[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x4d0e9b029700163625c551a0073636f3dc5ec45b":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":26,"history":27,"resolved":30,"resolvedSummary":634,"specialization":637,"meta":651},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":12,"avg_position_size_usdc":14,"churn_ratio":15,"last_trade_at":16,"wash_suspect":17,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":17},"0x4d0e9b029700163625c551a0073636f3dc5ec45b",5898,753,0.7596281540504648,0.14687755101080335,0.12476725956459739,0.0020000000000000018,1,"2026-09-26T19:41:58.735Z",228.1245649428951,1.2029369773607994,"2026-09-18T22:54:58.000Z",0,"cooccurrence",0.6025494114317386,0.1570787426187251,25230.302200435697,171777.797402,13.705040596924707,0.017264276228419653,[],[],[28],{"recorded_date":29,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-26",[31,41,49,55,62,69,76,84,91,98,106,112,118,124,129,136,143,150,156,163,170,177,184,190,196,202,209,216,223,229,235,242,248,254,260,267,273,279,284,290,296,301,304,310,317,324,330,336,342,349,355,362,368,374,380,387,392,398,404,410,413,418,425,433,438,442,448,450,455,461,466,469,476,481,487,493,499,502,508,514,521,527,533,538,542,548,554,561,567,573,578,582,587,593,598,604,610,615,622,628],{"condition_id":32,"outcome":33,"usdc":34,"entry_price":35,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":38,"event_slug":39,"category":40},"0x022fcc51b213f79cae8ee1d00d432a6a645323216789bbf11de6846c02d884ca","Yes",53.255232,0.0700000001,"backfill","2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?","body-cam-footage-of-maduro-capture-released-buy-jan-31",null,{"condition_id":42,"outcome":43,"usdc":44,"entry_price":45,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":46,"captured_at":13,"question":47,"event_slug":48,"category":40},"0x0272c0588811705a04e10cd53855e9fcc21d7da1ba3b57b9716de98702e30cf3","No",29.363596,0.8683224320005642,"2025-12-17T00:00:00Z","Will Kamala Harris say \"Democracy\" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?","what-will-kamala-harris-say-on-jimmy-kimmel-live-on-december-17",{"condition_id":50,"outcome":33,"usdc":51,"entry_price":52,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":53,"event_slug":54,"category":40},"0x040bb6808948840d6a5f1cefa0742d2bcb990c0ecd2fd28353c5b23d97ec9dfc",651.20676,0.8241350089,"U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?","us-strike-on-somalia-by-january-31-563",{"condition_id":56,"outcome":33,"usdc":57,"entry_price":58,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":59,"captured_at":13,"question":60,"event_slug":61,"category":40},"0x04decd45618afd340d49b8f6faa1ce8942adfcdc609f5b7cabc1d3dfc8c35017",324.62000000000006,0.7803365384615384,"2025-12-16T00:00:00Z","Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?","genesis-cup-winner",{"condition_id":63,"outcome":33,"usdc":64,"entry_price":65,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":66,"captured_at":13,"question":67,"event_slug":68,"category":40},"0x0a2432e431a3dcf47c6a4b27263a9a535d32cbb42223536c6ee0fc582a11a7b0",3.999996,0.1299998986,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say “Little Communist” by February 28?","what-nicknames-will-trump-say-by-february-28",{"condition_id":70,"outcome":43,"usdc":71,"entry_price":72,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":74,"event_slug":75,"category":40},"0x0f1436851188b2ace8c83413e5e9f7bbd6a9b3a92173fe8a2350f6ce09b36107",296.1397,0.5306117074,"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","ICE Shooter fired\u002Fresigns by March 31?","ice-shooter-fired-by-march-31",{"condition_id":77,"outcome":43,"usdc":78,"entry_price":79,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":81,"event_slug":82,"category":83},"0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517",21.5,0.43,"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?","elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027","Tech",{"condition_id":85,"outcome":33,"usdc":86,"entry_price":87,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":89,"event_slug":90,"category":40},"0x114a17ed50c427484851fa3ab217848ca81a7f95a29b5fa1c4663798764e266c",575.63456,0.861883212564248,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?","will-trump-admin-release-any-epstein-related-files-on-959",{"condition_id":92,"outcome":43,"usdc":93,"entry_price":94,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":95,"captured_at":13,"question":96,"event_slug":97,"category":40},"0x121ddb18cb638c42484d000ba7c09959e6957d7c3a42466df18b8fc0857fda5e",758.1588,0.86,"2025-12-08T00:00:00Z","Will Sam