[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x90323218cd86b964feb4ee2317422a2a5286b5c3":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":344,"history":345,"resolved":399,"resolvedSummary":978,"specialization":981,"meta":1012},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x90323218cd86b964feb4ee2317422a2a5286b5c3",2785,902,0.4057649667405765,0.2763312714695161,0.19260235853464308,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-09T08:12:01.451Z",66.33684609866961,2.813131313131313,"2026-10-09T10:53:46.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.36211812057217285,0.04364684616840354,16534.51241500613,59835.835180999995,2.7919265146955365,0.0033259423503325942,[26,39,49,59,68,76,83,92,100,108,117,124,130,137,145,154,163,170,178,185,192,201,209,219,227,235,240,248,255,263,272,280,287,293,301,307,312,319,327,337],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427","0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d","Yes",1800,0.8283,"2026-10-11T09:52:58.298Z","2026-10-09T22:43:36.607Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.8605\", \"0.1395\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"43295283577056639281694071578249936735369407445693289764095672178175084599787","0x2c00cb09722a0f0501c5e49131b898ed57bb5c075db4dc2bcbc14908f45b8c48","No",1797.72,0.6827,"Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?","maine-senate-election-winner","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":42,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":57,"category":58},"74432043705134730393669074387511119013039992642685078497696112938343368852359","0xdc7c8ada1b8d28300cdc783578e8754d2570a3da067965be15bba638cb94f83a",2308.0204,0.4961,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.465\", \"0.535\"]","Tech",{"token_id":60,"condition_id":61,"outcome":42,"size":62,"avg_price":63,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":64,"event_slug":65,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":66,"outcome_prices":67,"category":38},"54533569528927082430133047556849600511985191158927477533124630301934489498530","0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37",1558.817,0.6621,"Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",{"token_id":69,"condition_id":70,"outcome":29,"size":71,"avg_price":72,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":73,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":75,"category":38},"42332951291460309919675729658698220109009517520079711777389892081070503665626","0x4ba8ec5d2c8cc2377cbf28c96546b648752db8871b6325fc7a6822eac7ad306e",1000,0.91,"Will there be no Hormuz agreement?","who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement","[\"0.882\", \"0.118\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":42,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":82,"category":58},"40504602999746502052081185409322422451246922051464321593641901006620543564089","0xd594753a5d2b4d3b9e65cdd06c3cbb0645d70be7626fad94774f45560b150d23",1052,0.629,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?","[\"0.255\", \"0.745\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":29,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":90,"outcome_prices":91,"category":38},"42865728742506860386768556888821101266630139112044622335353850919229585308601","0x723822eb2b143cee54c0bd7c1efba322b21f0051984c266df8879c394f1011c0",2114.7789,0.2702,"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632","2026-12-09T23:59:00Z","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":93,"condition_id":94,"outcome":42,"size":95,"avg_price":96,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":97,"event_slug":98,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":99,"outcome_prices":82,"category":38},"103046436079811259162249808745490832529545706174786688803730234851965130506655","0x7b51c54dd98817ae9d733a8f3262801be9e4255069aec460d1236a82a3fa9c28",500,0.76,"Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?","missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929","2029-01-01T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":101,"condition_id":102,"outcome":29,"size":103,"avg_price":104,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":105,"event_slug":106,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":107,"category":38},"15290572385458522370285732869432740297199321382471116558439914335588167718663","0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417",470.25,0.6,"Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","[\"0.625\", \"0.375\"]",{"token_id":109,"condition_id":110,"outcome":42,"size":111,"avg_price":112,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":113,"event_slug":114,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":115,"outcome_prices":116,"category":58},"44825112363851172847030972963897959231819034701442317803808120944832501987949","0xd56c7fef87fef04dea3cc6f1e4085b92c649fb55949fe8a607e03dc58d6e17a3",300,0.8,"Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?","which-millennium-prize-problem-will-ai-solve-next","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]",{"token_id":118,"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"size":111,"avg_price":120,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":121,"event_slug":122,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":123,"category":38},"41583919731714354912849507182398941127545694257513505398713274521520484370640","0x6664de877892786b699c552ef88f25ff6e4828f9a847e4f40e4d6d9cd30b1485",0.75,"Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?","vermont-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.745\", \"0.255\"]",{"token_id":125,"condition_id":126,"outcome":42,"size":111,"avg_price":127,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":128,"event_slug":106,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":129,"category":38},"9846414914422486942750462555692240718767368950832862364324602361738794436048","0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14",0.63,"Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]",{"token_id":131,"condition_id":132,"outcome":29,"size":133,"avg_price":134,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":135,"event_slug":136,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":57,"category":38},"17320592898526544822044833295401400755961194348705170492538425349376048824877","0x99dcf0abf02cdbd62e6a17a95c68f7864be5f5779d25d44cf7ea134f5d7979a9",430.27,0.3844,"Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?","next-senate-majority-leader-485",{"token_id":138,"condition_id":139,"outcome":29,"size":140,"avg_price":141,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":142,"event_slug":143,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":144,"category":38},"68028333226752818835598008745363906489424880287725704944286010813515917252082","0xd98f7c334a57d9a96fbf3b02d6cfb5c11449d1d555af0add9c3003891d528796",600.7085,0.2372,"Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?","ny-21-house-election-winner","[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",{"token_id":146,"condition_id":147,"outcome":42,"size":148,"avg_price":149,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":150,"event_slug":151,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":152,"outcome_prices":153,"category":38},"2845197477927518611377148268122592327727731644032696056455781192842287643344","0x16248fb1d6b56e9b851f45fadb1e501c0a82c51a60c9808c6f51f052d3684820",294.1946,0.453,"US