[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790":3},{"stats":4,"positions":24,"signals":674,"history":675,"resolved":759,"resolvedSummary":1298,"specialization":1301,"meta":1324},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":12,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790",10082,4330,0.47321016166281754,0.17465016456559138,0.2207058254511887,0.0020000000000000018,0,"2026-09-25T19:41:58.738Z",1,245.38814858175544,2.2003491924923613,"2026-09-25T20:32:29.000Z","trades",0.40846661393842704,0.0647435477243883,185571.1587046398,1062530.683359001,6.47435477243883,[25,38,46,56,65,74,83,91,99,107,115,123,131,139,147,154,161,169,178,186,195,203,210,217,225,233,243,250,257,265,272,279,288,296,304,313,321,329,336,344,352,360,368,376,384,392,400,408,416,423,430,438,445,454,462,469,477,485,493,503,511,519,526,533,541,549,557,565,573,581,589,597,605,611,620,627,634,642,650,658,665],{"token_id":26,"condition_id":27,"outcome":28,"size":29,"avg_price":30,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"5697221075711858699852624943573291720358422810802415883854283024034226588211","0x8bdeac60c92d3bc494792fd334ca181b0cf70355f23dca4098d558280b554c81","No",83352.8212,0.8257,"2026-09-26T01:03:58.966Z","2026-09-25T21:02:47.110Z","Iran Nuke before 2027?","iran-nuke-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.043\", \"0.957\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":28,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",76437.4352,0.8262,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":47,"condition_id":48,"outcome":49,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":55,"category":37},"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb","Yes",50747.7775,0.7733,"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.872\", \"0.128\"]",{"token_id":57,"condition_id":58,"outcome":28,"size":59,"avg_price":60,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":61,"event_slug":62,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":63,"outcome_prices":64,"category":37},"16507531654323613440839711226389584097745237130431039493320761537250304112351","0x0ac2141f45ac7ecb8477c64207db37f8f8efce800cbf705366771902e796e92a",24048.7051,0.8098,"US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?","us-recognizes-reza-pahlavi-as-leader-of-iran-in2026","2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","[\"0.0415\", \"0.9585\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":28,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":72,"category":73},"97107770187587683506815626974888163324622836988014033022064807674186740440043","0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d",19999.9828,0.9399,"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?","will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30","[\"0.0385\", \"0.9615\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":75,"condition_id":76,"outcome":28,"size":77,"avg_price":78,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":79,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":82,"category":37},"56465933220082022835700817063946174635909725507734416248556389304448520396318","0x30174f3f46398e37c96a07b45916e01eab9a8a854ecb624ac73a91a8490fd074",17468.1526,0.9096,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":84,"condition_id":85,"outcome":28,"size":86,"avg_price":87,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":88,"event_slug":89,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":90,"category":37},"73810911392275096681812732914789906791232813410225649997085568580577931343365","0x3e0845c4736ae232c57b347d05f6145650416dfd3adb0fa5d7ddd335c64a84ca",18337.702,0.8433,"Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?","will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027","[\"0.1045\", \"0.8955\"]",{"token_id":92,"condition_id":93,"outcome":28,"size":94,"avg_price":95,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":96,"event_slug":97,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":98,"category":37},"87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208","0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d",17273.3128,0.8746,"Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?","putin-out-before-2027","[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]",{"token_id":100,"condition_id":101,"outcome":28,"size":102,"avg_price":103,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":104,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":105,"outcome_prices":106,"category":37},"77737603049704371401985143030203551130624520784925815473217168646825527075459","0xcee04ba47d02f6c64642369b34193c355f64de1b9ae425c71ea4efef1989d271",20240.63,0.651,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.245\", \"0.755\"]",{"token_id":108,"condition_id":109,"outcome":28,"size":110,"avg_price":111,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":112,"event_slug":113,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":114,"category":37},"48727431314333088243693016929623363710488980152833544156961659445129455301311","0x5c79dfde05559b79a9cb9f7c4187e4d49632dd042572ae676952f812732591cc",15914.2272,0.7505,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31","[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",{"token_id":116,"condition_id":117,"outcome":28,"size":118,"avg_price":119,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":120,"event_slug":121,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":122,"category":37},"45379554986085871584947058416771977376718772776823210930085949823850591101312","0x48b6208c56c2bac5c29f4c91e951c2c17d706b38168d0487860e449a0bffb01a",14173.3839,0.7328,"Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?","will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027","[\"0.0905\", \"0.9095\"]",{"token_id":124,"condition_id":125,"outcome":28,"size":126,"avg_price":127,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":128,"event_slug":129,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":130,"category":73},"50488227317031565004575684525878022626020008256198844799050708993499540064859","0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584",11249.9106,0.8133,"China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?","china-x-taiwan-military-clash-before-2027","[\"0.057\", \"0.943\"]",{"token_id":132,"condition_id":133,"outcome":28,"size":134,"avg_price":135,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":136,"event_slug":137,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":138,"category":37},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",10000.1173,0.8553,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.165\", \"0.835\"]",{"token_id":140,"condition_id":141,"outcome":28,"size":142,"avg_price":143,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":144,"event_slug":145,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":146,"category":73},"10568148639931441696604896077128666249925543664082012001813360799841064983012","0xe34a08b2a8d0f9e5033dc1bc1ee153509e414196c3e8044d5e99b64b974eeea6",9722.4302,0.8511,"Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?","israel-x-turkey-military-clash-before-2027","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":148,"condition_id":149,"outcome":28,"size":150,"avg_price":151,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":152,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":153,"outcome_prices":146,"category":37},"31187265469632759819393766291567751905226119108990371376517456149152650382781","0x1674c7a654ad25b68e9df7ac71e3711ecc5c86bde2063ceb8be586ea9c44f028",9000,0.7962,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?","2026-10-16T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":155,"condition_id":156,"outcome":28,"size":157,"avg_price":158,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":159,"event_slug":160,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"12933385462445051219548039807631278921517469211617755773732773415883384410827","0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f",8649.142,0.754,"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?","us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by",{"token_id":162,"condition_id":163,"outcome":28,"size":164,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":166,"event_slug":167,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":168,"category":73},"70302389330761342986534124864018640911052670159776653385931918385054411561668","0xb1fec6bb77b9c51ff26cbcbf2e1ec9cf57198f36c0c62dacf247530fa01a362b",6851.05,0.93,"US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?","us-announces-withdrawal-from-al-udeid-air-base-by-sep-30-20260626182408440","[\"0.0105\", \"0.9895\"]",{"token_id":170,"condition_id":171,"outcome":28,"size":172,"avg_price":173,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":174,"event_slug":175,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":176,"outcome_prices":177,"category":37},"74076568846866714142503847026760702713555643778038790220454009063912340064073","0x84c625fdccf5c5246a15e476361e4563033906ee225800e1136c0d737596a72f",7330.37,0.8536,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by","2024-11-28T04:59:00Z","[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",{"token_id":179,"condition_id":180,"outcome":28,"size":181,"avg_price":182,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":183,"event_slug":184,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":185,"category":73},"114077881433235976012027723972687839770033056296079907449977117179794878950358","0xe85cac63bc745dbdee8c9523fb87dd25658b678efb266eb3e91a44d1b558