[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x8df92602ec9c454e8099d9dc4a3f0d21daa0468c":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":343,"history":344,"resolved":432,"resolvedSummary":1027,"specialization":1030,"meta":1059},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x8df92602ec9c454e8099d9dc4a3f0d21daa0468c",4761,2502,0.34332533972821744,0.06150608370048629,0.13261773483081887,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-23T20:04:23.920Z",61.28673887490057,1.7738450074515648,"2026-09-23T21:51:38.000Z",0,"market-winners",0.2823732083330929,0.06095213139512406,9431.307242005643,153339.42066500123,5.267947092024902,0.05726315789473684,[26,39,49,57,67,76,84,92,101,110,119,128,135,142,149,156,164,171,179,186,193,203,211,219,227,235,242,249,258,265,272,281,288,295,302,309,316,325,334],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"21478848146685542836170196002164978830837380902570323687337863795093723563347","0x3e80f6cc475d7940ce26db5ee997b28ee80c50170ce7aa8af2d104c947c8e5e3","Yes",2350.6034,0.1867,"2026-09-24T15:42:25.891Z","2026-09-24T00:30:23.276Z","Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":47,"category":48},"48104476277248651078025403001110186156043502055626284334477243629003399032624","0x713ab27f31c1d8080ea3b9c21c8a021609f8fcb7aad13a87b8b069265e7fdfda","No",685.5998,0.5863,"Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?","how-many-different-countries-will-the-us-strike-in-2026","[\"0.641\", \"0.359\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"18652479948917565296149340091675894865339012333173025944893512396354173886674","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",952.3855,0.2099,"Iran leadership change by December 31?","iran-leadership-change-by","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":64,"outcome_prices":65,"category":66},"69243025589281638063458030453913961745334795823499900749366077096152947693037","0x611494bf2b6433b40b485671beff12d0de8cda57bfe625072e251811a145935f",253.2437,0.6712,"Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?","next-fable-model-5pt2-released-byptptpt","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.58\", \"0.42\"]","Tech",{"token_id":68,"condition_id":69,"outcome":29,"size":70,"avg_price":71,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":72,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":75,"category":66},"2597454256106162638938909925221980549336338565028284046351545119532768296631","0x3ed45f3a62e0e18eecb74e607fe8258d61cde36426a5d464dc8a38999130094d",862.0031,0.174,"SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?","ssi-public-model-released-by-20260810094604188","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.62\", \"0.38\"]",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":81,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":83,"category":66},"27342816673370878863487181549205351223174888633970172409162037087435101712324","0x984507ad6eeca28684ebd6e0235283054df4384af2496bf8fb0462ed65692808",921.5016,0.141,"SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.16\", \"0.84\"]",{"token_id":85,"condition_id":86,"outcome":29,"size":87,"avg_price":88,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":91,"category":38},"16256817581852682535056260402161151761226188836712828144692776104914940304066","0x3e0845c4736ae232c57b347d05f6145650416dfd3adb0fa5d7ddd335c64a84ca",851.718,0.1392,"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","[\"0.1045\", \"0.8955\"]",{"token_id":93,"condition_id":94,"outcome":29,"size":95,"avg_price":96,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":97,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":100,"category":66},"99945367237282651582170436135559692880564302029678185644973298268465164447136","0x7beae3f4f7efa6f70994228e4f1b434fbeb3cfcb7f776b18149625235a79089d",364.1625,0.3157,"2026-09-24T08:50:38.130Z","Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?","next-claude-opus-model-text-arena-debut-20261231","[\"0.345\", \"0.655\"]",{"token_id":102,"condition_id":103,"outcome":29,"size":104,"avg_price":105,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":106,"question":107,"event_slug":108,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":109,"category":66},"24354146682501655190894648972385765682687775957821652982810241644620522882781","0x8cecff084b4d8d3c48633b49aaceaeb8db2f90bedfb92890e05688e9cdc07121",112.3595,0.8899,"2026-09-24T15:01:26.066Z","Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?","next-claude-haiku-released-byptptpt-20260701205353326","[\"0.88\", \"0.12\"]",{"token_id":111,"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"size":113,"avg_price":114,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":115,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":118,"category":66},"95838866293424458434357396721995284671601295594880858924284682662112626178910","0xd30e3b4e2d6bf4594f44ad982b55435c3add71d3622993b0dee67354defaf598",126.5822,0.7899,"2026-09-24T11:34:56.512Z","Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?","highest-openai-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723225144062","[\"0.895\", \"0.105\"]",{"token_id":120,"condition_id":121,"outcome":29,"size":122,"avg_price":123,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":124,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":127,"category":38},"90103249718343334756773580827701144244122903469501608441410963092372041632343","0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94",588.2352,0.1699,"2026-09-24T13:19:14.062Z","NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":29,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":133,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":134,"category":48},"84682483952240286264261959530718090485019241641164638981564612222069879382389","0x30a1d62f46f58d036cccd96b0e468ff3165e238cd3bef03441370ad3c1fd1b86",719.6017,0.1143,"Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?","[\"0.0235\", \"0.9765\"]",{"token_id":136,"condition_id":137,"outcome":29,"size":138,"avg_price":139,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":140,"event_slug":126,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":141,"category":38},"105031123790227090351610621121319179238510007553875150023320472711583933704999","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52",273.8095,0.2921,"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.315\", \"0.685\"]",{"token_id":143,"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"size":145,"avg_price":146,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":147,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":148,"category":66},"74007535794472247867316709782701367434879701500224882488628016236653874581701","0x0630fc3f77c2db5ecc473cf4f782e58143a16db6440e714805c8619aa8073a71",100,0.78,"Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.79\", \"0.21\"]",{"token_id":150,"condition_id":151,"outcome":29,"size":152,"avg_price":153,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":154,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":155,"category":48},"83709243548896147834018257536806470793694018836347842521025792293632537250727","0x5759fb62768738cda38232974fa399fd8bfbbe6c04d891a2c4cdb71731f8f692",196.7213,0.3049,"Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?","[\"0.3135\", \"0.6865\"]",{"token_id":157,"condition_id":158,"outcome":29,"size":159,"avg_price":160,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":163,"category":38},"59573580306448637210106211846184223086456880319167309095381061981348540313643","0x8011cff605bac25673a202332b678e823cd7d82abad9e9770db01ea625808229",791.6666,0.0757,"Will