imports Russian diesel by October 31?","us-imports-russian-diesel-by-october-31","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.475\", \"0.525\"]",{"token_id":155,"condition_id":156,"outcome":42,"size":157,"avg_price":158,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":159,"event_slug":160,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":162,"category":58},"106899334727388189233346868546767274703859157508867214846444023358515504143551","0xcd462181fc898582ae627d94d336c5992dd00942db5e40f1b64cc81fa2dfd1e8",140,0.84,"Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?","1-searched-person-on-google-this-year-20260717214320563","2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":164,"condition_id":165,"outcome":42,"size":166,"avg_price":167,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":168,"event_slug":74,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":169,"category":38},"53415545335311049592600985426165884517786615083964125692334135137671890334591","0x00e73abe9d05640d676d232d6f64682e66f74a6858865d2bca3fc5a6e9f9fa68",100,0.9287,"Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?","[\"0.066\", \"0.934\"]",{"token_id":171,"condition_id":172,"outcome":42,"size":166,"avg_price":173,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":176,"outcome_prices":177,"category":38},"48618267304325644910502379478548155879549811588351609787466752196387112100346","0x62b105464c3d3228587e8da7dc0e2877a4566d999a7bd04ff7b04066b73e5ba8",0.68,"Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?","next-uk-by-election-called-by-20260914","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.5\", \"0.5\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":42,"size":111,"avg_price":181,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":184,"category":38},"1866695229821909795321299492017203124655045093500207568743162324352894510180","0xcd953913ecd5bf5387092bf447fe13190871b2bc9436c85b0918b4767c3fa58a",0.199,"Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?","texas-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.794\", \"0.206\"]",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":42,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":190,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":56,"outcome_prices":191,"category":58},"56367280624524032679619498096188013267225682725320093881246189593329645703083","0xf32da8a1740a0d58ffdf87343afefb0bcca4b355cc88e2dba8fd78a88a5308d2",200.0042,0.2194,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?","[\"0.755\", \"0.245\"]",{"token_id":193,"condition_id":194,"outcome":29,"size":111,"avg_price":195,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":196,"event_slug":197,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":199,"category":200},"19801257871010915928461715426701726678695986988088749487395531360119171753647","0x5ddf1776820e1f001635f0a48c280bffdd5eb9b526313418aba590f2924ab5e6",0.14,"Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?","time-person-of-the-year-2026","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]","Culture",{"token_id":202,"condition_id":203,"outcome":29,"size":204,"avg_price":205,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":206,"event_slug":207,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":208,"outcome_prices":144,"category":58},"79495795431681582129252506442037682008967298289918879259367171889281318769417","0x78a522d5f622644a9552ed473aa10b57cb6d1b5304f0927580c3f84252f8f540",197.6834,0.18,"Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?","top-5-most-searched-people-on-google-2026","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":210,"condition_id":211,"outcome":42,"size":212,"avg_price":213,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":214,"question":215,"event_slug":216,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":217,"outcome_prices":218,"category":38},"49215287526824130571992557314204751594451133947838370065455446116972276858633","0xd31031e78b84de252be11f42cd17a50b9af4eee20f92d7d0165d6f9294e35e15",65.6198,0.5,"2026-10-10T16:19:39.237Z","Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?","brazil-presidential-election-second-round-margin-of-victory","2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","[\"0.485\", \"0.515\"]",{"token_id":220,"condition_id":221,"outcome":29,"size":222,"avg_price":223,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":226,"outcome_prices":153,"category":38},"110210799603195684143134608401358635507951585722965888628044184926795601014158","0x198b9e40e6d70e2b7c05e0b9a2500377c6e9953e282c457e4c65672578cdcd68",63,0.5199,"Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?","mississauga-mayoral-election-winner","2026-10-27T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":228,"condition_id":229,"outcome":42,"size":230,"avg_price":231,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":232,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":234,"category":38},"30088412391482363624377816393145245827324760089787001501690465830184683596344","0x01175ab5a40ea7f54b7b0a0aaf3574232e3374091e0bad5a0b9603741ae5d85b",400,0.08,"Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?","new-hampshire-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.9405\", \"0.0595\"]",{"token_id":236,"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"size":230,"avg_price":231,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":238,"event_slug":233,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":239,"category":38},"50014042446564445111498439180144732017863294969428914194102372141019045896702","0x4900fd99a53dc19621b3de761cdd75401fcd5733d785b9840275fe14ccd7d74c","Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?","[\"0.0605\", \"0.9395\"]",{"token_id":241,"condition_id":242,"outcome":42,"size":243,"avg_price":244,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":245,"event_slug":246,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":247,"category":38},"80537327958158345127661512239643708882557191207587019044513118457361729722093","0x453993e844c4e83ba38c146ab5309fbb4180ac337e5bbcdc1571f98c0ff061c2",31.32,0.8099,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%?","alabama-senate-margin-of-victory-2026","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":249,"condition_id":250,"outcome":29,"size":95,"avg_price":251,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":214,"question":252,"event_slug":253,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":152,"outcome_prices":254,"category":38