c205",7674.9763,0.7942,"Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?","israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":187,"condition_id":188,"outcome":49,"size":189,"avg_price":190,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":191,"event_slug":192,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":193,"outcome_prices":194,"category":37},"18108354744468601294025853601030425188395211927926870885542758981304523217919","0x690fafd3b7bb8b4919ccf0f219b0014b65334411a1076162e76353e76d7f9bec",7858.4021,0.775,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]",{"token_id":196,"condition_id":197,"outcome":28,"size":198,"avg_price":199,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":200,"event_slug":201,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":202,"category":73},"63409286016973577903012142269621228305682014726736632772295861872995350316136","0x95783b62c693ea42d8613482a625828fc14a288e8e8440b974c54d42f4ffd04b",6964.3832,0.8625,"Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?","israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":204,"condition_id":205,"outcome":28,"size":206,"avg_price":207,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":208,"event_slug":209,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":185,"category":37},"31623217819038603813783350826187730431369952540273671534916386825104775476271","0x794fbb668b14dacd636ff47a39e2294148420577e38278e11adf14655ad6cfe0",6478.3213,0.868,"Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?","will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027",{"token_id":211,"condition_id":212,"outcome":28,"size":213,"avg_price":214,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":215,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":216,"category":37},"39147524522707536456910747992621671433032838141439193264830818731544404472030","0x46ca741da4abd7ffa993f59ac65bfe83de43ae027accac71d263a493e44064e7",13812.6851,0.3866,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.579\", \"0.421\"]",{"token_id":218,"condition_id":219,"outcome":28,"size":220,"avg_price":221,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":222,"event_slug":223,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":224,"category":37},"39839649379979262874224474703228993451530996696316314037781119946088999891171","0x0fcfcfc35d71424c0693c717d2e3bc9b8992910835d124d80cd2f01498f1d3dc",8122.0696,0.6457,"Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?","pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":226,"condition_id":227,"outcome":28,"size":228,"avg_price":229,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":232,"category":37},"52144999543229413513861544800124735490771359660172681885251993902562842903350","0xfb013a43c6ea97f5af4515baefbefdc2a9cfeca1d764aa9f3ce1f6bd93002dfe",6500,0.8,"Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?","israel-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":234,"condition_id":235,"outcome":49,"size":236,"avg_price":237,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":238,"event_slug":239,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":240,"outcome_prices":241,"category":242},"114976310403134140071475285729050128086700898119247346798479138721789575328536","0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985",6253.22,0.8279,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717143435868","2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","[\"0.9925\", \"0.0075\"]","Tech",{"token_id":244,"condition_id":245,"outcome":28,"size":246,"avg_price":247,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":248,"event_slug":249,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":202,"category":37},"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915","0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803",6400.0476,0.6279,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027",{"token_id":251,"condition_id":252,"outcome":28,"size":253,"avg_price":254,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":255,"event_slug":256,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":232,"category":37},"4920174600328060381478178332126683115937537315909025772685332706706025236975","0xb23e6d6ba72e76bbce9799daf527e3598a939a602ff5e069cf27a0b25bab50a7",5680.02,0.6935,"US strike on Mexico by December 31?","us-strike-on-mexico-by",{"token_id":258,"condition_id":259,"outcome":28,"size":260,"avg_price":261,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":262,"event_slug":263,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":264,"category":37},"104895545296438735617666172336621441242754294947987367085791779928220778311973","0x890fc3ba40458db0b67560691aa1597344c2a0560d18e80f586a4b35f510b4ce",5000,0.64,"Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?","will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026","[\"0.023\", \"0.977\"]",{"token_id":266,"condition_id":267,"outcome":28,"size":268,"avg_price":269,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":270,"event_slug":271,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":232,"category":37},"52971557021122043608903206836621385506212442144752938847391758469563893937255","0x0c7245047183848e41555dc9a5ccc14c970a0711a3591bebc8310119cbae64c0",3906.4721,0.8103,"UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?","will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date",{"token_id":273,"condition_id":274,"outcome":28,"size":275,"avg_price":276,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":202,"category":37},"18702020867581976905619984893323736143098724607754292117438927457109238679413","0xe846dd72f8a654ef137a3e23a88226400b42cc0ca817ab4390a615860e08cafa",5168.7741,0.5239,"Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?","iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by",{"token_id":280,"condition_id":281,"outcome":49,"size":282,"avg_price":283,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":284,"event_slug":285,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":286,"outcome_prices":287,"category":73},"34732988886981510167874389845708832808627284379840131351229635795767825787404","0x1c4c6a698f0591ddf0c96e1beb56f8c75112ef849331bf3b0388f14830a7421d",3809.9989,0.6563,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.685\", \"0.315\"]",{"token_id":289,"condition_id":290,"outcome":49,"size":291,"avg_price":292,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":293,"event_slug":294,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":295,"category":37},"37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231","0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f",4209.2837,0.5846,"Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?","venezuela-leader-end-of-2026","[\"0.6035\", \"0.3965\"]",{"token_id":297,"condition_id":298,"outcome":28,"size":299,"avg_price":300,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":301,"event_slug":302,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":303,"category":37},"56333782793421950483875833119080130897195447801211249547040559909421499481715","0x1c39f29a392495da86a9d1882bdb7ad82bd617990a6da16674e1ee3da105e9e6",2800.0666,0.8551,"Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?","will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-october-31","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":305,"condition_id":306,"outcome":28,"size":307,"avg_price":308,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":309,"event_slug":310,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":311,"category":312},"44069265739522064332214860829659371087110860870698295438128050660626185746105","0x7844ad013088564a11d5d4d3b1766c57ad936a55247f0ae1efe28180d7285af3",2823.21,0.8087,"OpenAI IPO before 2027?","ipos-before-2027","[\"0.028\", \"0.972\"]","Business",{"token_id":314,"condition_id":315,"outcome":28,"size":316,"avg_price":317,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":318,"event_slug":319,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":320,"category":73},"106982699799625042566397279298024416413669561275935825952014071846246868525040","0x9f49858223675c7f9b354adccf3303956beff106a80e13ba12dd320735bf8181",2492.45,0.8812,"Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31","[\"0.0675\", \"0.9325\"]",{"token_id":322,"condition_id":323,"outcome":28,"size":324,"avg_price":325,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":326,"event_slug":327,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":328,"category":37},"69565284411089708271128692790745152090129066525382935764397092493923596997488","0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd",2876.04,0.74,"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by","[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",{"token_id":330,"condition_id":331,"outcome":28,"size":332,"avg_price":333,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":334,"event_slug":335,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":303,"category":37},"72413274791623935706318436448441626129741116452837525058113815959729031743718","0x656235664464bcadcc586acb871051dadb7c7343b7e805a5eccc02815e20d7df",2999.9914,0.65,"Cuban regime falls in 