[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":801,"history":802,"resolved":811,"resolvedSummary":1179,"specialization":1182,"meta":1208},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed",8131,565,0.9469026548672567,0.04674227469779842,0.05889862506346973,0.0020000000000000018,0,"2026-09-30T08:10:27.737Z",1,331.5984092371681,1.6018518518518519,"2026-09-30T12:58:54.000Z","trades",0.8494301198989402,0.09747253496831845,8757.310122662928,187353.10121899997,8.565664142666346,0.017699115044247787,[26,38,47,55,63,71,79,88,95,103,112,120,128,135,142,149,159,167,175,185,193,202,211,220,228,236,244,253,259,267,276,284,292,300,309,316,323,331,338,346,353,361,369,377,386,395,404,411,419,426,434,443,451,458,466,475,482,489,496,504,512,520,528,536,542,550,556,564,570,576,582,590,597,606,615,621,628,634,639,649,658,665,670,677,684,692,698,707,713,720,726,734,742,749,755,761,769,778,785,792],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":33,"event_slug":34,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":36,"category":37},"87073899845581463485186346288398658568334162612963837182986759797304993556208","0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d","No",184999.9138,0.8792,"2026-09-30T13:12:41.771Z","Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?","putin-out-before-2027","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0275\", \"0.9725\"]","Politics",{"token_id":39,"condition_id":40,"outcome":29,"size":41,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":43,"event_slug":44,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":37},"108308183073891946533642360856234559374146268200961511650206295005007824881339","0xbc0079f0872035a9eccf8920c3ceb807750685c25a5f5dcd8a8a235a34cd7bb0",100000,0.9979,"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?","will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by","2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",{"token_id":48,"condition_id":49,"outcome":29,"size":50,"avg_price":51,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":52,"event_slug":53,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":54,"category":37},"43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901","0x094772b3529f455e881a4483eaf1c24266384f55e97c23f24f638f5726ba9920",87726.4338,0.9844,"Iran leadership change by September 30?","iran-leadership-change-by","[\"0.0015\", \"0.9985\"]",{"token_id":56,"condition_id":57,"outcome":29,"size":58,"avg_price":59,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":60,"event_slug":61,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":62},"91998194726136927632450483424614012890691446509262750452187052878486812367191","0x46477994c02fdd4f7be7eacc58d343457d80333d92e5c4ad9a3117274d0e5639",77752.119,0.9831,"Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?","kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31","Geopolitics",{"token_id":64,"condition_id":65,"outcome":29,"size":66,"avg_price":67,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":68,"event_slug":69,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":70,"category":37},"1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241","0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846",77999.8709,0.8182,"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027","[\"0.145\", \"0.855\"]",{"token_id":72,"condition_id":73,"outcome":29,"size":74,"avg_price":75,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":76,"event_slug":77,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":78,"category":37},"76326875711147697076353707331532227929486722415800396469798548611383212234361","0xf2bf04609e7458df56c9bb4b1e051286dea11da1c944bbc1dafbcc6b76904e52",73607.5088,0.8173,"NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?","nato-x-russia-military-clash-in-2025","[\"0.235\", \"0.765\"]",{"token_id":80,"condition_id":81,"outcome":29,"size":82,"avg_price":83,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":84,"event_slug":85,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":86,"outcome_prices":87,"category":37},"7565921021555775006041943394390068423142281108752994121417017072842379450830","0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced",62952.4771,0.9549,"Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","brazil-presidential-election","2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",{"token_id":89,"condition_id":90,"outcome":29,"size":91,"avg_price":92,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":93,"event_slug":94,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":87,"category":37},"79085628201281122481883578594811594592260824252373059797032000397035131450743","0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b",51182.2958,0.9659,"Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?","bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by",{"token_id":96,"condition_id":97,"outcome":29,"size":98,"avg_price":99,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":100,"event_slug":101,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":102,"category":37},"100292172522149577922637436103132246456042318074117879550513151144706945321275","0x176e84015b1cc54d470836ef1d8a60753e17fa232d9b55e9aa8dde580d03f436",56739.3807,0.8606,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?","friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027","[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",{"token_id":104,"condition_id":105,"outcome":29,"size":106,"avg_price":107,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":108,"event_slug":109,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":110,"category":111},"43681720319477188597878188429504394796986333625436226983885469009299707562545","0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1",51870.8869,0.9216,"Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","ballon-dor-winner-2026","[\"0.042\", \"0.958\"]","Sports",{"token_id":113,"condition_id":114,"outcome":29,"size":115,"avg_price":116,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":117,"event_slug":118,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":119,"category":37},"72433435487515814631344400459815549868044734165082020724691045649454520502781","0xbe9d61d80c767264a0adc8a16453fbcaf0413e673e665cc7c14701691143fac0",40683.017,0.8824,"Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?","will-ukraine-recapture-crimean-territory-by-june-30-2026","[\"0.0395\", \"0.9605\"]",{"token_id":121,"condition_id":122,"outcome":29,"size":123,"avg_price":124,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":125,"event_slug":126,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":127,"outcome_prices":54,"category":37},"4236557167803386240348498289457490888665936706746914489366376027188556050120","0x819f788a4f4142ac9df2393dedb9c0fd1e5d3c546242d0f52cf671186b195ec7",36030.7839,0.9876,"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?","netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31","2026-10-27T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":129,"condition_id":130,"outcome":29,"size":131,"avg_price":132,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":133,"event_slug":109,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":134,"category":111},"9168297785662696773016718610761665603800700668560812756827962314315323235689","0x30f729ef18553d8956bfd7ae7a1e96dbad07e2476160239b23ec10e6cdc5f01b",37100,0.951,"Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","[\"0.026\", \"0.974\"]",{"token_id":136,"condition_id":137,"outcome":29,"size":138,"avg_price":139,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":140,"event_slug":141,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":62},"96617355657240891513273770775614816471287728266266102664567788573610349264687","0x23667427b34ca1c7144d50540beba9e7ffb608443a84252c194bb8b40919a0cb",26417.5404,0.9845,"US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?","us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412",{"token_id":143,"condition_id":144,"outcome":29,"size":145,"avg_price":146,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":147,"event_slug":101,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":148,"category":37},"108301200943683515332506640290486257312096817552808721514971470935641318065538","0x5c881188a151876e13d8bf67c36c03e34ce851bd5fbc2163288e9e45b93ef46c",25222.1857,0.9661,"Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026","[\"0.001\", \"0.999\"]",{"token_id":150,"condition_id":151,"outcome":152,"size":153,"avg_price":154,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":155,"event_slug":156,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":158,"category":37},"60977129292396881848833910361112107174416489010090570432106122538120602786646","0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3","Yes",25043.3633,0.9436,"Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?","california-governor-election-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.955\", \"0.045\"]",{"token_id":160,"condition_id":161,"outcome":152,"size":162,"avg_price":163,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":86,"outcome_prices":166,"category":37},"89033597404049535329336367676897002196779443515433514040396661411543836790585","0x7b22caeed454d3c7dbd07b83d8255c74e1482c4f958b4ba4dd0c27b864cd47a2",23627.5304,0.9682,"Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?","which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff","[\"0.9645\", \"0.0355\"