":175,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":143,"outcome_prices":83,"category":102},"80378924601131529440632503659713964672311679972235277678506383908671689921262","0x1c008508d424634eb01e47889e0fefb2fad4c776f973148f80a86b5be8331c63",76.92,0.13,"Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?",{"token_id":177,"condition_id":178,"outcome":42,"size":179,"avg_price":180,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":181,"event_slug":182,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":134,"outcome_prices":183,"category":184},"102491834259396605099984704792204428857479145328689756109746632539055408031368","0x94ae8e5414e036e2e9b6b6514c048042bf74d089614d7f7d73635693f9d5186b",32.99,0.3,"Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]","Business",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":42,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":192,"category":38},"10991849228756847439673778874175365458450913336396982752046655649803657501964","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",12.77,0.4896,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",[],[195],{"recorded_date":196,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-03",[198,207,216,221,229,237,244,247,254,260,266,273,277,284,291,297,304,311,316,319,326,332,338,345,351,355,361,366,372,379,386,393,396,403,408,414,420,423,428,435,440,446,452,459,465,472,475,481,487,493,496,503,509,515,518,524,530,533,539,544,550,555,558,564,569,576,582,588,595,601,607,612,618,623,628,634,641,647,653,660,667,673,679,685,690,696,702,708,714,719,724,729,734,739,744,749,755,761,767,773],{"condition_id":199,"outcome":29,"usdc":200,"entry_price":201,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":204,"question":205,"event_slug":206,"category":38},"0x28ef98bb4abf36d03e593430350c0cabd3edbff4630ec85ac6e9972d1b1638e1",11.709600000000002,0.07,"live","2026-10-09T23:59:00Z","2026-10-09T02:49:30.900Z","US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?","us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":208,"outcome":29,"usdc":209,"entry_price":210,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":211,"captured_at":212,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":215},"0xb0a752e177583b56db6902d35106b7b13e03798ee1ebf33a0b19daefcdb80bdc",18.578208,0.2892,"2026-10-04T18:45:00Z","2026-10-04T21:32:21.063Z","Will Republic of Ireland vs. Israel end in a draw?","unl-ire-isr-2026-10-04","Sports",{"condition_id":217,"outcome":42,"usdc":218,"entry_price":219,"won":17,"source":202,"end_date_iso":211,"captured_at":212,"question":220,"event_slug":214,"category":215},"0x11ba75c4f6c3bb06719321dd78bbf27cba1a3d4f18993c330ffe0a55069f6e08",20,0.16,"Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?",{"condition_id":222,"outcome":42,"usdc":223,"entry_price":224,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"category":102},"0x00cf5f4a419743e3bbaea3d01537c895ecfd8edba5e539967fe662573de44f23",11.1176,0.52,"backfill","2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":235,"category":236},"0x02f0c60b4f9551c97fe67bc6f02df357de52ca969f0e9159e06a5aca69cd2bf6",102.56925999999999,0.8657825609859032,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z"," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-march-31",null,{"condition_id":238,"outcome":29,"usdc":239,"entry_price":240,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"category":236},"0x03bc660a4df5faeaee8e66d0e7bc4f2200b543340b7f7a5c83bfa1fecafa9ead",86.26409199999998,0.053039191855210006,"","Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?","iran-strikes-israel-on",{"condition_id":238,"outcome":42,"usdc":245,"entry_price":246,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"category":236},67.04951,0.5774156906703409,{"condition_id":248,"outcome":42,"usdc":249,"entry_price":250,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":251,"captured_at":13,"question":252,"event_slug":253,"category":236},"0x04daf8845b02b73f0a0ab5a71a5681583ad856b98ba848c852da4cdd9ef01b2c",66.13858699999997,0.10599497479017576,"2026-07-02T23:00:00Z","Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?","fifwc-prt-hrv-2026-07-02-exact-score",{"condition_id":255,"outcome":29,"usdc":256,"entry_price":257,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":259,"category":236},"0x07d45de444dbe0595c068a9eade49ace2bd381e30d6a45022d801ec10e7d0294",38.421,0.7431528046421664,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":261,"outcome":42,"usdc":262,"entry_price":263,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"category":236},"0x096091ce8191d44656521aa84f5115dcec044f134a8ed24c34ca4b47fdf03f3d",10.92,0.6,