[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xba62c8a60f8154be11a8e9bd1bce5617992458e9":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":658,"history":659,"resolved":698,"resolvedSummary":1295,"specialization":1296,"meta":1325},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xba62c8a60f8154be11a8e9bd1bce5617992458e9",10242,2868,0.7775453277545328,0.316958234562931,0.1648562754303291,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-23T20:04:23.920Z",9.98730821164575,1.5229739776951672,"2026-09-24T00:22:26.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.5958940235565571,0.18165130419797723,9078.82487199582,28643.59995100001,13.493793840919341,0.0003486750348675035,[26,39,48,58,66,76,84,93,101,109,117,125,134,143,152,159,166,174,183,190,199,206,215,225,234,242,250,260,267,274,282,290,298,306,314,323,331,339,347,355,363,371,380,388,396,405,414,421,429,437,445,452,459,466,474,482,491,499,507,513,520,529,536,543,551,558,565,574,580,588,595,602,609,618,627,634,641,649],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846","No",5932.3703,0.8428,"2026-09-24T02:33:38.815Z","2026-09-24T00:39:22.851Z","Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":47,"category":38},"96214953624495509683027302209340859673097705517450500531670409012928242777230","0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c083",5597.419,0.8932,"2026-06-26T17:35:23.768Z","Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]",{"token_id":49,"condition_id":50,"outcome":29,"size":51,"avg_price":52,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":53,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37",6541.2467,0.6912,"2026-07-17T11:52:27.998Z","Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":59,"condition_id":60,"outcome":29,"size":61,"avg_price":62,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":63,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":65,"category":38},"36187795093008220558219256261729424135850137511571634448544248306719357578130","0xace3c72c24fccb6731433483ece41c780432d84850edccd5a6bf3147ccea62a9",2326.9011,0.9408,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":67,"condition_id":68,"outcome":29,"size":69,"avg_price":70,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":71,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":74,"category":75},"48058805012599375970268777474956242772204241523361869981040579395242001094965","0x5e082f0b57f47a29044aa35b4c5658393122e659d5feae521c06b57cdd7f905c",2148.3945,0.9309,"2026-07-17T14:00:00.445Z","Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?","how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026","[\"0.01\", \"0.99\"]","Economy",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":81,"question":82,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":83,"category":38},"1507744758511144558263623459899956467548763419522526462308518027912401299177","0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4",4070.0125,0.4905,"2026-07-17T09:53:19.282Z","Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.515\", \"0.485\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":29,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":91,"category":92},"25659310674993675562345759665114759892400026242514633218387667107987341231962","0xa467b14d51f01b957109d9cbb1d6c124fab2a089d52ed8f471d23c2812e743b7",2139.9909,0.931,"Xi Jinping out before 2027?","xi-jinping-out-before-2027","[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":29,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":100,"category":38},"46036307473347147486878725188057240439237346445231099615680388314304154599904","0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139",2377.9724,0.7748,"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":102,"condition_id":103,"outcome":29,"size":104,"avg_price":105,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":106,"event_slug":107,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":108,"category":38},"87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208","0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d",2039.97,0.8898,"Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?","putin-out-before-2027","[\"0.0405\", \"0.9595\"]",{"token_id":110,"condition_id":111,"outcome":29,"size":112,"avg_price":113,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":114,"event_slug":115,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":116,"category":38},"111094090837649765214249428313341768842963554572116350745061757857767411424456","0xff68b32e6543ae8b44ccb520604b6ea224a1bac071a186fb65f6f40949a758df",2395.4374,0.6267," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-december-31","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"size":120,"avg_price":121,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":122,"event_slug":123,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":124,"category":38},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",1579.9722,0.8512,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":126,"condition_id":127,"outcome":29,"size":128,"avg_price":129,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":132,"outcome_prices":133,"category":38},"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073","0x84c625fdccf5c5246a15e476361e4563033906ee225800e1136c0d737596a72f",1638.7295,0.7631,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by","2024-11-28T04:59:00Z","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":135,"condition_id":136,"outcome":29,"size":137,"avg_price":138,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":139,"event_slug":140,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":141,"outcome_prices":142,"category":92},"33676235249742435565729532483122262800369378774892710387888607855248244773045","0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b",1218.4227,0.8712,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412","2026-06-15T03:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":144,"condition_id":145,"outcome":29,"size":146,"avg_price":147,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":150,"outcome_prices":151,"category":38},"37863525039538909486192841018078773640171929478619956615841214647648192070989","0xf8ffc79497e28506895f59a72288ef924ce98481c8b0341281fdd786e9489668",1126.4715,0.9371,"Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?","republican-trifecta-with-supermajority-in-the-senate","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0195\", \"0.9805\"]",{"token_id":153,"condition_id":154,"outcome":29,"size":155,"avg_price":156,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":157,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":158,"category":38},"39409206330527880169507414405291721950884951005340760541937649898052386499519","0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1",1089.1955,0.9181,"Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":29,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":142,"category":38},"100292172522149577922637436103132246456042318074117879550513151144706945321275","0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436",1182.29,0.8458,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027",{"token_id":167,"condition_id":168,"outcome":29,"size":169,"avg_price":170,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":173,"category":38},"69565284411089708271128692790745152090129066525382935764397092493923596997488","0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd",1294.7308,0.7723,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by","[\"0.23\", \"0.77\"]",{"token_id":175,"condition_id":176,"outcome":29,"size":177,"avg_price":178,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":181,"outcome_prices":182,"category":38},"7330556727383706468662351173040823924339817877848787483691015397124505109410","0x9345d5142a67f5541264c96515496affee02580f1c572680759eac9fd2a1588a",1407.38,0.6898,"Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?","billionaire-one-time-wealth-tax-passes-in-california-election-2026","2026-06-26T03:59:00Z","[\"0.285\", \"0.715\"]",{"token_id":184,"condition_id":185,"outcome":29,"size":186,"avg_price":187,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":188,"event_slug":64,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":189,"category":38},"7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392","0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75",920,0.9609,"Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]",{"token_id":191,"condition_id":192,"outcome":29,"size":193,"avg_price":194,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":195,"event_slug":196,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":197,"outcome_prices":198,"category":38},"38310927461258927563020508025396887688249787380193911540547071417200646834355","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d",1079.9817,0.7148,"Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","[\"0.5735\", \"0.4265\"]",{"token_id":200,"condition_id":201,"outcome":29,"size":202,"avg_price":203,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":100,"category":92},"97725463464398783289601242767642888481974268800885687422778902740478294103024","0xfaa433e162e020c56c522acb2f9f7215ce6e4e4391c4fb42beba14275c0a43fe",822.9809,0.8937,"New