]",{"token_id":168,"condition_id":169,"outcome":29,"size":170,"avg_price":171,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":172,"event_slug":173,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":174,"category":37},"12238337804021350373072513606997115174826680613156170611182546081135779794915","0x51f624dbbf14f9edb575fef1be6f7a303751de70783fa144fce27b957452c803",24289.4884,0.909,"Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?","zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027","[\"0.065\", \"0.935\"]",{"token_id":176,"condition_id":177,"outcome":152,"size":178,"avg_price":179,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":180,"event_slug":181,"active":12,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":182,"outcome_prices":183,"category":184},"114976310403134140071475285729050128086700898119247346798479138721789575328536","0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985",21377.52,0.9533,"Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717143435868","2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","[\"1\", \"0\"]","Tech",{"token_id":186,"condition_id":187,"outcome":29,"size":188,"avg_price":189,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":190,"event_slug":191,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":192,"category":37},"46036307473347147486878725188057240439237346445231099615680388314304154599904","0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139",22640.25,0.8866,"Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?","will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026","[\"0.055\", \"0.945\"]",{"token_id":194,"condition_id":195,"outcome":152,"size":196,"avg_price":197,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":198,"event_slug":199,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":200,"category":201},"48566046548914168443252668519852295704538578584318207505303160546351275413281","0xb40b0cd531184a1e436d23ca898e1590418187b116f387158753d1adb9853e47",21799.9909,0.8886,"Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?","anthropic-ipo-by","[\"0.805\", \"0.195\"]","Business",{"token_id":203,"condition_id":204,"outcome":152,"size":205,"avg_price":206,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"active":14,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":209,"outcome_prices":210,"category":37},"90427935511391038626872122295660453738377529361337731598907465102187327217661","0x327f2a3432f4c15c3e3100af1131393c7653cd5cf3bc68a4936ad087e11dfc29",19704.9875,0.8875,"Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?","will-us-crude-oil-reserves-fall-to-by-september-25","2026-10-08T03:59:00Z","[\"0\", \"1\"]",{"token_id":212,"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"size":214,"avg_price":215,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":218,"outcome_prices":219,"category":37},"86734103305771599271123107521535802978650288250553220493557811507859517744752","0x75158a530137df248f1709814b48cd3bec19fc7585acb78250a9d5da08ea3371",17894.6423,0.8571,"Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?","nicols-maduro-released-from-custody-by","2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",{"token_id":221,"condition_id":222,"outcome":29,"size":223,"avg_price":224,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":225,"event_slug":226,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":174,"category":227},"55646219597856189899881677374172135376492662817148728033424581863530537477107","0x32e869cb0f7316273417ec79aa94c8a139f8c390ebff8a24150a18753d257f8e",16000,0.9349,"Will GameStop acquire eBay?","will-gamestop-acquire-ebay","Other",{"token_id":229,"condition_id":230,"outcome":29,"size":231,"avg_price":232,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":233,"event_slug":234,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":235,"category":37},"4920174600328060381478178332126683115937537315909025772685332706706025236975","0xb23e6d6ba72e76bbce9799daf527e3598a939a602ff5e069cf27a0b25bab50a7",15783.9,0.8914,"US strike on Mexico by December 31?","us-strike-on-mexico-by","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":237,"condition_id":238,"outcome":152,"size":239,"avg_price":240,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":241,"event_slug":242,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":243,"category":37},"3167406226992175293355789386083919536253113526466649800618891813710135695244","0xa699840204609b5dcd561a701b1e4f67eeb9cbca006b5127b71c68467d3426a4",14212.61,0.9518,"Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?","who-will-trump-meet-with-in-september-20260826","[\"0.9995\", \"0.0005\"]",{"token_id":245,"condition_id":246,"outcome":29,"size":247,"avg_price":248,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":249,"event_slug":250,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":251,"outcome_prices":252,"category":37},"75361281009412003705798542073244986821817189389062239156613712571298443923700","0x035b7cc0833f825c4476352a1d5edeb870fc8250776803352177d44d34b03c6e",14743.0081,0.8947,"Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?","which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026","2027-01-02T04:59:00Z","[\"0.075\", \"0.925\"]",{"token_id":254,"condition_id":255,"outcome":29,"size":256,"avg_price":257,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":258,"event_slug":199,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":201},"39562648310362326019310777383934329156732122520097749727753250850874074269403","0x2450ec499544c566d0de8bbd7739fb68b598c6ad380f0c1ddf3b731d42ec6b19",13550.6387,0.8921,"Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?",{"token_id":260,"condition_id":261,"outcome":152,"size":262,"avg_price":263,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":266,"category":111},"82409000335425278488665362664302751035390635261239067486132710111934029644470","0xf59e2d2b6bc5a3027a6e89b22603192e5a9a8b00e9ace38e0f54858b4bd9c491",12733.05,0.9336,"Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","ballon-dor-top-3-finish-2026","[\"0.9415\", \"0.0585\"]",{"token_id":268,"condition_id":269,"outcome":152,"size":270,"avg_price":271,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":272,"event_slug":273,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":274,"outcome_prices":275,"category":37},"65322106850459544646271115791218393848695885094753222820688299472048959196589","0x30d4a64f70d80faee66508a797b347ef65e63913e4200bca954718fc824ea10e",12322.4457,0.9531,"Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?","quebec-general-election-winner","2026-10-06T03:59:00Z","[\"0.945\", \"0.055\"]",{"token_id":277,"condition_id":278,"outcome":152,"size":279,"avg_price":280,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"active":12,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":283,"outcome_prices":183,"category":62},"110124369154659006328320349797831539154282530245624469518430389053088403535939","0x524ce344b80a160c237d91a33efdd8b82468b0dc0d33f60d500f8bf69b80b8bb",12816.59,0.9047,"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?","israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963","2026-09-30T20:29:00Z",{"token_id":285,"condition_id":286,"outcome":29,"size":287,"avg_price":288,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":289,"event_slug":77,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":290,"outcome_prices":291,"category":37},"66797176836865406644675050248194264952001579179703527537658211196864343226792","0x2a4fcda5c1598fc8621cf96cabc410f9f23a2d0336c3bff5070a37a663d39e94",13417.2,0.8484,"NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?","2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","[\"0.115\", \"0.885\"]",{"token_id":293,"condition_id":294,"outcome":29,"size":295,"avg_price":296,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":297,"event_slug":298,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":299,"outcome_prices":46,"category":62},"109719631173196402976582847567817158790560641472932038818342039512045728528798","0x951088c48f392379dc9b8a3becaad7a939b5fd3124ec98dd167d859350f049fc",12010.829,0.9305,"Iran full airspace closure by September 30?","iran-full-airspace-closure-byptptpt-20260625195253028","2027-01-26T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":301,"condition_id":302,"outcome":152,"size":303,"avg_price":304,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":305,"event_slug":306,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":307,"outcome_prices":308,"category":37},"111988618077786263362718284278451225707405623288593888751575373086664059387290","0x25fb28382075f418a944a781a9f8840e2f541152eea0d9798d1cabfa1466adbb",13000,0.8338,"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026","2026-12-31T17:00:00Z","[\"0.865\", \"0.135\"]",{"token_id":310,"condition_id":311,"outcome":152,"size":312,"avg_price":313,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":314,"event_slug":165,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":86,"outcome_prices":315,"category":37},"110122181888273195383360287898587768603292915416312453076255709982749135343576","0x023a8c2fd2a78c29c9748a44205e2cbe624d86c11ee41b81d4067ddbbf2a135f",11064.75,0.9607,"Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?","[\"0.98\", \"0.02\"]",{"token_id":317,"condition_id":318,"outcome":29,"size":319,"avg_price":320,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":321,"event_slug":322,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":219,"category":62},"102617319572539919553357676752315366758463499662855057808806666308412570450045","0xa466e17524bcc473279c4ca86f4f1fb01932946a8204e68f6ca96628f8bf2b5e",10999.9942,0.9345,"China