[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":266,"history":267,"resolved":354,"resolvedSummary":957,"specialization":960,"meta":990},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f",9798,2612,0.6190658499234303,0.13037112194260103,0.10336383164861675,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-22T23:06:16.759Z",723.3230687189853,2.331192005710207,"2026-09-21T15:44:22.000Z",0,"dune",0.5481039359045565,0.07096191401887522,246312.74926918425,1889319.8554939895,7.0961914018875225,[25,38,47,57,66,74,84,93,102,112,121,129,138,147,156,165,172,179,185,193,200,208,214,224,233,241,250,257],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"111344475342969784116702975577723982549674037196345086059563486202499238579830","0xa08a5ce99e14ce0b22767af6f16c08a2ab012249444c20887193a9a3e98e11fc","No",84527.0645,0.8956,"2026-09-24T11:16:05.156Z","2026-09-23T00:02:18.908Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-september-30-20260702154339440","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":37},"29633826701713552120011280893309822625942861174174976276686142480636225243753","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",75999.4067,0.923,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0625\", \"0.9375\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":28,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":56},"55646219597856189899881677374172135376492662817148728033424581863530537477107","0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e",61514.2116,0.9209,"Will GameStop acquire eBay?","will-gamestop-acquire-ebay","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]","Other",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":28,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":64,"outcome_prices":65,"category":37},"25869296386911654049715489068824757745174681288397238521780118949553760488529","0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b",39999.9566,0.88,"2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House","balance-of-power-2026-midterms","2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":67,"condition_id":68,"outcome":28,"size":69,"avg_price":70,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":71,"event_slug":72,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":73,"category":37},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",35766.3861,0.8199,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":77,"size":78,"avg_price":79,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":80,"event_slug":81,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":83,"category":37},"6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097","0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64","Yes",28741.5258,0.8,"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","next-prime-minister-of-sweden","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.87\", \"0.13\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":28,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":91,"outcome_prices":92,"category":37},"7565921021555775006041943394390068423142281108752994121417017072842379450830","0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced",11584.2157,0.962,"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-04T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":28,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":100,"category":101},"3356568285299819338090841293573027386643722118263767544500604381116882141082","0x24d28f36ea7fb7c729b108e3992b4df869a0112e6f2aa546d43f80a0a9136e40",10000,0.84,"Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?","will-cmi-declare-a-millennium-prize-problem-solved-by-20260723160122979","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]","Culture",{"token_id":103,"condition_id":104,"outcome":77,"size":105,"avg_price":106,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":109,"outcome_prices":110,"category":111},"35480485928147694422522317298160081194603766865102488154902775756915955129166","0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",9999.9663,0.81,"Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","2027-07-01T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0355\", \"0.9645\"]","Business",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":28,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":120,"category":37},"72656506786460378316387284276713856836841708169262528054985577978493419440428","0xce9a5fa30fe74e323b4a8f15afbb0b7a41a537aa880779ddf7dee22223b2f34a",8022.937,0.9679,"Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2028","2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","[\"0.011\", \"0.989\"]",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":28,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":128,"category":37},"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc",7550.93,0.6999,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","[\"0.205\", \"0.795\"]",{"token_id":130,"condition_id":131,"outcome":28,"size":132,"avg_price":133,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":136,"category":137},"69823967277555741592442629731784907339708874153642676882590957848976639565274","0x2d9e8b66e63e7b169416eed9d241a5aa633ba0052f553bb64a824e21f1be04c4",4722,0.8905,"Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?","what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]","Tech",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":28,"size":141,"avg_price":142,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":144,"event_slug":145,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":146,"category":111},"105033153930933573697420842191616002192109859953877198226710053859159453534997","0xce76a9d7a778beb2907c288a2df477e68abc4366d97b5a192d46cefdd8b392cb",4111.3123,0.8914,"2026-06-19T10:41:09.439Z","Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?","ipos-before-2027","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]",{"token_id":148,"condition_id":149,"outcome":77,"size":150,"avg_price":151,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":152,"event_slug":153,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":154,"outcome_prices":155,"category":137},"35608595602971585131748334524997