[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xc9ad18bc5d11639af167cc879fbc1333e22e79d0":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":369,"history":370,"resolved":373,"resolvedSummary":996,"specialization":999,"meta":1030},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xc9ad18bc5d11639af167cc879fbc1333e22e79d0",7486,2942,0.636981645139361,0.07047375092100173,0.14643324793806786,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-04T07:37:16.745Z",69.22556551903453,1.5789917738873656,"2026-10-04T00:52:11.000Z",0,"trades",0.5895640874148513,0.04741755772450703,14352.797840080048,203661.61375699958,4.195593477385415,0.006460387623257395,[26,39,47,57,67,75,84,92,101,109,117,126,133,140,148,157,165,173,179,189,196,205,214,222,230,235,242,250,258,265,274,280,288,296,306,314,321,329,336,343,352,360],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b","No",3199.9676,0.7759,"2026-10-20T05:31:25.623Z","2026-10-04T09:37:11.214Z","Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",3100,0.7532,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.155\", \"0.845\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":50,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":55,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64","Yes",2499.9954,0.8123,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2026-09-14T03:59:00Z","[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":62,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"25869296386911654049715489068824757745174681288397238521780118949553760488529","0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b",1500,0.92,"2026-10-06T18:14:12.329Z","2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":74,"category":38},"55700355708904384083703166586336715161181922434420134395993267551335701841219","0x2dad4655ee64f1cc5546e5807055eea9d5d355a914e88386ad92b2b04a1a28e3",1808.506,0.6877,"Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?","will-trump-flip-the-bird-again-in-2026","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":76,"condition_id":77,"outcome":29,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":83,"category":38},"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37",1799.9776,0.6716,"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.275\", \"0.725\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":29,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":91,"category":38},"104895545296438735617666172336621441242754294947987367085791779928220778311973","0x890fc3ba40458db0b67560691aa1597344c2a0560d18e80f586a4b35f510b4ce",1201.9796,0.9155,"Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?","will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026","[\"0.028\", \"0.972\"]",{"token_id":93,"condition_id":94,"outcome":50,"size":95,"avg_price":96,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":97,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":100,"category":38},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4",1000,0.91,"2026-10-17T05:30:51.499Z","Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","[\"0.915\", \"0.085\"]",{"token_id":102,"condition_id":103,"outcome":29,"size":104,"avg_price":105,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":106,"event_slug":107,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":108,"category":38},"60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",1086.6523,0.7868,"Iran leadership change by December 31?","iran-leadership-change-by","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":110,"condition_id":111,"outcome":29,"size":112,"avg_price":113,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":114,"event_slug":115,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"18702020867581976905619984893323736143098724607754292117438927457109238679413","0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa",900,0.7477,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":50,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":122,"event_slug":123,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":125},"12403602920039269077597917340921667997547115084613238528792639013246536343316","0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527",700,0.9349,"Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?","how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","[\"0.973\", \"0.027\"]","Economy",{"token_id":127,"condition_id":128,"outcome":29,"size":120,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":132,"category":38},"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827","0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f",0.87,"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by","[\"0.035\", \"0.965\"]",{"token_id":134,"condition_id":135,"outcome":29,"size":120,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":136,"question":137,"event_slug":138,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":139,"category":38},"33460385394344753109351907923235209397225125746318923726067817676780036931403","0xd8659b58a90d0d69fb1170f25b2b896871a1328115fd11c6f4cfe2b01a2a8ba0","2026-10-10T16:19:39.237Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":141,"condition_id":142,"outcome":29,"size":143,"avg_price":144,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":147,"category":38},"72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781","0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0",699.9957,0.86,"Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?","will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026","[\"0.0135\", \"0.9865\"]",{"token_id":149,"condition_id":150,"outcome":50,"size":151,"avg_price":152,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":155,"outcome_prices":156,"category":38},"98250445447699368679516529207365255018790721464590833209064266254238063117329","0x4567b275e6b667a6217f5cb4f06a797d3a1eaf1d0281fb5bc8c75e2046ae7e57",3000,0.19,"Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0905\", \"0.9095\"]",{"token_id":158,"condition_id":159,"outcome":50,"size":160,"avg_price":161,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":164,"category":38},"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231","0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f",675.0025,0.7858,"Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","[\"0.7655\", \"0.2345\"]",{"token_id":166,"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"size":168,"avg_price":169,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":136,"question":170,"event_slug":171,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":172,"category":38},"9846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048","0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14",800,0.63,"Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","[\"0.355\", \"0.645\"]",{"token_id":174,"condition_id":175,"outcome":29,"size":176,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":177,"event_slug":178,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