[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x57cc544a71aefae2614746c7f60380289c07882c":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":129,"history":130,"resolved":139,"resolvedSummary":282,"specialization":285,"meta":299},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x57cc544a71aefae2614746c7f60380289c07882c",1652,1257,0.14160700079554495,0.442716662489828,0.12700708454482565,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-10-20T08:12:33.351Z",58.842224749403506,1.3131955484896662,"2026-10-19T23:54:17.000Z",0,"trades",0.06950875543500416,0.07209824536054059,32745.39472664707,73964.67651000021,5.850808941048498,0.00354295837023915,[26,38,47,54,61,69,76,82,90,97,107,114,121],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"93933627431532002514968810193191024181932079727276543084062068006935365748672","0x951088c48f392379dc9b8a3becaad7a939b5fd3124ec98dd167d859350f049fc","Yes",139000.0126,0.1014,"2026-11-06T22:51:25.908Z","Iran full airspace closure by September 30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","2027-01-26T04:59:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]","Geopolitics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":29,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":36,"category":46},"83949391398129766321449386019175318571490128024347049307900487790711865604735","0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59",103102.9568,0.1078,"Israel closes its airspace by July 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by","2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Politics",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":44,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":53,"outcome_prices":36,"category":46},"22322458153537436035969256266907664391697007152860300506602809069522585578342","0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718",134082.9893,0.0457,"Israel closes its airspace by August 31?","2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":55,"condition_id":56,"outcome":29,"size":57,"avg_price":58,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":59,"event_slug":44,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":60,"outcome_prices":36,"category":46},"57183668547172424432356612075515208667422020948179508683908566129801961332276","0xdbaa19c72378f7eb2fc01c0b40404857a1b1e68e3561ce5bbe792a24ce79377e",90036.0446,0.0588,"Israel closes its airspace by August 15?","2026-08-16T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":62,"condition_id":63,"outcome":29,"size":64,"avg_price":65,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":66,"event_slug":67,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":68,"outcome_prices":36,"category":46},"62865105917534279918379008021805675209057971304971907560830989799715631254802","0x0038a19c5f1633b76e9fe194ac391959811cceb05652ba5c6796e37f045e573f",74999.9973,0.0661,"US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?","us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":70,"condition_id":71,"outcome":29,"size":72,"avg_price":73,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":74,"event_slug":44,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":75,"outcome_prices":36,"category":46},"13271459809573599213395755912718751855908430661359993870080462558598871265743","0x6169a5cf74516d65914ddf6b254c65d68dd2bfaab725c056d5db2ad65b9482c2",88888.0451,0.0372,"Israel closes its airspace by July 15?","2026-07-16T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":77,"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"size":79,"avg_price":80,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":81,"event_slug":34,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":68,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"12986041958032490956100187529369728708256259581035618976714497828677868886315","0x3ef582dd2a08ec4df3a237ff16505b0869b92afeb8cbf619ff085695c9bdb542",23000.0328,0.0983,"Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?",{"token_id":83,"condition_id":84,"outcome":29,"size":85,"avg_price":86,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":87,"event_slug":88,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":89,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"37158553842438723612233094615956244324408257743701944759068020968814664642923","0xfedc055699e34eac5f8cd6a1fb1d19e40d87c8e6920b59e741edcb41f8bbdf7d",5116.7689,0.2391,"Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?","iran-closes-its-airspace-byptptpt-20260609184135829","2026-06-15T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":91,"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"size":93,"avg_price":94,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":95,"event_slug":88,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":96,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"74505786964200532243184229995405864533469158942878392859905721872848104846555","0x1c5ecd69199f6ff69425ba9e18d8aa90bb20fb847e949bee98da149ce5888b5f",19191.0021,0.0606,"Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?","2026-06-14T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":98,"condition_id":99,"outcome":100,"size":101,"avg_price":102,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":105,"outcome_prices":106,"category":46},"95751902891351573116963686313213416791947060212591873668506775856748195890181","0xc88e812beb27442554b9231273f6cdda7c96022afc1a5b2a841f03c17dbceaaf","No",10000,0.06,"Iran closes its airspace by June 8?