x Japan military clash before 2027?","china-x-japan-military-clash-before-2027",{"token_id":324,"condition_id":325,"outcome":152,"size":326,"avg_price":327,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":328,"event_slug":329,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":330,"category":37},"35261608398567039616389973621725744491134249343354691383590559293801288808916","0x6f07f3f6eaebf29ab35c4c1a35eb4b1d5ecba488ececf3a4a6dfb6ce28fbe766",10700,0.9413,"Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?","tx-06-house-election-winner","[\"0.9545\", \"0.0455\"]",{"token_id":332,"condition_id":333,"outcome":29,"size":334,"avg_price":335,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":336,"event_slug":53,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":337,"category":37},"60499458684380641857666641513383149627633695110197406276308452075860198022694","0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607",10008.42,0.8659,"Iran leadership change by December 31?","[\"0.125\", \"0.875\"]",{"token_id":339,"condition_id":340,"outcome":152,"size":341,"avg_price":342,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":343,"event_slug":344,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":345,"category":37},"103369004718401843338269667199855496468561165212082578929632001514114566164683","0x707dd8bd283b72a13ec9cf79b18b6238744a9250a8e5e18d9cab9dbbe55db8b2",9000,0.9301,"Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?","ga-11-house-election-winner","[\"0.959\", \"0.041\"]",{"token_id":347,"condition_id":348,"outcome":29,"size":349,"avg_price":350,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":351,"event_slug":156,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":352,"category":37},"63644763464034691367428527733393916036342796100129702980469514153898496549749","0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e",8379.4149,0.9509,"Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?","[\"0.0435\", \"0.9565\"]",{"token_id":354,"condition_id":355,"outcome":29,"size":356,"avg_price":357,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":358,"event_slug":359,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":360,"category":37},"15459599865606870462804403532889014965106643564265630331850488546419850096177","0x9f94a3f64e8db20bf9d1766643b3bf4c345e3439d282d779775e171c780e9ddf",8741.79,0.9062,"Yoon out of custody before 2027?","yoon-out-of-custody-before-2027","[\"0.0555\", \"0.9445\"]",{"token_id":362,"condition_id":363,"outcome":152,"size":364,"avg_price":365,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":366,"event_slug":367,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":368,"category":37},"64501068682157544178937331985330644558527809790701651666716831746695754049258","0xe0a473bd1b54db28c1881ca6d4d387eb633a41b232279666bf58ef6c0ec9321d",8050,0.9574,"Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat?","ny-26-house-election-winner","[\"0.96\", \"0.04\"]",{"token_id":370,"condition_id":371,"outcome":29,"size":372,"avg_price":373,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":374,"event_slug":375,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":376,"outcome_prices":46,"category":62},"78546474547402411500499628997861431372464326112927561980265509734820993554411","0x0f94ae65ad29cb9e7c7703a71d404f7616edeebbc2873257759c746156d96425",7772.9139,0.9814,"Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?","will-iran-target-ukraine-byptptpt-20260727234956916","2026-09-30T20:59:00Z",{"token_id":378,"condition_id":379,"outcome":29,"size":380,"avg_price":381,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":382,"event_slug":383,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":384,"outcome_prices":385,"category":184},"54898791251605553895628131592977014558000913108870632767537486958885842838513","0x6231089f4ea288201b55d3000b19ef8e56ce5edc50a2806067c8b2e4c6d43dc2",8000,0.945,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?","will-anthropics-valuation-hit-by-december-31","2027-01-05T04:59:00Z","[\"0.05\", \"0.95\"]",{"token_id":387,"condition_id":388,"outcome":152,"size":389,"avg_price":390,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":391,"event_slug":392,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":393,"outcome_prices":394,"category":111},"92475931596782945146254699011735173472915347020881266584722910703960042383470","0x0d9d760ff17a0e64ff9b67f48893c0b1ae4874cd462ce6c2d38c82e2b9171fda",7989.11,0.9199,"Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?","who-will-attend-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelces-wedding","2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","[\"0.1215\", \"0.8785\"]",{"token_id":396,"condition_id":397,"outcome":29,"size":398,"avg_price":399,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":400,"event_slug":401,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":402,"outcome_prices":403,"category":111},"50379211427933296182500444034485500186701864749431836861731464279098848117788","0xb261d3c560c4fc9ea877a0530733031da84a1b87479d8c8a8d603f5707095cd3",7500,0.9589,"NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?","nba-stephen-curry-to-leave-warriors","2026-10-23T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0065\", \"0.9935\"]",{"token_id":405,"condition_id":406,"outcome":29,"size":407,"avg_price":408,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":409,"event_slug":410,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":352,"category":37},"47770042965000835689182982662284172955392377416507645484947073880323100999790","0x983d15d52f8780293cfb996daee22ce1327bf5349ac473b02c6ef07829ffb6f0",7450,0.958,"Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?","al-05-house-election-winner",{"token_id":412,"condition_id":413,"outcome":29,"size":414,"avg_price":415,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":416,"event_slug":417,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":418,"outcome_prices":235,"category":37},"6176387069967725418539368518279260352303182827227966329832868478861860932409","0x15d2e66dcf1d63c5695d6d0e9e2f8e06dd246d00fd5dfc254f2b22baa33bfa1b",7200,0.9293,"Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?","will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-from-the-senate-before-his-term-ends","2027-01-04T04:59:00Z",{"token_id":420,"condition_id":421,"outcome":29,"size":422,"avg_price":423,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":424,"event_slug":425,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":102,"category":37},"44886536523187194068204780081456530701237321244412931776973158233298351926383","0x7ea1e76e67652187bc6c484f832840a92ca3af5f36b5d86b2f78db66b28d972a",8236.2022,0.7688,"Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?","andrew-tate-released-from-custody-byptptpt-20260719023459650",{"token_id":427,"condition_id":428,"outcome":29,"size":429,"avg_price":430,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":431,"event_slug":432,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":433,"category":62},"22227662999284388929721876092506812981798617938529933916398041130249411166581","0x6b6fc067a481ea2426eab480e4041751f2d21b3af575e08be54d20f6dcdfe783",6258.6245,0.98,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?","iran-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260625175035466","[\"0.0295\", \"0.9705\"]",{"token_id":435,"condition_id":436,"outcome":437,"size":438,"avg_price":439,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":440,"event_slug":441,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":384,"outcome_prices":442,"category":184},"103551467288214806056341660468180171341731369562339799769689433599824034029441","0x15cda44bef6ec2cb20755e8632f1386cf244a1aeb0372d463dbf70a7c44bcde5","Anthropic",6500,0.8956,"Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?","anthropic-vs-openai-higher-valuation-on-december-31","[\"0.895\", \"0.105\"]",{"token_id":444,"condition_id":445,"outcome":29,"size":446,"avg_price":447,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":448,"event_slug":449,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":450,"category":37},"51069255220256448554326103051260402642105366450670243895254036861561933977472","0x005de69d6f0d32f8284310d0b0d292f6eb42119fe0ecde7dbd34f7aedce0851c",6153.69,0.9114,"Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?","lee-jae-myung-arrested-before-2027","[\"0.0525\", \"0.9475\"]",{"token_id":452,"condition_id":453,"outcome":29,"size":454,"avg_price":455,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":456,"event_slug":457,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":174,"category":37},"106181075047366745139197108801635573283215248045056329679360376976893016488727","0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b",5000,0.93,"Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?","will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026",{"token_id":459,"condition_id":460,"outcome":152,"size":461,"avg_price":462,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":463,"event_slug":464,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":465,"category":201},"31650083965282390269113502048883725495895331661148956202621012482964650485070","0x6522024c060166830e53a48b0db1cab9296601a8539ab005124db5e4bf50a303",5075.2141,0.907,"Anthropic