pandemic in 2026?","new-pandemic-in-2026",{"token_id":207,"condition_id":208,"outcome":29,"size":209,"avg_price":210,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":211,"event_slug":212,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":213,"outcome_prices":214,"category":92},"39031589714572342966258305943349573328412863219523008865771008806225362230155","0x6a18969bc603992de4c5c9d53c2881e1378ac193cdad01e7f932afa7fdc4af3e",688.78,0.9877,"Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?","crude-oil-all-time-high-by","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",{"token_id":216,"condition_id":217,"outcome":29,"size":218,"avg_price":219,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":222,"outcome_prices":223,"category":224},"85723516070077730883105909049388061597049173281613201910087943908235778734129","0x8062cf78d93f9202f4c0a1018d141f4af35d486a368f07e65265f27d48b4e040",1973.1644,0.3367,"Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","2027-07-01T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0355\", \"0.9645\"]","Business",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":228,"size":229,"avg_price":230,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":231,"event_slug":232,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":233,"category":38},"114694726451307654528948558967898493662917070661203465131156925998487819889437","0xd1796c09d0d6f876f8580086ae9808ec991784e3a74b25a1830a25de71a78c96","Yes",1289.4272,0.4935,"Netanyahu out by end of 2026?","netanyahu-out-before-2027","[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]",{"token_id":235,"condition_id":236,"outcome":29,"size":237,"avg_price":238,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":150,"outcome_prices":241,"category":38},"107118433685650702332040991454078902188473746599223732907923581436160160612542","0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3",959.9763,0.4547,"Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026","[\"0.665\", \"0.335\"]",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"size":245,"avg_price":246,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":247,"event_slug":248,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":249,"category":38},"50581562386301423614620561545485561734060713130040768529204518300505097491900","0x8011cff605bac25673a202332b678e823cd7d82abad9e9770db01ea625808229",462.89,0.8988,"Will Russia invade another country in 2026?","will-russia-invade-another-country-in-2026","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":251,"condition_id":252,"outcome":29,"size":253,"avg_price":254,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":257,"outcome_prices":258,"category":259},"103636053646450401093766353765470391940053976581673820100904017915649851776012","0x06cd4673b8fc846667f7c7de93c10d0499767030c5d9b92bfee07dba445c9f55",426.3651,0.9572,"Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?","will-base-launch-a-token-in-2025-341","2026-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]","Crypto",{"token_id":261,"condition_id":262,"outcome":29,"size":263,"avg_price":264,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":265,"event_slug":196,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":197,"outcome_prices":266,"category":38},"79191939610100241429039499950443680906623179487184628479206155805558220344190","0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8",699.9887,0.5705,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]",{"token_id":268,"condition_id":269,"outcome":29,"size":270,"avg_price":271,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":272,"event_slug":273,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":100,"category":38},"91673657452393590110421111803268582579260822837555400992682437850544337801075","0xda2c94b13cfb01655e69e1ad2c914666a328f316355afd0ac09d2cb4b42edf36",458.4937,0.8457,"Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?","will-turkey-schedule-early-presidential-elections-in-2026",{"token_id":275,"condition_id":276,"outcome":29,"size":277,"avg_price":278,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":279,"event_slug":280,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":213,"outcome_prices":281,"category":259},"16033439922413604669899929545449697907602373288485319137951833450126918570060","0xe4fcc10c0ee2b1c0f6fd9bb8acdf8f009d38cfbf5c614a60e94696fa9da6c209",368.41,0.9903,"Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?","will-arc-launch-a-token-by","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":283,"condition_id":284,"outcome":29,"size":285,"avg_price":286,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":287,"event_slug":288,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":116,"category":289},"7219288355080279781244318078654828822747329147903096891496889491264445925442","0x48d47eede033257e77d676631e6f805d5e1848c0567589030a3a76a862fa1e47",400.3074,0.844,"Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?","gianni-infantino-out-as-fifa-president-by-december-31-20260706195547871","Sports",{"token_id":291,"condition_id":292,"outcome":228,"size":293,"avg_price":294,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":297,"category":289},"104993012794236144213170427649424263791121365653113025315381348356548655932207","0xf42d4830ad24f39a6522dbef1c094517f8d37e283f390a02b3162dac40002d45",338.6818,0.8936,"Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?","who-will-be-ufc-lightweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.9165\", \"0.0835\"]",{"token_id":299,"condition_id":300,"outcome":228,"size":301,"avg_price":302,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":303,"event_slug":304,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":305,"category":38},"86011229287950365043519117852041614651767455889324682112682327985496937935368","0x46ca741da4abd7ffa993f59ac65bfe83de43ae027accac71d263a493e44064e7",280,0.8152,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","[\"0.6175\", \"0.3825\"]",{"token_id":307,"condition_id":308,"outcome":29,"size":309,"avg_price":310,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":311,"event_slug":312,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":313,"outcome_prices":266,"category":38},"34469274651136131348321516150438492438660307886630693950137200696755429925073","0x0c9ada12c527451fbdd43c0397a8a006b8aaf2a01567ae069d37220b51937595",627.9562,0.357,"Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":315,"condition_id":316,"outcome":29,"size":317,"avg_price":318,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":319,"event_slug":320,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":321,"outcome_prices":322,"category":92},"27584284826455438094347446510379196256289720442108190871721085592324191711749","0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb",1279.9176,0.1593,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","[\"0.9455\", \"0.0545\"]",{"token_id":324,"condition_id":325,"outcome":29,"size":326,"avg_price":327,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":330,"category":38},"31260073556549719907940303890772417132424463013348530738684185382740494478179","0xe795e57fe247a42e1e12bf543e6cd8bc859c850ab8194da6367e080fa15f5e2b",180,0.958,"US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?","us-x-denmark-military-clash-before-2027","[\"0.034\", \"0.966\"]",{"token_id":332,"condition_id":333,"outcome":29,"size":334,"avg_price":335,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":336,"question":337,"event_slug":256,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":338,"category":259},"25537301018568558689509959375134200843374787525809263597130671425208747239474","0x1a659ad303630472713278ed1f3d6489eaaaa0171098dba04df2793dfc16a302",190,0.8573,"2026-07-14T15:23:38.349Z","Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":340,"condition_id":341,"outcome":29,"size":342,"avg_price":343,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":344,"event_slug":196,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":345,"outcome_prices":346,"category":38},"7565921021555775006041943394390068423142281108752994121417017072842379450830","0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced",150,0.99,"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","2026-10-04T23:59:00Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",{"token_id":348,"condition_id":349,"outcome":29,"size":350,"avg_price":351,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":352,"event_slug":353,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":354,"category":38},"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376","0xd595eb9b81885ff018738300c79047e3ec89e87294424f57a29a7fa9162bf116",160,0.9108,"Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?","will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027","[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]",{"token_id":356,"condition_id":357,"outcome":29,"size":358,"avg_price":359,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":213,"outcome_prices":346,"category":362},"9757395023070751126966404054413146048040819662598849012645026287330534488865","0x9e7056c4004056441b57f960460c5e4f6d3e6ab9e1633b15538eb909d0f34466",133