"46036307473347147486878725188057240439237346445231099615680388314304154599904","0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139",500,"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026",{"token_id":180,"condition_id":181,"outcome":50,"size":182,"avg_price":183,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":184,"event_slug":185,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":186,"outcome_prices":187,"category":188},"80480615864496054518534481664401458122946181878204882508499859562482914861231","0x2dcbc71a3f8108936e768b503d565fbda7a644b2a0bd9ed45f74982a2bb11fba",667.3,0.68,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-11-30T20:29:00Z","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":190,"condition_id":191,"outcome":29,"size":192,"avg_price":193,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":66,"category":38},"100292172522149577922637436103132246456042318074117879550513151144706945321275","0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436",499.9917,0.8779,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027",{"token_id":197,"condition_id":198,"outcome":50,"size":199,"avg_price":200,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":201,"event_slug":202,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":203,"outcome_prices":204,"category":38},"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb",499.9984,0.837,"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.8695\", \"0.1305\"]",{"token_id":206,"condition_id":207,"outcome":29,"size":176,"avg_price":208,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":97,"question":209,"event_slug":210,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":211,"outcome_prices":212,"category":213},"11291662904897713174667903388388696640643610556195928998276904135282270136756","0xdaa4866bae18be58c5a79d2aeeffd035ec78f1bb49dbd88f72993997778a990f",0.8,"Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":215,"condition_id":216,"outcome":29,"size":217,"avg_price":218,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":219,"event_slug":220,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":211,"outcome_prices":221,"category":213},"20508072772404576884266330300293267272741800260494416818259836712249628797288","0xacb33346b59a2a3770e2391b7d1b0e77d8dcdcf840a66f5fa01d28db43c4e369",599.9985,0.6533,"Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?","what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027","[\"0.022\", \"0.978\"]",{"token_id":223,"condition_id":224,"outcome":29,"size":225,"avg_price":226,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":229,"category":38},"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915","0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803",400,0.93,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":231,"condition_id":232,"outcome":50,"size":176,"avg_price":169,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":233,"event_slug":234,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":108,"category":38},"83783489454659420807679723574840032660002326710045123865554753994450797728825","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31",{"token_id":236,"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"size":238,"avg_price":239,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":240,"event_slug":220,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":211,"outcome_prices":241,"category":213},"103174144827908901710509553630727677341797001295655245023709154639394277936836","0x717672a48c5f2938631f6e467b9a48aedb03fa380c0198704ef5acfc91721612",412.5071,0.7609,"Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":50,"size":176,"avg_price":245,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":248,"outcome_prices":249,"category":38},"109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",0.567,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.7775\", \"0.2225\"]",{"token_id":251,"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"size":253,"avg_price":254,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":255,"event_slug":107,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":256,"outcome_prices":257,"category":38},"49234118435352323291730777734805386699990286390595415348937712915074904021022","0xa4b952e2e0ab85e2949b2f67190d10da6212e030993ad930f55b21adbefda2d3",299.9945,0.89,"Iran leadership change by October 31?","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",{"token_id":259,"condition_id":260,"outcome":50,"size":225,"avg_price":261,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":262,"question":263,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":65,"outcome_prices":264,"category":38},"34722410608062854697106861099776685947172185964394483545370684749662285977831","0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d",0.64,"2026-10-07T07:21:33.588Z","2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House","[\"0.645\", \"0.355\"]",{"token_id":266,"condition_id":267,"outcome":29,"size":268,"avg_price":269,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":270,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":273,"category":38},"39839649379979262874224474703228993451530996696316314037781119946088999891171","0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc",300,0.75,"2026-10-18T06:08:24.931Z","Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31","[\"0.245\", \"0.755\"]",{"token_id":275,"condition_id":276,"outcome":29,"size":268,"avg_price":277,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":97,"question":278,"event_slug":210,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":211,"outcome_prices":279,"category":213},"101492056351751833920629364005167338435431925816936377971961169353021340085257","0xacec7e5b90ccb1ac4c950e3aff18156d6ce1bb7b0c87c001a281279412dca784",0.65,"Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.395\", \"0.605\"]",{"token_id":281,"condition_id":282,"outcome":29,"size":268,"avg_price":283,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":284,"event_slug":285,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":286,"outcome_prices":287,"category":38},"21826735481216108293779753600846510014290875703486929222291367558516215723615","0xc57bc9d0d9890815aa31d498d57af5d2d6e8d5245fd5ab104dfd7aed8c7b7081",0.62,"Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.845\", \"0.155\"]",{"token_id":289,"condition_id":290,"outcome":50,"size":291,"avg_price":269,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":270,"question":292,"event_slug":293,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":294,"outcome_prices":295,"category":38},"22967364920644358226385731525996197470260180996122246275896497110825555742942","0x1295040186326703b63b9c7d719f8c5bb88ee6fa9672e3924f90ef74ee7b0459",235.14,"Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?","toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545","2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","[\"0.55\", \"0.45\"]",{"token_id":297,"