Altman say \"Elon\" or \"Musk\" on The Tonight Show on December 8?","what-will-sam-altman-say-on-the-tonight-show-on-december-8",{"condition_id":99,"outcome":43,"usdc":100,"entry_price":101,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":102,"captured_at":13,"question":103,"event_slug":104,"category":105},"0x124030560ccc656a379a7eadf65fa8cf0a44120cbc3e80eaba7f8e65195e674c",316.2992,0.4911173219204398,"2026-04-01T03:59:00Z","Weed rescheduled by March 31?","weed-rescheduled-by-march-31","Politics",{"condition_id":107,"outcome":43,"usdc":108,"entry_price":109,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":110,"event_slug":111,"category":40},"0x14823b0e1d93a06fd9ee287b5a437f98642213aa3a45d04a070a9e03282059b9",4141.6940159999995,0.8718711477398365,"Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?","will-the-gvle-goat-burn-in-2025",{"condition_id":113,"outcome":33,"usdc":114,"entry_price":115,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":40},"0x156214d3d62322c191dafef0e6d9233f76bcd98bf49b035a644954795c49e5c8",1778.69576,0.8760667086831416,"Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?","will-venezuela-give-the-us-oil-by-january-31",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":33,"usdc":120,"entry_price":121,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":122,"event_slug":123,"category":40},"0x18d1268816b733248d3137257c7ee20f43a758f01529c7c002906ad687370fa1",7.1128,0.68,"Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?","will-trump-admin-release-any-more-epstein-related-files-by-845",{"condition_id":125,"outcome":33,"usdc":126,"entry_price":127,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":66,"captured_at":13,"question":128,"event_slug":68,"category":40},"0x1d8d41292d9ef873d93be22ae11fd90c05dfc0cc1680fddce52b1d78cc967bc8",3,0.1,"Will Trump say “Piggy” by February 28?",{"condition_id":130,"outcome":33,"usdc":131,"entry_price":132,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":133,"captured_at":13,"question":134,"event_slug":135,"category":40},"0x1def85e5b4bdac3772f5913f32e460faa0b6347fa5fb7270b4c4b77e4748bda8",17.700000000000003,0.07695652173478261,"2025-11-21T00:00:00Z","Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?","will-israel-strike-gaza-on-379",{"condition_id":137,"outcome":43,"usdc":138,"entry_price":139,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":141,"event_slug":142,"category":40},"0x1e8919b5aaf519a7260c30a94503feedd3cac8a42d275617e16376f2c8d9ca33",650.95,0.3741091954,"2026-01-01T05:00:00Z","Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?","will-kabuto-1st-edition-card-hit-100-by-december-31",{"condition_id":144,"outcome":43,"usdc":145,"entry_price":146,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":148,"event_slug":149,"category":40},"0x1ee6eb44dd45bf0c414fa5eb233a5c90f840ccbc13e12bbfc07141a2d7c11089",2.9394,0.046,"2026-01-17T00:00:00Z","Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 31?","russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-by-423",{"condition_id":151,"outcome":43,"usdc":152,"entry_price":153,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":154,"event_slug":155,"category":40},"0x23fd2b26c4e095465ba0d2ebce8d5eda57009ddc59aad8b68ab19ca968b41eed",14658.463963,0.7326481061462785,"Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","israel-strikes-iran-by-january-31-2026",{"condition_id":157,"outcome":33,"usdc":158,"entry_price":159,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":161,"event_slug":162,"category":40},"0x2865bc483dd523f4a36eb961f7467c8635ee9a13f39748bad55f645ce1f61512",1682.8945330000001,0.7498984182545317,"2025-12-31T12:00:00Z","Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?","trump-declassifies-ufo-files-in-2025",{"condition_id":164,"outcome":33,"usdc":165,"entry_price":166,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":167,"captured_at":13,"question":168,"event_slug":169,"category":40},"0x2ba16793cb4f301e3614e508b0a30c4140f5a219a20cec37d93ad883172a283e",181.99,0.725059760936255,"2026-01-09T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Biden\" during oil executive meetings on