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?","will-iran-name-a-successor-to-khamenei-by",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":42,"usdc":268,"entry_price":269,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":102},"0x0b99844286b27cd3eca1764d1699d72be941500be9930450faff1d6f25d0eda0",11.249734999999998,0.19000000185990307,"2026-04-30","Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?","israel-ground-operation-in-iran-confirmed-by",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":42,"usdc":275,"entry_price":201,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":251,"captured_at":13,"question":276,"event_slug":253,"category":236},"0x0c0f4e9faa724b8688d0d7f8c77b22e73d234aab273aca6c3fe5f4edd615b850",10.2792,"Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":42,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":282,"event_slug":283,"category":236},"0x0cb4724abb870431a40a40df3e86f61b10e19f64ab8171469efb6a47483cf183",4.9167,0.81,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?","will-israel-strike-gaza-on-224",{"condition_id":285,"outcome":42,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":289,"event_slug":290,"category":236},"0x0e1a1094091ba8905a5d11222796cf94d3d6d055076f0088886bd2386e6f88b8",11.4697,0.11,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?","who-will-be-next-supreme-leader-of-iran-515",{"condition_id":292,"outcome":29,"usdc":293,"entry_price":140,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":294,"captured_at":13,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":38},"0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd",10.29127,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":42,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":301,"captured_at":13,"question":302,"event_slug":303,"category":102},"0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a2",9.9999,0.01,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":305,"outcome":29,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":309,"event_slug":310,"category":236},"0x11a1c1f0a77d37c9876738f37dcd68d6993a15f0b7e4a8cee9ad52f0d5ab0e8c",15.404155,0.8200000383273125,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?","israel-military-action-against-gaza-on",{"condition_id":312,"outcome":29,"usdc":313,"entry_price":314,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":265,"category":236},"0x1204e81bd79e5caf0065549828d8c759b94c1914aef018a8535c986064cbe0b7",14.0646,0.6599999999999999,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?",{"condition_id":312,"outcome":42,"usdc":317,"entry_price":318,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":265,"category":236},10.9106,0.34,{"condition_id":320,"outcome":42,"usdc":321,"entry_price":322,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":323,"captured_at":13,"question":324,"event_slug":325,"category":38},"0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",10.25,0.41,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":327,"outcome":42,"usdc":328,"entry_price":329,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"category":236},"0x149e2cdbf5b3df3142452412c4c9f4e8f39379020ba1bc25c1811a3f43c8ad27",128.0848,0.5492251618723596,"Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?","which-countries-will-strike-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":333,"outcome":42,"usdc":334,"entry_price":335,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":336,"event_slug":337,"category":236},"0x15b561389414718a9fa9d71483ecbde3892b8dbf017355f8ec3bcfa441725ca0",3.614276,0.390000057189848,"Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?","will-israel-strike-lebanon-on-431",{"condition_id":339,"outcome":29,"usdc":340,"entry_price":341,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":13,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"category":236},"0x16ce89b404293cc019f030b6dec70db23dcbe9430349064b8c26c10ebeb63197",32.924513,0.0849915551475468,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?","saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-byptptpt-20260714210903830",{"condition_id":346,"outcome":42,"usdc":347,"entry_price":348,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"category":236},"0x1708d08a38715edbd0ad4e1a72cddd71866dd24875046fdaeb0cc1b519b06540",18.134,0.8458022388059703,"JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?","jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by",{"condition_id":352,"outcome":42,"usdc":353,"entry_price":132,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":354,"event_slug":283,"category":236},"0x17610855356d9193cf62fc26ceff1b62765be168ab7f417717858bc