condition_id":298,"outcome":50,"size":299,"avg_price":300,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":303,"outcome_prices":304,"category":305},"93607174427076648497970085679890464224074212453553954883931612093962256690262","0x5ba72dca702ddf6ac8ce0b992b521dd3b080109e39a5f022827ffda3ac8a60f6",175.0125,0.83,"Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.63\", \"0.37\"]","Business",{"token_id":307,"condition_id":308,"outcome":29,"size":309,"avg_price":310,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":311,"event_slug":312,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":313,"category":38},"44948287872840569452368087440787385431227517937665754899112687310008762849448","0xec4e5a2666b14fedded928dc4dcd6b5f2d38cc1eba91755b8aa6de1fabd42a2f",250,0.55,"Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?","ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027","[\"0.0325\", \"0.9675\"]",{"token_id":315,"condition_id":316,"outcome":50,"size":317,"avg_price":318,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":319,"event_slug":123,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":320,"category":125},"113379839734351069617987084078322474966003108854908079701423911002443710490196","0x5e082f0b57f47a29044aa35b4c5658393122e659d5feae521c06b57cdd7f905c",525.0738,0.1309,"Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?","[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]",{"token_id":322,"condition_id":323,"outcome":29,"size":324,"avg_price":325,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":326,"event_slug":302,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":327,"outcome_prices":328,"category":305},"66837470671777301773696811990447438071468405098119301242830475504376596269562","0x94ae8e5414e036e2e9b6b6514c048042bf74d089614d7f7d73635693f9d5186b",75,0.7699,"Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?","2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","[\"0.081\", \"0.919\"]",{"token_id":330,"condition_id":331,"outcome":29,"size":332,"avg_price":333,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":334,"event_slug":302,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":256,"outcome_prices":335,"category":305},"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129","0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",100,0.4,"Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?","[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]",{"token_id":337,"condition_id":338,"outcome":29,"size":339,"avg_price":340,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":62,"question":341,"event_slug":302,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":342,"category":305},"93059136868154519251041831451057854973981985548329066772466504724611138205828","0xb40b0cd531184a1e436d23ca898e1590418187b116f387158753d1adb9853e47",199.9848,0.17,"Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.795\", \"0.205\"]",{"token_id":344,"condition_id":345,"outcome":29,"size":346,"avg_price":347,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":348,"event_slug":349,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":350,"outcome_prices":351,"category":38},"113611344999226819151410372882239515172653912209535184187292865303372283880136","0xe9507a620bd277e230da3b945af4dbd7278748c73c73b2704777cea088fbe568",17.38,0.8399,"Will CDU\u002FCSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?","will-cducsuspd-german-federal-coalition-break-before-2027","2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":353,"condition_id":354,"outcome":29,"size":355,"avg_price":356,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":357,"event_slug":358,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":359,"category":38},"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376","0xd595eb9b81885ff018738300c79047e3ec89e87294424f57a29a7fa9162bf116",9.1551,0.8531,"Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?","will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":361,"condition_id":362,"outcome":50,"size":363,"avg_price":364,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":365,"event_slug":366,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":367,"category":368},"20409637676977713406233370375892924113010872565846302629499754738752879032185","0xfa55e7e4900a3c2a0b09834ec7fb505ada92e0c0d39bb738a5c3a4357a64316f",60,0.11,"Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?","highest-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723190836285","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]","Tech",[],[371],{"recorded_date":372,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-04",[374,382,387,392,401,408,415,422,429,436,443,450,455,462,465,472,477,480,487,494,501,508,515,522,529,535,541,548,555,561,568,574,582,589,595,602,609,616,623,630,637,643,650,657,664,671,677,683,690,697,703,709,715,720,726,729,736,739,746,751,757,763,769,776,783,789,796,801,804,810,816,823,830,835,842,848,851,858,864,870,878,884,890,895,902,905,910,917,923,929,936,942,948,954,960,966,971,977,983,989],{"condition_id":375,"outcome":29,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":12,"source":378,"end_date_iso":379,"captured_at":380,"question":381,"event_slug":302,"category":305},"0xb55277532ee64d5d561f80a5f3703930a12955e9943709e60cd029656d7e5291",483.9,0.9678,"live","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","2026-10-04T20:52:20.657Z","Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":383,"outcome":50,"usdc":384,"entry_price":385,"won":12,"source":378,"end_date_iso":36,"captured_at":380,"question":386,"event_slug":366,"category":368},"0x473068c53ac55ec2ac283a460f729961fd52946ece83cb2115bbb8297471bb9d",423,0.846,"Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":29,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":378,"end_date_iso":248,"captured_at":380,"question":391,"event_slug":247,"category":38},"0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced",752.29104,0.976,"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":29,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":398,"event_slug":399,"category":400},"0x00909c9ac8447fed257c0b97de0230626f41f6b0b8772c4dbaa7697e5466536a",89.9,0.899,"backfill","2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?","another-us-strike-on-venezuela-by",null,{"condition_id":402,"outcome":29,"usdc":403,"entry_price":404,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":406,"event_slug":407,"category":400},"0x0124daa7158fc3bb6a1b3163f1510fd4c15279970b60386b75ccdce1210db332",432.997542,0.8660000357939189,"2025-06-30T00:00:00Z","Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?","will-iran-enrich-uranium-to-90-before-august",{"condition_id":409,"outcome":50,"usdc":410,"entry_price":411,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":413,"event_slug":414,"category":400},"0x019abe7fb01d769cee8d8b4afc067d1b40f5b440b18da1941a35032f84bc7aba",26.255000000000006,0.04606140350877194,"2025-03-20T12:00:00Z","Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?","will-anyone-audibly-fart-during-digital-asset-summit",{"condition_id":416,"outcome":29,"usdc":417,"entry_price":418,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":420,"event_slug":421,"category":400},"0x01d5f475cb30704216ae9906d369c0b2991cafec882ab4888a66ff11eb03e569",682,0.8525,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?","will-trump-remove-jerome-powell",{"condition_id":423,"outcome":50,"usdc":424,"entry_price":425,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":426,"captured_at":13,"question":427,"event_slug":428,"category":400},"0x027eeeaba097b5f3b166eace64668b2e6b327acc7c6b314ae5f03b33b51425e7",1678,0.8831578947368421,"2025-11-04T00:00:00Z","Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025","new-jersey-governor-election-winner-2025",{"condition_id":430,"outcome":29,"usdc":431,"entry_price":432,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":433,"captured_at":13,"question":434,"event_slug":435,"category":400},"0x02dc46f4354c1cc447577db82ba62cca1bda737bd67b73fe966ce1bfe580868f",122,0.8133333333333334,"2025-09-17T00:00:00Z","No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?","no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-september-2025-meeting",{"condition_id":437,"outcome":29,"usdc":438,"entry_price":439,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":440,"captured_at":13,"question":441,"event_slug":442,"category":400},"0x02ecadc1573b897e74b1150db0099005a678f863bc8cab793410e8eb9e962ad8",264.791786,0.563405859003408,"2025-08-10T00:00:00Z","Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?","will-gpt-5-be-released-by-august-10-893-173",{"condition_id":444,"outcome":29,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":447,"captured_at":13,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"category":400},"0x03319f1324532e6a403345ffa70a7972e9ae68fa70cc84f5613cdba75cc72a23",29.5,0.059,"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","TikTok sale announced by March 31?","tiktok-sale-announced-in-2025",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"usdc":452,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":13,"question":453,"event_slug":454,"category":400},"0x03c26b61bfe26591da8eaf9c6d68ac89c4be67c608c4a7960f317ca6b271ad81",79.2,"Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Artificial Intelligence\" during today's Education Event?","what-will-trump-say-during-todays-education-event",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":29,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":400},"0x03d0bc33df1f4585dc3993de589deb901fcfe458a5a8b8ee2051c6edaf05cf5a",66,0.44,"2025-04-30T12:00:00Z","Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?","will-trump-meet-with-zelenskyy-in-april",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":50,"usdc":463,"entry_price":464,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":400},416.75447,0.748293299093378,{"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"category":400},"0x03f39d85204b2480747e2d199bc38b724a88f7792273d701f2f64f6a02246c7f",87.998666,0.351999359671458,"2025-08-15T00:00:00Z","Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?","when-will-gpt-5-be-released",{"condition_id":473,"outcome":29,"usdc":474,"entry_price":475,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":476,"event_slug":449,"category":400},"0x03febe14c3f6d5629139c0d941219a86df12a19b3cca5fa83f488c1bc8ef00c5",88,0.88,"TikTok sale announced by September 30?",{"condition_id":473,"outcome":50,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":476,"event_slug":449,"category":400},408.051855,0.3150929566753469,{"condition_id":481,"outcome":50,"usdc":482,"entry_price":483,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":400},"0x040915034b8d3240ce0e33f38ba7aae4a77c51b27998c4114cb1f9d3468c907e",17.6,0.088,"2025-03-31T12:00:00Z","Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-by-mar-31-2025",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":29,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":493,"category":400},"0x04312a6f413f595c64cb6975ac51253030da24b3670f85325638e37011bb9138",348.4,0.871,"2025-09-30T00:00:00Z","Russian strike on Poland by September 30?","russian-strike-on-poland-by-september-30",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":29,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":400},"0x052d57cb01437fefba9bef4c0fd06c4cd97acd628d193697bbd11f6c8bd62d68",171.5,0.8285024154589372,"2025-06-30T12:00:00Z","Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-before-july-2025",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":29,"usdc":503,"entry_price":504,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":505,"captured_at":13,"question":506,"event_slug":507,"category":38},"0x0576b194302d7d0a3f7bfc1b843cef4a5c9d582a3f424f879c15441feed78f01",467.18570400000004,0.8103086682572321,"2026-01-01T04:59:00Z","Epstein client list released in 2025?","epstein-client-list-released-in-2025-372",{"condition_id":509,"outcome":50,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":512,"captured_at":13,"question":513,"event_slug":514,"category":400},"0x05a582dcbeeb1a243ff4e2ad8aebf2423d0792779164edcf463d6fc2507e25a6",47,0.47,"2025-10-17T00:00:00Z","Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?","how-long-will-trump-and-zelenskyy-shake-hands-for-on-friday",{"condition_id":516,"outcome":29,"usdc":517,"entry_price":518,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":519,"captured_at":13,"question":520,"event_slug":521,"category":400},"0x05b0ff01c2effbbbe49047922312f4c7900264a180641122e03f97cbb2b9270d",315.6,0.5844444444,"2025-03-04T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?","what-will-trump-say-during-state-of-the-union",{"condition_id":523,"outcome":29,"usdc":524,"entry_price":525,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":526,"captured_at":13,"question":527,"event_slug":528,"category":400},"0x05f07c49dbfdbe3f92458aaeeda5a8dd31a8722ce8d54d0d720b67eba2fe8e0f",61,0.61,"2025-11-30T00:00:00Z","U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?","us-anti-cartel-operation-on-foreign-soil-by-november-30",{"condition_id":530,"outcome":29,"usdc":531,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":532,"captured_at":13,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":400},"0x0635f8fd0777c284fdde905245bccc8822cf4e68dd3ec88f6f62d83e500308b9",40,"2025-05-31T12:00:00Z","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-june",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":29,"usdc":537,"entry_price":144,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":538,"captured_at":13,"question":539,"event_slug":540,"category":400},"0x06b2c5ddb72d05db4deec3c16577541b8bad978e10a7d311ff47f896108ceb81",154.8,"2025-02-28T12:00:00Z","Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?","israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-before-march",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":50,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":545,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":400},"0x077fc0c447abfc7e094713e86d62acc20480560a6eb60bfbfc86a1c5f00b9339",208,0.52,"2025-11-21T00:00:00Z","Will