IPO before 2027?","ipos-before-2027","[\"0.815\", \"0.185\"]",{"token_id":467,"condition_id":468,"outcome":29,"size":469,"avg_price":408,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":470,"event_slug":471,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":472,"outcome_prices":473,"category":474},"77520157601571841058805902692716742771926816526078241374918912770703681864753","0x4092815fea8f91e60586882d45fa2f61bfca8a36d595f47fdea9eec5d2893025",4698.38,"Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?","fed-rate-cut-by-629","2027-01-29T04:59:00Z","[\"0.0075\", \"0.9925\"]","Economy",{"token_id":476,"condition_id":477,"outcome":29,"size":478,"avg_price":479,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":480,"event_slug":165,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":86,"outcome_prices":481,"category":37},"105056171290904214822576556267654036237412721962084783725273857738993880722388","0xfd2f08e2042474736bcd103d3cdd27ad03fb3a03ca201c90acfeea6bec4e6f01",4050.91,0.9749,"Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?","[\"0.007\", \"0.993\"]",{"token_id":483,"condition_id":484,"outcome":152,"size":485,"avg_price":486,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":487,"event_slug":383,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":384,"outcome_prices":488,"category":184},"35463080027643710943404451740372279284756519666289737675927914180433392453861","0x91a003371cb96dc30511f883052d6b5957d9f099f02704f9838523a260dd1162",4200.74,0.9256,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?","[\"0.91\", \"0.09\"]",{"token_id":490,"condition_id":491,"outcome":29,"size":492,"avg_price":493,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":494,"event_slug":495,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":219,"category":37},"44360526088263834399581248958760311918272060707562381218099097915275616995975","0x034341c948e36836242f23998e50ce3c64d931da00b5eaa264baaa8c15f51690",3500.19,0.9599,"Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?","ma-02-house-election-winner",{"token_id":497,"condition_id":498,"outcome":29,"size":499,"avg_price":500,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":501,"event_slug":502,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":503,"category":37},"60059679279805861964505995205597171325525754411989398525103118580983839619505","0x84475d1a75144bd36f12c58ef721e79154ece1096ae279c9f915c448cb2206c3",3561.888,0.9065,"Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?","sanae-takaichi-out-as-prime-minister-of-japan-in-2026","[\"0.043\", \"0.957\"]",{"token_id":505,"condition_id":506,"outcome":29,"size":507,"avg_price":508,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":509,"event_slug":510,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":511,"category":37},"37056415164360715205045597531236311646923415765066212185438253738647237336241","0xf4c72ff42c3f1ee9f25e835e62ca52d71a9cafbcc11f93c01af709af8ee5ff09",3461.02,0.9226,"Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?","lee-jae-myung-out-as-president-of-south-korea-in-2026","[\"0.069\", \"0.931\"]",{"token_id":513,"condition_id":514,"outcome":152,"size":515,"avg_price":516,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":517,"event_slug":518,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":519,"category":111},"62495438701992550950006785500129391581048562867519866224090316757077511023509","0x743a08030e23b1ab5fa640b858e326f4e0c0ee3a69c328ad6fa5741b11a91536",3267.8194,0.952,"Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026","[\"0.972\", \"0.028\"]",{"token_id":521,"condition_id":522,"outcome":29,"size":523,"avg_price":524,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":525,"event_slug":526,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":527,"category":37},"58337505813431383319909002743168403807402001848461102837267439799353775613689","0x8a396117de0e09772a3c139fbd3b358f188ded5d6fca64057d440eb4f544f3ee",3200,0.96,"Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?","ri-02-house-election-winner","[\"0.015\", \"0.985\"]",{"token_id":529,"condition_id":530,"outcome":29,"size":531,"avg_price":532,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":533,"event_slug":534,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":535,"category":37},"33605687585823324980396666067290131318544605327186324134698917503211232258015","0x246b3c8f50bd7453352bc1bd26ce975b54c6e8f17fda2c737b48605d99e7ecec",2987.06,0.9926,"Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?","russia-military-action-against-eu-country-byptptpt","[\"0.002\", \"0.998\"]",{"token_id":537,"condition_id":538,"outcome":29,"size":539,"avg_price":42,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"active":12,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":182,"outcome_prices":210,"category":62},"48423405923055764552969061263100267590508264020569095130359492320979578034814","0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb",2620,"Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?","best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-september-20260717140852824",{"token_id":543,"condition_id":544,"outcome":29,"size":545,"avg_price":546,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":547,"event_slug":548,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":549,"category":184},"36136059052713963055376455066088612405225737607621775103472565534306327538275","0xd6e6a84dff227314b82e5ebc66f62611ef4f6c25a349c591f16bd699184a1e83",2800,0.9207,"Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","[\"0.0335\", \"0.9665\"]",{"token_id":551,"condition_id":552,"outcome":29,"size":553,"avg_price":554,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":555,"event_slug":534,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":291,"category":37},"51698214404532449352833914053067171075562539196210705780429668172498799481236","0x575d41dd1659790a3d92bcd3c078d5d6a9f0f5d16c9a828e600cc85d1d08ea37",3000,0.85,"Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?",{"token_id":557,"condition_id":558,"outcome":152,"size":559,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":561,"event_slug":562,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":563,"category":37},"94554639500757758987279812351319440300426884282052362965373660288333724036844","0xd24838f630573df34e44dd2c064bac36d8f467bf6e428f004e86ae3d8636103d",2600,0.95,"Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?","me-01-house-election-winner","[\"0.963\", \"0.037\"]",{"token_id":565,"condition_id":566,"outcome":152,"size":567,"avg_price":568,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":569,"event_slug":495,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":275,"category":37},"17860096501204341477058570473675668193291021223143346304866280487512582729562","0xcd7134ef350bf68b4ddf01731edaccd417b81e75d893deab0a7ccad596cb3536",2500,0.9594,"Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?",{"token_id":571,"condition_id":572,"outcome":29,"size":567,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":573,"event_slug":574,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":575,"category":37},"86308391585939734540197625530322878564126391860531059434723278669620075323810","0x3a38ca25dddc62430e67e127fa3b61e8a304bd475b24c79990ec4d23b16656b9","Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?","tn-04-house-election-winner","[\"0.0085\", \"0.9915\"]",{"token_id":577,"condition_id":578,"outcome":29,"size":579,"avg_price":580,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":581,"event_slug":541,"active":14,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":182,"outcome_prices":210,"category":62},"111992191864125714238669015545612875569248399789848325341196004076304841585937","0xf1c3bbe02b8db7c2c9a019a8119998c9565e48e7ebda321a09ce0690c6d92326",2407,0.9864,"Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?",{"token_id":583,"condition_id":584,"outcome":29,"size":585,"avg_price":586,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":587,"event_slug":588,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":290,"outcome_prices":589,"category":62},"102831189517003049756596814292918031456281450166052701019132583823564734085884","0x15c1e599ee1ec3560eabeba44bd60dd94ace243d0e1821ac5495a3c813da10a7",2284.8989,0.954,"Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?","iran-invades-kuwait-byptptpt-20260720015031544","[\"0.018\", \"0.982\"]",{"token_id":591,"condition_id":592,"outcome":152,"size":593,"avg_price":524,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":594,"event_slug":595,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":596,"category":37},"83097329318898592024479694196092400841186358810438698778604953390017102569442","0x230f2b6382356c100340c8f32bce6d8baf01874878dd1e9cbc1ec36f9e713571",2200,"Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?","ri-01-house-election-winner","[\"0.975\", \"0.025\"]",{"token_id":598,"condition_id":599,"outcome":152,"size":600,"avg_price":601,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":602,"event_slug":603,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":604,"outcome_prices":605,"category":37},"94134253597648057047877517813082069606962886792971715730299111686696678669356","0x16d89dc6276b2c65dbaa6644600b4e1984257dac7c98e2348ccf9ccc8ce46e67",2103.84,0.9677,"Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?","next