534059288005974951964270070510209825391272871","0x7209592f294c2b3a7230ea66a4483ecfe1a57ae79144e5e735654829e00cfc68",3594.2613,0.8793,"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?","will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027","2026-12-31T04:59:00Z","[\"0.992\", \"0.008\"]",{"token_id":157,"condition_id":158,"outcome":28,"size":159,"avg_price":160,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":163,"outcome_prices":164,"category":37},"18931753388294042129670447697534322160562180999929639948109125563671432407633","0x3db0178f6ee00011e6ede975436532edec684ca3facc8f8eb26d8ce9f4464717",3464.6428,0.8078,"Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?","maduro-prison-time-527","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.68\", \"0.32\"]",{"token_id":166,"condition_id":167,"outcome":28,"size":168,"avg_price":169,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":170,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":171,"category":137},"7860813783788365228940933442491468403797619020807014292210819082168277140152","0x0a7e49c536cc4a9ddfaca10ac9aec476e358c2d29a9e13d5cc320ad0335374a8",2137.25,0.8499,"Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":173,"condition_id":174,"outcome":28,"size":175,"avg_price":176,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":177,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":178,"category":137},"6214606943107197115529634171182195163539818508116179312208172739501841301622","0xe5fbcaf9e6eee30018a5e19d9e96296c7fd6be8502f8c8239a80a3108198417c",1579.71,0.8951,"Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?","[\"0.0165\", \"0.9835\"]",{"token_id":180,"condition_id":181,"outcome":28,"size":182,"avg_price":183,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":184,"event_slug":145,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":146,"category":111},"9972947637227459725887723519702818686033420825494738974426889488274873919979","0xb7a72d5e5e4ad1dd7664fec7b7c3031a66d149d186e9c5180351780eb1323566",1400.2045,0.8773,"Anduril IPO before 2027?",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":28,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":192,"category":37},"5697221075711858699852624943573291720358422810802415883854283024034226588211","0x8bdeac60c92d3bc494792fd334ca181b0cf70355f23dca4098d558280b554c81",1263.35,0.87,"Iran Nuke before 2027?","iran-nuke-before-2027","[\"0.044\", \"0.956\"]",{"token_id":194,"condition_id":195,"outcome":28,"size":196,"avg_price":197,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":198,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":199,"category":137},"2495741164869514855992472185546919768592825594811693043740639350245507358833","0x3ff9124b87f05d7a65ec801f28cb336b86c16a2197afb0139731610d55e21d27",1235.58,0.7551,"Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":201,"condition_id":202,"outcome":77,"size":203,"avg_price":204,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":205,"event_slug":206,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":207,"category":37},"53234778776980446933865634417069505413088346571446174643595097158969361636244","0x4dc5c13eb9646b10da7d5f079f77ef2480ec5466861ce1cfbc910fabed3d7d0d",895.6,0.5962,"Kash Patel out by December 31?","kash-patel-out-by","[\"0.2\", \"0.8\"]",{"token_id":209,"condition_id":210,"outcome":28,"size":211,"avg_price":212,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":213,"event_slug":135,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":136,"category":137},"73789386951785961634843164245972952207876232232196453335930808090515877552624","0xc15a7548e3f5c17dd61cebeba2f105ce6a8c36e5dce50331ad308b26094c5a78",442.89,0.9028,"Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?",{"token_id":215,"condition_id":216,"outcome":28,"size":217,"avg_price":218,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":219,"event_slug":220,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":221,"outcome_prices":222,"category":223},"69920194040711736936002737306616966483487315622418282521632179548073807568918","0x07eb65c2a3f1cb716a8f24e7d8e97188f451d2928e59bc2781bcd9a9757b41b8",183.34,0.6771,"Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?","will-axiom-launch-a-token-in-2025","2026-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":225,"condition_id":226,"outcome":28,"size":227,"avg_price":228,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":229,"event_slug":230,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":231,"outcome_prices":232,"category":137},"66841063369387139354117178886702859859587488444084648235189096287253537969083","0xb58c4b4a243d6c2aa1e192df9de9f7121768e37440f486f5e888a073e68fb1ec",320,0.34,"Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?","top-5-most-searched-people-on-google-2026","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.62\", \"0.38\"]",{"token_id":234,"condition_id":235,"outcome":28,"size":236,"avg_price":237,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":238,"event_slug":239,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":240,"category":137},"72483923474232756463146607117239077563568669220817729835434703956461347935363","0x972e743ee483cb4186b14b0c548dbf66f96214272d17542533fe447678d085c3",117.4,0.889,"Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?","which-flavors-will-juul-relaunch-in-2026","[\"0.44\", \"0.56\"]",{"token_id":242,"condition_id":243,"outcome":77,"size":244,"avg_price":228,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":247,"outcome_prices":248,"category":249},"29637922150133247837494999268850861972506938929073189065972803949119432654860","0x234cb84f9e92194f93c6df4990e7e52c6948ec4d61400cd2dd74018ad2448152",146,"9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?","9pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027","2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.03\", \"0.97\"]","Science",{"token_id":251,"condition_id":252,"outcome":77,"size":253,"avg_price":254,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":143,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":73,"category":223},"55736535775539231856682158017890031261644294952589300517957218393676136917293","0xe67c947bf8eeb8dffdeea19