Russia invade another country in 2026?","will-russia-invade-another-country-in-2026","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":165,"condition_id":166,"outcome":29,"size":145,"avg_price":167,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":168,"event_slug":169,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":170,"category":48},"17119154060762939837303153532154744480893515299339917817378655626147529788480","0x0a26a2aeaee92f943b6a5649c4a096766f07675c6c710527fca730bd1e395797",0.56,"Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027","[\"0.0945\", \"0.9055\"]",{"token_id":172,"condition_id":173,"outcome":29,"size":174,"avg_price":175,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":176,"event_slug":177,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":178,"category":38},"70530382817944476125648239982318905983026944956853105853882601665630375614463","0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa",200.0013,0.26,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":180,"condition_id":181,"outcome":29,"size":182,"avg_price":183,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":184,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":185,"category":66},"81359276987033640207429274855703426211870139348256587620831355506192730948079","0x836e48e57d3baeb8770d375db6f53230bf62c38d534e6e1ccd7dcdcd00d804cc",287.6594,0.1738,"Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":29,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":97,"question":191,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":192,"category":66},"52779397163553704596176495880748717582046258740043381197599009929856450431421","0x1d0882c6d5aef7647c7ca1cdb2ad1fe9f85c8c078c688a9994d590e36853276b",84.7457,0.5899,"Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.575\", \"0.425\"]",{"token_id":194,"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"size":196,"avg_price":197,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":198,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":202,"category":66},"14665933826044668598628417965486222344112965532414111462458988627922152138169","0xadf826589a83573dbb33c5fcfcfac6fd3d472dfa4a0a0779cb9491dbcb8e9223",1343.036,0.0372,"2026-09-24T11:43:58.600Z","Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-october","2026-10-31T16:00:00Z","[\"0.026\", \"0.974\"]",{"token_id":204,"condition_id":205,"outcome":29,"size":206,"avg_price":207,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":198,"question":208,"event_slug":209,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":210,"category":66},"77951425699382598235964172376739000945106825170159101119343441731127768648619","0x260d06ba88b5ee78492b63b4224fe8029ecc74b0554e8b5e2f64eb574d3e5bd9",411.4,0.0972,"Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-october","[\"0.11\", \"0.89\"]",{"token_id":212,"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"size":214,"avg_price":215,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":218,"category":48},"96189502204227781235785567019151308983559978995662677899952915271147601680025","0x46477994c02fdd4f7be7eacc58d343457d80333d92e5c4ad9a3117274d0e5639",4506.25,0.0079,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",{"token_id":220,"condition_id":221,"outcome":42,"size":222,"avg_price":223,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":224,"event_slug":225,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":74,"outcome_prices":226,"category":66},"68396348946348137091826801962495751530326184412624183643914214639896975312779","0x0b1bc0f72af7f9f2ad2dd2aabd2c48d077c3ef87998b998ca55a8c71d47be41e",37.5,0.8,"Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?","next-openai-gpt-terra-5pt7-released-byptptpt","[\"0.29\", \"0.71\"]",{"token_id":228,"condition_id":229,"outcome":42,"size":230,"avg_price":231,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":232,"event_slug":225,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":233,"outcome_prices":234,"category":66},"69991569558780840854136625884900412539779593358594464806482507685610377547546","0xbdd7b4769f5d6ac2a9ef169fed0ed19662343e0bf17f26f66c8622cba2d3ef6c",37.037,0.8099,"Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.37\", \"0.63\"]",{"token_id":236,"condition_id":237,"outcome":29,"size":238,"avg_price":239,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"6864952799809055467898809005599649311761793957871577112130233791737369470118","0x13faa876e0bc41ff44bd250ed3745bd62d33763e727f2193d3dfb5e789008fce",272.7272,0.1099,"Iran coup attempt by December 31?","iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30",{"token_id":243,"condition_id":244,"outcome":29,"size":245,"avg_price":246,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":124,"question":247,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":248,"category":66},"111088620532234518037120406087772586039940496346205331791940213760503764823657","0x23858cc44dce48e23f754240a0a71595f38f5c66d9a0eaf612eb5a737ad1e66d",247.6987,0.0807,"Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.077\", \"0.923\"]",{"token_id":250,"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"size":252,"avg_price":253,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":254,"event_slug":255,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":256,"outcome_prices":257,"category":38},"12371044810334815945437204785566448598704969234268355196784616531601747425896","0x1e4ad3d340dbb9149ec6d2873bf6f519bddc1eb0f89665605fd90d226dd06b78",35.8712,0.5296,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by","2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.52\", \"0.48\"]",{"token_id":259,"condition_id":260,"outcome":29,"size":261,"avg_price":262,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":97,"question":263,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":264,"category":66},"98702525727507873090971630240388903632041189534811728534540010314099930030441","0x2b071ab38aad8c77a564168ea9d098df986c80d4642af4c002b300bd703c8163",18.0948,0.5526,"Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?","[\"0.415\", \"0.585\"]",{"token_id":266,"condition_id":267,"outcome":29,"size":268,"avg_price":269,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":115,"question":270,"event_slug":117,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":271,"category":66},"102427589039731409598005049803960085230544662913651611517928726170788662588995","0x70437415f632ad4e8fa21bb4b9c5ff28c1f31187b920630816fef00e8a5abf3d",20.4081,0.4899,"Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?","[\"0.375\", \"0.625\"]",{"token_id":273,"condition_id":274,"outcome":29,"size":275,"avg_price