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announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":29,"size":42,"avg_price":43,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":44,"event_slug":45,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":46,"category":47},"38853432405644060238726733115910047800788669755366746572763519605642391279152","0xe5b506bf5d662bbc0f0e5775eeb763fdb747c7782bd4520dba08274debddeaa8",99.5753,0.8144,"0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?","0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-byptpt-20260626172559966","[\"0.059\", 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continues through September 30?","us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","[\"0.98\", \"0.02\"]",{"token_id":94,"condition_id":95,"outcome":29,"size":96,"avg_price":97,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":98,"event_slug":99,"active":12,"closed":17,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":100,"outcome_prices":101,"category":47},"109719631173196402976582847567817158790560641472932038818342039512045728528798","0x951088c48f392379dc9b8a3becaad7a939b5fd3124ec98dd167d859350f049fc",1.8181,0.5415,"Iran full airspace closure by September 30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","2027-01-26T04:59:00Z","[\"0.009\", 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\"0.825\"]",[],[113],{"recorded_date":114,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-26",[116,124,132,139,145,151,157,164,170,177,184,189,195,202,209,215,222,229,235,241,248,255,258,264,270,277,283,289,296,302,309,314,319,325,330,337,342,348,353,359,363,369,375,382,388,393,399,406,411,414,421,427,433,439,443,449,451,456,462,468,474,479,484,489,496,502,505,511,516,522,528,533,538,544,551,558,564,569,576,583,589,595,599,605],{"condition_id":117,"outcome":29,"usdc":118,"entry_price":119,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":121,"captured_at":13,"question":122,"event_slug":123,"category":38},"0x098afead2c41677b0f09ae9d0013ca520eacdb3f0d7c8985c6581de7a0e9ac37",21.999997,0.8495402596457082,"backfill","2026-05-21T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 21?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":125,"outcome":29,"usdc":126,"entry_price":127,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":128,"captured_at":13,"question":129,"event_slug":130,"category":131},"0x11395254d664f77f4a463fe28a3feb6dda06b1a396f63def47787bd650a00ce6",166.329994,0.8642608120960779,"2026-06-30T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",null,{"condition_id":133,"outcome":59,"usdc":134,"entry_price":135,"won":17,"source":120,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":13,"question":137,"event_slug":138,"category":38},"0x1723b7ee4118dee6ae6be8802cb7b6e239c37d199997b20a8191e32553a5bd68",7.499999,0.28225804357440354,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?","iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-june-30",{"condition_id":140,"outcome":29,"usdc":141,"entry_price":142,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":13,"question":143,"event_slug":144,"category":38},"0x189c38e8bf3733572f401f8d578099f7233baef3d5fcb438b4eeb0b73bacc787",30.999997,0.7125610339986221,"Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455",{"condition_id":146,"outcome":59,"usdc":147,"entry_price":148,"won":17,"source":120,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":13,"question":149,"event_slug":150,"category":38},"0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f",0.999999,0.0749999325,"Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?","what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30",{"condition_id":152,"outcome":29,"usdc":153,"entry_price":154,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":156,"event_slug":123,"category":38},"0x2135ffcb43ba9103bb6acf7116d2d5aa98bef6d9eb3dc9c85ea00cb79513f3ec",85.199991,0.8480555527269815,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 8?",{"condition_id":158,"outcome":29,"usdc":159,"entry_price":160,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":161,"captured_at":13,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"category":47},"0x23667427b34ca1c7144d50540beba9e7ffb608443a84252c194bb8b40919a0cb",0.999995,0.859999914,"2026-06-15T03:59:00Z","US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"condition_id":165,"outcome":29,"usdc":166,"entry_price":167,"won":17,"source":120,"end_date_iso":168,"captured_at":13,"question":169,"event_slug":81,"category":47},"0x2e47cff93eb647a0487879f781ec583f8849eeb397ff0ad5cb38f77ec916c8a7",24.999999,0.0429999984,"2026-08-03T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?",{"condition_id":171,"outcome":29,"usdc":172,"entry_price":173,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":174,"captured_at":13,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"category":38},"0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7",24.999998,0.8699999662,"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","Iran leadership change by May 31?","iran-leadership-change-by",{"condition_id":178,"outcome":59,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":17,"source":120,"end_date_iso":181,"captured_at":13,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"category":38},"0x325d2f917428a0d39ac7563770ec519208666b8c926091de1a1934d8570b64cd",10.5,0.21,"2026-07-18T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":185,"outcome":59,"usdc":166,"entry_price":186,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":187,"captured_at":13,"question":188,"event_slug":81,"category":47},"0x33c491023cecc6a42a70608427c2be37dfbe789ae1b08d8791f2450a3f9696f2",0.6899999925,"2026-07-26T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 