2026?","cuban-regime-falls-in-2026",{"token_id":337,"condition_id":338,"outcome":28,"size":339,"avg_price":340,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":341,"event_slug":342,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":343,"category":37},"51507303413678619423008134643353183515975688499348408949989619776882972045778","0x9c1741cbf86aac35dacd380057549359715e94b42164ade980dc2fcbf4cb7275",2177.2,0.8873,"Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?","who-will-attend-a-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-by-december-31-20260812153824803","[\"0.0805\", \"0.9195\"]",{"token_id":345,"condition_id":346,"outcome":49,"size":347,"avg_price":348,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":349,"event_slug":350,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":105,"outcome_prices":351,"category":37},"65318042793305154928481822061228422214615698483328483747495637152414701080541","0x405b56fc75f56d7635a94df9836d6cb6f9b9571d1fd33eb165c1e59d1d11801f",20709.879,0.0884,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-october-31-20260810151043583","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":353,"condition_id":354,"outcome":49,"size":355,"avg_price":356,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":357,"event_slug":192,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":358,"outcome_prices":359,"category":37},"30473344794239220995088264915766809943868068209555159167607047748901899155342","0x32851891e7ccfb249b1e120d77db70370fa92a13d821ce6c949de69402742aab",3645.72,0.4722,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?","2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.28\", \"0.72\"]",{"token_id":361,"condition_id":362,"outcome":49,"size":363,"avg_price":364,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":365,"event_slug":366,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":193,"outcome_prices":367,"category":242},"45991096626463035802453830837013723852049458374376718330432933377019560512567","0x59a3326e6eea1961622c3b0dd3f08239c0842ce10859355f7a05210be75b8d17",2746.0107,0.5902,"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?","will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":369,"condition_id":370,"outcome":28,"size":371,"avg_price":372,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":373,"event_slug":285,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":374,"outcome_prices":375,"category":73},"34386684966925037477701889915132575610574649191623462027976379158560146275115","0xc3d5708780de5528998aeb53ca90e7ade64804f9f2386392a681435d5c42b44d",10061.6494,0.1498,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","2026-10-31T20:29:00Z","[\"0.835\", \"0.165\"]",{"token_id":377,"condition_id":378,"outcome":49,"size":379,"avg_price":380,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":381,"event_slug":192,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":383,"category":37},"67102598924726349989742049657609063097299442010642912942032681022413402597017","0x3738ad9665480991affe3ba286cd035516e17d1f8b7703e05088ec19c70c21a4",2355.5233,0.5658,"US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?","2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","[\"0.54\", \"0.46\"]",{"token_id":385,"condition_id":386,"outcome":49,"size":387,"avg_price":388,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":389,"event_slug":390,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":391,"category":242},"7966697859820036062962777370893797454257030994450778883221499501735810143281","0x3b8ffe267a348097806237bd9af95050896ee12e4d461b421ca703c8bdf31022",2197.34,0.5678,"Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?","will-apple-release-a-touchscreen-macbook-in-2026","[\"0.605\", \"0.395\"]",{"token_id":393,"condition_id":394,"outcome":49,"size":260,"avg_price":395,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":398,"outcome_prices":399,"category":37},"109781307317741269891948655003329243915239936150042961225694915943834872664827","0x61180c25be9fc889a459ca2e1aac1814421c0c7880836d01cdc2057d720249fa",0.2399,"Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?","how-many-israeli-elections-before-government-formed-20260728195012183","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z","[\"0.335\", \"0.665\"]",{"token_id":401,"condition_id":402,"outcome":49,"size":403,"avg_price":404,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":405,"event_slug":406,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":81,"outcome_prices":407,"category":37},"70797640598204507566607682904927330776781230123700201973007682185470910680582","0x9171944ccff1e5bb85ef0cdc1579abc39e4317ee884b3da9b7aee0d83e3c834f",17839.5,0.065,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575","[\"0.087\", \"0.913\"]",{"token_id":409,"condition_id":410,"outcome":28,"size":411,"avg_price":412,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":413,"event_slug":414,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":415,"category":37},"16348483977511303883982248731369904623029757846353678607728242143168595819323","0xd65525f918d9957f6d72f34fe19b0819ca011207e4913d8a8f3855ab2b10ffd7",1520.74,0.621,"Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?","will-anyone-be-charged-over-epstein-disclosures","[\"0.07\", \"0.93\"]",{"token_id":417,"condition_id":418,"outcome":28,"size":419,"avg_price":420,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":421,"event_slug":422,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":45,"category":37},"52837405094236171687649460051264604710453798793021773034180132912701882960185","0x8b2d3edd0500a52b39676e1d59a0da5ac145f4e03e97b0d0412da13ca0e70c2a",930.23,0.9183,"Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?","will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31",{"token_id":424,"condition_id":425,"outcome":49,"size":426,"avg_price":427,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":428,"event_slug":429,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":193,"outcome_prices":328,"category":37},"36611294689059670978090732213302146316120623618403692784401880333809266463392","0x5a34c2ff270201b7ac4c754a213d96e3431a7934a1128f9690cd39f9cfbb6dd3",1512.1446,0.4849,"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?","next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt",{"token_id":431,"condition_id":432,"outcome":49,"size":433,"avg_price":434,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":435,"event_slug":285,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":436,"outcome_prices":437,"category":73},"80480615864496054518534481664401458122946181878204882508499859562482914861231","0x2dcbc71a3f8108936e768b503d565fbda7a644b2a0bd9ed45f74982a2bb11fba",983.74,0.6889,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?","2026-11-30T20:29:00Z","[\"0.76\", \"0.24\"]",{"token_id":439,"condition_id":440,"outcome":28,"size":441,"avg_price":325,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":442,"event_slug":443,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":444,"category":37},"30676432546818066080538703205639237969080188796746196694446265523208566227883","0x1e5204036bd51e6ca0e0da6221319c5839bd9940782adc6d0f6fa703aa8a3bf4",884.9554,"Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?","will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31","[\"0.185\", \"0.815\"]",{"token_id":446,"condition_id":447,"outcome":49,"size":448,"avg_price":449,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":450,"event_slug":451,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":452,"outcome_prices":453,"category":73},"31155599200443620024532103683912072563894181253510224263086924270624693692711","0x79b7408f02df2eba4034ca4c06ddf17b8dbeacc5adbe8595969e7573912c4e3b",5446.1234,0.0959,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412","2026-06-15T03:59:00Z","[\"0.105\", \"0.895\"]",{"token_id":455,"condition_id":456,"outcome":49,"size":457,"avg_price":458,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":459,"event_slug":460,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":240,"outcome_prices":461,"category":242},"62332742661289705587535132870643882852619165694088755409377213830198447206175","0x23ac617f1ad56479b3077717fdb87a241f32b8cbc6a694fea5fe5f0aecb71663",590.05,0.8592,"Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717142058419","[\"0.935\", \"0.065\"]",{"token_id":463,"condition_id":464,"outcome":28,"size":465,"avg_price":466,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":467,"event_slug":429,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":468,"category":37},"51947156511897363246930308148723848189395294302449690254709519803140044037930","0xaef0d4a34b0cc1cf915dbf965777e4da89d15c4ab8b0fa8a5fc127360a251b63",1000,0.47,"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)","[\"0.495\", \"0.505\"]",{"token_id":470,"condition_id":471,"outcome":49,"size":472,"avg_price":473,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":63,"outcome_prices":476,"category":37},"86831555216352607458811867018842097191310281105831909967661155990095395482445","0xa090ae1a88ca96bcae7523a65a96425ed53616709be75cb69a0df144f718931e",755.86,0.6097,"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026","nothing-ever-happens-2026","[\"0.83\", \"0.17\"]",{"token_id":478,"condition_id":479,"outcome":49,"size":480,"avg_price":481,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":482,"event_slug":483,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":484,"category":37},"80754703835050466386500060297599404757839405156981561796920628802251011801575","0xfa0a11c19bd40d22166e984006613339e77a8caed279738855691d8e1014bef1",1101.7944,0.3789,"Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-senior-diplomatic-meeting-take-placeptptpt","[\"0.295\", \"0.705\"]",{"token_id":486,"condition_id":487,"outcome":49,"size":488,"avg_price":165,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":489,"event_slug":490,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":491,"outcome_prices":492,"category":37},"28455899733465811933183023561020