.59,0.9806,"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?","tesla-and-spacex-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","Tech",{"token_id":364,"condition_id":365,"outcome":228,"size":366,"avg_price":367,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":368,"event_slug":369,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":370,"category":38},"58527611073420283009369936461084764824964857567606734891598926759299731813608","0xd93366079fab7bcb8a03705969822056b76226a48fd5bb7b1475a5b186cf6f07",122.78,0.9742,"Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?","will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled","[\"0.9805\", \"0.0195\"]",{"token_id":372,"condition_id":373,"outcome":29,"size":374,"avg_price":375,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":376,"question":377,"event_slug":378,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":379,"category":38},"42418351896228660875205342864484914575332595183178075234934341465114763536838","0x4cba9bf990370fac4f6ec2b3513d7dbbc5c569a88d01180ccda081cccc57eed7",116.52,0.9217,"2026-07-10T17:04:56.686Z","Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?","delcy-rodrguez-out-as-leader-of-venezuela-by","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":381,"condition_id":382,"outcome":228,"size":383,"avg_price":384,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":385,"question":386,"event_slug":256,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":257,"outcome_prices":387,"category":259},"108435830676001458972112702577588027823138733492693736081717115698932789261629","0x8f437e892cc897b51f050b07df92f3b80c0cb49c325bf1463d11d18257e0b8a3",151.26,0.5198,"2026-07-14T08:46:00.984Z","Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?","[\"0.42\", \"0.58\"]",{"token_id":389,"condition_id":390,"outcome":29,"size":391,"avg_price":392,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":393,"question":394,"event_slug":395,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":223,"category":38},"71144742975537017512904527392353107518472601816123355990566837993879064231255","0x0dc45815251ab7d5c3cbde5d7eee5bc96eac3d924c0a4c4f10175049e068fe20",84.05,0.9306,"2026-07-11T18:25:56.848Z","Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?","will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell",{"token_id":397,"condition_id":398,"outcome":29,"size":399,"avg_price":400,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":401,"event_slug":402,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":403,"outcome_prices":404,"category":259},"69471008782374192790909758203453762302247599306255707151301915677252063291760","0x3b0107a80edd066fe987784d7ab5963c177888433efbec10689951c17320606c",80,0.9639,"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?","will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-in-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":406,"condition_id":407,"outcome":29,"size":408,"avg_price":409,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":410,"event_slug":411,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":412,"outcome_prices":413,"category":38},"71610581811588451243087930916572592402913705975252472987256607890992191263885","0x3fd189cac9280dfc49a07115581e8d4c9e0b7e1c1e8580a44e9ff3d74e39cf2d",110.11,0.6963,"Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?","michigan-senate-election-winner","","[\"0.27\", \"0.73\"]",{"token_id":415,"condition_id":416,"outcome":29,"size":417,"avg_price":418,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":419,"event_slug":420,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":150,"outcome_prices":249,"category":38},"17371217118862125782438074585166210555214661810823929795910191856905580975576","0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928",79.9957,0.9274,"Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026",{"token_id":422,"condition_id":423,"outcome":29,"size":424,"avg_price":425,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":426,"event_slug":427,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":428,"outcome_prices":249,"category":38},"6176387069967725418539368518279260352303182827227966329832868478861860932409","0x15d2e66dcf1d63c5695d6d0e9e2f8e06dd246d00fd5dfc254f2b22baa33bfa1b",73.81,0.918,"Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?","will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-from-the-senate-before-his-term-ends","2027-01-04T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":430,"condition_id":431,"outcome":228,"size":432,"avg_price":433,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":434,"event_slug":304,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":435,"outcome_prices":436,"category":38},"87712920673252297509200151045391015262449055764880659907762503287643101055970","0xcee04ba47d02f6c64642369b34193c355f64de1b9ae425c71ea4efef1989d271",199.9888,0.3324,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",{"token_id":438,"condition_id":439,"outcome":29,"size":440,"avg_price":441,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":442,"event_slug":443,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":444,"category":38},"83652999054281077992136893356670906681712967148078791434355880630259935043726","0x3285179b99df57b0390e480f8e69d340e5fa38496b263225df90ef389e2958f4",60,0.966,"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?","will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-iran-by","[\"0.029\", \"0.971\"]",{"token_id":446,"condition_id":447,"outcome":29,"size":440,"avg_price":448,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":449,"event_slug":450,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":451,"category":38},"2849827372590072151380088930233312280478318575453624773762283369907909283027","0x48b0b0bca515f68fccf95af4793dbd0edbfec1f8ec6e8df2c0f69ba74f8c4722",0.8433,"Trump out as President before 2027?","trump-out-as-president-before-2027","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":453,"condition_id":454,"outcome":29,"size":455,"avg_price":456,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":457,"event_slug":280,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":458,"category":259},"74220600255728402746320719031543079446357147176847334085735008480993175952322","0x0a8d89321f01639ec17b6bcf1ef0b6c15137b1934605f8bffeb50b2f291756d4",59.87,0.7884,"Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":460,"condition_id":461,"outcome":29,"size":462,"avg_price":463,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":464,"event_slug":465,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":451,"category":38},"57056512894358978962861582032489859724132734641617596666898210793862602752756","0x8a30aa5cf51e1d166854a1cf26157b5ac76b5721d8d9f3f6f7be958e6fb132a1",50,0.9189,"JD Vance out as VP by December 31?","jd-vance-out-as-vp-by",{"token_id":467,"condition_id":468,"outcome":29,"size":469,"avg_price":470,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":471,"event_slug":472,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":473,"outcome_prices":338,"category":38},"87850909193045738838122335421864882591058306864355996635087468790857601428462","0x057da165b096d1f3a59d87bcad68649aecd18dc25c89a6d083530d1aaac18146",49.46,0.92,"Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?","will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2027","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":475,"condition_id":476,"outcome":228,"size":477,"avg_price":478,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":479,"event_slug":172,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":480,"outcome_prices":481,"category":38},"35296531184861554410358344359725743213300311248695376271700434494561254204818","0x357319ded51afc8843eb0ddcf345c2de1f7613e97357f7942e1e228961f4e723",139.3105,0.2813,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?","2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.29\", \"0.71\"]",{"token_id":483,"condition_id":484,"outcome":29,"size":485,"avg_price":486,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":487,"event_slug":488,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":489,"category":490},"95212449865986159112377413335252801281670333750637442556685159781445406848396","0xa4ddc18895cc7b14810283ef8f113939abffd3969c6a0e37f1897110c67e6f73",40,0.9705,"Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?","hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026","[\"0.027\", \"0.973\"]","Science",{"token_id":492,"condition_id":493,"outcome":29,"size":494,"avg_price":495,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":496,"event_slug":172,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":497,"outcome_prices":498,"category":38},"16208081092183238978870457239301284517035696391624760725067822606560401728702","0xa1092f590e543158e3f230aca48efd8c1c53198d68d96fcd9c6ef6a83937bb9d",110,0.2895,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.725\", \"0.275\"]",{"token_id":500,"condition_id":501,"outcome":29,"size":502,"avg_price":503,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":504,"event_slug":505,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":506,"category":38},"59109303479792132437464746934224655646961966760497586096294298173795949634267","0x0686076be591223c6da6a594c12b4a47083fbd77a37ddc96f484eba3b13e3669",34.9,0.9,"US