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the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.725\", 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2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-october-30",{"condition_id":53,"outcome":29,"usdc":54,"entry_price":55,"won":17,"source":47,"end_date_iso":48,"captured_at":49,"question":56,"event_slug":51,"category":37},"0x47fb19793fd16c0b05199af0c3c6a442d3eb692d5ec2e3e58e29534baab1f1ae",9.1,0.35,"Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":58,"outcome":29,"usdc":59,"entry_price":60,"won":12,"source":47,"end_date_iso":61,"captured_at":62,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"category":37},"0x27fec565f57f7d69979431fe70b0c22bc881b6fea1ef2f685438eb895ac74afc",10.327803,0.6899,"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","2026-10-16T05:49:37.287Z","Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.4 on October 16, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-october-16",{"condition_id":66,"outcome":29,"usdc":67,"entry_price":68,"won":17,"source":47,"end_date_iso":69,"captured_at":70,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"category":37},"0x1b2c1aa8ec580aedd2a06f4fdab2e126ae66c9ce20db48a87775946fc7e8ff32",2.5453300000000003,0.3799,"2026-10-10T03:59:00Z","2026-10-09T19:49:51.594Z","Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on October 9, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-october-9",{"condition_id":74,"outcome":75,"usdc":76,"entry_price":77,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":79,"captured_at":13,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"category":82},"0x00595863287c7c30148d0714255073d0ae0cf338f5287195b720b4ad1c5cbab7","No",541.3331499999999,0.6229738765176361,"backfill","2024-12-08T12:00:00Z","Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential 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Director?","which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel",{"condition_id":101,"outcome":29,"usdc":102,"entry_price":103,"won":12,"source":78,"end_date_iso":104,"captured_at":13,"question":105,"event_slug":106,"category":82},"0x01d87b45fa7b30b73c85b846a936d635f88231bdba585869ff89c0a1ba47fb17",897.8073909999999,0.3108549621006086,"2026-03-21T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-march-20",{"condition_id":108,"outcome":29,"usdc":109,"entry_price":110,"won":12,"source":78,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":112,"event_slug":113,"category":82},"0x02230382929c06eecab424465c7dbaa9b16e5d963270dba27cc0cd6183561e82",31.6711,0.79,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?","hungary-election-tisza-wins-a-constitutional-majority",{"condition_id":115,"outcome":29,"usdc":116,"entry_price":117,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":118,"captured_at":13,"question":119,"event_slug":120,"category":82},"0x0228c334b70792abe9e3c0f8dddf34b8a371837d830c2278c518338c6d4cde13",353.7629,0.2855551878339764,"2025-10-10T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 10?","trump-approval-rating-on-october-10",{"condition_id":122,"outcome":29,"usdc":123,"entry_price":124,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":125,"captured_at":13,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"category":82},"0x02514129acdf5089ba35fe623845a375ecd52c09015e4fc0a0d72eee698aac7b",12.466099999999999,0.08970353313664821,"2025-03-07T12:00:00Z","Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 7?","trump-538-approval-rating-on-feb-march-7",{"condition_id":129,"outcome":29,"usdc":130,"entry_price":131,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":132,"captured_at":13,"question":133,"event_slug":134,"category":82},"0x02555b5d8a0c65100b5d66df06a93ec0e05f917444b3bbd7a4709114eb1e3ec7",25.231,0.09018801829761224,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?","will-orbn-flip-magyar-for-next-hungary-pm-by-jan-31",{"condition_id":136,"outcome":29,"usdc":137,"entry_price":138,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":139,"captured_at":13,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"category":82},"0x031712ba0e4665534b608a38942be167512f5c43cb9eb547562a2a09e884bf38",354.65250000000003,0.1842293227362129,"2025-09-26T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.4% on September 26?","trump-approval-rating-on-september-26",{"condition_id":143,"outcome":29,"usdc":144,"entry_price":145,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":146,"captured_at":13,"question":147,"event_slug":148,"category":82},"0x037017974973622e3894c66f930303e46c99cfe4f13c7927cf65fd1012f26b5e",599.0355,0.37657189016638837,"2026-03-07T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-march-6",{"condition_id":150,"outcome":29,"usdc":151,"entry_price":152,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":153,"captured_at":13,"question":154,"event_slug":155,"category":82},"0x03844ca80d0fb538d33a06d44c75555fd2288671bb3833c0004e1aeb4b3f04b6",133.43612,0.08801506535778399,"2026-02-07T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 6, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-february-6",{"condition_id":157,"outcome":29,"usdc":158,"entry_price":159,"won":12,"source":78,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"category":82},"0x0441c0e10463a1da15bfe09815a38b8bb495bf7b5075805e593c33c797aa8ebc",15.468,0.39999999999999997,"2024-10-25T12:00:00Z","Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Oct 25?","trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-next-friday-oct-25",{"condition_id":164,"outcome":29,"usdc":165,"entry_price":166,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":167,"captured_at":13,"question":168,"event_slug":169,"category":82},"0x044adcbdc591973a7142924bef2ad71b2e72b4d19fb8631331eb319c6ea44a12",577.031955,0.3178278138457581,"2026-01-24T00:00:00Z","Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 23, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-january-23",{"condition_id":171,"outcome":29,"usdc":172,"entry_price":173,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":174,"captured_at":13,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"category":82},"0x04cd4e1193ea3e1e6108c72c2fb4c12a09beea7013cc113efb88fec20293e583",0.097142,0.02,"2025-10-25T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 43.0 on October 24 2025?","trump-approval-rating-on-october-24",{"condition_id":178,"outcome":29,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":125,"captured_at":13,"question":181,"event_slug":127,"category":82},"0x057ef1a34366658bb2a37470337fbfdfc1174678646df9d9ea92bd2be75ce024",1.52,0.04,"Will Trump's 538 approval rating be 48.5% or higher on March 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Friday?","will-khamenei-leave-iran-by-friday",{"condition_id":197,"outcome":75,"usdc":198,"entry_price":199,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":200,"captured_at":13,"question":201,"event_slug":202,"category":82},"0x06532ca2152172bfe890d376476b1bc425a1a320eb5c4187f5787a3f64fb5d95",10,0.1,"2025-01-19T12:00:00Z","MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?","will-microstrategy-purchase-more-bitcoin-before-trump-inauguration",{"condition_id":204,"outcome":29,"usdc":205,"entry_price":206,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":111,"captured_at":13,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":82},"0x068d4f079da544e312b1a7b86e2c5dd39d3fc6a0f5a21b0ec866d1ff34767839",47.867889999999996,0.01916977634022346,"Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István 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11?","trump-approval-rating-on-april-11",{"condition_id":217,"outcome":29,"usdc":224,"entry_price":225,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":220,"captured_at":13,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"category":82},5,0.08,{"condition_id":227,"outcome":29,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":230,"captured_at":13,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"category":82},"0x07843c80d53c08855c12ce0f9c46851d39202eb1fad5796ee958647d068d2e25",115.6554,0.0959660462999477,"2025-09-05T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on September 5?","trump-approval-rating-on-september-5",{"condition_id":234,"outcome":29,"usdc":235,"entry_price":236,"won":12,"source":78,"end_date_iso":237,"captured_at":13,"question":238,"event_slug":239,"category":82},"0x08121291cd61eaea56d62dda92b80a1a5aa80d99fdf210343713902561a8939b",91.5543,0.81,"2025-05-03T12:00:00Z","Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor 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0-5%?","romania-presidential-election-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"usdc":253,"entry_price":110,"won":12,"source":78,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":13,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"category":82},"0x09b3e4c716df2579afa0ede1bf00edd84f8cbe1e335785f90336e7a909c52f8e",197.5,"2025-10-01T00:00:00Z","US government shutdown by October 1?","us-government-shutdown-by-october-1",{"condition_id":258,"outcome":29,"usdc":259,"entry_price":260,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":261,"captured_at":13,"question":262,"event_slug":263,"category":82},"0x09d9d0d93dc3c034928e7aff944aa90d041f2d2f0ffda48f2aef5a05ec4c6ac8",312.94620000000003,0.2571625086266698,"2026-03-28T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-march-27",{"condition_id":265,"outcome":29,"usdc":266,"entry_price":267,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":193,"captured_at":13,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":82},"0x0adbf6eb615977de70fc9ddc859ab3e07f53e7617655dbfcdcca96980d5e72ad",175.92850000000004,0.13824879179467686,"Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on January 9, 2026?","trump-approval-rating-on-january-9",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":29,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":276,"category":82},"0x0b9f2e66983938c01403f290aec6f8487d96d02fe61bbb9597c7adbe0ebd46fc",2.5,0.05,"2025-08-01T00:00:00Z","Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 1?","trump-approval-rating-on-august-1",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":75,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":276,"category":82},"0x0bd6ed1b3a0d6c0c5fa5531a6e797827cdf916f08d40885ff07251337d0dbed9",28.109,0.09035648847600372,"Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 1?",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":29,"usdc":283,"entry_price":284,"won":12,"source":78,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":276,"category":82},38.5,0.652542372881356,{"condition_id":286,"outcome":75,"usdc":287,"entry_price":288,"won":12,"source":78,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":290,"event_slug":291,"category":82},"0x0c84aaac5df975ab07124eebe07ee1d7eadf2c903efe1c22c115be7697493164",397.33169999999996,0.8372457171721894,"2025-06-13T00:00:00Z","Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 13?","trump-approval-rating-on-june-13",{"condition_id":286,"outcome":29,"usdc":293,"entry_price":294,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":289,"captured_at":13,"question":290,"event_slug":291,"category":82},658.0709,0.34850835429072746,{"condition_id":296,"outcome":75,"usdc":297,"entry_price":298,"won":17,"source":78,"end_date_iso":97,"captured_at":13,"question":299,"event_slug":300,"category":82},"0x0d3ca85decaa77f98d533502a49408d283e45cd0795354c3b3775cd0b649fed4",8.8,0.44,"Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National 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