776520022465037105005254034517692203156268079","0x9b9928176f47e84c789c7032690e4b98787d6ec5dd0ff682d88a98ee970c6cdf",412.25,"US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?","us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-09-25T23:59:00Z","[\"0.9945\", \"0.0055\"]",{"token_id":494,"condition_id":495,"outcome":496,"size":497,"avg_price":498,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":499,"event_slug":500,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":54,"outcome_prices":501,"category":502},"21488701506596805052634379973906246058673288742637513733505493233169113940518","0xc90d3199365d32b821b57eea4bf096d1250db4f1d64e1f0920e405ad2fd148e7","Girl",727.7913,0.4799,"Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?","anne-hathaway-baby-boy-or-girl","[\"0.505\", \"0.495\"]","Culture",{"token_id":504,"condition_id":505,"outcome":28,"size":506,"avg_price":507,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":508,"event_slug":80,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":509,"outcome_prices":510,"category":37},"103159225638359731790247383162357783913500681643575178525536406773575671450318","0x7a70fc60ee280fa7b4312f5dd128d148d74ae5b3e4a2e8215ccf0030a08ebb04",613,0.5,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.37\", \"0.63\"]",{"token_id":512,"condition_id":513,"outcome":28,"size":514,"avg_price":515,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":516,"event_slug":517,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":518,"category":242},"17464697025249751411774912947372108838426195522288194649355885780370523669704","0x53930288379bb85e2538f7d19cb53609b328f98f4b725915f23723c479dee735",383.1554,0.7071,"Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?","apple-vision-pro-2-released-before-2027","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]",{"token_id":520,"condition_id":521,"outcome":28,"size":522,"avg_price":523,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":524,"event_slug":429,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":358,"outcome_prices":525,"category":37},"75551022246763091734855607590270811995304821212808923468996332043383609182029","0xbac0af08637f25aae0d661b4f270626a57b2a3a65f81a26c2e4d6deee89edf51",1324.74,0.1758,"Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.695\", \"0.305\"]",{"token_id":527,"condition_id":528,"outcome":49,"size":529,"avg_price":530,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":531,"event_slug":366,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":382,"outcome_prices":532,"category":242},"114248477943306970222801446407854064615090687971567511853418332617367425107208","0x25b2b277e671197e7b9ed3671bb2a51fe1aa0666bd729b57a70af19e0e0e265f",235.2,0.9099,"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?","[\"0.988\", \"0.012\"]",{"token_id":534,"condition_id":535,"outcome":28,"size":536,"avg_price":537,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":538,"event_slug":539,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":540,"category":37},"96214953624495509683027302209340859673097705517450500531670409012928242777230","0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c083",256.16,0.832,"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","[\"0.032\", \"0.968\"]",{"token_id":542,"condition_id":543,"outcome":49,"size":544,"avg_price":545,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":548,"category":242},"5717213777158991755851161671784735239176114853982045661511655513077951811855","0xe4c73435f4bdb89f5b5e7bd55b8c571e4e80a998177328bf7a35f0495cfb8864",242.5,0.7279,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-arena-debut","[\"0.918\", \"0.082\"]",{"token_id":550,"condition_id":551,"outcome":28,"size":552,"avg_price":553,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":554,"event_slug":555,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":556,"category":37},"107283612200874762627410448315233948227070614640181631187039818267842487558132","0x339d8be5cb57653a9ee63e07d216543622cdefb45eed81b1680e83887a2d7bc6",461.7075,0.36,"Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?","aziz-akhannouch-out-as-morocco-prime-minister-by-december-31-2026","[\"0.902\", \"0.098\"]",{"token_id":558,"condition_id":559,"outcome":28,"size":560,"avg_price":561,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":562,"event_slug":563,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":564,"category":73},"94934357947658428057092294091373989675422385315630920448032060977846997100140","0x12bd7c63ea356a688c47c5227ef490c63b04354bf2ec8cb7e2aed84968c4c648",197.41,0.7865,"Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?","israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-by-october-31","[\"0.12\", \"0.88\"]",{"token_id":566,"condition_id":567,"outcome":49,"size":568,"avg_price":569,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":570,"event_slug":571,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":572,"category":37},"92230933527175957699173261837562970961226561473212829507303559647834156802557","0x4437c8690e2edae1ab7acb0dcb40e536109ae6366e630d97f0bd764c9545ae57",270.91,0.562,"Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?","how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-2026","[\"0.7665\", \"0.2335\"]",{"token_id":574,"condition_id":575,"outcome":28,"size":576,"avg_price":577,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":578,"event_slug":579,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":580,"category":37},"33465557380584919956279894825260303188313631654986475587066172863867848628325","0x897c17e1ea23128d1d281d1169c1003cef46b20169a5ec61ad6c0c19443192f2",170,0.81,"Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?","which-countries-will-join-the-mecca-agreement-by-december-31","[\"0.08\", \"0.92\"]",{"token_id":582,"condition_id":583,"outcome":49,"size":584,"avg_price":585,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":586,"event_slug":285,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":587,"outcome_prices":588,"category":73},"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939","0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb",162.3176,0.8099,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","2026-09-30T20:29:00Z","[\"0.9545\", \"0.0455\"]",{"token_id":590,"condition_id":591,"outcome":49,"size":592,"avg_price":593,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":594,"event_slug":547,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":595,"outcome_prices":596,"category":242},"92205817338549581942996291977146287067184626116756204357001405482376199798910","0xbdc6833f8a1907f7103fd11b3212a270abdc79fca68c247942efd492956b38ac",277,0.3799,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?","","[\"0.655\", \"0.345\"]",{"token_id":598,"condition_id":599,"outcome":49,"size":600,"avg_price":601,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":602,"event_slug":603,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":105,"outcome_prices":604,"category":37},"76758908365678711322172114828022663697257752796914712513878834641665977747840","0xa4b952e2e0ab85e2949b2f67190d10da6212e030993ad930f55b21adbefda2d3",3374.9901,0.029,"Iran leadership change by October 31?","iran-leadership-change-by","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",{"token_id":606,"condition_id":607,"outcome":28,"size":608,"avg_price":577,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":609,"event_slug":610,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":604,"category":37},"57216272564529548464686463691236811991956032201293786790337952253964682584376","0xd595eb9b81885ff018738300c79047e3ec89e87294424f57a29a7fa9162bf116",100,"Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?","will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027",{"token_id":612,"condition_id":613,"outcome":28,"size":614,"avg_price":615,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":616,"event_slug":617,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":618,"outcome_prices":619,"category":37},"103419345332559096233303724453024466406185416315397181311559011677720094331804","0x1f9767f0b627eee12dd816c07a745c968807dae4cce336b8a2cb66d28cd3607c",193.26,0.41,"Maduro guilty of all