":276,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":277,"question":278,"event_slug":279,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":82,"outcome_prices":280,"category":66},"14506623286625476103715941260108448026116953711408036968603101855927813381094","0x13330d138078eba25f6748f0d416a742577a1595fcc44314dd8c2124f3ed2dfc",110.9645,0.0901,"2026-09-24T11:53:54.229Z","Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-september-20260716211946456","[\"0.079\", \"0.921\"]",{"token_id":282,"condition_id":283,"outcome":29,"size":284,"avg_price":285,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":286,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":287,"category":48},"88085357366525645352998752922712518792477856130579630158266191046118537936813","0xabb74975229f7e4fcd68de841df580bfb6b1fd6a43c3f2607612eed07b93f6b1",537.2495,0.0186,"Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",{"token_id":289,"condition_id":290,"outcome":29,"size":291,"avg_price":292,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":293,"event_slug":217,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":294,"category":48},"81143229469963573855078465101077700973718156690198435778028767625311344952083","0x261c26c492bc9452493b3e1c792f26b2e90ed7c1cd6f49f0cb7330b40145bde0",142.8571,0.0699,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":296,"condition_id":297,"outcome":29,"size":298,"avg_price":299,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":300,"event_slug":46,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":301,"category":48},"19654927123572531875802507114549363434641907749082536353389823651287703398838","0x4fa0dfa81109ade4f993b63f5ea4c9ee5e01ff546b7ddc9708d441ca691eb39a",133.3333,0.0614,"Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?","[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",{"token_id":303,"condition_id":304,"outcome":29,"size":305,"avg_price":306,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":307,"event_slug":200,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":201,"outcome_prices":308,"category":66},"12392051881879218823156179525702200729490695684251109124187686720873987356471","0x962465dcc3c36bee9631f0d0bf56d9ab9713f936287038962a44040c0dbd30ad",718.107,0.0097,"Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?","[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",{"token_id":310,"condition_id":311,"outcome":29,"size":312,"avg_price":313,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":97,"question":314,"event_slug":73,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":233,"outcome_prices":315,"category":66},"108202657143379989556949513081207982193974441873853037570634477621727617301219","0x20d50462d91b116f520dc67e93d12ce15291be4faf644d1ed63b141f6ec1503a",9.8387,0.6098,"SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":317,"condition_id":318,"outcome":29,"size":319,"avg_price":320,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":198,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":323,"outcome_prices":324,"category":66},"48064644016748051623863502303978953029188647675635554834116598068703884527741","0xbce02d9a6a2d4f0f9c61f636dab64ba93b60ce16a09dc34f6f82b2e1243142e0",646.8437,0.0077,"Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717143435868","2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":326,"condition_id":327,"outcome":29,"size":328,"avg_price":329,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":330,"event_slug":331,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":332,"outcome_prices":333,"category":48},"103408148456129918294100574453703878128086253445840166395566156561897651320477","0xee8e8843babff36eddb05528bcade4e110d07a6dfda2ce71aa86374a4d408b9f",11.1111,0.1799,"Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?","will-iran-target-saudi-arabia-byptptpt","2026-09-30T20:59:00Z","[\"0.0265\", \"0.9735\"]",{"token_id":335,"condition_id":336,"outcome":29,"size":337,"avg_price":338,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":339,"event_slug":340,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":341,"outcome_prices":342,"category":48},"93933627431532002514968810193191024181932079727276543084062068006935365748672","0x951088c48f392379dc9b8a3becaad7a939b5fd3124ec98dd167d859350f049fc",13.3333,0.1499,"Iran full airspace closure by September 30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","2027-01-26T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",[],[345,351,358,365,372,379,386,393,400,407,414,416,423,430],{"recorded_date":346,"roi":347,"win_rate":348,"brier_score":349,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":350,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-20",-0.5187710188866895,0.18875,0.07007991558773657,800,{"recorded_date":352,"roi":353,"win_rate":354,"brier_score":355,"p_value":356,"resolved_trades":357,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-06-27",-0.576236500677275,0.192,0.05776451229760677,0.02859999999999996,750,{"recorded_date":359,"roi":360,"win_rate":361,"brier_score":362,"p_value":363,"resolved_trades":364,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-04",-0.5620080188377633,0.19498607242339833,0.05569348595305257,0.13880000000000003,718,{"recorded_date":366,"roi":367,"win_rate":368,"brier_score":369,"p_value":370,"resolved_trades":371,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-11",-0.5420943776341729,0.19435736677115986,0.05354844129433098,0.44120000000000004,638,{"recorded_date":373,"roi":374,"win_rate":375,"brier_score":376,"p_value":377,"resolved_trades":378,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-18",-0.4460890394509517,0.2059800664451827,0.053367217888416224,0.984,602,{"recorded_date":380,"roi":381,"win_rate":382,"brier_score":383,"p_value":384,"resolved_trades":385,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-07-25",-0.462470733758825,0.21291448516579406,0.053112944290165595,0.8808,573,{"recorded_date":387,"roi":388,"win_rate":389,"brier_score":390,"p_value":391,"resolved_trades":392,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-02",-0.45867166899263934,0.2185792349726776,0.052309083096794905,0.5351999999999999,549,{"recorded_date":394,"roi":395,"win_rate":396,"brier_score":397,"p_value":398,"resolved_trades":399,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-10",-0.4526230187666727,0.21978021978021978,0.051989514522320854,0.44720000000000004,546,{"recorded_date":401,"roi":402,"win_rate":403,"brier_score":404,"p_value":405,"resolved_trades":406,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-17",-0.45664384191657326,0.2199630314232902,0.05093356456676204,0.4066000000000001,541,{"recorded_date":408,"roi":409,"win_rate":410,"brier_score":411,"p_value":412,"resolved_trades":413,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-24",-0.44883661680848547,0.2211895910780669,0.051213177714153936,0.401,538,{"recorded_date":415,"roi":409,"win_rate":410,"brier_score":411,"p_value":412,"resolved_trades":413,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-08-31",{"recorded_date":417,"roi":418,"win_rate":419,"brier_score":420,"p_value":421,"resolved_trades":422,