[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"whale-0x3e5d5497e450231e58e1afab803791636560a2e6":3},{"stats":4,"positions":25,"signals":90,"history":91,"resolved":94,"resolvedSummary":266,"specialization":269,"meta":283},{"wallet_address":5,"total_trades":6,"resolved_trades":7,"win_rate":8,"roi":9,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"is_sharp":12,"updated_at":13,"is_profitable":14,"avg_position_size_usdc":15,"churn_ratio":16,"last_trade_at":17,"wash_suspect":12,"discovery_source":18,"avg_entry_price":19,"avg_edge":20,"total_pnl_usdc":21,"total_capital_usdc":22,"composite_score":23,"late_entry_share":24,"is_resolution_sniper":12},"0x3e5d5497e450231e58e1afab803791636560a2e6",639,52,0.6153846153846154,0.5288941828315691,0.2756063989597597,0.0036000000000000476,0,"2026-10-21T21:02:09.277Z",1,55.002079596153855,8.08860759493671,"2026-10-21T15:49:59.000Z","trades",0.45785490046153854,0.15752971492307694,1512.6945569863249,2860.1081390000004,6.6210142984416995,0.32608695652173914,[26,39,49,57,65,73,81],{"token_id":27,"condition_id":28,"outcome":29,"size":30,"avg_price":31,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":34,"event_slug":35,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":37,"category":38},"83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563","0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4","Yes",135.8695,0.9199,"2026-10-25T12:12:00.632Z","2026-10-22T13:31:34.558Z","Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?","which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026","2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","[\"0.925\", \"0.075\"]","Politics",{"token_id":40,"condition_id":41,"outcome":42,"size":43,"avg_price":44,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":45,"event_slug":46,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":47,"outcome_prices":48,"category":38},"106457173661711072800954463114296112322414039881870249204907915075846013240261","0x7a611b2ae4e3b871580dececcf7cf126eead47fe58ebea15b1865a7c8a881376","No",79.4808,0.9267,"Iran leadership change by November 30?","iran-leadership-change-by","2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.085\", \"0.915\"]",{"token_id":50,"condition_id":51,"outcome":29,"size":52,"avg_price":53,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":54,"event_slug":55,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":56,"category":38},"63255709540320761353971859526848930870803944190764324681913735372035438815215","0x3babe91f8d2fac44027f9ba7f0f1a59e61b72419828e6e517f96bbcf4e132498",63.2911,0.7899,"Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?","ohio-governor-winner-2026","[\"0.835\", \"0.165\"]",{"token_id":58,"condition_id":59,"outcome":29,"size":60,"avg_price":61,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":62,"event_slug":63,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":64,"category":38},"71772627544132140586824126381855151743830987860593343955509593715269534710061","0xbfeb6d4cf3eab6071e204219b0647c8224d63a12778df467311b5f2a4b3a5bd4",70.4225,0.7099,"Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?","michigan-senate-election-winner","[\"0.68\", \"0.32\"]",{"token_id":66,"condition_id":67,"outcome":29,"size":68,"avg_price":69,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":70,"event_slug":71,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":72,"category":38},"15290572385458522370285732869432740297199321382471116558439914335588167718663","0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417",76.923,0.6499,"Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?","texas-senate-election-winner","[\"0.635\", \"0.365\"]",{"token_id":74,"condition_id":75,"outcome":29,"size":76,"avg_price":77,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":78,"event_slug":79,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":36,"outcome_prices":80,"category":38},"6584875983046678011286869107197719818123093254495444235544680527373303971994","0xd1f23e2bc9c61979e1c9f53bd0b76de8ef9cf5bcbc92ecfbccfbf67bfd3c8801",10,0.87,"Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?","tx-15-house-election-winner","[\"0.805\", \"0.195\"]",{"token_id":82,"condition_id":83,"outcome":42,"size":84,"avg_price":85,"updated_at":32,"first_seen_at":33,"question":86,"event_slug":87,"active":14,"closed":12,"accepting_orders":14,"end_date_iso":88,"outcome_prices":89,"category":38},"96214953624495509683027302209340859673097705517450500531670409012928242777230","0xaa5cdb6830cbfa2ca711b7cf93bd42cf4f8e062d44ea188c0b8ec1fb2924c083",2.48,0.9,"Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?","will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026","2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","[\"0.025\", \"0.975\"]",[],[92],{"recorded_date":93,"roi":9,"win_rate":8,"brier_score":10,"p_value":11,"resolved_trades":7,"is_sharp":12,"is_profitable":14},"2026-10-21",[95,104,111,118,125,133,140,147,152,158,166,174,181,188,194,201,209,215,222,227,233,241,246,253,259],{"condition_id":96,"outcome":29,"usdc":97,"entry_price":98,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":100,"captured_at":13,"question":101,"event_slug":102,"category":103},"0x077fc0c447abfc7e094713e86d62acc20480560a6eb60bfbfc86a1c5f00b9339",349.999998,0.75,"backfill","2025-11-21T00:00:00Z","Will