the government shutdown end November 12?","what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end",{"condition_id":549,"outcome":29,"usdc":550,"entry_price":551,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":552,"captured_at":13,"question":553,"event_slug":554,"category":400},"0x07a49f044960fb16a4bb3ef0fb97ea3427092f4f860f6fbff74b829af7d64aa2",13.5,0.27,"2025-07-15T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-by-july-15",{"condition_id":556,"outcome":50,"usdc":557,"entry_price":558,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":400},"0x08c8fffc2fb962e36d835621b82434b941a8a124f47558454d8eb666eeed59f9",57.28970600000001,0.5730000109158102,"Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?","highest-grossing-movie-in-2025",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":50,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":565,"captured_at":13,"question":566,"event_slug":567,"category":400},"0x09b3e4c716df2579afa0ede1bf00edd84f8cbe1e335785f90336e7a909c52f8e",689,0.8105882352941176,"2025-10-01T00:00:00Z","US government shutdown by October 1?","us-government-shutdown-by-october-1",{"condition_id":569,"outcome":29,"usdc":570,"entry_price":571,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":572,"event_slug":573,"category":400},"0x0b80fe0c6d4f5f92a8b97b6dc26716e576a8d5f6b584a9f630c6c5d0f48176c5",2.65,0.53,"US kicks trans members out of military before July? ","us-kicks-trans-members-out-of-military-before-july",{"condition_id":575,"outcome":50,"usdc":576,"entry_price":577,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":578,"captured_at":13,"question":579,"event_slug":580,"category":581},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",147.19877200000002,0.1840000002504615,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":29,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":586,"captured_at":13,"question":587,"event_slug":588,"category":400},"0x0c88956b356ba3d20d76adc88e97e63641e937ca128b1bee5a705902c130138d",19.75,0.79,"2025-07-30T00:00:00Z","Will Powell say \"Crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during July Press Conference?","what-will-powell-say-during-july-press-conference",{"condition_id":590,"outcome":29,"usdc":591,"entry_price":144,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":592,"captured_at":13,"question":593,"event_slug":594,"category":400},"0x0d97b08564988f1353b6f9a68df0b451c00165d94bd5d169a7dabf563ff8d9d2",86,"2025-12-16T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"AI\" or \"Crypto\" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?","what-will-trump-say-during-hanukkah-reception-on-december-16",{"condition_id":596,"outcome":50,"usdc":597,"entry_price":598,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":599,"captured_at":13,"question":600,"event_slug":601,"category":400},"0x0e49ff4c72a7a708a63c470df73e08841a3e033bd66cd1ccbd056bb6eddb13ec",8.8248,0.24,"2025-09-08T00:00:00Z","Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?","which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-norway-election",{"condition_id":603,"outcome":29,"usdc":604,"entry_price":605,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":606,"captured_at":13,"question":607,"event_slug":608,"category":400},"0x0e5219af7f980cbd6fd8d4fd4233bfead6f2c0cc8aedfa95b0fdf9268ec4acd2",7.79982,0.098,"2025-08-01T00:00:00Z","Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?","which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-tariff-agreements-with-before-august",{"condition_id":610,"outcome":50,"usdc":611,"entry_price":612,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":613,"captured_at":13,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"category":400},"0x0ece235d45cb27d67f8610e0f26341fa20c5ad8663c5adc00751af8c569b65ce",64.554,0.3,"2025-12-23T00:00:00Z","Will \"Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua\" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)","what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-514",{"condition_id":617,"outcome":29,"usdc":618,"entry_price":619,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":620,"captured_at":13,"question":621,"event_slug":622,"category":400},"0x0f3131c874579825ecdbbda8c7aeed071aa908d7c993792c393285900e68906f",313.5,0.8038461538461539,"2025-01-31T12:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january",{"condition_id":624,"outcome":29,"usdc":625,"entry_price":626,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":13,"question":628,"event_slug":629,"category":38},"0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd",487.47900000000004,0.8845454545454545,"2026-06-21T14:00:00Z","Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?","colombia-presidential-election",{"condition_id":631,"outcome":29,"usdc":632,"entry_price":633,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":634,"captured_at":13,"question":635,"event_slug":636,"category":400},"0x110c37f294bb1cca1a1ac86b01f02dec7757c3a81dba156c197eb8f6f259f7ac",174.25,0.85,"2025-02-09T12:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump say \"Greenland\" during Super Bowl pregame interview?","what-will-trump-say-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview",{"condition_id":638,"outcome":29,"usdc":639,"entry_price":640,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":469,"captured_at":13,"question":641,"event_slug":642,"category":400},"0x11a367fea8169759c13b9dbf4547e6fb8aaecfd22f87674870f5940e86c90bdb",6.416162,0.6420000518063858," Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?","will-trump-meet-with-putin-by-august-15",{"condition_id":644,"outcome":29,"usdc":645,"entry_price":646,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":647,"captured_at":13,"question":648,"event_slug":649,"category":400},"0x11dd29c186ac5797d177e0824785698cadc6e2dcd34c7efb83c1b0ccc2a7b573",10.3,0.515,"2025-04-16T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Egg\" during Easter Dinner on April 