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-08",-0.4265912241008945,0.22537878787878787,0.05208305107258788,0.34719999999999995,528,{"recorded_date":424,"roi":425,"win_rate":426,"brier_score":427,"p_value":428,"resolved_trades":429,"is_sharp":17,"is_profitable":17},"2026-09-16",-0.42382754732921635,0.22796934865900384,0.05260997115917853,0.3124,522,{"recorded_date":431,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-23",[433,442,450,458,465,470,477,480,486,493,500,506,513,520,527,534,540,545,553,559,566,572,577,583,590,593,598,605,611,617,624,630,633,639,645,650,655,661,667,673,678,684,689,695,701,706,713,720,723,728,734,741,748,753,760,766,770,776,782,787,793,800,806,812,819,824,827,832,837,842,849,855,860,865,872,879,885,891,897,903,908,915,919,927,931,938,944,951,956,959,965,969,976,982,988,994,1000,1007,1013,1020],{"condition_id":434,"outcome":29,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":439,"event_slug":440,"category":441},"0x004c15721e0d74126ee440e299b325f1874fe17f8792809486390c009b85dbd5",99.60000000000001,0.8300000000000001,"backfill","2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?","will-crude-oil-cl-hit-by-end-of-march",null,{"condition_id":443,"outcome":29,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":446,"captured_at":13,"question":447,"event_slug":448,"category":449},"0x0189df05ed7bf84d799213b01a79571e305c03b2ac5359cfbb3a323448ba20fa",9.999999,0.0149999985,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner","Sports",{"condition_id":451,"outcome":29,"usdc":452,"entry_price":453,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":454,"captured_at":455,"question":456,"event_slug":457,"category":441},"0x01ffd0acf0d6e42558a7cbd521efde937166a1bf09f3a2dfcdf36950c2dd3635",30,0.01,"2026-03-31","2026-06-20T04:37:25.004Z","US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?","us-escorts-commercial-ship-through-hormuz-by-march-31",{"condition_id":459,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":461,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":13,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"category":441},"0x02bd4b2a90dd24ce1a0e531c2e1394f8a87b6b94a480e182dc3880bc71672679",0.999999,0.3309997825,"2026-02-03T17:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?","bitcoin-above-on-february-3",{"condition_id":466,"outcome":29,"usdc":467,"entry_price":468,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":462,"captured_at":13,"question":469,"event_slug":464,"category":441},"0x032c3c805a52c5784480c904016e2c748906bdbc792e23a342101afdea0d248c",1.999998,0.020524370454313403,"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":42,"usdc":472,"entry_price":473,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":474,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":441},"0x03bc660a4df5faeaee8e66d0e7bc4f2200b543340b7f7a5c83bfa1fecafa9ead",11553.67898399999,0.09259972111487111,"","Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?","iran-strikes-israel-on",{"condition_id":471,"outcome":29,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":474,"captured_at":13,"question":475,"event_slug":476,"category":441},583.858498,0.864367675438374,{"condition_id":481,"outcome":29,"usdc":145,"entry_price":482,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":484,"event_slug":485,"category":441},"0x03ea417a6e1705498427bbe8fd89b922664db3020f196595d5c2a88826c7434c",0.0117348373,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?","uefa-champions-league-winner",{"condition_id":487,"outcome":42,"usdc":488,"entry_price":489,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":490,"captured_at":455,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"category":38},"0x0426ffe343ca645d75c92613a323ead7cf50cf3cc69d41ebcb02343b100af792",146,0.73,"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?","will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-may-28-2026",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":29,"usdc":495,"entry_price":496,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":497,"captured_at":13,"question":498,"event_slug":499,"category":441},"0x044f2bc7ad15a4f257818c06d52809f657225b33c5f383ba5f69148763284fae",9.999998,0.61535079,"2026-04-01T22:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Hormuz\" during Address to the Nation?","what-will-trump-say-during-address-to-the-nation-on-april-1",{"condition_id":501,"outcome":29,"usdc":502,"entry_price":503,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":13,"question":504,"event_slug":505,"category":449},"0x04b1198c2a888f4d162cc5eea844b2f67a80e684d37d8e75bbcde2fc2d06755b",99.999999,0.026036895,"Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?","will-bodo-glimt-win-the-202526-champions-league",{"condition_id":507,"outcome":29,"usdc":508,"entry_price":509,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":510,"captured_at":13,"question":511,"event_slug":512,"category":48},"0x053d22e12bfe8dd73b12fc1cf89858ecc0de76aede10fea3eca5c7877d8db40c",399.999999,0.11240812775455586,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":514,"outcome":29,"usdc":515,"entry_price":516,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":517,"captured_at":13,"question":518,"event_slug":519,"category":48},"0x0619980a29b1022ba9cbdcb7da731be0be8799ecf9ff2eb5c1ee9137235b0770",3.999999,0.7799999766,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":521,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":523,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":524,"captured_at":13,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"category":441},"0x0629d2ccc609b22b09f2a559967040379d2bb708663e181bc499eda9bec7c7bf",10,0.05000000000000001,"2026-03-20T00:00:00Z","Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?","epl-bou-mun-2026-03-20-mun",{"condition_id":528,"outcome":42,"usdc":529,"entry_price":530,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":455,"question":532,"event_slug":533,"category":441},"0x06a2f48e3e910df2f77041713db194e6d5fe1015fe73e81ee30022865189aa5e",33.233529,0.4900000041,"2026-05-20T00:00:00Z","Will Sister Sage die in \"The Boys: Season 5\"?","who-will-die-in-the-boys-season-5",{"condition_id":535,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":536,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":537,"captured_at":13,"question":538,"event_slug":539,"category":441},"0x082353628683ed95b8ee66faf6da7d9ed3b645274a8121b9214aca8d3aeee095",0.02,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?","avatar-fire-and-ash-total-domestic-gross-by-january-31",{"condition_id":541,"outcome":42,"usdc":542,"entry_price":543,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":455,"question":544,"event_slug":533,"category":441},"0x0849db1cc309b5a190182f9aba47d766072e37335f5439eda5729f9aecf1a25e",39.36625,0.55,"Will Ashley Barrett die in \"The Boys: Season 