Friday?","what-will-trump-say-during-oil-executive-meetings-on-friday",{"condition_id":171,"outcome":43,"usdc":172,"entry_price":173,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":174,"captured_at":13,"question":175,"event_slug":176,"category":40},"0x2d4d7f2eea43913d65c93351621a733f66ec079e111c278b34e8cc9e06ebe751",1104.9987330000001,0.7366666411729123,"2026-01-15T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":178,"outcome":43,"usdc":179,"entry_price":180,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":181,"captured_at":13,"question":182,"event_slug":183,"category":40},"0x2d8df77da52cde87078501a9aa732d414d1fb5efadfedf6480258584a71a0229",2671.34299,0.890843384,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?","who-will-attend-cristiano-ronaldos-wedding-20260803185630253",{"condition_id":185,"outcome":33,"usdc":186,"entry_price":187,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":188,"event_slug":189,"category":40},"0x2e3e66b987c18192252b8d4a8b4a459bbf3f9e11c9977022dc3668a964586714",890,0.89,"Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?","who-makes-times-2025-person-of-the-year-shortlist",{"condition_id":191,"outcome":33,"usdc":192,"entry_price":193,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":195,"category":40},"0x2e9325844cccb59ab5c8a439922f15a338f8397609cfeb910612551b3890c8ea",1324.05969,0.8066451956776293,"Will the US strike Syria next?","next-country-us-strikes-759",{"condition_id":197,"outcome":43,"usdc":198,"entry_price":199,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":200,"event_slug":201,"category":40},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",17199.976654000002,0.860000000234411,"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":203,"outcome":33,"usdc":204,"entry_price":205,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":40},"0x35155be9ad199e97505970a5dfb2b4bca7a9d1bb7b731389a590091997998a78",0.999999,0.77,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?","tesla-launches-unsupervised-full-self-driving-fsd-by",{"condition_id":210,"outcome":43,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":213,"captured_at":13,"question":214,"event_slug":215,"category":40},"0x37d63093a9192173604a75f514aa5290a13a4b89230a41b3853bd070dd085478",14.706879,0.8510000476,"2026-01-12T00:00:00Z","Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?","another-us-strike-on-venezuela-on",{"condition_id":217,"outcome":43,"usdc":218,"entry_price":219,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":220,"captured_at":13,"question":221,"event_slug":222,"category":105},"0x386c1da56d757c6920fc73535aba510300e9cd666c0312d11b4cc03f097fb487",559.4056,0.804599142720401,"2026-02-01T04:59:00Z","US strike on Mexico by January 31?","us-strike-on-mexico-by",{"condition_id":224,"outcome":33,"usdc":225,"entry_price":226,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":227,"event_slug":228,"category":40},"0x3b7e03065f6437f93e3aa6fc2cb4ac0af068d7c8b0ffb32e26296b078feaa507",28.7448,0.696,"US strikes Nigeria by December 31?","us-strikes-nigeria-by",{"condition_id":230,"outcome":43,"usdc":231,"entry_price":232,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":233,"event_slug":234,"category":40},"0x3fdc517f194afd986c6612ff991750cc8a734ba384f182e9d151acdc5844376d",169.206788,0.7695454088611114,"Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?","anyone-charged-for-doxing-delta-force-commander-heading-maduro-grab-by-march-31",{"condition_id":236,"outcome":43,"usdc":237,"entry_price":238,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":239,"captured_at":13,"question":240,"event_slug":241,"category":40},"0x43ef6215de269ea2f38e405a1fac985a60611efa3d7a75cf4e75608490babfc1",2322.22551,0.8646791317,"2026-01-11T00:00:00Z","Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?","golden-globes-best-actress-limited-series-winner",{"condition_id":243,"outcome":43,"usdc":244,"entry_price":94,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":246,"event_slug":247,"category":40},"0x46d1e4a7e9d99abe8a972321550b581c1650d8341837848235ffededbc2c7a8a",5.16,"2026-03-05T00:00:00Z","Will Hegseth or Cooper say \"Germany\" during press conference?","what-will-secretary-hegseth-or-brad-cooper-say-during-their-press-conference",{"condition_id":249,"outcome":43,"usdc":250,"entry_price":251,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":252,"event_slug":253,"category":40},"0x4716f56690cd83f251b5b431766faa095aee930f969994c134f0cd2b50956e0c",36.9116,0.44,"Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?","trump-imposes-tariff-on-semiconductors-by-december-31",{"condition_id":255,"outcome":33,"usdc":256,"entry_price":257,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":140,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":259,"category":40},"0x478dfc905dd9f44631e7b3a2a76f8aaf5680bc77fd17fe79179664b0ca819a18",2610,0.87,"Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?","lighter-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch",{"condition_id":261,"outcome":43,"usdc":262,"entry_price":263,