counts?","maduro-guilty-of-all-counts","2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.22\", \"0.78\"]",{"token_id":621,"condition_id":622,"outcome":28,"size":623,"avg_price":624,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":625,"event_slug":626,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":202,"category":37},"109491250341571675806293993648463351146069924381619147425735651822167557652590","0xa04dcb7b7f5a313d09e7728ca39835be4096da877ca5fbae5e3a36af239433c3",66.3237,0.55,"Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?","trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027",{"token_id":628,"condition_id":629,"outcome":49,"size":630,"avg_price":631,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":632,"event_slug":483,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":633,"category":37},"113061540396827011559525019265217947996243356098503941421601265679727474904966","0x205676c44a0664fba4cc30995dc5721a41d30614bd302f5b08cfc66f2e20c5bd",301.31,0.1176,"Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?","[\"0.15\", \"0.85\"]",{"token_id":635,"condition_id":636,"outcome":28,"size":637,"avg_price":638,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":639,"event_slug":640,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":351,"category":641},"47244521176243504831320010374030626206943608425325384795080723420898313839532","0x51cc0614ea1f7bec1578cc308d2514e2d2cbe0501707bba7f0eea17652956e44",37.931,0.71,"NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?","nyse-marketwide-circuit-breaker-before-2027","Economy",{"token_id":643,"condition_id":644,"outcome":28,"size":645,"avg_price":646,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":647,"event_slug":648,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":649,"category":37},"13657611258353191201973828521127914557302182692217908076103195439294504815662","0x91467d5c49b5e06a68d101c3ea2e227ffd76215060d93381aca203ee26cf2d06",20,0.54,"Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?","will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026","[\"0.035\", \"0.965\"]",{"token_id":651,"condition_id":652,"outcome":28,"size":653,"avg_price":654,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":655,"event_slug":656,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":657,"category":73},"36811490115386059879633839618034808068483628089964044239383524809316618024310","0x0a26a2aeaee92f943b6a5649c4a096766f07675c6c710527fca730bd1e395797",86.86,0.1196,"Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?","will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027","[\"0.0875\", \"0.9125\"]",{"token_id":659,"condition_id":660,"outcome":28,"size":661,"avg_price":662,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":663,"event_slug":664,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":415,"category":37},"58093169847699708291944202108442132828853134113458611967977016597460428594565","0x0665610d8a06655edb83376e45fd8d2dd78889d2b3a1b2668efe398514cf87ae",10,0.35,"Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?","congress-approves-iran-deal-in-2026-20260616005217959",{"token_id":666,"condition_id":667,"outcome":49,"size":668,"avg_price":669,"updated_at":31,"first_seen_at":32,"question":670,"event_slug":671,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":672,"outcome_prices":673,"category":37},"87271147365664603825030025084492406863367981140558015724294062599537665779407","0x53bcce99bbd04bd4f01af3c9d3d25108faa95b8ccee5786c6d91123b950e2ae0",52.3799,0.042,"France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?","france-uk-or-germany-military-action-against-yemen-by-20260914","2026-10-31T20:59:00Z","[\"0.069\", \"0.931\"]",[],[676,682,689,696,703,709,715,717,724,731,738,740,745,747,749,751,757],{"recorded_date":677,"roi":678,"win_rate":679,"brier_score":680,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":681,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-05-29",0.11668264586337326,0.6820512820512821,0.028888047863734966,195,{"recorded_date":683,"roi":684,"win_rate":685,"brier_score":686,"p_value":687,"resolved_trades":688,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-01",0.08471924521296698,0.3222748815165877,0.03354635666124901,0.16460000000000008,211,{"recorded_date":690,"roi":691,"win_rate":692,"brier_score":693,"p_value":694,"resolved_trades":695,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-05",-0.12931112104337203,0.30313588850174217,0.0707257395443566,0.7871999999999999,287,{"recorded_date":697,"roi":698,"win_rate":699,"brier_score":700,"p_value":701,"resolved_trades":702,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-08",-0.1835473213997824,0.2605042016806723,0.07847530800584705,0.484,238,{"recorded_date":704,"roi":705,"win_rate":706,"brier_score":707,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":708,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-15",0.8212701210185159,0.5666666666666667,0.24730251723912972,30,{"recorded_date":710,"roi":711,"win_rate":712,"brier_score":713,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":714,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-22",1.9001155166951564,0.875,0.42995328528873944,40,{"recorded_date":716,"roi":711,"win_rate":712,"brier_score":713,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":714,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-06-29",{"recorded_date":718,"roi":719,"win_rate":720,"brier_score":721,"p_value":722,"resolved_trades":723,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-06",1.175483331996996,0.41509433962264153,0.23291521433462353,0.3788,53,{"recorded_date":725,"roi":726,"win_rate":727,"brier_score":728,"p_value":729,"resolved_trades":730,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-13",0.3806768311508726,0.25,0.17577206557425135,0.008000000000000007,36,{"recorded_date":732,"roi":733,"win_rate":734,"brier_score":735,"p_value":736,"resolved_trades":737,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-20",-0.2822809063633009,0.3076923076923077,0.13123575219777056,0.0045999999999999375,39,{"recorded_date":739,"roi":733,"win_rate":734,"brier_score":735,"p_value":736,"resolved_trades":737,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-07-27",{"recorded_date":741,"roi":742,"win_rate":14,"brier_score":743,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":744,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-19",3.8410959763676242,0.6242753177416452,38,{"recorded_date":746,"roi":742,"win_rate":14,"brier_score":743,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":744,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-08-26",{"recorded_date":748,"roi":742,"win_rate":14,"brier_score":743,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":744,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-02",{"recorded_date":750,"roi":742,"win_rate":14,"brier_score":743,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":744,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-10",{"recorded_date":752,"roi":753,"win_rate":754,"brier_score":755,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":756,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-17",-0.450396872044977,0.02413793103448276,0.03600313561858569,870,{"recorded_date":758,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-09-25",[760,767,775,782,790,797,803,810,815,819,826,829,835,842,848,855,862,869,874,881,887,890,896,902,909,912,918,923,928,935,941,947,950,957,960,965,970,973,980,986,991,998,1005,1008,1014,1017,1022,1029,1032,1037,1043,1046,1052,1055,1061,1064,1069,1075,1080,1083,1089,1094,1099,1104,1111,1116,1122,1125,1130,1133,1138,1141,1146,1152,1157,1160,1166,1172,1178,1183,1189,1195,1202,1208,1214,1221,1227,1230,1237,1241,1244,1251,1256,1261,1267,1270,1277,1282,1287,1293],{"condition_id":761,"outcome":28,"usdc":762,"entry_price":763,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":765,"event_slug":766,"category":37},"0x03c583dd10a5df0d57fd8b32452554da9bbb0dd212fe0e259e8561db3b4f9153",4213.690982,0.7634859317051566,"backfill","Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-beptptpt-20260623023740663",{"condition_id":768,"outcome":28,"usdc":769,"entry_price":770,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":771,"captured_at":13,"question":772,"event_slug":773,"category":774},"0x11395254d664f77f4a463fe28a3feb6dda06b1a396f63def47787bd650a00ce6",61.233333,0.8800000121,"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",null,{"condition_id":776,"outcome":28,"usdc":777,"entry_price":778,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":780,"event_slug":781,"category":37},"0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",5315.148066000001,0.6325217896049454,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":783,"outcome":49,"usdc":784,"entry_price":785,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":786,"captured_at":787,"question":788,"event_slug":789,"category":774},"0x137cf69002f2f24c6cbc7572321db1f6fd995f53d2457fda7e52f7fd82446794",8600,0.86,"2026-08-31T20:29:00Z","2026-09-17T20:51:53.055Z","US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?","us-ceasefire-against-iran-continues-throughptptpt",{"condition_id":791,"outcome":28,"usdc":792,"entry_price":793,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":795,"event_slug":796,"category":37},"0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68",9626.149803999999,0.6566116073255763,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":798,"outcome":49,"usdc":799,"entry_price":800,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":801,"event_slug":802,"category":37},"0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787",1555.8927699999995,0.3889731925017572,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":804,"outcome":28,"usdc":805,"entry_price":806,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":808,"event_slug":809,"category":73},"0x1a8808d7a309a210b3e413331005c3d7e8cd27d2da4a4acd4ff04b4072d2ed81",20294.570904000022,0.812255832157634,"2026-07-31T00:00:00Z","Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":811,"outcome":49,"usdc":812,"entry_price":813,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":81,"captured_at":13,"question":814,"event_slug":766,"category":37},"0x1ba55a9ab62aaa724cc52a06d5f5b90104cdd3b85bf4383f7ab4bd415a14d808",40.376979999999996,0.009401145501992595,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":816,"outcome":28,"usdc":817,"entry_price":577,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":818,"event_slug":184,"category":73},"0x1baf407855ceab1d3e1a9c9c1fe32b547a3ccd575e4d8eb1f7d4b5b27a1122df",4050,"Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":820,"outcome":28,"usdc":821,"entry_price":822,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":823,"question":824,"event_slug":825,"category":37},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",2701.49161,0.8989839137420743,"2026-06-22T10:36:51.080Z","Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":820,"outcome":49,"usdc":827,"entry_price":828