takes Panama Canal before 2027?","us-takes-panama-canal-before-2027","[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]",{"token_id":508,"condition_id":509,"outcome":29,"size":485,"avg_price":510,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":511,"event_slug":512,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":435,"outcome_prices":379,"category":38},"48208097051184514552619491479613284864527811745489649850613543263288348030795","0x0045c740dca2243373ebedfac538512cd9b887b1830f80933d7e329e0f2c7a81",0.76,"Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?","houthis-enter-aden-byptptpt",{"token_id":514,"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"size":516,"avg_price":517,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":518,"event_slug":512,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":519,"category":38},"100076927387037531064280053842127485033715896660675587805380551622174710340008","0xf6beb39de7421e0a114ecc1360ca8eabb0af54dc0178a3f4896da9be176a54f8",40.32,0.6798,"Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":521,"condition_id":522,"outcome":228,"size":523,"avg_price":524,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":527,"outcome_prices":528,"category":38},"98250445447699368679516529207365255018790721464590833209064266254238063117329","0x4567b275e6b667a6217f5cb4f06a797d3a1eaf1d0281fb5bc8c75e2046ae7e57",359.9965,0.0756,"Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","presidential-election-winner-2028","2028-11-07T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0815\", \"0.9185\"]",{"token_id":530,"condition_id":531,"outcome":29,"size":485,"avg_price":532,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":535,"outcome_prices":249,"category":75},"113732820231608904682346496304917888352004831436510840986547065248348999143469","0xfdc73f10edf0266756686f35b5712cffa828b0940fc015e0426c76c934c2105d",0.675,"US recession by end of 2026?","us-recession-by-end-of-2026","2027-01-31T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":537,"condition_id":538,"outcome":29,"size":539,"avg_price":540,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":541,"event_slug":542,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":451,"category":38},"60059679279805861964505995205597171325525754411989398525103118580983839619505","0x84475d1a75144bd36f12c58ef721e79154ece1096ae279c9f915c448cb2206c3",25,0.94,"Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?","sanae-takaichi-out-as-prime-minister-of-japan-in-2026",{"token_id":544,"condition_id":545,"outcome":29,"size":546,"avg_price":547,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":548,"event_slug":549,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":550,"category":38},"96755555008880320314061967452585787287625491075393337799546193902711821085703","0x46a62442a96f6b6aec25b369d6dee763aaa5c47dc7d3750ad1ed0a6039ba63bb",20,0.959,"Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?","will-tim-walz-resign-by","[\"0.0315\", \"0.9685\"]",{"token_id":552,"condition_id":553,"outcome":29,"size":546,"avg_price":554,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":555,"event_slug":556,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":557,"category":38},"78473141615408645278260621827323903204731180016962666262959632385172645644801","0x4c8ceef9b9c0a27b6b4efa7c398ece4a5eeda76502f722de398c232abefe2ede",0.93,"Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?","will-trump-be-impeached-by-december-31-2026","[\"0.015\", \"0.985\"]",{"token_id":559,"condition_id":560,"outcome":29,"size":546,"avg_price":561,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":562,"event_slug":563,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":564,"category":92},"96397436209982671453637902269275725071267861171129419695794443407952680636718","0xca52ff40e910f20d6af4ae3b475f6fa00c4a31205d732cfb2c2e1d09dff21932",0.91,"Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?","will-a-chinese-company-have-the-best-ai-model-by-december-31","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":566,"condition_id":567,"outcome":228,"size":568,"avg_price":569,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":570,"event_slug":571,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":572,"outcome_prices":573,"category":38},"52535923606561722941567320365820395300598958985353103429657683100920373025261","0xb91be12388b3d4079c3ed9b5783cb42d8c33051d37746a49300227e0f45fc089",750,0.022,"Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028","2028-11-08T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":575,"condition_id":576,"outcome":29,"size":546,"avg_price":577,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":578,"event_slug":579,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":404,"category":92},"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043","0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d",0.77,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30",{"token_id":581,"condition_id":582,"outcome":29,"size":583,"avg_price":584,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":385,"question":585,"event_slug":586,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":257,"outcome_prices":587,"category":259},"23734407721982664566939201849439761766477731273397118470832638812112205898239","0xad6b6fb149c8c50df1ea56e7f3a0fd42b95ada7e178683d51a536235a6b38a3f",13.05,0.9216,"Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?","will-unit-launch-a-token-in-2025","[\"0.0365\", \"0.9635\"]",{"token_id":589,"condition_id":590,"outcome":228,"size":546,"avg_price":591,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":592,"event_slug":320,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":593,"outcome_prices":594,"category":92},"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404","0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d",0.59,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":596,"condition_id":597,"outcome":228,"size":485,"avg_price":598,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":599,"event_slug":600,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":403,"outcome_prices":601,"category":38},"35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",0.1749,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","[\"0.0625\", \"0.9375\"]",{"token_id":603,"condition_id":604,"outcome":29,"size":605,"avg_price":554,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":606,"event_slug":607,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":403,"outcome_prices":608,"category":259},"75357892981870474158670752265837433895535446716264216971996391006516118791096","0x8c8d8c91540aedf3f4ca4194256e9421843ef122155284129f3f5057ad5ec703",6.07,"Major CEX insolvent in 2026?","major-cex-insolvent-in-2026","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]",{"token_id":610,"condition_id":611,"outcome":228,"size":612,"avg_price":613,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":614,"event_slug":615,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":616,"outcome_prices":617,"category":289},"47481084212771412350648133404177117824479483002765345220990142458349679034531","0xc516a063a441f036439bd98689f9724194d438d928eb6ae945bc48df7fbc48c3",5.26,0.952,"Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?","nba-steph-curry-next-team-20260731023145453","2027-02-12T04:59:00Z","[\"0.954\", \"0.046\"]",{"token_id":619,"condition_id":620,"outcome":29,"size":621,"avg_price":622,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":623,"event_slug":624,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":625,"outcome_prices":626,"category":289},"97952862579836119400061130049052339741997214184800200176298039013253952161001","0x92546439b64eb75474e85860546f9b46d5965be9f6b39d834b5d952f25137ec0",5,0.969,"Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","ballon-dor-winner-2026","2026-10-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":628,"condition_id":629,"outcome":228,"size":546,"avg_price":630,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":631,"event_slug":632,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":633,"category":38},"3833250547311424992805456252782158332407335422350263044535636678503072819141","0x1e5204036bd51e6ca0e0da6221319c5839bd9940782adc6d0f6fa703aa8a3bf4",0.21,"Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?","will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31","[\"0.19\", \"0.81\"]",{"token_id":635,"condition_id":636,"outcome":29,"size":637,"avg_price":638,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":44,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":173,"category":38},"51287778995372424090648096237688042365718866474364897035552338496646717014280","0x6eb86679303704bfc4dc014b21914063124bdd26702a77f5bc1d6d1aa6178483",7.44,0.47,"Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?","who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027",{"token_id":642,"condition_id":643,"outcome":228,"size":644,"avg_price":645,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":646,"question":647,"event_slug":648,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":213,"outcome_prices":65,"category":38},"93072680587597848124353231527396118393869934555953068321248693141177342449662","0xb55b2b13aee7a480ab0695912a65cb34a5fe5e84d5da810873d9c3e1182f9fd0",79.9687,0.0217,"2026-07-14T10:22:35.995Z","Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077",{"token_id":650,"condition_id":651,"outcome":29,"size":652,"avg_price":653,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":435,"outcome_prices":656,"category":657},"27373423122660559404132255593271364532337841874264536832312882317944234500688","0x7f420e1188ae207d1527ad5461818db061a9dc557d73ecd8152a4b1a3549890d",1.26,0.986,"GTA