5\"?",{"condition_id":546,"outcome":547,"usdc":548,"entry_price":549,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":550,"captured_at":13,"question":551,"event_slug":552,"category":441},"0x0891e4792a016a079765dd25029639cd731f7dc0bde3d65d6002b2b19dae2777","Switzerland",310.59995599999996,0.2928559239553488,"2026-07-12T01:00:00Z","Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance","fifwc-arg-che-2026-07-11-more-markets",{"condition_id":554,"outcome":29,"usdc":555,"entry_price":556,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":517,"captured_at":13,"question":557,"event_slug":558,"category":48},"0x08b346f4580cbd59cc79416ab4fa00642b3737a04e822d85ef344dd7b0c4ee0a",874.199999,0.11557283522215907,"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?","hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king",{"condition_id":560,"outcome":42,"usdc":561,"entry_price":562,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":563,"captured_at":13,"question":564,"event_slug":565,"category":441},"0x092471f61558dabaf1ccac4444921db0c974a5734a0dcb55896be0eeff2fd775",199.999998,0.21108269035041208,"2026-03-08T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Jesus\" this week? (March 8)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-8",{"condition_id":567,"outcome":29,"usdc":568,"entry_price":569,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":537,"captured_at":13,"question":570,"event_slug":571,"category":441},"0x09cbe3e796661a1d820580145488ad2ccb9ad1e720efcd64b448bb77b97007c1",29.999999,0.0563018552,"US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":573,"outcome":29,"usdc":574,"entry_price":575,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":576,"event_slug":440,"category":441},"0x09e8f0db05570a5048fdccdae58a52c608aa6cf640ced2190dcbeb52ce52f491",9.9,0.033,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":29,"usdc":502,"entry_price":579,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":582,"category":441},"0x09eb95f347c8ca17d639371297175ed15f397c531e8ef13286382cda2a2595d1",0.3399999978,"2026-03-11T20:00:00Z","Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?","ucl-psg1-cfc1-2026-03-11",{"condition_id":584,"outcome":42,"usdc":585,"entry_price":586,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":587,"captured_at":13,"question":588,"event_slug":589,"category":441},"0x09f2c1563795ab7f72fbee56aa57afc23f319ee687b494d4c2b26c01d19729ce",15.995719999999999,0.620784497343914,"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z","Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?","how-many-times-will-the-us-strike-somalia-in-march",{"condition_id":584,"outcome":29,"usdc":591,"entry_price":592,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":587,"captured_at":13,"question":588,"event_slug":589,"category":441},30.909997000000004,0.20147117640122453,{"condition_id":594,"outcome":42,"usdc":595,"entry_price":596,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":455,"question":597,"event_slug":533,"category":441},"0x0a020b012a76611a5b91aea37c84204faac13ea836e432af8a5c7eb55376465d",31.392,0.5267114093959732,"Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in \"The Boys: Season 5\"?",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":29,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":603,"event_slug":604,"category":441},"0x0a1c5126237db906eb0ad0cef3742091cc0589a664dd628d7feee5c8cd6a1ac9",68,0.68,"2026-03-07T00:00:00Z","Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?","which-countries-will-iran-strike-in-march",{"condition_id":606,"outcome":42,"usdc":607,"entry_price":608,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":474,"captured_at":13,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"category":441},"0x0b029a30ea36c6d4393d94243938b2c4f4a221ad471f3553c8bc8f34e9b229e9",1.9999989999999999,0.0019438840696222402,"Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?","logan-pauls-psa-10-pokmon-illustrator-sale-price",{"condition_id":612,"outcome":29,"usdc":613,"entry_price":614,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":455,"question":615,"event_slug":616,"category":48},"0x0ceab60f9942ddccac459fb4a5ac5505e4757874e974e9fbf513ec782c587c5d",17,0.32,"Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?","gaza-flotilla-enters-israeli-waters-by-31",{"condition_id":618,"outcome":29,"usdc":619,"entry_price":620,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":621,"captured_at":13,"question":622,"event_slug":623,"category":441},"0x0cf809512818a77fa5e24d2dae493e719bce8b29874a6c5028c6f87ee3e89188",40,0.2,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?","iran-military-action-against-by-april-30",{"condition_id":625,"outcome":42,"usdc":145,"entry_price":626,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":455,"question":628,"event_slug":629,"category":441},"0x0d52ce82886ba5ed34d396999b2afbb193d22cf1c5f791b5b4efdf1a094f410c",0.0314618208,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":625,"outcome":29,"usdc":631,"entry_price":632,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":455,"question":628,"event_slug":629,"category":441},99.999993,0.8807521021,{"condition_id":634,"outcome":29,"usdc":145,"entry_price":635,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":636,"captured_at":13,"question":637,"event_slug":638,"category":441},"0x0e1a1094091ba8905a5d11222796cf94d3d6d055076f0088886bd2386e6f88b8",0.0148060409,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?","who-will-be-next-supreme-leader-of-iran-515",{"condition_id":640,"outcome":42,"usdc":641,"entry_price":642,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":455,"question":643,"event_slug":644,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",383.999999,0.6503225805669355,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":646,"outcome":29,"usdc":502,"entry_price":647,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":636,"captured_at":13,"question":648,"event_slug":649,"category":66},"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517",0.6181461782,"Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?","elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027",{"condition_id":651,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":652,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":636,"captured_at":13,"question":653,"event_slug":654,"category":441},"0x0f8bc18e4cddf9713cffe290e6192a25c6aa9cf1425ec4d70964b19f75580d3b",0.004,"Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?","next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-684",{"condition_id":656,"outcome":29,"usdc":657,"entry_price":658,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":659,"captured_at":13,"question":660,"event_slug":519,"category":48},"0x0fc2ddb048f5aa3a5f05f07c480591d7a41c546387588a6345627144171f9670",329.999996,0.8571834037955129,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?",{"condition_id":662,"outcome":29,"usdc":663,"entry_price":664,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":455,"question":665,"event_slug":666,"category":38},"0x10614339b310b66f52a38e53588937898935974ac452910154473cc4c353d072",168.499997,0.021084556473725535,"Iran closes its airspace by May 7?