806cf266fe65f6d20f3e5bbf5135e11e544fe9b7f",5,0.52,"Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?","opensea-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",{"token_id":258,"condition_id":259,"outcome":28,"size":260,"avg_price":261,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":262,"event_slug":263,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":264,"outcome_prices":265,"category":37},"6136336712352911156426560180855478229745540927722899997193789497766196705020","0x66bbf6d55e0296278858b3147689f3df9259374f158f9f028b608baa322a639c",2.5,0.4,"Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?","maine-senate-election-winner","","[\"0.705\", \"0.295\"]",[],[268,274,281,287,293,299,305,311,317,323,329,335,341,343,345,352],{"recorded_date":269,"roi":270,"win_rate":271,"brier_score":272,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":273,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-05-29",0.14954721215990646,0.9428571428571428,0.08020609432049193,70,{"recorded_date":275,"roi":276,"win_rate":277,"brier_score":278,"p_value":279,"resolved_trades":280,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-01",0.31511462757199205,0.703125,0.11690961116972479,0.0036000000000000476,64,{"recorded_date":282,"roi":283,"win_rate":284,"brier_score":285,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":286,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-05",-0.5862692241325815,0.11875,0.09485372706210737,160,{"recorded_date":288,"roi":289,"win_rate":290,"brier_score":291,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":292,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-08",-0.6745323521906286,0.050359712230215826,0.09363222530400979,139,{"recorded_date":294,"roi":295,"win_rate":296,"brier_score":297,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":298,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-19",0.22290250471366835,0.9764705882352941,0.038350355919881625,255,{"recorded_date":300,"roi":301,"win_rate":302,"brier_score":303,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":304,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-26",0.19741083216378819,0.9818181818181818,0.03401709273013257,330,{"recorded_date":306,"roi":307,"win_rate":308,"brier_score":309,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":310,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-03",0.22220040579261302,0.9494949494949495,0.04151867108073772,99,{"recorded_date":312,"roi":313,"win_rate":314,"brier_score":315,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":316,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-10",0.2363144011232799,0.9333333333333333,0.05127732760575624,105,{"recorded_date":318,"roi":319,"win_rate":320,"brier_score":321,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":322,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-17",0.18266678786451734,0.9666666666666667,0.03340766104366701,90,{"recorded_date":324,"roi":325,"win_rate":326,"brier_score":327,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":328,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-24",0.18264193366733025,0.9702970297029703,0.03251029199237655,101,{"recorded_date":330,"roi":331,"win_rate":332,"brier_score":333,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":334,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-01",0.17839492828514814,0.97,0.032210394912300315,100,{"recorded_date":336,"roi":337,"win_rate":338,"brier_score":339,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":340,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-09",0.15810554455396375,0.9693877551020408,0.03151830632646881,98,{"recorded_date":342,"roi":337,"win_rate":338,"brier_score":339,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":340,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-16",{"recorded_date":344,"roi":337,"win_rate":338,"brier_score":339,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":340,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-23",{"recorded_date":346,"roi":347,"win_rate":348,"brier_score":349,"p_value":350,"resolved_trades":351,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-30",0.20914658128096345,0.9210526315789473,0.05578668862183964,0.06580000000000008,38,{"recorded_date":353,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-22",[355,364,372,378,385,391,399,405,413,420,427,434,437,443,449,456,462,469,476,483,490,497,502,509,512,517,523,530,536,543,549,556,563,569,576,583,589,595,598,605,611,617,620,626,631,638,645,652,659,666,671,676,682,687,694,700,705,710,718,723,728,734,741,748,755,762,767,770,777,783,789,794,797,803,808,815,821,828,834,839,845,851,858,861,867,874,879,882,888,893,896,902,909,916,922,927,932,938,945,951],{"condition_id":356,"outcome":77,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":361,"event_slug":362,"category":363},"0x009cb79c526eff4af80e0e568c648a165a837c0417f4e1de3cde02bfc4a3ab42",995.13132,0.6711279246740538,"backfill","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?","gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30",null,{"condition_id":365,"outcome":77,"usdc":366,"entry_price":367,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":368,"captured_at":369,"question":370,"event_slug":371,"category":363},"0x0200743b501bb76457156e98736b1fd5f65835af8290c3354220773968f237b4",162.64211,0.5755459027727678,"2026-07-04T23:59:00Z","2026-07-10T18:43:00.774Z","Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?","will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-june-29-july-4-20260626160825412",{"condition_id":373,"outcome":28,"usdc":374,"entry_price":61,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":375,"captured_at":13,"question":376,"event_slug":377,"category":363},"0x0a56c2262bd104bca10387b9678fd154ce3111b5cc4de08f1feb728e911ce737",4400,"2026-04-29","Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?","how-many-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-113",{"condition_id":379,"outcome":77,"usdc":380,"entry_price":381,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":383,"event_slug":384,"category":137},"0x0ae8b3f17fec50cc5f05cd2cb6ce8c9bb72cae58b43ecb2282844bf2283b8189",249.67283,0.8289927456,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