},"89679274576913957866826708521874943247889602862058631422518032839391228465852","0x4208cbec7829f93723c3f02f8650a14dd8015b1486403287e658dc01cbd48ba5",0.05,"Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?","saudi-airspace-closed-byptptpt","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":256,"condition_id":257,"outcome":42,"size":258,"avg_price":259,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":260,"event_slug":261,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":161,"outcome_prices":262,"category":58},"10812391554409684058957802969533316679162814168222817144003606129698941068264","0x205bc75ca035634d71abd9231aa393926b2361f04f1a78c7480e0096ee1c920a",31.3,0.7943,"Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?","1-searched-person-on-google-in-the-us-2026-20260730192940","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":264,"condition_id":265,"outcome":29,"size":266,"avg_price":267,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":270,"outcome_prices":271,"category":38},"96459370811670786126734211788927519220910942757255465176009600889740363230698","0xf80da271c89ebfb4467377388a3f991024466565d92ba351ea7b19ffa55c702c",40,0.525,"Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?","georgia-lieutenant-governor-election-winner-2026","2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","[\"0.535\", \"0.465\"]",{"token_id":273,"condition_id":274,"outcome":42,"size":275,"avg_price":276,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":176,"outcome_prices":279,"category":38},"35202832347614998596395139936845061182546145858898290380539532058018847533709","0x3554eebd269d120f6287dbb0e4542e292a196aafb4e00803813080ff84ba5f2f",24.2,0.85,"Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?","how-many-uk-parliamentary-by-elections-in-2026-20260708164636512","[\"0.365\", \"0.635\"]",{"token_id":281,"condition_id":282,"outcome":29,"size":283,"avg_price":284,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":285,"event_slug":286,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":199,"category":38},"19487052203651431192481379552438807185630235920667385514559604134738032022407","0xdc23b5a54616abf57d7f89f57a29dbacc0d836ab6f3994f5533c8c41ba929ebb",73,0.2,"Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?","nc-09-house-election-winner",{"token_id":288,"condition_id":289,"outcome":42,"size":290,"avg_price":284,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":291,"event_slug":286,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":292,"category":38},"24959653607113340785506959156117592172741342295444505742946774150269950471104","0x31727e0e298757e552661f62733cc401c6066b80a7d2607d2ac56b729eb15a00",60,"Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?","[\"0.815\", \"0.185\"]",{"token_id":294,"condition_id":295,"outcome":29,"size":296,"avg_price":297,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":298,"event_slug":299,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":300,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"11791188671963715061769847963507383627084085802664396751811735656212591171731","0x54d7ba3ffc9c792dc814967e3a144e3002b82e406960971756a46200117b22e3",21.2242,0.55,"Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?","what-will-be-in-the-uk-budget-20260914","2026-10-29T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":302,"condition_id":303,"outcome":29,"size":304,"avg_price":284,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":305,"event_slug":183,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":306,"category":38},"48232987449750988261789196083999659380058157021032932634331257492238853387252","0x12b727031b38130d945b3e164386874360d9a32fdd7e3d00ed2adb13857e089b",57.41,"Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?","[\"0.21\", \"0.79\"]",{"token_id":308,"condition_id":309,"outcome":42,"size":310,"avg_price":223,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":311,"event_slug":269,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":270,"outcome_prices":153,"category":38},"88367585419066922251254833804003513543044007176180578241401683108474112296924","0x0840bfa5bec1b811b341795a823c093b85205f85c21ed47851d9789466edba49",21,"Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?",{"token_id":313,"condition_id":314,"outcome":42,"size":315,"avg_price":316,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":317,"event_slug":299,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":300,"outcome_prices":318,"category":38},"15151842302763023984218610590056392655527749719807585302540842691794278565426","0x42dce23e42d224abf244c542787ea40f1140df640355ea7fed3e1e0d39ab5830",12.82,0.54,"Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":320,"condition_id":321,"outcome":42,"size":322,"avg_price":323,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":324,"event_slug":325,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":326,"category":38},"58757590052289479996371632351141005979216013605386057994994985198930000872621","0x57599a84bf50c94b958adb020aa2a25bf02e26453e500d3b739d86e6b783774c",6.32,0.81,"Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?","new-hampshire-senate-election-winner","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":328,"condition_id":329,"outcome":29,"size":330,"avg_price":331,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":332,"question":333,"event_slug":334,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":335,"outcome_prices":336,"category":38},"7096166888327966243811396544854606771946352128513885963401994819079689910004","0x136a2773866c2d841b00652b7d99b026409c9a55db769c525ed450e04c653f23",2.11,0.71,"2026-07-07T08:54:11.725Z","Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?","who-will-bernie-endorse","2026-11-03T00:00:00Z","[\"0.195\", \"0.805\"]",{"token_id":338,"condition_id":339,"outcome":29,"size":340,"avg_price":341,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":342,"event_slug":197,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":198,"outcome_prices":343,"category":200},"7447086616240009244549196791097257101387909390912150910213412713825696964252","0x78dec188011aa0e913ad017a4e377f2f832ca63e14d2adefa5011c3dd3f78cb2",34.62,0.02,"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?","[\"0.0445\", \"0.9555\"]",[],[346,352,358,362,367,369,371,373,375,377,379,381,383,390,397],{"recorded_date":347,"roi":348,"win_rate":349,"brier_score":350,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":351,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-25",0.7357549927518338,0.6049382716049383,0.2417343760950287,81,{"recorded_date":353,"roi":354,"win_rate":355,"brier_score":356,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-03",0.7100346427386688,0.6190476190476191,0.23482957680803437,84,{"recorded_date":359,"roi":360,"win_rate":349,"brier_score":361,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":351,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-10",0.6693707146843969,0.2595851049842011,{"recorded_date":363