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":668,"outcome":29,"usdc":669,"entry_price":670,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":671,"captured_at":455,"question":672,"event_slug":217,"category":48},"0x10d4b55e87cd8df815a88de7a8eccdff77418d361285a540fbdc6505bb99a4a2",129.999999,0.02313458875668446,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?",{"condition_id":674,"outcome":42,"usdc":502,"entry_price":675,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":455,"question":676,"event_slug":677,"category":441},"0x1161c3b9969ad118659e604b2442c858bca0f76d1564e277178e5cf628dac974",0.4725665275,"Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?","israel-announces-suspension-of-lebanon-offensive-by",{"condition_id":679,"outcome":29,"usdc":680,"entry_price":681,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":455,"question":682,"event_slug":683,"category":38},"0x1167bc7dd9cf2ae83a22c2f4ca73e53d73dabffdb32922c5002e93b3fa5c5c7e",384.999991,0.845440226510827,"Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?","who-will-trump-speak-to-in-may",{"condition_id":685,"outcome":29,"usdc":686,"entry_price":687,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":688,"event_slug":582,"category":441},"0x1209cecae8cf9e969c3cb1e075e3b5e24745acff90d95bb7fa65223f26d5b4b4",214.499998,0.1305972873817933,"Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?",{"condition_id":690,"outcome":42,"usdc":502,"entry_price":691,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":692,"captured_at":455,"question":693,"event_slug":694,"category":441},"0x136f5a0c27a62cf9a2e40a4f48425e43d61b9571a53a2529372c0065f3218a73",0.0291005483,"2026-06-30","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by June 30?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":696,"outcome":29,"usdc":697,"entry_price":698,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":621,"captured_at":13,"question":699,"event_slug":700,"category":441},"0x138ca462eebcfa83191c3fc478c97c1164064e88bf70f7e62f12c8751631c970",139.999988,0.8378723506080913,"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?","will-jd-vance-talk-to-iranian-negotiators-by",{"condition_id":702,"outcome":29,"usdc":703,"entry_price":704,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":455,"question":705,"event_slug":666,"category":38},"0x1460e5fe8908d91054dc4ded8f66aff8fc4a188eca184681cc32f4d1148e729a",11,0.0018333333333333333,"Iran closes its airspace by May 6?",{"condition_id":707,"outcome":42,"usdc":708,"entry_price":709,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":710,"captured_at":455,"question":711,"event_slug":712,"category":441},"0x1480b819d03d4b6388d70e848b0384adf38c38d955cb783cdbcf6d4a436dee14",92,0.23,"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?","next-prime-minister-of-hungary",{"condition_id":714,"outcome":42,"usdc":715,"entry_price":716,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":717,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":719,"category":441},"0x149f0692f942225d3d29ea04e511307a17e3f6e4c1a55f52f220c8c543604a6d",1.759999,0.3169943658,"2026-01-31T18:30:00Z","Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?","si-hit-jan-2026",{"condition_id":714,"outcome":29,"usdc":721,"entry_price":722,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":717,"captured_at":13,"question":718,"event_slug":719,"category":441},47.889999,0.7369999984,{"condition_id":724,"outcome":29,"usdc":725,"entry_price":726,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":727,"event_slug":440,"category":441},"0x14aae19ed36c60c3c723b2a77427381e0f6796849a1bc87b55b7c7db7099559c",107.5,0.43,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?",{"condition_id":729,"outcome":29,"usdc":502,"entry_price":730,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":731,"captured_at":455,"question":732,"event_slug":733,"category":441},"0x1507c50c86fb307e4f1acd9d740b2be66d98773f90d161e94907d8ef2c5699b3",0.1299999989,"2026-04-21","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":735,"outcome":29,"usdc":736,"entry_price":737,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":738,"captured_at":13,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"category":441},"0x170e907f54cd05c3f181067798610feb95f590d5d4be2bdda699c83249e2666e",0.7,0.14,"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?","opinion-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":742,"outcome":29,"usdc":743,"entry_price":744,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":745,"captured_at":13,"question":746,"event_slug":747,"category":441},"0x172d18780181318b720dd490d9d162316a68e453b85ebf4ff74262f6bda50f89",102.339989,0.2199999985,"2026-07-07T16:00:00Z","Lionel Messi: 1+ goals","fifwc-arg-egy-2026-07-07-player-props",{"condition_id":749,"outcome":29,"usdc":750,"entry_price":751,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":517,"captured_at":455,"question":752,"event_slug":241,"category":38},"0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b",409.999298,0.1015929982187661,"Iran coup attempt by June 30?",{"condition_id":754,"outcome":29,"usdc":755,"entry_price":756,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":757,"captured_at":13,"question":758,"event_slug":759,"category":441},"0x187dfbbe905eee7cdeb4cdf7b54dbbf26d6f67e290d37ece947d2a01d99e8e3d",51.733038,0.0049925339706799205,"2026-03-29T00:00:00Z","Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? ","blast-open-rotterdam-2026-will-a-player-break-something-during-a-game",{"condition_id":761,"outcome":29,"usdc":762,"entry_price":763,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":13,"question":764,"event_slug":765,"category":38},"0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787",22.599999,0.09424442238849624,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":767,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":768,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":636,"captured_at":13,"question":769,"event_slug":654,"category":441},"0x1a2f5e3dbbed59eee2d3ff745b5877db93f55e798d04fe3f279f9bb3746918be",0.002,"Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?",{"condition_id":771,"outcome":29,"usdc":145,"entry_price":772,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":773,"captured_at":13,"question":774,"event_slug":775,"category":48},"0x1a8808d7a309a210b3e413331005c3d7e8cd27d2da4a4acd4ff04b4072d2ed81",0.05,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":777,"outcome":29,"usdc":778,"entry_price":779,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":710,"captured_at":13,"question":780,"event_slug":781,"category":441},"0x1b9019576465f6f498fa8d162bf04a933f18bc77e539ef7241cf956d254c1173",6,0.0494310486,"Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-april-8-12",{"condition_id":783,"outcome":29,"usdc":784,"entry_price":785,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":537,"captured_at":13,"question":786,"event_slug":571,"category":441},"0x1b9cfd142b849edf7a886364d9821f7e8049cf7648e97c73f05e68827f516e2e",6.999998,0.029669716797347652,"US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?",{"condition_id":788,"outcome":29,"usdc":789,"entry_price":790,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":455,"question":791,"event_slug":792,"category":38},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",178.999998,0.11084328950848536,"Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":794,"outcome":29,"