16?","what-will-trump-say-during-easter-dinner-on-april-16",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":50,"usdc":652,"entry_price":653,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":654,"captured_at":13,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"category":400},"0x12f5f3c1b0776a92119c1da71ed8358b534cb2da5f90b1dc632bf48b6a32cbdd",60.992804,0.6100000078009157,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?","more-eu-sanctions-on-russia-by-december-31",{"condition_id":658,"outcome":29,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":661,"captured_at":13,"question":662,"event_slug":663,"category":400},"0x1392be596898d55b5b123234812e0ba2838d3e3ee63f75eb39c96da77a9f3c82",142,0.71,"2025-12-31T23:55:00Z","Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?","which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-in-2025",{"condition_id":665,"outcome":50,"usdc":666,"entry_price":667,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":669,"event_slug":670,"category":400},"0x13d630af7d1d92f010d9856abe48fc75eee24686897533948b919164b64199b3",4.421044,0.0010000000000000002,"","Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?","how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025",{"condition_id":672,"outcome":50,"usdc":673,"entry_price":674,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":13,"question":675,"event_slug":676,"category":400},"0x13fbe74b587f3b606a3d25b6879ee3dcccf89a8c36bf14b62c72a131c6e26ec5",641.34798,0.8089195704373076,"Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?","spacex-starship-flight-test-10",{"condition_id":678,"outcome":29,"usdc":679,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":680,"captured_at":13,"question":681,"event_slug":682,"category":400},"0x141baf098d849e249f619972fb3e0c3b24787fa18308c40c4bfc669430bf9c65",80,"2025-10-31T00:00:00Z","New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?","new-arrests-in-charlie-kirk-shooting-by-october-31",{"condition_id":684,"outcome":50,"usdc":685,"entry_price":686,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":687,"captured_at":13,"question":688,"event_slug":689,"category":400},"0x14471b8ba9899211f6a66fcab32fc5d05333a739d4a9da01b4280849d795cc24",7.8,0.039,"2025-06-01T12:00:00Z","Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?","poland-presidential-election-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":691,"outcome":50,"usdc":692,"entry_price":693,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":694,"captured_at":13,"question":695,"event_slug":696,"category":400},"0x144b69f5155bc9a4e5c6512885c092a5ee2b8449ccee4576dd6a3f334c2f85e3",11.998908,0.12000000119329007,"2025-08-31T00:00:00Z","Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?","katy-perry-and-justin-trudeau-confirmed-relationship-by-august-31",{"condition_id":698,"outcome":29,"usdc":699,"entry_price":700,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":654,"captured_at":13,"question":701,"event_slug":702,"category":400},"0x14823b0e1d93a06fd9ee287b5a437f98642213aa3a45d04a070a9e03282059b9",292.988671,0.7324993861206693,"Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?","will-the-gvle-goat-burn-in-2025",{"condition_id":704,"outcome":29,"usdc":705,"entry_price":706,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":707,"event_slug":708,"category":400},"0x149f61728a608d610215f6d3f6b3721f8cf4fcbd2c707c896594b8447f4e9719",1.02,0.034,"Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?","elon-musk-out-as-head-of-doge-before-july",{"condition_id":710,"outcome":29,"usdc":711,"entry_price":712,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":713,"event_slug":714,"category":400},"0x14a5086aa913c7146d1b532b67482eb0b652f13de41ad939259bd2084f1afe5c",797,0.8855555555555555,"Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?","will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-september-30",{"condition_id":716,"outcome":29,"usdc":717,"entry_price":129,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":719,"category":400},"0x14e7a202f66c21bb2888a76897513043df18288769773b85997dfea14fd0ddc2",200.1,"Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?","karen-bass-out-as-mayor-of-la-before-july",{"condition_id":721,"outcome":29,"usdc":722,"entry_price":340,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":400},"0x1503c820891a7b60417a2b58f625beb307d407ba733c2b71815a7ac29b691627",17,"2026-02-01T05:00:00Z","Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?","total-commitments-for-the-ranger-public-sale-on-metadao",{"condition_id":721,"outcome":50,"usdc":727,"entry_price":728,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":723,"captured_at":13,"question":724,"event_slug":725,"category":400},62,0.31,{"condition_id":730,"outcome":29,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":400},"0x1512828f4c735012fde09e2424f033bd2cd128a1a84e7aa7769440b66a1dd7c5",61.99822,0.31492052099787515,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? ","us-x-iran-nuclear-talks-resume-by-march-31",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":50,"usdc":737,"entry_price":738,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":735,"category":400},508,0.8466666666666667,{"condition_id":740,"outcome":29,"usdc":741,"entry_price":742,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":743,"captured_at":13,"question":744,"event_slug":745,"category":400},"0x15238941cee2b8d336a53dd1a6817aefcadfe62a63907391ae6617d1bd269081",108.05,0.7451724137931034,"2025-01-29T12:00:00Z","Will Powell say \"crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during January press conference?","what-will-powell-say-during-january-press-conference",{"condition_id":747,"outcome":29,"usdc":748,"entry_price":208,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":526,"captured_at":13,"question":749,"event_slug":750,"category":400},"0x153d422c654b77e4ccaeb8e4914eeedf5aa43fef1bd3b08f458c354325e049a6",200,"Will Shayne say \"Domer\" or \"Domah\" or \"Car\" or \"aenews\" during 60 Minutes?","what-will-shayne-say-during-60-minutes",{"condition_id":752,"outcome":29,"usdc":753,"entry_price":300,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":754,"captured_at":13,"question":755,"event_slug":756,"category":400},"0x1576305a0650c07646c0a12b58005f6678d6e3e0e5ba0fa0db900a34cc684fdf",20.75,"2025-03-27T12:00:00Z","Will Elon say \"Mars\" during Baier interview on Thursday?","what-will-elon-say-during-baier-interview",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"usdc":759,"entry_price":760,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":484,"captured_at":13,"question":761,"event_slug":762,"category":400},"0x1663edea3eba0d1ae8f064276dd426cb0497a19bb5188dae48a2f8fa8ea34da8",281.9337,0.7419307894736843,"Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?","ukraine-agrees-to-give-trump-rare-earth-metals-before-april",{"condition_id":764,"outcome":50,"usdc":765,"entry_price":766,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":459,"captured_at":13,"question":767,"event_slug":768,"category":400},"0x173a4ef5398c3ed0797064e57b2f514e549b8eed36d3514cf762e99521a6c5bb",171.2,0.856,"Trump trade deal in