,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-17",0.63605312363885,0.5833333333333334,0.2503289821871463,{"recorded_date":368,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-24",{"recorded_date":370,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-01",{"recorded_date":372,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-09",{"recorded_date":374,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-16",{"recorded_date":376,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-23",{"recorded_date":378,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-30",{"recorded_date":380,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-07",{"recorded_date":382,"roi":364,"win_rate":365,"brier_score":366,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-15",{"recorded_date":384,"roi":385,"win_rate":386,"brier_score":387,"p_value":388,"resolved_trades":389,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-16",0.3242951027891539,0.39723926380368096,0.19187163383336386,0.057399999999999896,652,{"recorded_date":391,"roi":392,"win_rate":393,"brier_score":394,"p_value":395,"resolved_trades":396,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-24",0.2734023772632148,0.41032608695652173,0.19944427778381926,0.08539999999999992,736,{"recorded_date":398,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-09",[400,410,419,427,434,441,448,454,460,467,474,481,487,494,501,507,514,521,529,535,541,547,553,556,562,565,572,578,584,592,598,605,611,618,624,629,636,639,645,651,658,661,666,672,677,684,687,693,696,703,709,716,723,728,734,741,747,752,757,764,766,773,779,785,791,795,802,807,810,814,819,822,828,834,840,846,852,858,861,868,873,880,882,887,894,898,904,909,917,923,925,931,937,939,944,949,955,960,966,971],{"condition_id":401,"outcome":42,"usdc":402,"entry_price":403,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":405,"captured_at":406,"question":407,"event_slug":408,"category":409},"0x0200743b501bb76457156e98736b1fd5f65835af8290c3354220773968f237b4",16.19369,0.445,"backfill","2026-07-04T23:59:00Z","2026-07-10T18:43:00.774Z","Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?","will-the-white-house-call-a-full-lid-by-630-pm-june-29-july-4-20260626160825412",null,{"condition_id":411,"outcome":29,"usdc":412,"entry_price":413,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":414,"captured_at":415,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"category":418},"0x053d22e12bfe8dd73b12fc1cf89858ecc0de76aede10fea3eca5c7877d8db40c",113.9217,0.06104376202290179,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","2026-09-16T21:14:48.820Z","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":420,"outcome":29,"usdc":421,"entry_price":422,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":424,"question":425,"event_slug":426,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",52,0.26,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","2026-06-25T22:49:00.656Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":428,"outcome":29,"usdc":429,"entry_price":430,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":431,"captured_at":415,"question":432,"event_slug":433,"category":38},"0x0efcc493f7e7578cd5808b29e08c2535dee61c2a1fe841696e76e7892b29cca8",40.202373,0.330000002,"2026-07-31T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by July 31, 2026?","starmer-out-in-2025",{"condition_id":435,"outcome":42,"usdc":436,"entry_price":437,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":415,"question":439,"event_slug":440,"category":409},"0x1121a02fc780ddeb79cf91cdf2fea0a7dc2a8eb91a8643e86a4a415ab519ab90",55.7048,0.557048,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?","houthis-successfully-target-shipping-byptptpt-20260708165455691",{"condition_id":442,"outcome":29,"usdc":443,"entry_price":444,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":415,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":38},"0x119db6dda44f109bcdc2ec5e1d9cb8c21fa1a7e66489f59b1190fdfb25c0d515",45,0.09,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?","miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30",{"condition_id":449,"outcome":29,"usdc":157,"entry_price":450,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":451,"captured_at":415,"question":452,"event_slug":453,"category":409},"0x124f07d29e0fbef1f36535f4f1ee289759ec8bca4a708c4934a557ff556cd05c",0.7,"2026-08-13T16:00:00Z","Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?","clacton-by-election-2nd-place-20260707214539733",{"condition_id":455,"outcome":29,"usdc":456,"entry_price":457,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":458,"event_slug":459,"category":38},"0x12d077c59535d29bd928c72ee499053d08fc7572d385efbfd470b36d851bfb77",0.87,0.029,"Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?","fetterman-out-before-2027",{"condition_id":461,"outcome":29,"usdc":462,"entry_price":463,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":464,"captured_at":415,"question":465,"event_slug":466,"category":38},"0x151b13b0d75a282ea864a2835963c0164c03e8fa3064c4d44026e3af5f2ff8d4",13,0.65,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z"," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-july-31",{"condition_id":468,"outcome":29,"usdc":469,"entry_price":470,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":471,"captured_at":415,"question":472,"event_slug":473,"category":38},"0x178b29c0bb3a1c482f37f42e2420a1aa686b960ef0004e9ed07d7f46581779c9",410.38743999999997,0.49446140090139085,"2026-07-01T17:00:00Z","Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196",{"condition_id":475,"outcome":29,"usdc":476,"entry_price":477,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":479,"event_slug":480,"category":38},"0x1893dffcf84e979cacec89915d12fd8973234d039b6b49783381336e5cf08c23",24.297470999999998,0.23301635750287733,"2026-10-08T23:59:00Z","Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-green-vote-share",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":42,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":152,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":38},"0x1cd4394bea2562e762292b7f0d959234cec8f409cde1550b1377d6b0b2bb4c0d",128.8,0.46,"EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?","eu-country-blames-russia-for-new-sabotage-attack-by",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":29,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":491,"captured_at":13,"question":492,"event_slug":493,"category":200},"0x1cf355875a99d67942b3f979ab54c83ae81c7825a626ef034172b2f1b12a1454",108.62627400000001,0.08602393469673038,"2026-10-08T03:59:00Z","Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?","jynxzi-ron-and-los-beat-minecraft-byptptpt",{"condition_id":495,"outcome":29,"usdc":496,"entry_price":497,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":424,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"category":58},"0x235693693a07f40782ff4a91d992a98a627d77a4cde305af3dd675eb982ec283",88.4461,0.2967093830722265,"","Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap",{"condition_id":502,"outcome":42,"usdc":503,"entry_price":297,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":505,"event_slug":506,"category":58},"0x23e52206ff8a49e4f097ac3b7f32826d930a0b6c76b7902a7858cf2183383c63",24.75,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?","openai-ipo-by",{"condition_id":508,"outcome":29,"usdc":509,"entry_price":510,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":415,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":409},"0x26a6c7e4a905dfc13f23c44a8e41d0b96ad60569ef49869c46c237dfd8f3c003",38.85,0.777,"2026-08-25T23:59:00Z","Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?","south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":29,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":415,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":38},"0x27182c8b13f2a6284754660cbb3c6350a04f7aa4afe04d24dad481947014d90d",48,0.16,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 7?