VI released by October 31?","gta-vi-released-before-november-2026","[\"0.008\", \"0.992\"]","Culture",[],[660,666,672,679,685,690,696],{"recorded_date":661,"roi":662,"win_rate":663,"brier_score":664,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":665,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-26",0.09308696248727112,0.8062678062678063,0.05428453698183297,351,{"recorded_date":667,"roi":668,"win_rate":669,"brier_score":670,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":671,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-04",0.11555877085943907,0.8382838283828383,0.0476468694259055,303,{"recorded_date":673,"roi":674,"win_rate":675,"brier_score":676,"p_value":677,"resolved_trades":678,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-11",0.08912939200006803,0.8127853881278538,0.04705619362659091,0.007800000000000029,219,{"recorded_date":680,"roi":681,"win_rate":682,"brier_score":683,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":684,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-18",0.12283000906577644,0.89171974522293,0.035582041003428,157,{"recorded_date":686,"roi":687,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":688,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":689,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-25",0.15842897340054246,0.019628725449153606,100,{"recorded_date":691,"roi":692,"win_rate":12,"brier_score":693,"p_value":694,"resolved_trades":695,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-02",0.13269226916517401,0.014515924401887176,0.006000000000000005,56,{"recorded_date":697,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",[699,708,715,722,729,735,742,747,753,758,764,772,778,784,791,799,806,813,820,826,832,839,844,850,857,866,872,880,888,896,903,908,913,918,923,928,933,939,947,951,956,961,966,971,975,980,987,993,999,1005,1011,1017,1023,1031,1037,1044,1049,1057,1063,1069,1075,1081,1087,1093,1098,1103,1108,1115,1121,1127,1132,1138,1142,1147,1152,1158,1164,1170,1175,1181,1186,1192,1196,1202,1207,1213,1219,1224,1230,1237,1242,1246,1251,1259,1265,1270,1275,1280,1285,1291],{"condition_id":700,"outcome":29,"usdc":701,"entry_price":702,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":705,"question":706,"event_slug":707,"category":38},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",444.06097900000003,0.8901456435933237,"backfill","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","2026-06-26T16:49:01.760Z","Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":709,"outcome":228,"usdc":710,"entry_price":711,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":712,"captured_at":13,"question":713,"event_slug":714,"category":38},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",835.9953859999997,0.36362156491600817,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":716,"outcome":29,"usdc":717,"entry_price":718,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":719,"captured_at":13,"question":720,"event_slug":721,"category":38},"0x258031a51215d328eac2db15bdf45abdee1a23d38d66e12462a83c34cf31b5c8",748.3514229999994,0.4392723068544067,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":723,"outcome":228,"usdc":724,"entry_price":725,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":726,"captured_at":705,"question":727,"event_slug":728,"category":38},"0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126",1411.140537,0.8008200683831935,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by December 31, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":730,"outcome":228,"usdc":731,"entry_price":732,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":734,"event_slug":721,"category":38},"0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82",412.22718600000013,0.6870525801615621,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":736,"outcome":228,"usdc":737,"entry_price":738,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":739,"captured_at":13,"question":740,"event_slug":741,"category":38},"0x339727bd072a1756e1ff56b4512702e28ed0e30818fc28e0c9e39fafea56a578",14.914,0.062141666666666664,"2026-06-13T03:59:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290",{"condition_id":743,"outcome":29,"usdc":744,"entry_price":745,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":719,"captured_at":13,"question":746,"event_slug":721,"category":38},"0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6",289.428429,0.7172413139029595,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":748,"outcome":228,"usdc":749,"entry_price":750,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":751,"event_slug":752,"category":38},"0x3deb9137ed843d8e462eacad2ebba2b1ecd079ed539caa538b697f3117cc370f",334.74441099999984,0.5813515212460028,"Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?","trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-648",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":29,"usdc":755,"entry_price":756,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":705,"question":757,"event_slug":707,"category":38},"0x41ba322441190c465ec75e5866c6a5a3d429cf4d1efe2682026e8dcd5dbc37db",1674.3707650000008,0.8541661513482148,"Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?",{"condition_id":759,"outcome":228,"usdc":760,"entry_price":761,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":762,"event_slug":763,"category":38},"0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6",890.3961899999999,0.5123168591519901,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":765,"outcome":228,"usdc":766,"entry_price":767,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":768,"captured_at":13,"question":769,"event_slug":770,"category":771},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",125.17164099999997,0.189678811791007,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",null,{"condition_id":773,"outcome":228,"usdc":774,"entry_price":775,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":776,"event_slug":777,"category":38},"0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c",50.28,0.6285000000000001,"Iran closes its airspace by June 30?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":779,"outcome":228,"usdc":780,"entry_price":781,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":782,"captured_at":13,"question":783,"event_slug":304,"category":38},"0x71dd44fa5059fbed28a279172185d3623aa34ce86be1936281df26b5d1b87200",20.999852999999998,0.0954545532655062,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":785,"outcome":29,"usdc":786,"entry_price":787,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":788,"captured_at":705,"question":789,"event_slug":790,"category":38},"0x88e08e1db2095d39e18ef77068b8dc8074069ccac3feac7fba88482f4f822935",1346.27628,0.7271671889994828,"2026-06-14T00:00:00Z","Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?","switzerlands-june-referendum-what-will-pass",{"condition_id":792,"outcome":228,"usdc":793,"entry_price":794,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":795,"captured_at":13,"question":796,"event_slug":797,"category":798},"0x8df9bd0fa7983177691f7fbb910ac9ead0a1468f953f8130a80dddbc50deb5ab",674.1197889999997,0.42031610674996045,"2026-07-01T03:59:59.999Z","Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-june-2026","Other",{"condition_id":800,"outcome":228,"usdc":801,"entry_price":802,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":803,"captured_at":13,"question":804,"event_slug":805,"category":771},"0x915dd9e35a242624df721871c609d23b74242a766b86bd70496afd23c99e7f98",27.997166000000007,0.0636351124602091,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?","us-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622192051747",{"condition_id":807,"outcome":29,"usdc":808,"entry_price":809,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":705,"question":811,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0xbaf252e7ac957d6636a6916da51892c9f42e59bfbf808bd4d8e16f194694d2b5",376.6982699999998,0.3736816634878447,"2026-06-30T18:30:00Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?","cl-hit-jun-2026",{"condition_id":814,"outcome":29,"usdc":815,"entry_price":816,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":817,"captured_at":13,"question":818,"event_slug":819,"category":38},"0xc9615bb82d6535d630ff98e8094060bc767d8b9446516e98f84d2001a35e50e7",6958.739805000004,0.803831441370939,"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":821,"outcome":29,"usdc":822,"entry_price":823,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":824,"event_slug":825,"category":38},"0xcb3c2e94aefd13bb09a72fdf74d44fa7b2ebe437b863e0621831c020bfd4ed4d",236.496391,0.7884