usdc":795,"entry_price":796,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":797,"captured_at":455,"question":798,"event_slug":799,"category":441},"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd",577.999998,0.13756419672838446,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-extended-by",{"condition_id":801,"outcome":42,"usdc":802,"entry_price":803,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":804,"captured_at":455,"question":805,"event_slug":644,"category":38},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",533.419988,0.7784835626295037,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":807,"outcome":42,"usdc":12,"entry_price":808,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":809,"captured_at":13,"question":810,"event_slug":811,"category":441},"0x1dbe370933194e449ebec13b96fd1f5d2fde064c880d6b8db100f2730c50357c",0.16,"2026-03-10T00:00:00Z","Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?","usisrael-strikes-iran-on",{"condition_id":813,"outcome":42,"usdc":814,"entry_price":815,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":816,"captured_at":13,"question":817,"event_slug":818,"category":441},"0x1eeb910620bfa52c348ca5b166c33230a0b142bec858d4fa46df18aeecbcecc0",243.998209,0.08714278993211484,"2026-05-23T00:00:00Z","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":820,"outcome":42,"usdc":502,"entry_price":821,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":441},"0x1f546c61f76950614e91a9552bb63df94f1ef3fb6f00c02abe19c9069a4b50d3",0.0928539218,"Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?","will-trump-talk-to-mohammed-bin-salman-in-march-915",{"condition_id":820,"outcome":29,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":822,"event_slug":823,"category":441},350.41999799999996,0.16459294839252198,{"condition_id":828,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":829,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":621,"captured_at":455,"question":830,"event_slug":831,"category":38},"0x1fd35292d98ac866ae22c1de9023be1eca3eea18cba50980b40dc0fbf750aa3d",0.003,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":833,"outcome":29,"usdc":834,"entry_price":835,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":474,"captured_at":13,"question":836,"event_slug":610,"category":441},"0x203e95f71b02303e25857ba137d53d5a475f2a27c208b5ae0a7f7f702ae2d0ac",110.39999900000001,0.49302564090781187,"Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?",{"condition_id":838,"outcome":29,"usdc":839,"entry_price":840,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":531,"captured_at":455,"question":841,"event_slug":533,"category":441},"0x206138f391fab114f9e279e5e940ba82b514bdac6b3ada364295e136621a3ba1",129.091746,0.7172200214574354,"Will The Deep die in \"The Boys: Season 5\"?",{"condition_id":843,"outcome":29,"usdc":844,"entry_price":845,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":847,"event_slug":848,"category":441},"0x20fac1c925b7a2fed6b3b2736f47a800b4d0d4001b9deaeb7b918868eb63d081",20.766227999999998,0.22732618820344133,"2026-07-14T19:00:00Z","Will France win on 2026-07-14?","fifwc-fra-esp-2026-07-14",{"condition_id":850,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":851,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":853,"event_slug":854,"category":441},"0x212388942325039f43f010e867da2df9bd0ff463e7a79ab6b2270cf026befa80",0.059999946,"2026-02-05T17:00:00Z","Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?","bitcoin-above-on-february-5",{"condition_id":856,"outcome":29,"usdc":857,"entry_price":858,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":455,"question":859,"event_slug":666,"category":38},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",2434.597802,0.14061206828554743,"Iran closes its airspace by May 8?",{"condition_id":861,"outcome":42,"usdc":862,"entry_price":863,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":455,"question":864,"event_slug":694,"category":441},"0x23408daff185f6c89d91bd279ce97142c573454277d72ae882a9d9fd1ae79af4",130,0.01119931002781962,"Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by December 31?",{"condition_id":866,"outcome":29,"usdc":867,"entry_price":868,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":869,"captured_at":13,"question":870,"event_slug":871,"category":38},"0x2358809f9f612f8fb4f224b342ba2841ca644a6e3c46adb4c3bcee910cc31632",979.3256860000001,0.40591053033115343,"2026-06-30T16:00:00Z","Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?","will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-june-30",{"condition_id":873,"outcome":29,"usdc":874,"entry_price":875,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":876,"captured_at":13,"question":877,"event_slug":878,"category":48},"0x23591cceaef52994b5cc694e439eb68e205ed068b2d3902b94b223c312cce8e2",7.999999,0.0471608898787826,"2026-06-01T00:00:00Z","Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-week-of-may-25",{"condition_id":880,"outcome":29,"usdc":881,"entry_price":882,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":580,"captured_at":13,"question":883,"event_slug":884,"category":441},"0x24ec942a07b3f6c8c471a4065e5336e9966ec2708e8b7750b828b5b7e6356394",109.999999,0.050699055078382994,"Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?","ucl-rma1-mnc1-2026-03-11",{"condition_id":886,"outcome":29,"usdc":887,"entry_price":888,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":483,"captured_at":455,"question":889,"event_slug":890,"category":48},"0x250716ecd25235530ba4dbd1fa0acf6ab92ab05cf5347e25fc86c4384ef1cecb",279.999997,0.3347772723524735,"Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?","israel-strike-on-yemen-by-593",{"condition_id":892,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":893,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":894,"captured_at":13,"question":895,"event_slug":896,"category":441},"0x25aa90b3cd98305e849189b4e8b770fc77fe89bccb7cf9656468414e01145d38",0.016,"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-march-885",{"condition_id":898,"outcome":29,"usdc":899,"entry_price":900,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":13,"question":901,"event_slug":902,"category":38},"0x27182c8b13f2a6284754660cbb3c6350a04f7aa4afe04d24dad481947014d90d",326.984652,0.2180005487098055,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 7?