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":42,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":525,"captured_at":526,"question":527,"event_slug":528,"category":409},"0x279a1fd37ea7bfcba179024ac625a62dd1f9b588dd5611e25412cb11106f728e",17.02795,0.1074856172,"2026-06-17T23:59:00Z","2026-09-24T19:41:33.498Z","Will Starmer say \"Thank\" 5+ times during the next PMQ?","what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20260610161904195",{"condition_id":530,"outcome":42,"usdc":531,"entry_price":532,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":414,"captured_at":415,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"category":38},"0x27a7a60a3605b0cc0f41f0f243e6be5f2a6144b0adf59fad803fbc1ca6eeb928",71.1,0.7900000000000001,"Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?","iran-x-oman-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-by-june-15",{"condition_id":536,"outcome":42,"usdc":537,"entry_price":538,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":539,"captured_at":424,"question":540,"event_slug":433,"category":38},"0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126",148,0.12333333333333334,"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","Starmer out by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":542,"outcome":29,"usdc":543,"entry_price":544,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":526,"question":545,"event_slug":546,"category":409},"0x2d3e31c441f2290135d0b96e5b91da2f962e42543dc9754638c50792bf16c8d3",66.54759,0.86,"Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?","claude-5-released-by",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":42,"usdc":549,"entry_price":550,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"category":38},"0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",707,0.441875,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":548,"outcome":29,"usdc":554,"entry_price":555,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"category":38},1259.2002400000001,0.15186226390809407,{"condition_id":557,"outcome":42,"usdc":558,"entry_price":559,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":415,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":418},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",192.49933000000001,0.7700000026782698,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june",{"condition_id":557,"outcome":29,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":415,"question":560,"event_slug":561,"category":418},660.6636900000001,0.07148260606126182,{"condition_id":566,"outcome":42,"usdc":567,"entry_price":568,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":569,"captured_at":526,"question":570,"event_slug":571,"category":409},"0x34bb3352de73d6bc5a2cc85a20da6c2554564a6c5e6073051ee0d53257ca7429",17.955,0.35,"2026-09-22T23:59:00Z","Will Trump say \"Germany\" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?","what-places-will-trump-mention-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly",{"condition_id":573,"outcome":29,"usdc":574,"entry_price":575,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":576,"captured_at":415,"question":577,"event_slug":426,"category":38},"0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537",17.76085,0.035000000148721615,"2026-06-07T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":579,"outcome":29,"usdc":580,"entry_price":581,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":415,"question":582,"event_slug":583,"category":38},"0x36c602dc7d805c2d1fc931724693fe512f43110414a0cd455a7d8173d8e5546e",12.95,0.74,"Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?","andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30",{"condition_id":585,"outcome":42,"usdc":586,"entry_price":587,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":588,"captured_at":424,"question":589,"event_slug":590,"category":591},"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868",180,0.3,"2026-07-01T04:00:00Z","MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025","Crypto",{"condition_id":593,"outcome":42,"usdc":594,"entry_price":595,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":596,"event_slug":597,"category":38},"0x37a12589c9dbd0aab651a17e0e9aeb4ed6e63a4bb9f7b4c267dfe70fefaca1cb",136.5714,0.3054545454545455,"Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?","when-will-trump-announce-a-new-white-house-press-secretary",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":29,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":415,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":409},"0x37eb55675e56c5afeb79224da9972c67dc4597fd749bb93db6f4e9f167258d04",55.5,0.20555555555555555,"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?","clacton-by-election-count-binface-vote-20260708142507718",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":29,"usdc":607,"entry_price":484,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":608,"captured_at":526,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":409},"0x38b97e1d7bef5bd01738621e67d750b74e35be6ddc2a0b17eb5e5a04672ca074",13.8,"2026-06-09T00:00:00Z","Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?","nv-02-republican-primary-winner",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":42,"usdc":613,"entry_price":614,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":615,"captured_at":415,"question":616,"event_slug":617,"category":418},"0x3a3becf905da80c4f5a7d886514120d52febd9635bf13522924888cd9da803f3",20.763788,0.08000000030780523,"2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963",{"condition_id":619,"outcome":29,"usdc":620,"entry_price":621,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":415,"question":622,"event_slug":623,"category":409},"0x3a7efefecf206ca4413906bb898069449ec420bad27b746282d73ce38a5ca258",103.69566,0.31948017844148446,"Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?","next-uk-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-in-2026-20260621005319178",{"condition_id":625,"outcome":42,"usdc":626,"entry_price":627,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":415,"question":628,"event_slug":623,"category":409},"0x3b99a9a67743ddb1e2b20e6aee44c7ece3004085b637ba758d54a2a4d3178501",343.873333,0.8600416860636655,"Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?",{"condition_id":630,"outcome":42,"usdc":631,"entry_price":632,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":633,"captured_at":13,"question":634,"event_slug":635,"category":38},"0x3ebfc39ef533f45e1ea4faa9b72715ff2251de8c86623de65e457aa8df4c8bf3",3.9,0.13,"2026-09-25T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":630,"outcome":29,"usdc":637,"entry_price":638,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":633,"captured_at":13,"question":634,"event_slug":635,"category":38},23.4,0.78,{"condition_id":640,"outcome":29,"usdc":641,"entry_price":642,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":38},"0x40958ab89153d908a4447a2da197a9c98b3f24d33416f0be1d20b1e8c8d427b4",1.15,0.23,"Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?","holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":29,"usdc":647,"entry_price":648,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":649,"captured_at":415,"question":650,"event_slug":552,"category":38},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",191.99889199999998,0.04800011409303463,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":42,"usdc":653,"entry_price":654,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":655,"captured_at":526,"question":656,"event_slug":657,"category":409},"0x42b633e7acfedf301c4eb85acefc7430f2e76825c1f3324a39a5582d7a26599b",746,0.504054054054054,"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",{"condition_id":652,"outcome":29,"usdc":659,"entry_price":660,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":655,"captured_at":526,"question":656,"event_slug":657,"category":409},1261.5654,0.4679223322577055,{"condition_id":662,"outcome":42,"usdc":663,"entry_price":96,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":415,"question":664,"event_slug":665,"category":409},"0x4435596b4a944b7e0063d3e5dc342f1ff5fa25011f14bc0cfaf9a46d2b61607f",232.41395,"Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?","next-uk-foreign-secretary-in-2026-20260622175251556",{"condition_id":667,"outcome":29,"usdc":668,"entry_price":669,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":415,"question":670,"event_slug":671,"category":38},"0x45bdbc00baf989a4b8a51c20ada82148e1e1a43a05ab8767f4fd145eae418d57",1120.888425,0.3188906770186264,"Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban",{"condition_id":673,"outcome":29,"usdc":674,"entry_price":632,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":414,"captured_at":415,"question":675,"event_slug":676,"category":418},"0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64",19.5,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",{"condition_id":678,"outcome":42,"usdc":679,"entry_price":680,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":681,"captured_at":424,"question":682,"event_slug":683,"category":38},"0x46dd571d8c32bd58dcc553ae6c2a1ae8dda6d1ec69943bc0f771ea5c35132ca5",21.1194,0.4260520476,"2026-06-18T03:59:00Z","Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?","us-iran-deal-text-released-byptptpt-20260615224044572",{"condition_id":678,"outcome":29,"usdc":685,"entry_price":686,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":681,"captured_at":424,"question":682,"event_slug":683,"category":38},105.75999999999999,0.29960339943342773,{"condition_id":688,"outcome":42,"usdc":689,"entry_price":690,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":691,"captured_at":415,"question":692,"event_slug":552,"category":38},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",502.51,0.503013013013013,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":688,"outcome":29,"usdc":694,"entry_price":695,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":691,"captured_at":415,"question":692,"event_slug":552,"category":38},1796.825813,0.23535968745856253,{"condition_id":697,"outcome":29,"usdc":698,"entry_price":699,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":700,"captured_at":415,"question":701,"event_slug":702,"category":409},"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805",318.66215800000003,0.04782446728215189,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":704,"outcome":42,"usdc":705,"entry_price":706,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":707,"event_slug":708,"category":38},"0x4e5b4a3c9ddcade7bf941ef28f17a67a6042e4e70be8a680aae5fed4c54d429a",5.842334,0.8500000145489951,"Will the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-labour-vote-share",{"condition_id":710,"outcome":29,"usdc":711,"entry_price":712,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":713,"captured_at":526,"question":714,"event_slug":715,"category":38},"0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64",2589.967034,0.852635037962465,"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election",{"condition_id":717,"outcome":29,"usdc":718,"entry_price":719,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":720,"captured_at":415,"question":721,"event_slug":722,"category":409},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",197.921666,0.23444416034149335,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":724,"outcome":42,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":615,"captured_at":13,"question":727,"event_slug":617,"category":418},"0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb",109.996847,0.11000000036938429,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?",{"condition_id":729,"outcome":42,"usdc":730,"entry_price":731,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":424,"question":732,"event_slug":733,"category":38},"0x52fa882beba7627c68eb13f5b917313a422fdfe3d3e75c3073d39f687b84a212",41.09178,0.822,"Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?","gustavo-petro-out-as-leader-of-colombia-by",{"condition_id":735,"outcome":29,"usdc":736,"entry_price":737,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":738,"captured_at":415,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"category":38},"0x545e1bf6ec42e0e8a776a3c3e11ed225f8d3dfcc74f98656e142f99a2b718383",45.3,0.151,"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":42,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":745,"event_slug":746,"category":38},"0x54c3223841eb96410a37fb072126d62036f86beb1ff12039147326e1eef6d07c",300.9802,0.89,"Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?","houthis-enter-aden-byptptpt",{"condition_id":748,"outcome":42,"usdc":749,"entry_price":127,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":750,"captured_at":415,"question":751,"event_slug":604,"category":409},"0x57386fa65bb2d5264e28c20dc9ee89240d5f30f7615c6010ff6eb22a3c50e1e3",107.0937,"2026-08-13T00:00:00Z","Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?",{"condition_id":753,"outcome":42,"usdc":754,"entry_price":755,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":756,"event_slug":480,"category":38},"0x57d4a54bd29a18f12a4e658a193ff49097dab46222b8d14740b2ea6732641c48",98.84639999999999,0.8115702479338844,"Will