the government shutdown end November 12?","what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end",null,{"condition_id":105,"outcome":42,"usdc":106,"entry_price":107,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":13,"question":109,"event_slug":110,"category":38},"0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089",99.995,0.7,"2026-05-31T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?","us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",{"condition_id":112,"outcome":29,"usdc":113,"entry_price":114,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":115,"captured_at":13,"question":116,"event_slug":117,"category":103},"0x239c316794e2f83258067504a57b061f1fc6098473e59378910472d05d26ace0",3.38,0.08,"2026-03-07T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 7?","highest-temperature-in-sao-paulo-on-march-7-2026",{"condition_id":119,"outcome":29,"usdc":120,"entry_price":121,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":123,"event_slug":124,"category":103},"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20",408.13998599999996,0.18260113691027324,"2026-01-31T00:00:00Z","US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by-february-28-2026-227-967-547-688-589-491-592-418-452-924-384-915-464-672-196-157-993-596-269-535-381-391-471-256-988-997-296-225-762-973-292-827-345-182-558-215-794-879-189-761",{"condition_id":126,"outcome":42,"usdc":127,"entry_price":128,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":129,"captured_at":13,"question":130,"event_slug":131,"category":132},"0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187",99.994,0.85,"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june","Geopolitics",{"condition_id":134,"outcome":42,"usdc":135,"entry_price":136,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":137,"captured_at":13,"question":138,"event_slug":139,"category":38},"0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606",100.8,0.8,"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?","los-angeles-mayoral-election-117",{"condition_id":141,"outcome":42,"usdc":142,"entry_price":143,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":144,"captured_at":13,"question":145,"event_slug":146,"category":103},"0x5c2e6aef8af5931e9bfa3750364626d754531d2fada2885d45c356b175962a25",53.4684,0.68,"2026-04-15","Iran x Israel\u002FUS conflict ends by April 15?","iran-x-israelus-conflict-ends-by",{"condition_id":148,"outcome":42,"usdc":149,"entry_price":150,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":108,"captured_at":13,"question":151,"event_slug":110,"category":38},"0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7",99.9984,0.83,"US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":153,"outcome":42,"usdc":154,"entry_price":128,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":155,"captured_at":13,"question":156,"event_slug":157,"category":103},"0x68beecc857017df8663fa36c0c86310dec7305aa88fe830c94651391314afc1c",127.5,"2026-04-15T23:55:00Z","Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?","trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by",{"condition_id":159,"outcome":160,"usdc":161,"entry_price":162,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":163,"captured_at":13,"question":164,"event_slug":165,"category":103},"0x6f43350263e24a4b25151e602ea818c7cfda15bc2afe5bf72a59d139f8f27ce5","Nuggets",33.479998,0.7599999991,"2025-11-25T01:00:00Z","Nuggets vs. Grizzlies","nba-den-mem-2025-11-24",{"condition_id":167,"outcome":29,"usdc":168,"entry_price":169,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":170,"captured_at":13,"question":171,"event_slug":172,"category":173},"0x713641f745d71f6ec61f906237ffca3c8583f251e49384429a63ceb0ccdb2d37",50.3126,0.791,"2026-07-01T00:00:00Z","Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?","2026-nba-champion","Sports",{"condition_id":175,"outcome":29,"usdc":176,"entry_price":177,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":178,"captured_at":13,"question":179,"event_slug":180,"category":103},"0x77b4a1d4cd398a86c18b6bb9b5218917dc9f04b01a3cd4bae1c71ea345f15fa8",44.049999,0.6209999986,"2025-12-31T00:00:00Z","Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?","will-polymarket-us-go-live-in-2025",{"condition_id":182,"outcome":29,"usdc":183,"entry_price":184,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":185,"captured_at":