,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":823,"question":824,"event_slug":825,"category":37},1079.83406,0.0359944687,{"condition_id":830,"outcome":28,"usdc":831,"entry_price":832,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":833,"event_slug":834,"category":37},"0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122",6989.995333000001,0.6657142639983717,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":836,"outcome":28,"usdc":837,"entry_price":838,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":839,"captured_at":13,"question":840,"event_slug":841,"category":73},"0x20cb32a3ff2b1932b99fe3343034d4dafe67cfce196eab2d771047f3d6e33be5",3037.9574,0.75948935,"2026-07-16T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?","mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by",{"condition_id":843,"outcome":28,"usdc":844,"entry_price":845,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":847,"event_slug":841,"category":73},"0x253676d94edd8f3e92060410bec8bca9117890d117d06664d31867db0e396c56",539.5593,0.69,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?",{"condition_id":849,"outcome":28,"usdc":850,"entry_price":851,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":853,"event_slug":854,"category":37},"0x258031a51215d328eac2db15bdf45abdee1a23d38d66e12462a83c34cf31b5c8",2.65958,0.16000000000000003,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",{"condition_id":856,"outcome":28,"usdc":857,"entry_price":858,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":859,"captured_at":13,"question":860,"event_slug":861,"category":37},"0x26ca74d41edc9e3a6643698fbe8eae446377e4579d2f55f505da4ff6a1cf0f66",2326.746353,0.8200000012852783,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?","trump-announces-us-x-iran-ceasefire-over-byptptpt-20260607232555290",{"condition_id":863,"outcome":49,"usdc":864,"entry_price":865,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":595,"captured_at":866,"question":867,"event_slug":868,"category":37},"0x274cec202608757e62a0cf64ec63a3a814a6cc23a1bff1819b437362c5c16732",3567.7333090000006,0.317534261985375,"2026-07-06T18:43:00.485Z","Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?","which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-june-30",{"condition_id":870,"outcome":49,"usdc":871,"entry_price":872,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":873,"event_slug":802,"category":37},"0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639",10043.373686000004,0.47344802589044965,"Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?",{"condition_id":875,"outcome":28,"usdc":876,"entry_price":877,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":879,"event_slug":880,"category":37},"0x2df300d7831176cc00acf06ddaadf29a5d761476fa7f8e4f8978febd7da92d27",1600.4356,0.7634391203632503,"2026-09-22T03:59:00Z","Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?","iran-oman-hormuz-management-agreement-byptptpt-20260804222725871",{"condition_id":882,"outcome":28,"usdc":883,"entry_price":884,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":885,"captured_at":13,"question":886,"event_slug":285,"category":73},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",103.8046,0.19,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?",{"condition_id":882,"outcome":49,"usdc":888,"entry_price":889,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":885,"captured_at":13,"question":886,"event_slug":285,"category":73},4823.844,0.7566719162764874,{"condition_id":891,"outcome":49,"usdc":892,"entry_price":893,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":894,"captured_at":13,"question":895,"event_slug":285,"category":73},"0x2f738e4c227b83c08c490dc6618164d31315a6740b9a5a98c392fc3160810957",10437.3682,0.6482785045873288,"2026-08-04T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?",{"condition_id":897,"outcome":28,"usdc":898,"entry_price":899,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":900,"captured_at":13,"question":901,"event_slug":854,"category":37},"0x3088733a3d7f03d026035f6dd7df44a82c59eeb95545dda3889b65baa9a36e82",9677.13467,0.7228310987185029,"2026-06-21T00:00:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":903,"outcome":28,"usdc":904,"entry_price":905,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":37},"0x325d2f917428a0d39ac7563770ec519208666b8c926091de1a1934d8570b64cd",1099.9945,0.5500000000000002,"2026-07-18T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":903,"outcome":49,"usdc":910,"entry_price":911,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":906,"captured_at":13,"question":907,"event_slug":908,"category":37},849.9999789999999,0.17000000001771698,{"condition_id":913,"outcome":49,"usdc":914,"entry_price":915,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":916,"captured_at":13,"question":917,"event_slug":861,"category":37},"0x339727bd072a1756e1ff56b4512702e28ed0e30818fc28e0c9e39fafea56a578",665,0.133,"2026-06-13T03:59:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?",{"condition_id":919,"outcome":49,"usdc":920,"entry_price":921,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":787,"question":922,"event_slug":406,"category":37},"0x33becd2f4f3b2b2b810fa1b4d5f92566f13194ee3381655e1b2ebe056714c5dd",217.44737499999997,0.11629952210299271,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?",{"condition_id":924,"outcome":49,"usdc":925,"entry_price":926,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":927,"event_slug":854,"category":37},"0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6",6.09,0.609,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":929,"outcome":28,"usdc":930,"entry_price":931,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":932,"captured_at":13,"question":933,"event_slug":934,"category":73},"0x35fac6dda287ab6433bdc326bb39f31594744200fb68625621c6115b4f0d8622",255.3022,0.475476217068611,"2026-08-31T20:59:00Z","Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?","israel-military-action-against-beirut-byptptpt-20260708221422557",{"condition_id":936,"outcome":28,"usdc":937,"entry_price":938,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":939,"event_slug":940,"category":73},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",3437.4135309999992,0.6898313710695773,"Iran full airspace closure by July 31?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028",{"condition_id":942,"outcome":28,"usdc":943,"entry_price":944,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":945,"captured_at":787,"question":946,"event_slug":80,"category":37},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",6269.975906,0.783749701787351,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":942,"outcome":49,"usdc":948,"entry_price":949,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":945,"captured_at":787,"question":946,"event_slug":80,"category":37},3038.4909289999996,0.10193014546767559,{"condition_id":951,"outcome":28,"usdc":952,"entry_price":953,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":954,"captured_at":13,"question":955,"event_slug":956,"category":774},"0x42b633e7acfedf301c4eb85acefc7430f2e76825c1f3324a39a5582d7a26599b",380.0061,0.51,"2026-09-04T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-byptptpt-2-week-pause",{"condition_id":951,"outcome":49,"usdc":958,"entry_price":959,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":954,"captured_at":13,"question":955,"event_slug":956,"category":774},22142.691816000002,0.4875732126797086,{"condition_id":961,"outcome":28,"usdc":962,"entry_price":963,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":964,"event_slug":603,"category":37},"0x43e12647a58ee0b20d2539d23764b0d561ea7be322acb8823f7bb126e67c115e",4493.079723,0.889803874787687,"Iran leadership change by August 31?",{"condition_id":966,"outcome":28,"usdc":967,"entry_price":968,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":787,"question":969,"event_slug":80,"category":37},"0x47ec761ae98d7c28b20c0222f1507e3af0f198a904f86b4a264b2e987f0b80c7",9763.328000000001,0.7602855082598357,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":966,"outcome":49,"usdc":971,"entry_price":972,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":787,"question":969,"event_slug":80,"category":37},5202.659455,0.11287606599147683,{"condition_id":974,"outcome":49,"usdc":975,"entry_price":976,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":977,"captured_at":13,"question":978,"event_slug":979,"category":774},"0x49479ffa88e2897569b1d413e3bc558003e21912edee09d080ca6bac6eb20805",568.67777,0.0284338885,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":981,"outcome":28,"usdc":982,"entry_price":983,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":984,"event_slug":985,"category":37},"0x4a050a1ba7e17d01f69af71e99e0e353ee984e575581030a1f806347972d2d08",2387.9743,0.6759902046,"Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?","will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",{"condition_id":987,"outcome":28,"usdc":988,"entry_price":845,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":989,"event_slug":990,"category":37},"0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6",1042.5279,"Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":992,"outcome":28,"usdc":993,"entry_price":994,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":995,"captured_at":13,"question":996,"event_slug":997,"category":774},"0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349",1680.8196520000004,0.3485515695394955,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?","will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",{"condition_id":999,"outcome