[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":160,"history":161,"resolved":212,"resolvedSummary":497,"specialization":500,"meta":519},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":17,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00",1799,408,0.8455882352941176,0.1864769625033548,0.08141390776178306,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-21T16:51:54.291Z",187.87568332598042,1.7264875239923225,"2026-10-21T03:19:59.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.7046192237485304,0.14096901154558816,14294.070595987372,76653.278797,11.476137807310776,[25,38,49,60,69,79,87,95,103,112,122,130,138,145,153],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"89220876555191016916241799318314090743516702009053928118059298766028257434413","0x8a5c0b5fc339f2dbaf584def66bcf8bff94d91f0250562e452782fed3d18f821","Yes",101019.7155,0.1324,"2026-11-07T05:19:33.563Z","2026-09-20T15:46:39.693Z","Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?","crude-oil-all-time-high-by","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":41,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":44,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":37},"12252315002285450681490156954382970523169335391746392854407544234607312558547","0x1c008508d424634eb01e47889e0fefb2fad4c776f973148f80a86b5be8331c63","No",3699.9911,0.9048,"2026-10-06T18:14:12.329Z","Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?","houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.604\", \"0.396\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":41,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":54,"question":55,"event_slug":56,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":58,"category":59},"86167176808362447310018614904152866571628255546516240601963325069227339619544","0x2b9931e13d436ee68b2870d31400f5bed8f5f13ad321355d0fd1048f706bba6a",3200,0.8118,"2026-10-19T04:59:46.942Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]","Politics",{"token_id":61,"condition_id":62,"outcome":28,"size":63,"avg_price":64,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":65,"question":66,"event_slug":67,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":68,"category":37},"80258213610981277759457115663042357606732262500052589985882716452182550393639","0xb75da764f8b8363d534eba91c4fb19ceb666272f6fb1aa4ef66bdf7ae3e34b30",29999.8235,0.0662,"2026-10-18T06:08:24.931Z","Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?","mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by","[\"0.038\", \"0.962\"]",{"token_id":70,"condition_id":71,"outcome":41,"size":72,"avg_price":73,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":74,"question":75,"event_slug":76,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":77,"outcome_prices":78,"category":59},"10690391194840875541563517589463912963575786539307433160985752952931887140267","0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633",2399.9923,0.7256,"2026-11-06T22:49:33.124Z","US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30","2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]",{"token_id":80,"condition_id":81,"outcome":41,"size":82,"avg_price":83,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":74,"question":84,"event_slug":85,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":86,"outcome_prices":78,"category":59},"70659432139994542069434772104144657639869399273651484864261399963742293385083","0x3094a2b925483a06aa72945a1472e311e5eb6be75284f61e0c008e279508ddf6",1000,0.88,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by","2026-06-15T00:00:00Z",{"token_id":88,"condition_id":89,"outcome":28,"size":90,"avg_price":91,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":92,"event_slug":93,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":94,"category":59},"60550692412996164477361673304744222976539035905940935096587343919192326604823","0x21bf9a7dae81b6bd51acae73185686ab8997b81b1401e4be10e114d472599c26",2000,0.2749,"Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?","will-ukraine-agree-to-cede-territory-to-russia-before-2027","[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]",{"token_id":96,"condition_id":97,"outcome":28,"size":98,"avg_price":99,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":100,"event_slug":101,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":102,"category":59},"69008261707147190224085600022014883080394632469747216729293676850312272918310","0x0686076be591223c6da6a594c12b4a47083fbd77a37ddc96f484eba3b13e3669",3953.9168,0.1384,"US takes Panama Canal before 2027?","us-takes-panama-canal-before-2027","[\"0.024\", \"0.976\"]",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":41,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":108,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":111,"category":59},"26059746163230197759110188050026670637997522185523054174516924649377734838467","0xc1bd3bfadea871e846ad2e7a09cdf56da632137a4d5e96da08b0134975ce4237",506.7,0.941,"2026-10-22T08:27:09.943Z","Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-before-2027","[\"0.041\", \"0.959\"]",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":28,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":74,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":119,"outcome_prices":120,"category":121},"89091640448799312538672329625381987067711211848499414054213038191567167500706","0xb8b6a753602690899932a4df8664a2d0edf1083f442dd0fc78fc2cb2256f1cd9",1200,0.38,"Germany