?","which-company-has-the-second-best-ai-model-end-of-may",{"condition_id":386,"outcome":77,"usdc":387,"entry_price":388,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":389,"event_slug":390,"category":137},"0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4",233.8026590000003,0.230000002270455,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",{"condition_id":392,"outcome":28,"usdc":393,"entry_price":394,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":395,"captured_at":13,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"category":398},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",57861.084978000006,0.8840888212618613,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":400,"outcome":77,"usdc":401,"entry_price":402,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":403,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",45170.484779000006,0.3068274971780446,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":406,"outcome":77,"usdc":407,"entry_price":408,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":409,"captured_at":410,"question":411,"event_slug":412,"category":363},"0x0e86930b87a67ec47668db97562b62863e177ed9e8fc9bc6a475e08d155b1cb6",2991,0.75,"2026-06-10T00:00:00Z","2026-06-19T10:36:50.817Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?","will-a-claude-mythos-model-be-released-by-june-10-2026-989",{"condition_id":414,"outcome":77,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":418,"event_slug":419,"category":363},"0x1507c50c86fb307e4f1acd9d740b2be66d98773f90d161e94907d8ef2c5699b3",391.75,0.05,"2026-04-21","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":421,"outcome":77,"usdc":422,"entry_price":423,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":424,"captured_at":13,"question":425,"event_slug":426,"category":363},"0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08",3875.73316,0.6,"2026-08-11T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-winner-20260721172033648",{"condition_id":428,"outcome":28,"usdc":429,"entry_price":430,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":431,"captured_at":13,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":363},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",1265.263463,0.2912842348483378,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":428,"outcome":77,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":431,"captured_at":13,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":363},3981.97549,0.21951769489158438,{"condition_id":438,"outcome":77,"usdc":439,"entry_price":440,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":441,"captured_at":13,"question":442,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",2542.4517,0.6580252655444437,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":444,"outcome":77,"usdc":445,"entry_price":446,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":137},"0x233044b6511c50096cc927d6c91073d320c4ef6e80b423b1d3b92a2c73b94818",657.70955,0.7015578990709436,"Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?","which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-may",{"condition_id":450,"outcome":77,"usdc":451,"entry_price":452,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":454,"event_slug":455,"category":363},"0x26a6c7e4a905dfc13f23c44a8e41d0b96ad60569ef49869c46c237dfd8f3c003",5135.82038,0.8732991118290838,"2026-08-25T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?","south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676",{"condition_id":457,"outcome":77,"usdc":458,"entry_price":459,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":460,"event_slug":461,"category":137},"0x2ae22e1fd29651ed6f049114672a0be94b907e833485a7a6d0c7df2dc7f03ce9",610.6001120000001,0.1900000001486388,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-may",{"condition_id":463,"outcome":28,"usdc":464,"entry_price":465,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":410,"question":467,"event_slug":468,"category":37},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",52926.70418100002,0.844360185280306,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":77,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":473,"captured_at":13,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":37},"0x2cfbd8aabc3519021dc16ab0c7e0f42b0fdac191e64bcc3c42c2319c4c0117f3",28856.02143,0.8599999999999999,"2026-08-04T00:00:00Z","Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?","mi-13-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":77,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":481,"event_slug":482,"category":37},"0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c",722.8337799999999,0.008999999999999998,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":484,"outcome":77,"usdc":485,"entry_price":486,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":487,"captured_at":13,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":137},"0x345142310bb14098d8a59c3d3f65679077b09c35b206cfb831c5983db0fcdd53",1588.6853480000002,0.8378286280850598,"2026-07-09T00:00:00Z","GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":77,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"category":496},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",15578.911399999997,0.5413915987241468,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":498,"outcome":77,"usdc":499,"entry_price":500,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":13,"question":501,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",3960.8787000000007,0.7100473976761663,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":503,"outcome":28,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":506,"captured_at":410,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":223},"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868",6963.29287,0.4501909176368691,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025",{"condition_id":503,"outcome":77,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":506,"captured_at":410,"question":507,"event_slug":508,"category":223},1017.363831,0.007000000000028052,{"condition_id":513,"outcome":28,"usdc":514,"entry_price":515,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