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":264,"captured_at":13,"question":265,"event_slug":266,"category":40},"0x4a82344b10b98ef371f09bdb08044e65929f8ac98af63e8dd2d5897c548b4e9c",324.8888,0.8927478567,"2026-01-02T12:00:00Z","Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?","will-trump-spend-25-of-2025-presidency-golfing",{"condition_id":268,"outcome":43,"usdc":269,"entry_price":270,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":271,"event_slug":272,"category":40},"0x4babebd2b4fb3faf6a3e2754d57920bcfb240d53e4d4a53dbaef11fd43381465",1625.998998,0.5810990855526069,"U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?","us-forces-seize-another-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-in-2025",{"condition_id":274,"outcome":33,"usdc":275,"entry_price":276,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":277,"event_slug":278,"category":40},"0x5044e75774b0875755446e54b096dede8f16d368381f906129de2f08ee39b4e8",106.0204,0.8808607511,"Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?","brown-university-shooter-arrested-by-december-19",{"condition_id":280,"outcome":43,"usdc":281,"entry_price":282,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":283,"event_slug":208,"category":40},"0x51b68255809008f82d48f3337c24b601326e75a25ea447d37ad3f084cd349bac",305.32259999999997,0.2042851885783151,"Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?",{"condition_id":285,"outcome":33,"usdc":286,"entry_price":287,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":288,"event_slug":289,"category":40},"0x52fb484e025183c14352fb7ed58cf7c4c54571184a6f5abbd56a7cb81de7751a",62.596,0.7101883367,"Will Jensen Huang be the Financial Times Person of the Year for 2025?","financial-times-person-of-the-year-2025",{"condition_id":291,"outcome":33,"usdc":292,"entry_price":293,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":294,"event_slug":295,"category":40},"0x5a54c2fe06f97a6abf5f7790d9d19e42680ae1ca61b344360deabaab28bd0f30",19.16958,0.1934953063444837,"Weed rescheduled in 2025?","weed-rescheduled-in-2025",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":43,"usdc":298,"entry_price":299,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":149,"category":40},"0x5b92f9be4bb37e3a66da22682f24053a98898e7988ab50a3226de825f2d2da23",80.28084,0.051064039292998166,"Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?",{"condition_id":297,"outcome":33,"usdc":302,"entry_price":303,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":147,"captured_at":13,"question":300,"event_slug":149,"category":40},255.89464,0.7944817908474775,{"condition_id":305,"outcome":33,"usdc":306,"entry_price":307,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":308,"event_slug":309,"category":40},"0x5d0d518e9d8b49595b5fb28b024d96b78e9ff0a8aecc8c2ef3dd404e4ae58952",621.4831,0.8325850358,"Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?","will-an-fbi-top-ten-most-wanted-fugitive-be-captured-by-march-31",{"condition_id":311,"outcome":33,"usdc":312,"entry_price":313,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":314,"captured_at":13,"question":315,"event_slug":316,"category":40},"0x60613b262912ce2e3138ec5610a31a2f932b6300843c094053cb33aaff9f2238",1091.52054,0.479846013,"2026-08-17T23:59:00Z","Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?","kai-and-speed-beat-minecraft-challenge-byptptpt-20260807141254095",{"condition_id":318,"outcome":43,"usdc":319,"entry_price":320,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":13,"question":322,"event_slug":323,"category":40},"0x620d24e05a0839f300f9d970dd0cf742ecc25e9542720146591a7c4426deb1a5",1560.3327,0.7124806849231886,"2026-01-16T00:00:00Z","Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?","what-will-the-usisrael-target-in-iran-by-january-31",{"condition_id":325,"outcome":43,"usdc":326,"entry_price":327,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"category":40},"0x62b0cd598091a179147acbd4616400f804acfdff6f76f029944b481b37cbd45f",823.410598,0.7600000016616362,"US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?","us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-by",{"condition_id":331,"outcome":43,"usdc":332,"entry_price":333,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":335,"event_slug":176,"category":40},"0x64b14a09a6cf9dc02b840bc83f4dcfd41ca6108544c47ecabc6e5d00bc15fd2e",3365.173105,0.6282260113656796,"2026-01-14T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?",{"condition_id":337,"outcome":33,"usdc":338,"entry_price":339,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":340,"captured_at":13,"question":341,"event_slug":278,"category":40},"0x670969d763adec7e5e61ed35427285657232718a9362629299b922c0478c5a9f",158.3,0.3681395349,"2025-12-19T00:00:00Z","Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?",{"condition_id":343,"outcome":33,"usdc":344,"entry_price":345,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":346,"captured_at":13,"question":347,"event_slug":348,"category":40},"0x6d0e09d0f04572d9b1adad84703458b0297bc5603b69dccbde93147ee4443246",10054.2855,0.8699999999999999,"2026-04-30T00:00:00Z","US