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31?","gemini-3pt5-released-by-june-30",null,{"condition_id":96,"outcome":50,"usdc":97,"entry_price":98,"won":17,"source":89,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":99,"event_slug":100,"category":37},"0x092f0fc94b42a22d82d38ea96a905a3624bb57d8f5fea2d503a7a3f0230cb766",37.47225,0.32,"Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?","gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026",{"condition_id":96,"outcome":28,"usdc":102,"entry_price":103,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":99,"event_slug":100,"category":37},3059.88323,0.773561253343517,{"condition_id":105,"outcome":50,"usdc":106,"entry_price":107,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":13,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"category":37},"0x16d45b2ab5298789f42cfa541629526f1717fa3da2f29b9d5c472728f52ff38d",1218.6827250000003,0.6333808327549236,"2026-10-10T03:59:00Z","Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":112,"outcome":28,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":91,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":37},"0x17b5aa1a75422f7de5f7d2e323a4ccfd1b82f1a09655fcd3d423de36a4d96800",164.57779,0.84,"2026-09-28T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260727142323912",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":28,"usdc":120,"entry_price":121,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":91,"question":123,"event_slug":117,"category":37},"0x21bf1efeebc29453cbf2fddc7aad97bcb44b6219c2f20d8b6b6ac299b7830dd1",352.07543999999996,0.801792291823813,"2026-09-25T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?",{"condition_id":125,"outcome":126,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":17,"source":89,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":91,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"category":132},"0x2308d78dccdf19bf2a66acc8af60dfc3a435e7f55482a651e602658e354aac6f","Atlanta Braves",3.72886,0.74,"2026-09-07T22:05:00Z","San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves","mlb-sf-atl-2026-06-18","Sports",{"condition_id":134,"outcome":28,"usdc":135,"entry_price":136,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":137,"captured_at":91,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"category":94},"0x2604ac73c38fe15524889a79bf96bc454e8ee3d3804cbea48645a221c6acad0d",505.10976,0.8250541914203937,"2026-09-11T23:59:00Z","Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 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2026?",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":28,"usdc":154,"entry_price":155,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":151,"captured_at":91,"question":152,"event_slug":139,"category":94},20.73785,0.5675167038,{"condition_id":157,"outcome":28,"usdc":158,"entry_price":159,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":90,"captured_at":91,"question":160,"event_slug":93,"category":94},"0x4370803e1beb74348ca8c60867808df202458112f43ab79000d477bd1074d519",82.073219,0.20541075123439903,"Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?",{"condition_id":162,"outcome":50,"usdc":163,"entry_price":164,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":165,"captured_at":13,"question":166,"event_slug":167,"category":37},"0x4771077222c042d3f8f84ea299786005a1b7e63210310c2cbd2688892edbad0a",49.1662,0.1393841642,"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?","next-google-gemini-flash-lite-model-3pt6-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":169,"outcome":28,"usdc":170,"entry_price":171,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":172,"captured_at":91,"question":173,"event_slug":174,"category":37},"0x4c7a81dd315b1f31d894e751d4b8598ed1ff08f7738ca17f991ac45541ba3248",101.38266,0.667,"2026-09-23T03:59:00Z","Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-onptptpt-20260915",{"condition_id":176,"outcome":50,"usdc":177,"entry_price":178,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":179,"captured_at":91,"question":180,"event_slug":181,"category":182},"0x5187c6fefe08cf4513e08dd31a514b698aaebc18c259b9a98c8170cca2b7d6e8",19.187489,0.7399999945,"2026-09-06T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?","will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-sachsen-anhalt","Politics",{"condition_id":184,"outcome":50,"usdc":185,"entry_price":186,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":165,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":100,"category":37},"0x6753180082c3024e0727352387066cabf13fd2ebea317ec4394baa8d8a86c1ea",1974.3973250000001,0.7285839515391203,"Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":184,"outcome":28,"usdc":189,"entry_price":190,"won":17,"source":89,"end_date_iso":165,"captured_at":13,"question":187,"event_slug":100,"category":37},50.606939999999994,0.023506889725888425,{"condition_id":192,"outcome":28,"usdc":193,"entry_price":194,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":195,"captured_at":91,"question":196,"event_slug":139,"category":94},"0x697168ecbeb500d9de2ae3b9e6788ed27ff64d2245a943c427c0910ef3b1d133",531.3815,0.8606104173087256,"2026-09-09T23:59:00Z","Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 9, 2026?",{"condition_id":198,"outcome":28,"usdc":199,"entry_price":200,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":144,"captured_at":91,"question":201,"event_slug":146,"category":132},"0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892",10.250489,0.1649999879,"Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",{"condition_id":203,"outcome":50,"usdc":204,"entry_price":205,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":91,"question":207,"event_slug":139,"category":94},"0x96d130f5270ce1cd652a785ea4057b5ac2246c014e510324b6983c295dd9f1fc",221.316749,0.8731722877141603,"2026-09-01T23:59:00Z","Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026?",{"condition_id":209,"outcome":28,"usdc":210,"entry_price":211,"won":17,"source":89,"end_date_iso":144,"captured_at":91,"question":212,"event_slug":146,"category":132},"0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894",10.245989,0.179999987,"Will France win the 2026 FIFA World 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2026?","next-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260922131618444",{"condition_id":227,"outcome":28,"usdc":228,"entry_price":229,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":75,"captured_at":13,"question":230,"event_slug":231,"category":37},"0xb594727136f07d03eb9fd2142116ded0ac69bf0bacbace1077f3957d3add8a74",3.64032,0.72,"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?","next-claude-sonnet-released-byptptpt-20260701203831153",{"condition_id":233,"outcome":28,"usdc":234,"entry_price":235,"won":12,"source":89,"end_date_iso":165,"captured_at":91,"question":236,"event_slug":117,"category":37},"0xbdefa3daa643bbcd8591f23e39086253bca68fb9fd01d9d99b8f37c63c250572",8.69658,0.5700000000000001,"Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 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2026?",{"condition_id":269,"outcome":28,"usdc":270,"entry_price":271,"won":17,"source":89,"end_date_iso":272,"captured_at":13,"question":273,"event_slug":274,"category":37},"0xda0dc3b9d21321e7657248b3de8ce18d2cf00472374021d3dd93a342077f7e61",9.66905,0.0020969788,"2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717143435868",{"total":276,"wins":277},33,22,[279,284,290,295,298],{"category":37,"n":280,"wins":281,"hitRate":282,"roi":283},16,11,0.6875,0.22721851950146138,{"category":285,"n":286,"wins":287,"hitRate":288,"roi":289},"Other",8,7,0.875,-0.12943370990195027,{"category":132,"n":291,"wins":292,"hitRate":293,"roi":294},6,2,0.3333333333333333,-0.06006159266796027,{"category":182,"n":292,"wins":12,"hitRate":296,"roi":297},0.5,-0.1163610741063134,{"category":57,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":299},8.090909090909092,{"generatedAt":301},"2026-11-05T15:52:15.425Z"]