leading at halftime?","fifwc-ger-civ-2026-06-20-halftime-result","2026-06-20T20:00:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]","Sports",{"token_id":123,"condition_id":124,"outcome":41,"size":125,"avg_price":126,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":127,"question":128,"event_slug":129,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":102,"category":59},"90889737043160931419301279329265177627640070265027926085121655690919696428047","0xf724d37268560ac54688062ff8b1c0411004135e82d1dd6ad00531cc4d985550",500,0.91,"2026-10-29T16:37:22.396Z","Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?","will-hezbollah-disarm-by-march-31",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":41,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":74,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":137,"category":59},"25500176721039521684230438445439604957498547571161362778953203408577843104534","0x48a3e95c0bc1b9305e56445a7affcb857fd61e0ae0d78a4778310a1108ceb08a",400,0.76,"Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?","who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":139,"condition_id":140,"outcome":28,"size":125,"avg_price":141,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":65,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":57,"outcome_prices":144,"category":37},"68209098816956653423589246537251418756775636859741182353328816396544161529551","0xbffc3470c485c9d05b24094e7f09647f50445f708a98bbd95e2d83c8fe1d6ef4",0.2099,"Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?","will-iran-target-saudi-arabia-byptptpt","[\"0.18\", \"0.82\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":41,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":150,"question":151,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":152,"category":59},"96194769553271797751128235139858115617686732077374499499532526185358586253274","0x6cc27a4a35f130c5481805387f567dcb79fec7284ddc4354db257f1bad86e183",100,0.953,"2026-10-14T20:21:53.929Z","Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]",{"token_id":154,"condition_id":155,"outcome":41,"size":156,"avg_price":157,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":150,"question":158,"event_slug":110,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":159,"category":59},"87255076405354155220320552467443299566199695821417318874856518072850403783324","0x428fbb628d1853643af3e2b57fab392b29d030b68d85523dfba22f22654866f0",15,0.931,"Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","[\"0.044\", \"0.956\"]",[],[162,169,171,175,177,184,186,188,190,192,194,196,198,204,210],{"recorded_date":163,"roi":164,"win_rate":165,"brier_score":166,"p_value":167,"resolved_trades":168,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-22",0.16061706012194168,0.8514851485148515,0.11455117292144618,0.10319999999999996,101,{"recorded_date":170,"roi":164,"win_rate":165,"brier_score":166,"p_value":167,"resolved_trades":168,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-30",{"recorded_date":172,"roi":173,"win_rate":165,"brier_score":174,"p_value":167,"resolved_trades":168,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-07",0.16061706012167926,0.11455117292109322,{"recorded_date":176,"roi":173,"win_rate":165,"brier_score":174,"p_value":167,"resolved_trades":168,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-14",{"recorded_date":178,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-21",0.1608053413890154,0.8557692307692307,0.11281892754836939,0.07840000000000003,104,{"recorded_date":185,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-29",{"recorded_date":187,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-06",{"recorded_date":189,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-14",{"recorded_date":191,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-21",{"recorded_date":193,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-28",{"recorded_date":195,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-05",{"recorded_date":197,"roi":179,"win_rate":180,"brier_score":181,"p_value":182,"resolved_trades":183,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-13",{"recorded_date":199,"roi":200,"win_rate":201,"brier_score":202,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":203,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-20",0.19778826678071165,0.9327485380116959,0.09266545236061799,342,{"recorded_date":205,"roi":206,"win_rate":207,"brier_score":208,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":209,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-30",0.1868969016480924,0.844059405940594,0.08204712219613734,404,{"recorded_date":211,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-21",[213,217,225,231,238,246,253,260,266,274,280,289,297,303,309,314,320,326,332,338,343,349,355,362,369,374,380,386,392,398,406,412,415,421,424,431,437,442,448,454,460,466,471,477,484,490],{"condition_id":81,"outcome":41,"usdc":214,"entry_price":83,"won":17,"source":215,"end_date_iso":86,"captured_at":216,"question":84,"event_slug":85,"category":59},880,"