forces enter Iran by April 30?","us-forces-enter-iran-by-april-30-899",{"condition_id":350,"outcome":43,"usdc":351,"entry_price":352,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":353,"event_slug":354,"category":40},"0x705bc966a97d10bb9ceea5ffe8997ec12a30df3e5c6a82995f0606e37fc3970b",17.9575,0.8571599045,"Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?","israel-military-action-against-beirut-on",{"condition_id":356,"outcome":43,"usdc":357,"entry_price":358,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":359,"captured_at":13,"question":360,"event_slug":361,"category":40},"0x7ea3d945fcf0bc99b9475addd3e06cc59e3f8312074e0639db54d8f3f9252658",326.186,0.8977431607,"2026-04-03T00:00:00Z","Will \"Ayatollah\" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?","what-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-march-6",{"condition_id":363,"outcome":43,"usdc":364,"entry_price":365,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":366,"event_slug":367,"category":105},"0x7f3c6b9029a1a4a932509c147a2cc0762e1116b7a4568cde472908b29dd4889d",2481.71485,0.8491026772831963,"Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?","will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025",{"condition_id":369,"outcome":43,"usdc":370,"entry_price":371,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":372,"event_slug":373,"category":40},"0x81f8c8407835a6fc57dae9ea0450f2eec2af11c882920ca7359bc0bca5cf233f",13485.770661,0.8393716205951349,"Will Jim Hopper die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?","who-will-die-in-stranger-things-season-5",{"condition_id":375,"outcome":43,"usdc":376,"entry_price":377,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":378,"event_slug":379,"category":40},"0x82b651b86d9557cc1effd968da2224d44d6c08e699c1e2a1c56550780e4b0000",56.83554,0.8911185325,"Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?","usisrael-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":381,"outcome":43,"usdc":382,"entry_price":383,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":13,"question":385,"event_slug":386,"category":40},"0x8427c2ae944bb1394023d89ef399ba36c73788901c17787f9a50f19991dfeef7",143.53965,0.6473440856037748,"2026-01-05T00:00:00Z","Will Jensen Huang say \"Grok\" during NVIDIA keynote?","what-will-jensen-huang-say-during-nvidia-keynote",{"condition_id":388,"outcome":43,"usdc":389,"entry_price":390,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":391,"event_slug":176,"category":40},"0x843913ab7d12cd0603524e2766ce3d128997bd0f64bfc6385a4a579552ecd152",130.547999,0.8800000110421748,"US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?",{"condition_id":393,"outcome":43,"usdc":394,"entry_price":395,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":396,"event_slug":397,"category":40},"0x8b542974121a934ca9dd13d11eacaebca7ce465fcc3146df90605aae897605e6",171.5485,0.253174486,"US strikes Iraq by March 7?","us-strikes-iraq-by",{"condition_id":399,"outcome":43,"usdc":400,"entry_price":401,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":334,"captured_at":13,"question":402,"event_slug":403,"category":40},"0x8cdd0b8c5f41fe7cbbabd6fb13e46a5f7b9c606108a4f17c10c47c28e5c44630",455.8832,0.8841113955,"Will Trump say \"Maria\" or \"Nobel\" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?","what-will-trump-say-during-signing-ceremony-on-january-14",{"condition_id":405,"outcome":43,"usdc":406,"entry_price":407,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":408,"event_slug":409,"category":40},"0x8e4883bc524ed82e5ab677336b57669cedb8c29f368e548bbf615c664429060a",3215.1489699999997,0.7461993107233444,"Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?","who-will-leave-trump-administration-in-2025",{"condition_id":405,"outcome":33,"usdc":411,"entry_price":412,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":160,"captured_at":13,"question":408,"event_slug":409,"category":40},2146.32492,0.88440045,{"condition_id":414,"outcome":43,"usdc":415,"entry_price":416,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":95,"captured_at":13,"question":417,"event_slug":97,"category":40},"0x950867d014f5554e58dd351ccee33fe8a970244db9f849715658ff6ec3edf3b2",3433.571688,0.2631615175093461,"Will