the Green Party candidate win less than 20% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":42,"usdc":759,"entry_price":760,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":761,"captured_at":415,"question":762,"event_slug":763,"category":409},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",12,0.06,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":758,"outcome":29,"usdc":765,"entry_price":581,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":761,"captured_at":415,"question":762,"event_slug":763,"category":409},740,{"condition_id":767,"outcome":42,"usdc":768,"entry_price":769,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":770,"question":771,"event_slug":772,"category":38},"0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606",233.997872,0.7800000020682005,"2026-07-03T10:46:51.664Z","Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117",{"condition_id":774,"outcome":29,"usdc":775,"entry_price":776,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":777,"captured_at":424,"question":778,"event_slug":409,"category":409},"0x5b675fe20d5b1a03fb03cf1a130054abff1eec563a9318ec80dc677b165ed49d",8.12986,0.770000054,"2026-06-19T00:00:00Z","Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?",{"condition_id":780,"outcome":29,"usdc":781,"entry_price":782,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":783,"captured_at":415,"question":784,"event_slug":552,"category":38},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",225.197828,0.1876662100579962,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":786,"outcome":29,"usdc":787,"entry_price":788,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":424,"question":789,"event_slug":790,"category":38},"0x5e5482b1e2afa7bed0b9a0c3c8ad33a83dd6cc6d649666cdf1977be64c42c82a",13.099255000000001,0.131000001279471,"Epstein suicide note released by May 8?","epstein-suicide-note-released-by",{"condition_id":792,"outcome":42,"usdc":793,"entry_price":587,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":431,"captured_at":415,"question":794,"event_slug":433,"category":38},"0x5fc7f19c45c179390eba1c6d43faed2fdcb2ff4b50e9b57655289c5a46107ef3",105,"Starmer out by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":796,"outcome":29,"usdc":797,"entry_price":798,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":799,"captured_at":415,"question":800,"event_slug":801,"category":418},"0x608b260059adb2315f3a649419ab8f684f0d741db319aae9c08f93fe2a268f31",27.8616,0.24,"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":42,"usdc":804,"entry_price":805,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":691,"captured_at":415,"question":806,"event_slug":702,"category":409},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",3808,0.8278260869565217,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?",{"condition_id":803,"outcome":29,"usdc":808,"entry_price":809,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":691,"captured_at":415,"question":806,"event_slug":702,"category":409},2522.359732,0.11516048266976259,{"condition_id":811,"outcome":29,"usdc":812,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":423,"captured_at":424,"question":813,"event_slug":426,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",160,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":42,"usdc":816,"entry_price":817,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":415,"question":818,"event_slug":763,"category":409},"0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3",702.9532,0.2691925218470211,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",{"condition_id":815,"outcome":29,"usdc":820,"entry_price":821,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":415,"question":818,"event_slug":763,"category":409},332,0.83,{"condition_id":823,"outcome":29,"usdc":824,"entry_price":825,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":761,"captured_at":415,"question":826,"event_slug":827,"category":409},"0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005",33.0363,0.2893099220743322,"Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":829,"outcome":29,"usdc":830,"entry_price":831,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":576,"captured_at":415,"question":832,"event_slug":833,"category":38},"0x65f5c4e3c6853a68fb50b59054dfe4c9e5ca5b705e04ed008185648334d1931d",30,0.1,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":835,"outcome":29,"usdc":836,"entry_price":463,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":837,"captured_at":424,"question":838,"event_slug":839,"category":58},"0x6619036865c2d27f1b1c00cd565ce74f6aa72ef93be29c315be36941d3559c59",195,"2027-12-31T00:00:00Z","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",{"condition_id":841,"outcome":42,"usdc":842,"entry_price":843,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":415,"question":844,"event_slug":845,"category":38},"0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c",679,0.424375,"Israel closes its airspace by June 30?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":847,"outcome":42,"usdc":848,"entry_price":849,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":445,"captured_at":424,"question":850,"event_slug":851,"category":418},"0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e",700,0.875,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":853,"outcome":42,"usdc":854,"entry_price":855,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":856,"captured_at":13,"question":857,"event_slug":635,"category":38},"0x690fafd3b7bb8b4919ccf0f219b0014b65334411a1076162e76353e76d7f9bec",125,0.08333333333333333,"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?",{"condition_id":853,"outcome":29,"usdc":859,"entry_price":860,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":856,"captured_at":13,"question":857,"event_slug":635,"category":38},182.2,0.7921739130434782,{"condition_id":862,"outcome":29,"usdc":863,"entry_price":864,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":865,"captured_at":424,"question":866,"event_slug":867,"category":418},"0x69691c4e7c23e6965eee45302f64f4907006b64334b01b1c76472140c8a7c74a",7.169552,0.0707260483504808,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?","avg-of-ships-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-end-of-june",{"condition_id":869,"outcome":29,"usdc":870,"entry_price":871,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":872,"event_slug":708,"category":38},"0x6a43a9e0f05d1dc8edc77d1026e5945380734324f5c4ee29d79f55d9ba9c4f4b",47.816599999999994,0.17796196360117608,"Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?",{"condition_id":874,"outcome":42,"usdc":875,"entry_price":876,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":877,"captured_at":13,"question":878,"event_slug":879,"category":38},"0x6c87d26d8335f9022867c166a299496b5ebf73035b1cc05d6e4452cbc8db4fe5",129.57931,0.7037920422,"2026-10-05T23:59:00Z","Will