":473,"captured_at":13,"question":516,"event_slug":475,"category":37},"0x399b69600812f9997ee0dcac06c74c9351f230baa53765eacbc443a77bc520b9",28887.53364,0.8599887562748354,"Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?",{"condition_id":518,"outcome":28,"usdc":519,"entry_price":520,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":410,"question":521,"event_slug":522,"category":37},"0x3c169e95aea67be5fac1529b3ad8e891fe97ec54d1f272fab43b02cce948f6c2",12996.95258,0.7542950830630749,"Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","makerfield-by-election-winner",{"condition_id":524,"outcome":77,"usdc":525,"entry_price":526,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":527,"captured_at":13,"question":528,"event_slug":529,"category":363},"0x3de1a705488234aeb80ac36e158e7539616d4d02014bfbf233a6214e3623fd17",20734.112541,0.8323682716178957,"2026-04-15","GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?","gpt-5pt5-released-by",{"condition_id":531,"outcome":77,"usdc":532,"entry_price":533,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":534,"captured_at":13,"question":535,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9",44278.68708799999,0.40412466585198237,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":537,"outcome":28,"usdc":538,"entry_price":539,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":540,"captured_at":13,"question":541,"event_slug":542,"category":496},"0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64",17800,0.89,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",{"condition_id":544,"outcome":28,"usdc":545,"entry_price":79,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":546,"captured_at":13,"question":547,"event_slug":548,"category":37},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",2400,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":550,"outcome":77,"usdc":551,"entry_price":552,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":553,"captured_at":13,"question":554,"event_slug":555,"category":363},"0x4def2f59c0bda4816b64d41a062d424be07bdaef40021d26bb90be3d4e03ff49",12350.31073,0.7480869294949802,"2026-05-22T00:00:00Z","Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?","gemini-3pt2-released-by",{"condition_id":557,"outcome":77,"usdc":558,"entry_price":559,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":560,"captured_at":13,"question":561,"event_slug":562,"category":37},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",49340.25120299999,0.8205541822530147,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":564,"outcome":77,"usdc":565,"entry_price":566,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":567,"event_slug":568,"category":496},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",429.2883,0.2501534292873376,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":570,"outcome":28,"usdc":571,"entry_price":572,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":573,"captured_at":13,"question":574,"event_slug":575,"category":363},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",2687.2684600000002,0.8618398812372616,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":577,"outcome":28,"usdc":578,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":582,"category":363},"0x5341e90b72330a8eb96cb685dcffe51ad41783cc12e91b6858b9bd996b3d5b63",17.614213,0.2718634632964314,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Strait\" or \"Hormuz\" during events with Xi Jinping?","what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-xi-jinping",{"condition_id":584,"outcome":77,"usdc":585,"entry_price":586,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":587,"event_slug":588,"category":137},"0x562d8e6be61af9176d3ed95c775b56202e5e668d7dd703be7c875926f56efdbd",1302.5383100000001,0.21901613817925006,"Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?","claude-5-released-by",{"condition_id":590,"outcome":28,"usdc":591,"entry_price":592,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":593,"captured_at":13,"question":594,"event_slug":419,"category":363},"0x57c1e8de9d359a76055fe1be95e46a1e72d0537811dcc2ccf070cdfa73d8ba33",56.45446,0.06782946053105851,"2026-05-31T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?",{"condition_id":590,"outcome":77,"usdc":596,"entry_price":597,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":593,"captured_at":13,"question":594,"event_slug":419,"category":363},28899.6939,0.661343986498611,{"condition_id":599,"outcome":28,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":363},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",1645.209,0.23127429300680802,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":28,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":609,"captured_at":13,"question":610,"event_slug":548,"category":37},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",13361.95944,0.769,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":28,"usdc":613,"entry_price":614,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"category":37},"0x5e5482b1e2afa7bed0b9a0c3c8ad33a83dd6cc6d649666cdf1977be64c42c82a",2430.03915,0.8073811833333334,"Epstein suicide note released by May 8?","epstein-suicide-note-released-by",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":77,"usdc":618,"entry_price":619,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"category":37},289.92556,0.09704786691019701,{"condition_id":621,"outcome":28,"usdc":622,"entry_price":623,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":546,"captured_at":13,"question":624,"event_slug":625,"category":363},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",46892.151814,0.8748306533231137,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":627,"outcome":77,"usdc":628,"entry_price":629,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":630,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",7107.668299999999,0.5473108135865936,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":632,"outcome":77,"usdc":633,"entry_price":634,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":635,"captured_at":13,"question":636,"event_slug":637,"category":363},"0x6213a4e3c9657d2caf897624d50dd1540d39664b081b5fce96be0e9b195bdf69",9.309759999999999,0.006786