Sam Altman say \"Car\" or \"Tesla\" on The Tonight Show on December 8?",{"condition_id":419,"outcome":33,"usdc":420,"entry_price":421,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":423,"event_slug":424,"category":40},"0x98d9142164ad6512a4c70eb17abc9f4d6d20f1c5afdab302805048ac75364a42",445.6041,0.8585159139950679,"","Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?","how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-december",{"condition_id":426,"outcome":33,"usdc":427,"entry_price":428,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":429,"captured_at":13,"question":430,"event_slug":431,"category":432},"0x98f962ca4a21a47b73c8a914d08f224be31bc6dbdc609b3f0edd9654bbc802a1",1657.7439,0.79,"2026-08-01T23:59:00Z","Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":434,"outcome":33,"usdc":435,"entry_price":436,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":95,"captured_at":13,"question":437,"event_slug":97,"category":40},"0x9914d326ccdbdee546c4acd309175a2a8b3a7dc68fe2f6acff0344fa98fb13ed",533.8272,0.6173268265599405,"Will Sam Altman say \"Polymarket\" or \"Bet\" on The Tonight Show on December 8?",{"condition_id":439,"outcome":43,"usdc":440,"entry_price":205,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":441,"event_slug":373,"category":40},"0x9d1f24bd5ebb9dfd808d1dca77f304f39ff7b8d63c0a60d372df2472838baa5e",308,"Will Murray die in \"Stranger Things: Season 5\"?",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":43,"usdc":444,"entry_price":445,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":40},"0xa2fc72c6a3f886f62501c9fb2b7df5da3a2f6a3f322712bb7d4a955417dd0c4c",263.15706,0.6836873925364914,"Will Donald Trump say \"nuclear\" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?","what-will-trump-say-during-netanyahu-event-on-monday",{"condition_id":443,"outcome":33,"usdc":204,"entry_price":449,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":446,"event_slug":447,"category":40},0.54,{"condition_id":451,"outcome":33,"usdc":452,"entry_price":453,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":194,"event_slug":454,"category":40},"0xa6b257cd12864be31b73abe92dfae81a493f88443a221bf968f027a04665827b",33.32729,0.052763108715800144,"next-country-us-strikes-329",{"condition_id":456,"outcome":43,"usdc":457,"entry_price":458,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":459,"event_slug":460,"category":40},"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d",15659.999488999998,0.7830000063167579,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31",{"condition_id":462,"outcome":43,"usdc":463,"entry_price":464,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":465,"event_slug":247,"category":40},"0xaaede21b0da1a4ca0f583fcbb72d788f37ba1393cbfb1f8591af6731481426b8",6.999982,0.8679120079,"Will Hegseth or Cooper say \"Israel\" during press conference?",{"condition_id":467,"outcome":43,"usdc":244,"entry_price":94,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":245,"captured_at":13,"question":468,"event_slug":247,"category":40},"0xab0564305d3cab2af4826bed5bea686e16353c36ea1c224382764e7655ec1e73","Will Hegseth or Cooper say \"Kurd\" or \"Kurdish\" during press conference?",{"condition_id":470,"outcome":33,"usdc":471,"entry_price":472,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":473,"captured_at":13,"question":474,"event_slug":475,"category":40},"0xab6d2df129b0309cf97b1999bc336b948af50d57f5f905d3f228fa1736735737",413.154109,0.270760205115484,"2025-12-14T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Luck\" this week? (December 8 - 14)","what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-8-14",{"condition_id":477,"outcome":43,"usdc":478,"entry_price":479,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":480,"event_slug":176,"category":40},"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6",15056.879129,0.7503165073874227,"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":482,"outcome":33,"usdc":483,"entry_price":484,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":13,"question":485,"event_slug":486,"category":40},"0xac4e6967424e299d0c4e83b99a2f2f69262ef8c6f09bd4519dfcf26fe231f295",124.0032,0.8970787817,"Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?","how-long-will-trump-and-machado-shake-hands-for-when-they-meet",{"condition_id":488,"outcome":33,"usdc":489,"entry_price":490,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":491,"event_slug":492,"category":40},"0xac9c6628a5398bb2a06f566854270a9fbc7f2badec4329d3b5fdc1407291c35b",10775.547244,0.6086394671515827,"Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?","will-trump-release-epstein-files-by",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":43,"usdc":495,"entry_price":496,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":40},"0xb3dbb0f2e1df15cc820e0cde749eb112bf160994ec53a8ac57dceff9dbe5007e",14.58579,0.692582621082621,"Will