88c412b88",3.945,"Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":29,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":359,"event_slug":360,"category":38},"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9",105.323444,0.45839749215850994,"US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027",{"condition_id":362,"outcome":29,"usdc":363,"entry_price":364,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":365,"event_slug":259,"category":236},"0x184f4a327edc0cd0af1f409980f6cc8d227fa96855625ce1ae9dad10e80057a1",54.029849999999996,0.8932030087617788,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?",{"condition_id":367,"outcome":42,"usdc":368,"entry_price":369,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":370,"event_slug":371,"category":236},"0x18cc783dc22e861a77278f463f791161b4a5b6d5836b67e61b981e53a0b1f789",10.9092,0.12,"Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march",{"condition_id":373,"outcome":29,"usdc":374,"entry_price":375,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":376,"captured_at":13,"question":377,"event_slug":378,"category":102},"0x1a8808d7a309a210b3e413331005c3d7e8cd27d2da4a4acd4ff04b4072d2ed81",16.8054,0.7399999999999999,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":380,"outcome":42,"usdc":381,"entry_price":382,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":236},"0x1b9cfd142b849edf7a886364d9821f7e8049cf7648e97c73f05e68827f516e2e",6.6,0.011,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":29,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":236},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",71.67924299999999,0.590000001810182,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":42,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"category":236},29.247107,0.3100000014746906,{"condition_id":397,"outcome":42,"usdc":398,"entry_price":399,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":400,"captured_at":13,"question":401,"event_slug":402,"category":38},"0x1e688e3b217f932d30c51aefaf79d7ef463ae8c2810635b6f1ffb905d55dcdd6",10.7653,0.49,"2026-04-20T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":404,"outcome":42,"usdc":405,"entry_price":140,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":376,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":407,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",10.1572,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":409,"outcome":42,"usdc":410,"entry_price":411,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":412,"event_slug":413,"category":236},"0x24026080b17f4e88729eab0ac2929ee37c13bfbb4a159179ec63deb4a242d9c9",23.030369999999998,0.24186483931947067,"France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?","will-france-uk-or-germany-strike-iran-by-march-31-929",{"condition_id":415,"outcome":29,"usdc":416,"entry_price":417,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":236},"0x24fb7c2d95c93a68018e6c4a90d88043bb67d32fd1454924cef8ebdd550228f3",54.37,0.19188960259758592,"Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-lebanon-by-march-31",{"condition_id":415,"outcome":42,"usdc":421,"entry_price":422,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":236},42.77009999999999,0.7800492431150828,{"condition_id":424,"outcome":42,"usdc":425,"entry_price":426,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":283,"category":236},"0x253b738101e57b5c92f586630d4a5891c3ac880d94e024ba3906e65d9b44d587",8.7508,0.2163897131552918,"Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":429,"outcome":42,"usdc":430,"entry_price":431,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":13,"question":433,"event_slug":434,"category":236},"0x265a3b26257a298caad9712ac84cadcec5d084ad01e45d7f22c764a21c2d23e4",10.4544,0.88,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-before-oil-hits-120",{"condition_id":436,"outcome":29,"usdc":437,"entry_price":438,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":439,"event_slug":265,"category":236},"0x28b418b2aeb0f2eec0a64d0cca38a2a7df484a45ee5c35d3d2b2822c27c17dfb",20.5968,0.6551145038167939,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?",{"condition_id":441,"outcome":29,"usdc":442,"entry_price":443,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":270,"captured_at":13,"question":444,"event_slug":445,"category":102},"0x29c2de5369cd1d7a4567fd1e025a5d722d50993b6b9599538282e98fabbdbbef",10.001,0.73,"Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":447,"outcome":42,"usdc":448,"entry_price":449,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"category":236},"0x29f736105a1cbdd7c63602a586320568b30f3ce91618fda2a55415fa46c12d6f",33.363164,0.3218