live","2026-11-06T22:49:33.134Z",{"condition_id":218,"outcome":41,"usdc":219,"entry_price":220,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":221,"captured_at":222,"question":223,"event_slug":224,"category":37},"0x5ffd88877eaf98923896dcce9946d153c5587cb35204fdcbf9ec57a5bb1d5755",9.488453999999999,0.94,"2026-10-31T19:59:00Z","2026-10-17T21:49:54.462Z","Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?","will-iran-target-oman-byptptpt",{"condition_id":226,"outcome":41,"usdc":227,"entry_price":228,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":229,"question":230,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0x1e48a0d3f791a763e5efca1479ed1d63e96aa6d00107ee142e829e32e88154db",238.42995,0.913,"2026-10-18T21:30:04.152Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?",{"condition_id":232,"outcome":41,"usdc":233,"entry_price":234,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":235,"question":236,"event_slug":237,"category":59},"0xe7fdcddbf41b9641e0fd636a15e672054cbc61a8b1e0f00c4a4a96430013c7c5",540.68164866,0.9687,"2026-10-24T08:17:00.046Z","Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?","perim-island-no-longer-under-houthi-control-by-20260916",{"condition_id":239,"outcome":41,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":243,"question":244,"event_slug":245,"category":59},"0x83dc0351975e61ea9666c22265026e5cea3aa45d99ac80973299156f762cb20e",1239.98,0.8857,"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","2026-10-15T07:29:30.352Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":41,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":242,"captured_at":250,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":59},"0x1c26566ab9cf38c3f568c80efb263bf6f1a5c6c10ffc99b84aa92064a48cc121",221.13490170000003,0.933,"2026-10-05T23:08:08.348Z","Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?","will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31",{"condition_id":254,"outcome":41,"usdc":255,"entry_price":256,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":257,"question":258,"event_slug":259,"category":59},"0x735864bff48fe6da2ed5b8d271b3d6fc6bbda33b373f5837a222528d3b8b391c",6.241902,0.58,"2026-09-28T18:41:15.154Z","US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?","us-reissues-iran-oil-sales-sanction-relief-byptptpt-20260708142359046",{"condition_id":261,"outcome":41,"usdc":262,"entry_price":263,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":47,"captured_at":264,"question":265,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0x0038a19c5f1633b76e9fe194ac391959811cceb05652ba5c6796e37f045e573f",609.98,0.8714,"2026-10-03T17:52:14.199Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?",{"condition_id":267,"outcome":41,"usdc":268,"entry_price":269,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":86,"captured_at":271,"question":272,"event_slug":273,"category":37},"0x053d22e12bfe8dd73b12fc1cf89858ecc0de76aede10fea3eca5c7877d8db40c",429,0.715,"backfill","2026-09-20T14:46:45.781Z","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":275,"outcome":28,"usdc":276,"entry_price":277,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":278,"captured_at":271,"question":279,"event_slug":85,"category":59},"0x0549eb8269570dea333fe47ffff241827d93a22caed18f64f9a1eb4c3239c7f8",476,0.7933333333333333,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":281,"outcome":28,"usdc":282,"entry_price":283,"won":17,"source":270,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":285,"question":286,"event_slug":287,"category":288},"0x09e8f0db05570a5048fdccdae58a52c608aa6cf640ced2190dcbeb52ce52f491",1099.2815000000003,0.051320553925144924,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","2026-09-30T08:10:27.737Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?","will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march",null,{"condition_id":290,"outcome":41,"usdc":291,"entry_price":292,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":293,"captured_at":294,"question":295,"event_slug":296,"category":59},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",13649.9514,0.8029411515570057,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","2026-06-22T16:37:35.098Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":298,"outcome":41,"usdc":299,"entry_price":300,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":77,"captured_at":271,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"category":59},"0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68",1789.0000000000002,0.851904761904762,"Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":304,"outcome":41,"usdc":305,"entry_price":306,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":307,"captured_at":294,"question":308,"event_slug":296,"category":59},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",632.890094,0.7911243933923394,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":310,"outcome":41,"usdc":311,"entry_price":83,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":312,"captured_at":294,"question":313,"event_slug":296,"category":59},"0x2509daa236d3aea83c910be4e00f50027dd72e6fa0d350536d07cd079f58d7ab",1144,"2026-05-13T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?",{"condition_id":315,"outcome":41,"usdc":