Melania say \"Career\" during AI talk on Friday?","what-will-melania-say-during-ai-talk-on-january-16",{"condition_id":494,"outcome":33,"usdc":500,"entry_price":501,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":321,"captured_at":13,"question":497,"event_slug":498,"category":40},88.77194,0.009197060616835498,{"condition_id":503,"outcome":33,"usdc":504,"entry_price":505,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":506,"event_slug":507,"category":40},"0xb4699aae791042e3f7f993c422abd540a0ae8347110b85aec7b2de56fba64c58",317.1348,0.8362818417,"Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by March 31?","will-trump-meet-with-elon-musk-again-by-143",{"condition_id":509,"outcome":43,"usdc":510,"entry_price":511,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":512,"event_slug":513,"category":40},"0xb46ce3cb5440e8f4de4646d4940786c7660271bc961ef8108645438b8ba7c095",3786.324,0.8476876406406898,"Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?","will-israel-strike-lebanon-on-928",{"condition_id":515,"outcome":43,"usdc":516,"entry_price":517,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":518,"captured_at":13,"question":519,"event_slug":520,"category":40},"0xb48621f7eba07b0a3eeabc6afb09ae42490239903997b9d412b0f69aeb040c8b",223.38457,0.8404274662538971,"2026-03-31T12:00:00Z","BitBoy convicted?","bitboy-convicted",{"condition_id":522,"outcome":43,"usdc":523,"entry_price":524,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"category":40},"0xb9f9894ef590fed56dc4e2d7f43b2fd54e24db31fbe55e0cc0894d09f6940289",435.22188100000005,0.3504658906235323,"Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?","who-will-trump-talk-to-in-december",{"condition_id":528,"outcome":43,"usdc":529,"entry_price":530,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":422,"captured_at":13,"question":531,"event_slug":532,"category":40},"0xbb8bfdef9052b2709557a6f8f28b23551e3134bfb86eca800211e2191703ee65",1.19115,0.003,"US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?","us-forces-in-venezuela-by",{"condition_id":534,"outcome":33,"usdc":535,"entry_price":205,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":536,"event_slug":537,"category":40},"0xc310111e85da23a374b77940202a89bc5c9728142fb87c6ac7c861fc09cab14d",229.1751,"Will Tim Walz activate the National Guard in MN by March 31?","will-tim-walz-activate-the-national-guard-in-mn-by-march-31",{"condition_id":539,"outcome":33,"usdc":540,"entry_price":187,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":541,"event_slug":123,"category":40},"0xc3d4691705e7faf887878a43c9de85300978b6ea6b06c0ca4d8345d75dc0b2ce",17.8,"Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?",{"condition_id":543,"outcome":43,"usdc":544,"entry_price":545,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":546,"event_slug":547,"category":40},"0xc607fa86d41d0439359936dda8fa37fa0441acfe8d8dfeac7722657a989e9de6",32.999999,0.06474285541818371,"Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?","will-trump-media-buy-more-bitcoin-in-2025",{"condition_id":549,"outcome":33,"usdc":550,"entry_price":551,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":552,"event_slug":553,"category":40},"0xcba204b7a703575161f6800fd5ebabb1d5af956c0cd60bce8656d9d3244a8b10",509.19849,0.8908768654890216,"Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?","next-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-on",{"condition_id":555,"outcome":33,"usdc":556,"entry_price":557,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":558,"captured_at":13,"question":559,"event_slug":560,"category":40},"0xcbbe6df0a797a1960cfd73c4c88af160393a3397d9471569acf0a38aad347312",111.6236,0.8814245104,"2025-12-23T00:00:00Z","Will Trump say \"Opera\" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?","what-will-trump-say-during-kennedy-center-honors-on-december-7",{"condition_id":562,"outcome":43,"usdc":563,"entry_price":564,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":220,"captured_at":13,"question":565,"event_slug":566,"category":105},"0xcbe30240b93abedbe902e432dd78392a9be1a0c6cd16561f20e6e5820e1406d1",3028.60702,0.7837502801420329,"Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?","delcy-rodrguez-out-as-leader-of-venezuela-by",{"condition_id":568,"outcome":43,"usdc":569,"entry_price":570,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":571,"event_slug":572,"category":40},"0xd054d5a23d72e41369a4bdd3a7170b9a55ea1b8023cd579588692ec0a7601288",1699.9949,0.85,"Will