622324894482,"Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?","will-israel-strike-gaza-on-339",{"condition_id":453,"outcome":29,"usdc":454,"entry_price":455,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":456,"captured_at":13,"question":457,"event_slug":458,"category":236},"0x2d859e9b62672ab0e90238495c1799f37759f8a2e96b67e240ddbf679428e7c8",10.0719,0.855,"2026-04-15","Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?","will-another-country-conduct-military-action-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":460,"outcome":42,"usdc":461,"entry_price":462,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":13,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"category":236},"0x2e94bb8dd09931d12e6e656fe4fe6ceb3922bc3d6eab864bb6cd24773cf67269",6.0369,0.6836806342,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-june-30-747",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",10.7114,0.8029535232,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":42,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"category":38},82.984956,0.132503188642416,{"condition_id":476,"outcome":42,"usdc":477,"entry_price":132,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":215},"0x300e32ca5a62a4980bc95e5e3885930f8b888d26d46fb61e3dd11d87700618e3",1.0225,"2026-06-19T19:00:00Z","United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score","fifwc-usa-aus-2026-06-19-more-markets",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":42,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":485,"captured_at":13,"question":486,"event_slug":168,"category":38},"0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",20.54216,0.05200020249832928,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":29,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"category":236},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",8.62504,0.8590677290836652,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":42,"usdc":494,"entry_price":495,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"category":236},46.342499999999994,0.21059986366734829,{"condition_id":497,"outcome":42,"usdc":498,"entry_price":499,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":500,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"category":236},"0x30a892ea01a40602dd58029243f165a97ce22dbfeabf427f86d705ae650fad4b",8.3952,0.16000000000000003,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 14?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":504,"outcome":42,"usdc":505,"entry_price":431,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":506,"captured_at":13,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":236},"0x3205072a9cd4b1f753af22c124b6bce288bf8363797cb4d47d842c4c4a1afc3e",6.072,"2026-03-10T00:00:00Z","Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?","usisrael-strikes-iran-on",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":29,"usdc":511,"entry_price":512,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":236},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",113.80480000000003,0.7352681224964466,"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":510,"outcome":42,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":236},169.95840000000004,0.3216350630214697,{"condition_id":519,"outcome":29,"usdc":520,"entry_price":521,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":522,"event_slug":523,"category":236},"0x34ebeff38f3dae7852e97a8c1af2fb906f6d3b59a6b688472af4cb27a480b5aa",2.1,0.10500000000000001,"Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?","iran-military-action-against-israel-on",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":29,"usdc":526,"entry_price":527,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":528,"event_slug":529,"category":236},"0x350b732d1cef0a4da7cc8077fc95a866a746ad29d390745d4a2e1b86ebbaecff",12.98847,0.027229496853813415,"Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?","iran-strike-on-qatar-by-january-31",{"condition_id":525,"outcome":42,"usdc":531,"entry_price":532,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":383,"captured_at":13,"question":528,"event_slug":529,"category":236},50.46211,0.7500313614747325,{"condition_id":534,"outcome":42,"usdc":535,"entry_price":536,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":537,"captured_at":13,"question":538,"event_slug":471,"category":38},"0x352559d5f5bdcad9f6dabdf84af660639ca144aef053166c923033d2345d884a",16.35653,0.030999999999999993,"2026-03-14T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by March 