132897921101,"2026-04-30","Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?","gpt-5pt5-released-on",{"condition_id":639,"outcome":77,"usdc":640,"entry_price":641,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":642,"captured_at":13,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":363},"0x652002aa13ba253abd033a6a7d06457fe2a08309c7c5324598d677624cdabec3",2746.040258,0.5961892932400856,"2026-05-19T00:00:00Z","Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?","ky-04-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":28,"usdc":647,"entry_price":648,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":649,"captured_at":13,"question":650,"event_slug":651,"category":363},"0x6747bae2269c348786d0c0c0f4286ac006f13f16325d4dcbab954b46de029f19",8606.267376,0.45712793405373625,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?","clavicular-pregnancy-in-2026",{"condition_id":653,"outcome":28,"usdc":654,"entry_price":655,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":656,"captured_at":13,"question":657,"event_slug":658,"category":37},"0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c",2393.692768,0.34192204618489047,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by June 30?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":660,"outcome":28,"usdc":661,"entry_price":662,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":663,"captured_at":13,"question":664,"event_slug":665,"category":37},"0x6f78fd69fd6dafb695a8f4074dac11971b1da612bd150aa0c837efbd86417292",24979.906549,0.7279889953776725,"2026-06-16T00:00:00Z","Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?","oklahoma-governor-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":667,"outcome":77,"usdc":668,"entry_price":669,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":635,"captured_at":13,"question":670,"event_slug":637,"category":363},"0x704a7b123805bc24337695f260c664effc8135bfb294336c6415958ab9ceeb77",55017.03884200001,0.8713645428286793,"Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?",{"condition_id":672,"outcome":28,"usdc":673,"entry_price":674,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":453,"captured_at":13,"question":675,"event_slug":455,"category":363},"0x70831611831c0792bfb971d613ec2db2e06d59a234967b45f8302b3671b515cd",1623.6287,0.8862425564933489,"Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",{"condition_id":677,"outcome":77,"usdc":678,"entry_price":679,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":680,"event_slug":681,"category":37},"0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de",129.4808,0.23,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":683,"outcome":77,"usdc":684,"entry_price":685,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":686,"event_slug":522,"category":37},"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39",16473.597683000004,0.7699844145916317,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?",{"condition_id":688,"outcome":28,"usdc":689,"entry_price":690,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":691,"captured_at":13,"question":692,"event_slug":693,"category":363},"0x77f4da92e95343c2debdc8cc0ea577d0065f63f566974bc41152548b7af068fc",49.19882,0.0199126905,"2026-05-14T00:00:00Z","Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?","jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by",{"condition_id":695,"outcome":77,"usdc":696,"entry_price":697,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":698,"event_slug":699,"category":363},"0x7b2b0ac174514a7ec6351f91a01edd5064cf670c29f539cdfcc4d88bdb9937d0",7.58433,0.77,"Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260701204710232",{"condition_id":701,"outcome":77,"usdc":702,"entry_price":703,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":395,"captured_at":13,"question":704,"event_slug":397,"category":398},"0x7b52405ad0e0d31bfe970940b67d77f24ecedeab8a2361c11148c02a006e325c",1482.0886,0.06,"Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":706,"outcome":28,"usdc":707,"entry_price":708,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":709,"event_slug":582,"category":363},"0x7f4378c2e8fb0a4673813e5a5d6f5a773765bab522186932a0465f326a05328d",473.61802,0.27891494748650075,"Will Trump say \"Nuclear\" during events with Xi Jinping?",{"condition_id":711,"outcome":712,"usdc":713,"entry_price":714,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":715,"captured_at":13,"question":716,"event_slug":717,"category":363},"0x83d646ac5646bf847f2dc0ce9c18c4d8909bbb7b050b31075afb9b67d3802b33","Belgium",6340.81408,0.6919429548968649,"2026-07-07T00:00:00Z","United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance","fifwc-usa-bel-2026-07-06-more-markets",{"condition_id":719,"outcome":77,"usdc":720,"entry_price":721,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":715,"captured_at":13,"question":722,"event_slug":489,"category":137},"0x845c5db17e6b85070cae3e26cde93893f885f6b6adb2fb0c7d90d34821431f2f",679.9932000000001,0.6800000000000002,"GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":724,"outcome":77,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":727,"event_slug":482,"category":37},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",65993.98359,0.8223697179340902,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":729,"outcome":77,"usdc":730,"entry_price":731,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":732,"event_slug":733,"category":37},"0x8b369e10358094a99ffe7f85a81a8e8ca68c611eee0fe63a2efa790ad045bcd6",2150,0.43,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":735,"outcome":77,"usdc":736,"entry_price":737,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":738,"captured_at":13,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"category":37},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",8360.534619999999,0.7198574580159943,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":77,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":746,"event_slug":747,"category":363},"0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669",15310.907928999999,0.23995955573025338,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-april-30",{"condition_id":749,"outcome":750,"usdc":751,"entry_price":254,