April?","trump-trade-deal-in-april",{"condition_id":770,"outcome":50,"usdc":771,"entry_price":772,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":773,"captured_at":13,"question":774,"event_slug":775,"category":400},"0x17414b5654467cc23ac6e5cba7ecf87952ea12ea08a8e09fbfef5f3b218e2bab",425.5,0.851,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?","netherlands-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":777,"outcome":29,"usdc":778,"entry_price":779,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":780,"captured_at":13,"question":781,"event_slug":782,"category":400},"0x178daa3428373da76550f98e22183c965dcc77cc3c9e95fa2534f45edf2d0c12",480.63942,0.7338090436150031,"2025-11-05T00:00:00Z","Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?","will-israel-strike-lebanon-on",{"condition_id":784,"outcome":29,"usdc":785,"entry_price":786,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":654,"captured_at":13,"question":787,"event_slug":788,"category":400},"0x1805d8caffd2455466425a91d2f38df536a9285570760916cebdf0306109fb21",1100.9104839999998,0.7708385764602512,"Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?","will-elon-musk-attend-a-ufc-event-by-december-31",{"condition_id":790,"outcome":29,"usdc":791,"entry_price":792,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":793,"captured_at":13,"question":794,"event_slug":795,"category":400},"0x1875716a2d5ceab211dc4bba32a01951ac4b710c7ed89f988a92b63e61797acf",178.2,0.891,"2025-07-04T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-by-friday-July-4",{"condition_id":797,"outcome":29,"usdc":798,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"category":400},"0x18d1268816b733248d3137257c7ee20f43a758f01529c7c002906ad687370fa1",186,"Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?","will-trump-admin-release-any-more-epstein-related-files-by-845",{"condition_id":797,"outcome":50,"usdc":802,"entry_price":803,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":799,"event_slug":800,"category":400},26.999963,0.2700000026000017,{"condition_id":805,"outcome":29,"usdc":806,"entry_price":807,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":447,"captured_at":13,"question":808,"event_slug":809,"category":400},"0x18d8c59309811ce5618ea941f9bde2a96afa5d876a69c42fba2da4bcc56d3c5e",134,0.536,"Maduro out by March 31, 2026?","maduro-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":811,"outcome":50,"usdc":812,"entry_price":261,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":813,"captured_at":13,"question":814,"event_slug":815,"category":400},"0x191083258b7d4dbd1128efb713e824ab06774b160526750d11ea8f3c8cfc2e08",128,"2026-07-10T17:00:00Z","Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?","will-grahm-platner-drop-out-before-the-midterms-20260608200746523",{"condition_id":817,"outcome":29,"usdc":818,"entry_price":819,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":820,"captured_at":13,"question":821,"event_slug":822,"category":400},"0x191d9229fa0d33d553e9627c6e6da7b758352f01ef1c4f6c2c3cdfbba410fcee",288,0.72,"2025-01-22T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Elon\" or \"Musk\" during Fox News Oval Office interview?","what-will-trump-say-during-oval-office-interview",{"condition_id":824,"outcome":29,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":13,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":400},"0x19848149723bbd00545b98f45aa239864d8afd2194fec522af4dd2cb222f9766",99.3993,0.77,"2025-10-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?","will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by",{"condition_id":831,"outcome":29,"usdc":832,"entry_price":833,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":634,"captured_at":13,"question":834,"event_slug":636,"category":400},"0x1ac1173583dba7277b7a8011136c40de9b5fba1051d2bafb7b750e6c211721f2",91.841612,0.7279102745254038,"Will Donald Trump say \"Patrick\" or \"Mahomes\" during Super Bowl pregame interview?",{"condition_id":836,"outcome":29,"usdc":837,"entry_price":838,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":839,"captured_at":13,"question":840,"event_slug":841,"category":38},"0x1ace6d9e95a123a07e30939e68b7f6eaf4dda3387814f0fa2f329e3102759c95",243,0.81,"2026-03-24T00:00:00Z","Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?","which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-denmark",{"condition_id":843,"outcome":29,"usdc":844,"entry_price":845,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":846,"event_slug":847,"category":400},"0x1b2b69401b202d313f8909800ca7e5b1c631de6782d0b74e7cc827e1873abfb0",748.4799999999999,0.8603218390804597,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-june-30",{"condition_id":843,"outcome":50,"usdc":849,"entry_price":850,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":846,"event_slug":847,"category":400},104.8,0.262,{"condition_id":852,"outcome":29,"usdc":853,"entry_price":854,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":855,"captured_at":13,"question":856,"event_slug":857,"category":400},"0x1b557568875943ed7a44db38386adfaba39c3a2eb3384a276e112373835cc0b5",396.7472,0.734717037,"2025-02-03T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Elon Musk\" during his inauguration speech?","what-will-trump-say-during-inauguration-speech",{"condition_id":859,"outcome":29,"usdc":860,"entry_price":861,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":862,"event_slug":863,"category":400},"0x1b6f76e5b8587ee896c35847e12d11e75290a8c3934c5952e8a9d6e4c6f03cfa",1803.5928560000002,0.7538654329414907,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025",{"condition_id":865,"outcome":29,"usdc":866,"entry_price":867,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":654,"captured_at":13,"question":868,"event_slug":869,"category":400},"0x1d039941b393f61a08567d37ef2e45bc3e7b19984d186c5e7ab4e06243c3ad9d",93.05226400000001,0.13652277339014318,"Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?","will-trump-establish-a-gaza-board-of-peace-in-2025",{"condition_id":871,"outcome":29,"usdc":872,"entry_price":873,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":874,"captured_at":13,"question":875,"event_slug":876,"category":877},"0x1d5cd4867b48d97d017db0bb6b4ed39d7b641d882b5bc99eaa0a9e9f05e16e78",170.99946899999998,0.570000000813956,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?","another-gta-vi-trailer-released-by","Culture",{"condition_id":879,"outcome":29,"usdc":880,"entry_price":881,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":882,"event_slug":883,"category":400},"0x1ddc0e7de1634d1204dda3bef66ffe18b0d52d8605c0a363755480de0dc81d41",322,0.805,"Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?","will-israel-strike-an-iranian-nuclear-facility-before-july",{"condition_id":885,"outcome":50,"usdc":886,"entry_price":887,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":668,"captured_at":13,"question":888,"event_slug":889,"category":400},"0x1e328a920e66dc2f3839eab880c9a27c7bc6d5c1018baffa11c1870cc46936c2",2.03,0.029,"Will the Red Bloc win by 8–11 