13?",{"condition_id":540,"outcome":42,"usdc":541,"entry_price":542,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":543,"event_slug":228,"category":236},"0x35aa9df78e99b9edbc77d1448d4548396073064f923591d8cb8cc9cf5c22e7f0",6.4758,0.86,"Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"usdc":546,"entry_price":547,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":548,"captured_at":13,"question":549,"event_slug":402,"category":38},"0x3c41f17860ead2faeb7b055dd768ebd7f11c0996756828ddb09acebf8b5fef22",14.806401000000001,0.37,"2026-04-18T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?",{"condition_id":551,"outcome":29,"usdc":552,"entry_price":553,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":554,"event_slug":259,"category":236},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",36.82599999999999,0.6214309821127236,"US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?",{"condition_id":551,"outcome":42,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":554,"event_slug":259,"category":236},58.256900000000016,0.13000000000000012,{"condition_id":559,"outcome":29,"usdc":560,"entry_price":561,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":562,"event_slug":563,"category":38},"0x3d7f5a6101377e34b9f8d1d62b793288668380bd821932ccacb84f788c72f5da",6.05316,0.876,"Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?","how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026",{"condition_id":565,"outcome":42,"usdc":566,"entry_price":567,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":568,"event_slug":451,"category":236},"0x3deb01dce09d900494ba740ee18b28b04f9f858303be33194999c071cbb1f976",15.309669999999999,0.1764136746706102,"Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?",{"condition_id":570,"outcome":29,"usdc":571,"entry_price":572,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":573,"captured_at":13,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":38},"0x3f375f4ae7614be4a20da05382c128dff7a3a917dcbd63d1c3e12ff7ca862d56",1.661,0.22,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?","naim-qassem-out-as-hezbollahs-secretary-general-by-december-31",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":42,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":580,"event_slug":581,"category":236},"0x3f5983ccea68ad5a67f7f75823e68812ff9f4e6050bb7bf753efc17c1325d658",25.4693,0.36004099518744703,"US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-229",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":42,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":587,"category":236},"0x40cf230326551f5c767d88fc96d0266eff3791a49874f292397124444071d173",20.6312,0.790164687846419,"Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?","what-will-the-usisrael-target-in-iran-by-march-31",{"condition_id":589,"outcome":42,"usdc":590,"entry_price":591,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":592,"captured_at":13,"question":593,"event_slug":594,"category":236},"0x41e47408f8ab39b46a9d9e3c9b15ebd62f1d795eb072ff46df3d376c09eb583e",40.895764,0.6476757443087472,"2026-02-13T00:00:00Z","US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?","us-x-iran-meeting-by",{"condition_id":596,"outcome":42,"usdc":597,"entry_price":598,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":599,"event_slug":600,"category":236},"0x41e5b3c5f0f57504ea391cf56fc7d4cdb43f951baa8780a9896b008b37fc4d8a",6.18532,0.647,"Iran strike on US military by February 28?","iran-strike-on-us-military-by-february-28",{"condition_id":602,"outcome":29,"usdc":603,"entry_price":604,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":13,"question":605,"event_slug":606,"category":236},"0x43c7e8f73e867ebc035edf002617f67cf96b90c85eccac18090e553bfe7a8411",18.296005,0.2957995074845483,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-2027",{"condition_id":608,"outcome":42,"usdc":609,"entry_price":610,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":323,"captured_at":13,"question":611,"event_slug":471,"category":38},"0x43e12647a58ee0b20d2539d23764b0d561ea7be322acb8823f7bb126e67c115e",10.87193,0.0597983059,"Iran leadership change by August 31?",{"condition_id":613,"outcome":29,"usdc":614,"entry_price":615,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":616,"event_slug":617,"category":236},"0x49bc4114c9181abb64fd5b09ffb9e48cc0ab5b9c20bbb34b76aaa0f570b938af",10.1919,0.53,"Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?","iran-military-action-against-israel-on-628",{"condition_id":619,"outcome":29,"usdc":620,"entry_price":621,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":622,"event_slug":265,"category":236},"0x49d816ab9745e1b45e0db79317e1e7113d6cbdfabde21e0de0a6d42bc87a1d4a",6.3358,0.79,"Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?",{"condition_id":624,"outcome":42,"usdc":625,"entry_price":626,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":13,"question":627,"event_slug":385,"category":236},"0x4b02efe53e631ada84681303fd66d79ad615f3d2b6a28b4633d43d935f89af58",43.15549999999999,0.39303734061930773,"US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":629,"outcome":42,"usdc":630,"entry_price":631,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":632,"event_slug":633,"category":236},"0x4b7cd1050a0c87baebe5e6008260d14b2a9d6d705cf7e7daac1be94ad5253b27",19.844601,0.07625012929007688,"US