215274765642,"Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?","congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-june-30",{"condition_id":827,"outcome":228,"usdc":828,"entry_price":829,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":830,"captured_at":13,"question":831,"event_slug":304,"category":38},"0xcd9079a837d72a0eafde1dc692c819940bd030a295ddc67f27590e98df33878c",44.708695999999996,0.13057801499567392,"2026-09-15T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?",{"condition_id":833,"outcome":29,"usdc":834,"entry_price":835,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":836,"captured_at":13,"question":837,"event_slug":838,"category":362},"0xcfd48c874ae1760c1ec3c87a8c46c221af6a4f2be3b56618ba261bef4c92e768",330.205922,0.7181056090949477,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?","claude-mythos-released-by",{"condition_id":840,"outcome":228,"usdc":841,"entry_price":842,"won":12,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":843,"event_slug":752,"category":38},"0xd74764448c8b1e4e4a9aa648d7e884122cf559cf643177f0cdc4b0e422830d3c",602.6826759999999,0.7817784477901749,"Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":29,"usdc":846,"entry_price":847,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":13,"question":848,"event_slug":849,"category":38},"0xdfd4d487d004c266493bdf32551d7f018c7eb4b9325f42ac368dd5075eec36a9",440.8126969999999,0.8273375041685816,"Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?","will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by",{"condition_id":851,"outcome":228,"usdc":852,"entry_price":853,"won":17,"source":703,"end_date_iso":854,"captured_at":13,"question":855,"event_slug":856,"category":38},"0xf1568f444e1e341e3aceb0e975cb1f88da832301ae54a4fa8e85138072265b7e",13.040947000000001,0.04657660524481224,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",{"condition_id":858,"outcome":29,"usdc":859,"entry_price":860,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":862,"captured_at":863,"question":864,"event_slug":865,"category":38},"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a",8,0.4,"live","2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","2026-07-17T20:59:01.422Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":867,"outcome":29,"usdc":868,"entry_price":869,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":862,"captured_at":870,"question":871,"event_slug":865,"category":38},"0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830",19.2,0.96,"2026-07-17T13:38:44.179Z","Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",{"condition_id":873,"outcome":29,"usdc":874,"entry_price":875,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":876,"captured_at":877,"question":878,"event_slug":879,"category":75},"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b",189.00580416,0.6301,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","2026-06-26T18:21:36.695Z","Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",{"condition_id":881,"outcome":29,"usdc":882,"entry_price":883,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":885,"question":886,"event_slug":887,"category":289},"0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f",24.12,0.804,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","2026-07-15T17:56:35.449Z","Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":889,"outcome":29,"usdc":890,"entry_price":891,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":892,"captured_at":893,"question":894,"event_slug":895,"category":92},"0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",44.5,0.89,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","2026-07-09T18:08:38.164Z","China x Philippines military clash before 2027?","china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027",{"condition_id":897,"outcome":29,"usdc":898,"entry_price":899,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":901,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x0a10ea4f5d42ac33a29d73b8562f4414f5ea2219afd9da74ba950f7aefe7c630",13.025129999999999,0.989,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?","peru-presidential-election-winner",{"condition_id":904,"outcome":29,"usdc":905,"entry_price":906,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":907,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x28d4cee5a4bb01e0a7b1a39f8a23b2af657d9cf06d1e0ed8443c6b09329b9be3",37.179339999999996,0.9941,"Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":909,"outcome":29,"usdc":910,"entry_price":911,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":912,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951",529.887083,0.9617,"Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":914,"outcome":29,"usdc":915,"entry_price":916,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":917,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x6a58844c4dfdf677adb5e20bcefb851833cb335210e139ce37e63482e0679617",39.72,0.993,"Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":919,"outcome":29,"usdc":920,"entry_price":921,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":922,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x78f5630bafa15147941daa2fd2926b43febe6af1544cd9d8527b226914f3ca11",66.87791,0.836,"Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":924,"outcome":29,"usdc":925,"entry_price":926,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":927,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x790d04324ceda5e7fd3b2e62cf043d45b74a9d88921b6b250212d0c9b8ba1afd",19.88,0.994,"Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":929,"outcome":29,"usdc":930,"entry_price":931,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":932,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x974dcbcce5e8186e0e273065a60675bc17617897c395eca60478d0c49f80718f",88.579485,0.9885,"Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":934,"outcome":29,"usdc":935,"entry_price":936,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":937,"captured_at":877,"question":938,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x9b14ba5cc37a35c0db2c9849e631d98195670be4a0f91233a81529f22a7a5949",19.48,0.974,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":940,"outcome":29,"usdc":941,"entry_price":942,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":943,"captured_at":944,"question":945,"event_slug":946,"category":771},"0xa37edbac74383987e7b3c4e25360c223207b5f8ffdaaddea7e6e62ab2aa0d56a",47.178,0.7863,"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","2026-07-14T21:52:10.458Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":940,"outcome":228,"usdc":948,"entry_price":949,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":943,"captured_at":950,"question":945,"event_slug":946,"category":771},5.02,0.1255,"2026-07-14T10:00:40.504Z",{"condition_id":952,"outcome":29,"usdc":953,"entry_price":954,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":955,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0xa61438a389267c7deafc9d04cd6d0dc597d70253eb94702c0f5be458d75719a2",10.55823,0.997,"Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":957,"outcome":29,"usdc":958,"entry_price":959,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":960,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0xae6d3d20bc8f742922dc40880cd8a8671c10385a9912fa7cd670fba0643dfe96",12.2,0.61,"Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":962,"outcome":29,"usdc":963,"entry_price":964,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":965,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a",33.6,0.84,"Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":967,"outcome":29,"usdc":968,"entry_price":969,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":970,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0xe18a1286c10eb4e5d6b67a81e0164425366e5dc08f9cf36e979c48d24eca569d",795.71180124,0.9356,"Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":972,"outcome":29,"usdc":973,"entry_price":954,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":974,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0xef61cec575ac7260343e1f0c11900fee12a1f30b521b649eec7663ec5424242a",10.8673,"Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":976,"outcome":29,"usdc":977,"entry_price":978,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":979,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0xf73e2e231d324cb662ad80eefdd90bba5007fc4df45bc2c7bab90d83693cc4ee",11.695388000000001,0.9979,"Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":981,"outcome":29,"usdc":982,"entry_price":983,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":984,"captured_at":877,"question":985,"event_slug":986,"category":38},"0x495e6b49e7397bb4e6f8ce69e246ccb33b744678bd9bf88cbecbd3a113b05423",236.40488,0.9908,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?","will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-in-2025",{"condition_id":988,"outcome":29,"usdc":989,"entry_price":990,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":877,"question":991,"event_slug":992,"category":362},"0x753e6031044632c083fede2715235b69bb2596e37d34f6f19d2b6635d2d4dd58",14.775,0.985,"Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?","openai-ipo-by",{"condition_id":994,"outcome":29,"usdc":995,"entry_price":996,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":997,"event_slug":998,"category":38},"0x76571df48d488671ae04d6aa0610c11ebc51018cefd850ea8a9d523c150745cc",56.256612000000004,0.9474,"Will