13,"question":186,"event_slug":187,"category":173},"0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892",31.219848,0.7370307749099974,"2026-07-20T00:00:00Z","Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?","world-cup-winner",{"condition_id":189,"outcome":29,"usdc":190,"entry_price":191,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":192,"event_slug":193,"category":103},"0x843fc1f23d8cfd3df343031312a8a3f0a930ad118c0c0e81a56c21f0ea9ff217",49.999999,0.5299999986,"US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?","us-strikes-iran-by",{"condition_id":195,"outcome":29,"usdc":196,"entry_price":197,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":198,"captured_at":13,"question":199,"event_slug":200,"category":38},"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d",25.49592,0.6,"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","fed-decision-in-september-762",{"condition_id":202,"outcome":203,"usdc":204,"entry_price":205,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":206,"captured_at":13,"question":207,"event_slug":208,"category":103},"0x94c9b00a84cc3f01464b769e2d08537e9fb2a673dffb6ab9865a486bc7a45f29","Canadiens",67,0.67,"2025-11-11T19:00:00Z","Kings vs. Canadiens","nhl-lak-mon-2025-11-11",{"condition_id":210,"outcome":42,"usdc":211,"entry_price":212,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":213,"event_slug":214,"category":103},"0xa8b744720006da3c08b4dc8a61a5ce930542f550fcf8d27380ae898de636799d",99.999997,0.819999999,"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31",{"condition_id":216,"outcome":29,"usdc":217,"entry_price":218,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":219,"captured_at":13,"question":220,"event_slug":221,"category":103},"0xaa5041ca3ea8400325d726e0fb44b85180c4d6211dea960d7a3fb4600d5d6c76",499.999999,0.6899999997,"2025-11-16T12:00:00Z","Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?","chile-presidential-election",{"condition_id":223,"outcome":29,"usdc":224,"entry_price":225,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":122,"captured_at":13,"question":226,"event_slug":193,"category":103},"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6",99.99999700000001,0.6847826070385632,"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?",{"condition_id":228,"outcome":42,"usdc":229,"entry_price":230,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":231,"captured_at":13,"question":232,"event_slug":110,"category":38},"0xbbc6689d0f6d57ea42168836712237c7308b3e0118c8914d31b6126d0f3254c5",260.9915,0.7436290851069891,"2026-04-22","US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?",{"condition_id":234,"outcome":235,"usdc":236,"entry_price":237,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":238,"captured_at":13,"question":239,"event_slug":240,"category":103},"0xc5c767b083aefcbb505f9168ecd1c1fea370a37e5f7f0f5d78f2a6954fee9a4e","Grizzlies",7,0.07,"2025-11-12T00:30:00Z","Grizzlies vs. Knicks","nba-mem-nyk-2025-11-11",{"condition_id":242,"outcome":42,"usdc":243,"entry_price":197,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":244,"captured_at":13,"question":245,"event_slug":110,"category":38},"0xceb6dfaa2cf5abc9d47ebc867b984a7715104944249274e8a483a2e17473e5f5",49.998,"2026-04-30","US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?",{"condition_id":247,"outcome":29,"usdc":248,"entry_price":249,"won":14,"source":99,"end_date_iso":250,"captured_at":13,"question":251,"event_slug":252,"category":103},"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8",17.289997999999997,0.3002024396280599,"2026-02-28T00:00:00Z","Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28",{"condition_id":254,"outcome":42,"usdc":255,"entry_price":256,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":257,"captured_at":13,"question":258,"event_slug":110,"category":38},"0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423",99.9945,0.81,"2026-06-15T00:00:00Z","US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?",{"condition_id":260,"outcome":29,"usdc":261,"entry_price":262,"won":12,"source":99,"end_date_iso":263,"captured_at":13,"question":264,"event_slug":265,"category":103},"0xdaf01688d0c4194304f0c9f26f1b6bfdd17f0919133834d8fa3c98b28f71cdb0",80,0.04697509733636049,"2026-03-06T12:00:00Z","Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?","highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-6-2026",{"total":267,"wins":268},25,15,[270,274,278,281],{"category":271,"n":268,"wins":236,"hitRate":272,"roi":273},"Other",0.4666666666666667,0.7536187644192425,{"category":38,"n":236,"wins":275,"hitRate":276,"roi":277},5,0.7142857142857143,0.011352479159289351,{"category":173,"n":279,"wins":279,"hitRate":14,"roi":280},2,0.2996699025618919,{"category":132,"n":14,"wins":14,"hitRate":14,"roi":282},0.17647058823529416,{"generatedAt":284},"2026-10-26T03:30:37.499Z"]