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":904,"outcome":42,"usdc":905,"entry_price":906,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":627,"captured_at":13,"question":907,"event_slug":765,"category":38},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",55,0.18333333333333332,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?",{"condition_id":909,"outcome":29,"usdc":910,"entry_price":911,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":912,"captured_at":13,"question":913,"event_slug":914,"category":441},"0x2abb2c5d2a65365c4107904c4d7e04b6eef9cfc6875658bf3327c589cfd20589",20.545989,0.089999996,"2026-07-02T19:00:00Z","Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?","fifwc-esp-aut-2026-07-02",{"condition_id":916,"outcome":29,"usdc":460,"entry_price":917,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":918,"event_slug":854,"category":441},"0x2b5482384ab52989b8b3c6ad05745e7f553587f4d34be713c78842ed56d0ed67",0.1359998858,"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?",{"condition_id":920,"outcome":921,"usdc":922,"entry_price":923,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":924,"captured_at":13,"question":925,"event_slug":926,"category":441},"0x2b5735109e332972c14d953e8ae316a6ed7a75ef7767f526c4d8198c7b605b21","76ers",4.45,0.89,"2026-02-23T00:00:00Z","Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)","nba-phi-min-2026-02-22",{"condition_id":920,"outcome":928,"usdc":929,"entry_price":930,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":924,"captured_at":13,"question":925,"event_slug":926,"category":441},"Timberwolves",1.099999,0.2099998587,{"condition_id":932,"outcome":29,"usdc":933,"entry_price":934,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":935,"captured_at":13,"question":936,"event_slug":937,"category":441},"0x2baed9d4160afbaf16209d5e2d309393904cd4815b1db17c27630bb34637cd13",10.496529,0.0069311659,"2026-05-16T00:00:00Z","Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?","eurovision-winner-2026",{"condition_id":939,"outcome":29,"usdc":940,"entry_price":941,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":942,"event_slug":943,"category":441},"0x2bf00b32904490187b5264f74146a2a02db4fd0bb1eeec03bfec2098a25cd115",10.490489,0.0189999981,"Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?","fifwc-fra-esp-2026-07-14-exact-score",{"condition_id":945,"outcome":29,"usdc":946,"entry_price":947,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":948,"captured_at":13,"question":949,"event_slug":950,"category":441},"0x2c37e07b722442c2381fac76f8564d580660aa028066e08bad1b32bd11813e9d",308.174967,0.41837461118372654,"2026-07-10T19:00:00Z","Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?","fifwc-esp-bel-2026-07-10",{"condition_id":952,"outcome":42,"usdc":953,"entry_price":954,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":955,"event_slug":604,"category":441},"0x2cb096be1ef4c94e4286b318eb660c61983faa47e88017d241d3967d1bd59ce5",99.999998,0.5590683104,"Will Iran strike UAE again in March?",{"condition_id":952,"outcome":29,"usdc":957,"entry_price":958,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":602,"captured_at":13,"question":955,"event_slug":604,"category":441},122.955062,0.6154638447894301,{"condition_id":960,"outcome":29,"usdc":502,"entry_price":961,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":962,"captured_at":455,"question":963,"event_slug":964,"category":441},"0x2d859e9b62672ab0e90238495c1799f37759f8a2e96b67e240ddbf679428e7c8",0.0313418479,"2026-04-15","Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?","will-another-country-conduct-military-action-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":966,"outcome":29,"usdc":522,"entry_price":967,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":968,"event_slug":440,"category":441},"0x2d8be7926a1a23fafa01e8e0e558d2add531e8fbf6efc4b7187f98de0944fd1d",0.08,"Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?",{"condition_id":970,"outcome":29,"usdc":971,"entry_price":972,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":973,"captured_at":13,"question":974,"event_slug":975,"category":441},"0x2e150ddea5674a8cf543f90a9bf1c3552aa9c3f784d82d24e21a522a391534fb",20,0.0877805487,"2026-03-01T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-february-2026",{"condition_id":977,"outcome":29,"usdc":978,"entry_price":979,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":980,"captured_at":455,"question":981,"event_slug":55,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",267.999998,0.1574136219619462,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?",{"condition_id":983,"outcome":29,"usdc":984,"entry_price":985,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":438,"captured_at":13,"question":986,"event_slug":987,"category":441},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",475.469996,0.09557793959368092,"US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-march-31-222-191-243-517-878-439-519",{"condition_id":989,"outcome":29,"usdc":990,"entry_price":991,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":992,"captured_at":13,"question":993,"event_slug":831,"category":38},"0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82",299.999989,0.8704417809209917,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":995,"outcome":42,"usdc":996,"entry_price":997,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":710,"captured_at":13,"question":998,"event_slug":999,"category":441},"0x30a5bc9701d7a29237f05fd6a76678d139413124a12092b7d1c334926f7a5425",213.2,0.8199999999999998,"Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?","how-many-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-this-week-apr-6-12",{"condition_id":1001,"outcome":29,"usdc":1002,"entry_price":1003,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":1004,"captured_at":13,"question":1005,"event_slug":1006,"category":441},"0x30a892ea01a40602dd58029243f165a97ce22dbfeabf427f86d705ae650fad4b",1347.569999,0.2128526753007669,"2026-03-01T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 14?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":1008,"outcome":29,"usdc":12,"entry_price":1009,"won":12,"source":437,"end_date_iso":1010,"captured_at":13,"question":1011,"event_slug":1012,"category":441},"0x30c6252a4587a5aecdbaedfe7cc3c491f342acecba69a854fb9a283f5c06ee39",0.0128775347,"2026-02-09T05:00:00Z","Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?","what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-february-2-8",{"condition_id":1014,"outcome":29,"usdc":1015,"entry_price":1016,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":1017,"captured_at":13,"question":1018,"event_slug":1019,"category":441},"0x30d3462f2447a70222adcac5c4401135ac5cdc3509c98ef0640138f49f2a9cb7",174.606898,0.06236897209376305,"2026-07-06T19:00:00Z","Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?","fifwc-prt-esp-2026-07-06-exact-score",{"condition_id":1021,"outcome":29,"usdc":1022,"entry_price":1023,"won":17,"source":437,"end_date_iso":1024,"captured_at":13,"question":1025,"event_slug":1026,"category":38},"0x31327c6fbdc70a44d97f8e8973f536b6a748e01b4c0ca5549ed0910c703b1d7b",11.999998000000001,0.07199998871199999,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",{"total":1028,"wins":1029},508,158,[1031,1037,1042,1047,1052,1056],{"category":1032,"n":1033,"wins":1034,"hitRate":1035,"roi":1036},"Other",362,113,0.31215469613259667,0.3148765140537524,{"category":38,"n":1038,"wins":1039,"hitRate":1040,"roi":1041},89,32,0.3595505617977528,-0.2943025442197836,{"category":48,"n":1043,"wins":1044,"hitRate":1045,"roi":1046},33,7,0.21212121212121213,-0.4259824232387953,{"category":449,"n":1048,"wins":1049,"hitRate":1050,"roi":1051},19,3,0.15789473684210525,-0.7554062095892234,{"category":66,"n":1053,"wins":1049,"hitRate":1054,"roi":1055},4,0.75,0.5695696788098187,{"category":1057,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":1058},"Crypto",-1,{"generatedAt":1060},"2026-09-24T15:56:04.920Z"]