":28,"usdc":1000,"entry_price":1001,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1002,"captured_at":13,"question":1003,"event_slug":1004,"category":774},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",6782.713599999999,0.44041650110468483,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":999,"outcome":49,"usdc":1006,"entry_price":1007,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1002,"captured_at":787,"question":1003,"event_slug":1004,"category":774},15179.884739000003,0.3977236691210813,{"condition_id":1009,"outcome":28,"usdc":1010,"entry_price":1011,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1012,"captured_at":13,"question":1013,"event_slug":908,"category":37},"0x545e1bf6ec42e0e8a776a3c3e11ed225f8d3dfcc74f98656e142f99a2b718383",3976.1494779999985,0.6538697031313241,"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?",{"condition_id":1009,"outcome":49,"usdc":1015,"entry_price":1016,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1012,"captured_at":13,"question":1013,"event_slug":908,"category":37},4412.361509,0.23970545926373715,{"condition_id":1018,"outcome":28,"usdc":1019,"entry_price":1020,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":1021,"event_slug":184,"category":73},"0x5813dc7ee3feea004711c97bdf27c407c3e943d876432ef50b49b8399eae9f37",4250,0.85,"Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1023,"outcome":28,"usdc":1024,"entry_price":1025,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1026,"captured_at":13,"question":1027,"event_slug":1028,"category":774},"0x58180f4a69651f67c23ac92845721b2320cc0c76effeb5e79db5288d8d8e6b28",14667.7667,0.8148759277834501,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?","us-x-iran-effective-ceasfire-byptptpt-2-week-pause-20260715194822042",{"condition_id":1023,"outcome":49,"usdc":1030,"entry_price":1031,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1026,"captured_at":13,"question":1027,"event_slug":1028,"category":774},23047.148679,0.3554229240500746,{"condition_id":1033,"outcome":49,"usdc":1034,"entry_price":1035,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":13,"question":1036,"event_slug":342,"category":37},"0x58876ff964d9b1a986a8983f0125c0d00b4fe3b221a1f341c035d261a5a11dff",1189.9185,0.22527162239199283,"Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1038,"outcome":28,"usdc":1039,"entry_price":1040,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1041,"captured_at":13,"question":1042,"event_slug":861,"category":37},"0x5a27ddbd2965784c01ef0a53d440a9cfc08e815f63f0d923ed8734af36872add",5265.596,0.89,"2026-06-16T03:59:00Z","Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?",{"condition_id":1038,"outcome":49,"usdc":1044,"entry_price":1045,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1041,"captured_at":13,"question":1042,"event_slug":861,"category":37},649.99816,0.13000000003395287,{"condition_id":1047,"outcome":28,"usdc":1048,"entry_price":1049,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1050,"captured_at":787,"question":1051,"event_slug":1028,"category":774},"0x5a9395dae6c7643ea06e7a555580a5526e81073aea9c9306363529c5b76a8f8b",38539.41798900004,0.5122076521663718,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?",{"condition_id":1047,"outcome":49,"usdc":1053,"entry_price":1054,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1050,"captured_at":13,"question":1051,"event_slug":1028,"category":774},38785.677449999996,0.3337882484353349,{"condition_id":1056,"outcome":28,"usdc":1057,"entry_price":1058,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1059,"captured_at":13,"question":1060,"event_slug":80,"category":37},"0x5dc212b712dcf514432221436140eec9717aea8f9fbead457c858d14ee519b90",18923.708148,0.6958802786562761,"2026-08-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":1056,"outcome":49,"usdc":1062,"entry_price":1063,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1059,"captured_at":13,"question":1060,"event_slug":80,"category":37},6223.765257999999,0.3030365536395228,{"condition_id":1065,"outcome":49,"usdc":1066,"entry_price":1067,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":1068,"event_slug":809,"category":73},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",12816.610411999995,0.11217113275207899,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1070,"outcome":28,"usdc":1071,"entry_price":1072,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1041,"captured_at":13,"question":1073,"event_slug":1074,"category":73},"0x608b260059adb2315f3a649419ab8f684f0d741db319aae9c08f93fe2a268f31",13.198,0.19999999999999998,"Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829",{"condition_id":1076,"outcome":28,"usdc":1077,"entry_price":1078,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":1079,"event_slug":979,"category":774},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",12724.197261000001,0.758084330676645,"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?",{"condition_id":1076,"outcome":49,"usdc":1081,"entry_price":1082,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":787,"question":1079,"event_slug":979,"category":774},19570.496708,0.12046342533132662,{"condition_id":1084,"outcome":49,"usdc":1085,"entry_price":1086,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1087,"captured_at":823,"question":1088,"event_slug":834,"category":37},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",20326.171876,0.30220858519994936,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1090,"outcome":28,"usdc":1091,"entry_price":1092,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":995,"captured_at":13,"question":1093,"event_slug":1028,"category":774},"0x61c2b9e70f7fdf3441fd1cfa2c8fa93308fefe3f5ecc2db87c393efab3a207a3",8314.885192,0.4778809007572558,"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?",{"condition_id":1095,"outcome":28,"usdc":1096,"entry_price":1097,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1050,"captured_at":13,"question":1098,"event_slug":997,"category":774},"0x62aa73d8a6f3b9984e7c9a58d688ca6f398c96e2b1558dfbb296df0868f8c4c8",4880.27516,0.39625563920848267,"Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1100,"outcome":28,"usdc":1101,"entry_price":1102,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1050,"captured_at":13,"question":1103,"event_slug":773,"category":774},"0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005",8749.9997,0.6730769258875741,"Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?",{"condition_id":1105,"outcome":28,"usdc":1106,"entry_price":1107,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1108,"captured_at":13,"question":1109,"event_slug":1110,"category":774},"0x64e2986a47cc4e152b9ab5010f16d17ddc62035ff113c07544c4d05db08ff083",2304.6907,0.5761726749836724,"2026-08-15T23:59:00Z","US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?","us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096",{"condition_id":1112,"outcome":28,"usdc":1113,"entry_price":1114,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":859,"captured_at":13,"question":1115,"event_slug":781,"category":37},"0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c",2027.184021,0.7700000013975169,"Israel closes its airspace by June 30?",{"condition_id":1117,"outcome":28,"usdc":1118,"entry_price":1119,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1120,"captured_at":13,"question":1121,"event_slug":285,"category":73},"0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c",1033.812889,0.10710015238117254,"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?",{"condition_id":1117,"outcome":49,"usdc":1123,"entry_price":1124,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1120,"captured_at":13,"question":1121,"event_slug":285,"category":73},648.026781,0.5723717277424157,{"condition_id":1126,"outcome":28,"usdc":1127,"entry_price":1128,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1108,"captured_at":13,"question":1129,"event_slug":285,"category":73},"0x6acdc3316f0b43ca4fbc13623fc018e30f2fd20ae7b93bdc07c8193e99b0ac4d",927.0550999999999,0.36005775342985386,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?",{"condition_id":1126,"outcome":49,"usdc":1131,"entry_price":1132,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1108,"captured_at":13,"question":1129,"event_slug":285,"category":73},986.629308,0.6295377830266289,{"condition_id":1134,"outcome":28,"usdc":1135,"entry_price":1136,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":839,"captured_at":13,"question":1137,"event_slug":940,"category":73},"0x6c486242e79252cc0bb57163a3b8d95e3b9538ea6a1de2e91848beeb5c6ad986",20153.106496,0.8368206225710787,"Iran full airspace closure by July 15?",{"condition_id":1134,"outcome":49,"usdc":1139,"entry_price":1140,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":839,"captured_at":13,"question":1137,"event_slug":940,"category":73},2531.4309750000007,0.09823475787030557,{"condition_id":1142,"outcome":28,"usdc":1143,"entry_price":1144,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":852,"captured_at":13,"question":1145,"event_slug":854,"category":37},"0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164",7710.158935999999,0.4109419167728048,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":1147,"outcome":49,"usdc":1148,"entry_price":1149,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":1150,"event_slug":1151,"category":73},"0x7162118722a6abe965c964e8c694ff0f232221d9bb2263bd92e5902633381893",439.44,0.043944,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":1153,"outcome":28,"usdc":1154,"entry_price":1155,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":1156,"event_slug":80,"category":37},"0x71dd44fa5059fbed28a279172185d3623aa34ce86be1936281df26b5d1b87200",897.8832,0.72,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?",{"condition_id":1153,"outcome":49,"usdc":1158,"entry_price":1159,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":878,"captured_at":13,"question":1156,"event_slug":80,"category":37},2927.5853549999997,0.1395616427714594,{"condition_id":1161,"outcome":28,"usdc":1162,"entry_price":1163,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":1164,"event_slug":1165,"category":37},"0x724a93f3e0ed0a6c83d2b4f2bc60839b39a92cc2c7cbac0169447f48d72537ab",3324.7362000000003,0.3692100166587882,"US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by