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia","2026-06-02T03:59:00Z","[\"0.9685\", \"0.0315\"]",{"token_id":607,"condition_id":608,"outcome":152,"size":609,"avg_price":610,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":611,"event_slug":612,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":613,"outcome_prices":614,"category":37},"54362572738176983938399969681083424965983610767949793365482211156189760632856","0xc03a82e200daf7bb2baeb74bf4459da936b11b5f303b55445890c3006f7bd8b7",2134.73,0.9335,"Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?","markham-mayoral-election-winner","2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","[\"0.9145\", \"0.0855\"]",{"token_id":616,"condition_id":617,"outcome":29,"size":618,"avg_price":619,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":620,"event_slug":541,"active":12,"closed":14,"accepting_orders":12,"end_date_iso":182,"outcome_prices":183,"category":62},"49180472143629191082619794801389483055552893185764676131284974793573269739970","0xf0a654ed0533904ea8b221b93b2e2162bff62151a2b246148fc25b6b0b00d594",2000,0.995,"Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?",{"token_id":622,"condition_id":623,"outcome":152,"size":624,"avg_price":625,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":626,"event_slug":383,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":384,"outcome_prices":627,"category":184},"15764762514977439830369109742355894144447754077019561451046436564012758072460","0xc68fea7daba83292fdd7bb704f26d38c4f678cbc2ff69c4175d47c55e74b4321",2234.77,0.8589,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?","[\"0.785\", \"0.215\"]",{"token_id":629,"condition_id":630,"outcome":152,"size":618,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":631,"event_slug":632,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":633,"outcome_prices":158,"category":37},"21024219148268989748704207701411444044468128261642675917026452687231462203167","0x3c5b93b91196c8db64e63c424979da8cfbf44a4501afd70d2480ee28fbf306a2","Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?","georgia-senate-election-winner","",{"token_id":635,"condition_id":636,"outcome":152,"size":618,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":637,"event_slug":638,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":158,"category":37},"92647346316992751676627164095119824299317050597835904818990188130382378401349","0x09d136a3f1111d466c0b93ca6309b6e1f2e95a71a0b1f4bdf8b4be492440bde6","Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?","ms-01-house-election-winner",{"token_id":640,"condition_id":641,"outcome":152,"size":642,"avg_price":643,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":644,"event_slug":645,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":646,"outcome_prices":647,"category":648},"71476640323947820621672069238827207630446854728170131473472532548438135000739","0x86a503b21371f7e73b56cbcd10e30b084fce86ba7650035de1ea88557b961cc4",1909.78,0.9945,"Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?","berlin-state-elections-afd-of-seats-20260805192827457","2026-09-21T03:59:00Z","[\"0.969\", \"0.031\"]",null,{"token_id":650,"condition_id":651,"outcome":29,"size":652,"avg_price":653,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":654,"event_slug":655,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":656,"outcome_prices":657,"category":37},"29633826701713552120011280893309822625942861174174976276686142480636225243753","0x9cb23d04b2ded06147482076688b69b487a8d982c63ebdda2ab3678cf27cf390",1999.99,0.937,"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","clarity-act-signed-into-law-in-2026","2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","[\"0.049\", \"0.951\"]",{"token_id":659,"condition_id":660,"outcome":29,"size":661,"avg_price":662,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":663,"event_slug":664,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":192,"category":37},"55448466854691520467539233656706549777294728013963622501876962795919277926638","0x7f6ee19263ed5670524f27e0bec75f7e6217705bfff78a143e79c7b428d70df3",2074.9721,0.8999,"Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?","ekrem-imamolu-released-from-custody-in-2026",{"token_id":666,"condition_id":667,"outcome":29,"size":618,"avg_price":455,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":668,"event_slug":101,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":669,"category":37},"69571235428804745586333375352944333216796797827079661110088955176329741646668","0x7846774d5a3d0e7ea41c74a0f84f8e50e657e1ffa20a8fdc0f36a5898eff6a90","Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?","[\"0.022\", \"0.978\"]",{"token_id":671,"condition_id":672,"outcome":29,"size":673,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":674,"event_slug":675,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":676,"category":37},"57753709755870228004803515097031555801791073438920703077159065391366459771066","0x4db77640c4bd66fd8284adad91566892f6be0abe4d753a4797bab86176a4e862",1900,"Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?","ny-06-house-election-winner","[\"0.0185\", \"0.9815\"]",{"token_id":678,"condition_id":679,"outcome":29,"size":680,"avg_price":681,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":682,"event_slug":329,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":683,"category":37},"107310596431956872813553185705579874969085444059098705263060708886784482238253","0x53021c308dbe253b19cee19e0ddce6e63eff07cba45b260e4d2bdd79da854043",1700,0.9379,"Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?","[\"0.038\", \"0.962\"]",{"token_id":685,"condition_id":686,"outcome":29,"size":687,"avg_price":688,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":689,"event_slug":690,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":691,"category":37},"77296121908679352434251847862979395356842679683122047698068091276062911570618","0x77b0380be9f46471b5383fd5fd0730d666b852c3c1fcc61529e0699a62f45d47",1638.38,0.9714,"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?","russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716","[\"0.009\", \"0.991\"]",{"token_id":693,"condition_id":694,"outcome":152,"size":695,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":696,"event_slug":574,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":697,"category":37},"89912048965400574485239055076118317440818499337399813349793326068727444685375","0x38a214428feb3d0e422b59e4934621ee840d4c41e10f0e6b642b5f7e401ac172",1500,"Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?","[\"0.9395\", \"0.0605\"]",{"token_id":699,"condition_id":700,"outcome":29,"size":701,"avg_price":702,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":703,"event_slug":704,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":705,"outcome_prices":46,"category":706},"85211405277803417482729240080309774152718711183364156802740955011676866791832","0x90711a2849e93a7494dee831465c8d95fe8f2f74613ab4f344b1d7ee63e8b76d",1420.36,0.9969,"Will \"Primetime\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?","primetime-opening-weekend-box-office","2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","Culture",{"token_id":708,"condition_id":709,"outcome":152,"size":710,"avg_price":711,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":712,"event_slug":526,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":647,"category":37},"65462717849333139502910605663842454604294433597609928538792145872398820216990","0x77adadd9ca528f1f6bb51140ad728059a1f9ec8a10e22d9827ceb4cb57d402a5",1454,0.9621,"Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?",{"token_id":714,"condition_id":715,"outcome":152,"size":695,"avg_price":716,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":717,"event_slug":718,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":719,"category":37},"5429413500272026808093645002354335486349411711859896403742794626113959422496","0x712da1b055e10bf6885872fbb6d0ec5baa5f5da8da58ece8bec7462945aab4d4",0.92,"Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?","ga-10-house-election-winner","[\"0.9435\", \"0.0565\"]",{"token_id":721,"condition_id":722,"outcome":29,"size":723,"avg_price":724,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":725,"event_slug":44,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":174,"category":37},"70201851876332354439276604090702674974859631903486990974685797729205226013576","0xa222013f2baf3e9eb0613b7dc45d2fd8a3e63177c21bd282d9bb5133d6a44986",1318.73,0.9299,"Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?",{"token_id":727,"condition_id":728,"outcome":29,"size":729,"avg_price":730,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":731,"event_slug":732,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":733,"outcome_prices":54,"category":184},"60420840545337156335307813216900100527710932800677134866893546763340078827035","0xae037f757722c4b69182e988e62a22dcd6b195043da425b101c2db539aa0c670",1219,0.978,"Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?","metas-watermelon-model-released-byptptpt","2026-09-30T23:59:00Z",{"token_id":735,"condition_id":736,"outcome":29,"size":737,"avg_price":738,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":739,"event_slug":740,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":218,"outcome_prices":741,"category":37},"88132554196047151227969541625389914142565798779497870504096305096131157109960","0x90e83bc1dfd11d23f5855af7bb020785fef49f93735628705e32b1a666d38d40",1333.19,0.8685,"Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?","cilia-flores-released-from-custody-by","[\"0.14\", \"0.86\"]",{"token_id":743,"condition_id":744,"outcome":29,"size":745,"avg_price":746,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":747,"event_slug":109,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":35,"outcome_prices":748,"category":111},"107516035603650985174253368241692944789056496652916551006453839235487841190002","0x7034c00a24f9edbf325fd5a0b9a63412e469fc8cd2aa9b060fb5ba8e10d7ebef",1200,0.9529,"Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?","[\"0.0375\", \"0.9625\"]",{"token_id":750,"condition_id":751,"outcome":29,"size":745,"avg_price":560,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":752,"event_slug":753,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":157,"outcome_prices":754,"category":37},"1885050155261887526594433161606764792282280633742494729544393422558134522436","0xbc008bc6ee92bcc6b45439bd7222532b500188b0da29c8e39a24ff257440e855","Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?","tx-07-house-election-winner","[\"0.0325\", \"0.9675\"]",{"token_id":756,"condition_id":757,"outcome":29,"size":758,"avg_price":759,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":760,"event_slug":242,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":535,"category":37},"43929135551732010026595045566235072170314733619790416511018423789239496602380","0x6e05b64ce324ca9651e3a70d31b15961fdca1e5978bdfe846eceedf96165b20e",1133.44,0.9977,"Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in September 2026?",{"token_id":762,"condition_id":763,"outcome":29,"size":764,"avg_price":765,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":766,"event_slug":767,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":290,"outcome_prices":768,"category":37},"74834934688277839017404595046533689927603592576231981699054416954348588037784","0xc94ea1def1392729ff0740f527b7999a10af0400e8b59101d9a05966a381a56f",1076.93,0.9879,"Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?","senate-passes-clarity-act-byptptpt","[\"0.005\", \"0.995\"]",{"token_id":770,"condition_id":771,"outcome":29,"size":772,"avg_price":773,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":774,"event_slug":775,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":776,"outcome_prices":777,"category":111},"51380141420619066779833335081733696081385810974755105840799071746596410886599","0x383c06c778337a245f886a415fba3f989178b53c116f024f17962878873343ac",1402.09,0.7477,"Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings","atp-2026-end-of-year-rankings-player-to-be-number-1-20260728190252631","2027-01-15T04:59:00Z","[\"0.6615\", \"0.3385\"]",{"token_id":779,"condition_id":780,"outcome":29,"size":781,"avg_price":782,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":783,"event_slug":383,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":384,"outcome_prices":784,"category":184},"92632790762320653729742591908754037421877591528744851362930047194067431948566","0xb2140927d199c1f224b3485bcd36400481a8382e6746e16c138e067532e90ad6",1100,0.9322,"Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?","[\"0.0645\", \"0.9355\"]",{"token_id":786,"condition_id":787,"outcome":29,"size":788,"avg_price":789,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":790,"event_slug":791,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":45,"outcome_prices":46,"category":37},"41661640119428010672209405631675822949021531925536748505084313964699409974180","0x11b5073c5821aaea68401dc0f3f5d8a76d8ea24047d573a070b1f3e5a37e3396",999.99,0.996,"Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?","will-russia-capture-all-of-kostyantynivka-by",{"token_id":793,"condition_id":794,"outcome":29,"size":795,"avg_price":796,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":32,"question":797,"event_slug":798,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":799,"outcome_prices":800,"category":37},"13887896800265966487014179943559375403384011039339488276489274832989862323735","0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0",1022.4857,0.9729,"Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?","who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election","2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","[\"0.0345\", \"0.9655\"]",[],[803,809],{"recorded_date":804,"roi":805,"win_rate":806,"brier_score":807,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":808,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":12},"2026-09-20",0.02842299323293062,0.9759036144578314,0.03607679274720688,83,{"recorded_date":810,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-09-30",[812,819,821,823,830,835,840,844,847,849,851,853,859,865,867,869,871,879,884,890,898,905,912,919,926,930,936,943,950,955,960,967,974,981,988,995,998,1004,1009,1015,1020,1026,1033,1040,1046,1053,1058,1064,1070,1077,1083,1090,1096,1101,1106,1113,1118,1123,1128,1135,1141,1146,1151,1157,1162,1167,1174],{"condition_id":813,"outcome":29,"usdc":814,"entry_price":815,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":817,"question":818,"event_slug":208,"category":37},"0xcef18179ff9d5152e5a85b9f8df82395c4247bb597cc7763cdfc103539b9ba09",99.59,0.9959,"live","2026-09-30T16:41:57.844Z","Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by September 25, 2026?",{"condition_id":204,"outcome":152,"usdc":820,"entry_price":206,"won":12,"source":816,"end_date_iso":209,"captured_at":817,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":37},17488.176406249997,{"condition_id":278,"outcome":152,"usdc":822,"entry_price":280,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":283,"captured_at":817,"question":281,"event_slug":282,"category":62},11595.168973,{"condition_id":824,"outcome":152,"usdc":825,"entry_price":826,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":817,"question":828,"event_slug":829,"category":201},"0x6103b616fca652efe5c9e555e0dc642b0b8b4d619c79a1c954c5a6a8f6ca4165",7.92,0.99,"2026-09-30T20:00:00Z","Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of September?","googl-above-in-september-2026",{"condition_id":831,"outcome":152,"usdc":832,"entry_price":833,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":817,"question":834,"event_slug":829,"category":201},"0x82b67e54e4d1629dbb5d0f9b0cc2cebe91cbce46fbefba37592806ce16413495",866.940672,0.9984,"Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of September?",{"condition_id":836,"outcome":152,"usdc":837,"entry_price":838,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":817,"question":839,"event_slug":829,"category":201},"0xc15ceeb9e48e6080524dec7a66c7e168331ca136ebe51ca07e6f50788821e663",6.9923,0.9989,"Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of September?",{"condition_id":841,"outcome":152,"usdc":842,"entry_price":838,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":817,"question":843,"event_slug":829,"category":201},"0xc2cb8a99e8f45eaf6a82e51c9cf2229c1bd5b758b9f3125b6be0d9f41861bb4a",896.51275,"Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of September?",{"condition_id":845,"outcome":152,"usdc":837,"entry_price":838,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":827,"captured_at":817,"question":846,"event_slug":829,"category":201},"0xd2b3c02a675ff9670f30ca0b9b41ccea5d27cf8c3c820b564f022beeaac7acd7","Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of September?",{"condition_id":538,"outcome":29,"usdc":848,"entry_price":42,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"category":62},2614.498,{"condition_id":538,"outcome":152,"usdc":850,"entry_price":455,"won":12,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":540,"event_slug":541,"category":62},930,{"condition_id":177,"outcome":152,"usdc":852,"entry_price":179,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":180,"event_slug":181,"category":184},20379.189816000002,{"condition_id":854,"outcome":152,"usdc":855,"entry_price":856,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":857,"event_slug":858,"category":184},"0x77d9710dc8da78bc88f884327609f8546cc429374605bd117804bc4e9cdda2da",730.95287314,0.9137,"Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-september-style-control-on-20260717144218347",{"condition_id":860,"outcome":152,"usdc":861,"entry_price":862,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":863,"event_slug":864,"category":184},"0xe16d6ef2442a8877d457ad2292e6f9832f569911685d5f2e7b0c89fbcf75cb7b",900,0.9,"Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?","which-company-has-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-model-end-of-september-20260717140116512",{"condition_id":578,"outcome":29,"usdc":866,"entry_price":580,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":581,"event_slug":541,"category":62},2374.2648,{"condition_id":617,"outcome":29,"usdc":868,"entry_price":619,"won":12,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":620,"event_slug":541,"category":62},1990,{"condition_id":617,"outcome":152,"usdc":870,"entry_price":42,"won":14,"source":816,"end_date_iso":182,"captured_at":817,"question":620,"event_slug":541,"category":62},990.555456,{"condition_id":872,"outcome":152,"usdc":873,"entry_price":874,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":876,"captured_at":13,"question":877,"event_slug":878,"category":37},"0x00925aafdbb3fbec14b49f343eb430ddb9cc1f827e5934b5513703d13f2851de",431.06059000000005,0.425683199979707,"backfill","2026-08-11T00:00:00Z","Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?","wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":880,"outcome":152,"usdc":881,"entry_price":882,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":883,"event_slug":392,"category":111},"0x01650214bee3782ba689c78b4a5179c5dbcdd84212c01e872399f14799272cb7",4781.1017,0.8897264142,"Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":885,"outcome":152,"usdc":886,"entry_price":887,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":888,"event_slug":889,"category":37},"0x0844f5be2e87761e128eac1b68d4880b47aa06ff4108be71eaaf7ed3fc463d41",2669.995144,0.8900000005337936,"Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?","will-xi-jinping-visit-us-before-2027",{"condition_id":891,"outcome":152,"usdc":892,"entry_price":893,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":894,"captured_at":895,"question":896,"event_slug":897,"category":648},"0x0ca328688c590d82b80ec763d0a34353b9b9bd56dd2016243909c038c91d2615",4449.995145,0.8900000001681818,"2026-09-30T03:59:00Z","2026-09-20T14:47:33.839Z","Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?","next-mythos-class-model-released-by",{"condition_id":899,"outcome":152,"usdc":900,"entry_price":901,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":902,"captured_at":13,"question":903,"event_slug":904,"category":111},"0x11e4689bacf621bca290111711b27a208420e1abaddef5fb1aeacef54ac02a7b",139.2834,0.69,"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?","mlb-home-runs-leader",{"condition_id":906,"outcome":29,"usdc":907,"entry_price":908,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":909,"captured_at":13,"question":910,"event_slug":911,"category":37},"0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7",846.994796,0.8470000008142605,"2026-05-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":913,"outcome":152,"usdc":914,"entry_price":915,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":916,"captured_at":13,"question":917,"event_slug":918,"category":706},"0x255ee93d5de3df028b1d615ca7e38bf5c17178bc33a5bcafdc7a0335af35988f",371.6965,0.8689058095903811,"2026-07-04T03:59:00Z","Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?","will-taylor-swift-get-married-in-manhattan-20260605211638230",{"condition_id":920,"outcome":29,"usdc":921,"entry_price":922,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":923,"captured_at":13,"question":924,"event_slug":925,"category":648},"0x261a223d19c9dca63e5819e2e768dbc1b7d442a7a0054220f1eced143c29a9c7",2641.85258,0.8834363459,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?","who-will-attend-cristiano-ronaldos-wedding-20260803185630253",{"condition_id":927,"outcome":152,"usdc":928,"entry_price":554,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":929,"event_slug":392,"category":111},"0x3edaa2ff2a5ec59e98190860dfa46d2baadb852fb21e1a2bf184eec8d216f76c",1284.5625,"Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":931,"outcome":152,"usdc":932,"entry_price":933,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":35,"captured_at":895,"question":934,"event_slug":935,"category":184},"0x46c8159431f59839061bb4abe8795ff8c0ebf6b612451e303ebe7f34697f3f35",3309.6456,0.7412823500097647,"Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?","gpt-6-released-by",{"condition_id":937,"outcome":29,"usdc":938,"entry_price":939,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":940,"captured_at":13,"question":941,"event_slug":942,"category":648},"0x4cf874a164b229095705d76c93b05e7d48be7c6c249d0d5d85770a50eaf2c365",59.997,0.6,"2026-08-05T23:59:00Z","Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?","houthis-successfully-target-shipping-onptptpt-20260722225036915",{"condition_id":944,"outcome":152,"usdc":945,"entry_price":946,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":947,"captured_at":13,"question":948,"event_slug":949,"category":648},"0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349",2339.975888,0.7800000013534684,"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?","will-trump-meet-with-netanyahu-byptptpt-20260714195149520",{"condition_id":951,"outcome":152,"usdc":952,"entry_price":953,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":954,"event_slug":392,"category":111},"0x52df1d538aca1242b08834637708b046c15732a9aff3211ce6f6c240a753f41f",4991.5415,0.8983993733815411,"Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":956,"outcome":152,"usdc":957,"entry_price":958,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":959,"event_slug":392,"category":111},"0x5b7393268fc1f55d066b532e5872d8746335b1625d3f7c1252d8a19fedd303f6",1378.06256,0.7921303863135558,"Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":961,"outcome":29,"usdc":962,"entry_price":963,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":964,"captured_at":13,"question":965,"event_slug":966,"category":648},"0x60c2c085ee8c16bc8f2419739a94971d4c9d00f637ead10fc0f540afa1be64e8",8750,0.875,"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-august-31-20260702154212320",{"condition_id":968,"outcome":29,"usdc":969,"entry_price":970,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":971,"captured_at":13,"question":972,"event_slug":973,"category":648},"0x636f780f794635820e8cafe81924ef2dd67622fc01b6b2e5e64e9cc99593a005",149.8497,0.77,"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?","iran-announces-withdrawal-from-mou-negotiations-byptptpt-20260622191732319",{"condition_id":975,"outcome":152,"usdc":976,"entry_price":977,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":978,"captured_at":13,"question":979,"event_slug":980,"category":648},"0x6389dc74e27218b50657af632dbca4c5005d241c760bd979944bcd0d68493380",5292.559065,0.880000000414776,"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?","president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044",{"condition_id":982,"outcome":152,"usdc":983,"entry_price":984,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":985,"captured_at":13,"question":986,"event_slug":987,"category":184},"0x6aa0fc17587cadbfdefe223969839636558eb9b880b3b8d011f77a89f54d4e65",10.483462,0.6792039022478807,"2026-07-18T03:59:00Z","Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt",{"condition_id":989,"outcome":152,"usdc":990,"entry_price":991,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":992,"captured_at":13,"question":993,"event_slug":994,"category":37},"0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c",8182.665199000002,0.8792473104785232,"2026-09-20T00:00:00Z","Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?","mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",{"condition_id":213,"outcome":29,"usdc":996,"entry_price":997,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":218,"captured_at":13,"question":216,"event_slug":217,"category":37},15659.5894,0.8571255437224853,{"condition_id":999,"outcome":29,"usdc":1000,"entry_price":1001,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":964,"captured_at":13,"question":1002,"event_slug":1003,"category":37},"0x8f87a6f84f9aa7868eb9921300a7e04870bd92fe60a6b366544fda900b4bd3bc",535.622014,0.8963762099377802,"Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?","will-mara-corina-machado-enter-venezuela-by-january-31",{"condition_id":1005,"outcome":29,"usdc":1006,"entry_price":554,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":971,"captured_at":13,"question":1007,"event_slug":1008,"category":648},"0x965663b9156c3cbb85a9e037be71ba2852913f64f5cc517f2af93dabe5500379",2137.75,"Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt-20260626213101460",{"condition_id":1010,"outcome":29,"usdc":1011,"entry_price":1012,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1013,"captured_at":13,"question":1014,"event_slug":973,"category":648},"0xa37edbac74383987e7b3c4e25360c223207b5f8ffdaaddea7e6e62ab2aa0d56a",8066.852087,0.8034455491355365,"2026-07-17T23:59:00Z","Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?",{"condition_id":1016,"outcome":152,"usdc":1017,"entry_price":963,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":633,"captured_at":895,"question":1018,"event_slug":1019,"category":648},"0xaa58d5bb144115fed157fcaa97facd761109e306b4073ddf0378103199550818",1750,"Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open?","will-carlos-alcaraz-play-in-the-uptspt-open-20260805193315485",{"condition_id":1021,"outcome":29,"usdc":1022,"entry_price":1023,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":964,"captured_at":13,"question":1024,"event_slug":1025,"category":62},"0xab38d355b9733ce4d605d47f6643436c1d706889efcb922682bf2e1d7c795bec",2490,0.83,"0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?","0-ships-transit-hormuz-on-any-date-byptpt-20260626172559966",{"condition_id":1027,"outcome":152,"usdc":1028,"entry_price":1029,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1030,"captured_at":13,"question":1031,"event_slug":1032,"category":111},"0xaf13295bb3ad70cbb2939479477adb281b6b65a2362c1a5ea3fc9451644275f4",800.0000000000003,0.8000000000000004,"2026-06-25T00:00:00Z","Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?","2026-nba-draft-1st-overall-pick",{"condition_id":1034,"outcome":29,"usdc":1035,"entry_price":1036,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1037,"captured_at":13,"question":1038,"event_slug":1039,"category":37},"0xb12f5e328a7d9f7a26e0a074625ea775025104e673c776d575dab422a472ef59",5929.900739999999,0.858688298534232,"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by July 