strikes Iraq by February 28?","us-strikes-iraq-by-february-28",{"condition_id":635,"outcome":42,"usdc":636,"entry_price":637,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":638,"captured_at":13,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"category":236},"0x4c5701bcde0b8fb7d7f48c8e9d20245a6caa58c61a77f981fad98f2bfa0b1bc7",10.43496,0.024,"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by-april-7",{"condition_id":642,"outcome":42,"usdc":643,"entry_price":644,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":308,"captured_at":13,"question":645,"event_slug":646,"category":236},"0x51f12138191bc599965b22fb58925e8c802019d7d3b0220d8c3b39b993c0d821",29.656827000000003,0.701735331537795,"Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?","houthi-military-action-against-israel-by",{"condition_id":648,"outcome":29,"usdc":649,"entry_price":650,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":651,"captured_at":13,"question":652,"event_slug":99,"category":102},"0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb",47.228300000000004,0.1500549660036856,"2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?",{"condition_id":654,"outcome":42,"usdc":655,"entry_price":656,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":657,"captured_at":13,"question":658,"event_slug":659,"category":236},"0x530b404158e50ad4d3b6dc223070c5dcc2210b457f7e04d7eeb5ad0608c39553",2.7012,0.060000000000000005,"2026-03-03T20:00:00Z","Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?","cdr-fcb-atm-2026-03-03",{"condition_id":661,"outcome":29,"usdc":662,"entry_price":663,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":664,"captured_at":13,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"category":38},"0x54340f047993498875e98e36447577fffa83a23de09b613ab7b2e98bbb7b41dc",19.845,0.8099999999999999,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?","netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":29,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":671,"event_slug":672,"category":236},"0x561cd8d035bac38ed04e23d7882a126da38d7ead9d6679f722ad62c0c9d54ad2",157.36535800000004,0.22275362875632923,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?","will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":674,"outcome":29,"usdc":675,"entry_price":676,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":677,"event_slug":678,"category":236},"0x566b01c1803c1e013d7d4ad26c11b8773da62f59042873cdca3aeffcd807c8bc",37.653616,0.1500000004016487,"Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?","will-israels-ben-gurion-airport-reopen-by",{"condition_id":680,"outcome":42,"usdc":681,"entry_price":682,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":683,"event_slug":684,"category":236},"0x56b19b7b506bb1045e1b3449866b4e70fd37a8515ffb995c28445203823e37d8",13.199200000000001,0.5440725474031327,"Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?","hezbollah-strike-on-israel-by-march-31",{"condition_id":686,"outcome":29,"usdc":687,"entry_price":688,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":689,"event_slug":678,"category":236},"0x56ced25c1266e3bdb08450662d82a6361777ddd1de9c5c4572c33652d6dd1aaf",46.802439,0.3383281899409829,"Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?",{"condition_id":691,"outcome":42,"usdc":692,"entry_price":693,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":694,"event_slug":695,"category":236},"0x578f5f3b26b8225c812015d17138c2bd2f28bee7993364f69752be72dce21d6c",17.383344,0.5229749577180217,"Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?","how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-march",{"condition_id":697,"outcome":29,"usdc":698,"entry_price":699,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":342,"captured_at":13,"question":700,"event_slug":701,"category":236},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",32.8338,0.51,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":703,"outcome":29,"usdc":704,"entry_price":705,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":706,"event_slug":707,"category":236},"0x5a200d7d560169d60dc82cd16bb14c16f36f029fdf609dcb92d06a554f9f0fe1",40.6748,0.61,"Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by March 31?