Marie-Josée Morency win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?","charlesbourg-quebec-national-assembly-election-winner",{"condition_id":874,"outcome":29,"usdc":881,"entry_price":422,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":877,"captured_at":13,"question":878,"event_slug":879,"category":38},48.18528,{"condition_id":883,"outcome":42,"usdc":884,"entry_price":885,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":176,"captured_at":415,"question":886,"event_slug":801,"category":418},"0x6f4f3632b4fbc10e7ba84009b5e582b7061a0f7d1df82cca29a02fbbdaf97186",17.997408,0.18000000181995698,"Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?",{"condition_id":888,"outcome":42,"usdc":889,"entry_price":890,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":891,"captured_at":415,"question":892,"event_slug":893,"category":38},"0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164",713,0.5484615384615384,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":895,"outcome":42,"usdc":896,"entry_price":821,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":511,"captured_at":415,"question":897,"event_slug":513,"category":409},"0x70831611831c0792bfb971d613ec2db2e06d59a234967b45f8302b3671b515cd",125.3466,"Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":29,"usdc":900,"entry_price":901,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":902,"captured_at":526,"question":903,"event_slug":552,"category":38},"0x71dd44fa5059fbed28a279172185d3623aa34ce86be1936281df26b5d1b87200",466.3066,0.09134114641995959,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":905,"outcome":29,"usdc":906,"entry_price":907,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":415,"question":908,"event_slug":623,"category":409},"0x7382655d7ff8ac1fb43073e5b6e8b1799db8d14d747f385610ba0815e5617fb8",230.02740899999998,0.49175151433259595,"Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?",{"condition_id":910,"outcome":42,"usdc":911,"entry_price":912,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":415,"question":914,"event_slug":915,"category":916},"0x73d8a8208d23a74937d114a713d6a56cd4161a1068056c52ac74c8419c99da7c",362.4793,0.699366275768907,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?","fed-rate-hike-by","Economy",{"condition_id":918,"outcome":42,"usdc":919,"entry_price":920,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":921,"event_slug":922,"category":418},"0x7536b93fc39af3e7ad5fe4badef6857bc545818dacd50230af00f3717a283fb9",33.6,0.56,"Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?","saudi-houthi-ceasefire-agreement-announced-by",{"condition_id":918,"outcome":29,"usdc":924,"entry_price":831,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":504,"captured_at":13,"question":921,"event_slug":922,"category":418},6,{"condition_id":926,"outcome":29,"usdc":927,"entry_price":928,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":498,"captured_at":415,"question":929,"event_slug":930,"category":38},"0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39",174.857142,0.720000001977941,"Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?","makerfield-by-election-winner",{"condition_id":932,"outcome":42,"usdc":933,"entry_price":450,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":934,"captured_at":13,"question":935,"event_slug":936,"category":38},"0x77e1e7a4ea64be7227720e18d814e61a3ceca000e58bfbd66d9d3ae5d7141f4b",14,"2026-09-14T03:59:00Z","Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?","next-regional-board-chair-of-skane-20260810083549929",{"condition_id":932,"outcome":29,"usdc":938,"entry_price":213,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":934,"captured_at":13,"question":935,"event_slug":936,"category":38},10,{"condition_id":940,"outcome":29,"usdc":941,"entry_price":942,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":943,"event_slug":480,"category":38},"0x7aa08c43c01c8f9c0fe7aa472d3a834acd11f8d127935561ff62e49ac890fad6",2.1259,0.07000000000000002,"Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?",{"condition_id":945,"outcome":29,"usdc":946,"entry_price":947,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":478,"captured_at":13,"question":948,"event_slug":644,"category":38},"0x7ac895163fdb1bf72cc4e36233de354f8e0e1f303e972122f13291929611b77c",138.858565,0.32273385013682027,"Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?",{"condition_id":950,"outcome":29,"usdc":951,"entry_price":952,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":415,"question":953,"event_slug":954,"category":418},"0x7e045734da5d2a0743da450cc5cff8e2c1e1298a9731f7fbadd7c13823c5c79c",241.297,0.5152175769739933,"China x Philippines military clash before 2027?","china-x-philippines-military-clash-before-2027",{"condition_id":956,"outcome":29,"usdc":957,"entry_price":284,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":208,"captured_at":415,"question":958,"event_slug":959,"category":409},"0x7fd825361769e490723ac8dba1478d29abe99572423b8faa8739aa958ef2cd7f",28.19011,"Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?","next-uk-home-secretary-in-2026-20260622184449063",{"condition_id":961,"outcome":42,"usdc":962,"entry_price":963,"won":17,"source":404,"end_date_iso":913,"captured_at":415,"question":964,"event_slug":965,"category":916},"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b",1032.3379019999998,0.4283322070510821,"Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",{"condition_id":967,"outcome":29,"usdc":968,"entry_price":112,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":969,"captured_at":415,"question":970,"event_slug":763,"category":409},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",272.68,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":972,"outcome":42,"usdc":973,"entry_price":974,"won":12,"source":404,"end_date_iso":975,"captured_at":13,"question":976,"event_slug":977,"category":38},"0x86e8073f727ffdefc271fe65be6c6f04112417f55db0bcb6df397c53ac2462c9",860.70331,0.709,"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-winner",{"total":979,"wins":980},196,97,[982,987,993,998,1002,1005,1007,1009],{"category":38,"n":983,"wins":984,"hitRate":985,"roi":986},106,51,0.4811320754716981,0.5616155568530226,{"category":988,"n":989,"wins":990,"hitRate":991,"roi":992},"Other",59,31,0.5254237288135594,-0.05721731421757198,{"category":418,"n":994,"wins":995,"hitRate":996,"roi":997},18,7,0.3888888888888889,-0.1455399916612102,{"category":58,"n":999,"wins":1000,"hitRate":120,"roi":1001},4,3,0.30343007970013164,{"category":200,"n":999,"wins":1003,"hitRate":213,"roi":1004},2,1.2836162825073034,{"category":916,"n":1003,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1006},-1,{"category":591,"n":1003,"wins":1003,"hitRate":12,"roi":1008},0.9375566155064078,{"category":1010,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1011},"Sports",0.0030090270812437314,{"generatedAt":1013},"2026-10-12T01:07:38.622Z"]