Trump be impeached by June 30?","will-trump-be-impeached-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1000,"outcome":228,"usdc":1001,"entry_price":1002,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1003,"event_slug":1004,"category":362},"0xaf4c3ba4d1b1568d4309bba0874cb7eec1e5b40a648f4a26b12efa2e9b5ee8a4",226.38556,0.9796,"Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":1006,"outcome":29,"usdc":1007,"entry_price":1008,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1009,"event_slug":1010,"category":92},"0xb215decbedd846168842f6e207f09bd5f50ce51d2191f238887d976ec21b6f66",2102.6386709999997,0.9891,"Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?","will-china-blockade-taiwan-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1012,"outcome":29,"usdc":1013,"entry_price":1014,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1015,"event_slug":1016,"category":362},"0xc3ff5462722d803352fb9e89d90c0bef29d01cb9e1c0ceae5b2ed2fd219253bd",29.367,0.9789,"Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?","which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1018,"outcome":228,"usdc":1019,"entry_price":1020,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1021,"event_slug":1022,"category":224},"0xe478b515162e00d4b682e2e480e847487f5e824bbc5c7c1d4587ee68bcb4befe",40.103679,0.9779,"Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?","stripe-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":1024,"outcome":29,"usdc":1025,"entry_price":1026,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1027,"captured_at":1028,"question":1029,"event_slug":1030,"category":771},"0x5f0f80c1d904c0348409832375a6d36580f9a552295ae3dba2595adfcea84a97",16.317999999999998,0.8159,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","2026-07-21T05:06:06.052Z","Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?","largest-company-end-of-july-20260624192302727",{"condition_id":1032,"outcome":29,"usdc":1033,"entry_price":1034,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1027,"captured_at":1035,"question":1036,"event_slug":1030,"category":771},"0x8495b57385dc69a16afc77d2a18f05d36bbbd7713462d8286b3fe94f385d2f6b",19.66,0.983,"2026-07-17T15:48:52.433Z","Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?",{"condition_id":1038,"outcome":228,"usdc":1039,"entry_price":1040,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":1041,"question":1042,"event_slug":1043,"category":771},"0x6389dc74e27218b50657af632dbca4c5005d241c760bd979944bcd0d68493380",950.1845117400001,0.9502,"2026-07-14T18:21:53.342Z","President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?","president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044",{"condition_id":1045,"outcome":29,"usdc":1046,"entry_price":1047,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1048,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0x0443a503a38b90446c8a3826db5ee1323144197ef2b4ed09bcdf545ac104dfcb",1668.0149694,0.9165,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1050,"outcome":29,"usdc":1051,"entry_price":1052,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1053,"captured_at":1054,"question":1055,"event_slug":1056,"category":289},"0x06866503ec6a8f9d16ad80d668433eae895e9b98b7f50a1b80c1bc1afaa13183",496.51404199999996,0.9899,"2026-11-01T00:00:00Z","2026-07-14T14:41:07.780Z","Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?","nba-lebron-james-next-team",{"condition_id":1058,"outcome":29,"usdc":1059,"entry_price":1060,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1061,"event_slug":1062,"category":38},"0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b",973.9542799999999,0.961,"Iran coup attempt by June 30?","iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1064,"outcome":29,"usdc":1065,"entry_price":1066,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1067,"event_slug":1068,"category":38},"0x269b4de59b444c57f166f690b1ce8c388bf26167c6a68f7613ab5b05e86375a8",3827.865809,0.9623,"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1070,"outcome":29,"usdc":1071,"entry_price":1072,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1073,"event_slug":1074,"category":38},"0x2af78d63305bbeeab287701eba943a587357b9c63086603cb85b15d8405e12a7",340.43797709999996,0.507,"Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?","tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1076,"outcome":29,"usdc":1077,"entry_price":1078,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1079,"event_slug":1080,"category":38},"0x2fa20cb3f8cecf2e0deb7eff0d30d1ba555234271b2cf72458c4905fdf2cbd79",1.9938208,0.992,"Bill Gates charged by June 30?","bill-gates-charged-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1082,"outcome":228,"usdc":1083,"entry_price":1084,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1085,"event_slug":1086,"category":92},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",312.88345074,0.1953,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":1088,"outcome":29,"usdc":1089,"entry_price":1090,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1091,"event_slug":1092,"category":38},"0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055",1232.00458069,0.9659,"Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",{"condition_id":1094,"outcome":29,"usdc":1095,"entry_price":1096,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1097,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0x404f8cff823a8692b2225d2372429300a73093a0838d614839e626b0d13d501c",3828.6689903,0.979,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1099,"outcome":29,"usdc":1100,"entry_price":1101,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1102,"event_slug":579,"category":92},"0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887",51.996,0.8666,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?",{"condition_id":1104,"outcome":29,"usdc":1105,"entry_price":1106,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1107,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0x5f879a52e5349db7f66d386ca75f1a9bb608fdd6a738a1582681613730b23281",1667.53,0.9809,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1109,"outcome":29,"usdc":1110,"entry_price":1111,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1112,"captured_at":877,"question":1113,"event_slug":1114,"category":92},"0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e",3217.8406314,0.942,"2026-06-30T23:55:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":1116,"outcome":228,"usdc":1117,"entry_price":1118,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1119,"event_slug":1120,"category":38},"0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead",20.262819999999998,0.2287,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",{"condition_id":1122,"outcome":29,"usdc":1123,"entry_price":1124,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1125,"event_slug":1126,"category":38},"0x77eafa497fe8ff7a41f540e2920e8897540b01f06b82477d168c4a21a7f9e57a",19.938543000000003,0.9481,"Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?","who-will-enter-iran-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1128,"outcome":29,"usdc":1129,"entry_price":1130,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1131,"event_slug":232,"category":38},"0x865303ccb9a48341d1bae33b3b4379ca86d5abbff3ce1e132716631cc0af3cce",518.292,0.9598,"Netanyahu out by June 30?",{"condition_id":1133,"outcome":228,"usdc":1134,"entry_price":1135,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1136,"event_slug":1137,"category":38},"0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7",26.234555200000003,0.328," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1139,"outcome":29,"usdc":1140,"entry_price":954,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1053,"captured_at":893,"question":1141,"event_slug":1056,"category":289},"0xa4e85379e5c4ec6edd40a1a855baeb449e6f5817a8a8da10e6853e1b0f2706cf",52.56184,"Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?",{"condition_id":1143,"outcome":29,"usdc":1144,"entry_price":1145,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1146,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0xa5d0dfc81e6a87faa737df4ca52fae7e18b63d9f7568e364c6c7d8c45fb39e8b",1415.3738819999999,0.9579,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1148,"outcome":29,"usdc":1149,"entry_price":1150,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1151,"event_slug":361,"category":362},"0xa8e3a62f9261f3f12287d41bea9ca4efea4d221aae79bc0cec695bb1882bb7b3",699.644792,0.9656,"Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?",{"condition_id":1153,"outcome":29,"usdc":1154,"entry_price":1155,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1156,"event_slug":1157,"category":38},"0xbad704f2ae063322169bf3add805258727ecd3e6c0ad37fc7e6590c993375732",1665.979755,0.9735,"NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025",{"condition_id":1159,"outcome":29,"usdc":1160,"entry_price":1161,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1162,"event_slug":1163,"category":75},"0xc49487