July 31?","us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by",{"condition_id":1167,"outcome":28,"usdc":1168,"entry_price":1169,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1170,"captured_at":13,"question":1171,"event_slug":908,"category":37},"0x79c850d5dd022d89aaf4f92105657d7a2e0518d4e4d4cf6cdce44d385fe029a7",7604.769965000001,0.7398574565449269,"2026-07-11T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?",{"condition_id":1173,"outcome":49,"usdc":1174,"entry_price":1175,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1176,"captured_at":13,"question":1177,"event_slug":80,"category":37},"0x7a2c3834179dd8ff73efd60e4cd984a16e16066f5ca20c863ab9ed6d5c53e139",550.5146599999999,0.07714968040779815,"2026-07-25T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?",{"condition_id":1179,"outcome":28,"usdc":1180,"entry_price":1181,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":358,"captured_at":13,"question":1182,"event_slug":908,"category":37},"0x7a833b2745bc6911db3ef244e37287c9ab1be1e63ee71266d2c79326cafbe285",14568.215784999999,0.5712740074758351,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1184,"outcome":49,"usdc":1185,"entry_price":1186,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1187,"captured_at":13,"question":1188,"event_slug":192,"category":37},"0x7c162a2f68adfde9be73c1b1b794673a541ac971732e3116977b8fbdd0a840d9",4716.150412999999,0.8588169534292904,"2026-09-20T23:59:00Z","US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?",{"condition_id":1190,"outcome":28,"usdc":1191,"entry_price":1192,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":1193,"event_slug":1194,"category":37},"0x7e5228c4aa228752fb75ec1ffcb315a5f2fef812d746ceb6601cee285366d1a8",5978.59182,0.528377536021962,"Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?","who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting",{"condition_id":1196,"outcome":28,"usdc":1197,"entry_price":1198,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1199,"captured_at":13,"question":1200,"event_slug":1201,"category":641},"0x80b3af88cb991980e8da1ce86b9794a0957f96ec98c29319dd7ba65e9744d82b",2623.164623,0.32375000058758285,"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","Fed rate hike in 2026?","fed-rate-hike-in-2026",{"condition_id":1203,"outcome":28,"usdc":1204,"entry_price":1205,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1206,"captured_at":13,"question":1207,"event_slug":1028,"category":774},"0x833f0bac240ad7d5c947d58a8acac0f77a74cf03dccd8f9b72a28811836a920f",14118.996736999998,0.6138897858944022,"2026-08-14T23:59:00Z","US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?",{"condition_id":1209,"outcome":49,"usdc":1210,"entry_price":1211,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":1212,"event_slug":1213,"category":73},"0x86f43746cbd692719483aaeedc657eef89d9ffb91d6ffceacb1edf533e049516",715.986384,0.11883594299296864,"Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":1215,"outcome":28,"usdc":1216,"entry_price":1217,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":595,"captured_at":13,"question":1218,"event_slug":1219,"category":1220},"0x86f5b0f1934bb39421651ad2ba0f04494700ba9e95663a5c141a8674c4978c15",8064.094612999999,0.8049999700741299,"Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?","will-ronaldo-cry-at-the-world-cup-20260604013616610","Sports",{"condition_id":1222,"outcome":28,"usdc":1223,"entry_price":1224,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1225,"captured_at":13,"question":1226,"event_slug":1165,"category":37},"0x876047c0df88886ddbe468fe811bc75a667da45a552d798e626ecfc5c60d52d9",14041.951103999998,0.8361787359533169,"2026-05-29T00:00:00Z","US announces new Iran agreement\u002Fceasefire extension by June 12?",{"condition_id":1222,"outcome":49,"usdc":1228,"entry_price":1229,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1225,"captured_at":13,"question":1226,"event_slug":1165,"category":37},10394.274657999993,0.20577164925804284,{"condition_id":1231,"outcome":49,"usdc":1232,"entry_price":1233,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1234,"captured_at":787,"question":1235,"event_slug":1236,"category":37},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",30522.5419,0.759999987499997,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":1238,"outcome":28,"usdc":1239,"entry_price":1020,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":1240,"event_slug":80,"category":37},"0x8b0e301fc552e953579c625ce9adb7409d1852d5bf4879efee849decc1c9dc91",2550,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1238,"outcome":49,"usdc":1242,"entry_price":1243,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":846,"captured_at":13,"question":1240,"event_slug":80,"category":37},1836.0992,0.13314193641291033,{"condition_id":1245,"outcome":49,"usdc":1246,"entry_price":1247,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1248,"captured_at":13,"question":1249,"event_slug":1250,"category":37},"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86",13898.664999999997,0.7464864864864864,"2026-07-29T00:00:00Z","Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-july-181",{"condition_id":1252,"outcome":49,"usdc":1253,"entry_price":1254,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":779,"captured_at":13,"question":1255,"event_slug":160,"category":37},"0x8bf79620792c8452d889c11f61b4ee05d06f4ed2ea2fb5c689d6ff15e8ce311b",118.7416,0.0349264654,"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?",{"condition_id":1257,"outcome":28,"usdc":1258,"entry_price":1259,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":807,"captured_at":13,"question":1260,"event_slug":1213,"category":73},"0x91a0b4ff72ad76f01abf986e18aa8d226a5172760fffdc3687b78c580692bca2",5015.945903,0.7394824374983999,"Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1262,"outcome":28,"usdc":1263,"entry_price":1264,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1265,"captured_at":13,"question":1266,"event_slug":285,"category":73},"0x93796dea2fe5dfc8da1a942448e6ab767d9bb3464a96ea3a527dfed0ef7bd958",1555.443693,0.18109906895637906,"2026-08-02T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?",{"condition_id":1262,"outcome":49,"usdc":1268,"entry_price":1269,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1265,"captured_at":13,"question":1266,"event_slug":285,"category":73},3442.0911630000037,0.7624562994941617,{"condition_id":1271,"outcome":28,"usdc":1272,"entry_price":1273,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":1274,"captured_at":13,"question":1275,"event_slug":1276,"category":37},"0x951f2f36995e7cb1a30eecce1491dd9617adc668370db59a1c9db61165fd91f8",3708.912586,0.8474177757860067,"2026-07-07T23:59:00Z","Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?","who-will-attend-us-iran-signing-ceremony-20260615232202457",{"condition_id":1278,"outcome":49,"usdc":1279,"entry_price":1280,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":977,"captured_at":787,"question":1281,"event_slug":406,"category":37},"0x95f75978d8e3b735dda39675d113c68c4619a09f392cda4f28612ef5385f4af9",923.8874819999999,0.3076451706163414,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?",{"condition_id":1283,"outcome":49,"usdc":1284,"entry_price":1285,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":587,"captured_at":787,"question":1286,"event_slug":789,"category":774},"0x9601280c3d5109783ba64644da25bdfdf120ce516a696f88a42f54ffd2ac761b",7857.3712,0.6554319957824771,"US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?",{"condition_id":1288,"outcome":49,"usdc":1289,"entry_price":1290,"won":12,"source":764,"end_date_iso":794,"captured_at":13,"question":1291,"event_slug":1292,"category":37},"0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7",11127.184682999998,0.3918707519619571," Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1294,"outcome":28,"usdc":1295,"entry_price":1296,"won":14,"source":764,"end_date_iso":977,"captured_at":13,"question":1297,"event_slug":80,"category":37},"0xa055e1cf533c2fcb1f1c89c20c41c8aa25526dcf27c3ff6be69c230fd8898282",11550.175064,0.5480295543002123,"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?",{"total":1299,"wins":1300},157,80,[1302,1307,1311,1317,1319,1320,1321],{"category":37,"n":1303,"wins":1304,"hitRate":1305,"roi":1306},95,48,0.5052631578947369,0.3217654381553742,{"category":73,"n":1308,"wins":645,"hitRate":1309,"roi":1310},31,0.6451612903225806,0.14321781013950752,{"category":1312,"n":1313,"wins":1314,"hitRate":1315,"roi":1316},"Other",27,11,0.4074074074074074,-0.10826225458031202,{"category":242,"n":14,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1318},-1,{"category":1220,"n":14,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1318},{"category":641,"n":14,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":1318},{"category":1322,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":1323},"Crypto",1.8792044880049108,{"generatedAt":1325},"2026-09-26T01:17:47.614Z"]