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":752,"captured_at":13,"question":753,"event_slug":754,"category":363},"0x94e50623d3cfdc1256e16ff372062d42c282bec8af620bb732a19fb4b0dce580","England",3557.79771,"2026-07-06T00:00:00Z","Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance","fifwc-mex-eng-2026-07-05-more-markets",{"condition_id":756,"outcome":77,"usdc":757,"entry_price":758,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":759,"captured_at":13,"question":760,"event_slug":761,"category":363},"0x95a7c8f39ccda84bf59b54c474f2a006cbc4167737630365f416670466b37ab9",106.25204000000001,0.8841165016227012,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303",{"condition_id":763,"outcome":28,"usdc":764,"entry_price":765,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":649,"captured_at":13,"question":766,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27",6200,0.31,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":763,"outcome":77,"usdc":768,"entry_price":769,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":649,"captured_at":13,"question":766,"event_slug":404,"category":37},4879.2858,0.7303631244462813,{"condition_id":771,"outcome":28,"usdc":772,"entry_price":773,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":774,"captured_at":13,"question":775,"event_slug":776,"category":363},"0x9a3ff64dc7b27e7f084e9e87a23bd02d5299fd102108f370a58fcbac51963dc4",4419.19311,0.7828962773297616,"2026-09-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-august-2026",{"condition_id":778,"outcome":28,"usdc":779,"entry_price":780,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":360,"captured_at":13,"question":781,"event_slug":782,"category":37},"0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7",3513.0405,0.8311662455753271," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30",{"condition_id":784,"outcome":28,"usdc":785,"entry_price":786,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":546,"captured_at":13,"question":787,"event_slug":788,"category":496},"0xa1b3158fedfddaf2a0d8b364f6a57ee68146fb6ad458222aa8e02bcf0abbb099",18990.4712,0.7946455525222988,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"condition_id":790,"outcome":28,"usdc":791,"entry_price":792,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":793,"event_slug":482,"category":37},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",174233.21190800006,0.830029217990882,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":790,"outcome":77,"usdc":795,"entry_price":796,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":480,"captured_at":13,"question":793,"event_slug":482,"category":37},19124.152212999998,0.5223729963947547,{"condition_id":798,"outcome":77,"usdc":799,"entry_price":800,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":382,"captured_at":13,"question":801,"event_slug":802,"category":363},"0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35",7225.001886,0.34648908958267477,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-may-31-2026",{"condition_id":804,"outcome":28,"usdc":805,"entry_price":806,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":807,"event_slug":582,"category":363},"0xaa145cf5714455f546afe53037b8712df749ba96c04820c2d41f37f877f29697",906.2431260000003,0.14097708142873855,"Will Trump say \"Iran\" during events with Xi Jinping?",{"condition_id":809,"outcome":28,"usdc":810,"entry_price":811,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":812,"captured_at":13,"question":813,"event_slug":814,"category":363},"0xae341ea8a55bc9391a0deaca1897ac1db0bdeb074ea022f988d53dcb5d09bad9",2834.02664,0.7091533274506779,"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?","clacton-by-election-nigel-farage-vote-20260708151424120",{"condition_id":816,"outcome":77,"usdc":817,"entry_price":818,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":649,"captured_at":13,"question":819,"event_slug":820,"category":363},"0xaeea5f917fc5746387b5f9c0a4263dba035dbb3f0ac6ad72bf92183d21e26739",5390,0.49,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-2027",{"condition_id":822,"outcome":77,"usdc":823,"entry_price":824,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":825,"captured_at":13,"question":826,"event_slug":827,"category":398},"0xaf12bd1a9ec448b428e5879f180b9b05d17cdf6a6af3c20d8a4b7327ca6bfd37",420.60664,0.171,"2026-10-31T03:59:00Z","Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?","nba-lebron-james-next-team",{"condition_id":829,"outcome":77,"usdc":830,"entry_price":831,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":832,"event_slug":833,"category":137},"0xb5110caf39109c43b472e9048c29a7a337a383a6d2baed9225e8f93c69fd87af",678.843225,0.36,"Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?","what-will-spacexs-ipo-valuation-be",{"condition_id":835,"outcome":28,"usdc":836,"entry_price":837,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":738,"captured_at":13,"question":838,"event_slug":740,"category":37},"0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793",1215.58115,0.7917812667,"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":28,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":546,"captured_at":13,"question":843,"event_slug":844,"category":496},"0xbad91c213787a7542345b8abd72a1d55754987c47ba82ef5d4aa625ac046f024",1739.9926380000004,0.8700000004057711,"Iran full airspace closure by August 31?