the US strike Iran next?","next-country-us-strikes-457",{"condition_id":574,"outcome":43,"usdc":575,"entry_price":576,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":577,"event_slug":379,"category":40},"0xd30db058400adc67ec707baf62fffef82575b140c3a4b5daab341a5c837a4ce9",2002.8759519999999,0.8642970842887125,"Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?",{"condition_id":579,"outcome":33,"usdc":64,"entry_price":580,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":66,"captured_at":13,"question":581,"event_slug":68,"category":40},"0xd5394b5031bf86d12f8a697ffb2e53e2bb76c69accd954fb18369f6687554349",0.1909998489,"Will Trump say “Comrade Kamala” by February 28?",{"condition_id":583,"outcome":33,"usdc":584,"entry_price":585,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":13,"question":586,"event_slug":386,"category":40},"0xd5d6ba606b9bd590e73f7fb2499c5d3372db45af92fac906f479726e5a02cc67",4,0.08,"Will Jensen Huang say \"Million\" or \"Billion\" or \"Trillion\" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?",{"condition_id":588,"outcome":33,"usdc":589,"entry_price":590,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":88,"captured_at":13,"question":591,"event_slug":592,"category":40},"0xd69bb3e836f197604e8adea058b673dc7a9e4f3425351c06644136e5616a84c0",3.978,0.034,"NATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?","nato-downs-another-russian-drone-by-september-30",{"condition_id":594,"outcome":33,"usdc":595,"entry_price":596,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":80,"captured_at":13,"question":597,"event_slug":454,"category":40},"0xd8a8fbacfbb4b7748d7b78fd1a37b2ea0b3c2552bfcccf81b7fcdfea81076132",2169.0617279999997,0.5439913641346706,"Will the US strike Somalia next?",{"condition_id":599,"outcome":43,"usdc":600,"entry_price":601,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":602,"event_slug":603,"category":40},"0xd8e274035eb0796d8ccdce2ead07a5eb7f14164f5e1e8826c4bbba070002af0b",933.7376800000002,0.8133002882004059,"U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?","us-strike-on-nigeria-by",{"condition_id":605,"outcome":43,"usdc":606,"entry_price":607,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":37,"captured_at":13,"question":608,"event_slug":609,"category":40},"0xe346a24abde8bf73249bd5c37a969443ddf3ec06dd18bfe72eb63a1ccc2a43bc",135.5,0.43709677419354837,"ICE shooter charged by March 31?","ice-shooter-charged-by-march-31",{"condition_id":611,"outcome":33,"usdc":612,"entry_price":94,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":384,"captured_at":13,"question":613,"event_slug":614,"category":40},"0xe377cc3f81cabf05e05be23be9be14a889c34f35eb38e6d166da4448d4b7850c",190.92,"Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?","nicols-maduro-seen-in-public-by-january-5",{"condition_id":616,"outcome":43,"usdc":617,"entry_price":618,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":619,"captured_at":13,"question":620,"event_slug":621,"category":105},"0xeab018c7bf997a0b0a9f2c678ff7ea48e68d49bad09a5dbb89a5321c87a4da2b",2223.91908,0.8310866228443525,"2026-06-02T00:00:00Z","Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner",{"condition_id":623,"outcome":33,"usdc":624,"entry_price":625,"won":17,"source":36,"end_date_iso":73,"captured_at":13,"question":626,"event_slug":627,"category":40},"0xee056c76b251b5833f2b83fe4e7b868c7ff94138150437227b98c12e61db9069",673.802,0.3743427632,"Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition","nothing-ever-happens-us-strike-edition",{"condition_id":629,"outcome":43,"usdc":630,"entry_price":631,"won":12,"source":36,"end_date_iso":46,"captured_at":13,"question":632,"event_slug":633,"category":40},"0xef90eab3e4a4bc29196084043db8c23c599c2c1ae5ef2bfa00b3c46ad3ec5a02",30.714285,0.8600000213,"Will Trump say \"MAGA\" or \"Make America Great Again\" while addressing the nation on December 17?","what-will-trump-say-during-the-address-on-december-17",{"total":635,"wins":636},107,77,[638,644,647,649],{"category":639,"n":640,"wins":641,"hitRate":642,"roi":643},"Other",100,71,0.71,0.1402802798412155,{"category":105,"n":645,"wins":645,"hitRate":12,"roi":646},5,0.2546208330895915,{"category":83,"n":12,"wins":17,"hitRate":17,"roi":648},-1,{"category":432,"n":12,"wins":12,"hitRate":12,"roi":650},0.26582278481012644,{"generatedAt":652},"2026-09-27T14:25:43.455Z"]