316,"entry_price":317,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":271,"question":319,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0x33becd2f4f3b2b2b810fa1b4d5f92566f13194ee3381655e1b2ebe056714c5dd",2905.9662370000005,0.8576737866170244,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?",{"condition_id":321,"outcome":41,"usdc":322,"entry_price":323,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":77,"captured_at":271,"question":324,"event_slug":325,"category":37},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",1384.99,0.86561875,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":327,"outcome":41,"usdc":328,"entry_price":329,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":330,"captured_at":271,"question":331,"event_slug":296,"category":59},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",1311,0.819375,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":333,"outcome":41,"usdc":334,"entry_price":335,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":336,"captured_at":271,"question":337,"event_slug":296,"category":59},"0x421bc1929df1429cf2cb94f80c1ce6a3ed0d1f0b7a2749b9890075f94eb549e9",6608.9954,0.5746957519093495,"2026-05-26T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?",{"condition_id":339,"outcome":28,"usdc":340,"entry_price":341,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":77,"captured_at":271,"question":342,"event_slug":85,"category":59},"0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6",225,0.75,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":344,"outcome":41,"usdc":345,"entry_price":346,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":293,"captured_at":294,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":37},"0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",1107,0.7907142857142857,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":41,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":284,"captured_at":285,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":288},"0x61ce3773237a948584e422de72265f937034af418a8b703e3a860ea62e59ff36",5251.858924,0.7839572946363849,"Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-march-31",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":41,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":359,"captured_at":271,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"category":288},"0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005",5441.989285999999,0.7774285863848116,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":363,"outcome":41,"usdc":364,"entry_price":365,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":366,"captured_at":271,"question":367,"event_slug":368,"category":59},"0x789d388bafe08b6c17fefb96ec7ebadc6e997e0883eae5e4918354218e6dd52d",64.08,0.89,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?","us-x-cuba-economic-deal-by",{"condition_id":370,"outcome":41,"usdc":371,"entry_price":372,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":77,"captured_at":271,"question":373,"event_slug":273,"category":37},"0x86f43746cbd692719483aaeedc657eef89d9ffb91d6ffceacb1edf533e049516",5581.732595000002,0.8587384687970436,"Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":41,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":378,"captured_at":271,"question":379,"event_slug":361,"category":288},"0x8a094629b94ae6e4fd44ab3f539814d38325aba6306f40c1fd316b62244f8dd8",239.952266,0.8674227627345084,"2026-07-10T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?",{"condition_id":381,"outcome":41,"usdc":382,"entry_price":383,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":77,"captured_at":294,"question":384,"event_slug":385,"category":59},"0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f",3599.9074120000005,0.7825889385358552,"Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30",{"condition_id":387,"outcome":41,"usdc":388,"entry_price":389,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":390,"captured_at":271,"question":391,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0x95f75978d8e3b735dda39675d113c68c4619a09f392cda4f28612ef5385f4af9",517,0.8616666666666667,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":41,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":396,"captured_at":271,"question":397,"event_slug":361,"category":288},"0xa37edbac74383987e7b3c4e25360c223207b5f8ffdaaddea7e6e62ab2aa0d56a",981.641,0.8092671063478978,"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":41,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":402,"captured_at":403,"question":404,"event_slug":405,"category":288},"0xa592b90f0ef30b33674d773ac1618a84c7170a97f92df7e5cf507317ad5113a4",602.25,0.8542553191489362,"2026-07-07T23:59:00Z","2026-07-21T18:55:28.830Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-7-20260625174256255",{"condition_id":407,"outcome":41,"usdc":408,"entry_price":409,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":410,"captured_at":271,"question":411,"event_slug":361,"category":288},"0xa5bd4b831f180564aef6a119e1f94a5d574344e25a546b7a1f14aec7cc6e2d83",511.9914,0.8533332222203703,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?",{"condition_id":71,"outcome":41,"usdc":413,"entry_price":414,"won":17,"source":270,"end_date_iso":77,"captured_at":294,"question":75,"event_slug":76,"category":59},2176.994306,0.7256666302434621,{"condition_id":416,"outcome":28,"usdc":417,"entry_price":134,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":418,"captured_at":294,"question":419,"event_slug":420,"category":121},"0xb361c29b5481164886627cb175ed76792df30902e66ec329c0a3853f807fe8e9",380,"2026-06-17T20:00:00Z","Will