31?","israel-closes-its-airspace-by",{"condition_id":1041,"outcome":152,"usdc":1042,"entry_price":1043,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":290,"captured_at":13,"question":1044,"event_slug":1045,"category":184},"0xb594727136f07d03eb9fd2142116ded0ac69bf0bacbace1077f3957d3add8a74",1556.368,0.7411538461538462,"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?","next-claude-sonnet-released-byptptpt-20260701203831153",{"condition_id":1047,"outcome":152,"usdc":1048,"entry_price":1049,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1050,"captured_at":13,"question":1051,"event_slug":1052,"category":62},"0xb60c044bba6f7958768691345df1e102448a5b7ef16e4a08879bb10483fb4567",803.6433,0.89,"2026-07-19T00:00:00Z","Will Neymar play in the World Cup?","will-neymar-play-in-the-world-cup",{"condition_id":1054,"outcome":152,"usdc":1055,"entry_price":1056,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":1057,"event_slug":392,"category":111},"0xbc88a1fd20ced1ccf45506178e78261c11ecb45ec0a5a35198156228fa4e1e39",3553.72775,0.8677628591423394,"Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":1059,"outcome":152,"usdc":1060,"entry_price":1061,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":45,"captured_at":13,"question":1062,"event_slug":1063,"category":184},"0xbdefa3daa643bbcd8591f23e39086253bca68fb9fd01d9d99b8f37c63c250572",1181.15556,0.7546808990625095,"Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?","next-claude-opus-released-byptptpt-20260727142323912",{"condition_id":1065,"outcome":29,"usdc":1066,"entry_price":1067,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1068,"captured_at":895,"question":1069,"event_slug":935,"category":184},"0xc08050ed73f5226e2fdc8e7a01533e0dfceffff3bc43f96280d61b0bca67f677",3512.304,0.6685714285714286,"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":1071,"outcome":29,"usdc":1072,"entry_price":1073,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1074,"captured_at":13,"question":1075,"event_slug":1076,"category":37},"0xc8f7591181f4059ffbdcc4c85b1e9e76f029bef0eb6cc46a80bd5617b947de74",3208.969436,0.8900000001997227,"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?","will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-june-30",{"condition_id":1078,"outcome":29,"usdc":1079,"entry_price":1080,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":964,"captured_at":895,"question":1081,"event_slug":1082,"category":648},"0xcac53404ba81a6aa50cf82d94910d5d53a8fec972ec99ccac42bd20c83d060f0",6951.76352,0.8635404962551072,"Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?","openais-astra-released-by-20260801214557729",{"condition_id":1084,"outcome":29,"usdc":1085,"entry_price":1086,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1087,"captured_at":895,"question":1088,"event_slug":1089,"category":37},"0xcb2dcf1ce5b85f4355b423ee084785f13d34007c13c0fb55bec2a62f4e1ffde3",347.01538,0.8877675742193509,"2026-09-15T00:00:00Z","Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?","ma-06-democratic-primary-winner",{"condition_id":1091,"outcome":29,"usdc":1092,"entry_price":1049,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1093,"captured_at":895,"question":1094,"event_slug":1095,"category":37},"0xccf2b4f4ee94200fb3e05bfd45c1fb8a43bb0bf5cf69d78508c969d72b3a7f2b",3649,"2026-08-23T03:59:00Z","US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?","us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080",{"condition_id":1097,"outcome":29,"usdc":1098,"entry_price":1099,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":964,"captured_at":13,"question":1100,"event_slug":77,"category":37},"0xcd6c66b11ed8fdbdc1183fb761cf22959c6b481e843a715a7a9f53e22b90d420",177.80102,0.8998482717,"NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1102,"outcome":29,"usdc":1103,"entry_price":1104,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":964,"captured_at":895,"question":1105,"event_slug":432,"category":62},"0xceb73b756d1dffbb60452a86efbca93efea9453a6f5078b2c8fd49dda3f5ccee",14342.563925,0.809044656866163,"Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?",{"condition_id":1107,"outcome":152,"usdc":1108,"entry_price":1109,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1110,"captured_at":13,"question":1111,"event_slug":1112,"category":648},"0xd21dca86e59db34a32fac231897aded451dce6e1307baf15ca9502b29b3d9b07",5082.632072000005,0.8688943455129352,"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?","nba-kawhi-leonard-next-team-20260629144203996",{"condition_id":1114,"outcome":152,"usdc":1115,"entry_price":1116,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1087,"captured_at":895,"question":1117,"event_slug":1089,"category":37},"0xd2481bf85502225a8cfe44cdb7156dc3d8c4e73dc3b287c3177549ceb151f29a",4538.809506,0.8838948143223633,"Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?",{"condition_id":1119,"outcome":152,"usdc":1120,"entry_price":1121,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":923,"captured_at":13,"question":1122,"event_slug":889,"category":37},"0xd7e906eaec2c7f66697447785aa1d4fdaa82f536ca533a2bc0d3535b04e832ec",13117.585409000001,0.8779930324125971,"Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?",{"condition_id":1124,"outcome":152,"usdc":1125,"entry_price":1126,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":1127,"event_slug":392,"category":111},"0xd94b679b3fac09091f0e3a492bcc4fde8aa063d019be7a05833eea14ca844199",3541.85347,0.8598859227817546,"Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":1129,"outcome":29,"usdc":1130,"entry_price":1131,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1132,"captured_at":13,"question":1133,"event_slug":1134,"category":648},"0xdb022ee0c0ba82a90da4798c87ccce945d7e853e931d0408feb4564c8330d0a2",255.36535,0.7498529114928598,"2026-05-06T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?","highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-6-2026",{"condition_id":1136,"outcome":29,"usdc":1137,"entry_price":1138,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1139,"captured_at":13,"question":1140,"event_slug":1039,"category":37},"0xdbaa19c72378f7eb2fc01c0b40404857a1b1e68e3561ce5bbe792a24ce79377e",13029.719145000001,0.8207389719463573,"2026-08-16T03:59:00Z","Israel closes its airspace by August 15?",{"condition_id":1142,"outcome":152,"usdc":1143,"entry_price":1144,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1037,"captured_at":13,"question":1145,"event_slug":987,"category":184},"0xe105fe12d6846691be333319de4ea7ea5f354d051810edd25ad88b23f79e9c7b",9575.822148,0.8745068252157543,"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1147,"outcome":152,"usdc":1148,"entry_price":1149,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":393,"captured_at":13,"question":1150,"event_slug":392,"category":111},"0xe3f0d2290fa8afa6d120e9e090ef75244cbadc2b0cc83669d289c758126a481c",766.9392,0.799721937309616,"Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?",{"condition_id":1152,"outcome":29,"usdc":1153,"entry_price":1154,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":733,"captured_at":13,"question":1155,"event_slug":1156,"category":37},"0xed5a9e7831ee363d92cb102f2c21e2465b09196ef5beb7c8e23671851a1c3ca4",2669.9838179999997,0.8900000006060642,"US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?","next-round-of-us-iran-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260623022722982",{"condition_id":1158,"outcome":152,"usdc":1159,"entry_price":1160,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":876,"captured_at":13,"question":1161,"event_slug":878,"category":37},"0xf23716a3fdb338cdc046144994d9b451cc8d7a7a7d1d3296e4252499a2edc1f7",3494.08284,0.869,"Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?",{"condition_id":1163,"outcome":152,"usdc":1164,"entry_price":1165,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":290,"captured_at":13,"question":1166,"event_slug":1063,"category":184},"0xf87d44ca5ff036ad7e0017ffb6a9591c776a2e4cf258c432fe5ef75e47a9fb0a",320.5976,0.795,"Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":1168,"outcome":29,"usdc":1169,"entry_price":1170,"won":14,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1171,"captured_at":13,"question":1172,"event_slug":1173,"category":111},"0xfac708b2f4cee1fcdd3331f02ae21f996fef0fa3fb4e4ef73b5d1f20c2e903db",223.5606,0.8561538462,"2026-10-11T23:59:00Z","Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?","mlb-player-to-hit-50-home-runs-20260702210914308",{"condition_id":1175,"outcome":29,"usdc":1176,"entry_price":1177,"won":12,"source":875,"end_date_iso":1037,"captured_at":13,"question":1178,"event_slug":1025,"category":62},"0xff3eade4aeb721d37d4ba7c7a924eb949df2a0449488709eb1825233cc49e7b1",2000.8016,0.8635683887953731,"0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?",{"total":1180,"wins":1181},67,56,[1183,1188,1193,1198,1201,1203,1206],{"category":37,"n":1184,"wins":1185,"hitRate":1186,"roi":1187},18,15,0.8333333333333334,-0.08983499344794739,{"category":227,"n":1189,"wins":1190,"hitRate":1191,"roi":1192},13,12,0.9230769230769231,0.11791281979343986,{"category":184,"n":1194,"wins":1195,"hitRate":1196,"roi":1197},10,7,0.7,-0.23545733770768798,{"category":111,"n":1194,"wins":1199,"hitRate":862,"roi":1200},9,0.14698582698461776,{"category":62,"n":1194,"wins":1195,"hitRate":1196,"roi":1202},0.008359562961448618,{"category":201,"n":1204,"wins":1204,"hitRate":14,"roi":1205},5,0.0013845839151246978,{"category":706,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":1207},0.15087272862339263,{"generatedAt":1209},"2026-10-01T00:13:22.712Z"]