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":709,"outcome":29,"usdc":710,"entry_price":711,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":712,"captured_at":13,"question":713,"event_slug":701,"category":236},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",20.8179,0.25524644433545857,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":715,"outcome":42,"usdc":716,"entry_price":717,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":331,"category":236},"0x5ae2262eda6de370ef906870a76bbaeb3e1e0fc579ccb2c21cce5bc9f5449d2b",68.736196,0.21825456741787397,"Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?",{"condition_id":720,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":288,"captured_at":13,"question":723,"event_slug":606,"category":236},"0x5bbabd359667d5bbdb9ee690bb959c9aa4cf4b08b2ae6592118a59753f622d78",37.526303,0.22687755165536808,"Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?",{"condition_id":725,"outcome":42,"usdc":726,"entry_price":727,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":728,"event_slug":587,"category":236},"0x5d87eb09704572f515e1dc472bc1f3dac6835cbb06a6c72c1d0b3486cd0ad97c",18.27978,0.5234759450171822,"Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":42,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":733,"category":236},"0x5e106508f1711280eb937251f4e1be9c12294c1208e0261bd0c945507a1dc0cb",15.985656,0.06896888070839799,"what-will-the-usisrael-target-in-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":735,"outcome":29,"usdc":736,"entry_price":737,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":432,"captured_at":13,"question":738,"event_slug":378,"category":102},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",9.99792,0.848,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":740,"outcome":29,"usdc":741,"entry_price":742,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":241,"captured_at":13,"question":743,"event_slug":243,"category":236},"0x5f1cb9d93988cabaa450aba016cdd430031f6cfe9e0ac6ca51e15b7d71deb55a",22.160400000000003,0.11999999999999998,"Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?",{"condition_id":745,"outcome":42,"usdc":746,"entry_price":747,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":281,"captured_at":13,"question":748,"event_slug":283,"category":236},"0x611190c53532c17175cc4640a5f6815b11443ac2234598353ae747852c017344",27.712306,0.3427683298324638,"Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":750,"outcome":42,"usdc":751,"entry_price":752,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":753,"captured_at":13,"question":754,"event_slug":407,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",189.20320000000004,0.4768826717076246,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":756,"outcome":29,"usdc":757,"entry_price":758,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":759,"captured_at":13,"question":760,"event_slug":701,"category":236},"0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3",28.796999999999997,0.29999999999999993,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",{"condition_id":762,"outcome":42,"usdc":763,"entry_price":764,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":765,"event_slug":766,"category":236},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",6.35301,0.2727784457,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":768,"outcome":29,"usdc":769,"entry_price":770,"won":17,"source":225,"end_date_iso":771,"captured_at":13,"question":772,"event_slug":350,"category":236},"0x639dc7882509b0cdcf5c3c54b6e12f01b78bc591755bd535f9d2b6e103ea2db6",11.05518,0.138,"2026-04-11T00:00:00Z","JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?",{"condition_id":774,"outcome":42,"usdc":775,"entry_price":776,"won":12,"source":225,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":777,"event_slug":778,"category":236},"0x639e04918661bc1438597f3ac64c44dff0cd388c3e4257d751324cdc42dced2e",6.1857,0.87,"Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?","will-israel-strike-lebanon-on-363",{"total":780,"wins":781},238,117,[783,789,794,798],{"category":784,"n":785,"wins":786,"hitRate":787,"roi":788},"Other",182,96,0.5274725274725275,0.2737506102832905,{"category":38,"n":790,"wins":791,"hitRate":792,"roi":793},40,18,0.45,0.38628530514143294,{"category":102,"n":795,"wins":796,"hitRate":132,"roi":797},12,3,-0.8363838184288909,{"category":215,"n":799,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":800},4,-1,{"generatedAt":802},"2026-10-11T18:41:59.457Z"]