996b94574c24dfc6250a0dfe01815485c679784822fee6a359022cae0f",75.147954,0.9813,"Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?","tesla-and-xai-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1165,"outcome":29,"usdc":1166,"entry_price":1167,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1168,"event_slug":1169,"category":92},"0xcb8a519f4d8c10c3e60c5c604cac30f38341e4b35f5bcce8356c0ea4698f8952",292.49118648,0.9192,"Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?","will-kanye-west-visit-israel-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1171,"outcome":29,"usdc":1172,"entry_price":1173,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1174,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0xe3f8272f4957b7dcc492d988e5c7cd6dbb2f4111cd309571514a280938d617f1",756.32,0.9454,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1176,"outcome":29,"usdc":1177,"entry_price":1178,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1053,"captured_at":1179,"question":1180,"event_slug":1056,"category":289},"0xecb23b1bf49d5fa3ce68f3e816cb61d47886278e0ead2b0babc91ce00ca6bbe3",123.26567999999999,0.984,"2026-07-09T20:48:47.747Z","Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?",{"condition_id":1182,"outcome":29,"usdc":1183,"entry_price":1184,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1185,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0xeda0e0633f131b761cbe6c6e5e16ae347c48d9448a08c5826bfc2c794b63758e",2219.75811024,0.9564,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1187,"outcome":29,"usdc":1188,"entry_price":1189,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1190,"event_slug":1191,"category":92},"0x4ba35ccd015e3899f323b7b0bcb38ecab3a3c0fafc397666e690ba301fbeff30",157.888,0.9868,"Xi Jinping out by June 30?","xi-jinping-out-by",{"condition_id":1193,"outcome":29,"usdc":1194,"entry_price":954,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":1195,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x5e7d3b7cf87325cee6ae6c7417d6e9d7250c4cc2dc912b18ce5cdafba4e6a647",1.994,"Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"condition_id":1197,"outcome":29,"usdc":1198,"entry_price":1199,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":884,"captured_at":870,"question":1200,"event_slug":1201,"category":798},"0xbf6f8d93e8b3222ed70dd0cd6f18a92f639f13d248be36f5509265797a6992e7",6.4,0.32,"Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-young-player-award-winner-20260602160649063",{"condition_id":1203,"outcome":29,"usdc":1204,"entry_price":916,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1205,"event_slug":1206,"category":92},"0xd2aea784fec0395820e7b26faeb1b494cdd48da2ec23f4c6c1e4fb0b733dd687",4.965,"Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?","nasdaq-round-the-clock-trading-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1208,"outcome":228,"usdc":1209,"entry_price":1210,"won":17,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1211,"event_slug":1212,"category":657},"0xda40c4552fd0ee2024a0127dfb6073407eb781a5a33ca5c2486d1dde730f184c",166.68238566,0.7581,"Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?","another-gta-vi-trailer-released-by",{"condition_id":1214,"outcome":29,"usdc":1215,"entry_price":1216,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":712,"captured_at":877,"question":1217,"event_slug":1218,"category":38},"0xfe6f1dad89e1ffad14c6429e2f50354d78bef4ea94b0444c9b8bb7ef24be7175",44.486875,0.9875,"Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?","will-trump-pardon-sbf-by-july-31-20260608235339562",{"condition_id":1220,"outcome":29,"usdc":1221,"entry_price":1222,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":412,"captured_at":877,"question":1223,"event_slug":992,"category":362},"0x1146a9020af0b4dafcba97375ac13f4dcc591b80c50efa7084973df14cc85833",175.655581,0.9817,"Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?",{"condition_id":1225,"outcome":29,"usdc":1226,"entry_price":1227,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1228,"event_slug":1229,"category":38},"0x5402e80909b4c38c8232b6887e6ac991c7e299a64b64751b82bdd922c3e424f2",3138.76172772,0.9249,"Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?","ex-cuba-leader-raul-castro-in-us-custody-by",{"condition_id":1231,"outcome":29,"usdc":1232,"entry_price":1233,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1234,"captured_at":877,"question":1235,"event_slug":1236,"category":362},"0x7677b744e64c91b1fbb08f87590749120f4cb2681aa1eb60e8171aa463269132",1.9837713,0.987,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1238,"outcome":29,"usdc":1239,"entry_price":1240,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1234,"captured_at":877,"question":1241,"event_slug":1236,"category":362},"0x9fe50124f0e6ea1f1706ebe2107e82c66ad6f77071d0fd5a900ad56290403890",52.56807500000001,0.9835,"Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?",{"condition_id":1243,"outcome":29,"usdc":1244,"entry_price":916,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1234,"captured_at":877,"question":1245,"event_slug":797,"category":798},"0xa5f0ef0c3791838bf1bb55ee0be81b79ebe964e9e1270f6a55f65a4653d920ba",7.6858200000000005,"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?",{"condition_id":1247,"outcome":29,"usdc":1248,"entry_price":1249,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1234,"captured_at":877,"question":1250,"event_slug":1236,"category":362},"0xac878146c9e2ee28f133d957d606684af8bb1d2ebbfb977928b203275d70ac4f",9.1341,0.995,"Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?",{"condition_id":1252,"outcome":228,"usdc":1253,"entry_price":1254,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":1255,"captured_at":1256,"question":1257,"event_slug":1258,"category":289},"0xbfd6478d7e4489ef0d992a7c4772bf2daab73a0ff6946f31e2ae3dc3e6e29209",42.67772,0.982,"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","2026-07-09T12:17:53.282Z","UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?","ufc-will-conor-mcgregor-fight-in-2026",{"condition_id":1260,"outcome":29,"usdc":1261,"entry_price":1078,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":1262,"question":1263,"event_slug":1264,"category":38},"0xd69278d0e73aa1db4520dba8fb48a0a00a2dfd04e7df26b347bbf3875e5d7393",19.84,"2026-06-26T23:41:37.106Z","Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?","saudi-arabia-bans-us-military-aircraft-by",{"condition_id":1266,"outcome":29,"usdc":1267,"entry_price":916,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":704,"captured_at":877,"question":1268,"event_slug":1269,"category":38},"0xed10b587bada7fbcd2e280b1490b3e3ca5d3d3e1a6e124b2fba73f50ddd6e553",19.86,"Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in June 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-june",{"condition_id":1271,"outcome":29,"usdc":1272,"entry_price":1273,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":892,"captured_at":877,"question":1274,"event_slug":172,"category":38},"0x60c6fe27d5b273f54fe30b4003c3b2553acd5f76220d9ea289343d536d6dd9ad",4999.33168914,0.9518,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1276,"outcome":29,"usdc":1277,"entry_price":1278,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1279,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0x82033ffc908562008e86493dde6695b264bcbb2ac094995629a8e84d58a92940",2066.04835524,0.8412,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1281,"outcome":29,"usdc":1282,"entry_price":1283,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":810,"captured_at":877,"question":1284,"event_slug":812,"category":798},"0x86c4455035d81c512138b8e38ade7defdb46708d3ee43098cdc8429a7d3b9bd9",1301.86252612,0.6676,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?",{"condition_id":1286,"outcome":29,"usdc":1287,"entry_price":1288,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":712,"captured_at":877,"question":1289,"event_slug":1290,"category":38},"0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21",4551.1947222,0.5865,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",{"condition_id":1292,"outcome":29,"usdc":1293,"entry_price":954,"won":12,"source":861,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":877,"question":1294,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x7965575591c9229a2c75c881555403f5e867cd5759545619d8ec061b2b08135f",13.14046,"Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?",{"total":689,"wins":399},[1297,1302,1307,1311,1315,1317,1321,1323],{"category":38,"n":1298,"wins":1299,"hitRate":1300,"roi":1301},55,45,0.8181818181818182,0.2192918088269343,{"category":798,"n":1303,"wins":1304,"hitRate":1305,"roi":1306},19,14,0.7368421052631579,0.069091984065497,{"category":362,"n":1308,"wins":859,"hitRate":1309,"roi":1310},9,0.8888888888888888,-0.19190498235492168,{"category":92,"n":859,"wins":1312,"hitRate":1313,"roi":1314},6,0.75,-0.016203888635246234,{"category":289,"n":621,"wins":621,"hitRate":12,"roi":1316},0.018793099403963173,{"category":75,"n":1318,"wins":12,"hitRate":1319,"roi":1320},2,0.5,-0.7100930892165657,{"category":657,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1322},-1,{"category":224,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1324},0.0225994477962983,{"generatedAt":1326},"2026-09-24T02:38:46.802Z"]