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by","2026-06-08T00:00:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]",{"token_id":108,"condition_id":109,"outcome":29,"size":110,"avg_price":111,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":112,"event_slug":88,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":113,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"55746784087086771827568718041066357959535967490804709487680924093038852162060","0x608b260059adb2315f3a649419ab8f684f0d741db319aae9c08f93fe2a268f31",1327.9554,0.2623,"Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?","2026-06-16T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":115,"condition_id":116,"outcome":29,"size":117,"avg_price":118,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":119,"event_slug":44,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":120,"outcome_prices":36,"category":46},"52297037052047961948880635423329419090381323290184634129409093909890252744609","0x080f9a1940a57f74e1a418810add5ffeed367ba357f5d9e8b40226ed81a4806b",428,0.14,"Israel closes its airspace by July 24?","2026-07-25T03:59:00Z",{"token_id":122,"condition_id":123,"outcome":100,"size":124,"avg_price":125,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"active":17,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":17,"end_date_iso":128,"outcome_prices":106,"category":37},"54486775799097073350117703852347837482875366875903455982474565064932741563538","0x68818a54ca4c49406bb28ada26ecf9ce732dba21505454ce874e7066da6d788c",1340,0.007,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-08-09T23:59:00Z",[],[131,137],{"recorded_date":132,"roi":133,"win_rate":134,"brier_score":135,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":136,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-29",0.7826340621918675,0.1517476555839727,0.1353515329434673,1173,{"recorded_date":138,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-10-20",[140,145,149,155,158,164,168,176,179,182,189,194,199,206,209,212,219,225,227,232,238,244,250,256,259,265,268,271,277,280],{"condition_id":84,"outcome":29,"usdc":141,"entry_price":86,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":143,"captured_at":144,"question":87,"event_slug":88,"category":37},1223.41944399,"live","2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","2026-11-06T22:51:25.918Z",{"condition_id":78,"outcome":29,"usdc":146,"entry_price":147,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":148,"question":81,"event_slug":34,"category":37},1818.1000000000001,0.1,"2026-09-30T00:18:32.172Z",{"condition_id":150,"outcome":29,"usdc":151,"entry_price":152,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":148,"question":153,"event_slug":154,"category":46},"0x837c29e540247f039d6ba40d8b0ce8b9dfd5722167141ee4da4133faf529f681",745.811423,0.0959,"Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?","israeli-airspace-closed-by",{"condition_id":63,"outcome":29,"usdc":156,"entry_price":65,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":157,"question":66,"event_slug":67,"category":46},547.4402,"2026-10-17T13:39:48.557Z",{"condition_id":159,"outcome":29,"usdc":160,"entry_price":147,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":68,"captured_at":161,"question":162,"event_slug":163,"category":46},"0xcee04ba47d02f6c64642369b34193c355f64de1b9ae425c71ea4efef1989d271",562.70111,"2026-10-20T05:29:44.029Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":116,"outcome":29,"usdc":165,"entry_price":118,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":120,"captured_at":167,"question":119,"event_slug":44,"category":46},59.92,"backfill","2026-09-29T19:37:11.326Z",{"condition_id":169,"outcome":29,"usdc":170,"entry_price":171,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":167,"question":173,"event_slug":174,"category":175},"0x09cbe3e796661a1d820580145488ad2ccb9ad1e720efcd64b448bb77b97007c1",3179.067260000001,0.059111180408221636,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",null,{"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"usdc":177,"entry_price":178,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":53,"captured_at":167,"question":52,"event_slug":44,"category":46},10702.418638999998,0.0721060783591857,{"condition_id":92,"outcome":29,"usdc":180,"entry_price":181,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":96,"captured_at":167,"question":95,"event_slug":88,"category":37},1189.089969,0.06129439641962937,{"condition_id":183,"outcome":29,"usdc":184,"entry_price":185,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":167,"question":187,"event_slug":188,"category":175},"0x306d10d4a4d51b41910dbc779ca00908bd917c131541c5c42bbbc736258d2d56",1505.73457,0.07228432669816501,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by March 31?","us-forces-enter-iran-by",{"condition_id":190,"outcome":29,"usdc":191,"entry_price":192,"won":12,"source":166,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":167,"question":193,"event_slug":174,"category":175},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",1105.28,0.11,"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":167,"question":198,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x3953c85ab5e965cb5b3b4deaa2a5294daa6b1165ff83b586804c04a7abf51a13",87.68,0.329624060150376,"Iran full airspace closure by July 31?",{"condition_id":200,"outcome":29,"usdc":201,"entry_price":202,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":203,"captured_at":167,"question":204,"event_slug":205,"category":175},"0x3c6bcb7da14ea576e5af25547dbd96f2bb24ac34e748e76aecff2ee9195dd1ac",1054.090912,0.19997984669168528,"","US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?","us-x-iran-ceasefire-by",{"condition_id":109,"outcome":29,"usdc":207,"entry_price":208,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":113,"captured_at":167,"question":112,"event_slug":88,"category":37},377.51661999999993,0.2165012774170067,{"condition_id":71,"outcome":29,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":167,"question":74,"event_slug":44,"category":46},4701.799933,0.03993950314090648,{"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"usdc":214,"entry_price":215,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":216,"captured_at":167,"question":217,"event_slug":218,"category":175},"0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005",76.68,0.20502673796791446,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":220,"outcome":29,"usdc":221,"entry_price":222,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":223,"captured_at":167,"question":224,"event_slug":44,"category":46},"0x676e7cda423f5826bcbb3c141e808ad7c66bc2d055e4d0aca79c26779712062c",215.33482999999998,0.020422557163217454,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by June 30?",{"condition_id":123,"outcome":100,"usdc":226,"entry_price":125,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":128,"captured_at":167,"question":126,"event_slug":127,"category":37},9.38,{"condition_id":228,"outcome":29,"usdc":229,"entry_price":230,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":167,"question":231,"event_slug":34,"category":37},"0x6c486242e79252cc0bb57163a3b8d95e3b9538ea6a1de2e91848beeb5c6ad986",195.06,0.17557155715571557,"Iran full airspace closure by July 15?",{"condition_id":233,"outcome":29,"usdc":234,"entry_price":235,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":167,"question":236,"event_slug":237,"category":37},"0x7162118722a6abe965c964e8c694ff0f232221d9bb2263bd92e5902633381893",72.75856,0.024335105973089043,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31",{"condition_id":239,"outcome":29,"usdc":240,"entry_price":241,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":186,"captured_at":167,"question":242,"event_slug":243,"category":46},"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7",6072.519270000003,0.01868605342363686,"Netanyahu out by March 31?","netanyahu-out-before-2027",{"condition_id":245,"outcome":100,"usdc":246,"entry_price":247,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":248,"captured_at":167,"question":249,"event_slug":127,"category":37},"0x98f962ca4a21a47b73c8a914d08f224be31bc6dbdc609b3f0edd9654bbc802a1",1024.7092420000001,0.053666705231450375,"2026-08-01T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?",{"condition_id":251,"outcome":29,"usdc":252,"entry_price":253,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":254,"captured_at":167,"question":255,"event_slug":218,"category":175},"0xa5bd4b831f180564aef6a119e1f94a5d574344e25a546b7a1f14aec7cc6e2d83",79.7384,0.17680746805206324,"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?",{"condition_id":40,"outcome":29,"usdc":257,"entry_price":258,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":167,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"category":46},11351.157821000003,0.10756684607076712,{"condition_id":260,"outcome":29,"usdc":261,"entry_price":262,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":167,"question":264,"event_slug":243,"category":46},"0xb37e5f6ece2db9165517b62e3257e0da5d3e79713883cb71c74013fe912e8a4d",2945.817953,0.03427615700010532,"2026-04-30","Netanyahu out by April 30?",{"condition_id":99,"outcome":100,"usdc":266,"entry_price":267,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":105,"captured_at":167,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"category":46},600,0.06000000000000001,{"condition_id":99,"outcome":29,"usdc":269,"entry_price":270,"won":12,"source":166,"end_date_iso":105,"captured_at":167,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"category":46},739.24188,0.06861936232801717,{"condition_id":272,"outcome":29,"usdc":273,"entry_price":274,"won":12,"source":166,"end_date_iso":275,"captured_at":167,"question":276,"event_slug":44,"category":46},"0xcfbc2e5fbabb9e8a03bf234367244d4c97eaaf3ac33e2ba001541ee3e0e62416",6686.91463900001,0.07785531698979933,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by September 30?",{"condition_id":56,"outcome":29,"usdc":278,"entry_price":279,"won":17,"source":166,"end_date_iso":60,"captured_at":167,"question":59,"event_slug":44,"category":46},5828.984959999999,0.061917940851133384,{"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"usdc":281,"entry_price":31,"won":17,"source":142,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":148,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"category":37},14094.601277639998,{"total":283,"wins":284},30,3,[286,291,294],{"category":46,"n":287,"wins":288,"hitRate":289,"roi":290},14,2,0.14285714285714285,0.8675029796812412,{"category":37,"n":292,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":293},10,-1,{"category":295,"n":296,"wins":12,"hitRate":297,"roi":298},"Other",6,0.16666666666666666,0.4353073613622556,{"generatedAt":300},"2026-11-07T00:33:56.917Z"]