England win on 2026-06-17?","fifwc-eng-hrv-2026-06-17",{"condition_id":114,"outcome":28,"usdc":422,"entry_price":423,"won":17,"source":270,"end_date_iso":119,"captured_at":271,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"category":121},456.00000000000006,0.37999999999999995,{"condition_id":425,"outcome":41,"usdc":426,"entry_price":427,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":428,"captured_at":271,"question":429,"event_slug":430,"category":59},"0xcacd424332319971356c757c025b45a4eb5643b919fb3bd2f84051afea599b13",3839.9946,0.6981821057856469,"2026-07-15T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-15",{"condition_id":432,"outcome":41,"usdc":433,"entry_price":434,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":435,"captured_at":294,"question":436,"event_slug":296,"category":59},"0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f5",7090,0.7877777777777778,"2026-04-30","US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":438,"outcome":41,"usdc":439,"entry_price":440,"won":17,"source":270,"end_date_iso":86,"captured_at":271,"question":441,"event_slug":296,"category":59},"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423",2367.9,0.8456785714285715,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":41,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":271,"question":447,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0xf342b35550e4ff27035b3c2f81cc2f03a16f36b840c0c3615f32b7c6a567aea9",1878.8,0.8746741154562383,"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":41,"usdc":450,"entry_price":451,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":318,"captured_at":271,"question":452,"event_slug":453,"category":59},"0xfb8ac17fdf80c31eb666086c6d278a076774d527fabafae9d391468c2f9f3727",956.9879530000001,0.8700000014824799,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":41,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":12,"source":270,"end_date_iso":307,"captured_at":294,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":288},"0xffe381a80c1e36f9e0b03a542aa8fe56e74a67d2566a4e29396d4427aa4244c9",958.8199999999999,0.8716545454545453,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-may-15",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":41,"usdc":462,"entry_price":83,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":463,"captured_at":464,"question":465,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0xc1be2a2db8bb89c936f002c75c7ddf6654d09ae0314b3fa9f72d77926b7ea5cf",40.113304,"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","2026-10-01T05:32:00.424Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?",{"condition_id":467,"outcome":41,"usdc":468,"entry_price":469,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":463,"captured_at":243,"question":470,"event_slug":237,"category":59},"0x29d8fb799baf445dd4170e4b14c87fe2cefd70adb2bfdd7d72c1122628370e0d",190,0.95,"Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?",{"condition_id":472,"outcome":41,"usdc":473,"entry_price":474,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":475,"captured_at":464,"question":476,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0x8c0cf80920ff68d1439ec621d4b771b5d189d0443be0490361527a46aeb83c07",36.186299999999996,0.93,"2026-10-08T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?",{"condition_id":478,"outcome":41,"usdc":479,"entry_price":480,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":482,"question":483,"event_slug":56,"category":59},"0x9171944ccff1e5bb85ef0cdc1579abc39e4317ee884b3da9b7aee0d83e3c834f",2342.2385698199996,0.9369,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","2026-09-20T15:46:39.882Z","US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?",{"condition_id":485,"outcome":41,"usdc":486,"entry_price":487,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":481,"captured_at":482,"question":488,"event_slug":489,"category":59},"0xb55b2b13aee7a480ab0695912a65cb34a5fe5e84d5da810873d9c3e1182f9fd0",10830.387235600001,0.967,"Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-september-30-20260629143335077",{"condition_id":491,"outcome":41,"usdc":492,"entry_price":493,"won":12,"source":215,"end_date_iso":494,"captured_at":482,"question":495,"event_slug":496,"category":59},"0x9362e9548fefa30a640858f4f3312460afd528ca1c51a63fd3727146b74cc491",3696.6162478700003,0.9191,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-september-30-20260709004922353",{"total":498,"wins":499},46,41,[501,506,512,515],{"category":59,"n":502,"wins":503,"hitRate":504,"roi":505},31,28,0.9032258064516129,0.14804737901617337,{"category":507,"n":508,"wins":509,"hitRate":510,"roi":511},"Other",8,7,0.875,0.16609350117650032,{"category":37,"n":513,"wins":513,"hitRate":12,"roi":514},5,0.1877073411141003,{"category":121,"n":516,"wins":12,"hitRate":517,"roi":518},2,0.5,-0.4019138755980861,{"generatedAt":520},"2026-11-07T15:27:34.447Z"]