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":846,"outcome":77,"usdc":847,"entry_price":848,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":849,"captured_at":13,"question":850,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5",5904.893190999999,0.16281909010865195,"2026-04-22","US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":852,"outcome":28,"usdc":853,"entry_price":854,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":855,"captured_at":13,"question":856,"event_slug":857,"category":137},"0xc08050ed73f5226e2fdc8e7a01533e0dfceffff3bc43f96280d61b0bca67f677",1.96156,0.19,"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":852,"outcome":77,"usdc":859,"entry_price":860,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":855,"captured_at":13,"question":856,"event_slug":857,"category":137},1832.33674,0.8699522752762069,{"condition_id":862,"outcome":28,"usdc":863,"entry_price":864,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":865,"captured_at":13,"question":866,"event_slug":788,"category":496},"0xc0aed6d5d893988b4bef5a8242435bbc7c3b45b1e438bcffc9e9bf71d173ae46",31256.7459,0.83,"2026-08-19T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?",{"condition_id":868,"outcome":77,"usdc":869,"entry_price":870,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":871,"captured_at":13,"question":872,"event_slug":873,"category":37},"0xc0b7319f73f248310b059c231fb069e64dbd68ca81dd9933728ca192b54c3cc4",15071.53354,0.8645434786497042,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?","will-trump-be-in-the-wc-champions-photo-20260608152527021",{"condition_id":875,"outcome":28,"usdc":876,"entry_price":877,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":878,"event_slug":433,"category":363},"0xc0be7b1f19f9b658778c2be7e6bc67596a00f347ab64392d0f5d387534c7c3b4",15388.515136999999,0.49519979184175617,"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":875,"outcome":77,"usdc":880,"entry_price":881,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":878,"event_slug":433,"category":363},6428.0786339999995,0.3799046055708688,{"condition_id":883,"outcome":77,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":649,"captured_at":410,"question":886,"event_slug":887,"category":137},"0xc2dd20bc42378191ba1e6068f2afa8b2a6c13881a42ee03e211441f0a2f3aeac",6969.056378,0.8359592824175803,"Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?","will-spacex-acquire-cursor",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":28,"usdc":890,"entry_price":891,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":410,"question":892,"event_slug":468,"category":37},"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a",1000,0.02,"Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":77,"usdc":894,"entry_price":895,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":466,"captured_at":410,"question":892,"event_slug":468,"category":37},81303.87202100008,0.8274881045193964,{"condition_id":897,"outcome":77,"usdc":898,"entry_price":899,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":13,"question":901,"event_slug":419,"category":363},"0xc84dfa2ab4a808d1b96a2cf439f8b88a1c5c37762253280deb7663a195d9b859",235.8135,0.65,"2026-06-30T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?",{"condition_id":903,"outcome":904,"usdc":905,"entry_price":721,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":398},"0xc851fc5ae688d3d67bccb7c8f0ca475f61ebda796cfcddca7230042de6b48cfd","Max Holloway",6799.944750000001,"2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z","UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)","ufc-max1-con-2026-07-11",{"condition_id":910,"outcome":77,"usdc":911,"entry_price":912,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":13,"question":914,"event_slug":915,"category":37},"0xc88e812beb27442554b9231273f6cdda7c96022afc1a5b2a841f03c17dbceaaf",42919.780412,0.7519838855119861,"2026-06-08T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by June 8?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":917,"outcome":28,"usdc":918,"entry_price":919,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":417,"captured_at":13,"question":920,"event_slug":921,"category":363},"0xc8e9ba9e25f5adcf7e159e62c24ca3bda9a5245a049acb94fdd534e67ed1969e",1356.8499,0.21,"Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?","will-the-virginia-redistricting-referendum-pass",{"condition_id":923,"outcome":28,"usdc":924,"entry_price":539,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":925,"captured_at":13,"question":926,"event_slug":548,"category":37},"0xccf2b4f4ee94200fb3e05bfd45c1fb8a43bb0bf5cf69d78508c969d72b3a7f2b",2670,"2026-08-23T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":928,"outcome":77,"usdc":929,"entry_price":930,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":635,"captured_at":13,"question":931,"event_slug":404,"category":37},"0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f5",7910.870000000001,0.3450541426896825,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":933,"outcome":28,"usdc":934,"entry_price":935,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":936,"event_slug":937,"category":137},"0xcfd48c874ae1760c1ec3c87a8c46c221af6a4f2be3b56618ba261bef4c92e768",927.01112,0.8838885376533133,"Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?","claude-mythos-released-by",{"condition_id":939,"outcome":28,"usdc":940,"entry_price":941,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":942,"captured_at":410,"question":943,"event_slug":944,"category":137},"0xd4d841659e8b1fe050980ec9b7deae31accc10e529082fe9468ef9699d11aec2",522.31852,0.11,"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",{"condition_id":946,"outcome":28,"usdc":947,"entry_price":948,"won":17,"source":359,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":949,"event_slug":950,"category":37},"0xd7540d64e03b1894ececcbb54c02b88d9c5c0e854ba66ec4e1ece20477994ac5",190,0.019,"Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":952,"outcome":28,"usdc":953,"entry_price":954,"won":12,"source":359,"end_date_iso":955,"captured_at":13,"question":956,"event_slug":658,"category":37},"0xd8664606498aba2a8ccab56656860cb3f02d74de80e974ab87a9f940e65d4d5e",4815.675662000001,0.38538479527604247,"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by June 15?",{"total":958,"wins":959},136,87,[961,966,971,976,980,984,988],{"category":37,"n":962,"wins":963,"hitRate":964,"roi":965},59,37,0.6271186440677966,0.07404049316131256,{"category":56,"n":967,"wins":968,"hitRate":969,"roi":970},44,31,0.7045454545454546,0.2756633693223801,{"category":137,"n":972,"wins":973,"hitRate":974,"roi":975},18,9,0.5,0.19567454248885124,{"category":496,"n":977,"wins":253,"hitRate":978,"roi":979},7,0.7142857142857143,0.22320213029492805,{"category":398,"n":981,"wins":982,"hitRate":974,"roi":983},4,2,0.13345608170968845,{"category":223,"n":985,"wins":982,"hitRate":986,"roi":987},3,0.6666666666666666,0.932334552465966,{"category":249,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":989},0.34336378291241276,{"generatedAt":991},"2026-09-24T11:22:11.230Z"]