seats?","red-vs-blue-block-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":891,"outcome":50,"usdc":892,"entry_price":893,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":687,"captured_at":13,"question":894,"event_slug":689,"category":400},"0x1e68b29be798c37448e00f83180358d0edb02393f8d6a68d50d1175798865287",99,0.22,"Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?",{"condition_id":896,"outcome":29,"usdc":897,"entry_price":898,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":899,"captured_at":13,"question":900,"event_slug":901,"category":400},"0x1e8919b5aaf519a7260c30a94503feedd3cac8a42d275617e16376f2c8d9ca33",70,0.35,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?","will-kabuto-1st-edition-card-hit-100-by-december-31",{"condition_id":896,"outcome":50,"usdc":903,"entry_price":904,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":899,"captured_at":13,"question":900,"event_slug":901,"category":400},227.99387000000002,0.6514291687264797,{"condition_id":906,"outcome":29,"usdc":907,"entry_price":585,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":908,"event_slug":909,"category":400},"0x1ecb710da7d97b76c1c99180d8f3d2afe052d09b68eca89b4cf3ce37a7a0a426",79,"US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?","us-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukraine",{"condition_id":911,"outcome":50,"usdc":912,"entry_price":913,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":914,"captured_at":13,"question":915,"event_slug":916,"category":400},"0x1f49039685bec79b5ff8c487a6632366371e45108282960f0bc746d046b074c7",37.5,0.15,"2025-12-19T00:00:00Z","Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?","jake-paul-vs-anthony-joshua-method-of-victory-113",{"condition_id":918,"outcome":50,"usdc":919,"entry_price":920,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":661,"captured_at":13,"question":921,"event_slug":922,"category":400},"0x1fb7ed3aafcd80a2112eb687480c4a9bf042dc2d76663dd13785323c8be898bf",32.449999999999996,0.2163333333333333,"Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?","will-hezbollah-to-disarm-before-in-2025",{"condition_id":924,"outcome":29,"usdc":925,"entry_price":633,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":926,"captured_at":13,"question":927,"event_slug":928,"category":400},"0x200369a7fc4dad910665c5a77e1c0c0d16237f79c637928bf0c5112cac2db708",425,"2025-10-10T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?","nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025",{"condition_id":930,"outcome":50,"usdc":931,"entry_price":932,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":933,"captured_at":13,"question":934,"event_slug":935,"category":400},"0x20621b51a564adece53d83897997dcc236e2a59689f93f84a57a167efa952d97",62.36229,0.3042062926829268,"2025-12-22T00:00:00Z","Will \"Avatar: Fire and Ash\" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?","will-avatar-fire-and-ash-opening-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-90m",{"condition_id":937,"outcome":29,"usdc":938,"entry_price":269,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":939,"captured_at":13,"question":940,"event_slug":941,"category":400},"0x2098b3289292460e95e4daf64d18f66a2cfea786683bf40c12fb6c065a463a38",3.75,"2025-04-02T12:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"VAT\" or \"Value added tax\" during tariff event on April 2?","what-will-trump-say-during-tariff-event-on-april-2",{"condition_id":943,"outcome":50,"usdc":944,"entry_price":945,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":946,"event_slug":947,"category":400},"0x21d5b50fd0bc5013be79a7cdb4b3f0917127071cf27a324804c030f6eb06f5b4",532.09131,0.3773747799575461,"Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?","who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair",{"condition_id":949,"outcome":29,"usdc":950,"entry_price":951,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":952,"event_slug":953,"category":400},"0x2303aaec30110b7e5ed785a4d6bd0a5e4bc2336e69d1bcb61890b4cf6a447255",120,0.6,"Will Alan Dershowitz be named in Epstein files?","who-will-be-named-in-epstein-files-by-june-30",{"condition_id":955,"outcome":29,"usdc":956,"entry_price":957,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":958,"event_slug":959,"category":400},"0x2393ed0b0fdc450054c7b9071907eca75cf4fc36e385adf4a0a5f99ee62243e8",171.53102,0.8826790510986466,"Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?","how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2025",{"condition_id":961,"outcome":50,"usdc":962,"entry_price":963,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":964,"event_slug":965,"category":400},"0x23e730eca8e579958f37504f006dd5e02d5d2dd26225f75cde5d2e52be954f46",682.03032,0.8405288441419149,"No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?","who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair-before-july",{"condition_id":967,"outcome":29,"usdc":968,"entry_price":144,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":13,"question":969,"event_slug":970,"category":400},"0x23f064b754155a55f6573897a3ac1f48da8f271fa684a6611a2441108547b033",172,"Will Trump visit Greenland before July?","will-trump-visit-greenland-before-july",{"condition_id":972,"outcome":29,"usdc":973,"entry_price":974,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":397,"captured_at":13,"question":975,"event_slug":976,"category":400},"0x23fd2b26c4e095465ba0d2ebce8d5eda57009ddc59aad8b68ab19ca968b41eed",1608.883452,0.7465891494900172,"Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","israel-strikes-iran-by-january-31-2026",{"condition_id":978,"outcome":50,"usdc":979,"entry_price":980,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":981,"event_slug":982,"category":400},"0x24e4d8b6fd60c9867d9accbdd88ba2ac7212aeb03dfc9d6b10bab06896049ff2",601.6,0.7336585365853658,"Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?","next-prime-minister-of-romania",{"condition_id":984,"outcome":50,"usdc":985,"entry_price":986,"won":17,"source":396,"end_date_iso":419,"captured_at":13,"question":987,"event_slug":988,"category":400},"0x25fabfa25fa78937cf739d522f4afb811d5f4840e9398d574033207ff90d1181",48.3,0.644,"Will Karoline Leavitt say \"DEI\" during next White House press briefing?","what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-next-white-house-press-briefing-02202025",{"condition_id":990,"outcome":29,"usdc":991,"entry_price":992,"won":12,"source":396,"end_date_iso":993,"captured_at":13,"question":994,"event_slug":995,"category":400},"0x2603d5576c488e4f2a4fa41677917044e796917b2ff251d639b635062fe6b068",102,0.51,"2026-02-01T00:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?","will-bitcoin-reach-100k-in-january-2026",{"total":997,"wins":998},660,401,[1000,1006,1011,1016,1020,1022,1026,1028],{"category":1001,"n":1002,"wins":1003,"hitRate":1004,"roi":1005},"Other",605,360,0.5950413223140496,0.039754332096310636,{"category":38,"n":1007,"wins":1008,"hitRate":1009,"roi":1010},35,27,0.7714285714285715,0.2821994522132628,{"category":188,"n":1012,"wins":1013,"hitRate":1014,"roi":1015},7,6,0.8571428571428571,0.25772305869120526,{"category":877,"n":1017,"wins":1018,"hitRate":269,"roi":1019},4,3,0.20276926108351898,{"category":581,"n":1018,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1021},-1,{"category":213,"n":1018,"wins":1023,"hitRate":1024,"roi":1025},2,0.6666666666666666,0.9316170305270022,{"category":368,"n":1023,"wins":1023,"hitRate":12,"roi":1027},0.16433877562533183,{"category":305,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1029},0.03327133705311014,{"generatedAt":1031},"2026-10-21T14:48:15.624Z"]