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2026?","will-israel-and-lebanon-hold-a-diplomatic-meeting-by-june-7-2026",{"condition_id":203,"outcome":59,"usdc":204,"entry_price":205,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":131},"0x393fb0be5ca5832188657b34ad914c8f24a3ea6dfca233d1b996aba14399b48f",9.999997,0.8799999965,"","Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?","iran-ceasefire-continues-through",{"condition_id":210,"outcome":29,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":99,"category":47},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",20.1,0.67,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Iran full airspace closure by July 31?",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":29,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":13,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":38},"0x3a9ef67522be6f0e4dcb97ac56e064efe6b14e54713ee2050418d311883c31ba",50.23,0.7449515922,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?","trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",{"condition_id":223,"outcome":29,"usdc":224,"entry_price":225,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":226,"captured_at":13,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"category":38},"0x3ed92a5a51371e8ba5882ae743ccf90460c8860fdd862a9389e249d0a2b9f055",89.1,0.8909999999999999,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?","masoud-pezeshkian-out-by",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":233,"captured_at":13,"question":234,"event_slug":35,"category":38},"0x420c29cfe95850eb2351fdef6ae4ff063b2a574aa947d0fe82e7433fd58946f2",115.99999700000001,0.8699999992310347,"2026-09-08T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?",{"condition_id":236,"outcome":29,"usdc":237,"entry_price":238,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":123,"category":38},"0x4ba348328e4d4ddee9e6734c9a369b2e8138611651f9f6dc8f59dea51df6c734",50.999995000000006,0.5078615128017334,"2026-05-24T00:00:00Z","Iran closes its airspace by May 24?",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":29,"usdc":243,"entry_price":244,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"category":131},"0x4f8bddad85712e2b46756f71c753380a1417bec8049e4a45742e5182c3a5c015",99.999995,0.8499999996,"2026-04-21T00:00:00Z","Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?","israel-military-action-against-iran-by-167",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":29,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":131},"0x518df6d694ad4658fe6c284850c029c6f00c9b3609cf05f7757d1fecba1641f8",80.731998,0.798004727178801,"2026-08-20T23:59:00Z","US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?","us-iran-60-day-negotiation-period-extended-20260624044855448",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":59,"usdc":256,"entry_price":257,"won":17,"source":120,"end_date_iso":252,"captured_at":13,"question":253,"event_slug":254,"category":131},289.499999,0.6429931248704631,{"condition_id":259,"outcome":29,"usdc":260,"entry_price":261,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":262,"captured_at":13,"question":263,"event_slug":183,"category":38},"0x545e1bf6ec42e0e8a776a3c3e11ed225f8d3dfcc74f98656e142f99a2b718383",359.999983,0.8649941689489832,"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?",{"condition_id":265,"outcome":29,"usdc":266,"entry_price":267,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":268,"event_slug":269,"category":38},"0x555443f34b29be9207c40aaef440de7964ed8fa706a95c076f4fc965ac1820bc",6.399997,0.8136434079,"Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373",{"condition_id":271,"outcome":59,"usdc":272,"entry_price":273,"won":17,"source":120,"end_date_iso":274,"captured_at":13,"question":275,"event_slug":276,"category":131},"0x57975267480691701ba473fc776713769bb32ddebc84a155afcacb041d2e30de",0.095,0.019,"2026-05-10T00:00:00Z","Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?","next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-on",{"condition_id":278,"outcome":29,"usdc":279,"entry_price":280,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":13,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":131},"0x5bb0e552d6f091014a59af8bbe5b7e86ba2d0a4dcfcb509f0e66a48184e96519",189.47661900000003,0.8352829744729411,"Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?","iran-military-action-against-by-april-30",{"condition_id":284,"outcome":29,"usdc":285,"entry_price":286,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":287,"event_slug":288,"category":47},"0x5cc0052078c63534b9853679cc374d02f310e08cb906c804f91dcbd86ae83278",17,0.85,"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?","abbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-by",{"condition_id":290,"outcome":59,"usdc":291,"entry_price":292,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":293,"captured_at":13,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":131},"0x5e0190c0160f075a95fd5034b1d97d2245ef0c1ccb725fcbbadfc54db2ac8028",12,0.6,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?","us-announces-halt-in-iran-offensive-operations-byptptpt-20260718015003096",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":29,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":136,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":301,"category":47},"0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e",498.94998100000004,0.8793848428379967,"Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?","israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":303,"outcome":29,"usdc":304,"entry_price":305,"won":12,"source":120,"end_date_iso":306,"captured_at":13,"question":307,"event_slug":308,"category":131},"0x5f55fb4898ca3fae3f87c99eb5530baed89334cc413e650766526cb7c494c04c",35,0.7,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 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